Pubblicato in: Agricoltura, Devoluzione socialismo

Italia. Dacci oggi il nostro pane quotidiano. Listino prezzi. La fame si avvicina.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-10-21.

2021-10-19__Pane 001

Togliamoci immediatamente dalla testa alcune idee davvero bislacche, del tutto illogiche.

Avere da magiare non è per nulla un ‘diritto fondamentale ed inalienabile’. Tale ‘diritto’ semplicemente non esiste.

Chi voglia mangiare deve comprare il cibo, arrancando i soldi di sua tasca. Il panettiere non regala nulla a nessuno, così come il macellaio e tutti gli altri venditori.

La massaia che va a fare la spesa vive felicemente ignorando cosa siano PPI, CPI, CED e così via, tutti indici che preludono però ad un aumento dei prezzi. Ma tocca con mano gli aumenti del cibo.

Quello riportato in Tabella è il listino prezzi medi del pane. Come si constata, ben difficilmente si potrebbe trovare del pane a meno di quattro euro al kilo.

Un anno fa questi prezzi erano circa la metà.

I prezzi attuali sono determinati dagli aumenti dei prezzi della farina e degli altri ingredienti, della corrente elettrica, delle tasse. Ed anche con questi prezzi l’utile netto che resta ai panettieri è risicato. Molti hanno dovuto chiudere. Ma l’inettitudine di codesto governo è elemento non da poco.

Ma un poveraccio che guadagnasse 1,200 euro al mese, già un buon stipendio, e che decidesse di mangiare soltanto un kilo di pane al giorno, spenderebbe 120 euro al mese per il scarno desinare. Se poi volesse intingerlo nel latte, la spesa si raddoppierebbe.

* * *

L’inflazione è una gran brutta bestia: se poi associasse a stasi produttiva, ossia la stagflazione, diventa una delle peggiori iatture possibili.

Ha però alcuni aspetti utili.

Presi nel gorgo dell’inflazione, i Cittadini finalmente si rendono conto della reale situazione del sistema economico.

Non solo.

L’inflazione è democratica. La pagano tutti, nessuno escluso. Anche gli illicenziabili ed inamovibili dipendenti delle pubbliche amministrazioni.

Molti coniugi ci penseranno sopra più volte prima di separarsi, se non altro per gli evidenti danni economici.

* * *

In ogni caso, ci si metta l’animo in pace. Siamo solo agli inizi, ed il futuro si preannuncia essere tetro. Weimar è alle porte.

Pubblicato in: Economia e Produzione Industriale, Materie Prime, Problemia Energetici, Regno Unito

Regno Unito. Johnson deve scegliere tra ideologia green oppure autosufficienza energetica.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-10-21.

2021-10-20__ Johnson 001

Nota.

Ad articolo finito, è comparso questo articolo:

Net zero announcement: UK sets out plans to cut greenhouse gas emissions

Non indica però con chiarezza quale comportamento terrà il Regno Unito sullo sfruttamento dei nuovi campo di gas naturale.

* * * * * * *

«Britain has pledged to hit net zero emissions by 2050»

«Energy firms say new output can be part of phased decline»

«Activists want halt to new exploration immediately»

«Supply crunch sent global oil, gas prices soaring»

«Britain faces a fossil fuel dilemma: it can burnish its green credentials by halting new oil and gas development in the North Sea, yet doing so will leave it more reliant on imported fuel»

«How Britain charts a course to achieve net zero emissions by 2050 will be under scrutiny when it hosts the COP26 climate conference in Glasgow, Scotland, starting on Oct. 31»

«Vorlich oilfield. Neither legislation nor activism halted the development»

«If supply goes away and demand doesn’t change, that only has one consequence and that is an escalation in price rises»

«The challenge caused by shrinking domestic production and rising fuel imports has been felt across Europe. The European wholesale gas price is up more than 350% this year»

«Britain, which could once depend on its own fields for oil and gas to fire up its power stations, fuel its cars and heat its homes, has been a net energy importer since 2005»

«→→ It is the world’s biggest offshore wind power producer – and is expanding this resource rapidly. But that doesn’t power homes on windless days ←←»

«The purity of the (IEA) report is excellent, but the reality in practice for countries is about ensuring security of supply»

«Making the most of indigenous resources helps meet UK demand and contain price growth, providing secure supplies»

«In one case, Greenpeace sought to have a BP gas field licence scrapped over its emissions via a Scottish court – although the action failed»

«In another case, it is seeking to halt development of the Cambo field off the Shetland Isles, a field part owned by Royal Dutch Shell»

* * * * * * *

Il problema è chiaro e semplice.

Il Regno Unito ha ancora nel Mare del Nord molti campi di natural gas lo sfruttamento dei quali concorrerebbe notevolmente a ridurre la bolletta energetica, garantendo nel contempo un costante approvvigionamento svincolato dagli accadimenti esterni.

Si starà a vedere se nel Regno Unito comanda il governo legalmente eletto do Mr Boris Johnson oppure Greenpeace e le varie ngo di contorno.

* * * * * * *


Britain’s fossil fuel dilemma in the spotlight as climate talks near.

– Britain has pledged to hit net zero emissions by 2050

– Energy firms say new output can be part of phased decline

– Activists want halt to new exploration immediately

– Supply crunch sent global oil, gas prices soaring

*

London, Oct 19 (Reuters) – Britain faces a fossil fuel dilemma: it can burnish its green credentials by halting new oil and gas development in the North Sea, yet doing so will leave it more reliant on imported fuel.

How Britain charts a course to achieve net zero emissions by 2050 will be under scrutiny when it hosts the COP26 climate conference in Glasgow, Scotland, starting on Oct. 31.

Navigating that route has already proved challenging.

In June 2019, when Britain enshrined its 2050 net zero target in law, Greenpeace activists steered speedboats towards a BP platform in the North Sea brandishing a “Climate Emergency” banner to try to stop production starting from Vorlich oilfield.

Neither legislation nor activism halted the development. Production from Vorlich started in November 2020.

Oil majors say new production can play a role in managing decline, while campaigners are pressing for an immediate halt to new projects with publicity stunts and legal action.

The government, meanwhile, needs to keep the nation’s lights on as it smoothes over volatile energy markets and juggles competing demands over how to achieve its climate goals.

“If supply goes away and demand doesn’t change, that only has one consequence and that is an escalation in price rises,” BP Chief Executive Bernard Looney said this month.

Britain and other European states have already felt this acutely. Brent crude , a benchmark based on North Sea barrels, is up more than 60% this year, while the price of UK benchmark wholesale gas has risen more than 250%.

The challenge caused by shrinking domestic production and rising fuel imports has been felt across Europe. The European wholesale gas price is up more than 350% this year.

Britain, which could once depend on its own fields for oil and gas to fire up its power stations, fuel its cars and heat its homes, has been a net energy importer since 2005 as output from the North Sea has dwindled.

With the capacity of its gas storage facilities now only enough to last the nation a few days, Britain’s reliance on just-in-time supplies shipped in from Qatar or elsewhere leave it exposed when the market tightens, like now with the surge in demand as economies recover from the COVID-19 pandemic.

                         PRESSURE TO ACT

For activists, the answer is not turning the taps back on but rather reducing domestic fossil fuel consumption.

“We’re calling on Boris Johnson to stop pushing through new oil and gas projects,” said Greenpeace activist Philip Evans, addressing the British prime minister who has been pressing other countries to deepen climate commitments before COP26.

“If the government is worried about keeping the lights on there are things they can be doing to reduce demand,” Evans said, including improvements to home insulation, cleaner public transport and more investment in renewable power generation.

Around 70 scientists and academics sent an open letter published in Britain’s Independent newspaper this week calling on Johnson to stop allowing investment and licensing for new oil and gas fields, saying that “now is the time for bold political action”.

Britain has made progress in some areas. It is the world’s biggest offshore wind power producer – and is expanding this resource rapidly. But that doesn’t power homes on windless days.

Yet, there is rising pressure to act faster to curb fossil fuel use. The International Energy Agency said in a report the world must halt new oil and gas projects to achieve the 2015 Paris climate summit targets that aim to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2050 compared with pre-industrial levels.

“The purity of the (IEA) report is excellent, but the reality in practice for countries is about ensuring security of supply,” Anne-Marie Trevelyan told Reuters in June when she was still British minister of state for energy and clean growth.

Britain has not committed to ending North Sea exploration, taking a similar approach to Norway but not Denmark, another North Sea producer, which has halted new projects.

Britain has, however, been managing a decline, with production now half its 1999 peak at about 1 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd), or about 1% of global oil demand.

                         SUPPLY SECURITY

Oil and Gas UK (OGUK), an industry association, has committed to making the North Sea an operationally net zero basin by 2050, which means it aims to eliminate, capture or offset any residual emissions from producing oil and gas there.

It said in September that domestic production was cheaper and cleaner than imported gas, given shipping fuel creates emissions and because some other producing nations have poor environmental records.

“Making the most of indigenous resources helps meet UK demand and contain price growth, providing secure supplies with a lower carbon footprint than imports offer,” OGUK said.

Britain’s Oil and Gas Authority said gas extracted from the British North Sea had an average emission intensity of 22 kg carbon dioxide equivalent per barrel of oil equivalent, while imported LNG had an average intensity of 59 kg.

Yet, Greenpeace and other activists say these arguments miss the point: using fossil fuels must stop rather than simply trying to make using them cleaner.

To push for swifter action, they have taken campaigning to the courts.

In one case, Greenpeace sought to have a BP gas field licence scrapped over its emissions via a Scottish court – although the action failed.

In another case, it is seeking to halt development of the Cambo field off the Shetland Isles, a field part owned by Royal Dutch Shell.

“We’ve delivered a 12-foot oil-stained statue of Boris Johnson right to the gates of Downing Street calling him out as a monumental climate failure,” said Greenpeace’s Evans. “They can expect to see a lot more of Greenpeace in the court room.”

Pubblicato in: Cina, Economia e Produzione Industriale

Cina. 2021Q1-Q2-Q3. Situazione del sistema economico ragionevolmente buona.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-10-21.

Cina. The_Great_Hall_of_the_People

                         In sintesi.

Cina. Sept21. Vendite al dettaglio in Cina negli ultimi 12 mesi+16.37%

Cina. Sept21. Investimenti in fixed assets Annuale+7.3%

Cina. Sept21. Pil, Prodotto Interno Lordo, Annual2 +4.9%.

Cina. Sept21. Pil, Prodotto Interno Lordo, ultimi 12 mesi 9.8%.

Cina. Sept21. Produzione Industriale Annuale +3.1%.

Cina. Sept21. Produzione industriale cinese annuale, degli ultimi 12 mesi +11.8%.

Cina. Sept21. Produzione Industriale Profitti +49.5%.

Cina. Sept21. Vendite al dettaglio, Annuale +4.4%.

Cina. Sept21. Vendite al dettaglio, ultimi 12 mesi +16.37%.

Cina. Sept21. Imports 17.6%

Cina. Sept21. Exports 28.1%.

Cina. Sept21. Saldo della bilancia commerciale 66.76 miliardi Usd.

Cina. Sept21. Tasso di disoccupazione 4.9%.

* * * * * * *

«As a result, the national economy sustained its recovery and development with all major macro economic indicators falling in the reasonable range»

La situazione economica cinese apparirebbe essere ragionevolmente solida ed in costante crescita, nonostante il fatto che quasi tutto il mondo versi in una situazione di stagflazione che i prezzi delle materie prime siano in costante crescita, specie quelle energetiche, e che la catena degli approvvigionamenti presenti vistose incrinature.

* * * * * * *


National Bureau of Statistics of China. The Overall National Economy Maintained the Recovery Momentum in the First Three Quarters.

In the first three quarters, faced with complicated and severe environment both at home and abroad, under the strong leadership of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC) with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, all regions and departments strictly implemented the decisions and arrangements made by the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, coordinated both the epidemic prevention and control and the economic and social development in a scientific manner, enhanced cross-cyclical adjustment of macro policies and effectively responded to multiple tests of epidemic and floods. As a result, the national economy sustained its recovery and development with all major macro economic indicators falling in the reasonable range. The overall social situation was harmonious and stable with generally stable employment, increased residents’ income, balanced international payments, adjusted and optimized economic structure and steadily improved quality and efficiency.

According to the preliminary estimates, the gross domestic product (GDP) in the first three quarters reached 82,313.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.8 percent at comparable prices, with an average two-year growth of 5.2 percent, 0.1 percentage point lower than the average two-year growth of the first half year. By quarter, the GDP for the first quarter increased by 18.3 percent year on year, with an average two-year growth of 5.0 percent; for the second quarter 7.9 percent year on year, with an average two-year growth of 5.5 percent; and for the third quarter 4.9 percent year on year, with an average two-year growth of 4.9 percent. By industry, for the first three quarters, the value added of the primary industry was 5,143.0 billion yuan, up by 7.4 percent year on year, or an average two-year growth of 4.8 percent; that of the secondary industry was 32,094.0 billion yuan, up by 10.6 percent year on year, or an average two-year growth of 5.7 percent; and that of the tertiary industry was 45,076.1 billion yuan, up by 9.5 percent year on year, or an average two-year growth of 4.9 percent. The quarter-on-quarter GDP for the third quarter increased by 0.2 percent.

  1. Agricultural Production Showed Good Momentum and Production of Animal Husbandry Grew Fast.

In the first three quarters, the value added of agriculture (crop farming) went up by 3.4 percent year on year, with an average two-year growth of 3.6 percent. The total output of summer grain and early rice totaled 173.84 million tons (347.7 billion jin), 3.69 million tons (7.4 billion jin) higher than that of last year, up by 2.2 percent. The sown area for autumn grain was stable with an increase. Of the total, the sown area for corn increased considerably; major crops for autumn grain grew well and another bumper harvest is expected for the year. In the first three quarters, the output of pork, beef, mutton and poultry was 64.28 million tons, up by 22.4 percent year on year. Specifically, the output of pork, beef, mutton and poultry was up by 38.0 percent, 5.3 percent, 3.9 percent and 3.8 percent year on year respectively; that of milk went up by 8.0 percent year on year and eggs down by 2.4 percent. At the end of the third quarter, the number of pigs registered in stock was 437.64 million, up by 18.2 percent year on year, among which 44.59 million were breeding sows, up by 16.7 percent.

  1. Industrial Production Continued to Grow and Business Efficiency Improved Steadily.

In the first three quarters, the total value added of industrial enterprises above the designated size grew by 11.8 percent year on year, or an average two-year growth of 6.4 percent. In September, the total value added of industrial enterprises above the designated size increased by 3.1 percent year on year, with an average two-year growth of 5.0 percent; or up by 0.05 percent month on month. In terms of sectors, in the first three quarters, the value added of mining increased by 4.7 percent year on year; that of manufacturing increased by 12.5 percent; and the production and supply of electricity, thermal power, gas and water increased by 12.0 percent. The value added of high-tech manufacturing went up by 20.1 percent year on year, with an average two-year growth of 12.8 percent. In terms of products, the production of new-energy automobiles, industrial robots and integrated circuits increased by 172.5 percent, 57.8 percent and 43.1 percent year on year respectively, with the average two-year growths all exceeding 28 percent. An analysis by types of ownership showed that in the first three quarters, the value added of state holding enterprises was up by 9.6 percent year on year; that of share-holding enterprises up by 12.0 percent; that of enterprises funded by foreign investors or investors from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan up by 11.6 percent; and that of private enterprises up by 13.1 percent. In September, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) stood at 49.6 percent, of which the PMI of high-tech manufacturing was 54.0 percent, 0.3 percentage point higher than that of last month; the Production and Operation Expectation Index was 56.4 percent.

In the first eight months, the total profits made by industrial enterprises above the designated size totaled 5,605.1 billion yuan, up by 49.5 percent year on year, or an average two-year growth of 19.5 percent; the profit rate of the business revenue of industrial enterprises above the designated size was 7.01 percent, 1.20 percentage points higher than last year.

  1. Service Sector Recovered Steadily and Modern Service Industries Grew Well.

 The first three quarters witnessed a steady recovery of the tertiary industry. Specifically, in the first three quarters, the value added of information transmission, software and information technology services and transportation, storage and postal services increased by 19.3 percent and 15.3 percent year on year respectively, with an average two-year growth of 17.6 percent and 6.2 percent respectively. In September, the Index of Services Production grew by 5.2 percent year on year, 0.4 percentage point higher than that in August; or an average two-year growth of 5.3 percent, 0.9 percentage point higher. In the first eight months, the business revenue of service enterprises above the designated size grew by 25.6 percent year on year, with an average two-year growth of 10.7 percent.

In September, the Business Activity Index for Services stood at 52.4 percent, 7.2 percentage points higher than that in August. Specifically, the Business Activity Index for railway transportation, air transportation, accommodation, catering, ecological protection and environment treatment, those hit hard by the epidemic and flood in August, all rebounded significantly to the level above the threshold. From the perspective of market expectation, the Business Activity Expectation Index for services stood at 58.9 percent, 1.6 percentage points higher than that of last month. Of the total, the Business Activity Expectation Index for sectors like railway transportation, air transportation and express mail service exceeds 65.0 percent.

  1. Market Sales Continued to Grow with Sales of Upgraded Goods and Basic Living Goods Increasing Fast.

In the first three quarter, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 31,805.7 billion yuan, up by 16.4 percent year on year, with an average two-year growth of 3.9 percent. In September, the total retail sales of consumer goods was 3,683.3 billion yuan, up by 4.4 percent year on year, 1.9 percentage points higher than that in August; an average two-year growth of 3.8 percent, 2.3 percentage points higher than that in August; the month-on-month growth was 0.30 percent. Analyzed by different areas, for the first three quarters, the retail sales of consumer goods in urban areas reached 27,588.8 billion yuan, up by 16.5 percent year on year, or an average two-year growth of 3.9 percent; and that in rural areas rose by 15.6 percent year on year to 4,216.9 billion yuan, with an average two-year growth of 3.8 percent. Grouped by consumption patterns, for the first three quarters, the retail sales of goods were 28,530.7 billion yuan, up by 15.0 percent year on year, or an average two-year growth of 4.5 percent; and the revenue of catering was 3,275.0 billion yuan, up by 29.8 percent year on year, or an average two-year decline of 0.6 percent. Grouped by categories, the retail sales of gold, silver and jewelry, sports and recreational articles, cultural and office supplies and other upgraded consumer goods by enterprises above the designated size went up by 41.6 percent, 28.6 percent and 21.7 percent year on year respectively; that of basic goods like beverage, clothes, shoes, hats, and textiles and daily necessities went up by 23.4 percent, 20.6 percent and 16.0 percent year on year respectively. The online retail sales of the first three quarters reached 9,187.1 billion yuan, up by 18.5 percent year on year. Specifically, the online retail sales of physical goods totaled 7,504.2 billion yuan, up by 15.2 percent year on year, accounting for 23.6 percent of the total retail sales of consumer goods.

  1. Investment in Fixed Assets Scaled up and Investment in High-tech Industries and Social Sector Grew Fast.

In the first three quarters, the investment in fixed assets (excluding rural households) reached 39,782.7 billion yuan, up by 7.3 percent over that of last year, with an average two-year growth of 3.8 percent; the month-on-month growth in September was 0.17 percent. Specifically, the investment in infrastructure in the first three quarters was up by 1.5 percent year on year, an average two-year growth of 0.4 percent;manufacturing up by 14.8 percent year on year, an average two-year growth of 3.3 percent; and real estate development up by 8.8 percent year on year, an average two-year growth of 7.2 percent. The floor space of commercial buildings sold reached 1,303.32 million square meters, up by 11.3 percent year on year, an average two-year growth of 4.6 percent. The total sales of commercial buildings were 13,479.5 billion yuan, up by 16.6 percent year on year, an average two-year growth of 10.0 percent. By industries, in the first three quarters, the investment in the primary industry went up by 14.0 percent year on year; that in the secondary industry up by 12.2 percent year on year; and that in the tertiary industry grew by 5.0 percent year on year. The private investment went up by 9.8 percent year on year, an average two-year growth of 3.7 percent. The investment in high-tech industries grew by 18.7 percent year on year, an average two-year growth of 13.8 percent. Specifically, the investment in high-tech manufacturing and high-tech services grew by 25.4 percent and 6.6 percent year on year respectively. In terms of high-tech manufacturing, the investment in manufacturing of computers and office devices and in manufacturing of aerospace vehicle and equipment grew by 40.8 percent and 38.5 percent year on year respectively. In terms of high-tech services, the investment in E-commerce services and in testing services went up by 43.8 percent and 23.7 percent year on year respectively. The investment in social sectors went up by 11.8 percent year on year, with an average two-year growth of 10.5 percent. Specifically, the investment in health and education went up by 31.4 percent and 10.4 percent year on year respectively.

  1. Imports and Exports of Goods Grew Fast and Trade Structure Continued to Improve.

In the first three quarters, the total value of imports and exports of goods was 28,326.4 billion yuan, up by 22.7 percent year on year. Specifically, the value of exports was 15,547.7 billion yuan, up by 22.7 percent and the value of imports was 12,778.7 billion yuan, up by 22.6 percent. The trade balance was 2,769.1 billion yuan in surplus. In September, the total value of imports and exports of goods was 3,532.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4 percent. Specifically, the value of exports was 1,983.0 billion yuan, up by 19.9 percent; that of imports was 1,549.8 billion yuan, up by 10.1 percent. In the first three quarters, the exports of mechanical and electrical products grew by 23 percent year on year, 0.3 percentage point higher than the overall export growth rate, accounting for 58.8 percent of the total value of exports. The imports and exports of general trade accounted for 61.8 percent of the total value of imports and exports, 1.4 percentage points higher than the same period last year. The imports and exports by private enterprises grew by 28.5 percent year on year, accounting for 48.2 percent of the total value of imports and exports.

  1. Consumer Price Went up Mildly and Increase of Producer Prices for Industrial Products Expanded.

In the first three quarters, the consumer price (CPI) went up by 0.6 percent year on year, 0.1 percentage point higher than that in the first half of this year. Specifically, in September, the consumer price went up by 0.7 percent year on year, 0.1 percentage point lower than that in August; the same as August month on month. In the first three quarters, the consumer price rose by 0.7 percent in urban areas and up by 0.4 percent in rural areas. Grouped by commodity categories, in the first three quarters, prices for food, tobacco and alcohol went down by 0.5 percent year on year; clothing up by 0.2 percent; housing up by 0.6 percent; articles and services for daily use up by 0.2 percent; transportation and communication up by 3.3 percent; education, culture and recreation up by 1.6 percent; medical services and health care up by 0.3 percent; other articles and services down by 1.6 percent. Among the prices for food, tobacco and alcohol, the prices for pork went down by 28.0 percent, grain up by 1.0 percent, fresh vegetables up by 1.3 percent and fresh fruits up by 2.7 percent. Core CPI of the first three quarters excluding the price of food and energy went up by 0.7 percent, an increase expanded by 0.3 percentage point compared with that of the first half of this year.

In the first three quarters, the producer prices for industrial products went up by 6.7 percent, an increase expanded by 1.6 percentage points than that of the first half of this year. Specifically, the prices in September went up by 10.7 percent year on year, or up by 1.2 percent month on month. In the first three quarters, the purchasing prices for industrial producers went up by 9.3 percent year on year, an increase expanded by 2.2 percentage points than that of the first half of this year. Specifically, the prices in September went up by 14.3 percent, or up by 1.1 percent month on month.

  1. Employment Was Basically Stable and Urban Surveyed Unemployment Rate Was Stable with Moderate Decline.

In the first three quarters, the newly increased employed people in urban areas totaled 10.45 million, achieving 95.0 percent of the annual target. In September, the urban surveyed unemployment rate was 4.9 percent, 0.2 percentage point lower than August and 0.5 percentage point lower than the same period last year. The surveyed unemployment rate of population with local household registration was 5.0 percent and that of population with non-local household registration was 4.8 percent. The surveyed unemployment rates of the population aged from 16 to 24 and from 25 to 59 were 14.6 percent and 4.2 percent respectively. The urban surveyed unemployment rate in 31 major cities was 5.0 percent, 0.3 percentage point lower than August. The employees of enterprises worked 47.8 hours per week on average, up by 0.3 hour compared with that in August. At the end of the third quarter, the number of rural migrant workers totaled 183.03 million, up by 0.7 million compared with that at the end of the second quarter.

  1. Residents’ Income Grew in Tandem with the Economy and Urban-Rural Per Capita Income Ratio Narrowed.

In the first three quarters, the nationwide per capita disposable income of residents was 26,265 yuan, a nominal increase of 10.4 percent year on year, with an average two-year growth of 7.1 percent, or a real increase of 9.7 percent year on year after deducting price factors, with an average two-year growth of 5.1 percent, which was generally at the same pace as the growth of economy. In terms of permanent residence, the per capita disposable income of urban households was 35,946 yuan, a nominal increase of 9.5 percent year on year and a real increase of 8.7 percent; the per capita disposable income of rural households was 13,726 yuan, a nominal increase of 11.6 percent year on year and a real increase of 11.2 percent. By sources of income, the net income from wages and salary, net business income, net property income and net transfer income saw a year-on-year growth of 10.6 percent, 12.4 percent, 11.4 percent and 7.9 percent in nominal terms respectively. The per capita disposable income of urban households was 2.62 times that of the rural households, 0.05 less than the same period last year. The median of the nationwide per capita disposable income was 22,157 yuan, a nominal increase of 8.0 percent year on year.

Generally speaking, the overall national economy maintained the recovery momentum in the first three quarters with steady progress in economic restructuring and new advancement of high-quality development. However, we must note that the current international environment uncertainties are mounting and the domestic economic recovery is still unstable and uneven. At the next stage, we must take Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era as the guideline, implement the decisions and arrangements made by the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, adhere to the general working guideline of making progress while maintaining stability, fully and faithfully implement the new development philosophy on all fronts, expedite the building of a new development pattern, carry out the routine epidemic prevention and control, strengthen cross-cyclical adjustment of macro policies, make efforts to promote sustained and healthy economic development, focus on deepening the reform and opening-up and innovation, continuously stimulate market vitality, strengthen development momentum and unleash the potential of domestic demand, so as to maintain the economy operating within the proper range and fulfil the major annual targets and tasks for the economic and social development.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Persona Umana

Italia. Rapporto Caritas. Un milione di poveri in più.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-10-20.

Povertà 001

Riportiamo il Rapporto della Caritas, che constata un milione di poveri in più dal dicembre 2019.

A nostro sommesso parere, sicuramente nell’immediato un sostegno finanziario sarebbe doveroso, ma, sempre a nostro modo di vedere, il problema lo si dovrebbe affrontare generando nuovi posti di lavoro.

>> Non si confondano i poveri con gli accattoni professionisti. <<

* * * * * * *

Italia. Agosto21. Produzione Industriale ferma.

Italia. Stipendio medio netto è di 21,462.62 euro l’anno.

Banca di Italia. Debito pubblico salito a 2,725.881 miliardi.

Italia. 2020. Il numero dei milionari è cresciuto. Sono adesso 301,000 con 593 miliardi.

Italia. Crollano le coltivazioni biologiche sotto il macigno dei costi.

Italia. Giugno21. Prezzi alla produzione dell’industria, PPI, +9.1% su giugno20.

* * * * * * *


Più poveri in Italia a causa della pandemia: il rapporto Caritas 2021.

Il rapporto della Caritas sulla povertà in Italia: più poveri a causa del Covid. Una soluzione indicata dall’ente confessionale della CEI è quella di “riordinare” il Reddito di cittadinanza.

* * *

Un milione di poveri assoluti in più. È questo quello che racconta il report della Caritas: Rapporto 2021 sulla povertà e l’esclusione sociale. A causa della pandemia sono aumentati sensibilmente i poveri in Italia, con una maggiore concentrazione al Nord.

Il Covid e la pandemia globale hanno portato alla luce le forti disparità tra i privilegiati e chi a stento riesce ad arrivare a fine mese. Dallo scoppio della pandemia la Caritas ha infatti prestato soccorso a 1,9 milioni di persone, davanti a questa situazione la Caritas indica una valida soluzione: il riordino del Reddito di cittadinanza.

Povertà in Italia: i dati del rapporto della Caritas

Una situazione preoccupante che spesso nasconde storie di povertà minorile. È questo l’allarme lanciato dalla Caritas nel suo rapporto. I dati raccolti non sono irrisori e rivelano una situazione della povertà in Italia del tutto “inedita”. Nel 2020 la rete Caritas ha soccorso circa 1,9 milioni di persone. Di questi il 44% delle persone si è rivolta all’ente per la prima volta, senza particolari differenze tra italiani e stranieri.

Da un punto di vista regionale tra i territori più colpiti si possono annoverare:

– la Valle d’Aosta con il 61,1%;

– la Campania con il 57,0%;

– il Lazio con il 52,9%;

– la Sardegna con il 51,5%;

– il Trentino Alto Adige con il 50,8%.

Allo stesso modo si scorgono importanti differenze legate all’età: per i giovani adulti di età compresa tra i 18 e i 34 anni le nuove povertà corrispondono al 57,7%, a cui contribuisce la condizione di sfruttamento in cui vivono ragazzi e ragazze che lavorano in Italia. I nuovi poveri sono quindi famiglie giovani che lavorano con figli minori a carico. Nel 2020 è aumentato del 2% la quota di poveri cronici, passando dal 25,6% al 27,5%. L’età media dei “nuovi poveri” è di 46 anni. Il 57% ha al massimo la licenza di terza media, e solo uno su cinque ha il Reddito di cittadinanza.

I dati mostrano una situazioni in cui appare evidente una forte vulnerabilità culturale e sociale che impedisce la possibilità di fare il salto necessario per superare l’ostacolo. Dal 2021 il 70,3% dei nuovi assistiti del 2020 non ha fatto più ricorso ai servizi Caritas, lo studio però legge questo dato in maniera ambivalente: questo può essere interpretato come un segno di speranza, ma allo stesso tempo preoccupa il 29,7% di “nuovi poveri” che ancora continuano essere in grave difficoltà. A preoccupare infine è la situazione dei poveri “intermittenti”, circa il 19,2%, che oscillano ripetutamente tra la condizione di bisogno e non, collocandosi appena al di sopra della soglia di povertà.

Caritas: “Più poveri assoluti a causa della pandemia”

Sono oltre un milione i poveri assoluti in più in Italia, arrivando al valore record di 5,6 milioni di persone in stato di povertà assoluta, pari a 2 milioni di nuclei familiari. L’incidenza delle famiglie in povertà assoluta si conferma più alta nel Mezzogiorno con il 9,4%, anche se la crescita più ampia è stata registrata nelle regioni del Nord, passando dal 5,8% al 7,6% delle persone. Se prima quindi le famiglie povere erano distribuite in egual misura al Nord (43,4%) e al Sud (42,2%), nel 2020 si è giunti al 47% al Nord, con circa 2 milioni 554mila persone, e al Sud al 38,6, con circa 2 milioni 259 mila persone. Sono più contenuti invece i dati del Centro Italia, che registra un’incidenza del 6,6% per un totale di 788mila poveri assoluti.

                         Povertà in Italia: il Reddito di cittadinanza come soluzione

Non abolire il Reddito di cittadinanza ma ripensarlo e rafforzarlo. È questa la conclusione a cui giunge il rapporto della Caritas 2021, proponendo interventi sia espansivi che restrittivi sul Reddito, indicato come unico strumento di contrasto alla povertà esistente in Italia. L’obiettivo deve essere quello di arrivare a tutti i poveri assoluti, passando poi ai poveri relativi.

Tra gli interventi espansivi trova spazio l’ampliamento di alcuni criteri di accesso, come ad esempio diminuire il numero di anni di residenza richiesti oggi 10; innalzare le soglie del patrimonio mobiliare; alzare le soglie economiche al Nord e infine modificare la scale discriminatoria verso le famiglie numerose. Tra gli interventi restrittivi trovano spazio la riduzione di alcuni criteri di accesso, come l’abbassamento delle soglie economiche dell’assegno per i single e per i nuclei di due persone. Una possibilità quindi di ripensare e trasformare il Reddito di cittadinanza in un vero strumento di aiuto per tutti i poveri assoluti in Italia, senza discriminazioni.

Pubblicato in: Agricoltura, Devoluzione socialismo, Stati Uniti

Usa. Gli alti prezzi della soia biologia inducono inflazione in tutto il biologico.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-10-19.

2021-10-13__ Soia Biologica 001

«It’s a madhouse» [È un manicomio]

*

«U.S. prices for organic soybeans used to feed livestock and manufacture soy milk have surged to record highs as imports that make up most of the country’s supply have declined, triggering price increases for food including organically raised chicken.»

«The costly soybeans and higher-priced organic products are fueling food inflation at a time consumers are eager to eat better and focus on health during the COVID-19 pandemic»

«The $56 billion U.S. organic food sector is also grappling with a shortage of shipping containers and a tight labor market as global food prices hit a 10-year high»

«Food companies and chicken producers are experiencing bigger sticker shock from prices for organic soybeans, which are shipped in containers, than for the conventional crops shipped in bulk»

«Organic chicken producers are cutting corporate expenses to offset high feed costs and scrambling to source crops produced in the United States rather than abroad»

«The U.S. imports about 70% of its organic soybeans, according to industry estimates, and U.S. organic production has not increased enough to keep pace with growing demand»

«>> The company raised all chicken prices in July and will likely need to raise organic prices again <<»

«U.S. imports of organic soybeans from September 2020 through August 2021 fell by 18% to about 240,585 tonnes»

«Shipments sank by 30% from Argentina, the biggest supplier to the United States»

«While the United States is the world’s No. 2 exporter of conventional soybeans, farmers have been slower to embrace organics, put off by the steep initial investment and long conversion time to achieve organic certification»

«Shortages of container ships used to import organic crops and logjams at U.S. ports at a time of high consumer spending are sending the cost of transporting freight to record levels»

«The consumer goods market is paying premiums for whatever available containers they can find»

«Prices for organic soybeans delivered in the U.S. Midwest in September reached about $33 per bushel, topping the previous record of about $25 per bushel from 2014-15»

«U.S. farmers harvested about 170,074 acres of organic soybeans in 2019, up 37% from 2016»

«The total soybean harvest, which is mostly genetically modified, covers 86.4 million acres this year»

* * * * * * *

Il cibo ‘biologico’, vegetale oppure animale, ossia non trattato con concimi chimici, fitofarmaci, antibiotici e prodotti similari, è particolarmente costoso.

Le coltivazioni e gli allevamenti biologici sono peraltro quanto mai fragili, e basta un nonnulla per azzerare l’intera produzione, come succedeva secoli fa.

Adesso il mercato americano sta sperimentando una impennata dei prezzi della soia e dei suoi derivati biologici, in gran parte di importazione. I prezzi sono saliti a 33 Usd per bushel. Aumenti dei costi alla produzione che alla fine esitano nel triplicarsi dei prezzi al consumo.

Ma le massaie che vanno a fare la spesa quotidiana guardano il prezzo al consumatore, e non acquistano più cibo ‘biologico’.

L’inflazione sta iniziando a morsicare tutti.

* * * * * * *


Analysis: ‘It’s a madhouse’: Organic U.S. soy prices hit record, fuel food inflation

Chicago, Oct 11 (Reuters) – U.S. prices for organic soybeans used to feed livestock and manufacture soy milk have surged to record highs as imports that make up most of the country’s supply have declined, triggering price increases for food including organically raised chicken.

The costly soybeans and higher-priced organic products are fueling food inflation at a time consumers are eager to eat better and focus on health during the COVID-19 pandemic. The $56 billion U.S. organic food sector is also grappling with a shortage of shipping containers and a tight labor market as global food prices hit a 10-year high.

Food companies and chicken producers are experiencing bigger sticker shock from prices for organic soybeans, which are shipped in containers, than for the conventional crops shipped in bulk. Regular soy prices are around a seven-year high, rather than an all-time record.

Organic chicken producers are cutting corporate expenses to offset high feed costs and scrambling to source crops produced in the United States rather than abroad. The U.S. imports about 70% of its organic soybeans, according to industry estimates, and U.S. organic production has not increased enough to keep pace with growing demand.

Bell & Evans, a 127-year-old Pennsylvania-based chicken producer, feeds organic U.S. crops to 500,000 to 600,000 chickens each week and must compete for soybeans with other buyers that formerly relied on imports, owner Scott Sechler said. The company raised all chicken prices in July and will likely need to raise organic prices again, he said.

“We’re in the most challenging time since the organic world started when it comes to feeding animals and selling an organic animal protein,” Sechler said. “It’s a madhouse now.”

U.S. imports of organic soybeans from September 2020 through August 2021 fell by 18% to about 240,585 tonnes, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture data. Shipments sank by 30% from Argentina, the biggest supplier to the United States.

Imports from India fell by 34%, extending a pre-existing decline after the United States in January toughened its requirements to certify Indian crops as organic.

While the United States is the world’s No. 2 exporter of conventional soybeans, farmers have been slower to embrace organics, put off by the steep initial investment and long conversion time to achieve organic certification. Now, with profits to be made from conventional farming amid low global soybean supplies, some growers said switching to organic is not worth the extra money and work.

“There’s not enough in America to replace all the imported organic grain,” Sechler said.

LOGJAMS

Shortages of container ships used to import organic crops and logjams at U.S. ports at a time of high consumer spending are sending the cost of transporting freight to record levels.

“The consumer goods market is paying premiums for whatever available containers they can find,” said John Sheppard, president of U.S. organic soybean crusher Sheppard Grain. “Agricultural products just can’t compete.”

Prices for organic soybeans delivered in the U.S. Midwest in September reached about $33 per bushel, topping the previous record of about $25 per bushel from 2014-15, commodity data firm Mercaris said.

Organic feed prices, which account for 65% of the cost for raising a chicken, have climbed almost 20% in 2021, said Debarshi Sengupta, chief financial officer for chicken producer Farmer Focus. He projects they will be up nearly 40% by year’s end if current price trends persist.

U.S. sales of organic food jumped by 12.8% last year to $56.5 billion, compared with a 4.6% increase in 2019, according to the Organic Trade Association. In 2020, organic accounted for 5.8% of food sales as the pandemic prompted consumers to eat more meals at home and focus on products perceived to be healthful, the industry group said.

Chicken producer Perdue Farms expects customers to see higher prices partly because of increased organic feed costs and is seeking to strengthen its domestic organic grain supply to prevent future price swings, said spokeswoman Andrea Staub.

Food companies and feed users are negotiating to buy organic U.S. soybeans at high prices from this year’s autumn crop to last until next year’s harvest. Domestic supplies will remain limited, handlers said.

U.S. farmers harvested about 170,074 acres of organic soybeans in 2019, up 37% from 2016, according to the USDA. The total soybean harvest, which is mostly genetically modified, covers 86.4 million acres this year.

Farmers must grow crops for three years without using prohibited substances, such as genetically modified seeds and synthetic pesticides, in order to be certified as fully organic.

“It’s not an industry that can turn a switch overnight,” said Nicole Atchison, chief executive of ingredient supplier PURIS Holdings, which buys organic U.S. soybeans.

Pubblicato in: Agricoltura, Devoluzione socialismo

Italia. Settembre21. Prezzi medi degli ortaggi all’origine. Roba da straricchi.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-10-20.

2021-10-18__ Ortaggi 001

Questi riportati in Tabella sono i prezzi medi mensili di settembre 2021 corrisposti dai grossisti ai coltivatori, per i più comuni ortaggi acquistati.

Come si constata, i prezzi alla produzione nel volgere di un anno sono incrementati in modo consistente, con punte del 63.4% per le cipolle tonde bianche.

Questi aumenti alla produzione si riverbereranno immancabilmente sui prezzi praticati dai negozi di ortofrutticoli al dettaglio. Le massaie ne faranno esperienza. Fare la spesa sarà sempre più oneroso.

In altri tempi, un fenomeno del genere sarebbe stato chiamato inflazione.

Pubblicato in: Agricoltura, Devoluzione socialismo

Italia. Sept21. Olio di oliva. Listino costi produzione. – Inflazione.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-10-19.

2021-10-19__ Olio Oliva 001

Nella Tabella sono riportati i prezzi medi all’origine delle varie tipologie dell’olio di oliva per il mese di settembre 2021.

Gli aumenti anno su anno sono consistenti, con un picco per l’olio lampante, che evidenzia un +59.5%.

Si tenga presente che alla fine questi aumenti si riverberano sul consumatore finale, con un fattore moltiplicativo che varia da cinque a dieci.

Questa è inflazione bella e buona, e siamo solo agli inizi.

Ci si domanda come possano essere in commercio bottiglie di sedicente olio di oliva a meno di otto euro l’una.

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Cina

Cina. Settembre21. Imports +17.6%, Exports +28.1%, Saldo +66.76 mld Usd.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-10-19.

2021-10-13__ Cina Import 001

Riportiamo questo astioso e livoroso articolo di Reuters, che cola bile incandescente come lava vulcanica. Odiano i cinesi quasi peggio di quanto odino i repubblicani.

Ma il lato davvero ridicolo è che nel furor scrittorio l’autore non aveva preventivamente letto gli ultimi accadimenti cinesi.

Cina. Silura ed affonda con scherno COP26. Costruirà nuove centrali a carbone e petrolio.

Non c’è nulla da dire: il liberal non hanno il senso dello humour.

* * * * * * *

«China posts robust September exports despite power crunch»

«China’s export growth unexpectedly accelerated in September, as still solid global demand offset some of the pressures on factories from power shortages, supply bottlenecks»

«Outbound shipments in September jumped 28.1% from a year earlier, up from a 25.6% gain in August. Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast growth would ease to 21%»

«Exports have continued to outperform and accelerate, even after omitting the impact of base effects»

«China’s September imports rose 17.6%, lagging an expected 20% gain in a Reuters poll and 33.1% growth the previous month»

«The volume of coal imports in September rose to their highest this year as power plants scrambled for fuel to boost electricity generation to ease the power crunch and replenish inventories ahead of the winter heating season»

«Natural gas imports in September also rose to their highest since January this year»

«China posted a trade surplus of $66.76 billion in September, versus the poll’s forecast for a $46.8 billion surplus and $58.34 billion surplus in August»

* * * * * * *

Cerchiamo di ragionare, nei limiti del possibile e guardando soltanto i dati disponibili.

Se la Cina ha un export incrementato del 28.1%, ciò significa che ha prima prodotto i beni che poi ha esportato.

Quindi, la produzione industriale cinese è ben integra, anzi, sta crescendo, se no non avrebbe potuto esportare di più.

«unexpectedly»

Inatteso per i liberal, ma ben atteso da parte di chiunque ragioni senza paraocchi.

I media liberal si lagnano dell’alto costo del carbone, ma l’America non produce mentre anche la Cina sopporta gli alti prezzi e produce.

Se è vero che la rottura delle catene di approvvigionamento hanno gravato sulla la produzione americana, sarebbe altrettanto vero che anche la Cina ha lo stesso identico problema, ma continua a produrre ed ad esportare.

Se è vero che l’alto costo dei noli ha bloccato la produzione americana, sarebbe altrettanto vero che anche la Cina subisce quei costi, ma continua a produrre ed ad esportare.

Ricordiamo infine come la Cina abbia aumentato produzione ed export verso un mondo travagliato dalla stagflazione, segno questo di quanto le sue merci siano strategiche per gli acquirenti.

Sarebbe anche l’ora che i liberal la smettessero di cercare capri espiatori dei loro sempre più vistosi insuccessi.

* * * * * * *

China posts robust September exports despite power crunch.

Outbound shipments jump 28.1% from year earlier, up from 25.6% gain in August.

Beijing (Reuters) — China’s export growth unexpectedly accelerated in September, as still solid global demand offset some of the pressures on factories from power shortages, supply bottlenecks and a resurgence of domestic COVID-19 cases.

The world’s second-largest economy has staged an impressive rebound from the pandemic but there are signs the recovery is losing steam. Resilient exports could provide a buffer against growing headwinds including weakening factory activity, persistently soft consumption and a slowing property sector.

Outbound shipments in September jumped 28.1% from a year earlier, up from a 25.6% gain in August. Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast growth would ease to 21%.

“Exports have continued to outperform and accelerate, even after omitting the impact of base effects,” said Erin Xin, Greater China economist at HSBC, adding that earlier shipments of holiday consumer products in light of global supply chain disruptions may be behind the continued strength in exports.

Other analysts said power rationing in September may not have affected exports yet, but could constrain production and inflate costs for Chinese manufacturers in the months to come.

Power shortages caused by a transition to clean energy, strong industrial demand and high commodity prices, have halted production at numerous factories including many supplying firms such as Apple and Tesla since late September.

Factories in eastern provinces of Guangdong and Zhejiang, both major export powerhouse, have been asked to stagger their production throughout the week, as many owners complain about the chaos the curbs have brought to work schedules.

Previously, factories could operate at night but now the ban is 24 hours on days of rationing, said King Lau, who helps manage a metal-coating factory in the export city of Dongguan. The factory was asked to stop using government electricity on three working days this week.

However, Louis Kuijs, head of Asia economics at Oxford Economics is optimistic the export outlook in the coming quarters remains solid, despite near-term headwinds.

“We generally expect these disruptions to ease over the coming months, as we expect senior policymakers to stress growth and to call for the pursuit of climate targets on a more measured timeline.”

“Further out, we think exports should be underpinned by the ongoing global economic recovery and a gradual easing of global supply-chain disruptions next year.”

Recent data has pointed to a slowdown in production activity. China’s manufacturing PMI unexpectedly shrank in September as industrial firms battled with rising costs and electricity rationing.

Furthermore, the property sector, a key driver of growth, is reeling from the increasing defaults of Chinese developers, with real estate sales tumbling and new construction starts slowing.

China’s September imports rose 17.6%, lagging an expected 20% gain in a Reuters poll and 33.1% growth the previous month.

“The breakdown showed a broad-based decline across all good types, though it was particularly pronounced for inbound shipments of semiconductors,” said Julian Evans-Pritchard, senior China economist at Capital Economics.

“Lower import volumes of industrial metals add to evidence that environmental curbs and cooling construction activity are weighing on heavy industry.”

However, China’s energy demand is rapidly rising.

The volume of coal imports in September rose to their highest this year as power plants scrambled for fuel to boost electricity generation to ease the power crunch and replenish inventories ahead of the winter heating season.

Natural gas imports in September also rose to their highest since January this year.

China posted a trade surplus of $66.76 billion in September, versus the poll’s forecast for a $46.8 billion surplus and $58.34 billion surplus in August.

Many analysts are expecting the central bank to inject more stimulus by cutting the amount of cash banks must hold as reserves later this year to help small and medium-sized enterprises.

China’s trade surplus with the United States rose to $42 billion, Reuters calculations based on the customs data showed, up from $37.68 billion in August.

Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Cina

Cina. Testato un missile atomico ipersonico suborbitale. Usa colti di sorpresa.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-10-19.

bomba_atomica_

«La Cina ha provato di recente non un missile ipersonico, ma un veicolo spaziale. Il portavoce del ministero degli Esteri Zhao Lijian, in risposta a quanto riportato ieri dal Financial Times su un sospetto test di agosto che ha sorpreso l’intelligence Usa, ha affermato che la vicenda ha riguardato “una prova di routine di un veicolo spaziale per verificare la tecnologia riutilizzabile del veicolo spaziale. …. la Cina collaborerà con altri Paesi del mondo per l’uso pacifico dello spazio a beneficio dell’umanità» [Fonte]

* * *

Per apprezzare questo scritto, sarebbe opportuno leggere con cura l’articolo del Financial Times, ricco di particolari tecnici e di informazioni quanto mai precise e dettagliate. Tutte inventate?

E che dire delle dichiarazioni rese dai funzionari dell’Intelligence americana? Tutte allucinazioni?

Una unica considerazione.

Mr Zhao Lijian è un oscuro portavoce del ministero degli Esteri.

Ci si domanda come si sia avuto l’ardire di dire che la Cina stesse testando una diabolica arma da guerra, un Paese che “collaborerà con altri Paesi del mondo per l’uso pacifico dello spazio a beneficio dell’umanità“. Sono dei veri filantropi.

È notorio come i missili cinesi non siano strumenti bellici, bensì modestissimi razzi anti-grandine.

* * * * * * *

* * * * * * *


«China tests new space capability with hypersonic missile»

«Launch in August of nuclear-capable rocket that circled the globe took US intelligence by surprise»

«China tested a nuclear-capable hypersonic missile in August that circled the globe before speeding towards its target, demonstrating an advanced space capability that caught US intelligence by surprise»

«The missile missed its target by about two-dozen miles, according to three people briefed on the intelligence»

«→→ The test showed that China had made astounding progress on hypersonic weapons and was far more advanced than US officials realised ←←»

«→→ We have no idea how they did this ←←»

«But they do not follow the fixed parabolic trajectory of a ballistic missile and are manoeuvrable, making them harder to track»

«a hypersonic glide vehicle armed with a nuclear warhead could help China “negate” US missile defence systems which are designed to destroy incoming ballistic missiles»

«Hypersonic glide vehicles . . . fly at lower trajectories and can manoeuvre in flight, which makes them hard to track and destroy»

«Tensions between the US and China have risen as the Biden administration has taken a tough tack on Beijing, which has accused Washington of being overly hostile»

«China had made huge advances, including the “potential for global strikes . . . from space»

«→→ the Chinese test said the weapon could, in theory, fly over the South Pole. That would pose a big challenge for the US military because its missiles defence systems are focused on the northern polar route ←←»

«the weapon was being developed by the China Academy of Aerospace Aerodynamics»

* * * * * * *

Usa. Biden. La Cnn accusa l’Amministrazione delle femmine di mancanza di ‘competenza’.

Russia. Nuovi o perfezionati missili ipersonici. Kh-47M2 Kinzhal e 3M22 Zircon.

Cina. I lanciatori dei missili ipersonici DF-17 sono diventati stealth.

Russia. Pantsir-S1. Accidenti se funzionano bene questi missili!

Russia. I missili intercontinentali ipersonici Avangard sono operativi.

Cina. Sottomarini atomici e relativi missili. Punto della situazione.

* * * * * * *

Nell’immaginario collettivo americano i cinesi starebbero intessendo giunchi per farne canestri da esportare come cineserie, struttura prossima al default, tecnologicamente all’età della pietra e totalmente dipendente dall’occidente per l’alta tecnologia.

Poi, ogni tanto, cozzano con la realtà dei fatti. Questo sistema missilistico è totalmente stato concepito e realizzato in Cina, con tecnologie proprie.

Queste affermazioni sono stupefacenti:

«advanced space capability that caught US intelligence by surprise»

«China had made astounding progress on hypersonic weapons and was far more advanced than US officials realised»

Servizi informativi ‘colti di sorpresa’ sono inutili, per non dire dannosi.

Nella realtà dei fatti i cinesi stanno più che bene e guidano adesso l’alta tecnologia.

Una volta messo a punto, questo sistema missilistico risulterebbe essere non individuabile e non intercettabile da parte della difesa antimissile americana.

Non solo.

Potendo orbitare sul Polo Sud, sarebbe in grado di attaccare gli Stati Uniti bypassando la rete radar di avvistamento, che al momento è quasi totalmente dispiegata a nord. Sarebbe come penetrare nel burro.

Anche gli equilibri atomici stanno mutando molto rapidamente: se ne prenda atto.

* * * * * * *


China tests new space capability with hypersonic missile.

Launch in August of nuclear-capable rocket that circled the globe took US intelligence by surprise.

China tested a nuclear-capable hypersonic missile in August that circled the globe before speeding towards its target, demonstrating an advanced space capability that caught US intelligence by surprise.

Five people familiar with the test said the Chinese military launched a rocket that carried a hypersonic glide vehicle which flew through low-orbit space before cruising down towards its target.

The missile missed its target by about two-dozen miles, according to three people briefed on the intelligence. But two said the test showed that China had made astounding progress on hypersonic weapons and was far more advanced than US officials realised.

The test has raised new questions about why the US often underestimated China’s military modernisation. “We have no idea how they did this,” said a fourth person.

The US, Russia and China are all developing hypersonic weapons, including glide vehicles that are launched into space on a rocket but orbit the earth under their own momentum. They fly at five times the speed of sound, slower than a ballistic missile. But they do not follow the fixed parabolic trajectory of a ballistic missile and are manoeuvrable, making them harder to track.

Taylor Fravel, an expert on Chinese nuclear weapons policy who was unaware of the test, said a hypersonic glide vehicle armed with a nuclear warhead could help China “negate” US missile defence systems which are designed to destroy incoming ballistic missiles.

“Hypersonic glide vehicles . . . fly at lower trajectories and can manoeuvre in flight, which makes them hard to track and destroy,” said Fravel, a professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Fravel added that it would be “destabilising” if China fully developed and deployed such a weapon, but he cautioned that a test did not necessarily mean that Beijing would deploy the capability.

Mounting concern about China’s nuclear capabilities comes as Beijing continues to build up its conventional military forces and engages in increasingly assertive military activity near Taiwan.

Tensions between the US and China have risen as the Biden administration has taken a tough tack on Beijing, which has accused Washington of being overly hostile.

US military officials in recent months have warned about China’s growing nuclear capabilities, particularly after the release of satellite imagery that showed it was building more than 200 intercontinental missile silos. China is not bound by any arms-control deals and has been unwilling to engage the US in talks about its nuclear arsenal and policy.

Last month, Frank Kendall, US air force secretary, hinted that Beijing was developing a new weapon. He said China had made huge advances, including the “potential for global strikes . . . from space”. He declined to provide details, but suggested that China was developing something akin to the “Fractional Orbital Bombardment System” that the USSR deployed for part of the Cold War, before abandoning it.

“If you use that kind of an approach, you don’t have to use a traditional ICBM trajectory. It’s a way to avoid defences and missile warning systems,” said Kendall.

In August, General Glen VanHerck, head of North American Aerospace Defense Command, told a conference that China had “recently demonstrated very advanced hypersonic glide vehicle capabilities”. He warned that the Chinese capability would “provide significant challenges to my Norad capability to provide threat warning and attack assessment”.

Two of the people familiar with the Chinese test said the weapon could, in theory, fly over the South Pole. That would pose a big challenge for the US military because its missiles defence systems are focused on the northern polar route.

The revelation comes as the Biden administration undertakes the Nuclear Posture Review, an analysis of policy and capabilities mandated by Congress that has pitted arms-control advocates against those who believe the US must do more to modernise its nuclear arsenal because of China.

The Pentagon did not comment on the report but expressed concern about China. “We have made clear our concerns about the military capabilities China continues to pursue, capabilities that only increase tensions in the region and beyond,” said John Kirby, spokesperson. “That is one reason why we hold China as our number one pacing challenge.”

The Chinese embassy declined to comment on the test, but Liu Pengyu, spokesperson, said China always pursued a military policy that was “defensive in nature” and its military development did not target any country.

“We don’t have a global strategy and plans of military operations like the US does. And we are not at all interested in having an arms race with other countries,” Liu said. “In contrast, the US has in recent years been fabricating excuses like ‘the China threat’ to justify its arms expansion and development of hypersonic weapons. This has directly intensified arms race in this category and severely undermined global strategic stability.”

One Asian national security official said the Chinese military conducted the test in August. China generally announces the launch of Long March rockets — the type used to launch the hypersonic glide vehicle into orbit — but it conspicuously concealed the August launch.

The security official, and another Chinese security expert close to the People’s Liberation Army, said the weapon was being developed by the China Academy of Aerospace Aerodynamics. CAAA is a research institute under China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, the main state-owned firm that makes missile systems and rockets for China’s space programme.

Both sources said the hypersonic glide vehicle was launched on a Long March rocket, which is used for the space programme. The China Academy of Launch Vehicle Technology, which oversees launches, on July 19 said on an official social media account that it had launched a Long March 2C rocket, which it added was the 77th launch of that rocket. On August 24, it announced that it had conducted a 79th flight. But there was no announcement of a 78th launch, which sparked speculation among observers of its space programme about a secret launch. CAAA did not respond to requests for comment.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale, Unione Europea

Blocco Europeo. Settembre21. Immatricolazioni auto crollate di più di un quarto, anno su anno.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-10-18.

2021-10-16__ Blocco Europeo Immatricolazioni Auto 001

La Associazione europea dei costruttori di automobili (ACEA) ha rilasciato le statistiche sulle immatricolazioni di automobili nel settembre 2021.

Per il terzo mese consecutivo le immatricolazioni precipitano del +34.4% nel Regno Unito, del -32.7% in Italia, del -25.7% in Germania, e del -20.5% in Francia.

In tutte le nazioni considerate, a settembre si evidenzia un decremento maggiore di quello riportato a luglio.

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Questo dato non dovrebbe stupire.

Il PPI, Producer Price Index, vale 11.0% nel Regno Unito, il 12% in Germania, e l’11.6% in Italia.

Europa. La stagflazione è in casa per rimanervi. Se ne pigli atto.

Eurozona. Il cigno nero della stagflazione volteggia come un avvoltoio.

ECB. Weidmann e Wunsch votano contro la Lagarde sui tassi di interesse.

Mondo. Stagflazione. Il cigno nero ha fatto il nido. – Financial Times.

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Questi sono i dati.

Poi, ciascuno se li interpreti come meglio gli aggradi.

Salta però agli occhi come i Cittadini di queste grandi nazioni intendano risparmiare procrastinando il cambio delle autovetture a tempi migliori.

Questi però non sono decrementi, bensì crolli belli e buoni.

Al risparmio operato dai Cittadini si contrappone la rimarchevole perdita subita dai produttori di autoveicoli, perdita che alla fine si riverbererà in una ulteriore riduzione del gettito fiscale ed il ridimensionamento dell’occupazione nel settore. Per non parlare del danno attuale sull’indotto.

E mentre questi fatti accadono sotto gli occhi di tutti, Lagarde e von der Leyen continuano a parlare di ‘clima’, ‘green deal’ ed ‘lgbt’.