Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Materie Prime, Russia

Nord Stream 1. Continua la polemica sulle turbine. Flusso al 20%. Per ora.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-07-31.

Ulisse ed i proci. 001__

Continua la polemica sulle turbine la riparazione delle quali sarebbe essenziale per rimettere in funzione pienamente il Nord Stream 1, che a tutto oggi eroga gas al 20% della propria capacità. Questa situazione obbliga il blocco europeo a prelevare gas dalle scorte, depauperandole.

Ma le scorte non sono infinite, e dovrebbero essere azzerate entro l’inizio di questo autunno, giusto sulla soglia dell’inverno. Quello potrebbe essere il momento critico di blocco delle erogazioni del gas.

Non ci si illuda che i russi abbiano scarsa memoria.

* * * * * * *

La consegna di una turbina a gas del Nord Stream 1 in Germania dal Canada dopo la manutenzione non era in linea con il contratto.

I commenti hanno segnato l’inasprimento di una controversia in cui la Russia ha citato i problemi delle turbine come motivo per ridurre la fornitura di gas attraverso il Nord Stream 1 – il suo principale collegamento di gas con l’Europa – ad appena il 20%.

La Russia si era ripetutamente lamentata con Siemens Energy per i problemi con altre turbine ….. Siemens ha risolto non più di un quarto dei bug identificati.

L’Unione Europea contesta la tesi della Russia e di Gazprom secondo cui i problemi alle turbine sarebbero da imputare al forte calo delle forniture attraverso il gasdotto che collega la Russia alla Germania sotto il Mar Baltico …. L’Unione europea ha accusato la Russia di ricatto energetico, cosa che il Cremlino nega.

La turbina che era stata revisionata in Canada non era ancora tornata in Russia …. Gazprom deve inviare per la riparazione anche altre turbine della stazione di compressione di Portovaya.

* * * * * * *

«Delivery of a Nord Stream 1 gas turbine to Germany from Canada after maintenance was not in line with the contract»

«The comments signalled a deepening of a row in which Russia has cited turbine problems as its reason for cutting gas supply via Nord Stream 1 – its main gas link to Europe – to just 20%»

«Russia had complained repeatedly to Siemens Energy about problems with other turbines …. Siemens fixed no more than a quarter of the identified bugs»

«The European Union disputes Russia’s and Gazprom’s argument that turbine problems are to blame for the sharp drop in supply through the pipeline that links Russia to Germany under the Baltic Sea …. European Union has accused Russia of energy blackmail, something the Kremlin denies»

«The turbine that had been serviced in Canada had still not arrived back in Russia …. Gazprom also needs to send for repair other turbines from the Portovaya compressor station»

* * * * * * *


Nord Stream gas row deepens as Gazprom airs new complaints on turbine

Moscow, July 29 (Reuters) – Delivery of a Nord Stream 1 gas turbine to Germany from Canada after maintenance was not in line with the contract, Gazprom’s senior manager said on Friday, stepping up criticism of manufacturer Siemens Energy.

The comments signalled a deepening of a row in which Russia has cited turbine problems as its reason for cutting gas supply via Nord Stream 1 – its main gas link to Europe – to just 20% of capacity from Wednesday.

Vitaly Markelov, Gazprom’s deputy chief executive, also said Russia had complained repeatedly to Siemens Energy about problems with other turbines.

“We have repeatedly applied to the Russian representative office of Siemens about this, sent 10 letters. Siemens fixed no more than a quarter of the identified bugs,” he said in a TV interview.

He cited the serial numbers of three other engines that needed repair by Siemens because of faults in May and June that had put them in a state of forced downtime.

Siemens Energy declined to respond to Markelov’s comments. The company referred to a previous statement made on Wednesday in which it said it had no access to the turbines on site and had not received any damage reports from Gazprom and so had to assume the turbines were operating normally.

The European Union disputes Russia’s and Gazprom’s argument that turbine problems are to blame for the sharp drop in supply through the pipeline that links Russia to Germany under the Baltic Sea. The shortfall has raised the risk of shortages and gas rationing in Europe this winter.

Siemens Energy has previously countered Gazprom’s criticism over its service by saying it is up to the Russian company to file customs documents for the turbine’s return.

With both sides trading economic blows since Russia sent its troops into Ukraine on Feb. 24, the European Union has accused Russia of energy blackmail, something the Kremlin denies.

Markelov said the turbine that had been serviced in Canada had still not arrived back in Russia.

“It was sent to Germany, not to Russia, without Gazprom’s consent,” he said, adding that this created sanctions risks.

Gazprom also needs to send for repair other turbines from the Portovaya compressor station. “There is no clarity that the maintenance of the gas turbine engines will not fall under the sanctions,” Markelov said.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Geopolitica America del Nord, Stati Uniti

Usa. Fondato un terzo partito nazionale. Si chiama Forward.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-07-31.

Stati Uniti 001

«third party presidential candidates like John Anderson in 1980 and Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996 flamed out»

«candidati presidenziali del terzo partito come John Anderson nel 1980 e Ross Perot nel 1992 e nel 1996 hanno fallito»

* * *

«Green Party’s Ralph Nader siphoned off enough votes from Democratic presidential candidate Al Gore in 2000 to help Republican George W. Bush win the White House»

«nel 2000 Ralph Nader del Partito Verde ha sottratto abbastanza voti al candidato democratico alle presidenziali Al Gore per aiutare il repubblicano George W. Bush a vincere la Casa Bianca»

* * * * * * *

Decine di ex funzionari repubblicani e democratici hanno annunciato mercoledì un nuovo terzo partito politico nazionale che si rivolge a milioni di elettori, a loro dire, sconcertati da quello che considerano il disfunzionale sistema bipartitico americano.

Il nuovo partito, chiamato Forward e la cui creazione è stata riportata per la prima volta da Reuters, sarà inizialmente co-presieduto dall’ex candidato democratico alla presidenza Andrew Yang e da Christine Todd Whitman, l’ex governatore repubblicano del New Jersey. Sperano che il partito diventi una valida alternativa ai partiti repubblicano e democratico che dominano la politica statunitense.

Il 24 settembre a Houston si terrà il lancio ufficiale e l’estate prossima si terrà la prima convention nazionale del partito in una grande città degli Stati Uniti. La fusione coinvolge il Renew America Movement, formato nel 2021 da decine di ex funzionari delle amministrazioni repubblicane di Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, George W. Bush e Donald Trump; il Forward Party, fondato da Yang, che ha lasciato il Partito Democratico nel 2021 ed è diventato indipendente; e il Serve America Movement, un gruppo di democratici, repubblicani e indipendenti il cui direttore esecutivo è l’ex deputato repubblicano David Jolly.

Occasionalmente possono avere un impatto sulle elezioni presidenziali. Secondo gli analisti, nel 2000 Ralph Nader del Partito Verde ha sottratto abbastanza voti al candidato democratico alle presidenziali Al Gore per aiutare il repubblicano George W. Bush a vincere la Casa Bianca. Molti democratici sulla piattaforma di social media hanno espresso il timore che il nuovo partito sottragga più voti ai democratici che ai repubblicani, finendo per aiutare i repubblicani in gare ravvicinate.

Taylor ha riconosciuto che i terzi partiti hanno fallito in passato, ma ha detto: I fondamenti sono cambiati. Quando altri movimenti di terzo partito sono emersi in passato, è stato in gran parte all’interno di un sistema in cui il popolo americano non chiedeva un’alternativa. Rothenberg ha sottolineato che candidati presidenziali del terzo partito come John Anderson nel 1980 e Ross Perot nel 1992 e nel 1996 sono falliti, non riuscendo a costruire un vero terzo partito che diventasse un fattore nella politica nazionale.

* * * * * * *

«Dozens of former Republican and Democratic officials announced on Wednesday a new national political third party to appeal to millions of voters they say are dismayed with what they see as America’s dysfunctional two-party system»

«The new party, called Forward and whose creation was first reported by Reuters, will initially be co-chaired by former Democratic presidential candidate Andrew Yang and Christine Todd Whitman, the former Republican governor of New Jersey»

«They hope the party will become a viable alternative to the Republican and Democratic parties that dominate U.S. politics»

«They will host an official launch in Houston on Sept. 24 and the party’s first national convention in a major U.S. city next summer»

«The merger involves the Renew America Movement, formed in 2021 by dozens of former officials in the Republican administrations of Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, George W. Bush and Donald Trump; the Forward Party, founded by Yang, who left the Democratic Party in 2021 and became an independent; and the Serve America Movement, a group of Democrats, Republicans and independents whose executive director is former Republican congressman David Jolly»

«Occasionally they can impact a presidential election. Analysts say the Green Party’s Ralph Nader siphoned off enough votes from Democratic presidential candidate Al Gore in 2000 to help Republican George W. Bush win the White House»

«Many Democrats on the social media platform expressed fear that the new party will siphon more votes away from Democrats, rather than Republicans, and end up helping Republicans in close races»

«Taylor acknowledged that third parties had failed in the past, but said: “The fundamentals have changed. When other third party movements have emerged in the past it’s largely been inside a system where the American people aren’t asking for an alternative»

«Rothenberg pointed out that third party presidential candidates like John Anderson in 1980 and Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996 flamed out, failing to build a true third party that became a factor in national politics»

* * * * * * *


Former Republicans and Democrats form new third U.S. political party

Los Angeles, July 27 (Reuters) – Dozens of former Republican and Democratic officials announced on Wednesday a new national political third party to appeal to millions of voters they say are dismayed with what they see as America’s dysfunctional two-party system.

The new party, called Forward and whose creation was first reported by Reuters, will initially be co-chaired by former Democratic presidential candidate Andrew Yang and Christine Todd Whitman, the former Republican governor of New Jersey. They hope the party will become a viable alternative to the Republican and Democratic parties that dominate U.S. politics, founding members told Reuters.

Party leaders will hold a series of events in two dozen cities this autumn to roll out its platform and attract support. They will host an official launch in Houston on Sept. 24 and the party’s first national convention in a major U.S. city next summer.

The new party is being formed by a merger of three political groups that have emerged in recent years as a reaction to America’s increasingly polarized and gridlocked political system. The leaders cited a Gallup poll last year showing a record two-thirds of Americans believe a third party is needed.

The merger involves the Renew America Movement, formed in 2021 by dozens of former officials in the Republican administrations of Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, George W. Bush and Donald Trump; the Forward Party, founded by Yang, who left the Democratic Party in 2021 and became an independent; and the Serve America Movement, a group of Democrats, Republicans and independents whose executive director is former Republican congressman David Jolly.

Two pillars of the new party’s platform are to “reinvigorate a fair, flourishing economy” and to “give Americans more choices in elections, more confidence in a government that works, and more say in our future.”

The party, which is centrist, has no specific policies yet. It will say at its Thursday launch: “How will we solve the big issues facing America? Not Left. Not Right. Forward.”

Historically, third parties have failed to thrive in America’s two-party system. Occasionally they can impact a presidential election. Analysts say the Green Party’s Ralph Nader siphoned off enough votes from Democratic presidential candidate Al Gore in 2000 to help Republican George W. Bush win the White House.

It is unclear how the new Forward party might impact either party’s electoral prospects in such a deeply polarized country. Political analysts are skeptical it can succeed.

Public reaction on Twitter was swift. Many Democrats on the social media platform expressed fear that the new party will siphon more votes away from Democrats, rather than Republicans, and end up helping Republicans in close races.

Forward aims to gain party registration and ballot access in 30 states by the end of 2023 and in all 50 states by late 2024, in time for the 2024 presidential and congressional elections. It aims to field candidates for local races, such as school boards and city councils, in state houses, the U.S. Congress and all the way up to the presidency.

                         `THE FUNDAMENTALS HAVE CHANGED`

In an interview, Yang said the party will start with a budget of about $5 million. It has donors lined up and a grassroots membership between the three merged groups numbering in the hundreds of thousands.

“We are starting in a very strong financial position. Financial support will not be a problem,” Yang said.

Another person involved in the creation of Forward, Miles Taylor – a former Homeland Security official in the Trump administration – said the idea was to give voters “a viable, credible national third party.”

Taylor acknowledged that third parties had failed in the past, but said: “The fundamentals have changed. When other third party movements have emerged in the past it’s largely been inside a system where the American people aren’t asking for an alternative. The difference here is we are seeing an historic number of Americans saying they want one.”

Stu Rothenberg, a veteran non-partisan political analyst, said it was easy to talk about establishing a third party but almost impossible to do so.

“The two major political parties start out with huge advantages, including 50 state parties built over decades,” he said.

Rothenberg pointed out that third party presidential candidates like John Anderson in 1980 and Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996 flamed out, failing to build a true third party that became a factor in national politics.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Materie Prime, Problemia Energetici

Italia. Primo trimestre 2022. Importati 18,698 milioni metri cubi contro i 17,277 del 2021.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-07-30.

2022-07-27__ Italia Gas Primo Trimestre 2022

Nel mese di marzo la domanda è cresciuta del 4,1% sullo stesso mese del 2021.

Le scorte sono scese invece di -6,765 mmc, con un decremento del -4.21% anno su anno.

* * * * * * *


Consumi gas in Italia nel primo trimestre 2022: cala l’import dalla Russia

Tra gennaio e marzo la domanda di metano cresce dell’1,2%. Scende l’importazione del gas russo del 19,7%, con 1,4 mld di mc in meno, sopperita dall’aumento nell’utilizzo delle scorte, dal Tap, dall’import del Nord Europa e un po’ dal Gnl.

I primi tre mesi del 2022 sono stati importanti per la questione gas a causa del rincaro dei prezzi della seconda metà del 2021 e per l’invasione dell’Ucraina dal 24 febbraio.

Vediamo allora come sono andati i consumi di metano nel nostro paese secondo i dati forniti dal MiSE-DGSAIE.

Nel mese di marzo la domanda è cresciuta del 4,1% sullo stesso mese del 2021, con quasi 8 miliardi di mc consumati, di cui 6,7 circa importati. Dalla Russia sono arrivati 2,3 mld mc, così come nel marzo 2021 (mentre a febbraio si registrava una diminuzione del 18,7% dell’import da Mosca). Scarsa anche a marzo la produzione nazionale (appena 280 milioni di mc), ma con un export piuttosto elevato rispetto al normale e una crescita significativa nell’utilizzo delle scorte.

Le importazioni di gas naturale nel primo trimestre 2022 crescono dell’8,2% sul periodo gennaio-marzo 2021, circa 1,4 mld mc in più.

Nel complesso del periodo gennaio-marzo 2022 le importazioni dalla Russia calano del 19,7%, all’incirca della stessa quantità dell’import totale di gas estero (-1,36 mld mc), a fronte di un aumento della domanda dell’1,2%.

Diventa primo fornitore di questo inizio anno, sebbene di poco, l’Algeria (5,6 mld di mc) che copre il 30,1% dell’import, peraltro più che raddoppiato rispetto al primo trimestre del 2020, mentre la Russia scende al 29,6%.

Risale fortemente la fornitura dal Nord Europa (+249%), da dove sono arrivati nel primo trimestre 1,3 mld mc di gas in più rispetto allo stesso periodo 2021.

In diminuzione del 44% l’import dalla Libia da cui è arrivato in tre mesi solo mezzo miliardo di metri cubi.

Dal gasdotto che arriva in Puglia, il Tap, sono arrivati 2,3 mld di mc di metano provenienti dai giacimenti dell’Azerbaijan; nel primo trimestre questo gas ha rappresentato il 12,3% dell’import del periodo (era il 5,5% lo scorso anno) e il 9,1% della richiesta del paese. La capacità di trasporto del Tap è di 10 miliardi di metri cubi ogni anno.

Nel complesso si registra un incremento del gas importato dai terminal GNL: si tratta però di soli 767 milioni di mc in più rispetto allo stesso periodo del 2021; nel complesso i circa 3 mld di mc di gas liquefatto costituiscono l’11,8% della domanda nazionale del trimestre.

La produzione nazionale scende ancora: -12,1% sul 2021. Nel primo trimestre rappresenterebbe appena il 3,2% della domanda nazionale.

Secondo fonte Snam il flusso di gas dalla Russia nel mese di aprile in entrata al punto di Tarvisio è stato regolare, probabilmente solo in leggero calo rispetto allo scorso anno, quando si era attestato nel mese intorno a 2,6 mld di mc.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Giustizia, Persona Umana, Stati Uniti

Florida e Mississippi. Prosegue la battaglia legale sull’aborto. Tanto alla fine c’è la Suprema Corte.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-07-30.

Sipreme Court Stemma 001

Ricordiamo come l’aborto sia tema politico tra i liberal democratici che lo sostengono ed i repubblicani che lo avversano.

Eppure, solo il 5% della popolazione ha a cuore codesto problema, ben più preoccupati di una inflazione a due cifre e degli interventi della Fed, prossima a rialzare nuovamente i tassi di interesse. Tanto, midterm si avvicina.

* * * * * * *

Il divieto di abortire oltre le 15 settimane di gravidanza in Florida è ora in vigore dopo che un’ordinanza del tribunale che ne bloccava l’applicazione è stata sospesa martedì, e un giudice del Mississippi ha rifiutato di impedire l’attuazione di un divieto quasi totale nel corso della settimana. I due sviluppi hanno segnato le ultime battute d’arresto per i sostenitori dei diritti all’aborto dopo che la Corte Suprema degli Stati Uniti, quasi due settimane fa, ha rovesciato la sentenza Roe contro Wade del 1973.

In Florida, poco dopo che il giudice John Cooper ha finalizzato l’atteso ordine di bloccare l’applicazione del divieto di 15 settimane, entrato in vigore venerdì, lo Stato a guida repubblicana ha prontamente presentato ricorso, facendo scattare il congelamento automatico dell’ingiunzione. Ore dopo, il giudice Debbra Halford di Jackson, Mississippi, ha negato la richiesta dell’unica clinica abortista dello Stato di impedire ai funzionari di applicare il divieto quasi totale di aborto che entrerà in vigore giovedì.

Il Mississippi è uno dei 13 Stati che hanno leggi grilletto progettate per vietare o limitare gli aborti una volta che la Corte Suprema avrà rovesciato la sentenza Roe v. Wade, come ha fatto il 24 giugno in un caso che ha confermato un’altra legge del Mississippi che vieta gli aborti dopo 15 settimane di gravidanza.

La decisione della Corte Suprema degli Stati Uniti, a maggioranza conservatrice, ha dato agli Stati il permesso di vietare l’aborto e quasi due dozzine di Stati a guida repubblicana stanno cercando di farlo, o lo hanno già fatto.

La decisione ha scatenato un’ondata di cause legali da parte di cliniche in vari Stati, volte a preservare la capacità delle donne di ottenere l’aborto sulla base delle protezioni delle costituzioni statali piuttosto che di quelle federali, nonché proteste a livello nazionale.

Mentre i giudici di Kentucky, Louisiana e Utah hanno temporaneamente bloccato l’entrata in vigore dei divieti, l’alta corte statale del Texas venerdì ha permesso l’applicazione civile di un divieto precedente alla legge Roe e la corte suprema dell’Ohio ha rifiutato di bloccare un divieto di sei settimane.

* * * * * * *

«Florida’s ban on abortions past 15 weeks of pregnancy is now in effect after a court order blocking its enforcement was put on hold on Tuesday, and a Mississippi judge declined to prevent a near-total ban from being implemented later this week»

«The dual developments marked the latest legal setbacks for abortion rights supporters after the U.S. Supreme Court nearly two weeks ago overturned the 1973 Roe v. Wade»

«In Florida, soon after Circuit Court Judge John Cooper finalized an expected order blocking enforcement of a 15-week ban that took effect on Friday, the Republican-led state promptly appealed, triggering an automatic freeze of his injunction»

«Hours later, Judge Debbra Halford in Jackson, Mississippi denied a request by the state’s only abortion clinic to prevent officials from carrying out a near-total ban on abortion that is set to take effect on Thursday»

«Mississippi is one of 13 states with “trigger” laws designed to ban or restrict abortions once the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, as it did June 24 in a case upholding a different Mississippi law barring abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy»

«The conservative majority U.S. Supreme Court’s decision gave states permission to ban abortion and nearly two dozen Republican-led states are now trying to do so, or have done so already»

«The decision has ignited a wave of litigation by clinics in various states aimed at preserving the ability of women to obtain abortions based on protections in state rather than federal constitutions, as well as nationwide protests»

«While judges in Kentucky, Louisiana and Utah have temporarily blocked bans from taking effect, the state high court in Texas on Friday allowed a pre-Roe ban to be civilly enforced and Ohio’s top court declined to block a six-week ban»

* * * * * * *


Abortion bans in Florida, Mississippi allowed to take effect

July 5 (Reuters) – Florida’s ban on abortions past 15 weeks of pregnancy is now in effect after a court order blocking its enforcement was put on hold on Tuesday, and a Mississippi judge declined to prevent a near-total ban from being implemented later this week.

The dual developments marked the latest legal setbacks for abortion rights supporters after the U.S. Supreme Court nearly two weeks ago overturned the 1973 Roe v. Wade ruling that guaranteed women nationally the right to terminate pregnancies.

In Florida, soon after Circuit Court Judge John Cooper finalized an expected order blocking enforcement of a 15-week ban that took effect on Friday, the Republican-led state promptly appealed, triggering an automatic freeze of his injunction.

Hours later, Judge Debbra Halford in Jackson, Mississippi denied a request by the state’s only abortion clinic to prevent officials from carrying out a near-total ban on abortion that is set to take effect on Thursday.

The clinic, Jackson Women’s Health Organization, in challenging the law and a separate six-week ban, cited a 1998 ruling by the Mississippi Supreme Court holding that the right to privacy under the state’s constitution included a right to abortion.

But Halford said it was “more than doubtful” the state’s high court would continue to uphold that decision as it rested on the U.S. Supreme Court’s own past rulings including Roe v. Wade.

Rob McDuff, a lawyer for the Mississippi clinic, called the ruling disappointing and said they were considering their options.

Mississippi is one of 13 states with “trigger” laws designed to ban or restrict abortions once the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, as it did June 24 in a case upholding a different Mississippi law barring abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy.

Appeals in both cases are expected, with lawyers for the abortion providers in Florida at the ACLU and Center for Reproductive Rights already vowing to seek reinstatement of the injunction and to get the 15-week ban “blocked for good.”

Florida has long been a destination for women across the Southeast seeking to end pregnancies in their second trimester as neighboring states have strict abortion limits. Previously, Florida permitted abortion up to 24 weeks.

The conservative majority U.S. Supreme Court’s decision gave states permission to ban abortion and nearly two dozen Republican-led states are now trying to do so, or have done so already.

The decision has ignited a wave of litigation by clinics in various states aimed at preserving the ability of women to obtain abortions based on protections in state rather than federal constitutions, as well as nationwide protests.

While judges in Kentucky, Louisiana and Utah have temporarily blocked bans from taking effect, the state high court in Texas on Friday allowed a pre-Roe ban to be civilly enforced and Ohio’s top court declined to block a six-week ban.

Pubblicato in: Cina, Stati Uniti

Xi e Biden. Un inconcludente contatto telefonico.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-07-29.

2022-07-14__ Bden 001

Il presidente degli Stati Uniti Joe Biden e il presidente cinese Xi Jinping si sono sentiti giovedì per la quinta volta come leader e Xi ha messo in guardia dal “giocare con il fuoco” su Taiwan, mentre crescevano le preoccupazioni per una possibile visita del presidente della Camera degli Stati Uniti Nancy Pelosi sull’isola rivendicata dalla Cina.

I media statali cinesi hanno dichiarato che Xi ha detto a Biden che gli Stati Uniti dovrebbero attenersi al “principio di una sola Cina” e ha sottolineato che la Cina si oppone fermamente all’indipendenza di Taiwan e all’interferenza di forze esterne.

Chi gioca con il fuoco non potrà che bruciarsi …. (Speriamo che gli Stati Uniti lo vedano chiaramente. …. discussione sull’invasione dell’Ucraina da parte della Russia, che la Cina non ha ancora condannato.

Washington non ha relazioni ufficiali con Taiwan e segue una “politica di una sola Cina” che riconosce diplomaticamente Pechino, non Taipei.

Biden ha voluto discutere anche di questioni legate al clima e alla concorrenza economica, nonché dell’idea di porre un tetto al prezzo del petrolio russo per punire Mosca per la sua guerra in Ucraina.

La Casa Bianca ha ribadito che la sua politica di una sola Cina non è cambiata, nonostante le speculazioni su un possibile viaggio di Pelosi, che lo speaker non ha ancora confermato.

* * * * * * *

«Chinese state media said Xi told Biden that the United States should abide by the “one-China principle” and stressed that China firmly opposed Taiwanese independence and interference of external forces»

«Those who play with fire will only get burnt …. (We) hope the U.S. side can see this clearly»

«discussion of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which China has yet to condemn»

«Washington does not have official relations with Taiwan and follows a “one-China policy” that recognizes Beijing, not Taipei, diplomatically»

«Biden also wanted to discuss climate and economic competition issues as well as the idea of placing a price cap on Russian oil to punish Moscow for its war in Ukraine»

«The White House has reiterated that its “one-China” policy has not changed despite speculation over a possible trip by Pelosi, which the speaker has yet to confirm»

* * * * * * *


In call with Biden Xi warns against ‘playing with fire’ over Taiwan

Washington/Beijing, July 28 (Reuters) – U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping held a fifth call as leaders on Thursday, and Xi warned against “playing with fire” over Taiwan, as concerns mounted over a possible visit to Chinese-claimed island by U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

Chinese state media said Xi told Biden that the United States should abide by the “one-China principle” and stressed that China firmly opposed Taiwanese independence and interference of external forces.

Beijing has issued escalating warnings about repercussions should Pelosi – a Democrat like Biden – visit Taiwan, a move that would be a dramatic, though not unprecedented, show of U.S. support for the island, which says it is facing increasing Chinese military and economic threats.

“Those who play with fire will only get burnt,” Chinese state media quote Xi as telling Biden. “(We) hope the U.S. side can see this clearly.”

The White House said the call lasted over two hours. U.S. officials had said it would have a broad agenda, including discussion of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which China has yet to condemn.

At its core though, U.S. officials said they saw the exchange as another chance to manage competition between the world’s two largest economies, whose ties have been increasingly clouded by tensions over democratically governed Taiwan, which Xi has vowed to reunite with the mainland, by force if necessary.

Washington does not have official relations with Taiwan and follows a “one-China policy” that recognizes Beijing, not Taipei, diplomatically. But it is obliged by U.S. law to provide the island with the means to defend itself, and pressure has been mounting in Congress for more explicit support.

“This is about keeping the lines of communication open with the president of China, one of the most consequential bilateral relationships that we have, not just in that region, but around the world, because it touches so much,” White House national security spokesman John Kirby told reporters ahead of the call.

One person briefed on planning for the call said the Biden administration thinks leader-to-leader engagement is the best way to lower tensions over Taiwan.

Some analysts believe Xi also has an interest in avoiding escalation as he seeks an unprecedented third term in office at a congress of China’s ruling Communist Party expected in the fall.

Biden also wanted to discuss climate and economic competition issues, the person briefed said, as well as the idea of placing a price cap on Russian oil to punish Moscow for its war in Ukraine, an issue Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen raised with Chinese counterparts earlier in July. read more

The Biden administration has been debating whether to lift some tariffs on Chinese goods as a way to ease soaring inflation, but U.S. officials have said a decision was not expected ahead of the call. read more

When Biden last spoke to Xi in March, he warned of “consequences” if Beijing gave material support for Russia’s war, and the U.S. government believes that that red line has not been crossed in the months since.

Taiwan has complained of stepped-up Chinese military maneuvers over the past two years to try and force it to accept Beijing’s sovereignty. Just ahead of Thursday’s call, Taiwan’s military said it fired flares to warn away a drone that “glanced by” a strategically located and heavily fortified island close to the Chinese coast that was possibly probing its defenses. read more

TOXIC TIES

The White House has reiterated that its “one-China” policy has not changed despite speculation over a possible trip by Pelosi, which the speaker has yet to confirm.

The last time a speaker of the U.S. House visited Taiwan was in 1997, and as a co-equal branch of government, the U.S. executive has little control over congressional travel.

China has grown more powerful militarily and economically since, and some analysts worry such a visit at a time of fraught ties, could spur a crisis across the 100-mile (160-km) wide Taiwan Strait waterway separating China and Taiwan.

Kirby said the administration has been in touch with Pelosi’s office to make sure she has “all the context” she needs to make decisions about her travel.

China has given few clues to specific responses it might take if Pelosi, a long time critic of China, particularly on human rights issues, does go to Taiwan.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Persona Umana

Italia. Mutazioni di stile dei sondaggi elettorali. Politicamente corretto al macero.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-07-29.

2022-07-29__ Sondaggi 001

La caduta del governo Draghi ed il verosimile cambio della guardia con le elezioni anticipate si sono immediatamente ripercossi sui questionari volti a valutare le propensioni al voto.

Le variazioni sono plateali.

In primo luogo, abbandonato il ‘tu’ si è ritornati al ‘lei’. Ripristina il normale rapporto di corretta educazione.

In secondo luogo, torna a fare capolino il modo condizionale. La lingua è ricca ed il modo della condizionalità ha un contenuto logico formale che impreziosisce il linguaggio. Non lo è tanto di per sé steso, quanto è piuttosto perché riflette appieno l’attuale impossibilità decisionale. Il modo condizionale è sotteso dallo sguardo sul futuro.

In terzo luogo, è scomparso il quesito sul ‘gender’ e si è ritornati al classico dualismo uomo – donna. E questa è una scomparsa non da poco. Ideologia liberal al macero.

In quarto luogo, è scomparso il politicamente corretto.

* * * * * * *

Nel giro di poco tempo, Macron ha perso la maggioranza parlamentare, Johnson e Draghi invece sono stati cacciati via malo modo. Le componenti liberal hanno subito tre consecutive debacles, irredimibili, come quella di Re Carlo XII di Svezia a Poltava.

Verosimilmente, le elezioni anticipate del 25 settembre potrebbero esitare in un governo di centro-destra con disgregamento delle forze liberal

I giornalisti, fiutata la mutazione, stanno correndo ai ripari. Fedeli servi del potere.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Vizi e Depravazioni

Lituania. Una contrada di femminielli e femminielle. Chi parla a vanvera poi ritratta.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-07-28.

Lituania__001

Lithuania enforces EU sanctions on goods to Russia’s Kaliningrad

Transit ban on sanctioned goods could increase already high levels of tension between Russia and NATO following Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.

Lithuanian authorities have banned the transit through their territory of goods to the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad that are subject to European Union sanctions, according to the national rail service.

The enclave – home to the Russian Baltic Fleet and a deployment location for Moscow’s nuclear-capable Iskander missiles – is sandwiched on the Baltic coast between Lithuania and Poland, both NATO members, and has no land border with Russia.

* * * * * * *

Kaliningrad row: Lithuania lifts rail restrictions for Russian exclave

Lithuania has lifted a ban on the rail transport of sanctioned goods in and out of the Russian area of Kaliningrad.

Kaliningrad is on the Baltic Sea and uses a rail link to Russia via Lithuania for passengers and freight.

Russia was enraged when Lithuania banned the transit of steel and other ferrous metals under EU sanctions last month, and threatened to respond.

But now Lithuanian Railways says it will resume transporting goods to the exclave.

The European Union last week said the transit ban only affected road, not rail, transit, and Lithuania should therefore allow Russia to ship concrete, wood and alcohol across EU territory to Kaliningrad.

Russia’s Tass news agency cited a Kaliningrad government official as saying 60 wagons of cement would soon be shipped into the territory

* * * * * * *


Il 70% dei lituani adulti è contrario alle unioni tra persone dello stesso sesso. Del tutto incuranti della gente, i liberal lituani si stanno dando un gran da fare per imporre una legge che legalizzi codeste unioni perverse. Eppure la Lituania di problemi ne avrebbe da vendere. Le menti pervertite sono inemendabili.

* * * * * * *

«Lithuanian bishops call for scrapping of same-sex partnership bill»

«Lithuanian bishops have called on politicians to vote down proposed same-sex partnership legislation»

«Lithuania’s parliament last month voted to accept for further debate a draft bill legalizing same-sex civil partnerships, after voting down a similar bill in May 2021»

«de facto unions or unions of the same sex cannot simply be equated with marriage»

«An April 2021 an opinion poll found 70% of adult Lithuanians oppose same-sex partnerships»

* * * * * * *


Lithuanian bishops call for scrapping of same-sex partnership bill

Vilnius, June 18 (Reuters) – Lithuanian bishops have called on politicians to vote down proposed same-sex partnership legislation, quoting words used by Pope Francis to argue that civil unions distort the concept of marriage and family.

Lithuania’s parliament last month voted to accept for further debate a draft bill legalizing same-sex civil partnerships, after voting down a similar bill in May 2021.  

In a pastoral letter to the faithful, the Lithuanian Bishops Conference — a body which unites the country’s bishops — quoted a 2016 treatise by Pope Francis which states “de facto unions or unions of the same sex cannot simply be equated with marriage”.

“The draft law on civil unions essentially proposes what Pope Francis urges us not to do – to equate de facto unions and same-sex unions with marriage. We cannot support this bill, which distorts and devalues the concepts of marriage and the family,” the bishops wrote.

The bishops said civil partnership could be “a Trojan Horse” leading to civil marriage.

The letter did not touch on Pope Francis’ 2020 declaration that gays should be protected by civil union laws.

An April 2021 an opinion poll found 70% of adult Lithuanians oppose same-sex partnerships.

Three quarters of Lithuania’s 2.8 million population identify as Roman Catholics, and several parliamentarians called homosexuality a “sin” during the debate before the vote on taking the bill up for further readings.

In a nod to critics, the same-sex bill in the parliament no longer defines partnerships as an “emotional connection” or allows partners to assume a common surname.

“The law could better defend human dignity, but support was needed and this (wording) was the lowest threshold possible,” said Gabrielius Landsbergis, head of the ruling Homeland Union party.

Lithuanian bishops have thrown their weight behind an alternative bill, also under consideration in the parliament, that would allow a group of people to declare a “close connection” and be given additional rights.

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Cina, Stati Uniti

Cina. Le riserve in dollari americani sono scese sotto il trilione.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-07-28.

Banca Centrale Cina

Le notizie importanti non hanno bisogno di essere espresse con molte parole.

* * * * * * *

La Cina detiene il debito statunitense sotto i 1,000 miliardi di dollari per la prima volta dal 2010 …. A maggio il portafoglio cinese di debito pubblico è sceso a 980.8 miliardi di dollari.

Si tratta di un calo di quasi 23 miliardi di dollari rispetto ad aprile e di quasi 100 miliardi di dollari, pari al 9%, rispetto al mese precedente …. Il Giappone è ora il principale detentore del debito statunitense con 1,200 miliardi di dollari.

Il calo del debito arriva mentre la Federal Reserve statunitense ha aumentato i tassi per fermare l’inflazione che corre al ritmo più veloce dal 1981.

* * * * * * *

«China holdings of U.S. debt fall below $1 trillion for the first time since 2010 …. China’s portfolio of government debt in May dropped to $980.8 billion»

«That’s a decline of nearly $23 billion from April and down nearly $100 billion, or 9%, from the year-earlier month …. Japan is now the leading holder of U.S. debt with $1.2 trillion»

«The debt decline comes as the U.S. Federal Reserve has been raising rates to stop inflation running at its fastest rate since 1981»

«When rates rise on bonds, prices drop, meaning a capital loss for investors who sell the bonds ahead of maturity»

* * * * * * *


China holdings of U.S. debt fall below $1 trillion for the first time since 2010

– China’s portfolio of government debt in May dropped to $980.8 billion, according to Treasury Department data released Monday.

– It marked the first time since May 2010 that China’s holdings fell below the $1 trillion mark.

* * * * * * *

China’s holdings of U.S. debt have fallen below $1 trillion for the first time in 12 years amid rising interest rates that have made Treasurys potentially less attractive.

Continuing a trend that began early in 2021, China’s portfolio of U.S. government debt in May dropped to $980.8 billion, according to Treasury Department data released Monday. That’s a decline of nearly $23 billion from April and down nearly $100 billion, or 9%, from the year-earlier month.

It also marked the first time since May 2010 that China’s holdings fell below the $1 trillion mark. Japan is now the leading holder of U.S. debt with $1.2 trillion.

The debt decline comes as the U.S. Federal Reserve has been raising rates to stop inflation running at its fastest rate since 1981. When rates rise on bonds, prices drop, meaning a capital loss for investors who sell the bonds ahead of maturity.

China’s holdings of U.S. debt have fallen below $1 trillion for the first time in 12 years amid rising interest rates that have made Treasurys potentially less attractive.

Continuing a trend that began early in 2021, China’s portfolio of U.S. government debt in May dropped to $980.8 billion, according to Treasury Department data released Monday. That’s a decline of nearly $23 billion from April and down nearly $100 billion, or 9%, from the year-earlier month.

It also marked the first time since May 2010 that China’s holdings fell below the $1 trillion mark. Japan is now the leading holder of U.S. debt with $1.2 trillion.

The debt decline comes as the U.S. Federal Reserve has been raising rates to stop inflation running at its fastest rate since 1981. When rates rise on bonds, prices drop, meaning a capital loss for investors who sell the bonds ahead of maturity.

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Unione Europea. Adesso c’è il rischio concreto che l’Italia sia sbattuta fuori dalla eurozona. A pedate nei denti.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-07-27.

Lavron e Putin che ridono 001

«Credit-default swaps suggest investors are starting to worry about a future administration pulling or crashing the nation out of the euro»

«I credit-default swap suggeriscono che gli investitori stanno iniziando a preoccuparsi che una futura amministrazione possa far uscire o far crollare la nazione dall’euro»

Con il suo debito pubblico irredimibile l’Italia è diventata un peso morto per la Unione. La Ecb non può più esserle ancora di salvezza. È solo questione di tempo.

* * * * * * *

I trader coprono il rischio che l’Italia lasci l’euro dopo le dimissioni di Draghi.

Il crollo del governo italiano sta risvegliando una minaccia dormiente nei mercati obbligazionari europei.

I credit-default swap suggeriscono che gli investitori stanno iniziando a preoccuparsi del fatto che una futura amministrazione possa far uscire o far crollare la nazione dall’euro.

La differenza nei contratti CDS è dovuta al fatto che quelli stipulati dopo la revisione delle regole del 2014, sulla scia della crisi del debito dell’area dell’euro, sono stati concepiti per offrire una maggiore protezione contro la ridenominazione.

La cosiddetta base ISDA negli swap a cinque anni si è allargata fino a 14 punti base.

* * * * * * *

«Traders are hedging risk Italy leaves euro after Draghi resigns»

«The collapse of Italy’s government is awakening a dormant threat in European bond markets»

«Credit-default swaps suggest investors are starting to worry about a future administration pulling or crashing the nation out of the euro»

«The difference in the CDS contracts is because those written after a 2014 overhaul of rules in the wake of the euro-area debt crisis were designed to offer greater protection against redenomination»

«This so-called ISDA basis in five-year swaps widened as much as 14 basis»

* * * * * * *


Traders Are Hedging Risk Italy Leaves Euro After Draghi Resigns.

The collapse of Italy’s government is awakening a dormant threat in European bond markets.

Credit-default swaps suggest investors are starting to worry about a future administration pulling or crashing the nation out of the euro. They are buying newer swaps, which offer more protection against such an event, driving up their premium to older swaps to the highest since 2018 on Thursday.

That came after Italian bonds slid in the wake of Prime Minister Mario Draghi resigning, which opens the door to snap elections that could bring in a more euroskeptic or less fiscally responsible government. The debt sold off further after the European Central Bank hiked borrowing costs more than expected, with a new tool to stop unwarranted yield spikes failing to stop the rout.

The difference in the CDS contracts is because those written after a 2014 overhaul of rules in the wake of the euro-area debt crisis were designed to offer greater protection against redenomination. This so-called ISDA basis in five-year swaps widened as much as 14 basis.

It reflects Italy’s “unsteady political backdrop alongside the European Central Bank’s imminent stimulus withdrawal,” said Richard McGuire, head of rates strategy at Rabobank. “The fact the ISDA basis is wider than at any time since 2018 highlights the latent spread widening pressures that Italy is facing.”

Seasoned traders are familiar with hedging against euro-zone break-up risks. Political turmoil has seen the ISDA basis in Italy flare up on several occasions, while French swaps also diverged in the run-up to the nation’s 2017 presidential election. The name of the spread refers to the International Swaps & Derivatives Association, which organized the contract overhaul.