Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Devoluzione socialismo, Geopolitica Mondiale, Stati Uniti

Midterm. Il nuovo Congresso Gop potrebbe abbandonare Zelensky.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-12-02.

Moscow Bolshaya Lubyanka 001

                         Guerra Russia-NATO: con la Camera a guida repubblicana, il sostegno degli Stati Uniti all’Ucraina diminuirà. L’Ucraina sta provocando una vera e propria guerra diretta tra Russia e NATO? E se non dovesse avere successo, la credibilità dell’Ucraina agli occhi dell’Occidente, nell’era della guerra dell’informazione, ne risulterebbe compromessa? Soprattutto, il fallimento dell’Ucraina influirà negativamente sull’afflusso di miliardi di dollari statunitensi (in denaro e in natura), soprattutto quando i repubblicani controlleranno la Camera dei Rappresentanti dopo le elezioni di midterm degli Stati Uniti?.

                         Il ministro degli Esteri ucraino Dmytro Kuleba si è unito al suo presidente, affermando che la Russia ora promuove una teoria cospirativa secondo cui sarebbe stato un missile della difesa aerea ucraina a cadere sulla teoria polacca. Il che non è vero. E tutto questo nonostante il punto più vicino alla Russia al luogo dell’esplosione in Polonia sia a circa 580 chilometri (360 miglia) di distanza, molto più lontano della portata del sistema S-300, che secondo gli esperti è di circa 90 chilometri (56 miglia).

                         La situazione sta diventando ridicola. Gli ucraini stanno distruggendo la [nostra] fiducia in loro. Nessuno incolpa l’Ucraina e loro mentono apertamente. Questo è più distruttivo del missile. Le teorie cospiratorie sull’incidente missilistico in Polonia potrebbero indebolire la sua credibilità in un momento in cui sono stati sollevati dubbi sul valore degli aiuti continui. Questa apprensione è particolarmente pertinente ora che i repubblicani controlleranno la Camera dei Rappresentanti degli Stati Uniti, che ha già dato all’Ucraina oltre 20 miliardi di dollari e si è impegnata a fornirne altri 40 per i suoi sforzi bellici.

                         I repubblicani e gli indipendenti di orientamento repubblicano hanno fatto campagna elettorale durante le elezioni di metà mandato appena concluse negli Stati Uniti, sostenendo che Washington sta fornendo un sostegno eccessivo all’Ucraina nella guerra. Penso che la gente si troverà in una situazione di recessione e non scriverà un assegno in bianco all’Ucraina. Si può notare che una fazione di estrema destra tra i repubblicani, tra cui i sostenitori dell’ex presidente Donald Trump, ha spinto sempre più contro la prosecuzione dell’assistenza all’Ucraina, affermando che i miliardi che gli Stati Uniti hanno fornito a Kiev sono troppo costosi e non valgono il rischio di scatenare un conflitto più ampio con la Russia.

                         Ad aprile, dieci repubblicani della Camera hanno votato contro una legge che permetteva all’amministrazione Biden di prestare attrezzature militari all’Ucraina. Il mese successivo, 57 repubblicani hanno votato no a un pacchetto di aiuti all’Ucraina da quasi 40 miliardi di dollari. Entrambe le misure, tuttavia, alla fine sono passate alla Camera. Ma Zelenskyy sta rendendo il compito di Biden un po’ più difficile con le sue dichiarazioni irresponsabili.

* * * * * * *

«Russia-NATO war: with republican-led House, will US support for Ukraine dwindle. Is Ukraine provoking a full-fledged direct war between Russia and NATO? And if it does not succeed, will Ukraine’s credibility in the Western eyes in this age of information war be hampered? Above all, will Ukraine’s failure adversely affects the inflow of billions of US dollars (in cash and kind), mainly when the Republicans will control the House of Representatives following the US midterm elections?»

«Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba has joined his President, saying, Russia now promotes a conspiracy theory that it was allegedly a missile of Ukrainian air defense that fell on the Polish theory. Which is not true. And all this despite Russia’s closest point to the blast site in Poland is about 580 kilometers (360 miles) away, far further than the range of the S-300 system, which experts say is around 90 kilometers (56 miles)»

«This is getting ridiculous. The Ukrainians are destroying [our] confidence in them. Nobody is blaming Ukraine, and they are openly lying. This is more destructive than the missile. Conspiracy theories on the missile incident in Poland could weaken its credibility at a time when questions have been raised about the value of continued aid. This apprehension is particularly pertinent now that the Republicans will control the House of Representatives in the United States, which has already given Ukraine over 20 billion dollars and committed to providing nearly 40 billion dollars more in its war efforts.»

«Republicans and Republican-leaning independents campaigned during the just concluded mid-term elections in the US that Washington is providing too much support for Ukraine in the war. I think people are going to be sitting in a recession, and they’re not going to write a blank check to Ukraine. It may be noted that a far-right faction among the Republicans, including supporters of former President Donald Trump, has increasingly pushed against continued assistance to Ukraine, saying the billions the US has provided to Kyiv is too costly and not worth the risk of sparking a wider conflict with Russia.»

«In April, ten House Republicans voted against a bill allowing the Biden administration to lend military equipment to Ukraine. The following month, 57 House Republicans voted “no” on a nearly $40 billion aid package for Ukraine. Both measures ultimately passed the chamber, however. But Zelenskyy is seen to be making Biden’s task a little more challenging with his irresponsible utterances»

* * * * * * *


Russia-NATO War: With Republican-Led House, Will US Support For Ukraine Dwindle After ‘Fake Claim’ By Zelensky?

Is Ukraine provoking a full-fledged direct war between Russia and NATO? And if it does not succeed, will Ukraine’s credibility in the Western eyes in this age of information war be hampered?

Above all, will Ukraine’s failure adversely affects the inflow of billions of US dollars (in cash and kind), mainly when the Republicans will control the House of Representatives following the US midterm elections?

Since the answers are interrelated, one may begin with the developments over the last five days that have led to these questions.

On Tuesday evening (November 15), an S-300 missile landed in Poland (the Polish village of Przewodow, about six kilometers from the Ukrainian border), killing two people. The missile, initial reports said, had landed next to an area of a farm where employees load and weigh grain, destroying a nearby building.

                         Zelenskyy Adamant That It Was A Russian Missile

Whose missile was that? Poland, NATO, and the US say that the missile attack appeared unintentional and was probably launched by air defenses in neighboring Ukraine.

“Ukraine’s defense was launching their missiles in various directions, and it is highly probable that one of these missiles, unfortunately, fell on Polish territory,” said Polish President Andrzej Duda. “There is nothing, absolutely nothing, to suggest that it was an intentional attack on Poland,” he asserted.

Similarly, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg has said that “preliminary analysis suggests that the incident was likely caused by a Ukrainian air defense missile fired to defend Ukrainian territory against Russian cruise missile attacks.” According to him, “there was no indication this was the result of a deliberate attack,” nor any indication it was a result of “offensive military actions against NATO.”

At the same time, Stoltenberg made it clear that as Ukraine was probably defending against the Russian missile attacks by this defensive missile, it could have been accidentally fired into Polish territory.

However, despite NATO exonerating Ukraine — and even the injured party, Poland accepting the missile strike was an “isolated incident” and reiterating its support for Ukraine — Kyiv continues to defend itself and says it was a Russian attack on Poland.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is adamant that Russia fired the missile. And this he continues to say even after US President Joe Biden has dismissed his comments by saying, “Zelenskyy’s comments did not amount to evidence as NATO and Poland concluded that the missile was probably a stray fired by Ukraine’s air defenses.”

It may be noted that soon after the missile attack, Zelenskyy called it  a Russian “attack on collective security.” And in a Wednesday morning speech, he called the incident a Russian “missile attack” and said separately that Polish citizens were killed because of “Russian missile terror.”

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba has joined his President, saying, “Russia now promotes a conspiracy theory that it was allegedly a missile of Ukrainian air defense that fell on the Polish theory. Which is not true.”

Zelenskyy is not even impressed by what US President Joe Biden has said in Bali during the recent G-20 summit.

Asked if the missile was fired from  Russia, Biden had said: “There is preliminary information that contests that. I don’t want to say that until we completely investigate. But it is unlikely in the minds [sic] of its trajectory that it was fired from Russia.”

But Zelenskyy stresses, “It was not our missile and not our missile strike…. I do not doubt [Tuesday’s] report to me personally — from the Commander of the Air Force to Commander-in-Chief [Valeriy] Zaluzhny — that it was not our missile and not our missile strike.”

And all this despite Russia’s closest point to the blast site in Poland is about 580 kilometers (360 miles) away, far further than the range of the S-300 system, which experts say is around 90 kilometers (56 miles). Incidentally, both Russia and Ukraine possess these S-300 defense systems.

                         Zelenskyy’s Efforts To Convince The West 

Why is Zelenskyy so adamant? He knows that if NATO believes in his version, direct war with Russia by the military alliance could be a logical result.

Poland is a NATO member, and Article 5 of the alliance’s charter states that “an armed attack against one or more of [the members] in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all” and that force can be used in response.

It may be noted that the collective defense clause has been invoked only once in NATO history, after the 9/11 attacks in the United States. NATO forces were subsequently deployed to Afghanistan.

Article 5 says that each member of NATO must take “such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area.” It also authorizes the alliance to launch an armed response, but the wording is broad and leaves room for other types of action.

Article 4 of the NATO charter allows members to bring any issue of concern, especially related to security, for discussion at the North Atlantic Council, the alliance’s political decision-making body.

Article 4 has been invoked seven times since NATO was established in 1949. It was used most recently by Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Romania, and Slovakia to hold meetings after Russia invaded Ukraine.

But Poland did not deem it fit to use this clause after the missile attack on Tuesday, which it described as accidental, and that too by Ukraine, whom it is supporting in the war against Russia.

                         NATO Vs. Russia The End Goal?

It may be noted, however, that when Russia invaded Ukraine in February, NATO activated its Response Force — a multinational conglomerate of land, air, sea, and special-operations personnel numbering 40,000 — for the first time in its history.

As part of the activation, NATO dispatched troops to countries bordering Russia and Ukraine, including Romania and Hungary, to augment the battle groups already stationed in the Baltic States and Poland.

But NATO will not fight Russia over this missile attack, contrary to what President Zelenskyy might have thought (if at all). On the other hand, his remarks on the incident could negatively impact Ukraine’s credibility “at a pivotal moment in Putin’s deadly war,” according to a senior NATO official.

“This is getting ridiculous. The Ukrainians are destroying [our] confidence in them. Nobody is blaming Ukraine, and they are openly lying. This is more destructive than the missile,” he said.

There are merits in the arguments in certain Western quarters that as propaganda wins have helped Ukraine as much as battlefield victories in garnering support for its war against Russia, a Ukrainian overreaction and dismissal of valid concerns as conspiracy theories on the missile incident in Poland could weaken its credibility at a time when questions have been raised about the value of continued aid.

This apprehension is particularly pertinent now that the Republicans will control the House of Representatives in the United States, which has already given Ukraine over 20 billion dollars and committed to providing nearly 40 billion dollars more in its war efforts.

With record high inflation, political standoff with Russia, and rapidly growing national debt, Republicans and Republican-leaning independents campaigned during the just concluded mid-term elections in the US that Washington is providing too much support for Ukraine in the war.

“I think people are going to be sitting in a recession, and they’re not going to write a blank check to Ukraine,” House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, who will now be the House Speaker, recently told the press. “They just won’t do it.”

It may be noted that a far-right faction among the Republicans, including supporters of former President Donald Trump, has increasingly pushed against continued assistance to Ukraine, saying the billions the US has provided to Kyiv is too costly and not worth the risk of sparking a wider conflict with Russia.

In April, ten House Republicans voted against a bill allowing the Biden administration to lend military equipment to Ukraine. The following month, 57 House Republicans voted “no” on a nearly $40 billion aid package for Ukraine. Both measures ultimately passed the chamber, however.

Similarly,  the Biden Administration will, in all probability, find ways to meet the new Republican challenge as the majority in the US still support the territorial integrity of Ukraine.

But Zelenskyy is seen to be making Biden’s task a little more challenging with his “irresponsible” utterances.

Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Devoluzione socialismo, Russia

Ukraina. La Russia è a metà dell’opera. Con l’inverno la rete elettrica sarà distrutta.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-12-02.

Mela con il Coltello tra i Denti.

Cercando di capire cosa stia succedendo nei fatti, dalla ridda di informazioni contrastanti sembrerebbe emergere che gli attacchi russi alle infrastrutture energetiche e termiche ukraine ne abbiano dimezzato la capacità.

Tenendo conto che questo risultato è stato ottenuto in circa due mesi di attacchi, sembrerebbe lecito inferire che tra altri due mesi l’intera rete elettrica ukraina dovrebbe essere messa fuori uso, con tutte le conseguenze che ne derivano.

Gli articoli pubblicati dai media di regime sono davvero folkloristici, ai limiti del ridicolo.

Ne riportiamo un solo esempio.

«un veterinario in camice blu e maschera facciale ha acceso una luce sul tavolo operatorio in una clinica buia mentre i colleghi operavano un cane malato nella tarda serata di giovedì»

La situazione non appare poi essere così miserevole come si dice essa sia.

Gli ukraini possono permettersi il lusso di operare dei cani, si pensi solo al costo dei materiali e della sterilizzazione. Ci fosse vera miseria il cane se lo sarebbero mangiato.

Poi, ragioniamo.

Se i produttori stessero fornendo il 70% dei bisogni energetici, come mai sarebbe possibile che la metà della popolazione stia al buio? Il conto non torna, proprio per nulla.

* * * * * * *

                         Quasi la metà dei residenti di Kiev è ancora senza elettricità. Attacchi russi sistematici e mirati per settimane hanno messo in ginocchio le infrastrutture energetiche dell’Ucraina mentre il Paese si avvia verso un gelido inverno, facendo temere una crisi sanitaria e un ulteriore esodo, a nove mesi dall’inizio della guerra. Metà dei consumatori è ancora senza elettricità.

                         Durante il giorno, le compagnie energetiche prevedono di ricollegare l’elettricità a tutti i consumatori su base alternata. Venerdì a Kiev file di auto si sono accodate fuori dalle stazioni di servizio per fare rifornimento. Ukrenergo ha dichiarato che i produttori stanno fornendo più del 70% del fabbisogno in tutto il Paese.

                         Nel nord di Kiev, un veterinario in camice blu e maschera facciale ha acceso una luce sul tavolo operatorio in una clinica buia mentre i colleghi operavano un cane malato nella tarda serata di giovedì.

* * * * * * *

«Nearly half of Kyiv residents were still without electricity. Systematic and targeted Russian attacks for weeks have brought Ukraine’s energy infrastructure to its knees as the country careens towards a freezing winter, spurring fears of a health crisis and a further exodus, nine months into war. Half of consumers are still without electricity»

«During the day, energy companies plan to reconnect electricity for all consumers on an alternating basis. Lines of cars queued outside petrol stations in Kyiv on Friday to stock up. Ukrenergo said that producers were providing more than 70 percent of the need across the country.»

«In northern Kyiv, a vet in blue scrubs and a face mask shone a light over an operating table in a darkened clinic as colleagues operated on an ailing dog late Thursday»

* * * * * * *


Half of Kyiv residents still without electricity after strikes.

Issued on: 25/11/2022 – 12:10Modified: 25/11/2022 – 12:08

Nearly half of Kyiv residents were still without electricity on Friday as engineers battled to restore services two days after Russian strikes hammered the country’s energy grid.

Systematic and targeted Russian attacks for weeks have brought Ukraine’s energy infrastructure to its knees as the country careens towards a freezing winter, spurring fears of a health crisis and a further exodus, nine months into war.

Municipal workers struggled Friday to reconnect essential services such as heat and water as temperatures in Kyiv approached freezing and UK Foreign Secretary James Cleverly visited to announce a new aid package.

“Half of consumers are still without electricity,” Mayor Vitali Klitschko said. “A third of houses in Kyiv already have heating and specialists continue to restore it.”

“During the day, energy companies plan to reconnect electricity for all consumers on an alternating basis,” he wrote on Telegram.

Lines of cars queued outside petrol stations in Kyiv on Friday to stock up, AFP journalists said. Mobile networks in some areas were still experiencing disruptions.

Nationwide, repair work was ongoing, said Volodymyr Kudrytskyi, head of national electricity operator Ukrenergo, but insisted that “the most difficult stage” had passed.

Ukrenergo said that producers were providing more than 70 percent of the need across the country.

                         ‘We live like this now’

Millions of Ukrainians have endured the cold without power since Russia fired dozens of missiles and launched drone attacks at water and electricity facilities on Wednesday.

“Yes, this is a difficult situation and yes, it can happen again. But Ukraine can cope,” presidential advisor Mykhailo Podolyak said on television.

With gas for cooking and heating disconnected in her Kyiv apartment, Albina Bilogub told AFP that she and her children all sleep in the same room to stay warm.

“In our building, very few people have gas, so we go to the woman that I work for — I change her clothes because she is disabled — and we cook there,” she said.

“This is our life. One sweater, a second, a third. We live like this now.”

In northern Kyiv, a vet in blue scrubs and a face mask shone a light over an operating table in a darkened clinic as colleagues operated on an ailing dog late Thursday.

“We were in the middle of an operation and our lights turned off because a rocket fell not far away, so there was a power cut,” said Oleksiy Yankovenko.

“I had to finish the operation under the flashlights,” he added.

                         ‘Brutal attacks’

Ukraine’s Western allies have denounced the Russian attacks on energy as a “war crime”, coming in the wake of a string of military setbacks for Russia on the frontlines.

Moscow insists it targets only military linked infrastructure and blamed Kyiv for the blackouts, saying Ukraine can end the suffering by agreeing to Russian demands.

Britain’s foreign minister announced new aid for Ukraine during his visit to Kyiv, including ambulances and support for victims of sexual violence by Russian soldiers.

“As winter sets in, Russia is continuing to try and break Ukrainian resolve through its brutal attacks on civilians, hospitals and energy infrastructure,” Cleverly said.

“Russia will fail,” he said, vowing UK support “will continue for as long as it takes”.

The attacks on Ukraine’s grid are Russia’s latest strategy designed to force Ukrainian capitulation after Moscow’s forces failed to topple the government and capture Kyiv nine months after launching their invasion.

Russian forces have shelled the southern city of Kherson, from which they retreated earlier this month in their latest setback. The Ukrainian presidency said 11 people were killed and nearly 50 injured in the Kherson region on Thursday.

Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Cina, Devoluzione socialismo, Geopolitica Asiatica, Stati Uniti

Formosa. Il partito pro-China stravince le elezioni locali.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-12-01.

Formosa 014

I tempi sono mutati, capovolgendo nettamente le situazioni.

Con le elezioni di midterm gli Elettori hanno privato Joe Biden ed i liberal democratici del controllo del Congresso, ed i nuovi parlamentari Gop eletti hanno già annunciato che metteranno Joe Biden e suo figlio Hunter sotto processo.

Questo evento, rendendo Joe Biden impotente di legiferare e di agire, lascia immediatamente privi di protezione tutti coloro che furono suoi supporter. Sono quindi esposti a rappresaglie, come bene testimonia il caso Macron, già messo sotto processo in Francia per appropriazione di fondi elettorali.

Ma a livello mondiale gli orfani sono numerosi.

L’ultimo evento, prima impensato ed impensabile, è quello delle elezioni regionali a Formosa.

Il partito Kuomintang, dichiaratamente filo cinese, ha stravinto le elezioni, obbligando il premier a dimettersi dalla guida del partito governativo.

Ma si faccia attenzione! Dall’essere filo-cinese al volersi riunirsi con la Cia il passo è brevissimo.

* * * * * * *

                         La Presidente di Taiwan Tsai Ing-wen si è dimessa dalla carica di capo del Partito Democratico Progressista, dopo i risultati negativi ottenuti alle elezioni locali. Il Kuomintang (KMT), partito di opposizione, ha vinto diverse importanti elezioni sabato, anche nella capitale Taipei. Il voto ha attirato l’attenzione del mondo intero, in quanto Taiwan è diventato un punto di maggior tensione geopolitica tra Cina e Stati Uniti.

                         Le elezioni per i consigli comunali e i sindaci delle città sono teoricamente incentrate su questioni interne, come la criminalità, gli alloggi e il benessere sociale, e gli eletti non avranno voce in capitolo sulla politica di Taiwan nei confronti della Cina. Il principale partito di opposizione di Taiwan, il Kuomintang (KMT), ha conquistato sabato il controllo della carica di sindaco di Taipei, segnando una battuta d’arresto per la presidente Tsai Ing-wen, che aveva definito le elezioni locali come una sfida alla crescente bellicosità della Cina.

                         Il partito di Taiwan che vuole legami più forti con la Cina ha una nuova stella. Questo potrebbe anche influenzare le relazioni tra le due sponde dello Stretto, il che significa che la situazione è tenuta sotto stretta osservazione da Xi Jinping, che il mese scorso ha ottenuto il suo terzo mandato come leader. I risultati potrebbero produrre effetti a cascata che avrebbero importanti implicazioni per le elezioni presidenziali del 2024 e, a loro volta, per la situazione attraverso lo Stretto di Taiwan.

                         A ottobre, il Partito Comunista Cinese ha inserito nella propria costituzione il rifiuto dell’indipendenza di Taiwan e il Segretario di Stato americano Antony Blinken ha avvertito che Pechino sta cercando di accelerare la presa dell’isola. Credo che il partito al governo debba aiutarci a cercare la pace con la Cina, non la guerra. Non c’è prosperità senza pace.

                         Il KMT è avvantaggiato a Taipei, che ha una presenza significativa di elettori blu. Il partito è tradizionalmente favorito dall’establishment dell’isola e dagli elettori più anziani, mentre il DPP è più popolare tra gli agricoltori e la classe operaia taiwanese.

* * * * * * *

«Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen has resigned as head of the governing Democratic Progressive Party after its poor showing in local elections. The opposition Kuomintang (KMT) won several major races on Saturday, including in the capital Taipei. The vote has drawn global attention as Taiwan becomes a bigger geopolitical flashpoint between China and the US.»

«The elections for local councils and city mayors theoretically have a domestic focus, covering issues such as crime, housing and social welfare, and those elected will not have a direct say on Taiwan’s policy regarding China. Taiwan’s main opposition party the Kuomintang (KMT) won control of the Taipei mayorship on Saturday in a setback for President Tsai Ing-wen, who had framed the local elections as being about showing defiance to China’s rising bellicosity.»

«Taiwan Party That Wants Stronger Ties With China Has a New Star. That could also sway cross-strait relations, meaning it’s being watched closely by Xi Jinping, who secured his third term as leader last month. The results could produce cascading effects that would have important implications for the 2024 presidential election, and in turn, the situation across the Taiwan Strait»

«In October, China’s Communist Party enshrined its rejection of Taiwan’s independence into its constitution and US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has warned that Beijing was trying to speed up its seizure of the island. I think the ruling party should help us seek peace with China, not war. There is no prosperity without peace. The KMT has the advantage in Taipei, which has a significant presence of “blue” voters. The party is traditionally favored by the island’s establishment and older voters, while the DPP has been more popular among farmers and working-class Taiwanese.»

* * * * * * *


Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen quits as party chair after local elections.

«Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen has resigned as head of the governing Democratic Progressive Party after its poor showing in local elections.

The opposition Kuomintang (KMT) won several major races on Saturday, including in the capital Taipei.

The vote has drawn global attention as Taiwan becomes a bigger geopolitical flashpoint between China and the US.

President Tsai had framed the election as a vote for democracy amid rising tensions with China.

“The election results were not as expected… I should shoulder all the responsibility and I resign as DPP chairwoman immediately,” Ms Tsai, who will continue as president of the self-ruled island, told reporters.

The elections for local councils and city mayors theoretically have a domestic focus, covering issues such as crime, housing and social welfare, and those elected will not have a direct say on Taiwan’s policy regarding China.

However, Ms Tsai and government officials urged voters to use the elections to send a message about standing up for democracy, as Beijing increases pressure on the island.»

* * * * * * *


Taiwan Opposition Wins Control of Taipei in Setback for President Tsai.

«Taipei. Taiwan’s main opposition party the Kuomintang (KMT) won control of the Taipei mayorship on Saturday in a setback for President Tsai Ing-wen, who had framed the local elections as being about showing defiance to China’s rising bellicosity.

The elections for mayors, county chiefs and local councilors are ostensibly about domestic issues such as the COVID-19 pandemic and crime, and those elected will not have a direct say on China policy.

But Tsai, who leads the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), had recast the election as being more than a local vote, saying the world is watching how Taiwan defends its democracy amid military tensions with China, which claims the island as its territory.»

* * * * * * *


Taiwan Party That Wants Stronger Ties With China Has a New Star.

(Bloomberg) — Chiang Wan-an was a teenager when his father sat him down to tell him about his heritage: he’s the great-grandson of Chiang Kai-shek, the Chinese Nationalist leader who fought Mao Zedong’s Communists forces before fleeing to Taiwan and ruled it with an iron fist.

Now the younger Chiang, who was a corporate lawyer in the US before entering Taiwan politics several years ago, is running for Taipei mayor in an election that could help restore the popularity of his famous ancestor’s political party, the Kuomintang. The once-dominant party, whose charter still calls for unification with China, has seen support wither.

Invigorated by Chiang’s youthful image and moderate approach on China, a KMT victory in the election Saturday could help the party’s chances at a comeback in national elections. That could also sway cross-strait relations, meaning it’s being watched closely by Xi Jinping, who secured his third term as leader last month.

“If Chiang wins, he could potentially revitalize the KMT by helping the party regain control of Taipei city and giving the party a prominent new political face,” said Russell Hsiao, executive director of the Washington-based Global Taiwan Institute. “The results could produce cascading effects that would have important implications for the 2024 presidential election, and in turn, the situation across the Taiwan Strait.”

The election is being held after a spike in tensions between Taiwan and China this year, with the People’s Liberation Army conducting a barrage of drills around the island. In October, China’s Communist Party enshrined its rejection of Taiwan’s independence into its constitution and US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has warned that Beijing was trying to speed up its seizure of the island. 

A meeting by US President Joe Biden and Xi on the sidelines of the Group of 20 summit this month appeared to ease escalation, but it’s unclear how long this will last. Biden has said the US would come to the island’s defense should it be attacked — something previous leaders have avoided expressing explicitly for fear of provoking China.

                         Security Concerns

Many voters, particularly older generations with an affinity for the KMT, see Chiang, 43, as the safe choice in these uncertain times. While he may lack the political experience of his main opponent Chen Shih-chung, the 68-year-old former Health Minister and candidate of the ruling Democratic Progressive Party, Chiang has gained a steady, if unremarkable, reputation as a lawmaker since winning a seat in 2016. 

Although issues in the upcoming ballot are mostly local, voters and political analysts say security concerns are at the top of people’s minds. 

“All I care about now is that I don’t want to see war happening in my life,” said Kathy Wang, a retired 70-year-old. She comes from what many Taiwan people describe as a “blue” family of KMT supporters, with connections to China. 

“I think the ruling party should help us seek peace with China, not war. There is no prosperity without peace,” she said. 

While polls have shown a majority of Taiwanese people are happy to maintain the status quo rather than seek unification or independence, her support for the KMT puts her in the minority. President Tsai Ing-wen of the DPP came to power in 2016 and was re-elected in 2020 as her vow to protect Taiwan’s autonomy proved popular amid a crackdown on Hong Kong’s pro-democracy movement. 

The KMT, also known as the Chinese Nationalist Party, once ruled China by reunifying a country fragmented by the collapse of its monarchy and battling Japanese invaders. Since moving to Taiwan as Mao’s forces advanced, the party has said it aims to retake the mainland and reunite China’s people, a goal now seen by many as out of date. 

More voters now see themselves as Taiwanese first and foremost, and fewer stand by the dual, Taiwanese-Chinese identity that was more common a few decades ago, viewing Beijing and the prospect of peaceful unification with skepticism. 

“I fear war, but I fear unification even more,” said Sabrina Hong, a 40-year-old local bank worker. “If KMT runs Taiwan’s government, maybe cross-strait ties will be less tense. But it’s concerning that Taiwan may eventually become part of China.”

While many feel that a stronger KMT could help avoid military conflict with China, others believe that the DPP government’s stance of keeping China at arm’s length, combined with support from Western allies, is the best way to extend the status quo.

Tsai hosted US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi on a visit in August, prompting China to cut off military and climate talks with the US and fire ballistic missiles over the island. While some saw the trip as provocation, many believe that bolstering Taiwan’s ties with the US and others such as Japan is key to preventing a takeover. 

Chiang showed he was well aware of such concerns during a two-hour debate in early November, emphasizing Taiwan’s democratic values and brushing off suggestions, including from Elon Musk, that Taiwan become a special administrative zone of China.

“There’s no need to even think about such a proposal. I’ll definitely oppose it to the end, and uphold the dignity of the Republic of China,” Chiang said, using the formal name of Taiwan. 

Chiang, whose campaign promises to address the capital’s aging infrastructure and declining population, is also helped by criticism over Chen’s tenure as health minister. Taiwan’s early success at reining in the spread of Covid-19 has been overshadowed by a late spike in cases and criticism over vaccine shortages. 

“He is more moderate and willing to listen,” said Dane Wang, a 43-year-old owner of a tech startup, adding that Chiang’s family background doesn’t matter to him. “What we care about more is what he can bring to the city and his personality.” 

The KMT has the advantage in Taipei, which has a significant presence of “blue” voters. The party is traditionally favored by the island’s establishment and older voters, while the DPP has been more popular among farmers and working-class Taiwanese. 

                         Complicated Legacy

Chiang’s looks appear to be helping offset some concerns that he can sound scripted and less spontaneous than his more seasoned rivals. Chiang — a father of two with another on the way — is often mobbed on the campaign trail by smartphone-wielding female voters demanding selfies. 

The most obvious asset may be his name. But Chiang, who declined to comment for this story, has also been careful about brandishing it. The legacy is slightly complicated: his father John Chiang, former vice premier and foreign minister, was an unrecognized son of Chiang Ching-kuo, son of Chiang Kai-shek. 

Wan-an changed his surname from Chang to Chiang in 2005, when he was 27 and around a decade after his father first told him about his great-grandfather. Chiang has explained the delay as respect for Chiang Ching-Kuo’s widow, who died in 2004. Ching-kuo never publicly acknowledged John and his twin brother as his own. 

Chiang hadn’t always pursued the role of heir to a political dynasty, and focused on venture capital as a lawyer. In a book, he said he turned to politics after seeing a struggling KMT, determined to “commemorate ancestors and show devotion to the country.” He won a seat in legislature in 2016 and was re-elected in 2020. 

He’s likely aware that his name isn’t viewed favorably by all. The KMT’s single-party rule, including leadership by Chiang Kai-shek and his son, is remembered by many as a time of repression. 

While the KMT government shifted toward democratization in the 1990s, its early days of rule in Taiwan were marked by the killing of opponents and attacks on civilians considered sympathetic toward communists. 

Chen made an oblique reference to this during the televised debate. “I won’t ask him to be responsible for what Chiang family did, simply because he is Chiang’s descendant,” he said. 

Huang Shan-shan, Taipei’s former deputy mayor and independent candidate, also took a dig at Chiang, saying she was running on her own merits rather than family connections.

For the DPP, a poor outcome on Saturday could serve as a blow to Tsai, whose term ends in 18 months. She may be forced to resign as party chair, giving her less influence over the party’s 2024 presidential nomination.

A win by Chiang could bolster the KMT’s fortunes. KMT Chairman Eric Chu, who lost to Tsai in 2016, is widely seen as the party’s candidate for the next presidential race, but many say success as mayor could lead to Chiang’s nomination in the future. 

Kharis Templeman, research fellow at the Hoover Institution, said the relatively young Chiang was KMT’s best bet at a comeback, but added that the party still had more work to do to prove its relevance.

“It needs to find ways to reassure Taiwanese voters that it would take security and sovereignty equally as serious as the DPP,” he said. 

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Geopolitica Mondiale

Israele. Il governo Netanyahu prevede Itamar Ben-Gvir capo della polizia.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-12-01.

Israele 001

Il Knesset è composto da 120 membri eletti. Vi è una pletora di partiti politici, molti dei quali numericamente inconsistenti.

Da molti anni le elezioni avevano fatto emergere situazioni ingovernabili, essendo impossibile arrivare ad un governo di coalizione ragionevolmente stabile.

«Legislative elections were held in Israel on 1 November 2022 to elect the 120 members of the 25th Knesset. The results saw the right-wing national camp of former prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu achieving a parliamentary majority, amid losses for left-wing and Arab parties, as well as far-right gains.»

Le elezioni del 1° novembre, al contrario, hanno sanzionato una netta vittoria di Mr Benjamin Netanyahu e della coalizione a Lui collegata.

I liberal socialisti mondiali, guidati da Joe Biden e dai democratici americani, odiano di odio viscerale e mortale Mr Benjamin Netanyahu, ma dopo midterm la loro voce è scomparsa, avendo i repubblicani conquistato la maggioranza al Congresso.

Orbene.

Adesso Mr Benjamin Netanyahu potrà governare serenamente e nominerà Mr Itamar Ben-Gvir Ministro della Polizia.

Quando erano al potere, i liberal democratici avevano bollato Mr Itamar Ben-Gvir come ‘far-right politician’, ‘ultra-extremist’ e via quant’altro, usando cioè quelli che nella loro neolingua sono i peggiore dei peggiori degli insulti.

* * * * * * *

Finalmente Israele avrà un governo stabile e di ottimo livello.

L’unico neo, dal nostro sommesso punto di vista, consiste nel fatto che sia Mr Benjamin Netanyahu sia Mr Itamar Ben-Gvir siano persone troppo tolleranti nei confronti dell’enclave palestinese, da decenni sede e culla di un feroce terrorismo. E siamo confortati dal fatto che questa opinione sia condivisa dal Popolo di Israele.

«45.5 percent support heavy shooting toward the Palestinian population in response to any provocation, compared to 27.5 percent four years ago»

«45.5% è favorevole a sparare pesantemente contro la popolazione palestinese in risposta a qualsiasi provocazione, rispetto al 27.5% di quattro anni fa»

* * * * * * *

                         I palestinesi sono profondamente preoccupati per il fatto che il politico israeliano di estrema destra Itamar Ben-Gvir diventerà ministro della polizia in un accordo di coalizione con il partito Likud del primo ministro designato Benjamin Netanyahu, destinato a creare il governo più di destra nella storia del Paese. Date le posizioni ultra-estremiste di Ben-Gvir, si prevedono maggiori violenze e instabilità nei Territori palestinesi e a Gerusalemme Est. Ben-Gvir avrà un portafoglio di sicurezza ampliato che includerà la responsabilità della polizia di frontiera nella Cisgiordania occupata.

                         Questo è uno sviluppo pericoloso e significa che l’intero nuovo governo israeliano si sta muovendo verso una politica fascista, poiché Ben-Gvir sarà responsabile della Moschea di Al-Aqsa, della polizia israeliana e dei palestinesi all’interno di Israele. Ben-Gvir è da tempo un feroce oppositore della statualità palestinese, essendo stato un colono in Cisgiordania, occupata da Israele nella guerra del 1967.

                         Ben-Gvir sostiene anche la preghiera degli ebrei nel complesso della Moschea di Al-Aqsa, un luogo di scontro sacro sia per i musulmani che per gli ebrei. Il luogo ha visto ripetuti scontri tra musulmani e visitatori ebrei che sfidano le regole che vietano la preghiera ai non musulmani. Ha anche giurato di introdurre restrizioni punitive senza precedenti sui prigionieri palestinesi.

                         Nel frattempo, un recente sondaggio condotto dall’Israel Democracy Institute mostra che il 71% degli israeliani sostiene l’esecuzione di prigionieri palestinesi che hanno condotto operazioni che hanno causato morti e feriti, rispetto al 63% del 2018. Circa il 55% degli israeliani è a favore dell’esecuzione di agenti sul campo, rispetto al 37% del sondaggio precedente. I risultati rivelano anche che il 45.5% è favorevole a sparare pesantemente contro la popolazione palestinese in risposta a qualsiasi provocazione, rispetto al 27.5% di quattro anni fa.

* * * * * * *

«Palestinians are deeply concerned that Israeli far-right politician Itamar Ben-Gvir is to become police minister in a coalition deal with Prime Minister-designate Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud Party that is set to create the most right-wing government in the country’s history. Given Ben-Gvir’s ultra-extremist views, more violence and instability are expected in the Palestinian Territories and East Jerusalem. Ben-Gvir will have an expanded security portfolio that will include responsibility for Border Police in the occupied West Bank.»

«This is a hazardous development, and it means that the entire new Israeli government is moving toward a fascist policy, as Ben-Gvir will be responsible for Al-Aqsa Mosque, the Israeli police, and the Palestinians inside Israel. Ben-Gvir has long been a fierce opponent of Palestinian statehood, having been a settler in the West Bank, which Israel occupied in the 1967 war.»

«Ben-Gvir also supports Jewish prayer at Al-Aqsa Mosque complex, a flashpoint site holy to both Muslims and Jews. The location has seen repeated clashes between Muslims and Jewish visitors defying rules prohibiting prayer by non-Muslims. He has also vowed to introduce unprecedented punitive restrictions on Palestinian prisoners.»

«Meanwhile, a recent survey conducted by the Israel Democracy Institute shows that 71 percent of Israelis support the execution of Palestinian prisoners who carried out operations that resulted in deaths and injuries, compared to 63 percent in 2018. Some 55 percent of Israelis are reported to support the execution of operatives in the field, compared to 37 percent in the previous survey. The findings also reveal that 45.5 percent support heavy shooting toward the Palestinian population in response to any provocation, compared to 27.5 percent four years ago.»

* * * * * * *


Palestinians alarmed as Israeli far-right’s Ben-Gvir to become police minister.

Ramallah: Palestinians are deeply concerned that Israeli far-right politician Itamar Ben-Gvir is to become police minister in a coalition deal with Prime Minister-designate Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud Party that is set to create the most right-wing government in the country’s history.

Given Ben-Gvir’s ultra-extremist views, more violence and instability are expected in the Palestinian Territories and East Jerusalem.

He was convicted in 2007 of racist incitement against Arabs and backing a group considered by Israel and the US to be a terrorist organization.

Ben-Gvir will have an expanded security portfolio that will include responsibility for Border Police in the occupied West Bank.

Ibrahim Melhem, spokesman for the Palestinian government, told Arab News that the Israelis “should worry more than the Palestinians about the appointment of Ben-Gvir,” who espouses an extremist, racist, settler ideology.

He said: “He will not achieve security or stability for them as he promised, and will not defeat the Palestinian people. His appointment means greater sacrifices for the Palestinians and, in return, less security for the Israelis.”

Mustafa Barghouti, secretary-general of the Palestinian National Initiative Movement, told Arab News: “This is a hazardous development, and it means that the entire new Israeli government is moving toward a fascist policy, as Ben-Gvir will be responsible for Al-Aqsa Mosque, the Israeli police, and the Palestinians inside Israel.”

He added that the world must see the “result of its silence on Israel’s successive crimes in recent decades. It is required to impose sanctions and a boycott on the Israeli government and declare the Ben-Gvir party a terrorist party.”

Ben-Gvir has long been a fierce opponent of Palestinian statehood, having been a settler in the West Bank, which Israel occupied in the 1967 war.

He was seen brandishing a gun at Palestinian demonstrators in occupied East Jerusalem during the election campaign.

Ben-Gvir also supports Jewish prayer at Al-Aqsa Mosque complex, a flashpoint site holy to both Muslims and Jews. The location has seen repeated clashes between Muslims and Jewish visitors defying rules prohibiting prayer by non-Muslims.

He has also vowed to introduce unprecedented punitive restrictions on Palestinian prisoners.

The Palestinian Foreign Ministry said the deal involving Ben-Gvir would have a “potentially catastrophic impact on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict” and hinder the revival of negotiations between the two sides, which stalled in 2014.

The ministry has again demanded that the international community react to developments and put pressure on the incoming government to ensure that racist policies against Palestinians are not implemented.

Basem Naim, head of the Hamas political department in Gaza, told Arab News: “Appointing Ben-Gvir to this position is like appointing a fugitive criminal as a police governor.

“From our point of view, as Palestinians, the matter will not differ much because the essence of the work of the Zionist security services is racist and is based on oppressing the Palestinians and working to abuse them by all means.”

Retired Col. David Hacham, a former Arab affairs adviser to the Israeli Ministry of Defense, told Arab News that the appointment was an expected step by Netanyahu.

But he added: “We must consider that there may be an expected difference between Ben-Gvir’s prior positions and statements, and his actual behavior after his appointment.”

His arrival in government has prompted the US State Department to say that it expects all officials in the new Israeli administration to share the values of an “open, democratic society, including tolerance and respect for all in civil society.”

Meanwhile, a recent survey conducted by the Israel Democracy Institute shows that 71 percent of Israelis support the execution of Palestinian prisoners who carried out operations that resulted in deaths and injuries, compared to 63 percent in 2018.

Some 55 percent of Israelis are reported to support the execution of operatives in the field, compared to 37 percent in the previous survey.

The findings also reveal that 45.5 percent support heavy shooting toward the Palestinian population in response to any provocation, compared to 27.5 percent four years ago.

Support for the Israeli army ensuring that it does not violate the international laws of war has decreased.

Qadri Abu Bakr, head of the Prisoners and Ex-Prisoners Affairs Commission, told Arab News that Palestinian prisoners “are ready to deal with new repressive measures, and if any of their rights are violated, they will have a response.”

Separately, the extremist Israeli group “Price Tag” burned four Palestinian vehicles at dawn on Friday and wrote racist phrases on walls in the towns of Abu Ghosh and Ein Naquba to the west of Jerusalem.

Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Problemi militari, Unione Europea

Polonia. Due valutazioni opposte. Spesso la verità si nasconde e non la si stana facilmente.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-11-30.

2022-11-29__ Poland 001

La situazione polacca può essere vista da due differenti angolazioni, opposte.

«The economy expanded strongly in the first quarter, beating market expectations. A marked accumulation of stocks shielded against supply side disruptions and drove the acceleration. Strong, albeit softer, private consumption growth amid a healthy labor market further supported activity. The pace of economic growth should moderate in Q2, partially due to a waning low base effect. Industrial activity cooled in April, likely weighed down by supply chain constraints, while inflation continued to soar. Business sentiment remained subdued in April and May, while the PMI moved into contractionary terrain in May. That said, retail sales skyrocketed in April. Meanwhile, the government terminated its agreement with Russia to receive gas, while parliament approved a judicial reform to meet EU demands, paving the way to receive EU recovery funds.» [Fonte]

2022-11-29__ Poland 002

«L’economia ha registrato una forte espansione nel primo trimestre, battendo le aspettative del mercato. Un marcato accumulo di scorte ha messo al riparo dalle perturbazioni dell’offerta e ha guidato l’accelerazione. La forte crescita dei consumi privati, anche se più contenuta, e la buona salute del mercato del lavoro hanno ulteriormente sostenuto l’attività. Il ritmo di crescita economica dovrebbe moderarsi nel secondo trimestre, in parte a causa del venir meno dell’effetto base. L’attività industriale si è raffreddata in aprile, probabilmente appesantita dai vincoli della catena di approvvigionamento, mentre l’inflazione ha continuato a salire. Il sentimento delle imprese è rimasto basso in aprile e maggio, mentre il PMI si è spostato in un terreno di contrazione in maggio. Detto questo, le vendite al dettaglio sono salite alle stelle in aprile. Nel frattempo, il governo ha rescisso l’accordo con la Russia per la fornitura di gas, mentre il parlamento ha approvato una riforma giudiziaria per soddisfare le richieste dell’UE, aprendo la strada alla ricezione dei fondi di recupero dell’UE.»

2022-11-29__ Poland 003

* * * * * * *

2022-11-29__ Poland 004

Ma esistono anche altri dati ed altre ottiche di lettura.

Poland: Business sentiment ticks up in November.

«Business confidence rose to minus 20.6 in November from October’s minus 21.1, which had marked the worst reading since May 2020.»

Poland: Retail sales record slowest growth since February in October

Poland: Industrial output records slowest growth since February 2021 in October

Poland: GDP growth cools in Q3

Poland: Central Bank stands pat in November.

«At its 9 November meeting, the National Bank of Poland (NBP) kept the key reference rate unchanged at 6.75%.»

* * * * * * *

                         Il collasso economico della Polonia sarà uno di quelli che si ricordano.  

                         Il piano è di aumentare la spesa per la difesa al 2,6% del PIL. Con 17 miliardi di dollari di nuovi contratti con Stati Uniti e Corea del Sud, la Polonia ha già raggiunto il 2,5% del PIL.  

                         Negli ultimi due trimestri il deficit è stato in media pari al 4% del PIL.  

                         Disavanzo delle partite correnti del 6,5% del PIL

                         L’inflazione è vicina al 20%.  

                         I tassi di interesse reali in Polonia sono -11%.

* * * * * * *

Diffidiamo dai facili ottimismi così come dagli altrettanto facili allarmismi.

Constatiamo però come non esista superpotenza militare che non sia anche superpotenza economica.

Di certo la Polonia sta giocando sul filo del rasoio, ma si dovrebbe anche ricordare che la situazione della Unione europea è sinistrata e che la Polonia ne è pienamente coinvolta.

Eurostat segnala infatti che nella eurozona lo industrial domestic output price ha raggiunto il 41.9%.

Sarebbe quindi lecito domandarsi se crollerà prima la Unione europea oppure la Polonia.

* * * * * * *


Meet Europe’s coming military superpower: Poland.

Warsaw is turning to major arms deals with South Korea to establish supremacy in Continental Europe.

Il collasso economico della Polonia sarà uno di quelli che si ricordano. I numeri sono da spavento.

Il piano è di aumentare la spesa per la difesa al 2,6% del PIL. Con 17 miliardi di dollari di nuovi contratti con Stati Uniti e Corea del Sud, la Polonia ha già raggiunto il 2,5% del PIL. Tutto denaro che se ne va all’estero!

Quest’anno le partite correnti della Polonia sono sprofondate in deficit. Negli ultimi due trimestri il deficit è stato in media pari al 4% del PIL. Un deficit così grande è abbastanza difficile da finanziare per un paese ricco come la Gran Bretagna o anche gli Stati Uniti.

Ora aggiungiamo il 2,5% di PIL speso per armi e otteniamo un disavanzo delle partite correnti del 6,5% del PIL. In un paese dell’Europa centrale relativamente povero con una propria moneta!

Ma aspettate, c’è di più! L’inflazione della Polonia è vicina al 20%. Dico 20%! Si trova nello stesso territorio in cui si trovavano l’Argentina e la Turchia prima che entrambe entrassero in un circolo vizioso di inflazione-deprezzamento.

Lo zloty è sceso del 12% quest’anno rispetto al dollaro USA. Non è niente in confronto a quello che sta arrivando. Se pensate che un paese relativamente povero con un tasso di inflazione superiore del 10% rispetto agli Stati Uniti e un deficit delle partite correnti del 6,5% del PIL possa sopravvivere a lungo, ho un ponte da vendere.

Sicuramente, direte a questo punto, la banca centrale polacca sta alzando i tassi per difendere la valuta? No. I tassi di interesse reali in Polonia sono -11%. Sì, -11%!!!

Questo non è semplicemente cattiva gestione. Questo è il tipo di politica che si vede solitamente nelle economie disperate. Se la Polonia crolla in una vera e propria iperinflazione, rimarrà uno stato membro dell’UE? Non è chiaro.

Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Russia

Russia. Il missile Icbm RS-28 Sarmat è diventato operativo.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-11-30.

RS-28 Sarmat 001

«L’RS-28 Sarmat, nome in codice NATO: SS-30 Satan, è un missile balistico intercontinentale pesante di fabbricazione russa, sviluppato a partire dal 2011 come sostituto del precedente R-36M.

Progettato per eludere le difese missilistiche avversarie grazie ad una fase di salita più breve dei suoi predecessori, è pensato per inserire in zona suborbitale fino a 15 testate nucleari (MIRV) o 24 veicoli ipersonici Avangard (MARV).

Lo RS-28 Sarmat è un missile bistadio, a propellente liquido, del peso di oltre 200 tonnellate al lancio e con un carico utile di 10. Il raggio d’azione è pari a 18.000 km, con una capacità di carico di 15 testate nucleari da 150 o 300 kT e 40 dispositivi d’inganno (penaid), o 24 veicoli ipersonici a corpo portante Avangard. È stato previsto l’utilizzo di testate non nucleari, che sfruttando l’enorme energia cinetica sviluppata grazie alla velocità ipersonica, verrebbero utilizzate per colpire centri di comando e controllo o portaerei. Il CEP (probabilità di errore circolare) e pari a 5-10 metri. I motori del primo stadio sono i NPO Energomash PDU-99.

Con gli ultimi test eseguiti ad aprile 2022, il Sarmat sarà disponibile per le forze russe da novembre 2022.» [Fonte]

* * * * * * *

                         Il missile RS-28 Sarmat, un mostro russo da 200 tonnellate in grado di sparare armi ipersoniche, entra in produzione di serie. L’RS-28 Sarmat è un sistema missilistico russo basato su silo e armato con un missile balistico intercontinentale orbitale pesante a propellente liquido in grado di trasportare testate nucleari.

                         Il missile R-28 Sarmat potenzierà la capacità di combattimento dell’esercito russo nei prossimi 40-50 anni per garantire la sicurezza della nazione. Ha detto che questo missile inter continentale diventerà il mezzo principale del deterrente nucleare e una garanzia per preservare la pace nell’attuale ambiente geopolitico.

                         Questo annuncio arriva in un momento in cui la Russia starebbe attraversando momenti difficili a causa della carenza di missili nel suo arsenale. I test di volo del sistema missilistico Sarmat sono stati effettuati con successo. Anche il sistema missilistico mobile su strada Yars ha dimostrato le sue capacità con lanci presso lo spazioporto di prova statale di Plesetsk.

                         Circa 48 missili Satan-2 erano in produzione di massa e sarebbero presto entrati in servizio. Un attacco nucleare contro tre capitali europee, tra cui Parigi, Berlino e Londra, ha dichiarato che il Sarmat ICBM con una testata nucleare distruggerebbe queste tre città in meno di 200 secondi.

                         Il Sarmat può trasportare simultaneamente 15 testate nucleari leggere. Un solo razzo può colpire numerosi obiettivi contemporaneamente, grazie al modo in cui queste testate sono organizzate come veicoli di rientro a bersaglio multiplo indipendente (MIRV). Dispone di tecnologie di guida avanzate e forse di esche per ingannare i sistemi di difesa antimissile.

* * * * * * *

«Russia’s 200-Ton monster missile RS-28 Sarmat ICBM that can fire hypersonic weapons enters serial production. The RS-28 Sarmat is a Russian silo-based missile system armed with a heavy liquid-propellant orbital intercontinental ballistic missile capable of carrying nuclear warheads.»

«The R-28 Sarmat missile will boost the Russian military’s combat capability over the next 40 to 50 years to ensure the nation’s security. He said this ICBM would become the primary means of the nuclear deterrent and a guarantee of preserving peace in the current geopolitical environment.»

«This announcement comes at a time when Russia is allegedly reeling through difficult times due to a shortage of missiles in its arsenal. The flight tests of the Sarmat missile system have been successfully carried out. The Yars road-mobile missile system has also proven its capabilities by launches at the Plesetsk state testing spaceport»

«Around 48 Satan-2 missiles were in mass production and would soon go into combat service. A nuclear attack on three European capitals, including Paris, Berlin, and London, stating that the Sarmat ICBM with a nuclear warhead would destroy these three cities in less than 200 seconds.»

«Sarmat can simultaneously transport 15 light nuclear warheads. One rocket may hit numerous targets at once due to how these warheads are organized as Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRVs). It has advanced guidance technologies and perhaps decoys to trick anti-missile defense systems»

* * * * * * *


Russia’s 200-Ton ‘Monster Missile’ RS-28 Sarmat ICBM That Can Fire Hypersonic Weapons Enters Serial Production

The RS-28 Sarmat Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM), which Russia has projected as the “world’s deadliest missile,” has now entered serial production.apons Enters Serial Production.

The RS-28 Sarmat is a Russian silo-based missile system armed with a heavy liquid-propellant orbital intercontinental ballistic missile capable of carrying nuclear warheads.

The General Director of the Makeyev State Missile Center, Vladimir Degtyar, said in an interview recently that the serial production of the latest R-28 Sarmat intercontinental ballistic missile has started in Russia.

According to Degtyar, the R-28 Sarmat missile will boost the Russian military’s combat capability over the next 40 to 50 years to ensure the nation’s security. He said this ICBM would become the primary means of the nuclear deterrent and a guarantee of preserving peace in the current geopolitical environment.

This announcement comes at a time when Russia is allegedly reeling through difficult times due to a shortage of missiles in its arsenal. With Ukraine having retaken some of the territories that Moscow occupied in the initial weeks of the operations, there’s a significant need to hold on to other regions in the south.

Last week, the state media reported that Russia had successfully tested the R-28 ICBM silo.

“The flight tests of the Sarmat missile system have been successfully carried out. The Yars road-mobile missile system has also proven its capabilities by launches at the Plesetsk state testing spaceport”, the Defense Ministry said in a statement.

This shows the alacrity with which Russia has developed, tested, and manufactured the monster missile.

The first test of Sarmat was conducted in April 2022, and a month later, in May, the former Roscosmos chairman Dmitry Rogozin, a close aide of Russian President Vladimir Putin, stated that around 48 Satan-2 missiles were in “mass production” and would soon go into combat service.

“Sarmat” (RS-28) will replace “Voevoda” RS- 20V, the most powerful strategic missile in existence. The development of RS-28 Sarmat was started more than a decade ago, in 2011.

The new missile will be able to penetrate enemy missile defense systems and have the ability to travel through both the North and South Poles to deliver multiple reentry vehicles to any location on Earth.

The Sarmat missile system will join the Strategic Missile Forces once the test program is completed. The head missile regiment in the Uzhur missile formation in the Krasnoyarsk Territory is already getting ready to be rearmed with this new missile system.

The induction of this missile in service would further create anxieties in the West about Russian nuclear fear-mongering.

Earlier this year, Russian state television had simulated a nuclear attack on three European capitals, including Paris, Berlin, and London, stating that the Sarmat ICBM with a nuclear warhead would destroy these three cities in less than 200 seconds.

                         Why Is Sarmat A Monster Missile?

According to Russian media, the ‘most dangerous’ missile on the planet, the RS-28 Sarmat, can deliver a multiple independently targetable reentry vehicle (MIRV) warhead weighing up to 10 tons anywhere in the world.

As per information made public during the Army-2019 exhibition, the Sarmat IICBM’srange is 18,000 kilometers, and the launch weight is more than 200 tons, of which 178 tons is fuel. The missile measures 3 meters in diameter and 35.5 meters in length overall.

The missile is unique owing to its unmatched speed & range, unsurpassed precision, and complete invulnerability while breaching anti-missile defense systems, according to Russian state media.

Moscow has previously released animated footage of the Sarmat missile. In the video, an intercontinental ballistic missile could be seen launching out of a silo, followed by an illustration of it rocketing into space.

The ICBM then spreads its nosecone to reveal five nuclear warheads as it crosses a fictitious Earth in a high arc.

Sarmat can simultaneously transport 15 light nuclear warheads. One rocket may hit numerous targets at once due to how these warheads are organized as Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRVs).

It has advanced guidance technologies and perhaps decoys to trick anti-missile defense systems.

The new missile system’s power-to-weight ratio makes the trajectory changeable, allowing missiles to be fired at various trajectories, according to Russian Strategic Missile Forces Commander Sergei Karakaev, who spoke to the Zvezda TV channel in a previous interaction.

In addition, alternative trajectories are also a possibility, such as the capability of sending the missile into outer space.

In fact, in April this year, a few days after the first test launch of the RS-28 Sarmat missile, Karakaev stated that the Russian Sarmat ICBM might be used with several Avangard hypersonic glide vehicles.

Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Russia

Russia. Su-35S. Un aereo multiruolo dalle buone prestazioni sul campo di battaglia.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-11-29.

2022-11-27__ Su35S 001

                         Il 18 novembre il Ministero della Difesa russo ha diffuso un video delle manovre di combattimento effettuate dagli equipaggi del Su-35S delle Forze aerospaziali russe contro le infrastrutture e i mezzi delle forze ucraine. Il Su-35, temuto caccia multiruolo super manovrabile, è l’aereo più letale della Russia nella guerra in Ucraina. Durante la missione, il Flanker-E ha individuato e distrutto un aereo nemico e una stazione radar per missili guidati del sistema di difesa aerea S-300 delle Forze armate ucraine.

                         I piloti dei caccia russi hanno vinto abitualmente gli scontri aerei con i piloti ucraini e hanno impiegato con successo i missili antiradar Kh-31 per attaccare i siti di difesa aerea nemici.

                         Il missile è disponibile in due varianti, il Kh-31A e il Kh-31P. Il Kh-31A (attivo) è una variante di missile da crociera antinave (ASCM) che utilizza una guida inerziale per individuare l’area di destinazione. Il missile può colpire navi fino a 4,500 tonnellate di stazza. Il Kh-31P è una versione di missile anti-radiazione (ARM) sviluppata specificamente per eliminare i radar attivi (radianti) avversari. È progettato per abbattere radar di controllo delle operazioni aeree, radar di preallarme e sistemi SAM a medio e lungo raggio.

                         Il Sukhoi Su-35S è dotato di un cannone da 30 mm, 12 punti d’attacco e un radar che può tracciare simultaneamente fino a 30 bersagli. Può anche identificare bersagli a una distanza di oltre 400 chilometri. Il sistema può essere impiegato a qualsiasi ora del giorno e con qualsiasi tempo. La suite di guerra elettronica del velivolo consiste in un dispensatore di chaff e flare, un sistema di avviso di avvicinamento ai missili, un avvisatore laser, un sistema di avviso radar e un sistema di disturbo radar cooperativo.

* * * * * * *

«On November 18, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a video of the combat maneuvers carried out by the Su-35S crews of the Russian Aerospace Forces against the infrastructure and assets of Ukrainian forces. The Su-35, a feared multirole super maneuverable fighter, is Russia’s most lethal aircraft in the Ukraine war. During the mission, the Flanker-E detected and destroyed an enemy aircraft and a radar station for guided missiles of the S-300 air defense system of the Ukrainian Armed Forces»

«Russian Fighter pilots have routinely won air confrontations with Ukrainian pilots and have successfully employed Kh-31 anti-radar missiles to attack enemy air defense sites. »

«The missile is available in two variants, the Kh-31A and Kh-31P. The Kh-31A (Active) is a variant of an anti-shipping cruise missile (ASCM) that uses inertial guidance to find its target area. The missile can engage ships displacing up to 4,500 tons. The Kh-31P is an anti-radiation missile (ARM) version specifically developed to take out active (radiating) adversary radars. It is designed to take down air operations control radars, early warning radars, and medium- and long-range SAM systems.»

«The Sukhoi Su-35S is equipped with a 30mm gun, 12 hardpoints, and a radar that can simultaneously track up to 30 targets. It can also identify targets at a distance of over 400 kilometers. The system can be deployed at any time of day and in any weather. The aircraft’s electronic warfare suite consists of a chaff and flare dispenser, a missile approach warning system, a laser warner, a radar warning system, and a cooperative radar jamming system»

* * * * * * *


Armed With ‘Supersonic Death’ Kh-31 Missile, Russian Su-35 Fighter Destroys S-300 Radar Station, MoD Says.

On November 18, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a video of the combat maneuvers carried out by the Su-35S crews of the Russian Aerospace Forces against the infrastructure and assets of Ukrainian forces. 

Russia’s MoD posted the video on its official telegram channel. The video demonstrates how the Flanker-E performs during combat missions. The Su-35, a feared multirole super maneuverable fighter, is Russia’s most lethal aircraft in the Ukraine war. 

According to the Ministry of Defense, the crew practiced patrolling an assigned location and monitoring the activities of bomber and assault aircraft and army aviation helicopters while conducting air strikes on military installations and hostile equipment.

During the mission, the Flanker-E detected and destroyed an enemy aircraft and a radar station for guided missiles of the S-300 air defense system of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, the MOD said. 

Russian state media claimed that the Su-35S proved its worth in Ukraine. Russian Fighter pilots have routinely won air confrontations with Ukrainian pilots and have successfully employed Kh-31 anti-radar missiles to attack enemy air defense sites. 

The EurAsian Times had earlier noted that Russian pilots describe the Kh-31 as “Supersonic Death,” claiming that the missile’s tremendous speed and capacity for counterattack make it virtually immune to enemy anti-aircraft defenses. The missile is available in two variants, the Kh-31A and Kh-31P. 

The Kh-31A (Active) is a variant of an anti-shipping cruise missile (ASCM) that uses inertial guidance to find its target area. The missile can engage ships displacing up to 4,500 tons.

The Kh-31P is an anti-radiation missile (ARM) version specifically developed to take out active (radiating) adversary radars. It is designed to take down air operations control radars, early warning radars, and medium- and long-range SAM systems.

However, the Su-35 appears to be a crucial part of Russia’s operations in Ukraine based on recent claims made by the Russian MOD. On November 14, Moscow claimed that the Su-35 had recently successfully engaged and downed Ukrainian MiG-29 and Su-25 aircraft.

The aircraft’s performance had earlier been criticized when Ukrainian air defense forces shot it down. Since the start of the war, at least two Russian Su-35 bombers have reportedly been gunned down in Ukraine.

However, Oryx, a group of open-source intelligence researchers who gathered data on aircraft losses in Ukraine through visual documentation, noted that Ukrainian forces shot down only one Su-35. 

                         Su-35 Fighter Jet

The Sukhoi Su-35 is a multipurpose air superiority fighter with increased capabilities that evolved from the Su-27.

The Sukhoi Su-35S is equipped with a 30mm gun, 12 hardpoints, and a radar that can simultaneously track up to 30 targets. It can also identify targets at a distance of over 400 kilometers.

Without refueling, the fighter has a range of more than 3,500 kilometers. The standout characteristics of this powerful 4++ Generation fighter include improved engines, avionics, and radar.

The Sukhoi Su-35 jets are significantly different from their forerunners, the Su-27 family of jets, — they use high-thrust engines. The new engines, which go by the designation 117S, were developed by NPO Saturn, a UEC affiliate.

The new jet’s avionics is an entirely new system of onboard electronics. The complete Sukhoi Su-35 electronics suite is housed in a single system.

Despite not having an APAR (active phased array radar), the Su-35 radar system can monitor and engage up to eight airborne targets simultaneously and detect targets up to 400 kilometers away.

The Ryazan State Instrument Factory manufactures the radar system, initially designed by the Tikhomirov Instrument Engineering Research Institute.

The aircraft is equipped with friend-or-foe identification capability for aerial and maritime objects. It can also recognize the class and type of airborne targets and take aerial photos of the ground.

The system can be deployed at any time of day and in any weather. It maintains its effectiveness in the face of interference from natural factors and adversary electronic warfare systems.

The aircraft’s electronic warfare suite consists of a chaff and flare dispenser, a missile approach warning system, a laser warner, a radar warning system, and a cooperative radar jamming system.

Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Devoluzione socialismo, Geopolitica Militare

Iran. Nel sito di Fordow arricchisce l’uranio al 60%. Ovviamente per scopi pacifici.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-11-29.

2022-11-24__ Iran Uranio Arricchito 001

Oberati da un debito pubblico fuori controllo e da una inflazione galoppante gli Stati Uniti sono una larva economica che nello scacchiere internazionale ha perso irrimediabilmente l’egemonia economica e finanziaria.

Come se ciò non bastasse, gli Elettori hanno tranciato Joe Biden ed i liberal democratici conquistando il controllo del Congresso e relegando Joe Biden al ruolo di pappagallo impagliato posto nell’atrio della White House, inerte, chiuso nella sua demenza.

Nulla da stupirsi quindi se l’Iran fa

«a move that may annoy Western powers»

«una mossa che potrebbe infastidire le potenze occidentali».

Infastidire, nulla di più. Lo dicono loro.

I diktat di Joe Biden lasciano sovranamente indifferenti tutti gli stati del mondo e soprattutto l’Iran.

I media ex di regime li riportano come se fossero parole con un contenuto, cosa che non è. C’è solo da compatirli e sghignazzare alle loro spalle.

Pentagono. La vittoria russa porterebbe proliferazione nucleare. Mosca costruirà i droni iraniani.

Iran. Ccà nisciuno è fesso. Il vettore Ghaem-100.

Iran. I dimostranti si sono fidati dei liberal occidentali. È giusto che crepino.

Russia e Iran. Una alleanza che impensierisce sempre più la America.

Iran. La Unione Europea lo sanziona per la vendita dei droni alla Russia.

HESA Shahed 136. Drone kamikaze iraniano ad infimo costo.

Biden il demente parla e dice cose da demente. Non ascoltiamolo.

Grüne europei. Tornano disperati alla legna da ardere.

Enclave liberal socialista europea. Sta crepando sotto la inflazione. – Eurostat.

Cina, Russia ed Iran formano un blocco funzionale che insidia gli Stati Uniti.

Iran. L’occidente liberal spera nel petrolio con il Joint Complete Plan of Motion.

Iran. Ha chiesto di aderire al Gruppo Brics, Russia, Cina, India, Brasile, Sud Africa.

Brics. Si espandono ad Iran, Argentina, Egitto, Arabia Saudita e Turkia. Club energetico maggiore al mondo.

Iran. Ha chiesto di aderire al Gruppo Brics, Russia, Cina, India, Brasile, Sud Africa.

Dushanbe. Russia e Cina integrano l’Iran nello SCO. Altra débâcle irredimibile di Joe Biden.

* * * * * * *

                         L’Iran ha iniziato ad arricchire l’uranio al 60% di purezza nel suo sito nucleare sotterraneo di Fordow, hanno riferito martedì i media statali, una mossa che potrebbe infastidire le potenze occidentali che spingono Teheran a ridurre il suo lavoro nucleare riattivando un patto del 2015.

L’Iran sta già arricchendo l’uranio fino al 60 percento di purezza altrove, ben al di sotto del 90 percento circa necessario per ottenere materiale bellico, ma al di sopra del 20 percento che produceva prima dell’accordo del 2015 con le principali potenze per limitare l’arricchimento al 3.67 percento.

                         In una lettera all’Agenzia internazionale per l’energia atomica (AIEA), l’Iran ha informato l’agenzia di aver iniziato ad arricchire l’uranio al 60 per cento di purezza presso il sito di Fordow, utilizzando centrifughe avanzate IR-6. Teheran ha installato cascate di centrifughe avanzate più efficienti, come le IR-2m, IR-4 e IR-6. I colloqui indiretti tra Teheran e l’amministrazione del Presidente degli Stati Uniti Joe Biden per rilanciare l’accordo del 2015 sono in fase di stallo da settembre, con entrambe le parti che chiedono maggiore flessibilità.

* * * * * * *

«Iran has begun enriching uranium to 60 percent purity at its underground Fordow nuclear site, state media reported on Tuesday, a move that may annoy Western powers pushing Tehran to roll back its nuclear work by reviving a 2015 pact.

Iran is already enriching uranium to up to 60 percent purity elsewhere, well below the roughly 90 percent needed for weapons-grade material but above the 20 percent it produced before the 2015 agreement with major powers to cap enrichment at 3.67 percent.»

«In a letter to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Iran has informed the agency that it has started enriching uranium to 60 percent purity at Fordow site using IR-6 advanced centrifuges. Tehran installed cascades of more efficient advanced centrifuges, such as the IR-2m, IR-4 and IR-6. Indirect talks between Tehran and US President Joe Biden’s administration to revive the 2015 accord have been at a stalemate since September, with both sides demanding more flexibility.»

* * * * * * *


Iran to enrich Uranium to 60 percent purity at Fordow nuclear site.

Iran will also be building a new set of centrifuges at the site.

Dubai: Iran has begun enriching uranium to 60 percent purity at its underground Fordow nuclear site, state media reported on Tuesday, a move that may annoy Western powers pushing Tehran to roll back its nuclear work by reviving a 2015 pact.

Iran is already enriching uranium to up to 60 percent purity elsewhere, well below the roughly 90 percent needed for weapons-grade material but above the 20 percent it produced before the 2015 agreement with major powers to cap enrichment at 3.67 percent.

“In a letter to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Iran has informed the agency that it has started enriching uranium to 60 percent purity at Fordow site using IR-6 advanced centrifuges,” the semi-official ISNA news agency reported.

The IAEA’s 35-nation Board of Governors on Thursday passed a resolution ordering Iran to cooperate urgently with the agency’s investigation into uranium traces found at three undeclared sites, diplomats at the closed-door vote said.

The semi-official Fars news agency said Tehran had also started the process of “replacing the first-generation centrifuges (IR-1) with advanced IR-6 ones” at Fordow, a site buried inside a mountain.

The 2015 nuclear pact between Iran and six world powers lets Iran use only first-generation IR-1 centrifuges but, as the deal unraveled after then-President Donald Trump ditched it in 2018, Tehran installed cascades of more efficient advanced centrifuges, such as the IR-2m, IR-4 and IR-6.

In June, Reuters reported that Tehran was escalating its uranium enrichment further by preparing to use IR-6 centrifuges, which can easily switch between enrichment levels, at the Fordow site.

Iran’s SNN television network said Tehran had begun installing new cascades, or clusters, of advanced centrifuges at its Natanz and Fordow nuclear sites, adding that doing so was a “strong response” to the IAEA’s latest resolution.

“Iran has started the process of injecting gas into two cascades of IR-2m and IR-4 advanced centrifuges at the underground Natanz site,” SNN reported.

The IAEA resolution is the second this year targeting Iran over the investigation, which has become an obstacle to talks on reviving the 2015 Iran nuclear deal because Iran has demanded that the probe be ended.

Iran’s foreign ministry on Monday dismissed the resolution as “politically motivated.” Indirect talks between Tehran and US President Joe Biden’s administration to revive the 2015 accord have been at a stalemate since September, with both sides demanding more flexibility.

Iran’s crackdown on anti-government protests sparked by Mahsa Amini’s death in custody and the sale of drones to Russia have turned the United States’ focus away from reviving a nuclear deal, US special envoy for Iran Robert Malley said on Monday.

Iran denies selling drones to Russia for use in the Ukraine war.

Pubblicato in: Cina, Devoluzione socialismo, Geopolitica Mondiale, Ong - Ngo

Consiglio per i diritti umani delle Nazioni Unite. Ultimo baluardo liberal. Iran.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-11-28.

Iran 001

Fin dalla loro istituzione le Nazioni Unite sono state tempio e ricettacolo dei liberal socialisti. Una grande cassa mediatica priva di potere effettivo ma utile giustificazione delle iniziative politiche e militari dei paesi egemoni.

Il loro grado di corruzione è ben documentato dalla Fao, il cui ultimo report è agghiacciante.

Polmonite. Uccide 700,000 bambini all’anno. Eppure vaccino e cura costano quasi nulla.

È un massacro politicamente voluto che i media passano sotto silenzio in omaggio alla ideologia.

* * * * * * *

«Il Consiglio per i diritti umani delle Nazioni Unite ha condannato la sanguinosa repressione iraniana di manifestanti pacifici dopo la morte di Mahsa Amini e ha votato per creare un’indagine di alto livello su quanto accaduto»

«una maggioranza più ampia del previsto del consiglio di 47 membri ha sostenuto l’avvio di un’indagine»

«la risoluzione è passata con 25 voti a favore, 16 astenuti e solo sei Paesi – Armenia, Cina, Cuba, Eritrea, Pakistan e Venezuela – contrari»

«Secondo l’Ong iraniana con sede in Norvegia, Iran Human Right»

«L’ambasciatore cinese, Chen Xu, ha messo in guardia dal trasformare i diritti umani in uno strumento per intervenire negli affari interni dei Paesi»

* * * * * * *

La mozione è passata 25 a 22, maggioranza non certo entusiasmante, specie poi tenendo conto che la Cina si è opposta.

Ma sono i media e di regime che conferiscono a questa gestione politica dei diritti umani una indebita visibilità.

Sembrerebbe quasi che si voglia ignorare quanto sia accaduto e stia accadendo.

Midterm. House. 219 seggi. Il Congresso adesso indagherà sui brogli.

Midterm. Decapitato il boss i fedeli sostenitori sono esposti alle vendette in tutto il mondo.

Caduti Joe Biden ed i liberal adesso cadono le teste dei supporter rimasti orfani. Macron.

Joe Biden ed i liberal democratici sono crollati ed adesso tutti quelli che erano loro supporter sono senza più protezione ed esposti ad un violento redde rationem.

Il caso di Macron indagato da un tribunale per corruzione dovrebbe essere maieutico.

Ma a breve verrà il turno delle Nazioni Unite e dei giornalisti: se ne diano una ragione.

* * * * * * *


L’Onu condanna la repressione in Iran, ma la Cina è contraria.

Il Consiglio ha votato per un’indagine di alto livello su quanto accaduto dopo la morte di Masha Amini. Secondo una Ong ci sarebbero stati 400 morti, 50 dei quali bambini uccisi durante le proteste.

Il Consiglio per i diritti umani delle Nazioni Unite ha condannato la sanguinosa repressione iraniana di manifestanti pacifici dopo la morte di Mahsa Amini e ha votato per creare un’indagine di alto livello su quanto accaduto.

Nonostante le forti pressioni di Teheran e un tentativo in extremis della Cina di minare la risoluzione, una maggioranza più ampia del previsto del consiglio di 47 membri ha sostenuto l’avvio di un’indagine.

Pechino ha presentato un’offerta dell’ultimo minuto per modificare il testo della risoluzione, chiedendo che la rimozione della richiesta di avviare un’indagine. Un fragoroso applauso è scoppiato quando la risoluzione è passata con 25 voti a favore, 16 astenuti e solo sei Paesi – Armenia, Cina, Cuba, Eritrea, Pakistan e Venezuela – contrari.

Il segretario di Stato americano, Antony Blinken, ha elogiato il voto. “La missione per l’accertamento dei fatti istituita oggi contribuirà a garantire che coloro che sono coinvolti nella repressione violenta in corso del popolo iraniano siano identificati e le loro azioni documentate”, ha affermato in una nota. 

Il voto è arrivato al termine di una sessione urgente richiesta da Germania e Islanda con l’appoggio di 50 Paesi a due mesi dalle manifestazioni scatenate dalla morte in custodia della 22enne Mahsa Amini, dopo che era stata arrestata per una presunta violazione delle rigide regole di abbigliamento delle donne basate sulla legge islamica della sharia.

Le risposta delle autorità alle manifestazioni è diventata sempre più violenta, le proteste si sono diffuse in tutto il Paese e si sono trasformate in un ampio movimento contro la teocrazia che governa l’Iran dal 1979. “L’uso non necessario e sproporzionato della forza deve finire”, ha insistito L’Alto commissario per i diritti umani, Volker Turk, il quale ha riferito di essersi proposto per una visita in Iran ma ha detto di non aver ricevuto risposta da Teheran.

Secondo l’Ong iraniana con sede in Norvegia, Iran Human Right, le persone uccise finora nella repressione sono più di 400, tra cui più di 50 bambini. Circa 14.000 persone, compresi bambini, sono state arrestate, “un numero impressionante”, ha commentato Turk, denunciando che almeno sei manifestanto sono già stati condannati a morte.

Tra gli arrestati vi sono alcune celebrità che hanno espresso sostegno ai manifestanti, tra cui il calciatore della nazionale Voria Ghafouri, arrestatoper “propaganda anti-statale”. L’Iran ha ricevuto il sostegno di alcuni Paesi, come Pakistan, Venezuela e altri che hanno denunciato la crescente politicizzazione del Consiglio. L’ambasciatore cinese, Chen Xu, ha messo in guardia dal “trasformare i diritti umani in uno strumento per intervenire negli affari interni dei Paesi”. 

Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Devoluzione socialismo, Russia

Russia. Produrrà in Patria su licenza iraniana i droni HESA Shahed 136.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-11-28.

Shahed-136 001

Le contraddizioni sono evidenti e stridenti.

«Alcuni Paesi occidentali hanno accusato l’Iran di aiutare la guerra in Ucraina fornendo droni»

I liberal occidentali ritengono di essere nella ragione a fornire armi e sostegno alla Ukraina, e condannano quanti non si attengano a questo dettame. Ma i paesi del mondo libero non solo non concordano, ma condannano la guerra mossa da Joe Biden e dalla Nato alla Russia.

Si tenga anche presente che gli Elettori hanno sottratto a Joe Biden il controllo del Congresso e che i repubblicani subentranti hanno già chiaramente detto di non intendano sostenere il regime di Zelensky.

Les jeux sont faits, rien ne va plus.

* * * * * * *

                         L’Iran e la Russia hanno raggiunto un accordo per iniziare la produzione di droni d’attacco in Russia, secondo una nuova valutazione dell’intelligence di un Paese che monitora da vicino il programma di armamenti iraniano. L’Iran sta iniziando a trasferire le cianografie e i componenti dei droni in Russia dopo che l’accordo iniziale è stato raggiunto all’inizio di questo mese, ha detto una fonte che ha familiarità con la valutazione.

                         Alcuni Paesi occidentali hanno accusato l’Iran di aiutare la guerra in Ucraina fornendo droni… Abbiamo fornito un numero limitato di droni alla Russia nei mesi precedenti l’inizio della guerra in Ucraina. L’obiettivo è che la Russia produca migliaia di nuovi droni d’attacco utilizzando componenti e progetti iraniani. Si tratterebbe di una mossa che cementerebbe ulteriormente la partnership tra Teheran e Mosca e che probabilmente provocherebbe una notevole rabbia da parte dell’Ucraina e dei suoi alleati occidentali, compresi gli Stati Uniti. Gli sforzi arrivano dopo che la CNN e altri organi di informazione hanno riferito che l’Iran si sta preparando a inviare alla Russia altre armi, tra cui missili balistici di superficie a corto raggio e altri droni d’attacco, entro la fine dell’anno.

                         Il processo di produzione dei droni d’attacco non è complicato se paragonato alla produzione di altre armi. Nelle ultime settimane questi droni iraniani sono stati utilizzati per colpire infrastrutture energetiche critiche in Ucraina. Sono piccoli, portatili e possono essere facilmente lanciati, ma il loro principale vantaggio è che sono difficili da individuare e possono essere sparati a distanza.

* * * * * * *

«Iran and Russia have reached an agreement to begin the production of attack drones in Russia, according to a new intelligence assessment from a country that closely monitors Iran’s weapons program. Iran is beginning to transfer blueprints and components for the drones to Russia after the initial agreement was struck earlier this month, said a source familiar with the assessment.»

«Some western countries have accused Iran of helping the war in Ukraine by providing drones … we did provide a limited number of drones to Russia in the months before the start of the war in Ukraine. The goal is for Russia to produce thousands of new attack drones using Iranian components and blueprints. It would be a move that would further cement the partnership between Tehran and Moscow and likely provoke significant anger from Ukraine and its western allies including the US. The efforts come after CNN and other outlets reported that Iran was preparing to send more weapons, including surface-to-surface short range ballistic missiles and more attack drones to Russia before the end of the year»

«The production process for the attack drones is not complicated when compared to the production of other weapons. In recent weeks these Iranian drones have been used to target critical energy infrastructure in Ukraine. They are small, portable and can be easily launched, but their main advantage is that they are hard to detect and can be fired from a distance»

* * * * * * *


Russia to build attack drones for Ukraine war with the help of Iran, intelligence assessment says.

Iran and Russia have reached an agreement to begin the production of attack drones in Russia, according to a new intelligence assessment from a country that closely monitors Iran’s weapons program.

Iran is beginning to transfer blueprints and components for the drones to Russia after the initial agreement was struck earlier this month, said a source familiar with the assessment.

US officials have said that Russia has received hundreds of drones from Tehran which have had a deadly effect in Ukraine.

Earlier this month, the Iranian government acknowledged for the first time that it had sent a limited number of drones to Russia in the months before the start of its invasion of Ukraine.

“Some western countries have accused Iran of helping the war in Ukraine by providing drones … we did provide a limited number of drones to Russia in the months before the start of the war in Ukraine,” Iran’s foreign minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian told reporters in Tehran.

 The goal is for Russia to produce thousands of new attack drones using Iranian components and blueprints, the source explained. If the two countries move ahead full-steam with their plan the expectation is that production could begin in a few months and its possible that the drones could be used by Russia on the battlefield in Ukraine next year, the source said.

It would be a move that would further cement the partnership between Tehran and Moscow and likely provoke significant anger from Ukraine and its western allies including the US.

The efforts come after CNN and other outlets reported that Iran was preparing to send more weapons, including surface-to-surface short range ballistic missiles and more attack drones to Russia before the end of the year.

The source familiar with the assessment said those reports caused concern in Iran, which appears to have prompted the regime to rethink its approach with the plan for Russia to manufacture the drones rather than Iran directly transfer them.

The production process for the attack drones is not complicated when compared to the production of other weapons, the source explained.

A spokesperson for the Iranian Mission to the United Nations did not explicitly deny the suggestion that Iran will help Russia manufacture drones, but claimed that Iran abides by the principles of “sovereignty, independence, unity, and territorial integrity.”

In a statement to CNN, the spokesperson said that Iran and Russia “have maintained bilateral defense, scientific, and research cooperation,” for years, predating Russia’s war in Ukraine

The spokesperson noted that parts of a UN Security Council Resolution which restricted certain arms transfers to or from Iran had expired in October 2020, so “the Islamic Republic of Iran has prioritized increasing defense cooperation with other countries,” the spokesperson said.

Multiple nations, including the United States, have said that Iran’s provision of drones to Russia is a violation of that resolution, and G7 foreign ministers said in joint statement that they “support efforts at the United Nations to hold Russia and Iran accountable for their blatant violations of UNSCR 2231.”

CNN has asked the Russian embassy in Washington for comment.

 When asked for comment on the assessment, White House national security council spokesperson Adrienne Watson said, “Iran and Russia can lie to the world, but they can’t hide the facts: Tehran is helping kill Ukrainian civilians through the provision of weapons and assisting Russia in its operations. It’s another sign of how isolated both Iran and Russia are.”

“The United States – with allies and partners – is pursuing all means to expose, deter, and confront Iran’s provision of these munitions and Russia’s use of them against the Ukrainian people. We will continue to provide Ukraine with the critical security assistance it needs to defend itself, including air defense systems,” Watson said in the statement.

Drones have played a significant role in the conflict since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in late February, but their use has increased since the summer, when the United States and Kyiv say Moscow acquired drones from Iran. In recent weeks these Iranian drones have been used to target critical energy infrastructure in Ukraine.

The Iranian drones are known as a “loitering munition” because they are capable of circling for some time in an area identified as a potential target and only striking once an enemy asset is identified.

They are small, portable and can be easily launched, but their main advantage is that they are hard to detect and can be fired from a distance.