Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Psichiatria

G20. 15 e 16 novembre. Joe Biden il demente e sfiduciato renderà quella riunione inconcludente.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-10-31.

2022-10-07__ Biden Pazzo 001

«there is currently no credible way for the world to deliver on the central goal of Paris.»

* * *

«Il Gruppo 20 (o G20) è un forum dei leader, dei ministri delle finanze e dei governatori delle banche centrali, creato nel 1999, dopo una successione di crisi finanziarie per favorire l’internazionalità economica e la concertazione tenendo conto delle nuove economie in sviluppo. Di esso fanno parte l’Unione Europea e 19 paesi tra i più industrializzati del mondo: Arabia Saudita, Argentina, Australia, Brasile, Canada, Cina, Corea del Sud, India, Indonesia, Francia, Germania, Giappone, Italia, Messico, Regno Unito, Russia, Stati Uniti, Sudafrica, Turchia. Il G20 rappresenta i due terzi del commercio e della popolazione mondiale, oltre all’80% del PIL mondiale.» [Fonte]

«The 17th G20 Heads of State and Government Summit will take place at November 2022 in Bali. The Summit will be the pinnacle of the G20 process and intense work carried out within the Ministerial Meetings, Working Groups, and Engagement Groups throughout the year.» [G20 Indonesia 2022]

«Joe Biden non ha alcuna intenzione di incontrarsi con Vladimir Putin al G20 di Bali: lo ha reso noto la Casa Bianca.» E ci mancherebbe! Quale senso avrebbe mai un summit con un Joe Biden demente e che per di più a tale data avrà perso il controllo politico del Congresso?

* * * * * * *

                         L’Ucraina rende imprevedibile il vertice del G20, da tenersi a Bali il 15 ed il 16 novembre. I leader mondiali stanno effettuando gli ultimi preparativi per quello che potrebbe essere un vertice del G20 di grande impatto il mese prossimo, che ha il potenziale per essere la riunione multilaterale più imprevedibile degli ultimi anni. Ciò è dovuto non da ultimo al conflitto in Ucraina, giunto al nono mese, che ha scosso il panorama internazionale. Le tensioni sull’invasione di Mosca hanno già causato fuochi d’artificio diplomatici al G20 di quest’anno.

                         I leader occidentali, che si riuniranno per la prima volta dopo le riunioni del G7 e della NATO tenutesi in estate in Europa, utilizzeranno il vertice per rinnovare la loro strategia sull’Ucraina. Daranno inoltre il benvenuto al nuovo primo ministro britannico Rishi Sunak e discuteranno di sfide più ampie, comprese quelle provenienti dalla Cina. Secondo Widodo, anche se Putin potrebbe non partecipare di persona al vertice, altri capi di Stato lo faranno.

                         Una delle questioni economiche correlate che verranno discusse è l’aumento dei prezzi dell’energia. Questo problema urgente, che sarà anche un argomento chiave di discussione durante l’incontro dei leader mondiali alla COP27 in Egitto il 7-8 novembre, è stato evidenziato in un importante rapporto pubblicato giovedì dalle Nazioni Unite, in cui si afferma che attualmente non esiste un modo credibile per il mondo di raggiungere l’obiettivo centrale di Parigi.

* * * * * * *

«Ukraine makes for unpredictable G20 summit. World leaders are making their final preparations for what could be a blockbuster G20 summit next month, which has the potential to be the most unpredictable multilateral meetings of recent years. This is not least because of the Ukraine conflict, now in its ninth month, which has shaken up the international landscape. Tensions over Moscow’s invasion already caused diplomatic fireworks in the G20 this year.»

«Western leaders, who will be gathering for the first time since the G7 and NATO meetings over the summer in Europe, will use the summit to renew their Ukraine strategy. They will also welcome new UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak into their midst and discuss wider challenges, including those originating from China. According to Widodo, while Putin might not attend the summit in person, other heads of state will»

«One of the related economic issues that will be discussed is surging energy prices. This pressing matter, which will also be a key topic for discussion during the world leaders’ gathering at COP27 in Egypt on November 7-8, was highlighted in a major report published on Thursday by the UN, which asserted that there is currently no credible way for the world to deliver on the central goal of Paris.»

* * * * * * *


Ukraine makes for unpredictable G20 summit

World leaders are making their final preparations for what could be a blockbuster G20 summit next month, which has the potential to be the most unpredictable multilateral meetings of recent years.

This is not least because of the Ukraine conflict, now in its ninth month, which has shaken up the international landscape. Tensions over Moscow’s invasion already caused diplomatic fireworks in the G20 this year. The group’s foreign ministers clashed during their meeting in Bali over the summer, with Russia’s Sergey Lavrov walking out of meetings at least twice.

With Ukraine proving so divisive, there are potentially huge barriers to any constructive discussion taking place. For instance, Western leaders fear Russia is likely to try to use a possible extension of the UN-brokered Black Sea grain-export deal as a way to gain leverage in other discussions.

Ahead of the expiry on Nov. 19 of the existing agreement, which kick-started Ukrainian grain exports in recent weeks, Moscow has repeatedly stated there are serious problems with it. So a potential extension of the deal could prove to be a centerpiece of the summit, with Russia holding court on the issue.

Western leaders, who will be gathering for the first time since the G7 and NATO meetings over the summer in Europe, will use the summit to renew their Ukraine strategy. They will also welcome new UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak into their midst and discuss wider challenges, including those originating from China.

In this context of uncertainty, Indonesian President Joko Widodo is determined to try to make his mark as host of the event, even though his nation is one of the group’s less-prominent states. He might be helped in this by supportive noises from Chinese President Xi Jinping, who said recently that he and US President Joe Biden, who will attend in the aftermath of the US midterm elections, must find ways to get along better following a longstanding cooling of bilateral ties.

According to Widodo, while Putin might not attend the summit in person, other heads of state will, including those from China, Germany, India, Japan, Australia, Brazil, the UK, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Turkey, France, Italy, Germany, Canada, South Korea, Argentina, Mexico, the EU and the US. Collectively, these powers account for about 90 percent of global gross domestic product, 80 percent of world trade, and 66 percent of the global population.

One high priority for the event is the outlook for the global economy amid growing concerns that key nations, including much of the West, are in or heading for recession. Indonesia’s G20 presidency has formulated six priority agendas that include support for the economy through the difficult period that lies ahead, including dealing with the continuing pandemic and securing future growth in the digital age.

One of the related economic issues that will be discussed is surging energy prices. Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, energy security has become as important as net-zero emissions for some governments, not least in Europe, and this might be the case not just this year and next but also into the medium term.

This pressing matter, which will also be a key topic for discussion during the world leaders’ gathering at COP27 in Egypt on November 7-8, was highlighted in a major report published on Thursday by the UN, which asserted that there is currently no credible way for the world to deliver on the central goal of Paris: Namely, to limit the average increase in global temperatures to no more than 1.5 C above preindustrial levels.

Hence the compelling need for strong leadership from G20 leaders and bolder statements of intent because, in the words of UN climate change chief Simon Stiell: “We are still nowhere near the scale and pace of emission reductions required to put us on track toward a 1.5 degrees Celsius world. To keep this goal alive, national governments need to strengthen their climate action plans now and implement them in the next eight years.”

Broader global economic-development issues will also be a key feature of the summit, reflecting Indonesia’s status as a key emerging market with the ambition of spurring a more-inclusive global economic order. This will include discussions on sustainability finance, financial inclusion through digital financial inclusion and the development of micro, small and medium enterprises.

All of this highlights why this year’s G20 summit could be one of the most unpredictable. While it could collapse into rancor, there is an outside chance significant agreements could be reached, including for Black Sea grain exports.

Widodo is well aware that in the past decade and a half, while the G20 is widely considered to have seized the mantle from the G7 as the premier forum for international economic cooperation and global governance, it has failed so far to realize the full scale of the ambitions some have thrust upon it.

In part, this is because it has no formal mechanisms to ensure enforcement of agreements by world leaders.

However, the Indonesian presidency will still try to exceed the expectations of what the summit will deliver. Whether it manages to do this will depend significantly on whether Ukraine-driven global divisions ameliorate or grow in the days ahead.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Stati Uniti

Usa. Sondaggio elettorale del 2022-10-28. Da leggersi con sano buon senso.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-10-31.

2022-10-31__ Prospezioni Congresso 001

Le elezioni di midterm si tengono l’8 novembre, e sono già iniziate le famigerate votazioni per corrispondenza.

270towin ha pubblicato il suo ultimo sondaggio per il Congresso, che darebbe i Repubblicani in vantaggio sui Democratici per 223 seggi su 201, con un sostanzioso aumento del loro margine di vittoria.

Comme d’habitude, esortiamo vivamente a leggere i sondaggi con grande prudenza.

Nel passato i sondaggi di 270towin si sono dimostrati precisi, ma nulla vieta di pensare che in questa occasione così gravida di conseguenze politiche gli intervistati possano essere stati insicuri.

Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Banche Centrali, Russia

Ukraina. Un missile ha danneggiato l’export di cereali, un secondo lo annienterebbe.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-10-30.

Gargoyle 002. Base Notre Dame Paris

                         Un missile ha scosso il commercio di cereali dell’Ucraina. Un altro potrebbe ucciderlo. L’attacco è arrivato appena un giorno prima che la Russia permettesse alla prima nave dall’inizio della guerra di salpare dalla vicina Odesa, in base a un accordo per riportare il grano ucraino sui mercati globali e domare l’inflazione dei prezzi alimentari in tutto il mondo.

                         L’accordo scade il 19 novembre e non è chiaro se il presidente russo Vladimir Putin lo rinnoverà. Se non lo farà, i prezzi del grano potrebbero salire di nuovo alle stelle e danneggiare le aziende agricole ucraine. Ma con i porti del Mar Nero bloccati e il Dnipro abbassato a Kherson, dove le forze russe occupano ogni lato del fiume, il modello di impresa di Nibulon è stato una vittima significativa della battaglia.

                         Un solo missile, che colpisca una nave in un presunto incidente, può essere sufficiente a porre fine al commercio rendendo la rotta non assicurabile.

* * * * * * *

«One missile shook Ukraine’s grain trade. Another might kill it. The strike came just a day before Russia allowed the first vessel since the start of the war to sail from nearby Odesa, under a deal to get Ukraine grain back into global markets and tame raging food price inflation around the world.»

«That deal expires on Nov. 19, and it’s unclear whether Russia’s President Vladimir Putin will renew it. If he doesn’t it could send grain prices soaring again and savage Ukrainian farms. But with the Black Sea ports blocked and the Dnipro lower at Kherson, the place Russian forces occupy each side of the river, Nibulon’s enterprise mannequin has been a significant casualty of the battle»

«Just one missile, hitting one ship in an alleged accident can be sufficient to finish the commerce by making the route uninsurable»

* * * * * * *


One Missile Shook Ukraine’s Grain Trade. Another Might Kill It

“I kissed my youngsters and drove to Ukraine,” said Vadaturskyy, in his first interview since the July 31 attack that saw him take over within days as Nibulon Ltd.’s owner and chief executive. “I was driving and crying. I did not know I could cry for so long.”

Within hours of the assault, a spokesman for the Ukrainian president’s workplace mentioned the missile’s course left “no doubts” the Vadaturskyys had been targeted, a theme picked up widely in the nation’s media. The strike came just a day before Russia allowed the first vessel since the start of the war to sail from nearby Odesa, under a deal to get Ukraine grain back into global markets and tame raging food price inflation around the world.

That deal expires on Nov. 19, and it’s unclear whether Russia’s President Vladimir Putin will renew it. If he doesn’t it could send grain prices soaring again and savage Ukrainian farms that, according to US estimates, employed 14% of the population and provided $27.8 billion in export revenue in 2021.

There are reasons for Putin to continue with a deal he agreed to only under intense international pressure, but Vadaturskyy, for one, is a skeptic.

Although a forensic investigation is still underway, initial indications are that Oleksiy Vadaturskyy and his wife Raisa were killed by one of the precision guided S-300 anti-aircraft missiles that Russian forces have been firing for months at ground targets in Mykolaiv, their home town at the mouth of the river Bug. According to their son, the couple took shelter in their basement just before dawn. After an initial blast just 50-60 meters along their street; a second missile plunged through the house around 15 minutes later, detonating near where they sat.

“Everyone strongly advised me not to see them,” Vadaturskyy mentioned of his dad and mom our bodies. At the funeral in Mykolaiv, artillery fireplace rumbled within the distance. The metropolis’s docks, the center of Nibulon’s grain transport empire, he discovered as silent as a graveyard. “So many instances I attempted to persuade them to maneuver to the western a part of the nation.”

                         Putin’s threats fear NATO as signal of Russian desperation

At 74, the older Vadaturskyy had change into a larger-than-life determine in Mykolaiv and throughout Ukraine. Though a troublesome participant in an typically corrupt trade, he was extensively admired for investing closely within the firm he owned and by no means transferring its headquarters — or his own residence — to extra glamorous, tax pleasant, areas overseas.

In the 2000s the Vadaturskyys turned their carefully held firm into the spine of Ukraine’s agricultural infrastructure, an enormous community of grain silos, elevators, barges and ships able to bringing grain from fields across the nation to the Black Sea and past. Though a big grower in its personal proper, with 75,000 hectares beneath cultivation when the battle broke out, Nibulon was exporting greater than 10 instances its manufacturing. The firm spent $600 million on a brand new 82-vessel fleet, Ukrainian flagged, in-built Mykolaiv and now largely marooned there.

Developing the Dnipro River as a logistics artery for grain diminished farm-to-port transport prices to as little as $3 per ton, based on the corporate’s new sole proprietor and CEO. He and his father had dreamed, he mentioned, of extending their river route north by Belarus and out to the Baltic Sea. 

But with the Black Sea ports blocked and the Dnipro lower at Kherson, the place Russian forces occupy each side of the river, Nibulon’s enterprise mannequin has been a significant casualty of the battle. To get grain to Ukraine’s a lot smaller Danube River ports, and from there to Constanta in Romania, now prices $154 per ton. 

Oleksiy Vadaturskyy was making an attempt to do one thing about that. The morning earlier than his demise he visited the development web site for a brand new grain terminal he determined to construct at Izmail, on the Danube, in response to Russia’s sea blockade. The objective, says Andriy, was to create a viable logistics route for Ukraine that wasn’t depending on its Black Sea ports. 

The terminal opened for enterprise in September and, even when the battle ended tomorrow, would supply a precious insurance coverage coverage in opposition to future Russian actions, says Andriy. He can be now contemplating the best way to switch his river-cum-sea barges to the Danube, to run grain upstream and into the European Union.

A Russian speaker from a city whose huge docks had fashioned the center of the Soviet ship constructing trade earlier than the union’s breakup, Oleksiy Vadaturskyy developed a strained relationship with Moscow over years, as he reoriented his enterprise to Ukraine and Europe. 

By 2009, based on Andriy, Nibulon had ended all enterprise dealings with Russia. In 2014, when Russia annexed Crimea and fomented an insurgency within the jap Donbas area, the elder Vadaturskyy took a strongly pro-Ukraine place. In 2018, Russia positioned him beneath sanctions.

“Many individuals right here regarded to him for an instance,” the 49-year-old said of his father, not least because his parents had remained in Mykolaiv throughout regular bombardments, despite having the means to seek safety anywhere in the world. 

At $416 million, Nibulon’s direct losses from the war have been significant, whether through the 20,000 hectares of its farmland now under occupation or rendered unusable by the conflict, the grain stores it says were stolen by Russian companies or — accounting for about half the total — Moscow’s blockade of Ukraine’s river and sea traffic. 

From a record 5.6 million tons exported in 2021, the company’s volumes were down 88% in the March-August period. Forty percent of Nibulon’s 6,000 prewar staff have still been unable to work, either because they’re fighting at the front, in now-occupied territories, or displaced.

Even so, Vadaturskyy remains optimistic about the company’s future. As he spoke, he was about to present a case for staying the course to some of the 29 banks — from commercial institutions to international financiers like the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development — that have funded some of Nibulon’s $2.3 billion in investment since its creation.

Vadaturskyy doesn’t expect Putin to renew the grain export deal next month, but he also hopes to be proved wrong. The arrangement, brokered by the United Nations and Turkey, allowed Ukraine to raise grain exports from a trickle in March to 2.8 million tons in the first 21 days of October, nearing last year’s 3.1 million ton figure for the same period. Most of that goes by sea, making the traffic essential to the survival of Ukraine’s farmers — and not just Nibulon.

“If the green corridor is closed big and small farms alike will go bankrupt, everyone understands that,” says Viktor Bykov, CEO of Tecom Agro Group Ltd, an agricultural firm that leases 26,000 hectares of farmland in and across the Odesa area. 

Bykov included his personal firm, although its location — shut sufficient to the Danube to scale back transport prices, and much sufficient from the frontlines to have misplaced no land to occupation or shelling — places the group in a stronger place than most.

In latest days, Russia’s quantity two on the UN, Dmitry Polyanskiy has advised information shops he was pessimistic concerning the grain deal’s prospects, as a result of although it lifted sanctions on Russia’s personal grain and fertilizer exports, Western consumers have shunned them. He additionally threatened to interrupt off cooperation with the UN, the deal’s dealer, if it proceeds with an investigation into Russia’s use of Iranian drones in Ukraine.

                         What Is a ‘Dirty Bomb’ and why Is Ukraine apprehensive?

Still, in a battle Putin has pitched to the developing world as a wrestle in opposition to Western domination, he may accept the disruption prompted even with the grain deal in place; ending it would threat turning extra nations in opposition to him, driving international costs for wheat, sunflower oil and different meals staples again to the stratospheric ranges seen in May.  

The persevering with backlog could be seen on the primary street north from Odesa, the place a whole lot of grain vans are parked in each instructions, lining the kerb for miles as they anticipate the decision to take their cargoes for loading at one of many space’s three seaports. According to the Joint Coordination Center that manages the deal’s laborious vessel checks, as of Oct. 24 there have been 113 ships registered for inspection, with an extra 60 ready in Turkish waters.

“The grain hall is a political instrument every day,” says Vadaturskyy, speaking at the offices he took over from a defunct travel company in central Kyiv. He says he moved Nibulon’s headquarters and staff from Mykolaiv for the first time since the company was set up, in the interests of safety and the greater efficiency that comes with not having to sleep in bunkers. 

“It’s very difficult to rely on it and it’s very difficult to trade forward,” Vadaturskyy says of the grain deal, referring to the necessity agricultural companies should undertaking future demand, to allow them to plant and purchase in provides accordingly. Just one missile, hitting one ship in an alleged accident can be sufficient to finish the commerce by making the route uninsurable, he says. 

Only a return to market circumstances can guarantee a real restoration, however even then Nibulon “shouldn’t be going to be the identical as earlier than,” Vadaturskyy says. “It won’t be the same as before my father was killed.”

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Geopolitica Mondiale, Stati Uniti

White House. Adesso è terrorizzata dalle previsioni elettorali di midterm.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-10-29.

Casa Bianca

                         La Casa Bianca ha ridimensionato il suo precedente ottimismo sulle elezioni di midterm ed è ora preoccupata che i Democratici possano perdere il controllo di entrambe le camere del Congresso, dicono i funzionari dell’amministrazione. Recenti sondaggi hanno mostrato che i Democratici, che una volta avevano un vantaggio confortevole in alcune gare del Senato, sono sul filo del rasoio e che le elezioni del Senato, che erano considerate come un testa a testa tra i due partiti, ora propendono per i Repubblicani a causa del persistere di un’inflazione elevata.

                         La Camera dei Rappresentanti, che Biden e alcuni alleati e consiglieri avevano previsto che i Democratici avrebbero potuto tenere all’inizio dell’anno, sta decisamente oscillando verso i Repubblicani. La perdita del controllo di una o di entrambe le camere del Congresso condizionerà profondamente i prossimi due anni della presidenza di Joe Biden: si prevede che i repubblicani bloccheranno la legislazione sul congedo familiare, sull’aborto, sulla polizia e su altre priorità di Biden, mentre spingeranno nuove leggi per limitare l’immigrazione e la spesa, usando il tetto del debito come leva. Si prevede inoltre che i repubblicani avvieranno indagini sulle spese dei democratici e sugli affari e la vita privata del figlio del presidente, Hunter.

                         Il presidente e i suoi consiglieri ritengono che abbiamo una forte possibilità di mantenere entrambe le camere e sono concentrati a fare tutto il possibile per capitalizzare su quanto i repubblicani stiano facendo il nostro gioco – anche dicendo che la loro priorità principale è quella di peggiorare l’inflazione con un’elargizione di tasse ai ricchi.

                         A guidare il recente ripensamento: la durata delle preoccupazioni per l’inflazione tra i principali gruppi di elettori e la difficoltà di contrastare il messaggio dei repubblicani, diffuso in diverse campagne, secondo cui il sostegno dei democratici alla riforma della giustizia penale e delle forze dell’ordine significa che sono morbidi nei confronti del crimine. Ma alcune speranze sono state deluse all’inizio del mese da un dato sull’inflazione più alto del previsto e da molti sondaggi che mostrano come l’inflazione sia ancora la principale preoccupazione degli elettori. Il sondaggio Ipsos di questo mese ha mostrato che gli elettori statunitensi preferiscono i repubblicani ai democratici per la soluzione dei problemi di criminalità.

* * * * * * *

«The White House has lowered its earlier optimism about the midterm elections and is now worried that Democrats could lose control of both chambers of Congress, administration officials say. Recent polls have shown Democrats who once had comfortable leads in some Senate races on a knife’s edge, and Senate elections that were considered toss-ups between the two parties now leaning Republican as high inflation persists.»

«The House of Representatives, which Biden and some allies and advisers predicted Democrats could hold earlier this year, is decisively swinging for Republicans. Losing control of one or both houses of Congress will profoundly shape the next two years of Joe Biden’s presidency, with Republicans expected to block legislation on family leave, abortion, policing and other Biden priorities while pushing new laws to curb immigration and spending, using the debt ceiling as leverage. Republicans are also expected to launch investigations into Democratic spending and the business dealings and private life of the president’s son Hunter.»

«The president and his advisers feel that we have a strong shot at keeping both chambers and are focused on doing all they can to capitalize on how much Republicans are playing into our hands – including by saying their top priority is to worsen inflation with a tax giveaway to the wealthy»

«Driving the recent re-think: the durability of inflation concerns among key voting groups, and trouble fighting Republicans’ message across several campaigns that Democrats’ support for criminal justice and policing reform means they are soft on crime. But some hopes were dashed earlier this month by a higher-than-expected inflation figure and many polls showing inflation is still voters’ top concern. Ipsos polling this month showed U.S. voters prefer Republicans over Democrats for solving crime problems.»

* * * * * * *


Midterm elections outlook darkens for Biden’s White House

Washington, Oct 25 (Reuters) – The White House has lowered its earlier optimism about the midterm elections and is now worried that Democrats could lose control of both chambers of Congress, administration officials say.

Recent polls have shown Democrats who once had comfortable leads in some Senate races on a knife’s edge, and Senate elections that were considered toss-ups between the two parties now leaning Republican as high inflation persists.

The House of Representatives, which Biden and some allies and advisers predicted Democrats could hold earlier this year, is decisively swinging for Republicans, polling analysts including FiveThirtyEight say.

Losing control of one or both houses of Congress will profoundly shape the next two years of Joe Biden’s presidency, with Republicans expected to block legislation on family leave, abortion, policing and other Biden priorities while pushing new laws to curb immigration and spending, using the debt ceiling as leverage.

Republicans are also expected to launch investigations into Democratic spending and the business dealings and private life of the president’s son Hunter. Some lawmakers say they hope to impeach Biden, his cabinet members or Vice President Kamala Harris.

One person familiar with the thinking inside the White House said Democratic chances of keeping control of the Senate were seen as 50-50.

Biden predicted in May that his fellow Democrats would make gains in both the House and Senate, but he acknowledged last week that the race has tightened. “It’s been back and forth with them ahead, us ahead, them ahead,” Biden said, adding the polls were “all over the place,” and that he thought they would swing towards Democrats one more time before Nov. 8’s elections.

The White House, while realistic, has stuck publicly to that message of hope.

“The president and his advisers feel that we have a strong shot at keeping both chambers and are focused on doing all they can to capitalize on how much Republicans are playing into our hands – including by saying their top priority is to worsen inflation with a tax giveaway to the wealthy,” one Biden adviser said in response to Reuters’ reporting.

Former and current advisers say the White House is preparing for any obstruction or probes that could be coming.

“The White House is clear-eyed for what Republican control could look like,” said Eric Schultz, a Democratic strategist with close ties to the White House. “It’s not a mystery where Republicans will go with this if given the gavel.”

The White House earlier this year hired white collar defense lawyer Richard Sauber as special counsel to prepare for any investigations, but additional hires and staff shifts are on hold until the election results are in, the person familiar with the situation said. Internal divisions in the Republican Party mean those lawmakers may struggle with what to focus on, this source added.

                         ABORTION, INFLATION AND CRIME

Driving the recent re-think: the durability of inflation concerns among key voting groups, and trouble fighting Republicans’ message across several campaigns that Democrats’ support for criminal justice and policing reform means they are soft on crime, administration officials said.

Legislative wins from June and an August vote in Kansas rejecting efforts to remove abortion protections from the state’s constitution led Democrats to believe voters were rejecting Republican policy priorities.

But some hopes were dashed earlier this month by a higher-than-expected inflation figure and many polls showing inflation is still voters’ top concern.

White House officials and Democratic strategists Reuters spoke to acknowledge the overall shift from midterms optimism, but were not ready to give up.

Historically, the midterms favor the party not in the White House, they note, and close races in the House and Senate could swing for Democrats on just a small number of votes.

“We have been talking about the economy, inflation, abortion, our legislative victories and how that will help Americans for months now,” said one White House official, rejecting the idea that Democrats were too optimistic about the impact the Supreme Court’s repeal of abortion rights would have on Democratic candidates.

“There has been a surge in women registering to vote in several battleground states and we think it is extremely important to get these newly mobilized voters to the voting booths in November,” the official said.

Abortion is playing “a key role,” in at least half a dozen competitive Senate races, a second White House official said. “It is also having an impact in center-right districts that are swing districts in House races.”

Inflation statistics and Republican messaging on crime have undercut Biden’s warning against what he calls the extremist “MAGA” wing of the Republican Party, which has promised to try to curtail abortion rights and other popular freedoms including contraception.

While some analysis shows that Republican-led states have as high or higher murder rates than those led by Democrats, Ipsos polling this month showed U.S. voters prefer Republicans over Democrats for solving crime problems.

                         PRODUCTIVE, NOT POPULAR

The White House has failed to leverage a spate of legislative successes on climate, infrastructure and expanded social benefits into higher favorability ratings for Biden, Democratic strategists in battleground states say.

White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said the president has talked frequently about student debt relief, the economy, infrastructure and abortion ahead of the midterms. “Almost every day, you have seen the President in front of the American people, talking exactly to that: what is at stake,” she said.

Some Democrats say they wanted to see Biden hit the road more often, highlighting how these policies have impacted local voters. But candidates in some crucial races have also chosen to campaign without Biden, pushing the White House to significantly scale back their planned presence in competitive areas around the country in the weeks leading up to the race, according to an official.

Biden has stepped up his travel schedule in recent weeks, trading between political events and others more focused on specific legislative achievements.

A West Coast swing in mid-October included no stops in Nevada or Arizona, home to two key Senate races, while former President Barack Obama will start a campaign swing this week.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Geopolitica Europea

Italia. M5S supera il pd che perde un altro 2.0% rispetto le passate elezioni.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-10-29.

Letta Enrico Vignetta 001

«Il sondaggio realizzato da Alessandra Ghisleri per Euromedia conferma l’aumento dei consensi per il M5s che guadagna oltre un punto percentuale arrivando al 17.3%, e il contestuale calo del Pd che al contrario scende alla terza posizione con il 17%, perdendo un ulteriore 2%.»

«Il centrodestra, Fdi-Lega-Fi-Noi Moderati, raggiungerebbe il 45.4%, mentre il centrosinistra, Pd-Verdi e Si-+Europa-Impegno Civico, si ferma al 23.4%.»

* * * * * * *

Reduce dalla performance canora quando a Bruxelles ha gorgheggiato ‘bella ciao’ assieme ad altri tre sodali – in passato erano in nove – il buon Enrico Letta ha dato sfogo al suo infernale livore rovesciando sulla Italia la sua ossessiva impotenza. Lui la chiama ‘opposizione dura’. Con 78 parlamentari litigiosi come gatti in lotta per godere le grazie della gatta in calore. Totalmente ininfluenti. Quando parlano in Parlamento nessuno li sta a sentire: contano nulla. In ogni caso Enrico Letta è adesso causa efficiente di una emorragia di consensi che determina una ulteriore crescita del M5s.  La sua opposizione dura è un balsamo per M5S e centrodestra.

Il popolo libero e civile augura ad Enrico Letta buona salute e grande resistenza a proseguire con questa opposizione dura fino alla estinzione del partito democratico.

* * * * * * *


Sondaggio Euromedia: il M5S supera il Pd, Meloni vola oltre il 28%

Non accadeva dal 2019, e questa è la notizia. Il M5s di corto muso sul Pd diventa secondo partito in Italia a un mese dalle elezioni. Il sondaggio realizzato da Alessandra Ghisleri per Euromedia Research e diffuso ieri sera, giovedì 27 ottobre a Porta a Porta, conferma l’aumento dei consensi per il M5s che guadagna oltre un punto percentuale arrivando al 17,3%, e il contestuale calo del Pd che al contrario scende alla terza posizione con il 17, perdendo un ulteriore 2%.

Viaggia a vele spiegate nel centrodestra il partito di maggioranza, Fratelli d’Italia, raggiungendo il 28,4% (+2,2 rispetto al risultato elettorale del 25 settembre) confermandosi così primo partito italiano e Giorgia Meloni leader indiscussa della coalizione. La Lega è in leggero recupero, al 9,5%, mentre Forza Italia che scende al 6.7% e si fa scavalcare nelle intenzioni di voto anche da Azione-Italia Viva, adesso in quinta posizione, che arriva all’8,3.

Il trend fotografato da Ghisleri racconta il sorpasso di Giuseppe Conte su Enrico Letta, anche se la crescita del Movimento – e la flessione dei dem – era già in atto da prima delle elezioni e aveva stretto la forbice lo scorso 25 settembre (19 contro 15,4%). Il recupero è poi proseguito con ancora maggiore forza dopo il voto. Il sondaggio di Euromedia Research fa emergere un sorpasso già avvenuto e, se il trend dovesse proseguire, l’emorragia di consensi per il Pd potrebbe portare a un’ulteriore crescita del M5s.

Nel Nazareno crescono i malumori per la gestione post elettorale, per il congresso non ancora programmato che dovrebbe svolgersi però la prima metà di gennaio, per un inizio di opposizione che per il momento resta mite e ha portato persino qualche autogol (come nel caso della risposta di Meloni alla deputata Serracchiani durante il dibattito sulla fiducia alla Camera). Al contrario, proprio il discorso di Conte a Montecitorio ha scatenato la reazione della maggioranza e sembra aver rinvigorito ancora l’azione del M5s da forza di opposizione.

Nel centrodestra continua la ‘luna di Meloni’ con i suoi elettori. Effetto amplificato della vittoria alle urne e dell’arrivo a Palazzo Chigi che ora dovrà essere messo alla prova quando il governo dovrà varare le prime misure per affrontare le emergenze che ha davanti. Non sembra aver pagato FI in termini percentuali invece, la decisione di Silvio Berlusconi andare allo scontro proprio con la premier.

Euromedia rileva anche la discesa dell’alleanza Verdi e Sinistra che arriva al 3,4%, +Europa cala leggermente al 2,6%, Italexit è al 2,6%, Noi Moderati al 0,8% e Impegno Civico rimane stabile allo 0,4%. Ghisleri ha anche dato un valore complessivo agli schieramenti: il centrodestra (Fdi-Lega-Fi-Noi Moderati) raggiungerebbe il 45,4%, mentre il centrosinistra (Pd-Verdi e Si-+Europa-Impegno Civico) si ferma al 23,4%.

Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Russia

Russia. Ha ordinato altri 2,000 HESA Shahed 136 dallo Iran.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-10-28.

Putin e Leader Europei annientati 001

Russia e Iran. Una alleanza che impensierisce sempre più la America.

Iran. La Unione Europea lo sanziona per la vendita dei droni alla Russia.

HESA Shahed 136. Drone kamikaze iraniano ad infimo costo.

Biden il demente parla e dice cose da demente. Non ascoltiamolo.

Grüne europei. Tornano disperati alla legna da ardere.

Enclave liberal socialista europea. Sta crepando sotto la inflazione. – Eurostat.

Cina, Russia ed Iran formano un blocco funzionale che insidia gli Stati Uniti.

Iran. L’occidente liberal spera nel petrolio con il Joint Complete Plan of Motion.

Iran. Ha chiesto di aderire al Gruppo Brics, Russia, Cina, India, Brasile, Sud Africa.

Brics. Si espandono ad Iran, Argentina, Egitto, Arabia Saudita e Turkia. Club energetico maggiore al mondo.

Iran. Ha chiesto di aderire al Gruppo Brics, Russia, Cina, India, Brasile, Sud Africa.

Dushanbe. Russia e Cina integrano l’Iran nello SCO. Altra débâcle irredimibile di Joe Biden.

* * * * * * *

L’Iran ha stretto un’alleanza militare con la Russia e Mosca ha ordinato a Teheran altri 2,000 droni suicidi. Il suono disgustoso dei droni iraniani si sente ogni notte nei nostri cieli.

* * * * * * *

«Iran is in a military alliance with Russia and Moscow has ordered 2,000 more “suicide” drones from Tehran. The disgusting sound of Iranian drones is heard in our skies every night.»

* * * * * * *


Russia ‘has ordered 2,000 more kamikaze drones’ from Tehran

Jeddah: Iran is in a military alliance with Russia and Moscow has ordered 2,000 more “suicide” drones from Tehran, Ukraine’s president said on Monday.

Volodymyr Zelensky Israeli leaders’ refusal to support Kyiv had encouraged Russia’s partnership with Iran.“This alliance of theirs simply would not have happened if your politicians had made only one decision … in 2014, when Russia began its aggression against Ukraine,” Zelensky said.

“The disgusting sound of Iranian drones is heard in our skies every night. According to our intelligence, Russia has ordered about 2,000 Shahed drones from Iran … and Iranian instructors came to teach Russians how to use them.”

Zelensky spoke as Western countries accused Russia of plotting to use the threat of a bomb laced with nuclear material as a pretext for escalation in Ukraine.

The row began when Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu called Western counterparts on Sunday and told them Moscow suspected Kyiv of planning to use a so-called “dirty bomb”. The foreign ministers of France, Britain and the US said they rejected the allegations and reaffirmed their support for Ukraine against Russia.

“Our countries made clear that we all reject Russia’s transparently false allegations that Ukraine is preparing to use a dirty bomb on its own territory,” they said. “The world would see through any attempt to use this allegation as a pretext for escalation.”

Russia’s Defense Ministry said the aim of a “dirty bomb” attack by Ukraine would to blame the resulting radioactive contamination on Russia by accusing Moscow of detonating a low-grade nuclear weapon.

“The aim of the provocation would be to accuse Russia of using a weapon of mass destruction in the Ukrainian military theater and by that means to launch a powerful anti-Russian campaign in the world,” it said.

Zelensky said the Russian accusation was a sign that Moscow was planning such an attack itself and would blame Ukraine. “If Russia calls and says that Ukraine is allegedly preparing something, it means one thing: Russia has already prepared all this,” he said.

“So when today the Russian Minister of Defense organises a phone carousel and calls foreign ministers with stories about the so-called ‘dirty’ nuclear bomb, everyone understands everything well… understands who is the source of everything dirty that can be imagined in this war.”

Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Geopolitica Europea, Problemia Energetici, Russia

Russia. La distruzione delle forniture elettriche spinge i rifugiati congelati verso l’UE.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-10-28.

gatto_001__

                         La distruzione delle forniture elettriche dell’Ucraina da parte della Russia ha lo scopo di spingere i rifugiati congelati verso l’UE, ha avvertito Kiev.

                         La Russia sta prendendo di mira esclusivamente le infrastrutture civili per provocare un disastro totale che potrebbe portare a una nuova ondata migratoria di cittadini ucraini verso l’UE L’aggressore sta bombardando non solo le sottostazioni chiave di Ukrenergo, l’operatore di rete dell’Ucraina, ma anche le apparecchiature di generazione / infrastruttura di rete delle centrali termiche e degli impianti di cogenerazione chiave.

                         Gli operatori energetici russi stanno contribuendo a distruggere il sistema energetico ucraino. Consigliano i militari su quali oggetti colpire per primi, poiché conoscono il sistema energetico ucraino fin dall’epoca dell’Unione Sovietica (URSS). La Russia sta provocando una nuova ondata migratoria di ucraini verso i Paesi dell’Unione Europea.

                         I missili russi hanno continuato a colpire obiettivi ucraini per l’approvvigionamento energetico durante il fine settimana.

                         Si prevede che altri 750,000 ucraini ancora all’interno del Paese si sposteranno in cerca di riscaldamento e di un alloggio a causa dell’abbassamento delle temperature. Alla vigilia della stagione invernale, centinaia di migliaia di famiglie [ucraine] rimangono senza elettricità e gas.

* * * * * * *

«Russia’s destruction of Ukraine’s power supplies is meant to push freezing refugees into the EU, Kyiv has warned.

Russia is targeting exclusively civil infrastructure to provoke a total disaster that could lead to a new wave of migration of Ukrainian citizens to the EU The aggressor is shelling not only the key substations of Ukrenergo, Ukraine’s grid operator, but the generating equipment/grid infrastructure of thermal power plants and key co-generation plants as well»

«Russian energy workers are helping to destroy Ukraine’s energy system. They advise the military on which objects to hit first as they know Ukraine’s energy system since the epoch of Soviet Union (USSR). Russia is provoking a new wave of migration of Ukrainians to European Union countries.»

«Russian missiles continued to strike Ukrainian power-supply targets over the weekend.»

«Another 750,000 more still inside the country were expected to move in seek of heating and housing as temperatures fell. “On the eve of the winter season, hundreds of thousands of [Ukrainian] households remain without electricity and gas»

* * * * * * *

Putin weaponising winter against the EU, Kyiv warns

Russia’s destruction of Ukraine’s power supplies is meant to push freezing refugees into the EU, Kyiv has warned.

“Russia is targeting exclusively civil infrastructure to provoke a total disaster that could lead to a new wave of migration of Ukrainian citizens to the EU,” Ukraine said in a diplomatic note circulated in Brussels on Friday (21 October) in the margins of the EU summit and seen by EUobserver.

“The aggressor is shelling not only the key substations of Ukrenergo, Ukraine’s grid operator, but the generating equipment/grid infrastructure of thermal power plants and key co-generation plants as well,” the memo said.

“This attack was unprovoked, had no military purpose other than to terrorise the people of Ukraine and create a total disaster in the country,” it said.

“Russian energy workers are helping to destroy Ukraine’s energy system. They advise the military on which objects to hit first as they know Ukraine’s energy system since the epoch of Soviet Union (USSR),” it added, highlighting the systematic nature of Russian president Vladimir Putin’s campaign.

The message was also pressed home by Ukrainian president Volodomyr Zelensky personally in his video-address to EU leaders.

“Russia is provoking a new wave of migration of Ukrainians to European Union countries,” he said on Thursday (20 October).

Russian missiles continued to strike Ukrainian power-supply targets over the weekend.

Temperatures in parts of Ukraine fall to below minus 30 degrees Celsius in winter.

Some 4.3 million Ukrainians have already fled to the EU since Russia invaded in February.

Another 750,000 more still inside the country were expected to move in seek of heating and housing as temperatures fell, the Czech EU presidency estimated in mid-October, in a figure likely to have ballooned by now.

“On the eve of the winter season, hundreds of thousands of [Ukrainian] households remain without electricity and gas,” the Ukrainian memo also said.

Europeans have been welcoming toward Ukrainian refugees so far.

But soaring living costs and energy prices in Europe meant “EU citizens may find it more difficult to continue providing temporary shelter in their own homes” as winter approaches, the Czechs warned.

Russian disinformation was also trying to stigmatise refugees, it added.

Putin has a track record of using migration to try to destabilise the EU, by provoking clashes between right and left-wing politicians.

His ally, Belarusian president Alexander Lukashenka, forced tens of thousands of mostly Arab migrants into Poland and the Baltic states in 2021, in what the EU at the time called “hybrid warfare”.

Putin’s bombing of civilian targets in Syria in 2016 to push people to the EU via Turkey was described at the time by US general Philip Breedlove as “deliberately weaponising migration”.

Kyiv listed power-supply items, such as transformers, that Ukraine needed from the EU to keep the lights on.

It also listed the dozens of Ukrainian energy infrastructure pieces that Russia had demolished, writing before this weekend’s latest attacks.

“We need to cut the flow of Russia’s fossil revenues. Since the start of the war, EU payments for Russian fuel are over €100 billion,” Ukraine said, as EU countries continue to buy Russian oil and gas for now.

“We call on our international partners to establish an escrow account and to repurpose payments for Russian gas to the needs of repair of damages to Ukrainian infrastructure,” Zelensky’s government said.

Pubblicato in: Commercio, India, Logistica, Regno Unito

India. Lancia altri 36 satelliti di comunicazioni per OneWeb.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-10-27.

India 013

                         La società satellitare londinese OneWeb è tornata in pista con il lancio di altre 36 navicelle per il suo sistema globale di Internet a banda larga. Le piattaforme sono salite su un razzo GSLV dall’isola di Sriharikota, in India. Gli sforzi di OneWeb per distribuire la sua rete di telecomunicazioni sono stati sospesi da marzo, quando è stato costretto a sospendere l’uso dei razzi russi Soyuz. Il volo di domenica porta a 462 il numero di satelliti in orbita sopra la Terra.

                         L’azienda, in parte di proprietà del governo britannico, prevede di completare l’installazione a metà del prossimo anno.

Il Geosynchronous Satellite Launch Vehicle (GSLV), il razzo più grande e più capace dell’India, si è sollevato dallo spazioporto Satish Dhawan, nello Stato dell’Andhra Pradesh.

                          Ci vorranno alcune settimane prima che i motori a ioni dei veicoli spaziali li portino nelle loro orbite polari operative, a 1,200 km di altezza. OneWeb offre già connessioni a banda larga ad alta velocità ai clienti beta al di sopra dei 50 gradi nord e sud. Quest’ultimo lancio e un altro entro la fine dell’anno avvicineranno la copertura all’equatore.

* * * * * * *

«The London-based satellite company, OneWeb, is back on track with the launch of another 36 spacecraft for its global broadband internet system. The platforms went up on a GSLV rocket from Sriharikota island in India. OneWeb’s efforts to deploy its telecommunications network had been on hold since March when it was forced to suspend use of Russian Soyuz rockets. Sunday’s flight brings the number of satellites now in orbit above the Earth to 462.»

«The firm, part owned by the British government, expects to complete the roll-out in the middle of next year.

The Geosynchronous Satellite Launch Vehicle (GSLV), India’s largest and most capable rocket, lifted clear of the Satish Dhawan spaceport in the state of Andhra Pradesh»

«It will be some weeks before the ion engines on the spacecraft move them to their operational, 1,200km-high, polar orbits. OneWeb is already offering high-speed broadband connections to beta customers above 50 degrees North and South. This latest launch and another before the end of the year will pull coverage closer to the equator.»

* * * * * * *


Indian rocket launches 36 OneWeb satellites

The London-based satellite company, OneWeb, is back on track with the launch of another 36 spacecraft for its global broadband internet system.

The platforms went up on a GSLV rocket from Sriharikota island in India.

OneWeb’s efforts to deploy its telecommunications network had been on hold since March when it was forced to suspend use of Russian Soyuz rockets.

Sunday’s flight brings the number of satellites now in orbit above the Earth to 462.

This is more than 70% of the total OneWeb needs to achieve worldwide coverage with its first-generation constellation.

The firm, part owned by the British government, expects to complete the roll-out in the middle of next year.

The Geosynchronous Satellite Launch Vehicle (GSLV), India’s largest and most capable rocket, lifted clear of the Satish Dhawan spaceport in the state of Andhra Pradesh at 00:07 on Sunday morning (19:37 BST, Saturday).

It took an hour and a half to get all the satellites unloaded at an altitude of 600km. It will be some weeks before the ion engines on the spacecraft move them to their operational, 1,200km-high, polar orbits.

The situation for OneWeb was looking very uncertain back in March.

The company’s plans were knocked off course by the war in Ukraine.

The conflict, and the resulting Western sanctions against Russia, led to the firm losing access to Russian Soyuz rockets.

With only two-thirds of its satellites in orbit, OneWeb had to move quickly to secure rides on other carriers. Deals were struck with American rocket providers SpaceX and Relativity Space, and India’s New Space India Limited, the commercial arm of India’s space agency, Isro, which markets the GSLV.

OneWeb is already offering high-speed broadband connections to beta customers above 50 degrees North and South. This latest launch and another before the end of the year will pull coverage closer to the equator.

“We need to get these launches away that we’re doing before Christmas, and that will enable us to turn on the service from 25 degrees North and 25 degrees South. Then we’ll complete the roll-out of the constellation by spring, which enables us to complete global commercial service by the end of next year,” OneWeb CEO Neil Masterson said.

The big news since March has been the proposed merger between OneWeb and Paris-headquartered Eutelsat.

The French firm operates telecommunications spacecraft higher in the sky in what’s termed Geostationary Orbit, at 36,000km in altitude. It is one of the biggest distributors in the world of direct-to-home TV.

The merger plan is currently working its way through the competition and regulatory approval process.

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Finanza e Sistema Bancario, Geopolitica Asiatica

Vietnam. Aumenterà i tassi di interesse di 100 punti base. Pil proiettato allo 8%.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-10-27.

Vietnam Britannica 001

                         La banca centrale del Vietnam ha dichiarato lunedì di voler aumentare i tassi di interesse di 100 punti base, il secondo aumento in un mese, nel tentativo di prevenire i rischi di inflazione, mantenere la stabilità e proteggere il sistema bancario. Con effetto da martedì, il tasso di rifinanziamento sarà portato al 6.0% e il tasso di sconto al 4.5%.

                         Il Vietnam, come la maggior parte dei suoi vicini del sud-est asiatico, ha affrontato una pressione al rialzo dell’inflazione e ha visto la sua valuta subire un colpo negli ultimi mesi, con il dong che ha perso il 9% rispetto al dollaro quest’anno. La SBV ha dichiarato che il livello di inflazione globale rimane elevato e che la Fed ha alzato i tassi cinque volte di recente, con ulteriori rialzi previsti per il resto dell’anno e per il 2023.

                         Il principale indice azionario del Paese ha toccato lunedì il livello più basso dal gennaio 2020 e ha chiuso in ribasso del 3.3%, recuperando leggermente il calo del 4.11% precedente. Il dong è salito dello 0.04% rispetto al dollaro alla chiusura, dopo essere crollato a un nuovo minimo storico per la tredicesima sessione consecutiva. Il governo ha dichiarato che quest’anno la crescita del PIL potrebbe raggiungere l’8%, battendo l’obiettivo ufficiale di un’espansione del 6.0%-6.5% e più velocemente rispetto alla crescita del 2.58% dell’anno scorso.

* * * * * * *

«Vietnam’s central bank on Monday said it would raise its policy rates by 100 basis points, the second increase in a month, in what it said was an effort to head off inflation risks, maintain stability and protect its banking system. Effective Tuesday, the refinancing rate will be increased to 6.0% and the discount rate to 4.5%»

«Vietnam, like most of its Southeast Asian neighbours, has faced upward pressure on inflation and has seen its currency take a hit in recent months, with the dong losing 9% against the dollar this year. The SBV said the global inflation level remains high and the Fed had raised its rates five times recently, with more hikes expected during the rest of this year and 2023.»

«The country’s main stock index (.VNI) hit its lowest level since January 2020 earlier on Monday and closed down 3.3%, recovering slightly from 4.11% fall earlier. The dong edged up 0.04% against the dollar at the close, having earlier slumped to a fresh record low for a 13th consecutive session. The government has said this year’s GDP growth could reach 8%, beating an official target for 6.0%-6.5% expansion and faster than the 2.58% growth last year.»

* * * * * * *


Vietnam cenbank raises policy rates by 100 bps

Hanoi, Oct 24 (Reuters) – Vietnam’s central bank on Monday said it would raise its policy rates by 100 basis points, the second increase in a month, in what it said was an effort to head off inflation risks, maintain stability and protect its banking system.

Effective Tuesday, the refinancing rate will be increased to 6.0% and the discount rate to 4.5%, the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) said in a statement.

Vietnam, like most of its Southeast Asian neighbours, has faced upward pressure on inflation and has seen its currency take a hit in recent months, with the dong losing 9% against the dollar this year.

The SBV said the global inflation level remains high and the Fed had raised its rates five times recently, with more hikes expected during the rest of this year and 2023.

“This, coupled with the strengthening of the dollar, has put pressure on domestic interest rates and exchange rate,” SBV said.

Vietnam’s prime minister last week said Vietnam would keep prices in check and pursue flexible, prudent monetary policy throughout next year, noting that uncertainty over energy prices and the war in Ukraine were behind inflationary pressure.

The country’s main stock index (.VNI) hit its lowest level since January 2020 earlier on Monday and closed down 3.3%, recovering slightly from 4.11% fall earlier.

The dong edged up 0.04% against the dollar at the close, having earlier slumped to a fresh record low for a 13th consecutive session.

Market analysts had earlier said a faster-than-expected gross domestic product growth for this year has offered the central bank some room to raise its policy rates.

The government has said this year’s GDP growth could reach 8%, beating an official target for 6.0%-6.5% expansion and faster than the 2.58% growth last year.

Consumer prices in September rose 4.01% from the end of last year, slightly higher than a government target of 4.0% for the year.

The central bank on Oct. 17 widened the exchange rate trading band to 5.0% from 3.0%, following a sharp fall in the dong currency resulting from fluctuations in the global market.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Geopolitica Africa

Qatar. Cosa mai si crederebbe di essere lo Human Rights Watch?

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-10-26.

Qatar 001

«Human Rights Watch (HRW) is an international non-governmental organization, headquartered in New York City, that conducts research and advocacy on human rights. The group pressures governments, policy makers, companies, and individual human rights abusers to denounce abuse and respect human rights, and the group often works on behalf of refugees, children, migrants, and political prisoners.

Human Rights Watch, in 1997, shared the Nobel Peace Prize as a founding member of the International Campaign to Ban Landmines, and it played a leading role in the 2008 treaty banning cluster munitions.

Human Rights Watch was co-founded by Robert L. Bernstein Jeri Laber and Aryeh Neier as a private American NGO in 1978, under the name Helsinki Watch, to monitor the then-Soviet Union’s compliance with the Helsinki Accords.» [Fonte]

* * * * * * *

Lo Human Rights Watch altro non è che una organizzazione internazionale non-governativa di chiara appartenenza alla componente liberal socialista.

Nel converso, il Quatar è uno stato sovrano, con le leggi e con una Weltanschauung sue proprie, che non riconoscono ed avversano l’ideologie liberal socialista e le sue modalità di azione.

I liberal socialisti, e quindi lo Human Rights Watch sono ideologicamente razzisti e ritengono di essere la razza superiore, depositaria della verità, ed investita del compito di imporre dovunque la propria ideologia. Ma il mondo libero non solo non condivide simile visione, ma la avversa e la condanna.

Orbene, depongano lo scolapasta che hanno in testa e rientrino nei ranghi.

Senza la cassa di risonanza dei media di regime lo Hrw sarebbe una emerita nullità, quale è.

* * * * * * *

                         Le forze di sicurezza del Qatar hanno arrestato arbitrariamente e maltrattato persone LGBT del Qatar il mese scorso, ha dichiarato Human Rights Watch (HRW). L’omosessualità è illegale nel Paese musulmano conservatore e alcune star del calcio hanno sollevato preoccupazioni sui diritti dei tifosi in viaggio per l’evento, in particolare delle persone LGBT+ e delle donne. Un funzionario del Qatar ha dichiarato che le accuse di HRW contengono informazioni categoricamente e inequivocabilmente false.

                         Gli organizzatori della Coppa del Mondo, che inizierà il 20 novembre e sarà la prima a svolgersi in una nazione mediorientale, affermano che tutti, indipendentemente dal loro orientamento sessuale o dal loro background, sono i benvenuti, pur mettendo in guardia dalle manifestazioni pubbliche di affetto.

* * * * * * *

«Security forces in Qatar arbitrarily arrested and abused LGBT Qataris as recently as last month, Human Rights Watch (HRW) said. Homosexuality is illegal in the conservative Muslim country, and some soccer stars have raised concerns over the rights of fans travelling for the event, especially LGBT+ individuals and women. A Qatari official said in a statement that HRW’s allegations contain information that is categorically and unequivocally false»

«Organisers of the World Cup, which starts on Nov. 20 and is the first held in a Middle Eastern nation, say that everyone, no matter their sexual orientation or background, is welcome, while also warning against public displays of affection»

* * * * * * *


HRW says Qatar has detained and mistreated LGBT people ahead of World Cup

Doha, Oct 24 (Reuters) – Security forces in Qatar arbitrarily arrested and abused LGBT Qataris as recently as last month, Human Rights Watch (HRW) said on Monday, in the run-up to hosting soccer’s World Cup which has put a spotlight on human rights issues in the Gulf Arab state.

Homosexuality is illegal in the conservative Muslim country, and some soccer stars have raised concerns over the rights of fans travelling for the event, especially LGBT+ individuals and women, whom rights groups say Qatari laws discriminate against.

A Qatari official said in a statement that HRW’s allegations “contain information that is categorically and unequivocally false,” without specifying.

Organisers of the World Cup, which starts on Nov. 20 and is the first held in a Middle Eastern nation, say that everyone, no matter their sexual orientation or background, is welcome, while also warning against public displays of affection.

“Freedom of expression and nondiscrimination based on sexual orientation and gender identity should be guaranteed, permanently, for all residents of Qatar, not just spectators going to Qatar for the World Cup,” HRW said in a statement.

The organisation said it had interviewed six LGBT Qataris, including four transgender women, one bisexual woman and one gay man, who reported being detained between 2019 and 2022 and subjected to verbal and physical abuse, including kicking and punching.

They were detained without charge in an underground prison in Doha, HRW said, and one individual was held for two months in solitary confinement.

“All six said that police forced them to sign pledges indicating that they would ‘cease immoral activity’,” it said, adding that transgender women detainees were mandated to attend conversion therapy sessions at a government-sponsored clinic.

Qatar does not “license or operate ‘conversion centres’,” the Qatari official said.

One of the transgender Qatari women interviewed by HRW told Reuters on condition of anonymity that she was arrested several times, most recently this summer when she was held for several weeks.

Authorities had stopped her due to her appearance or for possessing make-up, the woman said, adding that she had been beaten to the point of bleeding and had her head shaved.

The behaviour centre she was mandated to attend told the woman she had a gender identity disorder and accused her of being transgender in search of “sympathy from others”.

“The last thing I want is sympathy, I just want to be myself,” she said.