Pubblicato in: Economia e Produzione Industriale, Sistemi Politici

Macron. L’indice Ifop di popolarità è crollato di 10 punti.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2017-07-25.

Macron Charli Ebdo 001

«French President Emmanuel Macron’s popularity rating has dropped 10 points in a month»

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«Emmanuel Macron’s approval rating slipped 10 points in a month to hit 54 percent»

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«just 47 percent of respondents classified their assessment of him as “rather satisfied,” down from 54 percent in June»

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«Forty-three percent of respondents said they were unsatisfied with Macron’s performance, up from 35 percent in June»

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«Two months in office have brought challenges to Macron, however»

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«Macron won election by preaching a more-inclusive center-right politics but now plans to cut housing assistance for low-income residents»

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Questo è il dato così come esso è stato fornito.

A nostro sommesso parere è troppo presto per ragionarci sopra con cognizione di causa.

In via del tutto preliminare, prendiamo atto di come Mr Macron non sia riuscito a sfondare durante la riunione del G20, propaganda a parte. Prendiamo altresì atto di come abbia voluto, o dovuto, licenziare alcuni suoi ministri ed abbia spinto i suoi alleati a lasciare il governo. Da ultimo, l’allontanamento del generale Pierre de Villiers, appare più un gesto di stizza irrazionale rispetto ad una azione ponderata in tutte le sue conseguenze.

La situazione economica francese non è certo brillante. Se nel 2001 il pil pro capite era 32,634 euro, nel 2015 era 33,934, un incremento davvero minimo. La disoccupazione vale 10.4%, il rapporto debito pubblico su pil è salito dall’85.2% del 2011 al 95.6% del 2016. Ma il dato cardine è che il 12.1% della popolazione versa in condizione di povertà assoluta, valore che raggiunge il 31.1% per i disoccupati.

A nostro parere la popolarità del Presidente Macron sarà fortemente condizionata dalla sua capacità di rimettere in sesto il sistema produttivo francese, generando posti di lavoro e riducendo la fascia povera.


Deutsche Welle. 2017-07-24. Poll shows France no longer so sweet on Emmanuel Macron

French President Emmanuel Macron’s popularity rating has dropped 10 points in a month, according to an Ifop poll – the biggest decline for a new president since 1995. His prime minister’s popularity also dipped.

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Emmanuel Macron’s approval rating slipped 10 points in a month to hit 54 percent, according to an Ifop poll published Sunday in the Journal du Dimanche newspaper, which reported that not since Jacques Chirac in 1995 had a newly elected president lost so much ground in such a short time.

Worse for Macron, a neoliberal who faced far-right leader Marine Le Pen in May’s presidential runoff, just 47 percent of respondents classified their assessment of him as “rather satisfied,” down from 54 percent in June, and only 7 percent said they were “very satisfied” – it was 10 percent last month. Forty-three percent of respondents said they were unsatisfied with Macron’s performance, up from 35 percent in June, including 15 percent who said they were “very unsatisfied.”

To Macron’s credit, he has had a tough month, including the resignation of General Pierre de Villiers as head of France’s armed forces following a public row over military spending cuts. France’s youngest-ever president, who has sought to project an image of authority since taking office in May, made clear during the row with the military boss that he would brook no insubordination as commander-in-chief. The center-left newspaper Liberation newspaper accused Macron of throwing a “little authoritarian fit” and suggested that he “grow up a bit.”

Macron’s corporate background

Shortly after taking office, Macron drew praise for standing up to his US and Russian counterparts – respectively, the presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin – and won a solid majority in parliament in June. Two months in office have brought challenges to Macron, however.

Press and political opponents have publicly wondered whether Macron’s dominance of the legislature could lead him to seek to concentrate power.

The 39-year-old leader has backed a controversial bill to tighten France’s security laws which includes measures that rights groups have branded as draconian. Earlier this month, he hosted Trump for the Bastille Day celebrations.

Macron won election by preaching a more-inclusive center-right politics but now plans to cut housing assistance for low-income residents. He also overruled Prime Minister Edouard Philippe with his vow to press tax cuts in 2018. Philippe lost eight points in the most recent poll, with 56 percent of respondents satisfied with his performance, according the poll of 1,947 adults carried out from July 17 to 22.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Trump

La guerra dei liberals contro Mr Trump si avvierebbe alla fine. – Guardian

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2017-07-25.

Donald Trump photographed at Trump Tower in NYC

La recente campagna elettorale presidenziale e la successiva elezione a Presidente di Mr Trump è stata ed è ancora caratterizzata da una campagna stampa di violenza mai vista contro questo personaggio.

I liberals democratici governano la quasi totalità dei media, televisioni e giornali, e sono ricorsi a tutti i possibili mezzi, ivi compreso l’uso estensivo della menzogna, come hanno dovuto ammettere loro stessi.

Trump. CNN, NYT ed AP ammettono di aver riportato artatamente notizie false su Mr Trump.

3 CNN Journalists Resign After Retracted Story on Trump Ally [The New YorkTimes]

Cnn. 21° Fake News. Cnn ha alterato uno scritto di Abraham Lincoln.

Trump. Cnn licenzia in tronco Mrs Kathy Griffin.

Trump. La CNN come la mafia intimidisce l’autore delle vignette animate.

CNN Accused of Blackmailing The Reddit User Who Made Trump Wrestling Meme

Il risultato è stato quello facilmente preventivabile.

Cnn. Crollo dell’audience dopo la pubblicazione di troppe fake news.

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Adesso il The Guardian pubblica un articolo dal titolo:

The media’s war on Trump is destined to fail.

Cerchiamo allora di capire quali motivi adduce l’articolista. Si prenda nota che si esprime in termini ‘politicamente corretti’.

«The news media needs to win its war with Trump»

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«The people of the respectable east coast press loathe the president with an amazing unanimity. They are obsessed with documenting his bad taste, with finding faults in his stupid tweets, with nailing him and his associates for this Russian scandal and that one»

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«The news sections are all Trump all the time»

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«But there’s something wrong with it all»

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«The news media’s alarms about Trump have been shrieking at high C for more than a year»

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«It hasn’t worked»

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«And the news media’s reputation sinks lower and lower as they advance into their golden age»

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«Trump is unpopular these days, but not nearly as unpopular as he deserves to be (among other amazing things, he is now reported to be more popular than Hillary Clinton).»

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«How can our opinion-leaders believe something so unanimously, so emphatically, and yet have so little success persuading their erstwhile opinion-followers to get in line?»

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«As newspapers die off, their place in the American consciousness is taken by social networks of both the formal and informal variety. Thanks to Facebook and Twitter, these days we read only that which confirms our biases. Once upon a time, perhaps, the Washington Post could single-handedly bring down a president, but those days have passed»

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«But there’s also a second reason, one that is even more fundamental»

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«many monstrous journalism failures of the last few decades: the dot-com bubble, which was actively cheered on by the business press; the Iraq war, which was abetted by journalism’s greatest sages; the almost complete failure to notice the epidemic of professional misconduct that made possible the 2008 financial crisis»

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«The American news media’s respect for tech CEOs and foreign-policy experts are the photographic negative of their overwhelming contempt for Dumb Donald»

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«They know what a politician is supposed to look like and act like and sound like; they know that Trump does not conform to those rules; and they react to him»

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«But as long as they understand that war as a crusade to reestablish the old rules of legitimacy, they are going to continue to fail»

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Queste frasi risultano immediatamente più chiare leggendo almeno l’abstract del seguente articolo:

Poll: Mainstream media continues to lose the public’s trust

«In its annual confidence poll, Gallup found that Americans’ trust in the mass media “to report the news fully, accurately and fairly” reached its lowest level in polling history, with only 32 percent saying they have a great deal or fair amount of trust in the media. ….

On the campaign trail, Trump maintained a combative relationship with the press, but received roaring applause from his supporters when he referred to the “dishonest media,” and sniped at the anchors, pundits, reporters and editorial boards who he said were treating him “very unfairly.” ….

According to a 2016 Pew Research study, 22 percent of respondents had “a lot” of trust in local news organizations, compared to 18 percent who trust national outlets. In total, local news coverage enjoyed a six-point advantage over national stations. ….

The shake-up of the national media giants in favor of local stations or new media outlets has raised the ire of those who previously enjoyed having their questions at the front of the queue.

The poll found that 49 percent of voters consider Trump to be truthful, versus 48 person of voters who find him untruthful. The researchers then compared that confidence rating to trust in the news media, which 53 percent of voters considered to be untruthful, a 14-point gap. A key finding of the poll shows that voters find the Trump administration to be more truthful than the news media. ….

The partisan split was obvious, with the overwhelming majority of Republicans saying Trump is truthful and 88 percent considering the media untruthful. Democrats overwhelmingly found Trump untruthful and 62 percent found the media to be truthful.»

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Conclusione.

In una prima fase di questa guerra i media liberals hanno accusato Mr Trump di ogni sorta di sexual harassment: ma la totale mancanza di prove probanti ha decretato il fallimento di codesta offensiva.

In una seconda fase lo hanno accusato con petulante insistenza di ogni sorta di reato economico e fiscale, ma anche in questo caso la carenza di prove oggettive ha alla fine fatto cadere le accuse.

In una terza fase lo hanno accusato, e lo stanno t accusando, di intelligenza con il nemico, con i russi, che avrebbero influenzato le elezioni. Accuse portate avanti sempre più stancamente.

Il risultato finale è che la gente comune cambia canale e non legge quasi più i quotidiani a tiratura nazionale, che iniziano a perdere pubblicità e, quindi, entrate.

Si potrebbe infine concludere che i media siano seguiti solo dai liberals di comprovata fede, sia negli Stati Uniti sia in Europa. La loro influenza sull’Elettore è quasi svanita.

Non a caso, e per riprova, nelle cinque elezioni suppletive tenutesi da novembre a giugno Mr Trump ha ottenuto cinque chiare vittorie elettorali: ed i risultati delle urne non sono sondaggi elettorali.

Nota.

Nella foga, a nessuno sembrerebbe essere saltato in mente di pensare che Mr Trump potrebbe anche avere ragione.


The Guardian. 2017-07-21. The media’s war on Trump is destined to fail. Why can’t it see that?

The news media needs to win its war with Trump, and urgently so.

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These are the worst of times for the American news media, but they are also the best. The newspaper industry as a whole has been dying slowly for years, as the pathetic tale of the once-mighty Chicago Tribune reminds us. But for the handful of well funded journalistic enterprises that survive, the Trump era is turning out to be a “golden age” – a time of high purpose and moral vindication.

The people of the respectable east coast press loathe the president with an amazing unanimity. They are obsessed with documenting his bad taste, with finding faults in his stupid tweets, with nailing him and his associates for this Russian scandal and that one. They outwit the simple-minded billionaire. They find the devastating scoops. The op-ed pages come to resemble Democratic fundraising pitches. The news sections are all Trump all the time. They have gone ballistic so many times the public now yawns when it sees their rockets lifting off.

A recent Alternet article I read was composed of nothing but mean quotes about Trump, some of them literary and high-flown, some of them low-down and cruel, most of them drawn from the mainstream media and all of them hilarious. As I write this, four of the five most-read stories on the Washington Post website are about Trump; indeed (if memory serves), he has dominated this particular metric for at least a year.

And why not? Trump certainly has it coming. He is obviously incompetent, innocent of the most basic knowledge about how government functions. His views are repugnant. His advisers are fools. He appears to be dallying with obviously dangerous forces. And thanks to the wipeout of the Democratic party, there is no really powerful institutional check on the president’s power, which means that the press must step up.

But there’s something wrong with it all.

The news media’s alarms about Trump have been shrieking at high C for more than a year. It was in January of 2016 that the Huffington Post began appending a denunciation of Trump as a “serial liar, rampant xenophobe, racist, birther and bully” to every single story about the man. It was last August that the New York Times published an essay approving of the profession’s collective understanding of Trump as a political mutation – an unacceptable deviation from the two-party norm – that journalists must cleanse from the political mainstream.

It hasn’t worked. They correct and denounce; they cluck and deride and Trump seems to bask in it. He reflects this incredible outpouring of disapprobation right back at the press itself. The old “liberal bias” critique, a minor deity in the pantheon of Republican paranoia since the days of Trump’s hero Richard Nixon, has been elevated to first place. Trump and company now use it to explain everything. And the news media’s reputation sinks lower and lower as they advance into their golden age.

What explains this dazzling disconnect? Yes, Trump is unpopular these days, but not nearly as unpopular as he deserves to be (among other amazing things, he is now reported to be more popular than Hillary Clinton). How can our opinion-leaders believe something so unanimously, so emphatically, and yet have so little success persuading their erstwhile opinion-followers to get in line?

One part of the explanation is the structural situation of the news media. As newspapers die off, their place in the American consciousness is taken by social networks of both the formal and informal variety. Thanks to Facebook and Twitter, these days we read only that which confirms our biases. Once upon a time, perhaps, the Washington Post could single-handedly bring down a president, but those days have passed.

But there’s also a second reason, one that is even more fundamental. The truth is that the unanimous anti-Trumpness of the respectable press is just one facet of a larger homogeneity. As it happens, the surviving press in this country is unanimous about all sorts of things.

There are their views on trade. Or their views on what they call “populism”. Or their views on what they call “bipartisanship”. Or their views on just about anything having to do with the decline of manufacturing (sad but inevitable) and the rise of the “creative” white-collar professions (the smart ones, so meritorious).

This is one of the factors that explains the many monstrous journalism failures of the last few decades: the dot-com bubble, which was actively cheered on by the business press; the Iraq war, which was abetted by journalism’s greatest sages; the almost complete failure to notice the epidemic of professional misconduct that made possible the 2008 financial crisis and the rise of Donald Trump, which (despite the media’s morbid fascination with the man) caught nearly everyone flatfooted.

Everything they do, they do as a herd – even when it’s running headlong over a cliff.

They still cannot suppress their admiration for bankers. Just the other week, for example, the New York Times’s Dealbook section could be found marveling at how one of the senior officers of Goldman Sachs (“possibly the most powerful investment bank in the world”) likes to DJ in his spare time.

They are endless suckers for credentialing, especially of the foreign policy variety. Last Friday, the Washington Post ran a profile of Hillary Clinton’s former foreign policy adviser, whom they caught up with giving a talk at Yale, his alma mater.

The paper told how the adviser “ran through a list of his early mentors”, including eminent personages from Brookings, the State Department and the Council on Foreign Relations, and then turned to the inevitable matter of Clinton’s loss, a subject so bittersweet you could almost see the tears streaming down readers’ faces as they were prompted to recall, yet again, the ingratitude of a nation that had rejected her team of brilliants for the buffoon Trump.

Similar examples could be piled up by the dozens, if not the thousands. The American news media’s respect for tech CEOs and foreign-policy experts are the photographic negative of their overwhelming contempt for Dumb Donald.

These things don’t happen because the journalists that remain are liberals. It happens because so many of them are part of the same class – an exalted and privileged class. They are professionals and they believe in the things that so many other professional groups believe in: consensus, “realism”, credentialing, the wisdom of their fellow professionals and (of course) the stupidity of the laity.

This is the key to understanding many of their biases – and also for understanding why they are so utterly oblivious to how they appear to the rest of America.

What do I mean? Consider Politico’s famous email tip-sheet, Playbook, which is read religiously every morning by countless members of the DC press corps, including myself. About two-thirds of the publication consists of useful summaries of the day’s news stories.

The rest, however, is a sort of People magazine for the Washington journalist community, in which the reader is invited to celebrate leading journalists’ (and politicians’) birthdays, congratulate leading journalists (and politicians) for their witty phrase-making, learn which leading journalist (and politician) was seen at which party and anticipate which leading journalist (and politician) is going to be on which Sunday program.

Nor is Playbook the only entry in this genre. Before there was Politico there was ABC News and The Note, a similar email newsletter that also celebrated what it called the Gang of 500, the happy and hard-partying political and journalistic insiders who supposedly made Washington tick.

These things seem innocent and fun, of course. But there is an unwritten purpose to these daily honor rolls of journo/political friendship and that is to define the limits of what is acceptable.

Like the guestlist at Lally Weymouth’s party in the Hamptons, which was described so salaciously in Playbook a little while ago, a tiny handful of people and publications and ideas are in; everyone else is out.

It’s about legitimacy, of course, and what’s left of the respectable press is utterly captivated by the theme. It completely defines their war on Trump, for example. They know what a politician is supposed to look like and act like and sound like; they know that Trump does not conform to those rules; and they react to him as a kind of foreign object jammed rudely into their creamy world, a Rodney Dangerfield defiling the fancy country club.

I believe that the news media needs to win its war with Trump, and urgently so. But as long as they understand that war as a crusade to reestablish the old rules of legitimacy, they are going to continue to fail. Until the day they get it right, the world will burn while the in-crowd parties obliviously on.

Pubblicato in: Economia e Produzione Industriale, Russia

Kremlino. Le nuove sanzioni proposte dagli Usa colpiscono la Germania.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2017-07-24.

Ivan IV 010

«The Kremlin said on Monday it was worried that proposed new U.S. sanctions against Moscow could hurt major investment projects with European partners»

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«That has raised concerns in Germany which has already threatened to retaliate against the United States if the new sanctions end up penalising German firms, such as those involved with building Nord Stream 2»

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«Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters on a conference call Moscow was worried that U.S. sanctions could hit third countries»

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«Peskov declined to comment on reports that the European Union might discuss new sanctions against Moscow over its delivery of Siemens turbines to sanctioned Crimea»

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Turkey has over 680 German firms on terrorism black list: security source

Trump. Sanzioni contro la Russia che massacrano Francia e Germania.

Germany, Dump Nord Stream 2

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Tanto poi, almeno a quanto si deve constatare, la Germania non si cura poi troppo delle sanzioni.

Germania. Anche la Merkel piange. Wissmann: o si cambia o si fallisce.

Germania, Russia e sanzioni. VW amplierà il mega impianto a Mosca.

Sanzioni. I regolamenti ci sono per chi non sa come regolarsi.

Merkel, ci hai presi per fessi?? Che ce fai a Sevastopol?

Merkel. Turbine Siemens per la Krimea. Altre due in arrivo.

Exclusive: Russia appears to deliver more turbines to Crimea

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Il problema delle sanzioni alla Russia è forse uno dei più intricati problemi al momento sul tavolino delle cancellerie.

Si direbbe che servano a tutto tranne che a quello su cui enunciano ad alta voce voler intervenire.

Senza poi voler tener conto che spesso sono utilizzate come argomento di politica interna.


Reuters. 2017-07-24. Kremlin frets U.S. sanctions may hurt European projects like Nord Stream 2

MOSCOW (Reuters) – The Kremlin said on Monday it was worried that proposed new U.S. sanctions against Moscow could hurt major investment projects with European partners, but said it was premature to say if and how it would retaliate.

The White House said on Sunday that U.S. President Donald Trump was open to signing legislation toughening sanctions on Russia after Senate and House leaders reached agreement on a bill late last week.

That has raised concerns in Germany which has already threatened to retaliate against the United States if the new sanctions end up penalising German firms, such as those involved with building Nord Stream 2, a project to build a pipeline carrying Russian gas across the Baltic.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters on a conference call Moscow was worried that U.S. sanctions could hit third countries, as well as Russia, hard.

“We are working with our European partners on implementing a number of large-scale projects,” said Peskov, when asked about the possible impact of the new U.S. sanctions on projects like Nord Stream 2.

“It goes without saying that we and our European partners attach great importance to finishing these projects and we will work towards this,” he said. “That is why discussions about ‘sanctions themes’ — which could potentially obstruct these projects — are a cause of concern for us.”

Peskov said the Kremlin took “an extremely negative view” of the proposed new sanctions, calling the rhetoric surrounding them counter-productive and damaging to U.S.-Russia ties.

But he said Moscow was for now ready to wait and see what the final shape of the sanctions might be.

“As for the Washington administration’s stance on sanctions, we have seen some corrections to it,” said Peskov.

“We will wait patiently … until this position has been formulated unambiguously.”

Separately, Peskov declined to comment on reports that the European Union might discuss new sanctions against Moscow over its delivery of Siemens turbines to sanctioned Crimea.

Reuters on Monday quoted two diplomatic sources in Brussels as saying that Germany was urging the European Union to add up to four more Russian nationals and companies to the bloc’s sanctions blacklist over Siemens gas turbines delivered to Moscow-annexed Crimea.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania, Turkia e Visegrad. Rischio di disfacimento della Nato.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2017-07-24.

Das Brandenburger Tor in Berlin

Nel corso degli ultimi tre lustri i rapporti turko-germanici si sono deteriorati in modo così consistente da generare una minaccia non solo per questi due stati, ma anche per tutta la corolla della alleanze alle quali fanno parte: questa diatriba sta assumendo nel tempo connotazioni internazionali.

Riassumiamo a seguito i soli punti di interesse nel presente articolo, tralasciando alcuni anche di grande importanza ma irrilevanti in questa sede.

– La Turkia soffre fin dalla sua nascita del problema kurdo. Questa etnia, composta da circa trenta milioni di persone, comprendono il 18.3% della popolazione in Turchia, il 15-20% in Iraq, il 6% circa in Siria. In maggioranza sono islamici sunniti, ma una parte non irrilevante è yazidita, alevita e, in quota molto minore, cristiani. Negli stati in cui attualmente vivono, i kurdi vorrebbero poter ambire ad una qualche forma di indipendenza: alcune componenti vorrebbero la piena indipendenza, altre si accontenterebbero di statuti speciali. Da lungo tempo i kurdi che abitano in Turkia svolgono azioni di guerriglia e di attentati terroristici, in questo facilitato dal trovarsi sul confine meridionale turko a ridosso di Siria ed Iraq, fatto questo che pone queste due ultime nazioni all’attenzione strategica dei turki.

– La guerra in Iraq prima, quella civile in Siria dopo hanno destabilizzato la situazione in modo severo. Da una parte ha quasi costretto la Turkia a continui interventi militari camuffati da operazioni umanitarie per tutelare i confini meridionali, dall’altra per cercare di neutralizzare l’ondata di profughi che fuggivano dai teatri bellici, spesso vedendo la Turkia solo come terra di passaggio verso l’Europa. Con l’acuirsi della crisi migratoria, la Turkia ha usato in modo molto disinvolto i migranti come arma ritorsione contro l’Unione Europea, dapprima alimentando la via balcanica, quindi inondando di profughi la Grecia.

– Il giro di boa è avvenuto in occasione del tentativo di colpo di stato in Turkia. L’Occidente ha accusato Mr Erdogan di aver usato la mano troppo forte nello ristabilire la situazione. La Germania, per bocca della sua Bundeskanzlerin Frau Merkel ha preso le posizioni più dure e nette, e si è fatta paladina di ciò che i tedeschi di oggi ritengono essere “diritti fondamentali”. Al momento lo scontro su questo argomento ha assunto toni aspri, con rispettive minacce ed azioni talora poco chiare.

– Questa concezione ha assunto anche aspetti farseschi e grotteschi. In occasione dei contati con l’Arabia Saudita la Bundeskanzlerin ha posto l’osservanza dei suoi valori come conditio sine qua non per continuare a vendere armi all’Arabia Saudita. La risposta è stata tranchant.

«We will not cause any more problems for the German government with new requests for weapons»

Frau Merkel è ritornata a casa con le pive nel sacco. Questo è uno segni di quanto l’ideologia le sia radicata nella mente. Già: come giustamente hanno detto gli arabi, il problema è di Frau Merkel, non degli altri.

– I tedeschi non hanno digerito per nulla che gli oltre tre milioni di turki viventi in Germania fossero in gran parte schierati per Erdogan: avrebbero ben gradito il loro sostegno. E tre milioni di voti hanno il loro peso, specie poi in clima pre elettorale. Non si capacitano che questi turki non si siano ancora “integrati”. Concetto invero molto strano: una cosa è integrarsi nella nazione tedesca ed una totalmente differente personificarsi nei desiderata del cancelliere pro tempore.

– C’è poi un feroce contenzioso sui gasdotti. I tedeschi hanno privilegiato in Nord Stream 2 baltico a discapito del South Stream che avrebbe dovuto traversare la Turkia. Bega tuttora a livello incandescente.

– La bega turko-tedesca è diventata rapidamente un severo problema internazionale. Frau Merkel ed Unione Europea, sostengono in pratica di non voler trattare né avere rapporti con stati che, a loro dire, non rispettano ciò che loro ritengono essere “diritti umani” ed i loro “principi”, ma che gli altri non condividono per nulla. In questa maniera, la bega turko-tedesca va a sommarsi a quelle analoghe che i tedeschi e l’Unione Europea stanno imbastendo con la Polonia e l’Ungheria.

– Da ultimo solo per esposizione, ma primo come gravità, c’è il problema della Nato, cui Turkia, Polonia ed Ungheria appartengono a pieno diritto. La Turkia, che poi gestisce i Dardanelli, forma lo scacchiere meridionale e gli stati del Visegrad quello orientale.

Sarebbe troppo conflittuale litigarsi su tutto e poi sperare di essere solleciti nella comune difesa. Turki, polacchi ed ungheresi non riescono a trovare un buon motivo per cui dover morire per difendere la Germania e l’Europa occidentale. Loro ospitano le basi Nato avanzate ed anche un cospicuo arsenale atomico, deterrente. Se questa bega continuasse sine die, alla fine la Germania si ritroverebbe ad essere lei sulla linea di confine, situazione davvero scomoda per chiunque.

Si faccia molta attenzione. Una disintegrazione della Nato non è un problema interna dei paesi afferenti l’Alleanza: è un problema politico e militare mondiale. Nessuno ne uscirebbe indenne.

* * * * * * *

NATO urges Turkey, Germany to settle air base row

German lawmakers postpone visit to Konya NATO base in Turkey

NATO head Stoltenberg advises Germany and Turkey to resolve issues

Germany to Withdraw Forces From Incirlik Base in Turkey

NATO chief mediates talks with senior German, Turkish diplomats

* * * * * * *

I problemi sono davvero molto complessi e, a nostro personale modo di vedere, tutte le forme di irrigidimento non concorrono a cercare di risolverli.


Reuters. 2017-07-22. ‘You belong here,’ Gabriel tells Germany’s Turks

BERLIN (Reuters) – Germany will stand by the three million people with Turkish roots living there, its foreign minister said, offering assurances that they were not Berlin’s targets in a rapidly escalating political row with Ankara.

In an open letter published on Saturday in mass-circulation daily Bild, Sigmar Gabriel said Germany had to look after its own but had no quarrel with Turkish people in either country.

“We must protect our citizens,” he wrote. “However difficult the political relations between Germany and Turkey, one thing is clear: you, people of Turkish roots in Germany belong here with us, whether you have a German passport or not.”

Gabriel’s intervention came after his cabinet colleague, Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble, compared Turkey’s actions in detaining six human rights activists, including a German, to the authoritarian former communist East Germany.

“We have always striven for good relations with Turkey, because we know that good relations are important for you (German Turks),” Gabriel added in the letter, which was also published in Turkish.

Officials in Germany are increasingly concerned at what they say is large-scale covert activity by Ankara’s security services among Germany’s vast Turkish diaspora.

On Friday, Germany’s head of domestic intelligence said Turkish agencies were carrying out influence operations in Germany, including targeting opponents of Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan living in the country.

Bilateral tensions were already high prior to the activists’ arrests after recriminations during a referendum in April on extending Erdogan’s powers and a pullout of German troops from a Turkish air base that began this month.

The arrests were part of a broader crackdown across Turkish society since a failed coup last year.


Reuters. 2017-07-21.   Berlin reviews Turkish arms requests as crisis deepens

ANKARA/BERLIN (Reuters) – Germany said on Friday it was reviewing applications for arms projects from Turkey, accusing its NATO ally of ramping up covert operations as an attempt by a Turkish minister to calm a deepening bilateral crisis fell flat.

While one minister in Berlin compared Ankara’s behavior over the detention of six rights activists to the authoritarian former communist East Germany, Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan told Germany to “pull itself together”.

Bilateral tensions were already high after bitter recriminations during a referendum in April on extending Erdogan’s powers and a pullout of German troops from a Turkish air base that began this month.

They rose further after Turkey detained the activists, including a German national, in custody two weeks ago.

Turkey’s economy minister sought to calm matters but Erdogan, renewing earlier criticism, accused Berlin of trying to scare German companies away from investing in Turkey.

Germany, home to three million people with Turkish roots, said it would review Turkish applications for arms projects. “We’re checking all applications,” an Economy Ministry spokeswoman said.

That means the Federal Office of Economics and Export Control (Bafa) probably cannot issue new export approvals, but projects already agreed will not be affected initially.

In 2016, the German government exported armaments worth 83.9 million euros to Turkey. In the first four months of 2017, business worth 22 million euros was approved, for navy deliveries and joint projects with other NATO partners.

Germany has warned Germans traveling to Turkey that they do so at their own risk, and Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble was quoted on Friday as comparing Turkey with the former communist East German state – the German Democratic Republic (GDR).

“Turkey now makes arbitrary arrests and no longer sticks to minimum consular standards. That reminds me of how it was in the GDR,” he told the mass-circulation Bild newspaper.

Schaeuble said those who traveled to the former Communist East before it collapsed in 1990 were aware that “if something happens to you, no one can help you”.

German officials say they have not had full consular access to arrested German activist Peter Steudtner, who was accused of terrorism – an allegation Berlin has dismissed as absurd. Another German citizen was arrested on charges of links to terrorism earlier this year.

Turkish Secret Services

Germany’s domestic security chief said Turkey had been carrying out ever more covert operations in Germany, especially since a failed coup attempt against Erdogan last July.

“Since the coup attempt and domestic political changes there, we no longer see Turkey’s intelligence service purely as a partner but also as an opponent,” BfV chief Hans-Georg Maassen said.

Covert activities included influence operations targeting Germany-based Turks, with attempts to intimidate opponents of Erdogan.

In March, German authorities barred Turkish ministers from speaking at mass rallies of expatriates backing the president’s referendum campaign. He responded by accusing Berlin of “fascist actions”.

The activist arrests were part of a broader crackdown across Turkish society since last year’s failed coup. More than 150,000 people have been sacked or suspended from jobs in Turkey’s civil service, military and private sector and more than 50,000 have been jailed.

Rights groups and some Western governments say Erdogan is using the crackdown as a pretext to quash dissent. The Turkish government says the measures are necessary given the gravity of the security threat it faces.

They may have extended to German companies.

A security source told Reuters Turkey had sent German authorities a list of over 680 firms it suspected of supporting terrorism.

Turkey’s Economy Minister Nihat Zeybekci told Reuters Germany’s behavior in cautioning its citizens over travel to Turkey was “unfortunate”, but he did not see harm accruing to tourism.

So far this year, bookings from Germany have accounted for some 10 percent of Turkey’s tourists.

Last year, the number of foreign visitors to Turkey fell 30 percent amid bombings by Kurdish and Islamist militants, the lowest in nine years. The travel sector contributes about $30 billion to the economy in a normal year.

Commercial links are close.

Germany was Turkey’s top export destination in 2016, buying $14 billion worth of Turkish goods, and the second biggest source of Turkish imports, at $21.5 billion.

German news broadcaster n-tv said it would no longer run adverts that aimed to attract investment in Turkey.


Reuters. 2017-07-21. Turkey has over 680 German firms on terrorism black list: security source

BERLIN (Reuters) – Turkey has provided German authorities with a list of over 680 German firms it suspects of supporting terrorism, a German security source said on Friday, ten times the number initially reported by German media.

Die Zeit newspaper had reported on Wednesday that the list included large German companies such as Daimler (DAIGn.DE) and BASF AG (BASFn.DE).

But Turkey’s deputy prime minister, Mehmet Simsek, said on Twitter on Thursday that the report was “completely false.”


Reuters. 2017-07-20. Germany steps up economic pressure on Turkey in rights row

BERLIN (Reuters) – Germany told its citizens on Thursday to exercise caution if traveling to Turkey and threatened measures that could hinder German investment there, in a sign of growing impatience with a NATO ally after the detention of rights activists.

The mass-selling daily Bild newspaper, citing government sources, also reported that Berlin was putting arms projects with Ankara on hold.

Foreign Minister Sigmar Gabriel highlighted alarm at what Berlin sees as the growing unpredictability of Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan. “Everyone can be affected. The most absurd things are possible,” he said in advice to travelers.

Gabriel broke off his holiday to deal with the crisis after Turkey arrested six human rights activists including German national Peter Steudtner on accusations of terrorism, the latest in a series of diplomatic rows.

Germany, Turkey’s chief export partner, called the allegations absurd.

“We need our policies towards Turkey to go in a new direction…we can’t continue as we have done,” Gabriel told reporters in unusually direct language touching on sensitive commercial matters including corporate investment guarantees.

The Turkish foreign ministry said it would make the “necessary response” to comments it described as one-sided.

Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu later accused Germany of harboring members of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), which has fought an insurgency in southeast Turkey since 1984, and the network of U.S.-based cleric Fethullah Gulen that Ankara blames for a failed coup last July.

“As a country providing shelter to PKK and FETO terrorists in its own territory, statements by Germany are just double standards and unacceptable,” Cavusoglu said on Twitter.

Gulen has denied involvement in the coup attempt.

Erdogan says a crackdown, in which roughly 50,000 people have been detained and 150,000 sacked or suspended from the judiciary and journalism to academia, was essential after the failed coup. Domestic and foreign critics accuse him of using a state of emergency as cover to root out opposition.

Juergen Hardt, a senior member of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservative party, said the EU candidate country had now “left the path to Europe”. “No one invests in a country…in which the judiciary has been degraded to be a helper of the ruling AKP party,” he said.

Many companies have also been seized since the coup attempt on allegations of links to terrorism.

“Think Rationally”

The foreign ministry in Ankara said Turkey would not make concessions on its judicial independence and struggle against terrorism “for financial matters such as loans, funds or the (European) Customs Union”.

Cavusoglu criticized Gabriel’s remarks, saying threats and blackmail would find no answers in Turkey, and that Germany and Turkey needed to focus on their long-term mutual goals instead.

“We don’t see such threats against Turkey as worthy of a serious country,” Cavusoglu told reporters in Cyprus.

Erdogan’s spokesman Ibrahim Kalin suggested Gabriel’s remarks were intended to win votes at national elections in two months. “They need to rid themselves of this abdication of reason and think rationally.”

Gabriel’s warnings to private as well as business travelers could deal a significant blow to the tourism industry. So far this year, bookings from Germany have accounted for some 10 percent of Turkey’s tourists.

In its new guidance, the foreign ministry said: “People who are traveling to Turkey… are urged to exercise increased caution, and should register with German consulates and the embassy, even for shorter visits.”

Last year, the number of foreign visitors to Turkey fell to 25.4 million amid a spate of bombings by Kurdish and Islamist militants, the lowest in nine years. The travel sector contributes about $30 billion to the economy in a normal year.

Erdogan’s spokesman rejected the suggestion that Germans traveling to Turkey faced any danger. “It is also not acceptable to create doubts in the minds of German investors in Turkey,” Kalin said.

In comments that threatened broader economic consequences, Gabriel said he could not advise companies to invest in a country without legal certainty where “even completely innocent companies are judged as being close to terrorists”.

“I can’t see how we as the German government can continue to guarantee corporate investments in Turkey if there is the threat of arbitrary expropriation for political reasons.”

On Wednesday, newspaper Die Zeit said Turkish authorities had several weeks ago handed Berlin a list of 68 German companies they accused of having links to Gulen.

They included chemicals giant BASF (BASFn.DE), which confirmed it was on a list that had been passed to it by German police, but declined to comment on the allegations.

Turkish deputy prime minister Mehmet Simsek said on Thursday the reports were untrue.

Germany was Turkey’s top export destination in 2016, buying $14 billion worth of Turkish goods. It was also the second biggest source of Turkish imports, at $21.5 billion. Only China, at $25.4 billion, exported more to Turkey.

Pubblicato in: Economia e Produzione Industriale

I fondi pensioni di S&P 500 hanno un buco di 382 miliardi Usd.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2017-07-24.

2017-07-22__Pensioni__001

«People who rely on their company pension plans to fund their retirement may be in for a shock»

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«Of the 200 biggest defined-benefit plans in the S&P 500 based on assets, 186 aren’t fully funded»

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«A big part of the reason is the poor returns they got from their assets in the superlow interest-rate environment that followed the financial crisis»

*

«the 70,000 participants in the United Parcel Service Inc. pension plan learned they won’t earn increased benefits if they work after 2022»

*

«DuPont Co. announced it would stop making payments into its pension plan for 13,000 active employees»

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«But each time a pension plan is terminated, canceled or altered, thousands of workers are affected»

*

«It’s left a hole of $382 billion for the top 200 plans»

2017-07-22__Pensioni__002

* * * * * * *

Già a giugno avevamo segnalato questo problema:

General Electric. 31 mld Usd di buco nel fondo pensioni.

Sarebbe stato ingenuo pensare però che la situazione fosse limitata alla General Electric.

Il terzo principio della dinamica enuncia che ad ogni azione corrisponde una reazione eguale e contraria: nemmeno i sistemi economici sfuggono a questo principio. Si voglia o meno.

Non solo. Ogni azione umana è soggetta all’eterogenesi dei fini, ossia a sortire effetti del tutto differenti da quelli attesi.

Non sono oziose considerazioni teoriche: i 382 miliardi di buco si sono determinati proprio per non aver osservato codesti principi.

«Anche se vive ed agisce nelle mutevoli variazioni del tempo, la mente dell’essere umano presenta una significativa inerzia, essendo esso radicato in abitudini ed idee che tende ad assolutizzare, a ritenere essere valori assoluti, validi in ogni luogo, circostanza e tempo. L’uomo tende a comportarsi come realtà atemporale che esita nell’obnubilamento del passato, frequentemente anche rinnegato, e nella scarsa o nulla percezione del futuro. In questo contesto la libertà si denatura. Senza la percezione del futuro diventa del tutto inutile rinunciare oggi ad un bene immediato in vista di un bene maggiore futuro: l’essere umano si isola nell’immanente, quasi non più conscio delle conseguenze future delle sue scelte ed azioni. E come perde il concetto del futuro diventa indifferente ai numerosi segni dei tempi che attestano le variazioni in essere e, soprattutto, quelle che preannunciano in divenire. Alla fine, se travolto dagli eventi, non potrà nemmeno nutrire speranza: non esiste infatti speranza senza futuro. É l’esito di tutte le ideologie vissute come credi religiosi.»

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Istituzione e gestione dei fondi pensioni implica una solida visione del futuro: si effettuano dei versamenti oggi per riscuotere la pensione domani, o dopodomani. A scarsi versamenti corrisponde una pensione miserabile, senza adeguati interessi sui versamenti effettuati corrisponde un ulteriore svilimento della pensione che si percepirà.

La crisi del 2009 dei subrime era sottesa dal peso dei debiti sovrani.

Un fardello talmente pesante da costringere le banche centrali a trasformarsi da prestatrici di ultima istanza in investitrici di ultima istanza coni quantitative earnig. Di conserva la politica dei tassi bassi, nulli e negativi.

Questa mossa inusitata e si potrebbe dire da ultima ratio, ha rabberciato il sistema economico occidentale, almeno apparentemente, ma ha concorso a generare problemi futuri forse ancora più gravi.

Ha messo in crisi il sistema bancario, che vive proprio sugli interessi che percepisce dai prestiti elargiti, ha depauperato i fondi pensioni, ha dato un artificioso sopravvento al sistema finanziario su quello economico, solo per fare alcuni esempi.

Tutto a beneficio, non voluto né gradito, della Cina.

Cina. Q1 pil +6.9%.

Cina. Pil secondo trimestre +6.9%. Un esempio da seguire.

Germania. Le banche non son quasi più tedesche.

ICB of China è la più grande banca del mondo con attivi per 3.297 mld €.

*

Non solo. Gli earning hanno portato a privilegiare la finanza sulla produzione: situazione sicuramente lucrativa nell’immediato, ma perniciosa nel futuro.

In estrema sintesi: siamo solo agli inizi del cedimento del sistema. Né si pensi che possa crollare a tempi rapidi. Si preannunciano tempi davvero molto tribolati, ma i piabti saranno tardivi.


Bloomberg. 2017-07-20. S&P 500’s Biggest Pension Plans Face $382 Billion Funding Gap

People who rely on their company pension plans to fund their retirement may be in for a shock: Of the 200 biggest defined-benefit plans in the S&P 500 based on assets, 186 aren’t fully funded. Simply put, they don’t have enough money to fund current and future retirees. The situation worsened for more than half of these funds from fiscal 2015 to 2016. A big part of the reason is the poor returns they got from their assets in the superlow interest-rate environment that followed the financial crisis. It’s left a hole of $382 billion for the top 200 plans.

Of course, the percentage of workers covered by traditional defined benefit plans—those that pay a lifetime annuity, often based on years of service and salary—has been declining for decades as companies shift to defined contribution plans such as 401(k)s. But each time a pension plan is terminated, canceled or altered, thousands of workers are affected.

Last month, the 70,000 participants in the United Parcel Service Inc. pension plan learned they won’t earn increased benefits if they work after 2022. Late last year DuPont Co. announced it would stop making payments into its pension plan for 13,000 active employees, and Yum! Brands Inc. offered some former employees a lump-sum buyout to offload some of its pension liabilities. General Electric Co. has a major problem. The company ended its defined benefit plan for new hires in 2012, but its primary plan, covering about 467,000 people, is one of the largest in the U.S. And at $31 billion, GE’s pension shortfall is the biggest in the S&P 500.

Pubblicato in: Economia e Produzione Industriale, Problemi militari

USS Gerald R. Ford. Una portaerei da cui non si decolla né si atterra. 12.9 mld Usd. Gli F-35, poi…

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2017-06-23.

2017-06-16__Portaerei Ford__001

Le forze armate americane hanno subito in pochi giorni due smacchi sensazionali: uno con la USS Gerald R Ford, una portaerei con problemi di atterraggio e decollo, poi con la saga degli F-35, sui quali si blocca l’erogatore di ossigeno.

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USS Gerald R. Ford.

A prima vista potrebbe sembrare una domanda idiota il chiedersi a cosa possa servire una portaerei se poi gli aeroplani non riescano ad atterrarvi sopra e nemmeno a ripartirne.

Ma poi, nei fatti, non è una domanda idiota: è il caso della USS Gerald R. Ford.

«The newest and costliest U.S. aircraft carrier, praised by President Donald Trump and delivered to the Navy on May 31 with fanfare, has been dogged by trouble with fundamentals: launching jets from its deck and catching them when they land»

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«Now, it turns out that the system used to capture jets landing on the USS Gerald R. Ford ballooned in cost, tripling to $961 million from $301 million»

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«While the Navy says the landing system has been fixed, the next-generation carrier built by Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. still hasn’t been cleared to launch F/A-18 jets carrying a full complement of fuel tanks under their wings, a handicap that could limit their effectiveness in combat»

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«Until the catapult problem, which was discovered in 2014, is resolved it limits how much combat fuel can be carried in planes being launched from the carrier’s deck»

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«scoffed at the carrier’s troubled electromagnetic launch system …. the Navy should stick with an old-fashioned steam-driven catapult ….The digital costs hundreds of millions of dollars more money and it’s no good.»

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F-35.

F-35 fighters grounded indefinitely over oxygen issues [Cnn]

Dozens of F-35 fighter jets grounded in US due to oxygen deprivation [Guardian]

US F-35 fighter jets grounded over pilot oxygen supplies [BBC]

In sintesi: l’erogatore di ossigeno di bordo non funziona ed i piloti vanno in anossia. A latere, la cabina non mantiene la pressurizzazione.

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«The Lockheed Martin-made F-35A fighter jets were declared combat ready by the Air Force last year, and F-35s have now deployed to Japan and Europe»

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«An F-35 fighter wing will remain grounded as the service works to identify the cause of five incidents where pilots suffered from oxygen deprivation problems, the Air Force said Monday. …. The 56th Fighter Wing at Luke Air Force Base in Arizona suspended all F-35A flights last week after the five pilots experienced hypoxia-like symptoms, Air Force. …. The pilots all used their backup oxygen to land the planes safely.»

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«For military jets, oxygen deprivation has been a nagging problem.»

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«Navy investigators had identified 382 cases, including 130 that involved some form of oxygen contamination, and 114 with a failure of the jet’s system that maintains cabin pressure.»

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Questi elementi ben si presterebbero a satire e facezie, che vorremmo evitare.

Tuttavia alcune considerazioni di ordine generale sembrerebbero emergere.

– Il livello degli ingegneri progettisti sta decadendo sempre più rapidamente nel tempo.

– Se è vero che tutti i grandi progetti richiedono un certo quale lasso di tempo per funzionare pienamente a regime, è altrettanto vero che i difetti dovrebbero emergere durante le simulazioni ed il periodo di prova, non dopo che sia stato dato l’ok operativo. Chi ha concesso il permesso di operatività dovrebbe essere rinviato a giudizio.

– i progettisti di ottanta anni fa, con regolo e buon senso, avevano progettato le portaerei che fecero vincere agli Stati Uniti la guerra sul mare. Esattamente come i loro colleghi nel ramo aeronautico avevano progettato e costruito i mitici B-17 e B-25. Alcuni progettisti, protetti dall’anonimato, hanno ammesso sconsolato che quelli non avevano femmine per i piedi.

– i progettisti di questa generazione hanno una fede infantile nelle nuove tecnologie e si illudono che elettronica, software ed intelligenza artificiale possano rimediare alle loro lacune matematiche, nel settore della fisica e della scienza dei materiali. Fanno un figurone nei salotti e nelle trasmissioni televisive, ma sul lavoro sono solo iettature. Ma come ingegneri, specie quelli meccanici, si qualificano con quello che producono.


Bloomberg. 2017-06-15. New U.S. Carrier Hobbled by Flaws in Launching, Landing Planes

– Landing system costs soared to fix flaws during development

– Carrier still can’t launch jets with full extra fuel tanks

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The newest and costliest U.S. aircraft carrier, praised by President Donald Trump and delivered to the Navy on May 31 with fanfare, has been dogged by trouble with fundamentals: launching jets from its deck and catching them when they land.

Now, it turns out that the system used to capture jets landing on the USS Gerald R. Ford ballooned in cost, tripling to $961 million from $301 million, according to Navy documents obtained by Bloomberg News.

While the Navy says the landing system has been fixed, the next-generation carrier built by Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. still hasn’t been cleared to launch F/A-18 jets carrying a full complement of fuel tanks under their wings, a handicap that could limit their effectiveness in combat.

The twin issues underscore the technical and cost challenges for the planned three-ship, $42 billion Ford class of carriers that is drawing increased congressional scrutiny. The Navy and Trump want to increase the carrier fleet from 11 authorized by law to 12.

Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman John McCain has long criticized the Navy’s management of the Ford program and joined a congressional effort that capped funding for the Ford at $12.9 billion and for a second ship under construction, the John F. Kennedy, at $11.4 billion. He’s likely to grill Navy officials about the newly disclosed landing system costs and troubled launch system during a hearing Thursday on the Navy budget.

General Atomics

The surge in costs for the development phase of the advanced arresting gear — built by General Atomics to catch planes landing — was borne by the Navy under terms of that contract. In addition, the program acquisition costs of the three systems built so far more than doubled to $532 million each from $226 million, an increase which must be paid by closely held General Atomics.

General Atomics spokeswoman Meghan Ehlke referred all questions to the Navy “per our contract.” Captain Thurraya Kent, a Navy spokeswoman, said the contractor forfeited all bonus fees it could have made during the 2009-2016 development phase and the service is reviewing the company’s master schedule for the John F. Kennedy weekly. The Navy also has placed personnel at the company’s facility in Rancho Bernardo, California, to monitor progress.

The Navy reported the cost increase to Congress last month because it breached thresholds established under a 1982 law for major weapons systems. It’s separate from the 22 percent increase since 2010 for construction of the carrier, which resulted in Congress imposing the $12.9 billion cost cap.

Trump, who has repeatedly complained about the high cost of major weapons systems — and then taken credit for reining them in — did that in a Coast Guard commencement address on May 17. The Ford “had a little bit of an overrun problem before I got here, you know that. Still going to have an overrun problem; we came in when it was finished, but we’re going to save some good money.”

‘It’s No Good’

Trump said “when we build the new aircraft carriers, they’re going to be built under budget and ahead of schedule, just remember that.” Still, the Government Accountability Office said in a new report Tuesday that the John F. Kennedy’s cost estimate “is not reliable and does not address lessons learned” from the Ford’s performance.

Trump scoffed at the carrier’s troubled electromagnetic launch system in a Time magazine interview last month, saying it doesn’t work and “you have to be Albert Einstein to figure it out.” Saying the Navy should stick with an old-fashioned steam-driven catapult, he added, “The digital costs hundreds of millions of dollars more money and it’s no good.”

Until the catapult problem, which was discovered in 2014, is resolved it limits how much combat fuel can be carried in planes being launched from the carrier’s deck.

That “would preclude normal employment” of the F/A-18E/F Super Hornet and the radar-jamming Growler version because “the aircraft are limited in the types of missions that they can accomplish” without added under-wing fuel tanks, Army Lieutenant Colonel Roger Cabiness, spokesman for the Pentagon’s testing office, said in an email. He said the Navy asserts that testing on the ground has solved a software flaw that caused excessive vibrations of those fuel tanks.

“The Navy estimates the software problem will be resolved and software updates incorporated” on the carrier for testing at sea during the vessel’s post-shakedown phase between May and November of 2018, Michael Land, spokesman for the Naval Air Systems Command, said in an email. He said actual launches of jets with wing tanks will follow in 2019.

The Navy still has time to fix the catapult issue. Though the Ford has been delivered, the ship is not scheduled to be declared ready for operations until 2020, with first actual deployment planned for about 2022, according to spokeswoman Kent.


→ Cnn. 2017-06-16. F-35 fighters grounded indefinitely over oxygen issues

Washington (CNN)An F-35 fighter wing will remain grounded as the service works to identify the cause of five incidents where pilots suffered from oxygen deprivation problems, the Air Force said Monday.

The 56th Fighter Wing at Luke Air Force Base in Arizona suspended all F-35A flights last week after the five pilots experienced hypoxia-like symptoms, Air Force spokesman Capt. Mark Graff said in a statement. The pilots all used their backup oxygen to land the planes safely.

The Air Force had expected to lift the grounding measure over the weekend, but said Monday that flight operations will remain on hold until a coordinated analysis of the problem is complete. An updated timetable to resume flights was not provided, with the Air Force saying only “we will take as much time as necessary” to ensure pilot safety.

“The 56th Fighter Wing will continue their pause in local F-35A flying to coordinate analysis and communication between pilots, maintainers, medical professionals and a team of military and industry experts,” said Air Force spokesperson Maj. Rebecca Heyse in a written statement.

“This coordination will include technical analysis of the physiological incidents to date and discussions on possible risk mitigation options to enable a return to flying operations,” she added.

There are 55 F-35As at Luke Air Force Base. Graff said that it’s still not clear what caused the oxygen incidents, but said that the pause was confined to Luke because “no other incidents have been reported” at any other Air Force bases since May 2.

The Luke F-35 grounding is the latest setback for the $400 billion F-35 program, a long delayed and over-budget weapons system that’s become the Pentagon’s most expensive in history. The Air Force grounded 10 of its F-35 fighters last year due to insulation problems, and last month the Air Force announced it had resolved an ejection seat issue that had led to a weight restriction being imposed on pilots.

The Lockheed Martin-made F-35A fighter jets were declared combat ready by the Air Force last year, and F-35s have now deployed to Japan and Europe.

The F-35A is the Air Force variant of the Joint Strike Fighter: The F-35B Marine Corps variant was declared combat-ready in 2015, and the F-35C Nary variant is supposed to be combat operational next year.

President Donald Trump has taken a personal interest in the F-35 program, slamming the costs as “out of control” and then getting involved in the Pentagon’s contract negotiations with Lockheed Martin. He took credit for generating $700 million in savings in the $8.5 billion contract for the latest batch of F-35 fighters.

For military jets, oxygen deprivation has been a nagging problem.

The Navy’s F/A-18 fighter jet pilots experienced a rising rate of “physiological episodes,” Navy officials told Congress in March.

Navy investigators had identified 382 cases, including 130 that involved some form of oxygen contamination, and 114 with a failure of the jet’s system that maintains cabin pressure.

The Air Force’s F-22 fighter pilots also struggled with hypoxia-like symptoms back in 2012, which led to limitations on F-22 flights until the issue was resolved. The Air Force said Friday that the F-35 program office has created a team of “engineers, maintainers and aeromedical specialists to examine the incidents to better understand the issue.”

 

Pubblicato in: Senza categoria, Vignette Umoristiche

Tempi moderni. Una barzelletta per sorridere.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2017-07-23.

Gufo_019__

Spengler. Il Tramonto dell’Occidente.

Spengler aveva visto lontano!

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Un uomo entra in una casa isolata dove trova una giovane coppia che dorme tranquillamente.

Lega l’uomo sulla sedia da un lato della stanza e lega la donna sul letto dal lato opposto.

Si avvicina alla giovane donna e le sussurra qualcosa all’orecchio …

poi va di corsa in bagno. Il marito, a fatica, si avvicina con la sedia alla moglie e mormora:

– Cara questo è appena scappato dalla prigione, ho visto che ti ha baciata sul collo … probabilmente non vede una donna da anni… qualunque cosa ti domandi obbedisci e fai finta che ti piaccia, è una questione di sopravvivenza, sii forte, ti amo.

La moglie mezza nuda, si sposta il bavaglio e dice:

– Caro, sono felice che tu la prenda così, ma non mi ha baciata sul collo … mi ha sussurrato che sei carino e mi ha chiesto se avevamo della vasellina in bagno … si forte, ti amo!

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Giustizia, Trump

Trump. Il Senato approva la nomina di Mr Busch. Il puzzle si sta completando.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2017-07-23.

Centro 001

La 6th Circuit Court of Appeals ha le seguenti competenze territoriali.

«The United States Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit (in case citations, 6th Cir.) is a federal court with appellate jurisdiction over the district courts in the following districts:

    Eastern District of Kentucky

    Western District of Kentucky

    Eastern District of Michigan

    Western District of Michigan

    Northern District of Ohio

    Southern District of Ohio

    Eastern District of Tennessee

    Middle District of Tennessee

    Western District of Tennessee» [Fonte]

È composta di sedici giudici federali, cinque democratici ed undici repubblicani.

2017-07-20__Sesto_Circuito__001

Il Senato ha approvato 51 – 47 la nomina a vita del giudice John K. Bush, 53enne.

«He is a partner at the firm and is co-chair of the firm’s litigation department. He specializes in complex litigation, including antitrust, securities, financial institutions, insurance, intellectual property, and product liability disputes. He has extensive litigation experience in state and federal courts in many jurisdictions and in arbitration proceedings.»

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I liberals democratici hanno scatenato un bailamme incredibile.

Le parole della Naral sono eloquenti.

«Bush has already given us a glimpse into his thinking thanks to his extensive (and shady) blogging, which makes it clear that he’s anti-woman, anti-LGBTQ, and anti-progressive, just like the administration that nominated him. ….

Has a long record of pushing anti-choice policies …. »

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Il motivo di tanta acrimonia è detto dalla stressa Naral: “just like the administration that nominated him”

Siamo chiari: sarebbe stato un po’ strano se Mr Trump avesse nominato a giudice a vita un democratico.

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Sulla importanza delle corti federali e della suprema corte abbiamo già esposto.

Trump ed il nodo della Supreme Court.

Trump. Silurato ed affondato l’Office of Congressional Ethics.

Potentially nasty fight looms over Trump U.S. Supreme Court pick

Guerra civile americana. Si avvicina lo scontro finale.

Giudice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Decano della Corte Suprema degli Stati Uniti.

Trump. Marcia verso la conquista del vero potere. – Bbc.

Trump. White House non chiederà più parere consultivo alla Bar.

Trump. Deobamizza 46 procure federali.


The Washington Times. 2017-07-20. Senate confirms John Bush, Trump’s 6th Circuit Court pick

The Senate confirmed John K. Bush for a lifetime seat on the 6th Circuit Court of Appeals on Thursday, over protests from Democrats who said he wasn’t fit to be a federal judge.

The Senate voted 51-47 to put him on the federal bench despite criticism from Democrats on the Senate Judiciary Committee of Mr. Bush for having made controversial writings, where in one particular blog, he equated the Supreme Court’s legal rulings on slavery and abortion. Sen. John McCain, Arizona Republican, and Sen. Debbie Stabenow, Michigan Democrat, did not vote.

The Judiciary Committee moved Mr. Bush’s confirmation to the Senate floor on a party line vote last week, but the full Senate voted on Thursday to clear him, making Mr. Bush the fourth judicial nominee of President Trump’s to be confirmed.

Sen. Richard Blumenthal, Connecticut Democrat, criticized Mr. Bush’s blog posts, quoting one where Mr. Bush wrote, “The two greatest tragedies in our country — slavery and abortion — relied on similar reasoning and activist judges on the Supreme Court.”

“Never mind that this statement is absurd on its face…what concerns me at this moment is how this is the best statement of his views on the constitutionality of women’s‘ reproductive rights we have heard,” Mr. Blumenthal said.

Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse, Rhode Island Democrat, called Mr. Bush a “freak.”

Democrats have accused Mr. Bush of promoting the idea that former President Obama had been born in Kenya, by linking in a blog to a World Net Daily piece that involved a reporter traveling to Kenya to explore the issue. Mr. Obama has repeatedly released documentation showing that he was born in Hawaii.

Mr. Bush denied during his confirmation hearing that he was promoting the “birther” theory.

Nan Aron, president of the progressive Alliance for Justice, said Mr. Bush’s confirmation was “a new low for both the Senate and the federal judiciary.”

“We commend Democratic Senators who stood in opposition to this nominee; this whole deal reeks, and we feel for the litigants who will have to face Judge Bush in court someday,” said Ms. Aron.

But Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Kentucky Republican, has praised the Louisville, Kentucky attorney as “a man of integrity and considerable ability.”

“I think we can agree that it is not common for current or former leaders of Planned Parenthood to praise the judicial nominees of Republican presidents,” Mr. McConnell said. “But more than one has praised the president’s nomination of John Bush.”

As a judge on the 6th Circuit Court of Appeals, Mr. Bush will hear cases from Kentucky, Tennessee, Ohio and Michigan.

Mr. Bush is the fourth out of the president’s 29 judicial nominees to be confirmed. Mr. Trump’s second judicial nominee, Judge Amul Thapar, was confirmed to the 6th Circuit Court of Appeals in May.

“It is good to see Bush confirmed, but dozens of judicial nominees continue to languish in the Senate, where Senate Democrats continue to obstruct and delay,” said Carrie Severino, chief counsel at the conservative Judicial Crisis Network.

Republicans say that many of Mr. Trump’s federal court picks are being held up because Democrats haven’t returned blue slips, signing off on the nominees. Traditionally, home state Senators return blue slips for nominees from their states if they approve of the pick.

But the top Democrat on the Judiciary Committee Sen. Dianne Feinstein of California said her Democratic colleagues aren’t abusing the blue slip tradition, but are “doing their due diligence in reviewing these nominees.”

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Putin

Putin. Si dica ciò che si vuole ma è uno che ha la visione storica.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2017-07-22.

2017-07-18__Theotokos Monastery

Per far comprendere meglio questo laconico annuncio del Kremlino, riportiamo alcuni estratti dai discorsi di Mr Putin a Valdai.

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Occidente che muta. 01. Putin, Valdai e la Santa Pasqua.

«We also understand that identity and a national idea cannot be imposed from above, cannot be established on an ideological monopoly. Such a construction is very unstable and vulnerable; we know this from personal experience. It has no future in the modern world. We need historical creativity, a synthesis of the best national practices and ideas, an understanding of our cultural, spiritual and political traditions from different points of view, and to understand that [national identity] is not a rigid thing that will last forever, but rather a living organism»

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«We must be proud of our history, and we have things to be proud of. Our entire, uncensored history must be a part of Russian identity. Without recognising this it is impossible to establish mutual trust and allow society to move forward»

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«We can see how many of the Euro-Atlantic countries are actually rejecting their roots, including the Christian values that constitute the basis of Western civilisation. They are denying moral principles and all traditional identities: national, cultural, religious and even sexual. They are implementing policies that equate large families with same-sex partnerships, belief in God with the belief in Satan.»

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«The excesses of political correctness have reached the point where people are seriously talking about registering political parties whose aim is to promote paedophilia. People in many European countries are embarrassed or afraid to talk about their religious affiliations.»

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«Holidays are abolished or even called something different; their essence is hidden away, as is their moral foundation. And people are aggressively trying to export this model all over the world.»

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«Today almost all developed nations are no longer able to reproduce themselves, even with the help of migration. Without the values embedded in Christianity and other world religions, without the standards of morality that have taken shape over millennia, people will inevitably lose their human dignity. We consider it natural and right to defend these values. One must respect every minority’s right to be different, but the rights of the majority must not be put into question.»

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Valdai. Mr Putin delinea la futura politica estera russa.

«The expanding class of the supranational oligarchy and bureaucracy, which is in fact often not elected and not controlled by society»

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«Essentially, the entire globalisation project is in crisis today and in Europe, as we know well, we hear voices now saying that multiculturalism has failed»

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«In their euphoria, they essentially abandoned substantive and equal dialogue with other actors in international life, chose not to improve or create universal institutions, and attempted instead to bring the entire world under the spread of their own organisations, norms and rules»

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«But far from everyone was ready to agree with this»

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«If the powers that be today find some standard or norm to their advantage, they force everyone else to comply.»

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Mr Putin è il più grande restauratore in Russia di chiese e religione dai tempi di Ivan IV.

Non sta certo a noi esprimere giudizi se sia o meno religioso: di fatto però ha come minimo compreso quanto il fattore religioso compenetri la tradizione umana e quella russa in modo particolare. Sempre in via riduttiva, la religione ha cementato il popolo russo nelle più severe avversità.

Come a suo tempo Napoleone restaurò la Chiesa dopo l’ondata giacobina, così sta facendo Mr Putin dopo il settantennio comunista.

Si noti la sobria finezza sul tentativo di ricucire com gli Stati Uniti.


Kremlin. The President of Russia. 2017-07-13. Visit to Konevsky Monastery

During his visit to Konevets Island on Lake Ladoga, Vladimir Putin was briefed on the large-scale project to restore the Konevsky Nativity of the Theotokos Monastery and met with representatives of the Vyborg Diocese.

In particular, Father Sergius told the President about the activity of the drug rehabilitation centre he established several years ago, which accepts not only Russians but also citizens of other countries.

Previously, the centre worked in close contact with the Federal Drug Control Service (the service was abolished in accordance with the Presidential Executive Order of April 5, 2016, which transferred its functions to the Interior Ministry’s Main Directorate for Drug Control). Members of the clergy asked the President to help establish cooperation with the agency following its reorganisation.

Vladimir Putin discussed the matter over the phone with Interior Minister Vladimir Kolokoltsev and issued the necessary instructions, emphasising the great importance of rehabilitating addicts and fighting drug addiction, as well as the importance of cooperation between NGOs and the ministry in this context.