Pubblicato in: Commercio, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Europe Area. Extra-EA Exports -10.2%, Extra-EA Imports -11.6%. – Eurostat.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-01-18.

2021-01-18__ EU Trade 001

In sintesi.

– Extra-EA Exports -10.2%, Jan-Nov2020 vs Jan-Nov 2019

– Extra-EA Imports -11.6%, Jan-Nov2020 vs Jan-Nov 2019

– Extra-EU Exports -10.3%, Jan-Nov2020 vs Jan-Nov 2019

– Extra-EU Imports -12.3%, Jan-Nov2020 vs Jan-Nov 2019

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2021-01-18__ EU Trade 002

Solo per comparazione, nello stesso periodo di tempo:

Cina. Export +18.1% ed Import +6.5%, YoY. Surplus di dicembre 78.17 mld Usd.

2021-01-18__ EU Trade 003

* * * * * * *

2021-01-18__ EU Trade 004


Eurostat ha rilasciato il Report Euro area international trade in goods surplus €25.8 bn.

November 2020. Euro area international trade in goods surplus €25.8 bn.

                         Euro area.

The first estimate for euro area exports of goods to the rest of the world in November 2020 was €196.7 billion.  Compared with November 2019 (€198.6 bn), this is a decrease of 1.0% but it nevertheless indicates a return to pre-COVID levels. Imports from the rest of the world stood at €170.9 bn, a fall of 4.2% compared with November 2019 (€178.4 bn). As a result, the euro area recorded a €25.8 bn surplus in trade in goods with the rest of the world in November 2020, compared with +€20.2 bn in November 2019. Intra-euro area trade fell to €165.4 bn in November 2020, down by 1.3% compared with November 2019.

In January to November 2020, euro area exports of goods to the rest of the world stood at €1 941.3 bn (a decrease of 10.2% compared with January-November 2019), while imports amounted to €1 735.8 bn (a decrease of 11.6% compared with January-November 2019). As a result the euro area recorded a surplus of €205.4 bn, compared with +€198.4 bn in January-November 2019. Intra-euro area trade fell to €1 647.4 bn in January-November 2020, down by 9.7% compared with January-November 2019.

                         European Union.

The first estimate for extra-EU exports of goods in November 2020 was €176.6 billion, down by 1.5% compared with November 2019 (€179.3 bn). Imports from the rest of the world stood at €151.3 bn, down by 6.2% compared with November 2019 (€161.3 bn). As a result, the EU recorded a €25.3 bn surplus in trade in goods with the rest of the world in November 2020, compared with +€18.0 bn in November 2019. Intra-EU trade rose to €266.2 bn in November 2020, +0.6% compared with November 2019.

In January to November 2020, extra-EU exports of goods stood at €1 756.6 bn (a decrease of 10.3% compared with January-November 2019) and imports at €1 569.4 bn (a decrease of 12.3% compared with January-November 2019). As a result, the EU recorded a surplus of €187.2 bn, compared with +€169.4 bn in January-November 2019. Intra-EU trade fell to €2 605.3 bn in January-November 2020, -8.4% compared with January-November 2019.

In the first eleven months of 2020, China was the main partner for the EU. This result was due to an increase of imports (+4.3%) and exports (+1.1%). At the same time trade with the United States recorded a significant drop in both imports (-13.0%) and exports (-9.3%).

                         Annual comparison by Member State.

In November 2020, compared with November 2019, exports of goods decreased for fifteen Member States. The largest decrease was registered for Cyprus (-46.1%). Twelve Member States showed an increase, with the largest increases observed in Malta (+36.3%) and Slovakia (+25.8%).

With regard to imports, in November 2020, compared to November 2019, twenty Member States recorded drops, with the highest falls observed in Portugal (-25.3%) and Malta (-25.0%). The largest increases were observed in Slovenia (+32.6%), Estonia (+18.8%) and Hungary (+17.0%).


2021-01-18__ EU Trade 005

Pubblicato in: Commercio, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

EU. 2020Q2. Trasporti Marittimi -17.0%, Italia -40.5%, anno su anno. – Eurostat.


Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-01-14.

2021-01-12__ Trasporti Marittimi 013

Eurostat. Maritime goods transport in Q2 2020.

At 755 million tonnes, the gross weight of goods handled in the main EU ports decreased by 17.0% in the 2nd quarter of 2020 compared to the same quarter of 2019. This substantial fall can most probably be attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent restrictions put in place in the EU and worldwide.

Only two of the maritime EU Member States, as well as Norway, reported an increase in the tonnes of goods handled in their main ports in the second quarter of 2020 compared with the same quarter of 2019. Croatia reported a substantial increase in main port activity in this period (+10.2%), while Estonia slightly increased by 0.6% and Norway by 2.7%.

The largest decrease was observed for Malta (-50.8%), followed by Italy (-40.5%), Latvia (-32.8%), Portugal (-22.6%) and Slovenia (-20.1%). Falls of 9% or more were registered in 13 additional EU Member States, as well as in the United Kingdom. In Denmark and Sweden the drop was -1.6% and -1.0% respectively.

For more information, take a look at the Statistics Explained article Quarterly maritime transport of goods.

Notes: The European Union (EU) includes 27 EU Member States. The United Kingdom left the European Union on 31 January 2020. Further information is published here.

2021-01-12__ Trasporti Marittimi 014

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Volume of handled goods in China from 2008 to 2019, by port type (in billion metric tons)

2021-01-12__ Trasporti Marittimi 015

The statistic shows the volume of cargo handled in China from 2008 to 2019, by port type. In 2019, around 4.76 billion metric tons worth of goods had been handled in river ports in China.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

EU. Budget e Recovery Fund. Slovenia si schiera con Polonia ed Ungheria.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-11-21.

Slovenia 001

«This is key moment in our history, how much is sovereignty worth, a billion, several dozen billion, several hundred billion euros? For us it’s priceless»

Il blocco liberal socialista europeo vorrebbe condizionare il Recovery Fund, così come gran parte del budget settennale, alla piena e totale accettazione del ‘rule of law’. In poche parole ad accettare l’ideologia liberal ed i giudizi emessi dalle corti di giustizia europee composte da giudici liberal: chi acconsentisse perderebbe così la propria sovranità nazionale.

Polonia ed Ungheria si sono opposte fieramente

*

Ungheria. Orban mette in costituzione che il matrimonio è tra un uomo ed una donna.

Hungary to Enshrine Religious Gender Doctrine Into Constitution.

Ungheria. Viktor Orbán minaccia nuovamente il veto al bilancio pluriannuale e recovery fund.

Recovery Fund. Polonia minaccia il veto se impongono dei vincoli.

Recovery Fund: la Polonia non vuole vincolare i fondi alla tutela dei diritti e minaccia il veto.

Recovery Fund. Europarlamento e Commissione litigano come lavandaie ai trogoli.

Senza Lgbt niente Recovery Fund. Polonia e le ‘Lgbt-free’ zone.

*

«Maggioranza politica non può dire cos’è Stato di diritto»

«Il primo ministro sloveno ha annunciato il suo sostegno al veto di Ungheria e Polonia sul Recovery Plan»

«Solo un organo giudiziario indipendente può dire cos’è lo Stato di diritto, non una maggioranza politica»

«Con il Recovery Plan l’Ue vuol ricattare chi si oppone all’ immigrazione …. non ci sarà accordo senza criteri oggettivi e la possibilità di fare ricorso»

* * * * * * *


I liberal socialisti europei non sono più in grado di imporre la loro volontà a tutti i paesi dell’Unione.

Ma se loro sono caparbi nel riproporre in continuazione i loro diktat, Polonia, Ungheria e Slovenia non sono certamente meno fermi nella loro Weltanschauung.

Intanto, il mondo continua a vivere.

Asia. Firmato l’Accordo Rcep. Nasce il più grande mercato libero mondiale.

Mentre l’Unione Europea parla senza nulla concludere, il resto del mondo è silenzioso e lavora alacremente.

*


Recovery: la Slovenia si schiera con l’Ungheria.

‘Maggioranza politica non può dire cos’è Stato di diritto’. Orban conferma il veto.

Il primo ministro sloveno ha annunciato il suo sostegno al veto di Ungheria e Polonia sul Recovery Plan. “Solo un organo giudiziario indipendente può dire cos’è lo Stato di diritto, non una maggioranza politica”, ha scritto Janez Jansa in una lettera inviata il 17 novembre al presidente del Consiglio europeo Charles Michel e di cui l’agenza France Presse ha preso visione.

In mattinata il premier ungherese ha confermato il veto del suo Paese.

Con il Recovery Plan l’Ue “vuol ricattare chi si oppone all’ immigrazione”, ha detto ribadendo che non ci sarà “accordo senza criteri oggettivi e la possibilità di fare ricorso”. L’Ungheria sostiene che una volta adottato il Recovery “non ci saranno più ostacoli per vincolare gli Stati membri ai meccanismi di sostegno all’immigrazione”.

Appello del commissario all’economia, Paolo Gentiloni, ai leader Ue perché approvino il Next Generation EU al più presto. “L’accordo è stato ostacolato questa settimana, ma un’entrata in vigore del Next Generation è cruciale per mettere le nostre economie su un sentiero di ripresa”, ha detto Gentiloni, chiedendo ai leader di mostrare “un forte senso di responsabilità verso i loro cittadini e verso tutti gli europei”.

*


The Canadian. European recovery plan: Slovenia supports Hungary and Poland.

The Slovenian chief executive took the same line when he criticized a part of the European recovery plan requiring respect for the rule of law.

Budapest and Warsaw feel less alone. The Slovenian Prime Minister in turn denounced the mechanism linking the payment of funds from the European recovery plan to respect for the rule of law, thus supporting Hungary and Poland in the standoff between them. opposes the EU.

“Only an independent judicial body can say what the rule of law is, not a political majority,” wrote Janez Jansa in a letter to European Council President Charles Michel on Tuesday. Slovenia was not, however, opposed Monday, at a meeting of representatives of the countries of the European Union, to the adoption of the budget and the recovery plan, blocked by Budapest and Warsaw. This position taken by Jansa therefore promises even more difficult discussions on Thursday, during the European summit officially devoted to the fight against the coronavirus pandemic.

Hungary put it back on Wednesday, judging that if the stimulus plan was adopted, there would be “no more obstacles to binding member states to common mechanisms to support immigration”. Europe will be able “to use financial means to blackmail countries which oppose immigration,” Prime Minister Viktor Orban said in a statement posted on Twitter. “No procedure aimed at penalizing member states should be founded without objective criteria and without the possibility of legal recourse,” he wrote.

Slovenian Prime Minister Janez Jansa, a close friend of his Hungarian counterpart, denounces “a double standard” in his four page letter. He evokes the authoritarian experience lived under communism by many countries which joined the EU after 2004, which today refuse to cede parts of their sovereignty to the qualified majority.

“The dilemma before us is very simple”

The adoption of the plan requires the unanimity of the 27, while Poland and Hungary oppose the establishment of this unprecedented mechanism providing for sanctioning countries which flout democracy. European funds accounted for around 4.48% of Hungary’s gross national product in 2019, one of the highest rates among member countries. Budapest should benefit from 16.7 billion in subsidies and potential credits.

European heads of state and government had agreed in July, after four days and four nights of a marathon summit. They had adopted a recovery plan to deal with the crisis caused by the Covid-19 disease, for a total amount of 750 billion euros backed by a “multiannual financial framework” (2021-2027) of more than 1000 billion euros. “The dilemma before us is very simple. Respecting the July agreement is a responsible approach for the future of the EU. Failure to respect it would not be,” concluded the Slovenian head of government.

*


Kafkadesk. Slovenia joins Hungary and Poland in EU rule-of-law standoff.

The Slovenian Prime Minister Janez Janša has announced his support of Hungary and Poland in their standoff against the EU after the two Central European nations followed through on their threat to veto the EU’s historic €1.8tn budget over a clause that ties funding with adherence to the rule-of-law.

“Only an independent judiciary can say what the rule-of-law is, not a political majority”, wrote Janez Janša in a letter sent on November 17 to the President of the European Council, Charles Michel.

In this four-page letter, the Slovenian Prime Minister, a close friend of Viktor Orbán, denounces “a double standard”, and evokes the authoritarian experience lived under communism by many countries which joined the European Union after 2004, which today refuse to cede parts of their sovereignty.

Unlike Hungary and Poland, Slovenia did not veto the adoption of the massive budget, which includes €750bn for a COVID recovery fund, during a meeting of representatives of the countries of the EU on Monday.

Needing a unanimous vote from all 27 members in order to pass the bloc’s seven-year budget and recovery package, ambassadors were thus unable to endorse the massive financial plan aimed at rebuilding Europe’s shattered economy.

The veto is likely to delay the delivery of the much-needed rescue package.

German ambassador Michael Clauss, who chaired the meeting, warned that the EU would face “a serious crisis” if the financial package was not quickly adopted and delivered. “We have already lost a lot of time in view of the second pandemic wave and the severe economic damage,” he added.

Budapest and Warsaw, who have long been at odds with the EU over the issue of declining democratic norms, are stauchly opposed to the clause that could see them lose billions in EU subsidies should they continue with policies seen as eroding democracy.

The two countries are currently under investigation for undermining the independence of courts, media and non-governmental organisations.

Pubblicato in: Cina, Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale, Unione Europea

Eurozona. Settembre. Produzione Industriale -6.8% su settembre 2019. Cina +6.9%.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-11-14.

2020-11-12__ Eurozona Produzione industriale (Annuale) 013

In sintesi.

– Industrial production down by 0.4% in euro area, compared with August 2020

– Industrial production down by 6.8% in euro area, compared with September 2019

– Industrial production compared with September 2019, the largest decreases were observed in Ireland (-13.6%), Germany (-8.7%), France and the Netherlands (both -6.1%)

* * * * * * * * * * *

Solo ed esclusivamente per comparazione, nello stesso periodo in Cina la Produzione Industriale è stata +6.9%.

*


Eurostat. Industrial production down by 0.4% in euro area and unchanged in EU.

September 2020 compared with August 2020

Industrial production down by 0.4% in euro area and unchanged in EU

Down by 6.8% and 5.8% compared with September 2019

In September 2020, the seasonally adjusted industrial production fell by 0.4% in the euro area and remained unchanged in the EU, compared with August 2020, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In August 2020, industrial production grew by 0.6% in the euro area and by 0.9% in the EU.

In September 2020 compared with September 2019, industrial production decreased by 6.8% in the euro area and by 5.8% in the EU.

                         Monthly comparison by main industrial grouping and by Member State

In the euro area in September 2020, compared with August 2020, production of durable consumer goods fell by 5.3%, energy by 1.0%, while production of intermediate goods rose by 0.5%, capital goods by 0.6% and non-durable consumer goods by 2.1%.

In the EU, production of durable consumer goods fell by 3.9%, energy by 0.7%, while production of intermediate goods rose by 0.6%, capital goods by 1.2% and non-durable consumer goods by 1.4%.

Among Member States, for which data are available, the largest decreases were observed in Italy (-5.6%), Ireland (-4.7%) and Portugal (-3.8%). The highest increases were registered in Czechia (+4.1%), Slovakia (+3.4%) and Poland (+3.1%).

                         Annual comparison by main industrial grouping and by Member State

In the euro area in September 2020, compared with September 2019, production of capital goods fell by 13.3%, energy by 4.5%, intermediate goods by 3.7%, durable consumer goods by 1.7% and non-durable consumer goods by 1.5%.

In the EU, production of capital goods fell by 11.9%, energy by 4.8%, intermediate goods by 2.8% and non-durable consumer goods by 1.7%, while production of durable consumer goods rose by 0.7%.

Among Member States, for which data are available, the largest decreases were observed in Ireland (-13.6%), Germany (-8.7%), France and the Netherlands (both -6.1%). The only increases were observed in Poland (+3.3%) and Portugal (+2.5%).

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Ungheria. Viktor Orbán minaccia nuovamente il veto al bilancio pluriannuale e recovery fund.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-11-14.

Giulio Romano. Mantova. Palazzo Te. Caduta dei Giganti. 002 Particolare

È oramai un anno e mezzo che l’Unione Europea non riesce a prendere una decisione sul bilancio pluriannuale. Un anno e mezzo è un’era geologica.

Le proposte della Commissione Europea sono bocciate dal Consiglio Europeo e dall’europarlamento, quelle del Consiglio Europeo sono bocciate dalla Commissione Europea e dall’europarlamento, ed infine quelle dell’europarlamento sono bocciate dal Consiglio Europeo e dalla Commissione Europea.

A rendere ancor più aspro il contenzioso, sia Polonia sia Ungheria hanno minacciato di usare il diritto di veto.

Le alte cariche dell’Unione stanno dimostrando la loro incapacità politica di mediare le situazioni.

* * * * * * * * * * *


«Hungarian PM sets out position in letter to Charles Michel »

«Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has threatened to block the EU’s budget and recovery package over a deal to link payouts of EU funds to respect for the rule of law»

«In a letter to European Council President Charles Michel, seen by POLITICO, Orbán said last Thursday’s agreement among negotiators from the EU’s three main institutions did not appear to meet criteria set by Budapest.»

«On the basis of the reports available about the content of this agreement, I understand that it does not meet the requirement which Hungary clearly expressed several times in the course of negotiating the deal, therefore I shall not be able to support it»

«EU leaders agreed last July on a historic €1.8 trillion budget and coronavirus recovery package»

«But Hungary and Poland have indicated they would block the budget deal if they could not accept the terms of the rule-of-law mechanism, even though it is a separate measure»

«In accordance with the agreed practice according to which nothing is agreed until everything is agreed, I have to inform you that the situation leaves no other option for Hungary but to not agree to the other elements of the package on the next MFF [Multi-Annual Financial Framework, the EU’s seven-year budget] and Next Generation EU [coronavirus recovery fund], including those requiring unanimity»

* * * * * * *

Recovery Fund. Polonia minaccia il veto se impongono dei vincoli.

Recovery Fund. Stanno spartendosi quello che non esiste. Tutto bloccato. Schizofrenia.

Recovery Fund: la Polonia non vuole vincolare i fondi alla tutela dei diritti e minaccia il veto.

Recovery Fund. Europarlamento e Commissione litigano come lavandaie ai trogoli.

Stop ai negoziati sul Recovery Fund. È scontro tra Parlamento europeo e Consiglio sul Bilancio

Germania: negoziati lenti, rischio ritardo sul Recovery Fund.

Germania. Olaf Scholz. Il Recovery Fund è un prestito da rimborsare. Poi , giù tasse da orbi.

Europarlamento. Diktat al Consiglio Europeo su Budget e Recovery Fund.

Recovery Fund. Lagarde. Nessun accordo in vista.

Senza Lgbt niente Recovery Fund. Polonia e le ‘Lgbt-free’ zone.

Recovery Fund. Contrari Paesi Bassi, Danimarca, Austria, Belgio, Irlanda, Lituania e Ungheria.

* * * * * * *

In conclusione.

Il Recovery Fund ed il budget pluriennale, 1.8 trilioni di euro, devono ancora essere approvati.

Sono stanziamenti che non esistono, checché si discuta sul come dividerli. Sono come i fantastiliardi di Paperino e Paperone.

Mrs Lagarde, Frau von der Leyen e Frau Merkel sono le attuali eurodirigenti.

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Orbán threatens EU budget veto.

Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán has threatened to veto an EU deal on its next multi-annual budget and a pandemic recovery fund, after the accord envisaged cuts to states which abuse rule-of-law. “The situation leaves no other option for Hungary but to not agree to the other elements … including those requiring unanimity,” he wrote in a letter to EU Council president Charles Michel, seen by the Politico news agency.

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Orbán threatens to veto EU budget, recovery fund over rule of law.

Hungarian PM sets out position in letter to Charles Michel seen by POLITICO.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has threatened to block the EU’s budget and recovery package over a deal to link payouts of EU funds to respect for the rule of law.

In a letter to European Council President Charles Michel, seen by POLITICO, Orbán said last Thursday’s agreement among negotiators from the EU’s three main institutions did not appear to meet criteria set by Budapest.

“On the basis of the reports available about the content of this agreement, I understand that it does not meet the requirement which Hungary clearly expressed several times in the course of negotiating the deal, therefore I shall not be able to support it,” Orbán wrote.

EU institutions, international organizations and rights groups have all accused the governments of Hungary and Poland of undermining democratic standards and the rule of law. Budapest and Warsaw dismiss the allegations and have tried to make any scheme linking EU funds to the rule of law as weak as possible, arguing it is biased against them.

EU leaders agreed last July on a historic €1.8 trillion budget and coronavirus recovery package. But Hungary and Poland have indicated they would block the budget deal if they could not accept the terms of the rule-of-law mechanism, even though it is a separate measure.

“In accordance with the agreed practice according to which nothing is agreed until everything is agreed, I have to inform you that the situation leaves no other option for Hungary but to not agree to the other elements of the package on the next MFF [Multi-Annual Financial Framework, the EU’s seven-year budget] and Next Generation EU [coronavirus recovery fund], including those requiring unanimity,” Orbán wrote.

But some MEPs made clear they thought Orbán was bluffing and would ultimately not hold up a budget and recovery fund when the bloc is in deep economic trouble and leaders across the EU are demanding that the money should start flowing sooner rather than later.

“I think we have to go forward and Viktor Orbán will not change the outcome of last Thursday,” said Manfred Weber, the leader of the European People’s Party group in the European Parliament, which includes members of the Hungarian leader’s Fidesz party.

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Eurostat. 2020Q3. Stima preliminare del pil dell’Unione e degli stati.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-11-13.

2020-11-13__ Eurostat 013

«Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP decreased by 4.4% in the euro area and by 4.3% in the EU in the third quarter of 2020»

*

Eurostat ha pubblicato il Report GDP and employment flash estimates for the third quarter of 2020: GDP up by 12.6% and employment up by 0.9% in the euro area.

GDP and employment flash estimates for the third quarter of 2020

GDP up by 12.6% and employment up by 0.9% in the euro area

In the EU, GDP up by 11.6% and employment up by 0.9%

                         GDP growth in the euro area and EU

In the third quarter of 2020, seasonally adjusted GDP increased by 12.6% in the euro area and by 11.6% in the EU compared with the previous quarter, according to a flash estimate published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. These were by far the sharpest increases observed since time series started in 1995, and a rebound compared with the second quarter of 2020, when GDP had decreased by 11.8% in the euro area and by 11.4% in the EU.

Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP decreased by 4.4% in the euro area and by 4.3% in the EU in the third quarter of 2020, which represents a partial recovery after -14.8% and -13.9% respectively in the previous quarter.

During the third quarter of 2020, GDP in the United States increased by 7.4% compared with the previous quarter (after -9.0% in the second quarter of 2020). Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, GDP decreased by 2.9% (after -9.0% in the previous quarter).

                         Employment growth in the euro area and EU

The number of employed persons increased by 0.9% in both the euro area and in the EU in the third quarter of 2020, compared with the previous quarter. These were the strongest increases observed since time series started in 1995. In the second quarter of 2020, employment had decreased by 2.9% in the euro area and by 2.7% in the EU.

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale

Germania. Settembre. Produzione Industriale. Nuovi Ordini -1.9% anno su anno.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-11-10.

Destatis__001

«According to provisional results of the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), real (price adjusted) new orders increased by a seasonally and calendar adjusted 0.5% in September 2020 compared with August 2020»

«Compared with September 2019, the decrease in calendar adjusted new orders amounted to -1.9%.»

«Compared with February 2020, the month before restrictions were imposed due to the corona pandemic in Germany, new orders in September 2020 were 2.6% lower in seasonally and calendar adjusted terms»

«New orders from the euro area went down 6.0%»

«turnover in September 2020 was 8.9% lower in seasonally and calendar adjusted terms»

«Turnover in the automotive industry increased by 1.1% in September 2020 from the previous month and was 8.4% lower than in February 2020»

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Nel mese di settembre gli ordini all’industria sono scesi del -1.9% se comparati con quelli del settembre 2019 e del -2.6% se comparati con quelli del febbraio 2020.

Non è un calo di per sé stesso preoccupante, ma lo diventerebbe se si considerasse che con il secondo picco dell’epidemia, ed i conseguenti lockdown, la produzione industriale dovrebbe subire una contrazione.

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Destatis. Manufacturing in September 2020: new orders up 0.5% on the previous month. New orders still 2.6% below pre-crisis level.

Press release No. 439 of 5 November 2020

September 2020 (provisional): new orders in anufacturing

+0.5% on the previous month (price, seasonally and calendar adjusted)

-1.9% on the same month a year earlier (price and calendar adjusted)

August 2020 (revised): new orders in manufacturing

+4.9% on the previous month (price, seasonally and calendar adjusted)

-1.7% on the same month a year earlier (price and calendar adjusted)

*

WIESBADEN – According to provisional results of the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), real (price adjusted) new orders increased by a seasonally and calendar adjusted 0.5% in September 2020 compared with August 2020. Compared with September 2019, the decrease in calendar adjusted new orders amounted to -1.9%. Excluding major orders, real new orders in manufacturing (seasonally and calendar adjusted) were also 4.5% higher than in the previous month.

The corona crisis has affected the development in manufacturing for several months now. Compared with February 2020, the month before restrictions were imposed due to the corona pandemic in Germany, new orders in September 2020 were 2.6% lower in seasonally and calendar adjusted terms.

Domestic orders increased by 2.3% and foreign orders decreased by 0.8% in September 2020 on the previous month. New orders from the euro area went down 6.0%, and new orders from other countries increased by 2.7% compared with August 2020.

In September 2020, the manufacturers of intermediate goods saw new orders increase by 4.0% compared with August 2020. The manufacturers of capital goods saw a decrease of 2.0% on the previous month. Regarding consumer goods, new orders rose 2.6%.

New orders continued to increase in the largest branch of manufacturing, the automotive industry, in September 2020 (+5.1% on the previous month) and were 5.8% above the pre-crisis level of February 2020. New orders in the manufacture of machinery and equipment showed a decrease of 3.7% in September 2020 compared with the previous month and were still 8.2% below the February 2020 level.

For August 2020, revision of the preliminary outcome resulted in an increase of 4.9% compared with July 2020 (provisional: +4.5%).

Turnover 1.1% (seasonally adjusted) on the previous month

According to provisional figures, real turnover in manufacturing (seasonally and calendar adjusted) stood at +1.1% in September 2020, compared to the previous month. Compared with February 2020, the month before restrictions were imposed due to the corona pandemic in Germany, turnover in September 2020 was 8.9% lower in seasonally and calendar adjusted terms. The revisions did not result in any changes of the results for August 2020. The decrease of 0.1% compared with July 2020 was thus confirmed.

Turnover in the automotive industry increased by 1.1% in September 2020 from the previous month and was 8.4% lower than in February 2020.

More information on industry turnover in other EU Member States is provided in Eurostat’s database. Germany is among the first countries to provide Eurostat with these monthly data.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale, Unione Europea

EU. Metà delle piccole imprese a rischio fallimento. – McKinsey.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-11-02.

2020-10-24__ Piccole imprese a rischio fallimento 001

«One in five companies in Italy and France anticipate filing for insolvency within six months»

«Over half of Europe’s small and medium-sized businesses say they face bankruptcy in the next year»

«Such businesses are key to the region, accounting for more than two-thirds of the workforce and more than half of the economic value-added»

«There’s little optimism, with the vast majority describing the economy as weak»

«That’s leading to worries about loan defaults and the need for layoffs»

* * * * * * *


La situazione delle piccole e medie imprese nell’Unione Europea sta assumendo aspetti drammatici.

Pur essendo alieni dai catastrofismi e dai facili entusiasmi, si constata come il prodotto interno lordo cinesi sia al +4.9% anno su anno e quello americano, che sarà rilasciato il 29 ottobre, sia segnalato essere fortemente positivo.

Il 31 ottobre saranno rilasciati i dati del pil dei paesi del blocco europeo, ma i prognostici sono molto negativi.

Si aggiungano i lockdown, che sembrerebbero essere sempre più verosimili nel blocco europeo.

E tutto questo sta accadendo con una situazione di stallo decisionale: da quasi un anno e mezzo l’Unione Europea è incapace di prendere una decisione: Consiglio Europeo, Commissione ed europarlamento hanno posizioni opposte ed inconciliabili, e nessuna intenzione di trovare un accordo.

*


Smaller Businesses Risk Bankruptcy Within Year.

One in five companies in Italy and France anticipate filing for insolvency within six months.

Over half of Europe’s small and medium-sized businesses say they face bankruptcy in the next year if revenues don’t pick up, underscoring the breadth of damage wrought by the Covid-19 crisis.

One in five companies in Italy and France anticipate filing for insolvency within six months, according to a McKinsey & Co. survey in August of more than 2,200 SMEs in Europe’s five largest economies. Such businesses are key to the region, accounting for more than two-thirds of the workforce and more than half of the economic value-added.

The pandemic has hit European firms hard, with 70% reporting lower revenues. That level was even higher in Italy and Spain, reflecting the severity of the virus and lockdown measures in those countries.

There’s little optimism, with the vast majority describing the economy as weak. That’s leading to worries about loan defaults and the need for layoffs. The governments of all the surveyed nations have now announced further support for jobs in efforts to limit unemployment amid a resurgence of the virus.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Europarlamento. Vota un’altra riduzione delle emissioni ma poi si deciderà alla unanimità.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-10-15.

Waterfall
Waterfall October 1961 Lithograph 38.0×30.0cm

È circa un anno e mezzo che l’Unione Europea è incapace di prende una decisione che sia una.

Stiamo assistendo ad una conflittualità tra l’europarlamento e la Commissione Europea, e tra queste ed il Consiglio Europeo.

Tutto fermo, immobile. Ma il resto del mondo non sta per nulla fermo.

Così, mentre gli altri camminano a passi veloci, l’Europa langue nella inanizione.

*

Unione Europea in coma. Cipro blocca nuovamente le sanzioni alla Bielorussia.

Unione Europea. Cipro blocca le sanzioni europarlamentari alla Bielorussia.

Recovery Fund. Europarlamento e Commissione litigano come lavandaie ai trogoli.

Unione Europea. Le contraddizioni portano alla implosione. – Bloomberg

Unione Europea ed Eurozona. Il Covid-19 le rende conflittuali.

Malta rimanda in Libia i migranti intercettati in mare. A bastonate.

Commissione Europea tace ed avvalla la Grecia sul problema dei migranti.

*

«The European Parliament has voted in favour of a legally binding target for the European Union to cut its greenhouse gas emissions by 60% by 2030, against 1990 levels, according to vote results released on Wednesday»

«The goal is more ambitious than the net emissions cut of “at least 55%” by 2030 proposed by the European Commission, which wants to finalise the target by the end of the year»

«To do that, Parliament will need to agree the target with EU member countries, who are split over how ambitious it should be»

«Denmark and Finland on Wednesday said they were in favour of deeper emissions cuts, but Danish climate minister Dan Jorgensen acknowledged it would be difficult to gather enough support for even the 55% target»

* * *

«A 60% target is unlikely to secure support from EU countries»

«The Czech Republic has said it opposes the 55% goal, and coal-heavy Poland wants to see more detailed economic analysis before approving any new target»

«That resistance could matter, since heads of government are expected to decide the member states’ negotiating position at a summit in either October or December, in a process which requires unanimous support from the 27 countries»

* * * * * * *


Piaccia o meno, lo si gradisca o meno, alla fine nell’Unione Europea ciò che conta è il Consiglio Europeo.

Non solo.

Per molte decisioni i regolamenti prevedono che talune delibere siano prese alla unanimità. Quello è il momento in cui anche il parere di uno stato microbico come Cipro è in grado di bloccare una decisione.

Di conseguenza, l’europarlamento avrebbe potuto benissimo votare di volere una riduzione delle emissioni del 100%, che il risultato finale sarebbe stato lo stesso. Bocciatura.

Ma questa conflittualità ideologica altro non esita che nell’ingigantire problemi inesistenti rinfocolando al calor rovente asti ed odi personali.

Sembrerebbe che per l’Unione non si possano prospettare tempi di quiete.

*


EU’s tussle over climate change ambition heats up after Parliament vote.

The European Parliament has voted in favour of a legally binding target for the European Union to cut its greenhouse gas emissions by 60% by 2030, against 1990 levels, according to vote results released on Wednesday.

The goal is more ambitious than the net emissions cut of “at least 55%” by 2030 proposed by the European Commission, which wants to finalise the target by the end of the year.

To do that, Parliament will need to agree the target with EU member countries, who are split over how ambitious it should be. The EU’s current 2030 goal is a 40% emissions cut.

Denmark and Finland on Wednesday said they were in favour of deeper emissions cuts, but Danish climate minister Dan Jorgensen acknowledged it would be difficult to gather enough support for even the 55% target.

Parliament will rubber-stamp its position with another vote on Wednesday.

Jytte Guteland, lead lawmaker on the issue, said Parliament had taken “a big step closer” to fulfilling the goals of the Paris climate accord.

Experts say a 55% cut by 2030 is the minimum needed to steer the EU towards becoming climate neutral by 2050, putting EU emissions on a path that, if adopted globally, would cap global warming at safe levels.

A 60% target is unlikely to secure support from EU countries. Backing a more ambitious aim could make it harder for countries to water down the target in the ensuing negotiations.

“We have decided on really ambitious instruments, and we will not easily give that away,” said Green lawmaker Michael Bloss.

Roughly half of the EU’s 27 member countries have said they support an emissions cut of “at least 55%” by 2030. Even this target will have huge implications for all sectors, with higher carbon costs for many businesses and a sharp drop in coal use.

The Czech Republic has said it opposes the 55% goal, and coal-heavy Poland wants to see more detailed economic analysis before approving any new target.

That resistance could matter, since heads of government are expected to decide the member states’ negotiating position at a summit in either October or December, in a process which requires unanimous support from the 27 countries.

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo

Germania. Agosto. Produzione Industriale -9.6% anno su anno. – Destatis.

Destatis__001

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-10-10.

In sintesi.

-0.2% on the previous month (price, seasonally and calendar adjusted)

-9.6% on the same month a year earlier (price and calendar adjusted)

* * * * * * *


Destatis ha rilasciato il seguente Report

Production in August 2020: -0.2% on the previous month. Production still 11% below pre-crisis level.

In August 2020, production in industry was down by 0.2% on the previous month on a price, seasonally and calendar adjusted basis according to provisional data of the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). Compared with August 2019, the decrease in calendar adjusted production in industry amounted to 9.6%.

The corona crisis has affected the development in manufacturing for several months now. Compared with February 2020, the month before restrictions were imposed due to the corona pandemic in Germany, new orders in July 2020 were 10.8 % lower in seasonally and calendar adjusted terms.

In August 2020, production in industry excluding energy and construction was down by 0.7%. Within industry, the production of intermediate goods showed an increase by 3.3%. The production of consumer goods decreased by 1.3% and the production of capital goods by 3.6%. Outside industry, energy production was up by 6.7% in August 2020 and the production in construction decreased by 0.3%.

Production in the automotive industry – the largest branch of manufacturing – fell by 12.5% on the previous month in August, following an increase of 8.9% in July. This means that it was by just under 25% below the level of February 2020.

In July 2020, the corrected figure shows the production in industry an increase of 1.4% (primary +1.2%) from June 2020.

European data on industrial production

Results on industrial production in other EU countries are contained in the Eurostat’s database..
At present, data up to and including July are available for most of the countries. According to these data, industrial production in the EU increased by 4.1 % in July 2020 compared with the previous month. The strongest increases were reported for Portugal, Spain and Ireland (see Eurostat press release of 14 September 2020).

The rates of change refer to the production index for industry (2015 = 100). Seasonal and calendar adjustment was made using the X-13 JDemetra+ method.

Basic data and long time series on the production index in industry are also available through the table “Index of production in manufacturing” (42153-0001) in the GENESIS-Online database.

Methodological notes:

The differing comparative periods must be taken into account in all press releases on short-term indicators. Short-term economic monitoring focuses on comparisons with the previous month or previous quarter. These reflect short-term economic trends. A comparison with the previous year is intended to offer a long-term comparison of levels and is not subject to seasonal fluctuations.