Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Accordo Baviera, Austria ed Italia sugli sbarchi dei migranti.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-07-14.

Animali_che_Ridono__007_Gufo

Il titolo del The Times of India è tutto un programma e sintetizza la situazione.

– Herr Seehofer sta intraprendendo azioni non da Ministro degli Interni, bensì da Ministro degli Esteri, per non dire da Cancelliere, e la Bundeskanzlerin Frau Merkel se ne sta zitta ed a cuccia.

– Il giornale riferisce l’incontro a tre come “EU interior Ministers“. Sottilissima ironia indiana. Sono le entità attive che rappresentano l’Unione Europea, non quelle che baloccandosi con le parole nulla stanno facendo.


Quanto fosse fragile la vecchia Unione Europea è dimostrato dal fatto di quanto facilmente una ferma presa di posizione italiana abbia sconquassato tutto il sistema. Mr Juncker, Mr Tisk, Frau Merkel e Mr Macron erano considerati essere potenti in opere e parole solo perché così tutti di affannavano a cercare di far credere. Erano, e sono, solo vitelli di oro, adorati da molti ma totalmente impotenti.

«It will bring satisfaction if Italian proposals become European ones with a reduction of migrant departures, landings and costs»

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«we will talk more concretely about the issue of disembarkation platforms»

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Mr Matteo Salvini, Herr Horst Seehofer ed Herr Herbert Kickl si sono riuniti ad Innsbruck e sembrerebbero aver raggiunto un accordo sui migranti. Si ricordi come Herr Kurz sia nel semestre di Presidenza dell’Unione Europea,

L’incontro dovrebbe ripetersi il 19 luglio a Vienna.

Questo è il lacrimoso annuncio datone dal The New York Times.

«The top security officials of Germany, Italy and Austria are touting their hard line on migration issues, saying Europe needs to protect its exterior borders and crack down on human smuggling.

Germany’s Horst Seehofer held talks with his Austrian and Italian counterparts, Herbert Kickl and Matteo Salvini, Thursday morning ahead of a wider meeting of European Union interior ministers.

Kickl says the group wants “to send a clear message to the world, and especially to the traffickers, that it won’t be possible anymore in the future, shouldn’t be possible anymore to step on European soil if you don’t have a right to protection.”

Seehofer says the ministers, all hardliners on migration, are seeking European solutions, but “all three of us know that this is going to be a Herculean task.”»

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Significativo il titolo del The Times of India.

EU interior ministers meet as nations tussle over migrant response.

The meeting in Innsbruck will focus in particular on coming up with a common migration plan, with Austria expected to push to change the EU’s migration policy so it is no longer possible to make asylum requests on European soil.

Although the number of migrants fleeing war and poverty has fallen sharply since a 2015 peak the issue is a thorny one in Europe and a key topic for the six month presidency of Austria, where a conservative-far right coalition took power last December.

Austria’s hardline interior minister Herbert Kickl, of the far right FPOE party, told journalists earlier this week that he would propose asylum requests be made in refugee camps outside Europe to “a sort of mobile commission”.

Only exiles from countries that directly border the European Unionwould be able to make their asylum requests on EU territory.

Kickl is likely to join forces with his Italian counterpart Matteo Salvini, also deputy prime minister and leader of the far right League party.

Salvini has banned NGO rescue boats that pick up migrants in the Mediterranean from docking in Italy, accusing them of aiding human traffickers to bring migrants to Europe.

In Innsbruck, which has been described as an informal meeting, he is expected to ask nations not to send ships on international missions to Italian ports. The issue of migration and asylum rights in Europe has raised tensions among the EU’s 28 member states.

Austria currently holds the rotating EU presidency, which gives it the opportunity to chair meetings and set agendas.

Germany’s interior minister Horst Seehofersaid Wednesday he hopes to reach an agreement with Italy by the end of the month on the vexed topic of returning migrants there from Germany.

A migrant deal with Rome is central to the compromise German Chancellor Angela Merkelreached with Seehofer to end a row over immigration within their coalition that has threatened to bring down the government.

Salvini said he and Seehofer shared a “common objective: fewer landings, fewer deaths, fewer migrants in Italy as well as in Germany”.

But the Italian minister said he expected to see more action to toughen the EU’s external frontiers before agreeing to any deal to take back migrants.

Kickl told the European Parliament on Monday that the Innsbruck meeting would be the first time “we will talk more concretely about the issue of disembarkation platforms” outside the EU for migrants rescued in international waters.

But European nations are divided on the feasibility and legality of these “platforms”, which several countries like Morocco and Tunisia have already said they would not host.

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La rivolta all’Unione Europea è guidata da questi tre paesi e da quelli del Visegrad. Ci si pensi bene: tutti paesi a solido retaggio cattolico.


Corriere. 2018-07-12. Migranti, da Innsbruck un asse con Germania e Austria per fermare gli sbarchi

Un’intesa a tre per arginare i flussi migratori in modo da far arrivare in Europa solo chi fugge da una guerra. È quanto è emerso dal trilaterale a Innsbruck con Salvini e i ministri dell’Interno di Berlino e Vienna

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Un’intesa a tre, un «asse di volenterosi» guidato da Austria, Germania e Italia per arginare i flussi migratori. È quello che è emerso dall’incontro trilaterale fra il ministro dell’Interno Matteo Salvini e gli omologhi tedeschi e austriaci, Horst Seehofer e Herbert Kickl a Innsbruck, che precede il vertice Ue. Si tratta di un’intesa per frenare le partenze di migranti e gli sbarchi, in modo da far giungere in Europa solo chi fugge da una guerra.

Salvini: «Proposte italiane diventano proposte europee»

«Le proposte italiane su migranti diventano proposte europee: contiamo che finalmente l’Europa torni a difendere i confini e il diritto e alla sicurezza dei 500 milioni di europei» ha detti Matteo Salvini. «Con i colleghi di Austria e Germania – ha spiegato al termine dell’incontro – abbiamo affrontato il grande problema degli arrivi: se si riducono questi si risolvono anche i problemi minori interni tra le nazioni e non ci sarà alcun problema alle frontiere». «Meno migranti, meno sbarchi e meno morti» ha poi aggiunto. «Chiederemo sostegno alle autorità libiche, dare a Tripoli il diritto ai rimpatri e la redistribuzione delle quote degli arrivi. Chiederemo alle missioni internazionali di non usare l’Italia come unico punto d’arrivo e il sostegno nelle operazioni di soccorso, protezione e riaccompagnamento di migliaia di clandestini nei luoghi di partenza. Credo quindi – ha detto poi Salvini – che questo nucleo di amicizia e di intervento serio concreto ed efficiente di Italia, Germania ed Austria, possa essere un nucleo che darà un impulso positivo a tutta Europa per riconoscere il diritto di asilo a quella minoranza di donne e bambini che fuggono dalle guerre ed evitare l’arrivo e la morte di decine di migliaia di persone che non scappano da nessuna guerra».

«Proteggere le frontiere esterne all’Unione Europea»

A fargli eco il ministro dell’Interno tedesco Seehofer:«I tre Paesi si sono messi d’accordo per controllare l’immigrazione. Vogliamo introdurre ordine nella politica migratoria ma garantire un approccio umanitario e proteggere effettivamente le frontiere esterne dell’Unione Europea». «Sarebbe importante – sottolinea poi il ministro – che l’intera Unione europea decidesse qualcosa. Noi possiamo avere delle iniziative, ma l’Unione europea deve avere un’opinione comune. Sono ottimista e qui abbiamo l’occasione di procedere in una direzione positiva». E il ministro dell’Interno austriaco Kickl sottolinea come «questo asse di volenterosi può prendere iniziative ma è l’intera Unione Europea che deve intervenire». «Le cose sono relativamente semplice – aggiunge – noi tre siamo d’accordo sul fatto che vogliamo mettere ordine» e «mandare il chiaro messaggio che in futuro non dovrebbe essere possibile calpestare il suolo europeo se non si ha il diritto alla protezione». Previsto un nuovo incontro a Vienna sempre fra i ministri dell’Interno di Italia Germania e Austria il prossimo 19 luglio.


Ansa. 2018-07-12. Italy-Germany-Austria migrant deal

Innsbruck, July 12 – Interior ministers Matteo Salvini of Italy, Horst Seehofer of Germany and Herbert Kickl of Austria said after talks here Thursday that an “axis of the willing” led by Vienna, Berlin and Rome would curb migrant departures and landings in Europe, so that only those who are really fleeing was arrive in Europe.
Italian proposals on migrants should become EU ones, Interior Minister Matteo Salvini said after three-way talks in Innsbruck Thursday with German and Austrian counterparts Horst Seehofer and Herbert Kickl. “It will bring satisfaction if Italian proposals become European ones with a reduction of migrant departures, landings and costs,” he said.
“If the Italian model becomes European it will be cause for pride”.

Annunci
Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania. I tacchini reclamano il Thanksgiving Day. La Spd.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-07-11.

2018-07-09__Germanai__001

«e quivi, deposta l’usata minaccia,

le donne superbe, con pallida faccia,

i figli pensosi pensose guatar»


Germania. AfD è il secondo partito tedesco su base federale.

Frau Andrea Nahles: ma chi mai sarà costei? Chi la conosce?

Il recente Consiglio Europeo può essere considerato una grande successo oppure un severo insuccesso a seconda dei punti di vista dai quali è analizzato.

Per tutti coloro che sostengono la tesi che l’Europa debba evolversi verso una forma di Stati Uniti Europei è stata una débâcle. La dirigenza europea non è stata in grado di raggiungere un ragionevole accordo su base continentale ed ha dimostrato quanto sia impotente ed impreparata a governare gli eventi. Da questo punto di vista il Consiglio Europeo ha semplicemente sancito la morte dell’Unione Europea politica. È del tutto sequenziale come costoro abbiano vissuto quanto accaduto come il fallimento definitivo del loro progetto: costoro hanno perso la maggioranza in tale consesso.

Per coloro invece che sostengono un’Unione Europea prettamente economica, una Europa di stati che ritengono la propria sovranità nazionale, senza un’unica guida politica centralizzata, il Consiglio Europeo è stato un grande successo.

Ci si pensi bene: la seconda guerra punica è stata una splendida vittoria romana, ma nel converso è stata una catastrofe per i cartaginesi. Dipende solo dal punto di vista.

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In estrema sintesi:

– uno stato di secondo piano quale l’Italia ha potuto dimostrare come un governo che avesse saputo assumere e sostenere una posizione chiara sia in grado di bloccare e far implodere tutta la struttura europea. L’Italia ha condizionato i temi sui quali il Consiglio Europeo ha dibattuto, al punto tale che l’ordine del giorno non è stato seguito. Successo per alcuni, danno per altri.

– la linea eurocentrica di Mr Macron e di Frau Merkel è uscita sconfitta.

– Nessun accordo a livello dell’Unione, ma soltanto accordi bilaterali. È la sanzione ufficiale del trionfo dei nazionalismi.

– Se è importante ciò di cui si è discusso, ancor di più lo è quanto del programma è stato accantonato, per esempio, l’evoluzione dell’Emf e l’istituzione di un ministro delle finanze europeo.

*

Nel Consiglio Europeo sedevano due discreti convitati di pietra: Mr Draghi e Mr Trump.

Sorridevano al guardare i tacchini che volevano autogovernarsi, tanto in autunno sarebbe venuto il Thanksgiving Day e loro saranno i cuochi che imbandiranno i tacchini farciti.

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Germania. Migranti. La telenovela continua con la Spd. E Mr Trump sta a guardare.

La Bundeskanzlerin Frau Merkel è stata ridotta ad un ectoplasma in cerca di sé stessa.

Le tre componenti della Grosse Koalition stanno vivacchiando in attesa dei risultati delle tornate elettorali in Svezia, Hessen, Baviera e midterm. I relativi risultati decideranno il loro avvenire, sempre che ne abbiano uno diverso dal tramonto irreversibile.

Merkel e Seehofer hanno raggiunto una parvenza di accordo senza nemmeno curarsi di parlarne con la Spd, che pure dovrebbe essere al governo.

Frau Andrea Nahles, attuale leader della socialdemocrazia tedesca, non è nemmeno stata nominata una volta nel relativo articolo del Deutsche Welle. Conta meno del nulla.

«Now that looks about to change. As part of the compromise over migrant policy that ended the recent crisis for Angela Merkel’s government, the center-left Social Democrats (SPD) have gotten the governing coalition to pledge to introduce comprehensive immigration legislation before the end of the year»

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«Many countries have such laws on the books, and leading Social Democrats (SPD) say that it’s time for Germany to follow suit»

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«The current immigration regulations are a bureaucratic monster and in many cases only comprehensible to a handful of specialists …. Our goal is to pass a simple, clear, easy-to-understand immigration law, which particularly our small- to medium-sized businesses can deal with and which will allow us to compete with the other major industrialized nations for the top skilled labor»

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«The central law governing migration at present has 107 legal paragraphs, and there are some 50 different sorts of residency permits in Germany»

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«a clear separation of (people’s) right to asylum on the one hand and the acquisition of foreign specialists on the other»

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«Demographic change is nipping at out heels, …. We have to pursue two paths: better qualification for people here and an immigration law. For the latter, we need nothing less than a paradigm shift.»

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Ma cosa vorrebbe la socialdemocrazia tedesca? Non stupoiamoci troppo di quanto leggeremo.

«Institution of a points-based system to rate skilled workers and prioritize who should be allowed to immigrate;»

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«Fixed contingents of immigrants to be offered residency and work permits, defined per year on the basis of the needs of the German economy, with the suggested size of the first contingent set at 25,000;»

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«Quicker recognition of foreign professional qualifications and the possibility of immigration without specific employment»

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«Immigration in Germany can only take place via entry into the job market»

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Germania. La demografia che stritola. Mancano tre milioni di lavoratori. – Vbw.

Germania. Incidenza economica del calo demografico. – Bloomberg.

Germania. Realtà geografica, non più umana, politica ed economica.

Germania. Demografia. Accademia Tecnica. Mancano dieci milioni di lavoratori.

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Già.

La Germania sta avviandosi alla estinzione degli autoctoni. Tutti lo sanno e ne tengono ben conto, tutti, tranne i tedeschi.

Se Frau Andrea Nahles pensasse di arginare il fenomeno importando 25,000 migranti l’anno avrebbe preso un granchio grossolano.

Poi, a quanto riferito, li vorrebbe tutti alti, biondi, con gli occhi azzurri, con tedesco nativo e fluente, “skilled worker”, ossia almeno con laurea breve tedesca.

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Lasciamo pure i tacchini a giocare con vuote parole alle quali nessuno più crede: tanto in autunno al Thanksgiving Day  saranno imbanditi ben farciti.


Deutsche Welle. 2018-07-07. Germany’s new immigration law: What to expect

As part of the migrant compromise that saved Angela Merkel’s government, the SPD says it wants comprehensive legislation on immigration this year. So what will likely change for foreigners wanting to live in Germany?

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An immigration law has been discussed but never implemented in recent years in Germany. Now that looks about to change. As part of the compromise over migrant policy that ended the recent crisis for Angela Merkel’s government, the center-left Social Democrats (SPD) have gotten the governing coalition to pledge to introduce comprehensive immigration legislation before the end of the year.

Many countries have such laws on the books, and leading Social Democrats (SPD) say that it’s time for Germany to follow suit.

“The current immigration regulations are a bureaucratic monster and in many cases only comprehensible to a handful of specialists,” SPD interior affairs spokesman Burkhard Lischka told DW. “Our goal is to pass a simple, clear, easy-to-understand immigration law, which particularly our small- to medium-sized businesses can deal with and which will allow us to compete with the other major industrialized nations for the top skilled labor.”

Lischka is hardly exaggerating. The central law governing migration at present has 107 legal paragraphs, and there are some 50 different sorts of residency permits in Germany. A foreign artist wishing to live and work in Germany is subject to very different rules than an IT expert or someone who intends to care for the elderly. Conversely, in many respects under German law, asylum-seekers are lumped together with people who want to move to Germany for employment reasons.

Lischka said that the new legislation would aim for “a clear separation of (people’s) right to asylum on the one hand and the acquisition of foreign specialists on the other.”

Lischka denied that the SPD had essentially swapped approval for the migrant deal for the chance to dictate the terms of the immigration law, but Social Democrats clearly think they got the better of this exchange.

‘Demographic change is nipping at out heels’

Experts from business and industry as well as the political parties agree that immigration from outside the EU to Germany, with its aging population, is crucial to uphold the current German standard of living.

“Demographic change is nipping at out heels,” SPD immigration expert and member of parliament Karamba Diaby told DW. “We have to pursue two paths: better qualification for people here and an immigration law. For the latter, we need nothing less than a paradigm shift.”

Thus far, neither conservatives nor Social Democrats have made any concrete suggestions to the interior ministry about turning such a paradigm shift into legislation, but an immigration law is specified as an aim in their coalition agreement. The SPD’s position will likely greatly reflect a draft law the party drew up in late 2016 in its previous coalition with Merkel. Some of its key points:

– Institution of a points-based system to rate skilled workers and prioritize who should be allowed to immigrate;

– Fixed contingents of immigrants to be offered residency and work permits, defined per year on the basis of the needs of the German economy, with the suggested size of the first contingent set at 25,000;

– Quicker recognition of foreign professional qualifications and the possibility of immigration without specific employment;

If instituted, those changes would allow people with university educations or sought-after qualifications to come to Germany without having to find a job first.

“The SPD has insisted in the coalition agreement on a new understanding of specialists,” Diaby said. “It includes college-educated people as well as people with trade qualifications.”

Conservatives somewhat open, opposition skeptical

The SPD did not succeed in making their ideas reality the last time around, in 2016, and despite the agreement brokered Thursday evening, Social Democrats still face resistance from some conservatives, who insist that potential immigrants first secure jobs in Germany.

“On the topic of immigration, one thing is set in stone: Immigration in Germany can only take place via entry into the job market,” said Conservative Deputy Internal Affairs Spokesman Armin Schuster on his website.

Read more: Germany’s reporting on asylum-seekers exposes ‘latent racism’

But other conservatives are more open to relaxing German immigration regulations — and not just for people with higher degrees.

“The hurdles we’ve had thus far are too high,” conservative deputy Philipp Amthor told DW. “And it’s not just the super IT expert from India who is at stake, but also, as I can confirm from my constituency, the Ukrainian cook.”

At the very least foreigners coming to live and work in Germany should have fewer bureaucratic hoops to jump through. There’s broad consensus across the conservative-SPD coalition that the new law should unite and simplify Germany’s many immigration regulations. But the opposition is skeptical that a law born of a conflict over migrants that threatened to bring down the government will truly improve the situation.

“An immigration law for Germany is simply rational — both socially and economically,” Green Party immigration expert Omid Nouripour told DW. “But the theatrics within the coalition over the naming (of new migrant-processing transfer centers) shows that the coalition partners are not guided by reason but by the exaggerated egos of individuals.”

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania. Migranti. La telenovela continua con la Spd. E Mr Trump sta a guardare.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-07-04.

2018-07-04__Spd__

I conti dovrebbero essere fatti sempre con l’oste, in caso contrario ci si potrebbe trovare a lavar piatti per una vita.

Frau Merkel ed Herr Seehofer hanno trovato sui migranti un compromesso che a breve dimostrerà quanto sia inaccettabile da ambo le parti, ma Frau Merkel, anche se si comporta da autocrate, di potere ne ha più proprio pochino pochino.

La Große Koalition ha come membro junior la Spd: a quanto sembrerebbe, nessuno si è preso la briga di consultarli durante le trattative Merkel – Seehofer.

Il sondaggio Insa del 3 luglio disegna un quadro feroce.

2018-07-04__Germania__Sondaggio__001

L’Union, Cdu e Csu, crollerebbero dal 32.9% al 29%, l’Spd dal 20.5% al 19%, mentre AfD salirebbe dal 12.6% al 16.5%, su scala federale.

I socialdemocratici iniziano a sentirsi correre per la schiena la scomparsa dalla scena politica: ed il come Frau Merkel li ha trattati mette bene in evidenza quanto poco contino. Ma a parere di molti Frau Merkel ha dimostrato anche nei loro confronti un’arroganza più giustificabile nei comportamenti di un vero vincitore che di un sicuro perdente.

«Social Democrats say they will need to talk more about the migration deal brokered by the German chancellor to quell rebellion in conservative ranks»

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«What will likely need to happen for the SPD to give the green light?»

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«The CSU is under pressure to demonstrate its conservative credentials on migration to head off a challenge from the far-right Alternative for Germany party in Bavaria’s regional election in October»

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«But Bavarian conservatives have some work to do to convince the SPD, which hasn’t had much good to say about transit centers in the past»

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«And without the Social Democrats, there’s no deal.»

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«”The SPD has won the day,” Gabriel wrote on Twitter back then. “Transit zones are off the table. No house arrest, no fences.”»

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Stiamo assistendo alla lenta agonia di un governo dei perdenti.

Nessuna delle forze di governo, Cdu, Csu ed Spd sa cosa fare per poter almeno ridurre le perdite elettorali che si preannunciano severe sia in Hessen sia in Baviera.

Evidente è stata la perdita di potere politico tedesco durante il Consiglio Europeo, conclusosi con una dichiarazione anodina, che avrebbe detto tutto e poi non dice nulla, tranne patetiche esortazioni.

E sullo sfondo c’è sempre il convitato di pietra.

Mr Trump sta strangolando il sistema economico tedesco, e Frau Merkel pagherà ben cara la sua tracotante arroganza.

Se poi alle elezioni di midterm, come sembrerebbe essere possibile, Mr Trump conservasse almeno il controllo del Senato, a Frau Merkel non resterebbe altra via che il suicidio politico.

Ci si pensi bene

Il crollo di Frau Merkel ha segnato l’afflosciamento dell’Unione Europea così come la avevamo conosciuta da decenni.

Merito per alcuni, demerito per altri, Pegida, Afd ed i populisti italiani le stanno dando il benservito.

Guardate con attenzione questi sondaggi per l’Hessen (Assia), ove si voterà a breve. La Cdu crolla dal 38.3% al 31%, la Spd dal 30.7% al 22%, ed AfD balza dal 4.1% al 15%. Paucis verbis: Merkel, vattene.

2018-07-06__Assia__001


Deutsche Welle. 2018-07-04. Germany’s SPD makes Angela Merkel wait for approval on migrant deal

Social Democrats say they will need to talk more about the migration deal brokered by the German chancellor to quell rebellion in conservative ranks. What will likely need to happen for the SPD to give the green light?

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Social Democrats say they will need to talk more about the migration deal brokered by the German chancellor to quell rebellion in conservative ranks. What will likely need to happen for the SPD to give the green light?

Scholz said that further discussions within the coalition would take place on Thursday.

On Monday, the CDU and CSU reached a last-minute agreement to head off a potential rebellion by Bavarian conservatives against Merkel. The deal centered on the establishment of so-called transit centers along Germany’s border with Austria, which the CSU says would facilitate checks on migrants trying to enter Germany and accelerate deportations.

The CSU is under pressure to demonstrate its conservative credentials on migration to head off a challenge from the far-right Alternative for Germany party in Bavaria’s regional election in October. But Bavarian conservatives have some work to do to convince the SPD, which hasn’t had much good to say about transit centers in the past. And without the Social Democrats, there’s no deal.

A battle the SPD previously won?

From the Social Democratic point of view, one of the biggest problems is that the party already resoundingly rejected transit centers back in 2015 during Germany’s previous grand coalition government.

In late 2015, SPD leaders including now-Foreign Minister Heiko Maas, Ex-Foreign Minister and former Party Chairman Sigmar Gabriel and Secretary-General Lars Klingbeil took to social media to portray the zones as “gigantic prisons” and “mass camps in no man’s land.”

“The SPD has won the day,” Gabriel wrote on Twitter back then. “Transit zones are off the table. No house arrest, no fences.”

With that in mind, the SPD is almost certain to insist at least upon a change in name for the facilities proposed by the CDU and CSU. Ahead of the Tuesday evening meeting, Nahles told German television that her party “rejects this concept.” Nahles also characterized the conservative ideas as a mere sketch, “full of uncovered checks,” and not a completely realized plan.

That choice of phrase leaves enough wiggle room for Social Democrats to reach some sort of agreement with conservatives on new migrant processing facilities, provided they’re called something else. But whether the SPD’s own grass roots will allow the leadership to exploit that leeway is another matter.

Closed camps as a no-go

Early Wednesday morning, the SPD leadership will report on their meeting with conservatives to the Social Democrat parliamentary group. The left wing of the party, meanwhile, has already begun voicing its dissatisfaction with the deal.

“The SPD has clearly said no to closed camps,” the influential head of the Social Democrats’ youth wing, Kevin Kühnert, told German television. “It doesn’t matter whether they’re in North Africa, on the external border of Europe or in Passau.”

As it is, the SPD is struggling to recover from an internal split over whether it should renew its coalition with Merkel’s conservatives, an issue on which roughly a third of its members disagree with the party leadership. Other influential figures including Klingbeil have also said that the Social Democrats will not accept any “closed camps.”

Part of the SPD leadership’s strategy for winning over their base seems to be to claim that the deal reached between the CDU and the CSU doesn’t really change anything. Over the weekend, to little fanfare, the SPD presented its own five-point plan on migration. Social Democrats could well insist that conservatives agree to back their proposal for a general law governing immigration to Germany in return for the SPD backing the CDU-CSU compromise.

It’s in the SPD’s best interest to facilitate a reconciliation between Germany’s two conservative parties. A divorce between the CDU and CSU would almost certainly prompt a fresh national election. That’s something that the SPD, currently mired in historic lows of 16 to 18 percent in public opinion polls, can ill afford.

But if there’s any comfort in schadenfreude, it’s on the way. On Wednesday morning, Merkel addresses the German parliament, the Bundestag, where she’s sure to face a scornful grilling from the opposition about the messy spat over migration among conservatives. The SPD can, for a moment at least, simply sit back and enjoy the show.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Miserabili interessi di sordida bottega. Poi, i paroloni altisonanti.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2017-07-02.

2018-07-02__Germania_Vile_Bottega__001

Tranne casi davvero rari nella storia umana, dietro a tutti i discorsi altisonanti che si richiamano ai supremi ideali umani si nascondono interessi di vile  e sordida bottega: in parole povere, il potere ed il controllo delle ricchezze.

Così, dietro i ‘valori europei‘ si celano gli immensi interessi dei liberal nell’Unione Europea: centinaia e centinaia di miliardi di euro tratti dalle tasche dei Contribuenti per finire in quelle degli amici degli amici.

Dietro la questione dei migranti si celano, piuttosto male, altrettanti interessi miliardari.

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Se si guardasse con attenzione il grafico, si constaterebbe come la Union, Cdu e Csu alleate assieme, scenderebbe dal 32.9 delle elezioni federali dello scorso anno all’attuale 30.1%. La Spd scenderebbe ulteriormente al 18.1%, mentre AfD migliorerebbe ancora le sue posizioni portandosi al 15.7%.

Après moi le déluge!

Questa è una soluzione che non tutti condividono, anzi.

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Guardiamo adesso questo sondaggio Insa. Valuta quanto otterrebbero la Cdu e la Csu se corressero separate in una tornata elettorale federale.

Mentre la Cdu crollerebbe dal 26.8% al 22%, la Csu salirebbe dal 6.2% al 18%, assorbendo anche una certa quale quota dei voti di AfD.

*

Questi dati sono pubblici, e verosimilmente Herr Seehofer ne ha anche di ben più precisi e dettagliati sulla scrivania.

Nessuno si azzarda a dire che questi dati giustifichino quanto stia accadendo, ma un loro peso probabilmente lo hanno.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania. Notte di riunioni. Seehofer offre le dimissioni.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-07-02.

calimero-fa-fagotto

«Il ministro dell’Interno tedesco Horst Seehofer vuole condizionare il suo futuro politico ad una svolta nella Cdu nella lite sui migranti»

*

«Lo scrive la Dpa, citando fonti che hanno partecipato alla riunione dei vertici del partito a Monaco»

*

«Oggi la Csu vuole un incontro di vertice con la Cdu, e Seehofer deciderà subito dopo cosa fare»

*

«Il ministro ha offerto le sue dimissioni, rifiutate per ora come inaccettabili dal capogruppo del partito nel Bundestag, Alexander Dobrindt.»

* * * * * * *

È una quadro oltremodo fluido.

Apparentemente, almeno, siamo al muro contro muro.

È in atto un’aspra guerra politica per il controllo finale di ciò che resta della Germania.


Ansa. 2018-07-02. Germania, Seehofer vuole dimettersi da ministro dell’Interno e da presidenza Csu

Avrebbe offerto le dimissioni al partito, dopo che Angela Merkel ha escluso i respingimenti immediati dei migranti al confine. La Cdu appoggia la strategia sui migranti della cancelliera

*

Il ministro dell’Interno tedesco Horst Seehofer vuole condizionare il suo futuro politico ad una svolta nella Cdu nella lite sui migranti. Lo scrive la Dpa, citando fonti che hanno partecipato alla riunione dei vertici del partito a Monaco. Oggi la Csu vuole un incontro di vertice con la Cdu, e Seehofer deciderà subito dopo cosa fare. Il ministro ha offerto le sue dimissioni, rifiutate per ora come inaccettabili dal capogruppo del partito nel Bundestag, Alexander Dobrindt.

Angela Merkel, dal suo punto di vista, “non si è mossa di un centimetro”, e Horst Seehofer ha deciso per lo strappo, arrivando a offrire le dimissioni, da ministro dell’Interno e da presidente del partito. La notizia trapela in tarda serata attraverso la Dpa da una drammatica seduta di presidio dei cristiano-sociali, in corso a Monaco da oltre sette ore. Il capogruppo dei cristiano-sociali nel Bundestag, Alexander Dobrindt, avrebbe però subito respinto il passo indietro, affermando: “Così non posso accettarlo”.

Intanto, riuniti a Berlino i cristiano-democratici fanno scudo alla cancelliera: il partito sostiene la linea europea di Angela Merkel, respingimenti unilaterali dei migranti sarebbero la strada sbagliata. L’escalation della crisi di governo era iniziata nel primo pomeriggio, quando Seehofer ha fatto sapere di ritenere insufficienti gli esiti del vertice Ue sulle politiche per l’asilo. Spalleggiato dal partito, il falco bavarese insiste sui respingimenti immediati al confine, sui quali la cancelliera non ha trovato un accordo proprio coi Paesi più importanti, ha rimarcato coi suoi. Il che vuole dire con l’Italia e l’Austria, ad esempio. Un nodo su cui è tornata oggi anche la cancelliera, dicendo alla ZDF che un accordo con Roma “per ora non era possibile, il primo ministro italiano ha spiegato che l’Italia si è sentita piantata in asso da molti, per anni”. Ma il dialogo resta.

Per la cancelliera “è chiaro che l’Ue è lenta, il problema non è certamente risolto c’è ancora molto lavoro, ma io voglio che l’Europa sia tenuta insieme”, ha chiarito una volta per tutte. La questione dei migranti “può dividere l’Europa” e lei è “disposta a combattere” perché non accada. La giornata è stata scandita dall’attesa: una dichiarazione di Seehofer annunciata per le 18, è slittata di ora in ora per il prolungarsi della riunione del partito. E successivamente dovrebbe tornare a pronunciarsi anche Frau Angela. Tutto sembra volgere al peggio ma ogni previsione sembra azzardata e la domenica della resa dei conti è stata scandita da voci contrapposte: le dimissioni di Seehofer potrebbero essere effettive, o preludere a una dinamica interna nella Csu per ostinarsi sulle rivendicazioni nei confronti della cancelliera, magari anche alla ricerca di un nuovo compromesso. Certo è che se Seehofer restasse e annunciasse i respingimenti Merkel sarebbe costretta a licenziarlo (aprendo di fatto la crisi di governo). Nell’intervista estiva della Merkel alla Zdf, registrata alle 14, la precarietà della situazione è apparsa chiara già alle prime risposte: alla fine di questa giornata ci sarà ancora un governo e l’Unione sarà ancora insieme, ha chiesto la conduttrice? Le reazione è stata a dir poco prudente: “Farò ogni sforzo perché vi siano dei risultati nella Cdu e nella Csu”, ha affermato tirando in ballo la “responsabilità per il Paese”. In un altro passaggio, poi, Merkel è stata ben più netta: “Tutti percepiscono che ci sia molto in gioco, e chiunque sa che la situazione è seria”.

Frase, quest’ultima, ribadita anche in serata davanti ai suoi della Cdu. “Io vorrei che l’Unione continuasse a lavorare insieme, è una storia di successo per la Germania, insieme siamo molto forti”, ha chiarito ancora una volta. “Per me però è anche importante che non vi siano misure unilaterali, non concordate e sulle spalle di terzi”. La cancelliera ha anche ribadito che dal suo punto di vista il pacchetto uscito da Bruxelles fornisca “nel suo complesso una risposta equivalente” alle rivendicazioni del ministro Seehofer. Ma è su questo che, subito dopo la divulgazione delle anticipazioni dell’intervista, il ministro bavarese ha fatto filtrare le prime risposte negative: lui non ritiene che gli esiti del summit costituiscano “una risposta equivalente”, avrebbe detto nel corso della riunione di presidio dei cristiano-sociali a Monaco. C’è una questione di credibilità, personale e del partito, sul tavolo in Baviera, in queste ore, dove la Csu è ossessionata dalla prospettiva di perdere la maggioranza assoluta alle amministrative del prossimo ottobre in Baviera, dopo il trauma di quel 38% ottenuto alle federali di settembre. Per evitarlo, inseguono la destra di Afd sul terreno della tolleranza zero sui profughi. Una linea che però fino ad ora non sembrerebbe pagare: i sondaggi mostrano che proprio in Baviera è la popolarità della Merkel a crescere. Cosa accadrebbe se forzassero davvero la mano? La cancelliera potrebbe anche cercare nuovi alleati, e i Verdi, indignati dal comportamento dell’Unione, si sono detti comunque disposti ai colloqui.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Seehofer respinge la proposta Merkel. Un pollice dalla crisi.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-07-01.

braccio-di-ferro-in-rocca_65411_display

Se Herr Seehofer avesse detto che Berlino si trova in Germania, Frau Merkel avrebbe negato a piena voce.

Se Frau Merkel avesse detto che la terra è rotonda, Herr Seehofer avrebbe sostenuto che è icosaedrica.

Sotto questi presupposti lo scontro apparirebbe adesso inevitabile.

*

«Merkel also said she had struck deals with 16 other countries for them to take back already-registered asylum seekers, although central European nations including Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic and Slovakia denied any such agreement.

If Seehofer rejects Merkel’s approach and orders border police to begin turning away already-registered asylum seekers, she would be forced to fire him, effectively exploding her conservative camp and robbing her ruling coalition with the Social Democratic Party (SPD) of a majority in parliament.»

*

L’alleato di Merkel respinge la proposta sui centri per i migranti: «Insufficiente»

Dopo Praga e Budapest, anche Varsavia contraddice la cancelliera. Il ministro dell’Interno Seehofer torna a chiedere espulsioni immediate. In bilico il governo.

Il ministro dell’Interno tedesco, Horst Seehofer, respinge la proposta di Angela Merkel di inviare i migranti registrati in altri Paesi nei cosiddetti centri «Anker», ossia centri con obbligo di dimora, previsti dal suo masterplan. È quello che scrive la Dpa, citando fonti presenti alla seduta del presidio della Csu che si è tenuta a Monaco.

Dopo Praga e Budapest, anche Varsavia smentisce che vi siano «nuovi accordi per prendere richiedenti asilo da altri Stati europei». La Polonia è il terzo Paese dell’elenco dei 14 citati da Angela Merkel come partner europei che avrebbero un’intesa per accelerare le procedure di respingimento dei migranti registrati altrove.
Riguardo a queste smentite dei Paesi dell’Est, la cancelliera ha detto: «Mi dispiace per gli equivoci, non abbiamo stipulato degli accordi», ma vi è uno scambio «a livello politico», ha precisato nel corso della consueta intervista estiva rilasciata alla Zdf, che andrà in onda stasera.

Attesi i verdetti dei due alleati

La precisazione di Varsavia complica una giornata già difficile per la cancelliera, messa sotto pressione sui migranti dai suoi compagni di governo: per lei oggi è il giorno della verità. L’alleato Csu, il ministro dell’Interno Horst Seehofer, dovrebbe dire se reputa sufficienti le misure che Merkel ha messo sul tavolo in materia di immigrazione al suo rientro dal Consiglio europeo.

«Ci saranno oggi importanti riunioni. Prima di queste non posso anticipare il risultato. Io farò di tutto quello che posso, in modo che ci siano risultati nella Cdu e nella Csu» ha dichiarato Angela Merkel nel corso dell’intervista alla Zdf che andrà in onda in serata.

Le riunioni di oggi potrebbero determinare il futuro del governo della GroKo: prima quella della Csu a Monaco; poi quelle della Cdu di Merkel a Berlino. Riunioni che fanno seguito all’incontro a porte chiuse di ieri sera a Berlino fra Merkel e Seehofer: i due sono stati visti con volti molto tesi in un colloquio sul balcone dell’ufficio di lei. La Bild riporta che, stando alle fonti consultate, ancora non è chiaro se nell’incontro in cancelleria i due abbiano raggiunto un’intesa. Il che significa che una spaccatura fra Cdu e Csu, alleati da 70 anni, non si può ancora escludere.

«Accordo con Roma impossibile»

Quando al rifiuto di Roma, la Merkel ha detto: «Un accordo con l’Italia non era possibile. L’Italia vuole prima ottenere una riduzione dei migranti che arrivano in quel Paese. Il premier ha detto che hanno l’impressione di essere stati a lungo piantati in asso» ha detto Angela Merkel alla Zdf.

* * * * * * *

Il fronte anti – Merkel si allarga ogni giorno che passa.

Il problema non sono i migranti, bensì Frau Merkel, che semplicemente dovrebbe dimettersi.

«Un accordo con l’Italia non era possibile. L’Italia vuole prima ottenere una riduzione dei migranti che arrivano in quel Paese. Il premier ha detto che hanno l’impressione di essere stati a lungo piantati in asso»: arrivata al governo italiano gente onesta, l’Italia ha innescato la crisi dell’Unione Europea e della Große Koalition in Germania.»

Staremo a vedere cosa Mr Trump ordinerà di fare.


Deutsche Welle. 2018-07-01. Angela Merkel’s coalition partner escalates asylum row

The row in the German coalition government over asylum policy re-ignited on Sunday as Interior Minister Horst Seehofer defied Chancellor Angela Merkel over asylum policy. Merkel is facing a new government crisis.

*

German Interior Minister Horst Seehofer dramatically re-escalated the row over asylum policy on Sunday evening by calling Chancellor Angela Merkel’s European Union deal over asylum policy as “not having the same effect” as the national measures he has been pushing for.

According to reports from sources within the Christian Social Union (CSU), Bavarian sister-party to Merkel’s center-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU), party leader Seehofer also said that his crunch meeting with the chancellor on Saturday evening had not had any effect.

This was a direct contradiction of Merkel’s account of the meeting, which she delivered in an interview with public broadcaster ZDF to be broadcast on Sunday evening. “In the sum of all that we have decided, that it will have the same effect,” she said, according to a report in Der Spiegel. “That is my personal conclusion. Of course the CSU will have to decide that for itself.”

“I would like very much for the CDU and CSU to continue working together,” she added. “Because we are a success story for Germany.”

Alexander Dobrindt, head of the CSU’s Bavarian regional group, agreed with Seehofer by declaring that “national measures” remained necessary, despite the agreements with EU partners reached by Merkel in the past two weeks.

July 1 deadline

The leaderships of the CDU and CSU are meeting separately in Berlin and Munich on Sunday to discuss whether and how the two parties, who have been allied since 1949, will continue to work together. The CSU is facing a crucial state election in Bavaria in October, and has opted to take a hard-line anti-immigration stance as its main campaign strategy.

Seehofer had set Merkel a deadline of July 1 to find a “European solution” to the issue of so-called “secondary migration,” or when asylum-seekers cross internal European Union borders after having already applied for asylum elsewhere in the EU.

Interior Minister Horst Seehofer’s initial “master plan,” which remains unpublished and which triggered the present German government crisis, would see asylum-seekers who had already been registered being shut out of Germany – a potential breach of EU law and the Geneva convention on refugees’ rights.

When Merkel rejected the plan, Seehofer initially threatened to implement his border control measures unilaterally, using his authority as interior minister over the federal police. In response, Merkel could have overruled him, which likely lead to his resignation.

Merkel gave a number of concessions to other EU countriesat last week’s summit in Brussels, though the hard-line right-wing governments in Hungary and Poland have since said they have not reached any new deals on asylum.


The Local. 2018-07-01. German interior minister unhappy with Merkel’s EU migration deal

German Interior Minister Horst Seehofer is unhappy with Chancellor Angela Merkel’s deal with other EU nations to slash immigration, sources from his CSU party told AFP Sunday, a sign she may have failed to defuse tensions within her conservative alliance.

Seehofer complained to fellow party leaders in Munich that he had engaged Merkel in a “conversation with no effect” Saturday about his plan to turn away asylum seekers already registered in other EU countries, the sources said.

Merkel is engaged in a fight for her political survival with the rebellious CSU, which has pressured her for weeks to get tough on immigration and asylum as it fears being outflanked to the right by anti-immigrant, anti-Islam Alternative for Germany (AfD).

The chancellor rejects Seehofer’s plan for Germany to unilaterally turn away at the border already-registered asylum seekers, preferring to seek cooperation with Germany’s neighbours.

At her urging, EU leaders last week agreed to a slew of measures to reduce immigration to the bloc and so-called “secondary migration” of asylum seekers between countries.

Merkel also said she had struck deals with 16 other countries for them to take back already-registered asylum seekers, although central European nations including Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic and Slovakia denied any such agreement.

If Seehofer rejects Merkel’s approach and orders border police to begin turning away already-registered asylum seekers, she would be forced to fire him, effectively exploding her conservative camp and robbing her ruling coalition with the Social Democratic Party (SPD) of a majority in parliament.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Mini-Summit. Cosa è successo. E cosa non si deve dire.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-06-24.

2018-06-24__Cdu_Csu__001

Proiezioni Insa. Se corressero separate, la Cdu crollerebbe al 22% e la Csu balzerebbe al 18%.

Sia Frau Merkel sia Herr Seehofer conoscono questi sondaggi. Ed anche Mr Trump.


A mini – summit terminato sarebbe cosa lecita domandarsi cosa sia accaduto.

Nulla.

Le posizioni sono radicalizzate.

Unico elemento impossibile da misconoscersi è stata la totale assenza di Mr Juncker e di Mr Tus, ossia dei due massimi dirigenti dell’Unione Europea.

Questo è il titolo del The Telegraph.

EU ‘mini-summit’ on migration gives Merkel and Macron no respite from domestic woes

«Angela Merkel and Emmanuel Macron, the European Union’s two most influential leaders, met yesterday with their bitterly divided counterparts for a frustrating “mini-summit” in Brussels, while facing plunging popularity at home.

The German chancellor, whose political future is under threat unless she can wrest deals from her opposite numbers in Europe, had already conceded the mini-summit of 16 nations would not bridge huge splits over migration policy ahead of a full European Council meeting next week.

Italy’s new hardline government has refused to admit foreign-flagged rescue ships packed with hundreds of migrants and pledged not to take in one more asylum seeker. ….»

* * *

Merkel sui migranti: non possiamo lasciare da soli i Paesi di primo arrivo

«La Cancelliera dopo il vertice straordinario di Bruxelles: “Quando possibile vogliamo trovare soluzioni europee, se non possibile cercheremo un comune piano di azione con chi è disponibile”. Conte: “Impressa la giusta direzione al dibattito”. Sánchez: “Studieremo le proposte italiane”. Macron: “In Europa c’è chi gioca con la paura. Escluse le soluzioni non conformi ai nostri valori” ….

Siamo tutti d’accordo: non si possono lasciare da soli i Paesi di primo arrivo e d’altro canto trafficanti e profughi non possono scegliere in quale Paese fare richiesta di asilo». Così il cancelliere Angela Merkel ….

quando possibile vogliamo trovare soluzioni europee. Laddove non sia possibile, vogliamo sviluppare insieme a quelli che sono disponibili un comune piano di azione ….

Ciò di cui abbiamo bisogno sono azione operative e non grandi dichiarazioni ….

Nata come una riunione a quattro tra Italia, Francia, Germania e Spagna, mano a mano il gruppo si è allargato, ma tra gli ospiti di Jean-Claude Juncker al Berlaymont risalta l’assenza dei grandi sabotatori della solidarietà europea: i quattro di Visegrad – Ungheria, Polonia, Repubblica Ceca e Slovacchia – e i baltici. ….

Angela Merkel chiede ora lo stop ai movimenti secondari, il passaggio dei migranti da un paese Ue all’altro, ovvero la fine dell’abitudine italiana di registrare le persone e anziché farsene carico – come previsto dalle regole attuali – permettere che spariscano oltre le Alpi. ….

Ma i vero punto di scambio, quello irrinunciabile per dare l’ok alla richiesta di Merkel sui movimenti secondari, è lo smistamento immediato dei barconi e dei migranti tra tutti i partner europei. Difficile farlo digerire ai Sedici, ancor più improbabile riuscirci a Ventisette quando al tavolo ci saranno i Vesegrad e i baltici»

* * *

Significativa questa frase:

«Germany’s Bundestag president Wolfgang Schauble backed Italy in its feud over the migrant crisis just hours before EU leaders face off in an emergency summit. ….

Mr Schauble said no single country could bear the brunt of the migrant crisis, as he called on the European Union to reform policies to help out Italy.

His comments could also be seen as a rebuttal on French President Emmanuel Macron who yesterday claimed there was “no migrant crisis”, after a meeting with Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez in Paris to discuss how to manage the arrival of migrants [Fonte]

* * *

Ma la posta in gioco è il governo tedesco. La poltrona del Cancelliere.

«Merkel is running against time. She needs to find an EU-wide solution by the end of this month to avert further problems at home.

If she fails, Interior Minister Horst Seehofer, of Bavaria’s Christian Social Union (CSU) party, has threatened to defy her wishes and go ahead with new migration rules that would allow Germany to refuse entry to people at the border if they had already been refused asylum, or had applied for asylum elsewhere in the 28-member bloc.

Merkel, who heads the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), has argued against unilateral action, saying migrant policy can only be effectively agreed and implemented at the European level.» [Deutsche Welle]

* * * * * * *

Siamo chiari: chi abbia orecchi da intendere, intenda.

Se Frau Merkel si fosse intestardita nell’imporre l’importazione forzosa di ostriche della Normandia, Herr Seehofer si sarebbe fieramente opposto, denunciando codesta tratta delle ostriche, che, tra l’altro, potrebbero anche causare piedi piatti, podagra ed impotenza. La vera posta in gioco è il dominio della Germania.


The Kansas City Star. 2018-06-24. The Latest: No decisions at ‘frank and open’ migration talks

BRUSSELS

The Latest on immigration into Europe (all times local):

7:40 p.m.

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez says emergency talks European leaders held on migration didn’t yield any decisions but that the participants agreed they need to work together on the politically fraught issue.

Sanchez told reporters that Sunday’s meeting involving the heads of at least 16 EU countries were “frank and open,” but “we don’t have any concrete consequences or conclusions.”

He says: “Everyone agreed on the need to have a European vision; a common position on a common challenge.”

As the meeting got started, several countries threw their weight behind the idea of setting up migrant reception centers in Africa to screen asylum-seekers before they depart for Europe.

___

7:20 p.m.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel says a summit of 16 European Union countries has created “a lot of goodwill” to discuss EU disagreements on migration.

Merkel and 15 other European leaders met in Brussels on Sunday to tackle the immigration policies that have divided the bloc since more than 1 million migrants arrived in 2015.

The German chancellor said the summit participants agreed that Europe’s outer borders need to be better protected to keep people from entering illegally and that “all countries should share all the burdens” related to migration.

Merkel says the countries that most migrants reach first shouldn’t be left alone to deal with the influx and that it also shouldn’t be up to newcomers to decide in which European country they get to apply for asylum.

___

5:50 p.m.

Italy’s coast guard is responding to a Spanish aid group’s criticism of having its offer to help rescue some 1,000 migrants from the Mediterranean Sea declined, saying the responsibility for coordinating the rescue has been handed off to Libya.

Italian coast guard officials said they received distress calls from six different migrant boats Sunday that were in Libya’s search-and-rescue territory. The Italians said they alerted ships in the area and formally advised the Libyan coast guard, which officially took over the rescue.

Spanish NGO Proactiva Open Arms complained that Italy’s coast guard declined its offer of help.

Italy’s hard-line new government has refused to let aid groups’ rescue ships dock, arguing that they are serving as taxi services for Libyan-based human traffickers. Italy has also sought to bolster the Libyan coast guard’s patrol capacity, but human rights organizations say Libya isn’t a safe place for migrants.

___

5:15 p.m.

The Italian government’s proposal for revamping how Europe manages migration calls for creating “international protection centers” that would screen asylum requests in common countries of transit.

The 10-point plan Premier Giuseppe Conte presented at an emergency meeting in Brussels on Sunday also seeks more European Union support to help the Libyan coast guard better patrol its coasts for departing migrant boats.

The plan argues that existing European asylum rules are obsolete and “paradoxical.” The regulation effectively means migrants can only apply for asylum in the European country where they first arrive, usually Italy or Greece.

The Italian proposal says other European countries must create welcome centers for asylum-seekers so the burden is dispersed.

It also calls for EU investment in migrants’ home countries, presumably as a way to persuade them to stay.

___

4:45 p.m.

Italy’s firebrand interior minister is defending Italy’s decision to ask the Libyan coast guard to rescue an estimated 1,000 migrants without the help of aid groups.

Matteo Salvini was responding to the alarm raised by Spanish aid group Proactiva Open Arms, which said Italian coast guard authorities had declined their offer to come to the migrants’ rescue.

In a tweet Sunday, Salvini said: “It’s right that the Libyan authorities intervene, as they’ve been doing for days, without having the NGOs interrupt them and disturb them.”

Barcelona Mayor Ada Colao, who previously offered Barcelona as a port when Italy refused entry to another aid group’s rescue ship, repeated her willingness to take in the migrants and urged Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez to intervene to allow Proactiva’s ship to “save lives.”

She said: “Italy wants to leave the migrants in the hands of Libya, where they torture, rape and enslave” migrants.

___

4:35 p.m.

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez is urging his European Union partners to help Spain deal with the arrival of thousands of migrants from Africa across the Mediterranean Sea.

Sanchez said Sunday that he will request “the support of our comrades, of our state members, in order to control better the flow that we are suffering nowadays from the western Mediterranean.”

Spain has seen a sharp rise in migrant arrivals. The U.N.’s refugee agency says around 40,000 people have arrived in Europe by sea so far this year, some 16,000 in Italy, 12,000 in Greece and 12,000 in Spain.

___

4:25 p.m.

Tensions between Italy and Malta are flaring anew over the fate of a German rescue ship with 234 migrants aboard that has been denied a port to disembark them.

Malta’s home affairs minister, Michael Farrugia, and Italy’s transport minister, Danilo Toninelli, engaged in a Twitter war of words Sunday over which country was being more “inhuman” about the fate of the Lifeline and its passengers.

Italy has demanded Malta let the Lifeline dock since it’s currently in Maltese waters. Farrugia tweeted Sunday “Why weren’t they allowed to dock immediately in Italy, like Italy is now asking Malta? That’s the true inhumanity.”

Maltese Premier Joseph Muscat sought to lower the rhetoric as he arrived Sunday in Brussels for a migration meeting, saying now was not the time for a “blame game.”

For its part, the Lifeline issued a tweet to Italy’s hard-line interior minister: “Dear Matteo Salvini, we have no meat on board, but humans. We cordially invite you to convince yourself that it is people we have saved from drowning.”

___

4:10 p.m.

French President Emmanuel Macron is saying that any solution to immigration should be based on the human rights and solidarity principles that the European Union stands for. 

Speaking as he came into the EU’s informal mini-summit Sunday on migration, Macron said if no deal could be found among all 28 EU nations, a smaller group of them could push ahead to deal with the issue. Migration across the Mediterranean Sea is down sharply from last year but it is dominating Europe’s political agenda.

As such, he echoed German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who was also calling for bi- and trilateral agreements among member states to make progress now. 

The core of any agreement though, he said, must be the steadfast respect of human rights.  

“The values of Europe are the respect for human rights and individuals, the respect for nations and their integrity. It is the solidarity that holds us together,” he said.   

___

3:50 p.m.

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez has accused Italy’s new populist government of being “anti-European” in its immigration policies by putting national self-interests ahead of efforts to forge a united front in the European Union.

But he also notes that other EU countries have failed to help Italy cope with the arrivals of large numbers of migrants across the Mediterranean Sea.

Sanchez tells the El Pais newspaper the EU’s biggest challenge at the moment is “europhobia,” as some EU members shrink from agreeing on common policies.

His comments come as EU leaders gather in Brussels to discuss a more unified approach to migration.

Spain’s new center-left government is taking a more open stance on migration, including extending public health care to undocumented foreigners.

___

3:45 p.m.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel is downplaying expectations that the EU summit next Thursday will be able to come to a full agreement on how to deal with migration.

Merkel instead is pushing for bilateral and trilateral deals to cope with the immediate emergencies with migrants coming into Europe.

Merkel, speaking as she entered Sunday’s mini-summit of 16 of 28 EU nations in Brussels, says EU nations have to see “how can we help each other without always having to wait for all 28, but by thinking what’s important to whom.”

Instead of difficult overall deals among all member states, she says “it is also about bi and trilateral agreements for mutual benefit.”

___

3:35 p.m.

Italy is presenting what it says is a radical new proposal for Europe to handle migration that it says should replace the existing regulation that determines how asylum claims are handled.

Premier Giuseppe Conte is unveiling his strategy for migration at a meeting Sunday in Brussels with 15 other EU countries. He said the plan represents a “paradigm change” in the divisive issue.

Without giving details, Conte said the Italian plan is “efficient and sustainable.” He said it would replace the Dublin regulation on asylum — that migrants must ask for asylum in the EU nation where they land — which he said was negotiated as an emergency solution.

He said the Italian plan seeks to “confront the problem in a structural way.”

Conte has previously said the Italian proposal calls for creating “hotspots” in the most common homelands for migrants and in transit nations to identify asylum candidates.

___

3:25 p.m.

A Spanish aid group that has rescued thousands of migrants in the Mediterranean Sea says there are seven boats with about 1,000 migrants aboard in need of rescue off Libya’s coast, but that Italy has declined its offer of help.

Proactiva Open Arms says in a tweet Sunday that Italian coast guard authorities who coordinate rescues sent out advisories to all ships in the area but told Proactiva: “We don’t need your help.”

Proactiva says Italy is seeking to have the Libyan coast guard conduct the rescues and bring the migrants back to North Africa.

Under its new anti-migrant government, Italy has refused to let aid groups dock in Italian ports, arguing they are encouraging smugglers. Up until Sunday, Italy’s rescue coordination center had still engaged with the groups at sea during actual rescues.

There was no answer Sunday at the Italian coast guard.

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2:45 p.m.

Italy’s populist 5-Star Movement is demanding that European countries step up and actually take action to deal with hundreds of thousands of migrants on the continent, warning that the future of Europe is at stake.

The 5-Stars, who are in a ruling coalition with the anti-migrant League party, penned a blog Sunday titled “The migrant hypocrisy sinks Europe” as EU leaders met in Brussels on migration.

The post complained that few countries even came close to accepting the redistributed migrants they pledged to under a failed 2015 EU plan to ease the burden on Italy and Greece.

The post said: “It’s time for Europe to find itself again in the principles that everyone preaches, but few sincerely practice,” saying what is at stake is “the future of Europe as a political community and its values.”

___

1:20 p.m.

The leaders of Germany, France and about a dozen other European Union nations are converging on Brussels for an afternoon of informal talks on differences over migration ahead of a full EU summit that starts next Thursday.

Facing a domestic political crisis in Germany over the topic, Chancellor Angela Merkel will be seeking to get EU leaders to forge a joint approach to manage the influx of migrants and refugees, a divisive issue which is now back at the heart of the EU too.

There are deep divisions over who should take responsibility for arriving migrants, how long they should be required to accommodate them, and what should be done to help those EU countries hardest hit like Italy and Greece.

Looking for common ground among a few key nations, the informal mini-summit now involves about 16 member states, as others demanded to take part.

To further complicate matters, four eastern EU countries— the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia —refused to attend and reject taking in migrants in general.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Seehofer alla Merkel. Se mi destituisci, allora crisi di governo.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-06-22.

Merkel muss weg

Herr Seehofer ha parlato senza troppi peli sulla lingua.

Carissima Frau Merkel, se mi destituisci da Ministro degli Interni, faccio immediatamente cadere il governo.

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«Horst Seehofer has warned Angela Merkel against firing him as interior minister»

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«If she’s unhappy with his work, Seehofer said Merkel should dissolve her governing grand coalition»

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«German Interior Minister Horst Seehofer warned Chancellor Angela Merkel against dismissing him for a possible lone wolf approach to immigration»

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«Seehofer reportedly told Merkel that he would use a “ministerial authorization” to institute his plan alone if a compromise was not found»

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«the CSU was “damaging Germany’s ability to act within the EU.”»

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«I am the leader of the CSU, one of the three coalition parties, and act with the full support of my party. If the chancellery is not satisfied with the interior minister’s work, then the coalition should end»

* * * * * * * *

Siamo chiari.

Se sicuramente Frau Merkel è ancora la Bundeskanzlerin della Repubblica Federale Tedesca, la sua autorità ed il suo potere sono limitati come mai era avvenuto nella storia della Germania.

Molti deputati della Cdu la stanno contestando apertamente, il partito fratello della Csu semplicemente la odia, in parlamento AfD non perde occasione per coprirla di biacca, Confindustria la osteggia apertamente ed elenca i nomi dei possibili successori, in Europa val meno di un mozzicone di sigaretta, e la sua  autorevolezza a livello mondiale ben si è vista in sede del G7.

Frau Merkel: vattene.


Deutsche Welle. 2018-06-22. Horst Seehofer warns Angela Merkel against dismissing him amid migration spat

Horst Seehofer has warned Angela Merkel against firing him as interior minister. If she’s unhappy with his work, Seehofer said Merkel should dissolve her governing grand coalition.

*

German Interior Minister Horst Seehofer warned Chancellor Angela Merkel against dismissing him for a possible lone wolf approach to immigration.

Seehofer said in an interview with the Passauer Neue Presse newspaper on Friday that it would be the first time “looking after and taking care of the security and order of the country is the reason given for firing a minister.”

Merkel and Seehofer are currently arguing over Germany’s migration policy. As part of a still unpublished “migration master plan,” Seehofer called for rejecting asylum-seekers at the German border if they have registered in another EU state or have been refused asylum in Germany in the past. Merkel has rejected the suggestions, insisting instead a Europe-wide solution to migration.

During a parliamentary meeting at the German Bundestag last week, Seehofer reportedly told Merkel that he would use a “ministerial authorization” to institute his plan alone if a compromise was not found.

Call for caution

Merkel is keen not to rile other EU member states by taking unilateral action on migration ahead of a meeting of some EU leaders on Sunday and a larger EU summit next week.

EU Budget Commissioner Günther Oettinger has also called on Seehofer not to go it alone with regard to refugee policy.

“That would mean that a new, significant stage of escalation would be reached that would call [Merkel’s conservative bloc] into question,” he said in comments carried by the daily Handelsblatt on Friday. He added that the CSU was “damaging Germany’s ability to act within the EU.”

The EU needed a stable German government, especially in view of the fact that stability was no longer guaranteed in other member states, Oettinger said.

‘Backed by my party’

But Seehofer seems prepared for his stance to possibly lead to the end of Germany’s coalition government.

He said his Christian Social Union (CSU), the Bavarian sister party to Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU), backed his position on migration, adding that Merkel might as well dissolve the government rather than fire him.

“I hear from many people day to day: ‘Stay firm. Don’t give in!’ It’s about credibility,” Seehofer said, adding that support from his party is “more important than any office.”

“I am the leader of the CSU, one of the three coalition parties, and act with the full support of my party. If the chancellery is not satisfied with the interior minister’s work, then the coalition should end,” he said.

Bavarians are set to vote in state elections in October, and the CSU is facing competition on the political right from Germany’s far-right populist Alternative for Germany (AfD).

“The CSU is fighting for its beliefs,” Seehofer said. “That is more important than positions.”

Pubblicato in: Senza categoria, Vignette Umoristiche

Titanic, giornale satirico, beffa Merkel, Seehofer, Reuters ed i mercati.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-06-15.

2018-06-15__Burla__001

«The “hr Tagesgeschehen” Twitter account is run by German satirical magazine Titanic, as shown by one of their follow-up tweets calling on those who fell for the prank to subscribe to the magazine and a change in the account’s name»

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«We now have to prepare ourselves to compete with a new Bavarian CDU in the next general election»

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2018-06-15__Burla__002

Herr Seehofer pone fine all’alleanza con la Cdu.

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«As news of the tweet circulated, Reuters news agency, the daily Bild newspaper, Germany’s highest-circulation paper, Focus news magazine and TV news channel n24 quickly reported that the alliance was officially over, incorrectly citing Hessischer Runkfunk »

* * * * * *

CSU rushes to reaffirm alliance with Merkel after Twitter hoax

«Bavaria’s Christian Social Union (CSU) party moved swiftly on Friday to deny it planned to dissolve its decades-old alliance with Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democrats, after a report to that effect appeared on a hoax Twitter account.

Hans Michelbach, deputy head of the CSU faction in the federal parliament, said the report was “rubbish”, stressing the CSU wanted to maintain its alliance with the CDU and preserve the coalition.

Earlier, a Twitter account claiming to be that of the Hessischer Rundfunk state broadcaster had said CSU Interior Minster Horst Seehofer had announced the end of the alliance in an internal message.

Minutes later, the broadcaster confirmed the account was fake.»

* * * * * *

«La satira tedesca colpisce ancora. E stavolta riesce persino a spaventare i mercati e a provocare un lieve cedimento dell’euro. Poco prima di mezzogiorno un tweet di Moritz Hürtgen annuncia la rottura ufficiale tra il partito di Angela Merkel e la “sorella” bavarese Csu, la formazione di Horst Seehofer che è sul piedi di guerra da giorni contro la cancelliera per il piano sui profughi.

Hürtgen è un giornalista della più famosa rivista satirica tedesca, Titanic, ma siccome cita spesso notizie vere e cita una presunta mail del governatore Cdu dell’Assia, Volker Bouffier, inizialmente ci cascano tutti. Non solo i tabloid Bild e il settimanale Focus, persino la autorevole Reuters, che in un secolo e mezzo di storia si è fatta un nome per il controllo maniacale delle fonti, rilancia la notizia clamorosa.

Immediata la reazione del Dax di Francoforte, che perde mezzo punto, mentre l’euro si indebolisce rispetto al dollaro.»

* * *

Lo scherzo è stato feroce, ma anche molto bello.

Il tragico è che quando sono comparse queste videate, tutti avevano creduto che fossero la pura verità.

C’è caduta anche un’agenzia come Reuters, tanto la notizia sarebbe verosimile.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania che vira al populismo. – Project Syndicate

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-04-26.

Berlino Porta Brandemburgo

Si voglia meno i “populisti” non stanno arrivando: sono già qua.

Populismo. Cosa sia e come lo quantizzi il Populism Index (Epicentric)

Unione Europea. Non stiamo arrivando. Siamo arrivati.

Orban scaccia Soros e vince la Unione Europea. E siamo solo agli inizi.

Cosa significa “populismo” nel linguaggio corrente?

«movimento politico privo di ideologia od idee preconcette, che si rifà soltanto alle esigenze che emergono dalla gente comune piuttosto che dalle élite.»

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«populism is not an ideology in itself»

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Sono un gran numero le persone fiere di non essere ideologizzate.

La gente comune, gli Elettori, non vota più partiti ideologizzati, non sanno che farsene. Gli Elettori vogliono essere ascoltati, non guidati da dei sedicenti illuminati: non votano chi non li stia ad ascoltare.

Le elezioni in Ungheria prima ed in Italia dopo hanno segnato il trionfo elettorale dei così detti populisti. Le sinistre ideologiche sono scomparse o ridotte a comparse sul proscenio politico.

Nelle recentissime elezioni in Molise il partito democratico si è ridotto a meno del 9%: i “populisti” assommati superano l’82.9% dei voti.

Ma esattamente come successe nel periodo subito a ridosso della rivoluzione francese, la rigidità degli egemoni è la migliore propaganda che sta facendo crescere i “populisti

Media liberal. Quinta colonna dei ‘populisti’.

* * *

Si faccia però moltissima attenzione.

Essere senza ideologie non significa minimamente essere senza principi. Anzi, si direbbe proprio l’opposto.

La gran parte dei così detti ‘populisti‘ in Europa si riconosce nel retaggio religioso, storico, culturale e sociale tipico di ogni popolazione e più specificatamente, nelle radici cristiane dell’Occidente.

Se questa posizione solleva fierissime e rumorose proteste dei liberal, occorrerebbe tuttavia ripensare a fondo a cosa miri un partito politico.

Se è vero che le posizioni di partito devono soddisfare la base interna, gli iscritti, l’affermazione elettorale dipende in larga parte da quanto un partito sa trascinare alle urne quella che solitamente è denominata la maggioranza silenziosa. E questa in Europa ha largamente abbandonato la posizione liberal riportandosi alle proprie radici. I risultati elettorali sono auto evidenti.

Al censimento del 2011 la popolazione ha dichiarato la propria identificazione religiosa. I non religiosi dichiarati erano il 33%, i cattolici il 31,2%, gli evangelici il 30,8%.

I cattolici che tali si dichiarano alle autorità sono in Germania 23.7 milioni: si dichiarano e ne pagano le relative tasse.

Se è vero che ben pochi sono praticanti, se è altrettanto vero che moltissimi siano umani ‘peccatori‘, è altrettanto vero che di questi tempi si stiano risvegliando e prendendo posizione anche in campo politico: anche loro votano.

Già: anche loro votano. Non sono urlatori, sono silenziosi, ma ci sono.

Questa è una realtà in ebollizione, della quale ogni politico accorto dovrebbe prendere atto. Cosa di fatto che sta accadendo, andando a gonfiare le fila dei ‘populisti‘.

Baviera. Dal 1° giugno gli uffici pubblici dovranno esporre la Croce.


Questo articolo di Project Syndicate pone il quesito di quanto anche la Germania si stia volgendo al “populismo“.

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«After months of difficult coalition talks, German Chancellor Angela Merkel finally managed to establish a new government in early March, only to find that she has a spoiler in her own camp»

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«To shore up his right flank, Christian Social Union leader Horst Seehofer has launched a cold war against Merkel and the German establishment.»

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«Because populism is not an ideology in itself, it can easily appeal to mainstream political parties seeking to shore up flagging electoral support»

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«There are always politicians willing to mimic populist slogans and methods to win over voters, even if doing so divides their own party»

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«But the most ominous manifestation of this tendency can be found in Germany’s Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union»

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«To that end, the CSU’s longtime leader, Horst Seehofer, has already set a new populist tone for the party. He recently ceded the post of Bavaria’s minister-president to an ambitious, younger populist rival, Markus Söder. And as the recently instated interior minister in Chancellor Angela Merkel’s new grand coalition government, he has sought to burnish his own populist credentials, including by restoring the word Heimat (homeland) to the ministry’s name»

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«Since the day the new German government was sworn in, it has been clear that Merkel’s trademark tactic of neutralizing potential critics by including them in her cabinet would no longer work. Seehofer immediately launched a cold war within the governing coalition»

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«In March 2017, while Merkel was preparing for her first meeting with US President Donald Trump, Seehofer went to Moscow to cozy up to Russian President Vladimir Putin»

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«Seehofer has also spoken warmly of Poland’s populist Law and Justice (PiS) government, while criticizing the European Union for its supposed affronts to Polish dignity»

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«He congratulated Orbán for his overwhelming electoral victory earlier this month, and his CSU colleague Alexander Dobrindt openly refers to Orbán as “our friend.”»

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«Under Seehofer’s leadership, the CSU is shifting its focus from economic to cultural disputes. This is in keeping with the larger populist trend in Europe, evident not just in Hungary and Poland, but also in the Czech Republic, Austria, the Netherlands, and Italy, where the populist Five Star Movement and the right-wing League are vying to lead the next government»

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«AfD will be the natural beneficiary of any government blunders, given that it is now the largest opposition party in the Bundestag»

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«At this point, Financial Times columnist Wolfgang Münchau suggests, the best scenario could well be another economic crisis in the eurozone, simply because that might finally knock some sense into Germany.»

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Note aggiuntive.

«In Eastern European countries, one can pay by credit card at any street market, whereas in Germany, that is often impossible even in the best restaurants. Likewise, Germany ranks 42nd in the world in terms of Internet speed, and its broadband infrastructure would be embarrassing even to a Ukrainian. For a country that has made a fortune investing in Eastern Europe, Germany’s relative backwardness in these areas is stunning»

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«The fact that Seehofer is embracing his inner populist does not necessarily augur what Dobrindt has described as a European “conservative revolution.” But it does suggest that Orbán and PiS leader Jarosław Kaczyński’s “illiberal counterrevolution” is gaining momentum»

* * * * * * *

Sono in molti a ritenere che ben difficilmente la Bundeskanzlerin Frau Merkel riuscirà a finire il mandato.


Project Syndicate. 2018-04-23. Germany’s Populist Temptation

After months of difficult coalition talks, German Chancellor Angela Merkel finally managed to establish a new government in early March, only to find that she has a spoiler in her own camp. To shore up his right flank, Christian Social Union leader Horst Seehofer has launched a cold war against Merkel and the German establishment.

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BERLIN – Because populism is not an ideology in itself, it can easily appeal to mainstream political parties seeking to shore up flagging electoral support. There are always politicians willing to mimic populist slogans and methods to win over voters, even if doing so divides their own party. This has been proven by Republicans in the United States, Conservatives and Labourites in the United Kingdom, and Les Républicains under the new leadership of Laurent Wauquiez in France.

But the most ominous manifestation of this tendency can be found in Germany’s Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union. The CDU/CSU’s weak showing in last year’s parliamentary election, combined with the unprecedented gains by the populist Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), has created new schisms within the party grouping.

Other than in the former communist states of East Germany, the AfD’s strongest performance was in the CSU’s stronghold of Bavaria, which will hold local elections in October. Defending its right flank against the AfD has thus become the CSU’s foremost concern.

To that end, the CSU’s longtime leader, Horst Seehofer, has already set a new populist tone for the party. He recently ceded the post of Bavaria’s minister-president to an ambitious, younger populist rival, Markus Söder. And as the recently instated interior minister in Chancellor Angela Merkel’s new grand coalition government, he has sought to burnish his own populist credentials, including by restoring the word Heimat (homeland) to the ministry’s name.

But Seehofer has always come across as something other than a German conservative. In fact, he has served as a sort of political godfather to Hungary’s authoritarian prime minister, Viktor Orbán. And now he sees his own opportunity.

Since the day the new German government was sworn in, it has been clear that Merkel’s trademark tactic of neutralizing potential critics by including them in her cabinet would no longer work. Seehofer immediately launched a cold war within the governing coalition.

In a March interview with the tabloid Bild, Seehofer declared, in perfect populist fashion, that, “Islam does not belong to Germany.” The purpose of such statements is to draw lines within the government and place himself on the side of the anti-immigrant voters who turned out for the AfD last year. Merkel, together with almost all of Germany’s political class, has had no choice but to push back. At the same time, the AfD has lost political ground on which to criticize Seehofer and the CSU.

And Seehofer has remained on the offensive. He seems to make public comments on just about everything, and always in a way that leaves the AfD with nothing to add and undermines Merkel without striking at her directly.

But, again, Seehofer’s “Eastern European” behavior does not come as a total surprise. In March 2017, while Merkel was preparing for her first meeting with US President Donald Trump, Seehofer went to Moscow to cozy up to Russian President Vladimir Putin. Since then, he has consistently opposed all sanctions on Russia on any grounds.

Seehofer has also spoken warmly of Poland’s populist Law and Justice (PiS) government, while criticizing the European Union for its supposed affronts to Polish dignity. He congratulated Orbán for his overwhelming electoral victory earlier this month, and his CSU colleague Alexander Dobrindt openly refers to Orbán as “our friend.”

Under Seehofer’s leadership, the CSU is shifting its focus from economic to cultural disputes. This is in keeping with the larger populist trend in Europe, evident not just in Hungary and Poland, but also in the Czech Republic, Austria, the Netherlands, and Italy, where the populist Five Star Movement and the right-wing League are vying to lead the next government.

One result of Seehofer’s pitched struggle with Merkel and the German political establishment is that the other government party, the Social Democrats (SPD), has all but disappeared from view. But, whether he realizes it or not, the AfD will be the natural beneficiary of any government blunders, given that it is now the largest opposition party in the Bundestag.

Still, even if Seehofer’s populist gambit fails, he has already succeeded in pulling the government to the right. Germany is clearly acting to ease EU pressure on Poland, Hungary, and other Eastern European countries that are flouting the rule of law and undermining European solidarity with respect to migrants and refugees.

Moreover, Germany will likely block any substantive reform of the eurozone, thus squandering the opportunity offered by French President Emmanuel Macron. At this point, Financial Times columnist Wolfgang Münchau suggests, the best scenario could well be another economic crisis in the eurozone, simply because that might finally knock some sense into Germany.

Seehofer is bad news for Germany, which is in greater need of dynamism, openness, and courage than any other European country. Germany’s limited military capacity, over-regulated service sector, and lack of infrastructure investment all indicate that it is lagging a decade behind Eastern Europe on some key development metrics, even if it is Europe’s foremost economic power.

In Eastern European countries, one can pay by credit card at any street market, whereas in Germany, that is often impossible even in the best restaurants. Likewise, Germany ranks 42nd in the world in terms of Internet speed, and its broadband infrastructure would be embarrassing even to a Ukrainian. For a country that has made a fortune investing in Eastern Europe, Germany’s relative backwardness in these areas is stunning.

The fact that Seehofer is embracing his inner populist does not necessarily augur what Dobrindt has described as a European “conservative revolution.” But it does suggest that Orbán and PiS leader Jarosław Kaczyński’s “illiberal counterrevolution” is gaining momentum.

——

Sławomir Sierakowski, founder of the Krytyka Polityczna movement, is Director of the Institute for Advanced Study in Warsaw and a fellow at the Robert Bosch Academy in Berlin.