Avendo votato l’11 dicembre 2016, la Romania dovrebbe tornare a votare a fine dicembre 2020.
Ma potrebbe anche andare ad lezioni anticipate.
Tre anni or sono il Psd, partito socialdemocratico, aveva ottenuto in ottimo 45.5% (154 / 321 seggi). Oggi è accreditato per il 24%.
Ma con gli anni il clima politico è mutato.
«Romania’s Social Democrat-led coalition government has collapsed»
«A Prime Minister Viorica Dancila clings to power, her party is sliding toward political insignificance.»
«Betrayal, mistrust, insults, accusations of guilt and the opposition’s push for a vote of no confidence — it’s not the first time this has happened in Romanian politics.»
«The Social Democrats (PSD), under Prime Minister Viorica Dancila, want to cling to power with a minority government»
«The pseudo-liberal ALDE is forging new alliances with PSD defectors led by former Prime Minister Victor Ponta»
«The opposition conservative National Liberals (PNL) smell opportunity, but they wouldn’t dare try to take over the government»
«The politically motivated rise in wages and pensions has no financial backing, and people might as well forget about the health care reforms announced three years ago, as well as improvements to the country’s struggling infrastructure — nothing has been implemented»
«Whoever takes over the government has their work cut out for them»
«The PSD, which is still in power, faces a mountain of ruins. Since winning the 2016 elections, the PSD government has gone through three prime ministers and almost 100 ministers, and polls show the party has lost half its support»
«There is no question that the PSD has been in free fall for some time now.»
«With this latest fiasco, the party is likely on the fast track to political insignificance»
* * * * * * *
Al momento sembrerebbe essere impossibile fare previsioni.
Ciò che però potrebbe sembrare verosimile sarebbe un mutamento della posizione della Romania in seno al Consiglio Europeo.
Romania’s Social Democrat-led coalition government has collapsed. As Prime Minister Viorica Dancila clings to power, her party is sliding toward political insignificance.
It’s a familiar sight for Romanians. A fragile government collapses just before the presidential election. Betrayal, mistrust, insults, accusations of guilt and the opposition’s push for a vote of no confidence — it’s not the first time this has happened in Romanian politics.
The Social Democrats (PSD), under Prime Minister Viorica Dancila, want to cling to power with a minority government. The pseudo-liberal ALDE is forging new alliances with PSD defectors led by former Prime Minister Victor Ponta. The opposition conservative National Liberals (PNL) smell opportunity, but they wouldn’t dare try to take over the government. Romania is run down, despite experiencing economic growth. The politically motivated rise in wages and pensions has no financial backing, and people might as well forget about the health care reforms announced three years ago, as well as improvements to the country’s struggling infrastructure — nothing has been implemented. Whoever takes over the government has their work cut out for them.
Ostracized even by European Socialists
The PSD, which is still in power, faces a mountain of ruins. Since winning the 2016 elections, the PSD government has gone through three prime ministers and almost 100 ministers, and polls show the party has lost half its support. “Maximo Lider” Liviu Dragnea is behind bars for corruption and abuse of office, interim party leader Dancila, a Dragnean puppet, is trying to save face through political manuevering as she runs the party and the government into the ground. On the international stage, even European Socialists — the second-largest political force in the European Parliament — are turning their backs on the PSD for its continuous attacks on the rule of law and justice.
Dancila, however, has tasted blood and wants to press ahead regardless of the cost. Her goal is the presidency. That is the main reason for the new government crisis. ALDE leader and Senate President Calin Popescu-Tariceanu thought he had a good chance of being nominated as the government alliance’s top candidate, but the prime minister, an inconspicuous and compliant executor for her big role model Dragnea, has nixed that. She herself wants to take the lead, and has staged her candidacy for the presidential elections later this year with pomp and circumstance. She was happy to accept that her government might collapse.
Abysmal approval ratings
Dancila already sees herself as the mother of the nation, destined for greater things. What she completely ignores are her poor approval ratings. At 7.5% she is not even on the shortlist of candidates. Incumbent Klaus Iohannis, who is in the running again and is supported by the PNL, has a clear lead in the polls with more than 40% support.
There is no question that the PSD has been in free fall for some time now. With this latest fiasco, the party is likely on the fast track to political insignificance.
La Romania ha al momento la Presidenza dell’Unione Europea: difficile ignorare i suoi problemi di politica interna.
Questo stato ha con l’Unione Europea, meglio con la attuale eurodirigenza uscente, un annoso contenzioso.
La Romania rivendica infatti la propria sovranità nazionale nel legiferare su problematiche interne, mentre l’attuale dirigenza europea ritiene di essere in diritto di imporle il proprio volere.
Chiariamo immediatamente un problema lessicologico che riflette le differenti visioni.
Per la Commissione Europea uscente, il termine “rule of law”, traducibile con la dizione ‘stato di diritto’ si concretizza nella adozione delle visioni giuridiche dell’idealismo liberal socialista. Come conseguenza, la Commissione Europea uscente tutela allo spasimo i giudici che aderiscano a tale ideologia, e considera reato l’opporsi ad essi ed al loro operato. Senza giudici della propria sponda questa eurodirigenza non potrebbe farla da padrona in casa rumena.
Come solitamente avviene, dietro le altisonanti parole di etica, morale e giustizia si celano sordidi interessi personali.
«Un giudizio sommario sui governi che si sono succeduti in Romania potrebbe essere lo constatare che il pil era 42.815 mld Usd nel 1998 passati ai 210 mld Usd nel 2017: è quintuplicato in venti anni. Il pil procapite è passato nello stesso periodo da 1,897 Usd a 10,765 Usd. ….
Sulle coste rumene, e nelle acque di competenza economica, si trovano grandi giacimenti di gas naturale, che la Romania decise di sfruttare appieno. ….
As a new offshore oil and gas exploration law comes into force in Romania, the EU nation’s promise of becoming a key gas producer in Europe could be threatened. Not that Bucharest seems bothered.
Romania’s untapped oil and gas potential of up to 200 billion cubic meters, or bcm, in the Black Sea has attracted the interest of the world’s oil and gas majors, including US giant ExxonMobil and Austria’s OMV Petrom»
Al momento attuale la Romania consuma 11 – 12 bcm, billion cubic meter, di gas naturale, producendone10.5 bcm: è praticamente autosufficiente.
Detto con parole che non si dovremmo dire, non è più ricattabile energeticamente.»
L’unica arma rimasta nelle mani dell’attuale eurodirigenza uscente per garantirsi una fetta cospicua dei proventi petroliferi rumeni era il controllo della magistratura rumena, i cui giudici liberal si davano un gran da fare per eliminare gli oppositori.
I rumeni reagirono sia con una riforma della giustizia sia silurando la trentenne Laura Kövesi, procuratore capo in Romania ma fatta nominare da Juncker. La Commissione Europea allora cercò di imporre la Kövesi come procuratrice dell’Unione Europea, nonostante che il Consiglio Europeo avesse bocciato la sua candidatura. A questo punto i rumeni la fecero arrestare ed il progetto di Mr Juncker abortì.
I senatori rumeni hanno approvato una legge che abbrevia i termini di prescrizione dei reati. Essere sospettati non significa essere colpevoli, ma comparire davanti ad un giudice liberal significa sicuramente essere condannati per motivi ideologici.
Stiamo vivendo gli ultimi guizzi di una Commissione Europea uscente di mandato.
Il 26 maggio si andrà alle urne.
Nessuno si aspetti mutazioni epocali, ma se non altro questa Commissione Europea dovrebbe scomparire.
Romanian senators have backed a law that will let several high level corruption suspects off the hook by shortening the statute of limitations of crimes, in defiance of EU concern on “systemic” abuse of rule of law in the member state, which currently holds the EU presidency. Romanian prime minister Viorica Dancila also pledged to “finalise” other controversial changes, despite European Commission warnings Bucharest could face an EU sanctions procedure.
«EU states have already endorsed French candidate Bohnert.
For a prosecutor with an uncommon record of putting corrupt politicians behind bars, the former head of Romania’s anti-graft agency is facing one more hurdle than her rivals: the opposition of her own government.
Laura Codruta Kovesi, who was fired by Romania’s ruling Social Democrats after she put dozens of corrupt politicians behind bars, will try to convince European Parliament members in Brussels on Tuesday to support her bid to become the European Union’s first chief prosecutor after the bloc’s governments endorsed a French rival for the job.
Bohnert received almost twice as many votes from member states last week as Kovesi and Ritter did ….
The administration in Bucharest has followed its regional counterparts in Hungary and Poland in pursuing an overhaul of its legal system despite criticism from opposition figures and the EU officials that it’s undermining the rule of law. Prime Minister Viorica Dancila said Kovesi isn’t Romania’s proposal for European prosecutor.» [Bloomberg]
* * *
Quanto sta succedendo segue un ben preciso copione.
I burocrati di Bruxelles ed i liberal socialisti sono sempre più consapevoli che con il voto di maggio perderanno gran quota del consenso elettorale. Di conseguenza, stanno facendo carte false per cercare di piazzare persone fidate in posti chiave: in questo caso il chief EU prosecutor’s office.
Per i liberal è fondamentale poter avere giudici che appartengano alla loro setta: le Corti di Giustizia europee sono strumento di dominio inappellabile, fatto che permette loro di aggirare il mancato consenso popolare.
Si ripete quanto già accaduto con la nomina di Mr Tusk, nato polacco ma avverato dai suoi compatrioti perché traditore della Patria: Mr Juncker e Frau Merkel vollero che fosse eletto in spregio alla Polonia, rea di non voler essere loro schiava.
Adesso gli eurocrati vorrebbero imporre Mrs Laura Codruta Kovesi, rumena di nascita, quale chief EU prosecutor.
Questa signora era stata destituita dal suo posto nella magistratura rumena per abuso di potere ed attività sovversive l’ordine nazionale. Eseguiva gli ordini emanati da Bruxelles invece di ascoltare le direttive del Governo rumeno democraticamente eletto.
«Last November, in its yearly monitoring of Romania’s rule of law, the EU commission warned Romania against rolling back achievements in the anti-corruption fight, and putting pressure on the anti-graft office»
«Kovesi, 45, is now being investigated by a newly-formed agency on allegations of abuse of office, bribery and perjury in Romania»
* * * * * * * *
Le elezioni risolvono molti problemi, ma quando vi siano componenti chiaramente anti-democratiche quali i liberal socialisti, la pena capitale appare necessaria e più che giustificata.
The European Parliament will hear candidates on Tuesday (26 February) for the EU’s new top prosecutor job, amid ongoing demonstrations in Romania against what protesters see as the Bucharest government’s latest efforts to rein in prosecutors and curb the rule of law.
At the centre of the hearing is Romania’s Laura Codruta Kovesi, a former top anti-corruption prosecutor, who was forced out of office by the current Socialist-led government last July, which accused her of abusing her powers and damaging Romania’s image abroad.
Bucharest, which holds the EU’s rotating presidency, has been actively campaigning against Kovesi – a highly unusual move in Brussels, where member states tend to push their citizens to get into top positions.
Romania’s justice minister, Tudorel Toader, who initiated Kovesi’s removal last year, earlier this month sent a letter to fellow EU ministers painting a damning picture of a prosecutor out of control.
Kovesi, 45, is now being investigated by a newly-formed agency on allegations of abuse of office, bribery and perjury in Romania. Several MEPs expressed dismay at Romanian authorities’ attempt to block Kovesi’s candidacy.
Last November, in its yearly monitoring of Romania’s rule of law, the EU commission warned Romania against rolling back achievements in the anti-corruption fight, and putting pressure on the anti-graft office.
One of the planned measures that the commission has repeatedly warned against is a proposal by justice minister Toader to allow politicians and others convicted of corruption since 2014 to challenge the verdicts, essentially meaning an amnesty.
Such legislation would benefit Liviu Dragnea, the all-powerful leader of the ruling Social Democrat Party who was sentenced last year to three and a half years in prison for abuse of office. Kovesi’s agency was key in the prosecution.
Dragnea is barred from serving as prime minister for an earlier case of election fraud.
In the latest round of protests in Romania, demonstrators went to the streets over the weekend against an emergency decree they say will further undermine anti-corruption efforts, while prosecutors and judges vowed to strike in protest at the measures.
Defending EU funds
The EU parliament’s civil liberties and budget control committee on Tuesday will hear from the three candidates who run for the chief EU prosecutor’s office.
The aim of the EU’s new chief prosecutor is to fight cross-border financial crime more efficiently and oversee the spending of EU money.
The office will be independent of EU and national authorities, making it a powerful position – especially with regards to countries where the government has been accused of misusing EU funds.
It will have the right to investigate, prosecute and bring to judgment crimes against the EU budget, such as fraud, corruption or serious cross-border VAT fraud.
The European Public Prosecutor’s Office was agreed on by member states in June 2017 with 20 countries agreeing to participate. Eventually, the Netherlands and Malta also joined in 2018.
It is planned to be operational by the end of 2020.
Denmark, Hungary, Ireland, Poland, Sweden, and the UK decided not to join the new office.
After Tuesday’s hearing it is yet unclear how the parliament will choose its favourite for the position: whether it would be coordinators, top party politicians from the committee or the entire committee that will vote.
That will be decided on Tuesday, according to the parliament’s press service.
Later, either the parliament’s leadership or the entire plenary will have to back up the decision. If it is a different person than the number one candidate favoured by member states, then the parliament and the countries’ officials will have to enter into negotiations.
Last week, despite Kovesi being the number one candidate of the expert “selection” panel, EU ambassadors voted to endorse Jean-Francois Bohnert, from France, while Kovesi and a German candidate, Andres Ritter, received the same number of votes in the second place.
An EU diplomat suggested that Kovesi’s nomination has become over-politicised, which works against her.
However, the official, who wanted to remain anonymous but is familiar with the discussion among member states, said that Romania’s letter had been counterproductive in several capitals and only ignited support for Kovesi.
But the official added that it does hinder Kovesi’s prospects that her country’s government is not actively campaigning for her, but against her.
The first person who fills in a new position often sets the tone and style for the EU office itself.
The EU could decide to name Kovesi and send a strong signal to countries where top politicians are accused of misappropriating EU funds, such as Romania itself, but it could also alienate countries from the very beginning with such a controversial and bellicose prosecutor.
However, if the EU backs down from supporting Kovesi, that might embolden Romania’s ruling party and other governments that bullying does work in the EU.