Pubblicato in: Energie Alternative, Fisco e Tasse, Ideologia liberal

Germania! Vuoi burro o alternative? La sciagurata rispose.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-10-24.

Surriscaldamento 001

«VOLETE BURRO O CANNONI?». Mussolini pronunciò questa frase dal balcone di Palazzo Venezia poco prima della dichiarazione della Seconda Guerra Mondiale e la folla gridò entusiasta «Cannoni! Cannoni!». Poi chi ha pagato il conto di quella guerra sono stati tantissimi giovani che purtroppo non avevano capito a tempo…

* * *

La storia si ripete, mutatis mutandis.

I tedeschi hanno condiviso l’entusiasmo di Frau Merkel per le energie alternative, ed adesso iniziano ad arrivare i conti da pagare.

«Germany’s power network operators (TSOs) will hike by 5.5% next year the fee consumers have to pay to support the country’s shift toward renewable energies»

«The surcharge is a key part of Germany’s policy to switch to lower carbon sources of energy, known as Energiewende, but has sparked criticism from consumers because it makes up 21% of their final bills»

«A joint statement from the four TSOs said the fee to pay producers feed-in tariffs under Germany’s EEG renewable energy act will increase to 6.756 cents per kilowatt hour (kWh) in 2020 compared with 6.405 cents in 2019»

«A household consuming 5,000 kWh per annum would pay another 18 euros more next year to account for the EEG»

«In Germany, some 23% of power bills are made up of grid usage fees, which have increased due to the higher handling costs of renewable power»

«The remaining 25% represent procurement and retail distribution»

* * * * * * *

Una Germania in piena recessione, con un drammatico calo della produzione industriale, si trova a sbattere il volto sul granito dei costi legati alle energie alternative ed a quelli della distribuzione, che dovrebbe essere rifatta di sana pianta, ancorché possa servire a qualcosa. Le distanze infatti tra gli impianti ed i luoghi di consumo sono troppo elevati per gli attuali elettrodotti, e la dissipazione elevata.

Energia. Il problema degli elettrodotti a lunga distanza. Le dissipazioni.

Già.

Pochi ci hanno pensato.

In una Germania che si dice andare incontro ad un surriscaldamento, le dispersioni degli elettrodotti sono vere e proprie stufette elettriche.

*


Germans to pay 5.5% higher levy for renewable power in 2020

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – Germany’s power network operators (TSOs) will hike by 5.5% next year the fee consumers have to pay to support the country’s shift toward renewable energies, they said on Tuesday, confirming what a source earlier told Reuters.

The surcharge is a key part of Germany’s policy to switch to lower carbon sources of energy, known as Energiewende, but has sparked criticism from consumers because it makes up 21% of their final bills.

A joint statement from the four TSOs said the fee to pay producers feed-in tariffs under Germany’s EEG renewable energy act will increase to 6.756 cents per kilowatt hour (kWh) in 2020 compared with 6.405 cents in 2019.

Think-tank Agora and consumer prices comparison companies on Monday said the fee would likely hit a range of 6.5-6.7 cents.

The TSOs said in their statement that more renewable power production was forecast for next year, which could see more pay-outs to renewable power producers.

At the same time, the account in which the collected fees are held had been drawn down this year by relatively high green power output, which is driven by variable weather patterns, it said.

A household consuming 5,000 kWh per annum would pay another 18 euros more next year to account for the EEG, prices portal Check24 said in a press release on Tuesday.

In Germany, some 23% of power bills are made up of grid usage fees, which have increased due to the higher handling costs of renewable power. The remaining 25% represent procurement and retail distribution.

Agora predicted that the fee should peak in 2021, because by then wind turbines built last decade would gradually drop out of the fixed 20-year subsidy scheme that was reformed in 2017.

Pubblicato in: Ideologia liberal

Merkel e ‘clima’. La fronda cresce e prende sempre più forza.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-09-29.

Germania. Große Koalition kaputt. Thinking the Unthinkable. 001

Il 24 ottobre 2021 la Germania tornerà alle urne. Due anni passano presto.

L’ultimo sondaggio di propensione a voto indicherebbe questi risultati, accanto ai quali tra parentesi riportiamo le percentuali conseguite nelle elezioni del 2017.

Union, ossia Cdu e Csu, 26% (32.9%), Sp 14% (20.5%), AfD 16% (12.6%), Fdp 8% (10.7%), Linke 8% (9.2%), Grüne 22% (8.9%).

L’attuale Bundeskanzlerin Frau Merkel ha dichiarato che non si presenterà per un nuovo mandato, e la formazione di una nuova Große Koalition sembrerebbe essere impossibile.

Come possano evolversi le cose di qui a due anni è cosa impossibile da prevedersi: l’unico elemento certo sarebbe quello che il nuovo cancelliere potrebbe anche mutare radicalmente la Weltanschauung politico economica tedesca, situazione che verosimilmente raccoglierà ridotta a pezzi.

* * * * * * *

Già adesso si iniziano a notare segni di scollamento nella politica sul ‘clima’. I Grüne sono in reflusso, ed i cittadini sembrerebbero essere sempre più insofferenti.

Germania. Energie alternative. Quasi tutto bloccato dai residenti.

Ma gli ostacoli principali alle politiche energetiche di Frau Merkel sarebbero quelli economici.

«German climate protection plans involving the closure of some coal plants might cost 1.2 billion euros ($1.32 billion) by 2030 without achieving the desired reductions in carbon emissions, an independent study said on Monday»

«A draft law detailing the plan to shut hard coal fired power plants by offering operators fiscal incentives in auctions, seen by Reuters on Sept. 5, showed Germany will start shutting coal plants from next year, under a long-term exit plan up to 2038»

«The government aims to meet a target of reducing carbon emissions to 55% of their 1990 level by 2030»

«“Because of planned price caps, more plants might have to be forced to close on top (of those awarded money in the closure auctions), which brings the risk of compensation lawsuits and delays,”»

«The draft law envisages that by 2022, around 12 plants run by operators including RWE, EnBW and smaller competitors would be shut, leaving 30 with 15 gigawatts (GW) capacity»

«Aurora said that an assumed maximum price of 150,000 euros compensation per megawatt – with taxpayers’ costs in mind – may achieve the first round of closures, with the desired outcome of idling old plants in north Germany not crucial for meeting demand in the industrial south»

* * * * * * *

Fare piani al 2038, ossia un arco di tempo di venti anni, presuppone la certezza che le attuali volontà politiche restino immutate, cristallizzate, almeno per tutto questo lungo lasso di tempo. Ma con l’ottobre 2021 Frau Merkel uscirà di scena e la depressione economica si sarà fatta sentire con tutta la sua forza.


German coal closure auctions could be costly, insufficient: study

FRANKFURT (Reuters) – German climate protection plans involving the closure of some coal plants might cost 1.2 billion euros ($1.32 billion) by 2030 without achieving the desired reductions in carbon emissions, an independent study said on Monday.

A draft law detailing the plan to shut hard coal fired power plants by offering operators fiscal incentives in auctions, seen by Reuters on Sept. 5, showed Germany will start shutting coal plants from next year, under a long-term exit plan up to 2038.

The government aims to meet a target of reducing carbon emissions to 55% of their 1990 level by 2030.

“Because of planned price caps, more plants might have to be forced to close on top (of those awarded money in the closure auctions), which brings the risk of compensation lawsuits and delays,” said the study from Aurora Energy Research.

The draft law envisages that by 2022, around 12 plants run by operators including RWE, EnBW and smaller competitors would be shut, leaving 30 with 15 gigawatts (GW) capacity.

Aurora said that an assumed maximum price of 150,000 euros compensation per megawatt – with taxpayers’ costs in mind – may achieve the first round of closures, with the desired outcome of idling old plants in north Germany not crucial for meeting demand in the industrial south.

But later on, the lawmakers might offer decreases down to 100,000 euros/MW up to 2030, Aurora said, stressing this was an assumption as the draft had not specified the levels yet.

Fewer operators might accept these pay-offs, causing undersubscribed auctions and necessitating ordered shutdowns that could cause more emissions and messy lawsuits that the exit plan was meant to avoid, Aurora said.

The country’s energy regulator will have to decide on mandated closures on the basis of the plants’ age.

After 2030, there will be no more compensation for plants over the age of 25 years.

Other factors that operators will bear in mind to prepare themselves for the auctions were raw material and wholesale prices as well as power demand in coming years, Aurora said.[EL/DE]

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Ideologia liberal

Macron scarica Greta Thunberg con male parole.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-09-27.

2019-09-27__Trump-Greta

Il problema è ben più sfaccettato di quanto possa superficialmente sembrare. Ma davvero molto.

L’istogramma delle propensioni al voto nel Baden-Württemberg è oltremodo esplicativo. I Grüne sono arrivati al 38%, primo partito davanti alla Cdu al 26%. Almeno nell’Unione Europea il potere dei liberal socialisti non è minacciato dagli identitari sovranisti, bensì dai Grüne, ossia dalla fazione da loro fatta artatamente crescere nella presunzione di poterla poi governare a piacere. Conto questo dimostratosi poi essere stato un pacchiano errore. Si possono governare masse solidamente inquadrate e che non reclamino soldi, non un coacervo di persone, ciascuna delle quali la pensi a modo suo.

2019-09-27--Baden--

Infine, la Greta Thunberg ed i suoi agenti pubblicitari hanno trasbordato i limiti: nemmeno a Gretina è permesso di attaccare in modo così viscerale l’establishment. I capi di governo non ci stanno per nulla a farsi prendere a pesci in faccia da un ragazzina. Chi può innalzare può anche abbassare.

* * * * * * *

Solo considerando questi argomenti si può comprendere il vero significato delle parole di Mr Macron.

«Il personaggio Greta sembra essere sfuggito di mano»

«Sono posizioni molto radicali»

«Ma quali sono le soluzioni che propone? Nessuno le conosce.»

«Et la France est directement ciblée par Greta Thunberg. Aux côtés de 15 autres jeunes, elle a déposé une plainte inédite devant le Comité des Droits de l’Enfant de l’ONU, contre cinq pays, l’Argentine, le Brésil, la Turquie mais aussi l’Allemagne et donc la France»

«Là, des positions très radicales, c’est de nature à antagoniser nos sociétés»

«You mustn’t create a generation of depressed people over this issue»

«You cannot mobilise with despair, almost hatred»

«She seems like a very happy young girl looking forward to a bright and wonderful future. So nice to see!»

* * * * * * *

La frase sarcastica di Mr Trump sembrerebbe essere stata scritta da un inglese invelenito più che da un americano.

Greta è troppo radicale, e, soprattutto, è diventata una scheggia impazzita fuori controllo. Sta allevando una generazione di depressi: induce disperazione ed incita all’odio. Già: incita all’odio.

L’epoca di Mrs Greta Thunberg è finita: farà ancora qualche apparizione pubblica, ma i media la snobberanno.

Macron e il fastidio verso Greta: «Manifestare? Meglio pulire le spiagge in Corsica»

«Il personaggio Greta sembra essere sfuggito di mano, le sue denunce e il discorso pronunciato all’Onu non sono piaciuti né a Macron né al suo entourage. «Sono posizioni molto radicali – ha detto Macron -. Non mi pare che il governo francese o quello tedesco oggi si oppongano al rispetto degli accordi di Parigi. Stiamo abbandonando lo sfruttamento del carbone, limitando l’uso degli idrocarburi, ci stiamo muovendo, e non sono certo quelle frasi siano la strada più efficace». La stessa Brune Poirson, che esortava Greta a non mollare, adesso, vice-ministra alla Transizione ecologica -, dice: «Ma quali sono le soluzioni che propone? Nessuno le conosce. Non si può ricorrere alla disperazione, a una specie di odio».»

*

Clima: Macron bacchetta Greta Thunberg

«Emmanuel Macron bacchetta Greta Thunberg, dopo che la militante ecologista di 16 anni ha sporto denuncia, insieme ad altri quindici giovani ecologisti, contro cinque Paesi, tra cui la Francia e la Germania, per inazione contro il clima. “Posizioni molto radicali”, le ha definite il presidente su radio Europe 1, che rischiano di “mettere creare antagonismo tra le nostre società”. Per Macron tutte le mobilitazioni dei giovani “sono utili. Ma ora bisogna fare in modo che si concentrino su coloro che sono più distanti, coloro che tentano di bloccare. Non ho la sensazione che il governo francese o il governo tedesco, oggi, stiano bloccando” la lotta per la salvaguardia del pianeta. E ancora: “Quando vedo che chiuderemo tutte le nostre attività legate al carbone, che fermiamo lo sfruttamento di idrocarburi, che ci stiamo muovendo, non sono sicuro che sia il modo più efficace”, ha concluso il presidente.»

*

Emmanuel Macron répond à Greta Thunberg : “Je n’ai pas le sentiment que la France bloque”

«Et la France est directement ciblée par Greta Thunberg. Aux côtés de 15 autres jeunes, elle a déposé une plainte inédite devant le Comité des Droits de l’Enfant de l’ONU, contre cinq pays, l’Argentine, le Brésil, la Turquie mais aussi l’Allemagne et donc la France.»

«Toutes les mobilisations de notre jeunesse ou des moins jeunes sont utiles. Mais il faut qu’elles se concentrent maintenant sur ceux qui sont le plus loin, ceux qui essaient de bloquer. Je n’ai pas le sentiment que le gouvernement français ou le gouvernement allemand, aujourd’hui, sont en train de bloquer …. Quand je vois qu’on va fermer l’ensemble de nos activités charbon, qu’on stoppe l’exploitation d’hydrocarbures, qu’on est en train de bouger, je ne suis pas sûr que ce soit la voie la plus efficace.”»

«Il y a des tas d’actions citoyennes qui sont utiles”, a-t-il déclaré, lâchant un dernier message en direction de Greta Thunberg : “Là, des positions très radicales, c’est de nature à antagoniser nos sociétés.”»

*

Greta Thunberg’s ‘radical’ climate change stance risks ‘depressing’ an entire generation of teenagers, French President Emmanuel Macron warns

«In an emotional speech, Greta said: “I shouldn’t be up here. I should be back in school on the other side of the ocean.

“Yet you all come to us for hope.

“How dare you. You have stolen my dreams and my childhood with your empty words.

“We are in the beginning of a mass extinction and yet all you can talk about is money. You are failing us.”»

«Such very radical positions are liable to antagonise our societies. French President Emmanuel Macron»

«There are lots of citizen’s actions that are useful. …. “Here, such very radical positions are liable to antagonise our societies»

«You mustn’t create a generation of depressed people over this issue.»

«ecological transition minister Brune Poirson warned: “You cannot mobilise with despair, almost hatred.”»

«”She seems like a very happy young girl looking forward to a bright and wonderful future. So nice to see!”. – Donald Trump»

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Ideologia liberal, Unione Europea

Unione Europea. Si avvicina lo scontro finale. Visegrad.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-09-21.

Visegrad 001

Dalle ultime elezioni europee sia il ppe sia il pse sono usciti con una perdita complessiva di quasi cento seggi, e con essi hanno perso la maggioranza. Non sono riusciti ad imporre i propri candidati alla Presidenza della Commissione Europea e Mrs Ursula von der Leyen è uscita con una esigua maggioranza di voti, procuratale da Frau Merkel che aveva telefonato a polacchi ed ungheresi chiedendo loro di votare quella candidata.

Grande è stato lo smacco dei liberal socialisti, la bocca dei quali è stata raddolcita un pochino concedendo loro un posticino per Herr Timmermans.

Ma i liberal non sanno darsi pace, e stanno attaccando a testa bassa. Incuranti della situazione economica in progressivo disfacimento, puntano sui temi loro cari.

Non possono tollerare il fatto che il Consiglio europeo e la Commissione si siano riappropriati delle competenze decisionali di loro spettanza, né al fatto di essere stati ridotti dalle elezioni a minoranza.

È infine una lotta tra chi concepisce l’Unione Europea come uno stato centralizzato a guida liberal, e quanti lo concepiscono con un confederazione economica di stati sovrani ed indipendenti.

«We have been defending Europe, the European identity, the Christian culture, the European way of life for centuries, we should be supported, not attacked, …. protecting the European way of life» [Weltanschauung ungherese]

Compreso questo, tutta la questione su Polonia ed Ungheria risulta essere chiara.


EU divided on how to protect rule of law

«Poland and Hungary have argued that rule of law is purely a domestic matter and the EU should respect legal traditions, but Dutch foreign minister warned backsliding was a worry for all.

While several ministers highlighted the need for a well-functioning rule of law as the basis of the EU, ministers from Hungary and Poland emphasised the particular national characteristics of different legal traditions.

“The EU is not just a collective of states which want to enhance its economic well-being through mutual trade, but we are also a union of values, like democracy, fundamental rights, and rule of law,” Dutch foreign minister Stef Blok warned.»

* * * * * * *

«EU affairs ministers on Monday (16 September) held their first hearing on Hungary over concerns that the Budapest government curbed judicial and press freedoms, clamped down on civil society, and weakened the rule of law and checks on the government»

«Hungary’s justice minister Judit Varga dismissed the procedure as a “political witch-hunt”»

«Monday’s hearing was the first of its kind concerning Hungary under the Article 7 sanctions procedure»

«A year ago the European Parliament triggered the process, following mounting concerns over the country’s democratic backsliding»

«Varga told reporters the procedure was part of the “revenge campaign of the pro-migration elite” because Hungary has said no to migration»

«”We have been defending Europe, the European identity, the Christian culture, the European way of life for centuries, we should be supported, not attacked,” she told reporters, in a clear echo of the commission’s rebranding of its migration portfolio as “protecting the European way of life.”»

«Their questions focused partly on academic and media freedom. …. Prime minister Viktor Orban’s government and its allies took control of the public media and most of the country’s private news media, and drove out the Central European University, founded by US billionaire philanthropist George Soros, from Budapest.»

«It is unclear where the procedure will lead. Article 7 can end with the suspension of voting rights, but that requires unanimity among EU countries, and Poland – which is also under the same disciplinary process – had already said it would veto any such move»

* * *

«The controversial title for a future commission vice-president’s role, of “protecting the European way of life”, is creating deep divisions in the European parliament as MEPs prepare to debate the new executive of president-elect Ursula von der Leyen»

«Socialists, liberals and greens have raised questions about the definition of the European “way of life”. …. They are concerned that when linked to migration, as in the job description for Greek commission-designate Margaritis Schinas, it panders to the far-right»

«Manfred Weber, the group leader of the centre-right European People’s Party (EPP), von der Leyen’s party, on Tuesday (17 September) defended the job title. “We should not allow that right [wing] extremist, like Marine Le Pen, hijack the European way of life debate, it is our debate, it is a Christian democratic debate, a debate with socialists, liberals, it is a traditional debate of the political centre,” …. a lot of Europeans who felt “helpless in a world where we have so much uncertainty”, and that they were “looking for orientations and also for a positive identity”.»

«Socialist group leader Iratxe Garcia said her group is against the name, especially with the title being linked to migration»

«”If I listen to [Hungary’s PM] Viktor Orban, [the European way of life] is a marriage between a man and a woman, and they have many children, the woman stays home to take care of the children, they go to mass on Sunday,” he quipped. Orban is a suspended member of EPP»

«The former German defence minister had been criticised by MEPs for not debating them about the new commission in the plenary session»

* * * * * * *

In questa Unione Europea si stanno scontrando i tre centri di potere: il Consiglio Europeo, la Commissione e l’europarlamento. avendo questo ultimo perso il primo round.

I liberal socialisti vorrebbero imporre a tutti la condivisione della loro ideologia, che essi ritengono essere verità assoluta e fondamento dell’Unione Europea.

Ma le elezioni europee prima, le variazioni di composizione del Consiglio Europeo dopo, non aggradano con tale visione.

Così, invece di dibattere sull’incipiente regressione economica e su come cercare di contrastarla, gli europarlamentari liberal hanno optato per una battaglia su quelli che essi ritengono essere loro principi etici.

Ma al momento vi sarebbero molti dubbi che possano spuntarla.

* * * * * * *


EU Observer. 2019-09-18. Defending the ‘European way of life’ name splits MEPs

The controversial title for a future commission vice-president’s role, of “protecting the European way of life”, is creating deep divisions in the European parliament as MEPs prepare to debate the new executive of president-elect Ursula von der Leyen.

Socialists, liberals and greens have raised questions about the definition of the European “way of life”.

They are concerned that when linked to migration, as in the job description for Greek commission-designate Margaritis Schinas, it panders to the far-right.

On Monday, French far-right opposition leader Marine Le Pen hailed the title as an “ideological victory”.

Manfred Weber, the group leader of the centre-right European People’s Party (EPP), von der Leyen’s party, on Tuesday (17 September) defended the job title.

“We should not allow that right [wing] extremist, like Marine Le Pen, hijack the European way of life debate, it is our debate, it is a Christian democratic debate, a debate with socialists, liberals, it is a traditional debate of the political centre,” he said in Strasbourg.

Weber said the title is a good one, and EPP will defend it.

“Is there someone in the room who wants to live the Chinese way of life, the African way of life or the American way of life? I want to live the European way of life, with solidarity, with democracy, with protecting human rights, especially when it is about migrants, it is absolutely clear, […] tolerance,” he told reporters.

Weber, who ran for von der Leyen’s job before the European elections in May, had also used the term “defending the European way of life” in his campaign.

He said that he had met a lot of Europeans who felt “helpless in a world where we have so much uncertainty”, and that they were “looking for orientations and also for a positive identity”.

Weber said he cannot see the problem with the title.

“This means to rescue people in the Mediterranean, it is not to close harbours,” the Bavarian politician added on his definition of the European way of life.

Von der Leyen also defended her choice of words over the weekend, quoting the fundamental values of the EU, without mentioning migration.

‘Needs to change’

But the issue has emerged as a key obstacle for other parties to approve von der Leyen’s commission in October.

Socialist group leader Iratxe Garcia said her group is against the name, especially with the title being linked to migration.

“The European way of life shouldn’t threaten a migration policy, which is underpinned by the principles of solidarity, this is the point she ought to have made,” the Spanish MEP said.

She said that the title needs to change.

Green co-chair Philippe Lamberts suggested that the title reflected von der Leyen’s efforts to cater to the right.

“She decided to give promises to the right, even to the far-right, that is my interpretation of the various portfolios, including Schinas’ portfolio,” he told reporters in Strasbourg.

Lamberts said that in her July speech to the parliament, von der Leyen reached out to the Socialists and the Greens, but then her new commission and the promises made by it now lean towards the right.

“Migration is presented as a problem of security and our way of life. Migrants are seen as attackers and terrorists who do not sign up to our values,” Lamberts said of the title.

“If I listen to [Hungary’s PM] Viktor Orban, [the European way of life] is a marriage between a man and a woman, and they have many children, the woman stays home to take care of the children, they go to mass on Sunday,” he quipped. Orban is a suspended member of EPP.

“They tried to imprison kids as long as they are migrants, they put up barbed wire, is this the European way of life? I happen to be European and this is not my way of life,” the Belgian politician added.

Lamberts said sticking to the title doesn’t help the new commission chief’s credentials with the Greens.

Von der Leyen on Thursday will attend a meeting of the European Parliament group leaders and other top parliament officials, which will take place behind closed doors.

The former German defence minister had been criticised by MEPs for not debating them about the new commission in the plenary session.

* * *


EU Observer. 2019-09-17. Hungary claims EU ‘witch-hunt’ over rule of law hearing

EU affairs ministers on Monday (16 September) held their first hearing on Hungary over concerns that the Budapest government curbed judicial and press freedoms, clamped down on civil society, and weakened the rule of law and checks on the government.

Hungary’s justice minister Judit Varga dismissed the procedure as a “political witch-hunt”.

Finnish EU affairs state minister Tytti Tuppurainen retorted by saying that it is “of course, not a witch-hunt, it is not against anyone”, but a procedure based in the EU treaties. “This is not a trial,” she added, speaking to reporters Monday evening.

Monday’s hearing was the first of its kind concerning Hungary under the Article 7 sanctions procedure.

A year ago the European Parliament triggered the process, following mounting concerns over the country’s democratic backsliding.

Varga told reporters the procedure was part of the “revenge campaign of the pro-migration elite” because Hungary has said no to migration. She also questioned the parliamentary vote’s legality when adopting the report.

Varga said that “the pro-migration liberal elite continued to repeat the same baseless, untruthful, unfounded accusations that are echoed in the liberal, mostly western European media”.

“We have been defending Europe, the European identity, the Christian culture, the European way of life for centuries, we should be supported, not attacked,” she told reporters, in a clear echo of the commission’s rebranding of its migration portfolio as “protecting the European way of life.”

Q and A

At the hearing, French EU affairs state secretary Amélie de Montchalin spoke on behalf of Germany too when she told Varga that the general picture in the parliamentary report “about the respect for fundamental values in Hungary is worrying”.

She urged Hungary to address and resolve the concerns.

Sweden, Belgium, the Netherlands, Spain, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, and Portugal took the floor and asked questions of the Hungarian team led by Varga.

Their questions focused partly on academic and media freedom.

Prime minister Viktor Orban’s government and its allies took control of the public media and most of the country’s private news media, and drove out the Central European University, founded by US billionaire philanthropist George Soros, from Budapest.

The government recently pushed through legislation stripping the 200-year-old Hungarian Academy of Sciences of its network of research bodies, further tightening government control over academia.

Denmark, France and Portugal asked the Hungarian ministers about recent developments in the country’s judiciary, where judges overseeing the head of the court administration, Tunde Hando, urged parliament to remove her for abusing her power when selecting judges.

Hando is the wife of a Fidesz MEP and was appointed in 2012 after Orban’s government overhauled the judiciary.

The parliament, dominated by Orban’s MPs with a two-thirds majority, refused to oust her in June. Hando called the supervisory body biased, and rejected the allegations.

Commission vice-president Frans Timmermans warned that a decision by the Orban government to postpone the introduction of so-called administrative courts is not a positive step – but only delays the deterioration of the independence of the judiciary in Hungary.

The new court system is designed to whitewash corruption cases, critics say.

Sweden and the Netherlands asked about corruption, while Luxembourg inquired if treatment of asylum-seekers is now in line with international standards in Hungary.

Varga argued to her colleagues that the European Parliament report does not contribute to EU unity. She accused the parliament of being politically-motivated and claimed that Hungary deserves respect, according to an official.

In a 158-page note prepared for the meeting, Hungary’s government argued both that the parliament’s conclusions are unjustified, and that some of the issues fall outside the legitimate scope of the procedure.

At the hearing, Varga hinted at migration saying Hungary should not be targeted because it has a different position on policies, the official added.

Unknown future

It is unclear where the procedure will lead. Article 7 can end with the suspension of voting rights, but that requires unanimity among EU countries, and Poland – which is also under the same disciplinary process – had already said it would veto any such move.

Varga argued that the case should be closed, and only with a strong majority backing should the Finnish presidency’s case proceed.

France proposed to have more hearings on specific issue until the concerns are resolved. Timmermans said international organisations should be invited to underpin the report’s concerns.

“It will be up to the next weeks and months to us to decide how we will move forward,” Finland’s Tuppurainen said after the hearing.

The European parliament was not invited to the meeting, their position was represented by the Finnish EU presidency.

The parliament’s civil liberties committee chair, Juan Fernando Lopez Aguilar, and the new MEP dealing with the Hungary file, Gwendoline Delbos-Corfield, wrote a letter to parliament president David Sassoli to lobby member states to include the parliament in the following hearings.

After Varga wrote on Twitter on Monday that Hungary was being “put on pillory for rejecting mass immigration”, it earned a quick rebuttal from Dutch MEP Sophie in ‘t Veld.

She responded: “You are not put ‘on pillory’ for rejecting mass immigration, but for violating human rights, destroying the rule of law and non-compliance with EU law. Don’t play the martyr.”

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Ideologia liberal

Fed ed Ecb. Molti pensano che siano a fine corsa. Vecchie, ragionano da vecchie.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-09-20.

Debiti 000

«New Keynesian economic theory is wrong»


Su Fed ed Ecb stanno addensandosi nuvoloni bigi, carichi di tempeste.

ECB. Rivolta dei Governatori contro i provvedimenti disperati.

Germania. Tassi negativi strangolano il risparmio.

Germania. Piano anti-recessione da 500 mld, di debiti.

Ecb. ‘Rallentamento più duraturo del previsto’.

Commissione Europea. Si preannunciano scontri ferocissimi.

Draghi Faced Unprecedented ECB Revolt as Core Europe Resisted QE

* * * * * * *

«Former US Secretary of the Treasury Lawrence H. Summers and Anna Stansbury recently cast doubt on the future of central banking, suggesting that the prevailing monetary-policy framework is in dire need of a rethink»

«In the current era of low – and in some cases negative – interest rates, many are starting to worry that the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve are “running out of ammunition.”»

«When a central bank’s policy rate is already low, it cannot be lowered much more in the event of a crisis»

«Hence, one could argue that the Fed actually should be raising rates now, while unemployment is low, to create enough space for interest-rate cuts in the future, when unemployment may be high»

«Yet it makes no sense to raise interest rates if doing so could trigger a recession»

«When the Fed or the ECB raises rates, New Keynesian economic theory predicts that the hike will eventually lead to a decrease in inflation and that the path from point A to point B will inevitably be accompanied by higher unemployment»

«New Keynesian economic theory is wrong»

«there is no reason why the rate increase should cause higher unemployment»

«According to the theory, a lower interest rate is supposed to lead to more investment expenditure, thereby driving aggregate demand and reducing unemployment»

«This is not science; it is religion»

«The standard theoretical narrative is based entirely on the Phillips curve, which asserts a direct tradeoff between inflation and unemployment»

«If the theory is wrong, it must be replaced with something better»

«monetary policy will be impotent when Europe or the US enters another recession»

«I am not convinced that government spending is the right response»

* * * * * * *

Tre frasi dovrebbero essere meditate a fondo.

«This is not science; it is religion»

«If the theory is wrong, it must be replaced with something better»

«monetary policy will be impotent when Europe or the US enters another recession»

* * *

L’aspetto tragico è proprio questo: molti politici ed economisti si sono innamorati di alcune teorie economiche e le vivono come credo religioso: sono ben più dogmatici della caricatura del frate predicatore medievale. È il loro dogmatismo e la loro presunzione che li rendono tediosamente irritanti. Gabellano per verità assoluta il modesto frutto del loro pensiero.

In accordo con Gödel, questo credo è basato su alcune assunzioni indimostrate ed anche indimostrabili. Dogmi di fede.

– La immissione di liquidità nel sistema ne determina una crescita.

– Gli esseri umani sarebbero realtà economiche deterministiche.

* * *

Sono visioni drammaticamente semplicistiche.

I comportamenti degli esseri umani sono tutto tranne che deterministici: per esempio, la fiducia nel sistema prende quasi sempre piede proprio nel momento in cui ha raggiunto il suo fondo, ma la politica prospetta un avvenire prevedibile e certo. L’esplosione economica tedesca del 1948 ne sarebbe un chiarissimo esempio.

Nei fatti, tutto l’Occidente è gravato da una immane quota di debito pubblico.

Ben poche le vie per uscirne:

– pagare i debiti;

– inflazionare;

– andare al default.

La crisi del 2009 ha bene evidenziato come le banche centrali abbiano immesso enormi liquidità, che però alla fine sono state utilizzate non da parte dell’economia produttiva reale, bensì dagli stati per sovvenzionare i propri debiti sovrani. In altri termini, nel sistema non è entrato proprio nulla. Joe l’idraulico non ha visto il becco di un centesimo, almeno fino a tanto che Mr Trump non ha abbassato le tasse.

Ma questa gigantesca massa monetaria generata dal nulla necessita in una qualche maniera di essere bruciata.

Ci si pensi su bene.

Tassi negativi sui titoli di stato e sui depositi bancari altro non fanno che falcidiare le cifre così collocate: questo è il semplice effetto di una ‘inflazione artificiale’ che alla fine depaupera il Contribuente, messo nella impossibilità di risparmiare. Con i tassi negativi uno che risparmiasse per farsi un gruzzoletto a mo’ di pensione assisterebbe impotente alla semplice scomparsa di quanto accantonato.

Ci si pensi bene: sembrerebbe un gran brutto servizio.


New Europe. 2019-09-18.  Central banking’s bankrupt narrative

Former US Secretary of the Treasury Lawrence H. Summers and Anna Stansbury recently cast doubt on the future of central banking, suggesting that the prevailing monetary-policy framework is in dire need of a rethink. I agree, and have been calling for a reconsideration of “Old Keynesian economics” for more than a decade, starting with an article I published in 2006, two years before the Great Recession made it fashionable to question the way we think about macroeconomic theory. I am heartened that the narrative and body of research I have developed continues to gain public support.

In the current era of low – and in some cases negative – interest rates, many are starting to worry that the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve are “running out of ammunition.” When a central bank’s policy rate is already low, it cannot be lowered much more in the event of a crisis. Hence, one could argue that the Fed actually should be raising rates now, while unemployment is low, to create enough space for interest-rate cuts in the future, when unemployment may be high. Yet it makes no sense to raise interest rates if doing so could trigger a recession. The question, then, is whether there is a way to restock the powder keg without generating an explosion.

When the Fed or the ECB raises rates, New Keynesian economic theory predicts that the hike will eventually lead to a decrease in inflation and that the path from point A to point B will inevitably be accompanied by higher unemployment. But my own research suggests that New Keynesian economic theory is wrong. After all, if the Fed were to raise the short-term rate slowly and support equity markets with a guarantee to purchase a broad-based exchange-traded fund at a fixed price, there is no reason why the rate increase should cause higher unemployment.

According to the theory, a lower interest rate is supposed to lead to more investment expenditure, thereby driving aggregate demand and reducing unemployment. And lower unemployment is supposed to put upward pressure on wages, which eventually translates into higher prices (inflation) through a mark-up mechanism. That is the point when the central bank reverses its policy and starts to raise interest rates. Yet this entire story is contingent on the assumption that there exists a unique natural rate of unemployment – that is, the “non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment” (NAIRU) – at which the pace of price growth will neither rise nor fall.

Although New Keynesians acknowledge that the NAIRU may change over time, they cannot predict how it will behave. Rather, central bankers make internal calculations of the NAIRU, and these then feed into decisions about the policy rate. When the unemployment rate is below the current NAIRU estimate and inflation still fails to materialize, they simply conclude that the NAIRU must have fallen. This is not science; it is religion.

In my book Prosperity for All, I offer an alternative to this latter-day version of reading tea leaves. My theory recognizes that a non-accelerating inflation rate is consistent with any unemployment rate. This point was originally made by John Maynard Keynes himself, in The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money, and has been emphasized by post-Keynesian economists for decades. I have shown in my research that the post-Keynesian view can be reconciled with conventional microeconomic theory using a “new” theory of labour-market search.

The standard theoretical narrative is based entirely on the Phillips curve, which asserts a direct tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. This is the narrative that determines what research is allowed into the top economic journals, and which discussions take place in policy meetings at central banks around the world. It is the narrative that informs how everyone from journalists and academics to the wider public interpret monetary-policy decisions. But it is a misleading narrative, one from which we must escape if we are to improve how we manage modern market economies.

To that end, it is not enough to criticize the Phillips curve. If the theory is wrong, it must be replaced with something better, and by something other than a return to 1950s Keynesianism, as today’s critics of the neoclassical macroeconomic theory seem to propose. According to Summers and Stansbury, government should “promote demand through fiscal policies and other means” (emphasis mine). While I agree that monetary policy will be impotent when Europe or the US enters another recession, I am not convinced that government spending is the right response. My own research provides empirical evidence that recessions are caused by crashes in asset markets. As such, it is better to stabilize asset prices than build bridges to nowhere.

Modern market-based societies have pulled more human beings out of abject poverty than any other known form of economic organization. But “capitalism” is not some monolithic structure that exists in contradiction to “socialism.” There is a continuum of alternative economic arrangements, with laissez-faire at one end and central planning at the other. Our goal should be to design institutions that take maximum advantage of the market as a mechanism for coordinating information, while also providing the tracks on which the market runs.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Ideologia liberal

PD. Direzione PD e programma di Zingaretti.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-08-21.

Escher__Il_Cubo_

«La Direzione del Pd ha approvato un ordine del giorno che ripercorre la relazione di Nicola Zingaretti dando il mandato a aprire una trattativa per verificare la possibilità di “un governo di svolta per la legislatura”, in “discontinuità” col precedente. Il documento è stato approvato per acclamazione all’unanimità»

«Il governo giallo verde caduto ieri “è stato uno dei peggiori della storia della Repubblica, dopo 14 mesi è fallito”»

«”Il problema non è l’esercizio provvisorio, ma la manovra mostruosa che abbiamo davanti” e che ammonta ad almeno 23 miliardi. “Togliamoci dalla testa che trovare 23 miliardi sia facile»

«Un eventuale nuovo governo deve essere “di svolta, di legislatura” altrimenti “è meglio andare alle urne”»

«”Appartenenza leale all’Unione europea; pieno riconoscimento della democrazia rappresentativa, a partire dalla centralità del parlamento; sviluppo basto sulla sostenibilità ambientale; cambio nella gestione di flussi migratori, con pieno protagonismo dell’Europa; svolta delle ricette economiche e sociale, in chiave redistributiva, che apra una stagione di investimenti”»

* * * * * * *

Nella visione di Mr Zingaretti l’eventuale governo PD – M5S dovrebbe essere semplicemente l’opposto del precedente.

Si propone un Governo in piena sintonia con la componente liberal socialista, con tutte le sue conseguenze.

«Togliamoci dalla testa che trovare 23 miliardi sia facile»

Quello che potrebbe preannunciarsi, sarebbe quindi un Governo di austerità.

Queste le visioni di Mr Zingaretti e del Partito Democratico: il tempo dirà quanto sia possibile e sostenibile un eventuale accordo con il Movimento Cinque Stelle.


Ansa. 2019-08-21. Direzione del Pd, Zingaretti: ‘Pd unito, al Colle per verifica governo’

La Direzione del Pd ha approvato un ordine del giorno che ripercorre la relazione di Nicola Zingaretti dando il mandato a aprire una trattativa per verificare la possibilità di “un governo di svolta per la legislatura”, in “discontinuità” col precedente. Il documento è stato approvato per acclamazione all’unanimità.

Il governo giallo verde caduto ieri “è stato uno dei peggiori della storia della Repubblica, dopo 14 mesi è fallito”. “Per il Paese l’eredità di questo governo è drammatica”, ha detto Zingaretti nella relazione alla Direzione del Pd. 

“Il problema non è l’esercizio provvisorio, ma la manovra mostruosa che abbiamo davanti” e che ammonta ad almeno 23 miliardi. “Togliamoci dalla testa che trovare 23 miliardi sia facile – ha spiegato Zingaretti -, per questo la manovra è il primo punto del confronto”. 

“Non credo in un governo di transizione che porti al voto. Sarebbe rischioso per i Democratici e anche per il Paese. Ora tocca a noi muoverci e indicare una strada. Dentro il percorso di consultazione dobbiamo dare la disponibilità se c’è la possibilità di una nuova maggioranza parlamentare in grado di dare risposte serie ai problemi del Paese”.

Un eventuale nuovo governo deve essere “di svolta, di legislatura” altrimenti “è meglio andare alle urne”, ha detto Zingaretti. 

“Appartenenza leale all’Unione europea; pieno riconoscimento della democrazia rappresentativa, a partire dalla centralità del parlamento; sviluppo basto sulla sostenibilità ambientale; cambio nella gestione di flussi migratori,con pieno protagonismo dell’Europa; svolta delle ricette economiche e sociale, in chiave redistributiva, che apra una stagione di investimenti”: sono i cinque punti indicati da Zingaretti nella relazione alla Direzione del Pd per trattare sulla nascita di un nuovo governo.

“Sono molto contento e molto soddisfatto per il livello di unità e compattezza che abbiamo trovato nella direzione del partito che per la prima volta dopo moltissimi anni ha votato dandomi un mandato all’unanimità. Noi siamo pronti per riferire al presidente Mattarella la nostra piena disponibilità a verificare le condizioni di un governo di svolta utile al paese”, ha detto il segretario del Pd al termine della direzione del partito.

“Nessun accordicchio sottobanco ma alla luce del sole, la verifica per costruire un programma possibile, condiviso da un’ampia maggioranza parlamentare. Verificheremo alla luce del sole queste condizioni che, se non si realizzeranno, porteranno il Paese a elezioni anticipate”, ha detto il leader del Pd Nicola Zingaretti a fine direzione. E con l’aria soddisfatta, ha concluso: “Oggi si è fatto un importante passo in avanti, perché tutto il Pd unito si è ritrovato in questa posizione”.

“Non sarò al governo con il Movimento 5 Stelle. Posso votare la fiducia se ci sarà un’ipotesi di governo, posso dare una mano sui contenuti ma al governo con i Stelle anche no, grazie”. Parola di Maria Elena Boschi, deputata del Pd ed ex sottosegretario nel governo Renzi entrando al Nazareno per la direzione del partito. “Garantiamo un appoggio a un esecutivo se ha un programma chiaro, forte, che possiamo condividere per quello che ha detto anche il segretario Zingaretti – ha continuato – Ci vuole un impegno forte su contenuti. Certo, noi preferiamo un governo istituzionale. Se sarà di legislatura, vedremo”.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Ideologia liberal, Stati Uniti

Israele nega l’ingresso a due congressiste Usa.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-08-18.

2019-08-18__Israele__001

Il problema è alquanto semplice.

Dalla fine della guerra mondiale i membri del Congresso americano sono abituati a poter viaggiare liberamente in tutto il mondo, entrando anche nei paesi che avessero criticato aspramente, emettendone sentenze non solo politiche ma anche morali.

Erano anche abituati ad intrattenere stretti rapporti con i partiti o le fazioni che erano alla opposizione, anche se queste componenti fossero state francamente rivoluzionarie.

Questa costumanza trae origine solo nello sviluppo storico degli eventi, non avendo base alcuna nel diritto internazionale. Era semplicemente il power that be.

Adesso i tempi sembrerebbero essere cambiati.

«Israel is blocking two US Democratic lawmakers, who are prominent critics of the Israeli government, from visiting»

«Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib were due to visit the occupied West Bank and East Jerusalem next week»

«Both have supported the boycott movement against Israel, but Israeli law allows supporters of the campaign to be banned from visiting»

«Israeli law blocks entrance visas to any foreigner who calls for any type of boycott that targets Israel – either economic, cultural or academic. The law attempts to suppress the “boycott, divest, sanction” movement, which has drawn growing support across Europe and the US»

«They also planned to visit Israeli and Palestinian peace activists and travel to Jerusalem and the West Bank cities of Bethlehem, Ramallah and Hebron. The trip to the West Bank was planned by Miftah, an organisation headed by Palestinian peace negotiator Hanan Ashrawi.»

Si erano già registrati numerosi precedenti.

«The ban on two foreign dignitaries is rare but not unprecedented. Makarim Wibisono, a UN special rapporteur on human rights, was denied entry in 2015 after Israel said his mandate was anti-Israel.»

«Fouad Ahmad Assadi of Spain’s Socialist Party, was barred from entering Israel last month because he was deemed a threat to national security.»

«The Lebanese-born politician travelled there to participate in the annual Socialist International conference in Tel Aviv and Ramallah – but he was denied entry at Ben Gurion Airport.»

«However, no members of US Congress have been blocked before now. Israel often hosts congressional delegations. Earlier this month, 41 Democrats and 31 Republicans attended a visit sponsored by the AIPAC lobby group»

Se sicuramente l’aver ricevuto sul proprio territorio 41 congressisti democratici e 31 repubblicani sia un segno di non preclusione, aver negato l’ingresso a Mrs Ilhan Omar ed a Ms Rashida Tlaib suona come uno schiaffo scientemente voluto a due persone altamente indesiderate. Ma domandiamoci allora chi siano codeste fanciulle.

Se sicuramente il partito democratico sia libero di far eleggere nei collegi sicuri chiunque esso voglia, altrettanto sicuramente si dovrebbe ammettere che il dissenso con la linea politica governativa dovrebbe essere espressa in sede parlamentare, cosa giusta e lecita, non però al di fuori dei confini nazionali. Questo non sarebbe più un confronto politico, bensì un boicottaggio, cosa ben differente. L’intelligenza con il nemico è materia di codice penale.

«President Trump, who has a close relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, has frequently feuded with the lawmakers and in remarks widely condemned as racist, told them to “go back” to the countries that their families were from.»

«Ms Tlaib – the first member of the US Congress of Palestinian descent – was born in Michigan, and Ms Omar is from Minnesota but was born in Somalia.»

«After the Democratic-led House of Representatives voted against the boycott against Israel movement in July, Ms Tlaib criticised the country as “racist”.»

«”I can’t stand by and watch this attack on our freedom of speech and the right to boycott the racist policies of the government and the state of Israel,” she said»

«”It’s all about the Benjamins baby,” Ms Omar had tweeted in a reference to the US $100 note, leading to allegations that she was using a negative stereotype for Jews. . She later apologised, and said the tweet was meant to criticise lobbyists, not Jews. She also thanked “Jewish allies and colleagues who are educating me on the painful history of anti-Semitic tropes”.»

* * * * * * *

Il cuore del problema risiede tutto in una frase pronunciata da Mrs Omar.

«After the Democratic-led House of Representatives voted against the boycott against Israel movement in July, Ms Tlaib criticised the country as “racist”.»

Quando una persona ricopre il ruolo di congressista di una delle maggiori nazioni mondiali, ci si aspetterebbe che parlasse ed agisse con grande prudenza ed in accordo con il governo legalmente in carica.

Una cosa è esprimere dissenso anche alle decisioni prese in aula dal proprio partito, ed una totalmente differente passare a terminologie pesanti usando il termine di ‘razzista’

Una cosa è la libertà di parola ed una opposta è la facoltà di insultare e di intrattenere intelligenza con gli avversari.

Gran brutta bestia la superbia quando arriva alla vetta di ottundere le menti, che si ritengono essere depositarie di verità assolute e del diritto di impartire lezioni a chicchessia. Gran brutta bestia la superbia quando porta a cercare imporre la propria volontà quasi che questa fosse caratteristica divina.

Ci si candida a prendere terribili facciate contro la realtà: facciate dalle quali però il superbo nulla impara.


Bbc. 2019-08-16. Israel bars Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib from visiting

Israel is blocking two US Democratic lawmakers, who are prominent critics of the Israeli government, from visiting.

Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib were due to visit the occupied West Bank and East Jerusalem next week.

Both have supported the boycott movement against Israel, but Israeli law allows supporters of the campaign to be banned from visiting.

President Trump earlier tweeted it would show “great weakness” if the pair were allowed entry.

Ms Omar described Israel’s move as “an insult to democratic values and a chilling response to a visit by government officials from an allied nation”.

Mr Trump earlier had taken to Twitter to urge that the two lawmakers be blocked from visiting, adding that “they hate Israel & all Jewish people, & there is nothing that can be said or done to change their minds”.

Ms Omar and Ms Tlaib have both been criticised for their stance on Israel – but have denied charges of being anti-Semitic.

Speaking to reporters later on Thursday, Mr Trump said, “I can’t imagine why Israel would let them in.”

Why have they been banned?

Israeli law blocks entrance visas to any foreigner who calls for any type of boycott that targets Israel – either economic, cultural or academic.

The law attempts to suppress the “boycott, divest, sanction” movement, which has drawn growing support across Europe and the US.

Israeli officials had earlier said they would make an exception for the elected US officials, before backtracking.

According to US media, their trip was meant to begin on Sunday, and would include a stop at one of the most sensitive sites in the region – a hilltop plateau in Jerusalem known to Jews as the Temple Mount and Muslims as Haram al-Sharif.

They also planned to visit Israeli and Palestinian peace activists and travel to Jerusalem and the West Bank cities of Bethlehem, Ramallah and Hebron.

The trip to the West Bank was planned by Miftah, an organisation headed by Palestinian peace negotiator Hanan Ashrawi.

Ms Tlaib was planning to stay for two extra days to visit her grandmother, who lives in a Palestinian village.

Who are they?

President Trump, who has a close relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, has frequently feuded with the lawmakers and in remarks widely condemned as racist, told them to “go back” to the countries that their families were from.

Ms Tlaib – the first member of the US Congress of Palestinian descent – was born in Michigan, and Ms Omar is from Minnesota but was born in Somalia.

After the Democratic-led House of Representatives voted against the boycott against Israel movement in July, Ms Tlaib criticised the country as “racist”.

“I can’t stand by and watch this attack on our freedom of speech and the right to boycott the racist policies of the government and the state of Israel,” she said.

The House also voted to condemn hate speech in a move directed at Ms Omar for her criticism of US support for Israel.

Who is Minnesota’s Somalia-born congresswoman?

Who are the congresswomen known as ‘the squad’?

“It’s all about the Benjamins baby,” Ms Omar had tweeted in a reference to the US $100 note, leading to allegations that she was using a negative stereotype for Jews.

She later apologised, and said the tweet was meant to criticise lobbyists, not Jews. She also thanked “Jewish allies and colleagues who are educating me on the painful history of anti-Semitic tropes”.

What has Israel said?

A statement from the Israeli interior ministry confirming the ban said it was “inconceivable that those who wish to harm the state of Israel while visiting would be granted entry”.

But only last month Israeli Ambassador Ron Dermer said the two Democrats would be permitted to visit “out of respect for the US Congress and the great alliance between Israel and America”.

In a statement on Thursday, Mr Netanyahu said “there is no country in the world that respects the US and the American Congress more than Israel.”

“However, the itinerary showed that the congresswomen’s sole intention was to harm Israel.”

What’s the reaction?

The US ambassador to Israel said in a statement that the US “supports and respects the decision of the Government of Israel to deny entry”.

Israel “has every right to protect its borders against those activists in the same manner as it would bar entrants with more conventional weapons,” wrote Ambassador David Friedman.

The American Israel Public Affairs Committee (Aipac), said in a tweet while they disagree with the lawmakers’ support for the boycott movement against Israel, they also believe “every member of Congress should be able to visit and experience our democratic ally Israel firsthand”.

It was a sentiment echoed by Republican Florida Senator Marco Rubio, who said that while he disagreed with the women, “denying them entry into Israel is a mistake. Being blocked is what they really hoped for all along in order to bolster their attacks against the Jewish state.”

The strategy behind Trump’s condemnation of Ilhan Omar

New Jersey Democrat Congressman Tom Malinowski called the decision “disrespectful to Congress” and said during a cross-party congressional trip to Israel last week officials had assured them their colleagues would be allowed to visit.

“First he tells Congresswoman Tlaib to ‘go back’ to ‘her’ country, and then he tells that country not to let her in,” he tweeted, referring to Mr Trump’s comments.

Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, a California Democrat, said “this sad reversal is deeply disappointing”.

She called Israel’s denial “a sign of weakness” and said President Trump’s comments “a sign of ignorance and disrespect”.

Has this happened before?

The ban on two foreign dignitaries is rare but not unprecedented. Makarim Wibisono, a UN special rapporteur on human rights, was denied entry in 2015 after Israel said his mandate was anti-Israel.

Fouad Ahmad Assadi of Spain’s Socialist Party, was barred from entering Israel last month because he was deemed a threat to national security.

The Lebanese-born politician travelled there to participate in the annual Socialist International conference in Tel Aviv and Ramallah – but he was denied entry at Ben Gurion Airport.

However, no members of US Congress have been blocked before now. Israel often hosts congressional delegations. Earlier this month, 41 Democrats and 31 Republicans attended a visit sponsored by the AIPAC lobby group.

——-

Analysis by Anthony Zurcher

Written in every US passport is a message to “all whom it may concern” that the bearer of the document be allowed to pass “without delay or hindrance”. In the case of Congresswomen Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar, however, hindrance is exactly what Donald Trump wanted.

An American president urging another nation to deny entry to US citizens, let alone members of Congress, is unusual in the extreme. Viewed in the context of Mr Trump’s ongoing feud with these congresswomen, however, it makes perfect sense. The lines between foreign and domestic policy, between the public actions and personal grievances, have always been blurry with this president.

At the very least, by tweeting before Israel acted, the president boosted his power at the expense of the Israelis, who were left seeming as though they bent to his will.

There’s also plenty of reason for members of Congress to be uncomfortable with the president’s actions. While the White House insists Mr Trump was not encouraging a foreign nation to punish American politicians for their political viewpoints, there is concern that this could limit the access of future congressional delegations to nations they have criticised in the past.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Ideologia liberal, Senza categoria, Unione Europea

Polonia. Elezioni Novembre. Sondaggi. PiS a 272 seggi. Maggioranza assoluta.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-08-13.

2019-07-22__Polonia_001_Percentuali__001

Nel novembre di questo anno la Polonia tornerà alle urne per le elezioni politiche.

Il clima è teso per molteplici motivi.

L’attuale dirigenza dell’Unione Europea odia la Polonia di odio viscerale, perché non si è sottomessa all’ideologia liberal socialista, ha un forte governo identitario sovranista, è paese di spicco nel blocco del Visegrad, ed infine è stato causa efficiente delle debacle di Herr Weber e di Herr Timmermans. Si è ribellata inoltre all’asse francogermanico, avvicinandosi in modo anche plateale agli Stati Uniti ed alla Nato, di cui ospita sul suo territorio armamenti atomici avanzati.

I liberal socialisti europei hanno scatenato da tempo un’intensa battaglia ideologica e politica in Polonia, volta a sottominare le sue radici cristiane, storiche, sociali ed economiche, imponendo, grazie anche ai molti complici stipendiati, una intensa propaganda pro lgbt, e di esecrazione per la riforma della giustizia, che in buona sostanza mette i residui giudici comunisti fuori ruolo. Poi, per ironia del destino, la riforma giudiziaria polacca è la fotocopia del sistema giudiziario tedesco.

I risultati delle recenti elezioni mettono bene in luce l’entità dello scontro e delle forze dispiegate.

Rispetto alle passate elezioni politiche del 25 ottobre 2015, il PiS salirebbe dal 37.6% agli attuali 42.0%. Questa percentuale sarebbe in linea con il 45.4% ottenuto nelle elezioni europee ultime scorse e decisamente migliore del 34.1% ottenuto nelle elezioni amministrative, ove il fattore locale e dei candidati giocava un ruolo pesante. La propaganda ed il denaro dei liberal svolsero un ampio ruolo.

Il diretto avversario del PiS è Piattaforma Civica, PO.

«Civic Platform is a liberal-conservative political party in Poland. Civic Platform came to power following the 2007 general election as the major coalition partner in Poland’s government, with party leader Donald Tusk as Prime Minister of Poland. Tusk was re-elected as Prime Minister in the 2011 general election but stepped down three years later to assume the post of President of the European Council. Prime Minister Ewa Kopacz led the party in the 2015 general election but was defeated by the Law and Justice party. On 16 November 2015 Civic Platform government stepped down after exactly 8 years in power. In 2010 Civic Platform candidate Bronisław Komorowski was elected as President of Poland, but failed in running for re-election in 2015. PO is the second largest party in the Sejm, with 138 seats, and the Senate, with 33 seats. Civic Platform is a member of the European People’s Party (EPP).»

Questa formazione è stimata essere al 27%, contro il 24.1% ottenuto nelle elezioni del 2015. Nelle elezioni amministrative, il PO era arrivato ad ottenere il 38.5% dei suffragi, conquistando così anche molti grandi centri, ma senza sfondare nelle zone rurali. Sono questi sindaci comunisti a permettere le dimostrazioni liberal.

Ma i dati sulle percentuali non tengono conto della resa finale, in base alla legge elettorale.

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Ragionando in termini di seggi conquistati, il PiS è proiettato ai 272 seggi, contro i 235 ottenuti nel 2015. Sarebbe una ben solida maggioranza assoluta.

Piattaforma Civica ne conquisterebbe 160, contro i pregressi 138: un avanzamento, sicuramente, ma non di entità tale da scalzare il PiS dalla maggioranza assoluta.

Di qui a novembre possono accadere molti avvenimenti, ma al momento attuale la situazione sembrerebbe essere saldamente in mano del PiS.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale, Ideologia liberal, Stati Uniti

Trump. Crollano le richieste dei sussidi di disoccupazione.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-08-08.

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Se non fosse cosa seria, sarebbe una farsa.

Da lunga pezza la quasi totalità delle rubriche economiche televisive è condotta da giornaliste. Più che di parità di gender si dovrebbe parlare di usbergo delle femmine. Talune sono state in passato anche belloccie.

Ma per disgrazia loro e degli utenti televisivi parlano, e lo fanno con il piglio di chi abbia la scienza infusa.

Adesso hanno capito anche il perché il mercato del lavoro americano stia tirando così bene.

Nonostante la immane iattura di avere per presidente – not my president – Mr Trump, del quale non si dice mai male a sufficienza, grazie alla strenua volontà di resistenza dei liberal democratici, l’economia sta andando più che bene. È grazie alle ferme prese di posizione a difesa dell’aborto, lgbt, etc, che i repubblicani sono quasi completamente scomparsi dai suburbi delle grandi metropoli, con grande sollievo dell’economia. Ma è stata la lotta alla disponibilità delle armi da fuoco a decretare la scomparsa politica di Mr Trump. Sarebbe moribondo.

Ad un Mr Trump calante corrisponderebbe sequenzialmente un’economia in ascesa.

* * *

Questa è l’ultima teoria economica dei liberal, e le speakers di Bloomberg la declinano in tutte le salse. Lo dicono come se spiegassero la teoria dei gravi.

Si faccia presto ad assimilarla, perché domani potrebbero aver cambiato idea.

«femmina è bello se lavora nella dirigenza avversaria», diceva malignamente Mr Putin.

* * *

Riportiamo quindi l’articolo di Reuters, non certo fan di Mr Trump, che sembrerebbe essere almeno decente nel riportare la notizia.

«U.S. weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fall»

«The number of Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting the labor market remains strong even as the economy is slowing.»

«Concerns over the impact of the bitter trade war between Washington and Beijing on the U.S. economic expansion, the longest on record, prompted the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates last week for the first time since 2008»

«With tensions between the two economic giants escalating in recent days and recession risks rising, financial markets have fully priced in another rate cut next month»

«Expectations for a 50-basis-point cut at the Fed’s Sept. 17-18 policy meeting have also risen»

«While hiring has slowed, the pace of job gains remains well above the roughly 100,000 needed per month to keep up with growth in the working-age population»

«Nonfarm payrolls increased by 164,000 jobs in July, down from 193,000 in June. Job growth over the last three months averaged 140,000 per month, the lowest in nearly two years, compared to 223,000 in 2018. The moderation in employment growth partly reflects a shortage of workers»

«The economy grew at a 2.1% annualized rate in the second quarter, slowing from the first quarter’s brisk 3.1% pace. Growth is seen below a 2.0% rate in the July-September quarter.»

* * * * * * *

Per un evidente refuso, è scappata anche una frase audace:

«The moderation in employment growth partly reflects a shortage of workers»

Quando una nazione è in regime di massima occupazione, più di tanto gli occupati non possono aumentare.


Reuters. 2019-08-08. U.S. weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fall

The number of Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting the labor market remains strong even as the economy is slowing.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits declined 8,000 to a seasonally adjusted 209,000 for the week ended Aug. 3, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Data for the prior week was revised to show 2,000 more applications received than previously reported.

Last week’s drop in claims pushed them to the lower end of their 193,000-244,000 range for this year. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims would be unchanged at 215,000 in the latest week. The Labor Department said only claims for Idaho were estimated last week.

The four-week moving average of initial claims, considered a better measure of labor market trends as it irons out week-to-week volatility, edged up 250 to 212,250 last week.

U.S. stock index futures held gains after the release of the data. Prices of U.S. Treasuries dipped while the dollar (DXY) was trading slightly higher.

Claims will be watched over the coming weeks for signs that deteriorating trade relations between the United States and China, which have dimmed the economy’s outlook and roiled financial markets, were spilling over to the labor market.

Concerns over the impact of the bitter trade war between Washington and Beijing on the U.S. economic expansion, the longest on record, prompted the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates last week for the first time since 2008.

With tensions between the two economic giants escalating in recent days and recession risks rising, financial markets have fully priced in another rate cut next month. Expectations for a 50-basis-point cut at the Fed’s Sept. 17-18 policy meeting have also risen.

While hiring has slowed, the pace of job gains remains well above the roughly 100,000 needed per month to keep up with growth in the working-age population.

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 164,000 jobs in July, down from 193,000 in June. Job growth over the last three months averaged 140,000 per month, the lowest in nearly two years, compared to 223,000 in 2018. The moderation in employment growth partly reflects a shortage of workers.

The economy grew at a 2.1% annualized rate in the second quarter, slowing from the first quarter’s brisk 3.1% pace. Growth is seen below a 2.0% rate in the July-September quarter.

Thursday’s claims report also showed the number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid dropped 15,000 to 1.68 million for the week ended July 27. The four-week moving average of the so-called continuing claims fell 11,000 to 1.69 million.