Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Romania. Due terzi a favore di formazioni conservatrici e nazionaliste.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-07-07.

Romania

Romania. Proibito l’insegnamento della teoria del gender. Europarlamento in tilt.

Romania. È energeticamente autosufficiente ed esporta gas naturale.

Romania. Lo speaker Florin Iordache fa il gesto del dito ai gerarchi della EU, in europarlamento.

Romania. Il Green Deal è una ‘true religion’. Il gesto del dito.

Iohannis confermato presidente della Romania con il 67% dei voti.

* * * * * * *

Lo INSCOP ha recentemente eseguito in Romania un complesso sondaggio di opinioni per conto del Marshal Fund of the United States.

* * * * * * *

«The survey carried out by INSCOP as part of a research project for the German Marshal Fund of the United States aims to measure how Romanians react to series of elements of the Eurosceptic and nationalist agenda»

«Two-thirds of Romanians say they would support a conservative-nationalist party that promotes religious and traditional values»

«The flipside is that an equal or even greater number of respondents would not support such a party if it advocated for Romania to leave the EU»

«61 percent said they wouldn’t vote such a party if its agenda would include measures and policies that could lead to Romania exiting the EU»

«75 percent would strictly oppose any party that would push for closer relations with Russia»

«the number of those who believe that Romania should defend its national interests when pitted against EU rules has remained constant, hovering at around 64 percent»

«if the rest of European countries pursue their own national interests, it is legitimate for Romanians to want the same for their country»

«65 percent of those questioned think that Romania’s exit from the EU would affect the country’s national interests»

«→→ 82 percent of Romanians thinks that they are being regarded as second class citizens in the EU ←←»

«Unity in diversity»

«When it comes to nationalism being translated into votes, a right-wing populist and nationalist party – Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) – is currently the fourth-largest party in the country»

«The party rose from obscurity, after being formed in late 2019, and promotes an ultranationalist agenda, proclaiming to stand for “family, nation, faith, and freedom”»

«AUR took 10 percent of the vote following last year’s general election, taking commentators by surprise, and is now planning to take part in next month’s parliamentary elections in neighbouring Moldova»

* * * * * * *

La Romania è uno di denti cariati dei liberal socialisti europei. Gente fiera, orgogliosa del proprio retaggio religioso, storico, culturale e sociale, che apprezza l’Unione Europea ma non certo questa eurodirigenza.

Non a caso l’82 percento dei rumeni si rende conto che l’Unione li sta trattando come dei paria.

*


Two-thirds of Romanians would back conservative-nationalists

The populist-nationalist Alliance for the Union of Romanians party has a strong connection with Romania’s powerful Orthodox Church.

Two-thirds of Romanians say they would support a conservative-nationalist party that promotes religious and traditional values, a survey of the Strategic Thinking Group think-thank shows.

The flipside is that an equal or even greater number of respondents would not support such a party if it advocated for Romania to leave the EU, strengthen ties with Russia, or infringe upon national minorities’ rights.

“61 percent said they wouldn’t vote such a party if its agenda would include measures and policies that could lead to Romania exiting the EU.

75 percent would strictly oppose any party that would push for closer relations with Russia. 70 percent stated that they would stop voting for a party which would infringe upon minority rights.”

The survey carried out by INSCOP as part of a research project for the German Marshal Fund of the United States aims to measure how Romanians react to series of elements of the Eurosceptic and nationalist agenda.

Remus Ştefureac, president of Strategic Thinking Group, said that the number of those who believe that Romania should defend its national interests when pitted against EU rules has remained constant, hovering at around 64 percent.

He went on to explain that this number was nuanced: “This finding highlights the fact that most Romanians believe that, if the rest of European countries pursue their own national interests, it is legitimate for Romanians to want the same for their country.

“However, there is a clear rational awareness that leaving the EU would affect national interests and that the country’s economic development has the best prospects within the Union.”

65 percent of those questioned think that Romania’s exit from the EU would affect the country’s national interests, while only 19 percent of the population think that not being EU citizens would not impact Romania.

From an economic standpoint, the majority of Romanians are optimistic when it comes to EU helping Romania develop.

“62.9 percent appreciated that Romania does better inside the European Union, while 27 percent considered that Romania would develop better economically if it were outside the EU”.

However, 82 percent of Romanians thinks that they are being regarded as second class citizens in the EU, the study shows.

Romanians are almost unanimously in support of national minority rights, with over 90 percent of them saying that such rights need to be upheld.

Iulius Marian Firczak, a Romanian MP representing the national minority of Ruthenians, said that the European motto “Unity in diversity” should always prevail.

“There must be cooperation, good understanding between various groups, minorities, identities in a society because that’s how we move forward, that’s how we build a strong democracy, that’s how we all benefit culturally and economically”, he told EUobserver.

When it comes to nationalism being translated into votes, a right-wing populist and nationalist party – Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) – is currently the fourth-largest party in the country.

The party rose from obscurity, after being formed in late 2019, and promotes an ultranationalist agenda, proclaiming to stand for “family, nation, faith, and freedom”. AUR has a strong connection to Romania’s powerful Orthodox Church, and has repeatedly held rallies against Covid-19 restrictions and wearing face masks.

AUR took 10 percent of the vote following last year’s general election, taking commentators by surprise, and is now planning to take part in next month’s parliamentary elections in neighbouring Moldova.

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Europa. 2021Q1. Pil eurozona -5.1%, EU -4.6, comparati sul 2019Q4. – Eurostat.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-06-09.

2021-06-09__ eUROSTAT gDP 001

Ricordandosi bene di quando Stalin spedì in Siberia tutto il personale dell’Ufficio di Statistica, anche quello di Eurostat riporta pudicamente nei titoli i dati QoQ.

Poi, in fondo, riporta le tabelle dei dati comparati sul primo trimestre 2020 e sul quarto trimestre 2019, ultimo rilevamento prima della crisi del Covid.

La differenza è stridente, ma ben più aderente ala realtà dei fatti.

2021-06-09__ eUROSTAT gDP 002

* * * * * * *

In sintesi.

– GDP volumes were 5.1% and 4.6% below their highest level of the fourth quarter 2019 for the euro area and EU

– household final consumption expenditure decreased by 2.3% in the euro area and by 1.9% in the EU

* * * * * * *


Eurostat ha rilasciato il Report 2021 GDP down by 0.3% and employment down by 0.3% in the euro area.

                         GDP growth in the euro area and the EU.

In the first quarter of 2021, seasonally adjusted GDP decreased by 0.3% in the euro area and by 0.1% in the EU compared with the previous quarter, according to an estimate published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. These declines follow falls in the fourth quarter of 2020 (-0.6% in the euro area and -0.4% in the EU) after a strong rebound in the third quarter of 2020 (+12.6% in the euro area and +11.7% in the EU). Before, the sharpest decreases since the time series started in 1995 were observed in the second quarter of 2020 (-11.5% in the euro area and -11.1% in the EU).

During the first quarter of 2021, GDP in the United States increased by 1.6% compared with the previous quarter (after +1.1% in the fourth quarter of 2020). Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, GDP increased by 0.4% (after -2.4% in the previous quarter).

                         GDP growth by Member State.

Ireland (+7.8%) and Croatia (+5.8%) recorded the sharpest increases of GDP compared to the previous quarter, followed by Estonia (+4.8%) and Greece (+4.4%). The strongest declines were observed in Portugal (-3.3%) and Slovakia (-2.0%), followed by Germany (-1.8%) and Latvia (-1.7%).

                         GDP components and contributions to growth.

During the first quarter of 2021, household final consumption expenditure decreased by 2.3% in the euro area and by 1.9% in the EU (after -2.9% in the euro area and -2.7% in the EU in the previous quarter). Gross fixed capital formation increased by 0.2% in the euro area and by 0.8% in the EU (after +2.5% and +2.0% respectively). Exports increased by 1.0% in the euro area and by 1.1% the EU (after +3.8% and +4.0%). Imports increased by 0.9% in the euro area and by 1.1% in the EU (after +4.5% and +4.4%).

Household final consumption expenditure had negative contribution to GDP growth in both the euro area and the EU (-1.2 and -1.0 percentage points – pp, respectively) while the contributions from gross fixed capital formation (+0.1 in the euro area and +0.2 in the EU) and changes in inventories (+0.7% in the euro area and +0.6 in the EU) were positive. The contribution from the external balance was slightly positive for the euro area and neutral for the EU, while the contributions from government final expenditure were neutral in both zones.

                         GDP levels in the euro area and EU.

Based on seasonally adjusted figures, GDP volumes were 5.1% and 4.6% below their highest level of the fourth quarter 2019 for the euro area and EU, which corresponds to the level of the fourth quarter 2016 for the euro area and is slightly above the level of the first quarter 2017 for the EU. For the United States, GDP was 0.9% below the level of the fourth quarter 2019 but recovered to its previous level of the second quarter 2019.

                         Employment growth in the euro area and EU.

The number of employed persons decreased by 0.3% in the euro area and by 0.2% in the EU in the first quarter of 2021, compared with the previous quarter. In the fourth quarter of 2020, employment had increased by 0.4% in both the euro area and the EU.

Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, employment decreased by 1.8% in the euro area and by 1.6% in the EU in the first quarter of 2021, after -1.8% and -1.5% respectively in the fourth quarter of 2020.

                         Employment growth in Member States.

In the first quarter of 2021, Hungary (+1.1%), Spain (+1.0%), Cyprus and Lithuania (both +0.8%) recorded the highest growth of employment in persons compared with the previous quarter. The largest decreases were observed in Latvia (-3.9%), Greece (-1.7%) and Slovakia (-1.1%). At this stage, data for Ireland and Romania are not included in the graph, due to a delayed publication in Ireland and series break observed in the first quarter 2021 in Romania.

                         Employment levels in the euro area and EU.

Based on seasonally adjusted figures, Eurostat estimates that in the first quarter of 2021, 205.6 million people were employed in the EU, of which 157.6 million were in the euro area.

In relation to the COVID-19 pandemic, employment in persons was 3.4 million in the euro area and 3.8 million in the EU below the level of the fourth quarter of 2019.

                         Evolution of labour productivity in the euro area and EU.

The combination of GDP and employment data allows an estimation of labour productivity. The analysis of growth compared to the same quarter of the previous year shows that productivity growth (based on employed persons) fluctuated around 1% for both zones between 2013 and 2018.

In relation to the COVID-19 pandemic, productivity based on persons increased compared to the same quarter of the previous year with 0.6% for the euro area and 0.4% for the EU.

Based on hours worked, productivity compared to the same quarter of the previous year increased by 2.0% for the euro area and to 1.1% for the EU.

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Eurozona. 2021 Maggio. Inflazione annuale +2.0%. – Eurostat. Dati conflittuali.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-06-02.

2021-06-02__ Eurostat nflazine 001

Eurostat. May 2021. Euro area annual inflation up to 2.0%.

Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.0% in May 2021, up from 1.6% in April according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, energy is expected to have the highest annual rate in May (13.1%, compared with 10.4% in April), followed by services (1.1%, compared with 0.9% in April), non-energy industrial goods (0.7%, compared with 0.4% in April) and food, alcohol & tobacco (0.6%, stable compared with April).

2021-06-02__ Eurostat nflazine 002

* * *

                         Methods and definitions.

Annual inflation is the change of the price level of consumer goods and services between the current month and the same month of the previous year. Monthly inflation is the change of the price level between the current month and the previous month.

* * * * * * *


Si piglia atto come questi siano i dati ufficiali al 1° giugno 2021.

Resta tuttavia difficilmente spiegabile come possano essere coerenti a quelli riportati nel precedente Report, che datava solo il 19 maggio.

Eurostat. April 2021. Annual inflation up to 1.6% in the euro area.

The euro area annual inflation rate was 1.6% in April 2021, up from 1.3% in March. A year earlier, the rate was 0.3%.

* * * * * * *

Il 5 maggio sempre Eurostat aveva pubblicato i macrodati relativi al Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY, il quale valeva +4.3%.

Resta invero molto difficile capire come ad un simile aumento dei costi di produzione corrisponda una inflazione del solo +2.0%. Per non parlare poi dei costi dell’energia, saliti del 13.1%.

Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Devoluzione socialismo, Russia, Unione Europea

EU. Quasi tutti gli stati hanno mandato gli ambasciatori alla sfilata russa del 9 maggio.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-05-14.

Putin_003__ - Copia

«Most EU states are sending their ambassadors to Russia’s WW2 victory parade on Sunday (9 May) despite tense relations»

«The list includes: Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Sweden.»

«The three Baltic states and Spain are not sending anyone»

«the Baltic states are boycotting the event for political motives»

«Lithuania’s ambassador will place flowers on the tomb of the Unknown Soldier in Moscow on 8 May»

«But the 2021 guest list also gives a snapshot of where individual EU states stand on Russia»

«But Berlin, in any case, always sends a VIP to the Red Square on 9 May because of Nazi Germany’s role in WW2»

«The EU ambassador is not in Moscow on the day»

«For a number of countries, this [9 May] is an important date and they appreciate the undeniable role the Soviet Union played in defeating the Nazis»

«This year, the Kremlin said it had not invited big names because the 76th anniversary was less important than the 75th»

«Presence at the level of an ambassador is always the lowest official representation possible, so this is also a sign»

«nuclear-capable ‘Iskander’ missiles, which Russia has placed in its Kaliningrad exclave, putting them in range of Warsaw and Berlin»

* * * * * * *

Gli stati dell’Unione Europea hanno nei confronti della Russia e di Mr Putin posizioni conflittuali ed incongruenti.

Da una parte devono constatare come essi dipendano dalle forniture di gas naturale russo, volenti o nolenti.

Nel contempo assistono al continuo ripristino delle forze armate russe, tornate ad essere allo stato dell’arte. Gli europei si sentono i missili russi puntati sulle loro teste.

È ben capibile che i governi europei odino di odio distillato Mr Putin, che nel giro di venti anni ha riportato la Russia al ruolo di potenza mondiale. Mr Putin è un russo che cura gli interessi del suo paese: sufficit.

Ma a tutto questo si aggiunge il fatto che Mr Putin è paladino del retaggio religioso, umano, sociale e politico: ha persino fatto scrivere nella Costituzione che il matrimonio è tale solo tra un maschio ed una femmina.

Per l’Unione Europea liberal socialista questa Weltanschauung è l’esatto opposto della loro ideologia.

*

In ogni caso si constata che “Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Sweden” hanno inviato i loro ambasciatori.

*


EU ambassadors flock to Red Square for Putin’s parade

Most EU states are sending their ambassadors to Russia’s WW2 victory parade on Sunday (9 May) despite tense relations.

The list includes: Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Sweden.

The Dutch ambassador is also expected to go, but had not confirmed as of Friday.

Austria, Cyprus, and the EU embassy in Moscow are sending chargé d’affaires.

The three Baltic states and Spain are not sending anyone.

Malta did not reply to EUobserver.

In Cold War times, Western analysts used to study who sat close to the Soviet leader at the annual event to try to understand Moscow’s opaque power structures in a practice called “Kremlinology”.

But the 2021 guest list also gives a snapshot of where individual EU states stand on Russia.

Relations nosedived in 2014 when Russia invaded Ukraine, prompting EU sanctions.

They got worse recently, when the EU imposed blacklists over Russia’s violence against opposition leader Alexei Navalny and Russia listed the EU Parliament president in revenge.

The Czech Republic and Russia also expelled dozens of each other’s diplomats after revelations that Russian spies blew up a Czech arms depot in 2014, killing two people.

But Berlin, in any case, always sends a VIP to the Red Square on 9 May because of Nazi Germany’s role in WW2, an EU diplomat noted.

The fact the Czech ambassador is going indicates Prague wants to mend ties despite the bomb attack.

Meanwhile, Austria, Cyprus, Spain, and the EU embassy’s decisions not to send top people mean little, because these were due to logistical reasons.

The EU ambassador is not in Moscow on the day, for instance.

But the Baltic states are boycotting the event for political motives, diplomatic sources said.

Lithuania’s ambassador will place flowers on the tomb of the Unknown Soldier in Moscow on 8 May instead.

And his gesture was meant “to honour the victims of all the nations that fought in WW2, civilian and military,” an EU diplomat noted.

“For a number of countries, this [9 May] is an important date and they appreciate the undeniable role the Soviet Union played in defeating the Nazis,” another EU source said.

“Ambassadors cannot escape from an invitation to attend such an event – it’s a matter of courtesy and, actually, their duty to come – unless bilateral relations are so bad that they couldn’t care less,” the source added.

Last year, the Austrian, Bulgarian, Croatian, Czech, French, and Italian presidents or prime ministers, as well as the Grand Duke of Luxembourg, had planned to go.

But the parade was cancelled due to the pandemic and, in the end, the Hungarian foreign minister was the only EU politician who went to a mini-event on 24 June.

                         Spin?

This year, the Kremlin said it had not invited big names because the 76th anniversary was less important than the 75th.

“This year is not a [major] anniversary year, so we don’t intend to invite foreign participants,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said in April.

But the EU source indicated that this was spin designed to avoid a potential “snub”.

“Presence at the level of an ambassador is always the lowest official representation possible, so this is also a sign,” the source said.

“This is a snub for the Russians. Although they will try to present it as EU member states attending,” he added.

The 2021 parade is to involve 12,000 soldiers, 190 combat vehicles, 53 warplanes, and 23 helicopters, according to Russia’s Tass news agency.

This includes ‘S-400’ anti-aircraft systems, which Russia installed in Crimea after seizing the peninsula from Ukraine.

It also includes nuclear-capable ‘Iskander’ missiles, which Russia has placed in its Kaliningrad exclave, putting them in range of Warsaw and Berlin.

                         Iskanders.

And for some Western observers, Russian president Vladimir Putin’s parades have come to look more like propaganda for future conflicts than celebrating the end of WW2.

Recalling a 9 May parade shortly after Russia attacked Ukraine, Robert Pszczel, a former Nato spokesman in Moscow, told EUobserver in 2015: “I don’t have a problem with kids cheering when they watch their country’s tanks go by”.

“But I do have a problem when the biggest cheer, the kind you hear at a hockey match, comes when they see the Iskanders go by,” Pszczel said.

“The West is dealing with a leader [Putin] who is bored by domestic politics, driven by a big but touchy ego, dreaming of his huge role in history, progressively emboldened by the short-term successes of his brinkmanship, and unchained from the restrictions of political, legal, and moral accountability,” Pszczel also said on Friday, in an op-ed for British think-tank Rusi.

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Europa. Marzo21. Vendite al Dettaglio +2.7% MoM, +12.0% comparate su Marzo 2020.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-05-08.

2021-05-07__ Eurostat Vendite Dettaglio 001

In sintesi.

2021-05-07__ Eurostat Vendite Dettaglio 002

– In March 2021 the …. volume of retail trade rose by 2.7% in the euro area and by 2.6% in the EU, compared with February 2021

– In March 2021 compared with March 2020, the calendar adjusted volume of retail trade increased by 12.0% in the euro area and by 11.6% in the EU

2021-05-07__ Eurostat Vendite Dettaglio 003

* * * * * * *


Eurostat. March 2021 compared with February 2021. Volume of retail trade up by 2.7% in euro area and by 2.6% in the EU. Up by 12.0% and 11.6% compared with March 2020.

In March 2021, the seasonally adjusted volume of retail trade rose by 2.7% in the euro area and by 2.6% in the EU, compared with February 2021, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In February 2021, the retail trade volume increased by 4.2% in the euro area and by 3.8% in the EU.

In March 2021 compared with March 2020, the calendar adjusted volume of retail trade increased by 12.0% in the euro area and by 11.6% in the EU.

                         Monthly comparison by retail sector and by Member State.

In the euro area in March 2021, compared with February 2021, the volume of retail trade increased by 4.6% for non-food products and by 1.0% for food, drinks and tobacco, while it decreased by 2.9% for automotive fuels.

In the EU the volume of retail trade increased by 4.2% for non-food products and by 0.8% for food, drinks and tobacco, while it decreased by 2.3% for automotive fuels.

Among Member States for which data are available, the highest monthly increases in total retail trade were registered in Denmark (+22.5%), the Netherlands (+8.4%), Germany and Lithuania (both +7.7%). The largest decreases were observed in Croatia (-4.0%), Poland (-2.2%) and Austria (-1.9%).

                         Annual comparison by retail sector and by Member State.

In the euro area in March 2021, compared with March 2020, the volume of retail trade increased by 25.0% for non-food products (within this category mail orders and internet increased by 37.2%), and by 17.1% for automotive fuels, while it decreased by 1.1% for food, drinks and tobacco.

In the EU, the volume of retail trade increased by 23.6% for non-food products (mail orders and internet increased by 37.4%) and by 14.1% for automotive fuels, while it decreased by 1.2% for food, drinks and tobacco.

Among Member States for which data are available, the highest annual increases in total retail trade volume were registered in Slovenia (+24.0%), Denmark (+22.6%) and France (+21.3%). Decreases were observed in Hungary (-2.1%), Portugal (-1.1%) and Malta (-0.1%).

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Unione Europea. 2021Q1. Pil eurozona -1.8%, Pil Unione -1.7%, anno su anno.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-05-04.

2021-05-03__ Eurostat pil 001

Eurostat ha rilasciato il Report GDP down by 0.6% in the euro area and by 0.4% in the EU.

*

Eurostat. GDP down by 0.6% in the euro area and by 0.4% in the EU. -1.8% and -1.7% respectively compared with the first quarter of 2020.

In the first quarter 2021, seasonally adjusted GDP decreased by 0.6% in the euro area and by 0.4% in the EU, compared with the previous quarter, according to a preliminary flash estimate published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. These declines follow falls in the fourth quarter of 2020 (-0.7% in the euro area and -0.5% in the EU) after a strong rebound in the third quarter of 2020 (+12.5% in the euro area and +11.7% in the EU) and the sharpest decreases since the time series started in 1995 observed in the second quarter of 2020 (-11.6% in the euro area and -11.2% in the EU).

These preliminary GDP flash estimates are based on data sources that are incomplete and subject to further revisions.

Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP decreased by 1.8% in the euro area and by 1.7% in the EU in the first quarter of 2021, after -4.9% in the euro area and -4.6% in the EU in the previous quarter.

Among the Member States for which data are available for the first quarter 2021, Portugal (-3.3%) recorded the highest decrease compared to the previous quarter, followed by Latvia (-2.6%) and Germany (-1.7%), while Lithuania (+1.8%) and Sweden (+1.1%) recorded the highest increases. The year on year growth rates were negative for all countries except for France (+1.5%) and Lithuania (+1.0%).

The next estimates for the first quarter of 2021 will be released on 18 May 2021.

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Per quanto imbellettati come una brutta ottantenne che vorrebbe esibirsi in microtanga, questi dati rappresentano una débâcle per l’Europa guidata da von der Leyen, Lagarde e Merkel.

L’enclave occidentale liberal si è fratturato in due tronconi:

Usa. 2021Q1. Pil +6.4%, Consumi Personali +10.7%, annualizzato. – BEA.

ma una nave spaccata in due tronconi alla fine affonda. Gli Stati Uniti sono in ripresa, mentre l’Unione Europea è in piena recessione. Gli Stati Uniti si avviano al termine del QE, il tapering, e verso un rialzo dei tassi di interesse. L’Europa è l’ultimo cascame del mondo a necessitare di tassi negativi e di un sostanzioso QE, Il conflitto è evidente.

Le esigenze di queste due sottozone geoeconomiche sono conflittuali ed antitetiche, non più collaborative.

Per non parlare poi del resto del mondo.

Cina. Marzo21. Profitti Industriali +92.3% YoY, +137.3% ultimi 12 mesi.

Cina. 2021Q1. Settori in crescita tumultuosa. Un monito per l’occidente.

Eurostat. 2020Q4. I debiti degli stati sono al 98% del pil del blocco europeo.

Giappone. Marzo21. Export +16.1%, Import +5.7%, anno su anno. La Cina supera gli Usa.

USA. Il Tesoro emetterà 271 miliardi di nuovo debito ora, 4,000 a breve. Rendimenti aumentati.

Indonesia. Marzo21. Export +30.47%, Import +25.73%, anno su anno. – Statistics Indonesia.

Cina. 2021Q1. Pil +18.3% anno su anno.

* * * * * * *

La devoluzione del socialismo liberal europeo prosegue ineluttabile, come la campagna di Russia di Napoleone.Ma la Beresina è oramai vicina.

Pubblicato in: Cina, Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale

Germania. Feb21. Import elettronica. Da Cina un terzo, da Asia oltre la metà. – Zvei.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-04-29.

2021-04-28__ Zvei Germania 001

Nei disperati e disperanti tempi nei quali si stava peggio, la Germania aveva un fiorente export di prodotti elettrici ed elettronici. In ‘made in Germany’ era un sigillo di garanzia di ottima qualità.

Poi venne la Merkel, e come disse Tacito sui romani in Inghilterra, “fecero il deserto e lo chiamarono pace”.

Ad oggi la Germania esporta briciolotti ed importa massivamente dalla Cina, dall’Asia e dai paesi ex Europa Orientale.

Se è vero che i controvalori in euro sono relativamente piccoli, sarebbe anche da sottolineare come il suo import verta materiali strategici, che la Germania non è più in grado di produrre.

Non è l’oriente aggressivo: è la Germania che sta sgretolandosi.

* * * * * * *


«German imports of electrical and electronic products were (once again) dominated by China in February 2021»

«The deliveries from there ballooned by 56.7% (year over year) to €4.8bn.»

«In light of this the overall imports from Asia soared by 26.1% to €7.5bn»

«Electric imports from Europe of €7.2bn exceeded their pre-year level by 8.3% in February»

«Here the development was starkly driven by the deliveries from the Eastern European countries of Poland (+43.0% to €1.1bn), Hungary (+27.1% to €871m), Romania (+10.4% to €433m) and the Czech Republic (+5.9% to €806m)»

«In contrast, imports from both the Netherlands (-5.7% to €433m) and France (-6.4% to €428m) were down»

«The deliveries from the USA collapsed by 27.1% (yoy) to €797m in February»

«Against this backdrop the imports from total America sagged by one quarter to €985m»

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Ma il discorso fatto sulla Germania potrebbe essere traslato anche agli Stati Uniti, il cui export verso la Germania è crollato a febbraio del 27.1%.

Stiamo assistendo alla devoluzione dell’occidente liberal socialista.

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Nearly a third of Germany’s electronic imports in February come from China

Berlin, April 26 (Xinhua) — Germany’s imports of electrical and electronic products in February increased by 12.7 percent year-on-year to 15.9 billion euros (19.24 billion U.S. dollars), nearly a third of which came from China, the German Electrical and Electronic Manufacturers’ Association (ZVEI) announced on Monday.

“German imports of electrical and electronic products were once again dominated by China” in February 2021, ZVEI noted. Deliveries from China soared by 56.7 percent year-on-year to 4.8 billion euros. Imports from Asia rose by 26.1 percent and reached 7.5 billion euros.

“This means that almost half of all German electrical imports in February came from Asia, almost a third from China alone,” said ZVEI chief economist Andreas Gontermann in a statement.

Electric imports to Germany from other European countries increased by 8.3 percent to 7.2 billion euros, the development was “strongly driven” by deliveries from the Eastern European countries of Poland, Hungary, Romania and the Czech Republic, according to ZVEI. Electrical imports from the United States, however, dropped by 27.1 percent in February.

Exports by the German electrical industry, on the other hand, only rose by 2.6 percent year-on-year to 17.2 billion euros in February, while exports to China “bounced up” by 21.7 percent year-on-year to 2.0 billion euros, ZVEI noted. Enditem

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ZVEI Foreign Trade Report April 2021

«German imports of electrical and electronic products were (once again) dominated by China in February 2021. The deliveries from there ballooned by 56.7% (year over year) to €4.8bn. In light of this the overall imports from Asia soared by 26.1% to €7.5bn.

Electric imports from Europe of €7.2bn exceeded their pre-year level by 8.3% in February. Here the development was starkly driven by the deliveries from the Eastern European countries of Poland (+43.0% to €1.1bn), Hungary (+27.1% to €871m), Romania (+10.4% to €433m) and the Czech Republic (+5.9% to €806m). In contrast, imports from both the Netherlands (-5.7% to €433m) and France (-6.4% to €428m) were down.

The deliveries from the USA collapsed by 27.1% (yoy) to €797m in February. Against this backdrop the imports from total America sagged by one quarter to €985m.»

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Eurostat. 2020Q4. I debiti degli stati sono al 98% del pil del blocco europeo.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-04-28.

2021-04-25__ Eurostat Q4 001

Eurostat. Government debt up to 98.0% of GDP in euro area.

2021-04-25__ Eurostat Q4 002

Fourth quarter of 2020. Government debt up to 98.0% of GDP in euro area. Up to 90.7% of GDP in EU.

At the end of the fourth quarter of 2020, still impacted by policy responses to the COVID-19 containment measures, which materialised in increased financing needs, the government debt to GDP ratio in the euro area stood at 98.0%, compared with 97.2% at the end of the third quarter of 2020. In the EU, the ratio increased from 89.7% to 90.7%. Compared with the fourth quarter of 2019, the government debt to GDP ratio rose in both the euro area (from 83.9% to 98.0%) and the EU (from 77.5% to 90.7%): the increases are due to two factors – government debt increasing, and GDP decreasing.

At the end of the fourth quarter of 2020, debt securities accounted for 82.1% of euro area and for 81.8% of EU general government debt. Loans made up 14.6% and 15.1% respectively and currency and deposits represented 3.3% of euro area and 3.2% of EU government debt. Due to the involvement of EU Member States’ governments in financial assistance to certain Member States, quarterly data on intergovernmental lending (IGL) are also published. The share of IGL as percentage of GDP at the end of the fourth quarter of 2020 amounted to 2.0% in the euro area and to 1.7% in the EU.

Government debt at the end of the fourth quarter 2020 by Member State

The highest ratios of government debt to GDP at the end of the fourth quarter of 2020 were recorded in Greece (205.6%), Italy (155.8%), Portugal (133.6%), Spain (120.0%), Cyprus (118.2%), France (115.7%), and Belgium (114.1%), and the lowest in Estonia (18.2%), Luxembourg (24.9%) and Bulgaria (25.0%).

Compared with the third quarter of 2020, seventeen Member States registered an increase in their debt to GDP ratio at the end of the fourth quarter of 2020 and ten a decrease. The largest increases in the ratio were observed in Hungary (+6.5 percentage points – pp), Spain (+6.0 pp), Greece (+5.9 pp), Austria (+5.0 pp), Romania (+4.2 pp) and Portugal (+3.1 pp). The largest decreases were recorded in Ireland (-2.8 pp), Latvia and Luxembourg (both -1.2 pp), and Cyprus (-1.0 pp).

Compared with the fourth quarter of 2019, all Member States registered an increase in their debt to GDP ratio at the end of the fourth quarter of 2020. The largest increases in the ratio were recorded in Greece (+25.1 pp), Spain (+24.5 pp), Cyprus (+24.2 pp), Italy (+21.2 pp) and France (+18.1 pp).

Compared with the fourth quarter of 2019, all Member States registered an increase in their debt to GDP ratio at the end of the fourth quarter of 2020. The largest increases in the ratio were recorded in Greece (+25.1 pp), Spain (+24.5 pp), Cyprus (+24.2 pp), Italy (+21.2 pp) and France (+18.1 pp).

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo

Mondo. Pil 2021Q1. Primi dati provvisori, ma molto chiari. Purtroppo.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-04-25.

2021-04-22_ Pil Mondo 001

Sono stati resi disponibili i primi dati provvisori relativi al pil del primo trimestre 2021, calcolati anno su anno oppure annualizzati. Essendo valori provvisori, dovrebbero essere letti con molto buon senso.

Considerando tutti gli stati mondiali ordinati per valori decrescenti, solo due stati europei compaiono nei primi posti: la Turkia e l’Albania.

Persino la Guyana, il Lesotho e l’Etiopia hanno valori migliori di quelli europei.

La Tabella relativa al continente europeo è squalida.

Spain, Greece, Montenegro, United Kingdom, Croatia, Italy, Malta, Portugal,  Austria, Belgium, Iceland, Euro Area, France, Czech Republic, Slovenia, Cyprus, Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Germany, Hungary, Moldova, Netherlands, Poland, Slovakia, Sweden, Russia, Switzerland, Denmark, Latvia, Finland, Romania, Estonia presentano tutti valori negativi di variazione del pil anno su anno.

Questi dati dovrebbero dare da pensare agli attuali governanti, sia dei singoli stati sia dell’Unione Europea.

2021-04-22_ Pil Mondo 002