Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Ideologia liberal, Unione Europea

Unione Europea. Si avvicina lo scontro finale. Visegrad.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-09-21.

Visegrad 001

Dalle ultime elezioni europee sia il ppe sia il pse sono usciti con una perdita complessiva di quasi cento seggi, e con essi hanno perso la maggioranza. Non sono riusciti ad imporre i propri candidati alla Presidenza della Commissione Europea e Mrs Ursula von der Leyen è uscita con una esigua maggioranza di voti, procuratale da Frau Merkel che aveva telefonato a polacchi ed ungheresi chiedendo loro di votare quella candidata.

Grande è stato lo smacco dei liberal socialisti, la bocca dei quali è stata raddolcita un pochino concedendo loro un posticino per Herr Timmermans.

Ma i liberal non sanno darsi pace, e stanno attaccando a testa bassa. Incuranti della situazione economica in progressivo disfacimento, puntano sui temi loro cari.

Non possono tollerare il fatto che il Consiglio europeo e la Commissione si siano riappropriati delle competenze decisionali di loro spettanza, né al fatto di essere stati ridotti dalle elezioni a minoranza.

È infine una lotta tra chi concepisce l’Unione Europea come uno stato centralizzato a guida liberal, e quanti lo concepiscono con un confederazione economica di stati sovrani ed indipendenti.

«We have been defending Europe, the European identity, the Christian culture, the European way of life for centuries, we should be supported, not attacked, …. protecting the European way of life» [Weltanschauung ungherese]

Compreso questo, tutta la questione su Polonia ed Ungheria risulta essere chiara.


EU divided on how to protect rule of law

«Poland and Hungary have argued that rule of law is purely a domestic matter and the EU should respect legal traditions, but Dutch foreign minister warned backsliding was a worry for all.

While several ministers highlighted the need for a well-functioning rule of law as the basis of the EU, ministers from Hungary and Poland emphasised the particular national characteristics of different legal traditions.

“The EU is not just a collective of states which want to enhance its economic well-being through mutual trade, but we are also a union of values, like democracy, fundamental rights, and rule of law,” Dutch foreign minister Stef Blok warned.»

* * * * * * *

«EU affairs ministers on Monday (16 September) held their first hearing on Hungary over concerns that the Budapest government curbed judicial and press freedoms, clamped down on civil society, and weakened the rule of law and checks on the government»

«Hungary’s justice minister Judit Varga dismissed the procedure as a “political witch-hunt”»

«Monday’s hearing was the first of its kind concerning Hungary under the Article 7 sanctions procedure»

«A year ago the European Parliament triggered the process, following mounting concerns over the country’s democratic backsliding»

«Varga told reporters the procedure was part of the “revenge campaign of the pro-migration elite” because Hungary has said no to migration»

«”We have been defending Europe, the European identity, the Christian culture, the European way of life for centuries, we should be supported, not attacked,” she told reporters, in a clear echo of the commission’s rebranding of its migration portfolio as “protecting the European way of life.”»

«Their questions focused partly on academic and media freedom. …. Prime minister Viktor Orban’s government and its allies took control of the public media and most of the country’s private news media, and drove out the Central European University, founded by US billionaire philanthropist George Soros, from Budapest.»

«It is unclear where the procedure will lead. Article 7 can end with the suspension of voting rights, but that requires unanimity among EU countries, and Poland – which is also under the same disciplinary process – had already said it would veto any such move»

* * *

«The controversial title for a future commission vice-president’s role, of “protecting the European way of life”, is creating deep divisions in the European parliament as MEPs prepare to debate the new executive of president-elect Ursula von der Leyen»

«Socialists, liberals and greens have raised questions about the definition of the European “way of life”. …. They are concerned that when linked to migration, as in the job description for Greek commission-designate Margaritis Schinas, it panders to the far-right»

«Manfred Weber, the group leader of the centre-right European People’s Party (EPP), von der Leyen’s party, on Tuesday (17 September) defended the job title. “We should not allow that right [wing] extremist, like Marine Le Pen, hijack the European way of life debate, it is our debate, it is a Christian democratic debate, a debate with socialists, liberals, it is a traditional debate of the political centre,” …. a lot of Europeans who felt “helpless in a world where we have so much uncertainty”, and that they were “looking for orientations and also for a positive identity”.»

«Socialist group leader Iratxe Garcia said her group is against the name, especially with the title being linked to migration»

«”If I listen to [Hungary’s PM] Viktor Orban, [the European way of life] is a marriage between a man and a woman, and they have many children, the woman stays home to take care of the children, they go to mass on Sunday,” he quipped. Orban is a suspended member of EPP»

«The former German defence minister had been criticised by MEPs for not debating them about the new commission in the plenary session»

* * * * * * *

In questa Unione Europea si stanno scontrando i tre centri di potere: il Consiglio Europeo, la Commissione e l’europarlamento. avendo questo ultimo perso il primo round.

I liberal socialisti vorrebbero imporre a tutti la condivisione della loro ideologia, che essi ritengono essere verità assoluta e fondamento dell’Unione Europea.

Ma le elezioni europee prima, le variazioni di composizione del Consiglio Europeo dopo, non aggradano con tale visione.

Così, invece di dibattere sull’incipiente regressione economica e su come cercare di contrastarla, gli europarlamentari liberal hanno optato per una battaglia su quelli che essi ritengono essere loro principi etici.

Ma al momento vi sarebbero molti dubbi che possano spuntarla.

* * * * * * *


EU Observer. 2019-09-18. Defending the ‘European way of life’ name splits MEPs

The controversial title for a future commission vice-president’s role, of “protecting the European way of life”, is creating deep divisions in the European parliament as MEPs prepare to debate the new executive of president-elect Ursula von der Leyen.

Socialists, liberals and greens have raised questions about the definition of the European “way of life”.

They are concerned that when linked to migration, as in the job description for Greek commission-designate Margaritis Schinas, it panders to the far-right.

On Monday, French far-right opposition leader Marine Le Pen hailed the title as an “ideological victory”.

Manfred Weber, the group leader of the centre-right European People’s Party (EPP), von der Leyen’s party, on Tuesday (17 September) defended the job title.

“We should not allow that right [wing] extremist, like Marine Le Pen, hijack the European way of life debate, it is our debate, it is a Christian democratic debate, a debate with socialists, liberals, it is a traditional debate of the political centre,” he said in Strasbourg.

Weber said the title is a good one, and EPP will defend it.

“Is there someone in the room who wants to live the Chinese way of life, the African way of life or the American way of life? I want to live the European way of life, with solidarity, with democracy, with protecting human rights, especially when it is about migrants, it is absolutely clear, […] tolerance,” he told reporters.

Weber, who ran for von der Leyen’s job before the European elections in May, had also used the term “defending the European way of life” in his campaign.

He said that he had met a lot of Europeans who felt “helpless in a world where we have so much uncertainty”, and that they were “looking for orientations and also for a positive identity”.

Weber said he cannot see the problem with the title.

“This means to rescue people in the Mediterranean, it is not to close harbours,” the Bavarian politician added on his definition of the European way of life.

Von der Leyen also defended her choice of words over the weekend, quoting the fundamental values of the EU, without mentioning migration.

‘Needs to change’

But the issue has emerged as a key obstacle for other parties to approve von der Leyen’s commission in October.

Socialist group leader Iratxe Garcia said her group is against the name, especially with the title being linked to migration.

“The European way of life shouldn’t threaten a migration policy, which is underpinned by the principles of solidarity, this is the point she ought to have made,” the Spanish MEP said.

She said that the title needs to change.

Green co-chair Philippe Lamberts suggested that the title reflected von der Leyen’s efforts to cater to the right.

“She decided to give promises to the right, even to the far-right, that is my interpretation of the various portfolios, including Schinas’ portfolio,” he told reporters in Strasbourg.

Lamberts said that in her July speech to the parliament, von der Leyen reached out to the Socialists and the Greens, but then her new commission and the promises made by it now lean towards the right.

“Migration is presented as a problem of security and our way of life. Migrants are seen as attackers and terrorists who do not sign up to our values,” Lamberts said of the title.

“If I listen to [Hungary’s PM] Viktor Orban, [the European way of life] is a marriage between a man and a woman, and they have many children, the woman stays home to take care of the children, they go to mass on Sunday,” he quipped. Orban is a suspended member of EPP.

“They tried to imprison kids as long as they are migrants, they put up barbed wire, is this the European way of life? I happen to be European and this is not my way of life,” the Belgian politician added.

Lamberts said sticking to the title doesn’t help the new commission chief’s credentials with the Greens.

Von der Leyen on Thursday will attend a meeting of the European Parliament group leaders and other top parliament officials, which will take place behind closed doors.

The former German defence minister had been criticised by MEPs for not debating them about the new commission in the plenary session.

* * *


EU Observer. 2019-09-17. Hungary claims EU ‘witch-hunt’ over rule of law hearing

EU affairs ministers on Monday (16 September) held their first hearing on Hungary over concerns that the Budapest government curbed judicial and press freedoms, clamped down on civil society, and weakened the rule of law and checks on the government.

Hungary’s justice minister Judit Varga dismissed the procedure as a “political witch-hunt”.

Finnish EU affairs state minister Tytti Tuppurainen retorted by saying that it is “of course, not a witch-hunt, it is not against anyone”, but a procedure based in the EU treaties. “This is not a trial,” she added, speaking to reporters Monday evening.

Monday’s hearing was the first of its kind concerning Hungary under the Article 7 sanctions procedure.

A year ago the European Parliament triggered the process, following mounting concerns over the country’s democratic backsliding.

Varga told reporters the procedure was part of the “revenge campaign of the pro-migration elite” because Hungary has said no to migration. She also questioned the parliamentary vote’s legality when adopting the report.

Varga said that “the pro-migration liberal elite continued to repeat the same baseless, untruthful, unfounded accusations that are echoed in the liberal, mostly western European media”.

“We have been defending Europe, the European identity, the Christian culture, the European way of life for centuries, we should be supported, not attacked,” she told reporters, in a clear echo of the commission’s rebranding of its migration portfolio as “protecting the European way of life.”

Q and A

At the hearing, French EU affairs state secretary Amélie de Montchalin spoke on behalf of Germany too when she told Varga that the general picture in the parliamentary report “about the respect for fundamental values in Hungary is worrying”.

She urged Hungary to address and resolve the concerns.

Sweden, Belgium, the Netherlands, Spain, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, and Portugal took the floor and asked questions of the Hungarian team led by Varga.

Their questions focused partly on academic and media freedom.

Prime minister Viktor Orban’s government and its allies took control of the public media and most of the country’s private news media, and drove out the Central European University, founded by US billionaire philanthropist George Soros, from Budapest.

The government recently pushed through legislation stripping the 200-year-old Hungarian Academy of Sciences of its network of research bodies, further tightening government control over academia.

Denmark, France and Portugal asked the Hungarian ministers about recent developments in the country’s judiciary, where judges overseeing the head of the court administration, Tunde Hando, urged parliament to remove her for abusing her power when selecting judges.

Hando is the wife of a Fidesz MEP and was appointed in 2012 after Orban’s government overhauled the judiciary.

The parliament, dominated by Orban’s MPs with a two-thirds majority, refused to oust her in June. Hando called the supervisory body biased, and rejected the allegations.

Commission vice-president Frans Timmermans warned that a decision by the Orban government to postpone the introduction of so-called administrative courts is not a positive step – but only delays the deterioration of the independence of the judiciary in Hungary.

The new court system is designed to whitewash corruption cases, critics say.

Sweden and the Netherlands asked about corruption, while Luxembourg inquired if treatment of asylum-seekers is now in line with international standards in Hungary.

Varga argued to her colleagues that the European Parliament report does not contribute to EU unity. She accused the parliament of being politically-motivated and claimed that Hungary deserves respect, according to an official.

In a 158-page note prepared for the meeting, Hungary’s government argued both that the parliament’s conclusions are unjustified, and that some of the issues fall outside the legitimate scope of the procedure.

At the hearing, Varga hinted at migration saying Hungary should not be targeted because it has a different position on policies, the official added.

Unknown future

It is unclear where the procedure will lead. Article 7 can end with the suspension of voting rights, but that requires unanimity among EU countries, and Poland – which is also under the same disciplinary process – had already said it would veto any such move.

Varga argued that the case should be closed, and only with a strong majority backing should the Finnish presidency’s case proceed.

France proposed to have more hearings on specific issue until the concerns are resolved. Timmermans said international organisations should be invited to underpin the report’s concerns.

“It will be up to the next weeks and months to us to decide how we will move forward,” Finland’s Tuppurainen said after the hearing.

The European parliament was not invited to the meeting, their position was represented by the Finnish EU presidency.

The parliament’s civil liberties committee chair, Juan Fernando Lopez Aguilar, and the new MEP dealing with the Hungary file, Gwendoline Delbos-Corfield, wrote a letter to parliament president David Sassoli to lobby member states to include the parliament in the following hearings.

After Varga wrote on Twitter on Monday that Hungary was being “put on pillory for rejecting mass immigration”, it earned a quick rebuttal from Dutch MEP Sophie in ‘t Veld.

She responded: “You are not put ‘on pillory’ for rejecting mass immigration, but for violating human rights, destroying the rule of law and non-compliance with EU law. Don’t play the martyr.”

Annunci
Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale, Unione Europea

Eurostat. Produzione industriale -2.0% a/a nell’eurozona.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-09-17.

2019-09-13__Eurustat 001

– Industrial production down by 0.4% in euro area m/m

– In June 2019, industrial production fell by 1.4% in both the euro area and EU28.

– In July 2019 compared with July 2018, industrial production decreased by 2.0% in the euro area and by 1.2% in the EU28

The highest increases were observed in Hungary (+8.7%), Denmark and Lithuania (both +5.1%).

– the largest decreases in industrial production were registered in Estonia (-5.4%), Germany (-5.3%) and Romania (-5.2%).

* * * * * * *

Eurostat ha rilasciato il Report:

Industrial production down by 0.4% in euro area

«July 2019 compared with June 2019

    Industrial production down by 0.4% in euro area

Down by 0.1% in EU28.

In July 2019 compared with June 2019, seasonally adjusted industrial production fell by 0.4% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.1% in the EU28, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In June 2019, industrial production fell by 1.4% in both the euro area and EU28.

In July 2019 compared with July 2018, industrial production decreased by 2.0% in the euro area and by 1.2% in the EU28.

Monthly comparison by main industrial grouping and by Member State

In the euro area in July 2019, compared with June 2019, production of non-durable consumer goods fell by 0.8%, energy by 0.7% and intermediate goods by 0.3%, while production of durable consumer goods rose by 1.2% and capital goods by 1.8%.

In the EU28, production of energy fell by 1.1%, while production of capital goods rose by 1.5%, durable consumer goods by 1.2%, non-durable consumer goods by 0.1% and intermediate goods remained stable.

Among Member States for which data are available, the largest decreases in industrial production were registered in Romania (-3.3%), Estonia (-2.9%) and Latvia (-2.1%). The highest increases were observed in Croatia (+4.9%), Portugal (+3.6%) and Denmark (+3.5%).

Annual comparison by main industrial grouping and by Member State

In the euro area in July 2019, compared with July 2018, production of capital goods fell by 3.4%, intermediate goods by 3.0% and energy by 1.4%, while production of non-durable consumer goods rose by 1.5% and durable consumer goods by 1.8%.

In the EU28, production of capital goods fell by 2.6%, intermediate goods by 2.2% and energy by 1.7%, while production of durable consumer goods rose by 1.8% and non-durable consumer goods by 2.3%.

Among Member States for which data are available, the largest decreases in industrial production were registered in Estonia (-5.4%), Germany (-5.3%) and Romania (-5.2%). The highest increases were observed in Hungary (+8.7%), Denmark and Lithuania (both +5.1%).»

* * * * * * *

Geographical information

The euro area (EA19) includes Belgium, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, Greece, Spain, France, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal, Slovenia, Slovakia and Finland.

The European Union (EU28) includes Belgium, Bulgaria, Czechia, Denmark, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, Greece, Spain, France, Croatia, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Hungary, Malta, the Netherlands, Austria, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovenia, Slovakia, Finland, Sweden and the United Kingdom.

* * * * * * *

Considerazioni.

Sia l’Unione Europea sia l’eurozona sono in piena recessione: la produzione industriale è scesa del -2.0% anno su anno, e la discesa perduta da molti mesi, senza vederne una possibile via di uscita.

Tuttavia questa non è una sorta di maledizione divina o di catastrofe naturale: essa dipende strettamente dalle politiche economiche perseguite dai rispettivi governi, aggravate poi dai comportamenti della Commissione Europea uscente.

A riprova, per esempio l’Ungheria è passata da 107.3 del 2017Q4 ad un 115.5 del 2019Q2. La produzione industriale ungherese è aumentata del -8.7% anno su anno.

La Polonia, poi, è passata da 113 del 2017Q4 ad un 121.6 del 2019Q2.

La Germania, invece, è scesa da 106.2 del 2017Q4 a 101.1 del 2019Q2.

Non sono dati inspiegabili.

Governo Cinese convoca l’ambasciatore di Germania.

«The Chinese Ambassador to Germany said on Wednesday that a recent meeting between the German foreign minister and Hong Kong activist Joshua Wong had sent “very negative signals.”»

«German companies, many of which have been impacted by the ongoing trade war between Beijing and the Washington, traded nearly €100 billion ($109.87 billion) with China in the first half of 2019»

«Beijing had repeatedly asked Berlin to deny Wong entry to Germany»

«Da fonti cinesi solitamente molto bene informate si apprende che oltre un centinaio di ditte cinesi hanno già disdetto contratti in essere con la Germania.»

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Ideologia liberal, Senza categoria, Unione Europea

Polonia. Elezioni Novembre. Sondaggi. PiS a 272 seggi. Maggioranza assoluta.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-08-13.

2019-07-22__Polonia_001_Percentuali__001

Nel novembre di questo anno la Polonia tornerà alle urne per le elezioni politiche.

Il clima è teso per molteplici motivi.

L’attuale dirigenza dell’Unione Europea odia la Polonia di odio viscerale, perché non si è sottomessa all’ideologia liberal socialista, ha un forte governo identitario sovranista, è paese di spicco nel blocco del Visegrad, ed infine è stato causa efficiente delle debacle di Herr Weber e di Herr Timmermans. Si è ribellata inoltre all’asse francogermanico, avvicinandosi in modo anche plateale agli Stati Uniti ed alla Nato, di cui ospita sul suo territorio armamenti atomici avanzati.

I liberal socialisti europei hanno scatenato da tempo un’intensa battaglia ideologica e politica in Polonia, volta a sottominare le sue radici cristiane, storiche, sociali ed economiche, imponendo, grazie anche ai molti complici stipendiati, una intensa propaganda pro lgbt, e di esecrazione per la riforma della giustizia, che in buona sostanza mette i residui giudici comunisti fuori ruolo. Poi, per ironia del destino, la riforma giudiziaria polacca è la fotocopia del sistema giudiziario tedesco.

I risultati delle recenti elezioni mettono bene in luce l’entità dello scontro e delle forze dispiegate.

Rispetto alle passate elezioni politiche del 25 ottobre 2015, il PiS salirebbe dal 37.6% agli attuali 42.0%. Questa percentuale sarebbe in linea con il 45.4% ottenuto nelle elezioni europee ultime scorse e decisamente migliore del 34.1% ottenuto nelle elezioni amministrative, ove il fattore locale e dei candidati giocava un ruolo pesante. La propaganda ed il denaro dei liberal svolsero un ampio ruolo.

Il diretto avversario del PiS è Piattaforma Civica, PO.

«Civic Platform is a liberal-conservative political party in Poland. Civic Platform came to power following the 2007 general election as the major coalition partner in Poland’s government, with party leader Donald Tusk as Prime Minister of Poland. Tusk was re-elected as Prime Minister in the 2011 general election but stepped down three years later to assume the post of President of the European Council. Prime Minister Ewa Kopacz led the party in the 2015 general election but was defeated by the Law and Justice party. On 16 November 2015 Civic Platform government stepped down after exactly 8 years in power. In 2010 Civic Platform candidate Bronisław Komorowski was elected as President of Poland, but failed in running for re-election in 2015. PO is the second largest party in the Sejm, with 138 seats, and the Senate, with 33 seats. Civic Platform is a member of the European People’s Party (EPP).»

Questa formazione è stimata essere al 27%, contro il 24.1% ottenuto nelle elezioni del 2015. Nelle elezioni amministrative, il PO era arrivato ad ottenere il 38.5% dei suffragi, conquistando così anche molti grandi centri, ma senza sfondare nelle zone rurali. Sono questi sindaci comunisti a permettere le dimostrazioni liberal.

Ma i dati sulle percentuali non tengono conto della resa finale, in base alla legge elettorale.

2019-07-22__Polonia_002__Seggi__001

Ragionando in termini di seggi conquistati, il PiS è proiettato ai 272 seggi, contro i 235 ottenuti nel 2015. Sarebbe una ben solida maggioranza assoluta.

Piattaforma Civica ne conquisterebbe 160, contro i pregressi 138: un avanzamento, sicuramente, ma non di entità tale da scalzare il PiS dalla maggioranza assoluta.

Di qui a novembre possono accadere molti avvenimenti, ma al momento attuale la situazione sembrerebbe essere saldamente in mano del PiS.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Giustizia, Unione Europea

Germania. I segni tangibili della devoluzione liberal socialista.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-08-05.

Caravaggio. Conversione San Paolo. 1601. Collezione Odescalchi.

Negli ultimi tempi è accaduta una congerie di fatti nuovi, segni evidenti della devoluzione dell’ideologia socialista. Alcuni sono semplicemente evidenti, altri richiedono un po’ di pazienza per essere inquadrati.

Unione Europea. La rivolta dei peones. 2019-07-24

Johnson Premier. Brexit il 31 ottobre. 2019-07-23

Merkel. Quella telefonata che allunga la vita …. 2019-07-23

von der Leyen. Dopo essere stata eletta si presenta come è: Realpolitik. 2019-07-23

Europarlamento. L’arte di sapersi conquistare i nemici. 2019-07-22

von der Leyen, Polonia ed Ungheria e gli identitari sovranisti indispensabili.. 2019-07-21

*

PPE e S&D hanno perso nelle elezioni circa quaranta seggi ciascuno, e con essi la maggioranza parlamentare. L’alleanza con le formazioni liberal è possibile, ma nei fatti si sono rese evidenti profonde dilacerazioni all’interno di quei gruppi parlamentari.  Sono tutto tranne che un fronte coeso e compatto.

A far precipitare la situazione è stata la presa di coscienza del Consiglio Europeo di essere l’organo comunitario deliberante, ove un nucleo di undici nazioni ha bocciato clamorosamente i candidati del PPE, Herr Weber, e di S&D, Herr Timmermans.

La nomination di Frau Ursula von der Leyen è stata possibile solo dopo che Frau Merkel in persona è andata a piatire i voti del PiS, con una lunga telefonata prima con Mr Morawiecki e quindi con Mr Kaczyński.

Gli identitari sovranisti hanno raccolto la sfida convogliando i voti del PiS, di Fidesz e del M5S su Frau von der Leyen, assicurandole una strettissima maggioranza, a monito di quanto potrebbe accadere in futuro.

I liberal socialisti hanno esperito una bruciante débâcle, proprio nel momento in cui credevano di aver ottenuto la vittoria totale.

* * * * * * *

Al momento attuale dovrebbe essere chiaro che i liberal socialisti non sono tecnicamente in grado di perseguire il loro programma, né nel Consiglio Europeo né in europarlamento. La loro dottrina basata sull’immigrazione selvaggia ed illegale, sugli lgbt, sulle ngo, sul ‘clima’ e sul rule of law troverà grandissime e comprovate resistenze.

Adesso sembrerebbero cercare una qualche via di fuga. Un po’ come la volpe sotto l’uva.

Che Kaczyński, Orban e Salvini abbiano posto delle condizioni dovrebbe essere cosa ovvia.

Nulla è trapelato e Frau von der Leyen è quanto mai abbottonata, ma questo editoriale del Deutsche Welle la conta davvero molto lunga.

Questa è la testata ufficiale del Governo tedesco, edita in 34 lingua, a direzione socialdemocratica di strettissima osservanza: gente per la quale Lenin era un borghese capitalista, adoratori di Mr Soros.

I suoi articoli veementi contro Polonia, Ungheria,Romania ed Italia erano un concentrato tossico di odio verso gli identitari sovranisti, rei di non volersi sottomettere alla loro volontà egemone.

Polonia ed Ungheria erano i suoi obiettivi preferiti, a causa delle riforme dell’ordinamento giudiziario. Come minimo, li definivano ‘illiberali’, ‘antidemocratici’, ‘totalitari’. ‘nazisti’: in poche parole gente che avrebbe dovuto essere scacciata malo modo dall’Unione Europea.

Kontrordine, Kompagni!!

«The president-elect of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, wants a more objective debate about the rule of law in Europe.»

«The European Commission and countries such as Poland and Hungary have been arguing for years now about issues related to the rule of law.»

«Only one legal body — the European Court of Justice — has managed to induce the Polish government to revise some controversial decisions»

«However, Warsaw refuses to be told what to do by politicians in Berlin and Brussels. This has little to do with politics; it’s more of a psychological issue.»

«As Germany’s minister of defense, she took the eastern countries and their concerns — fears of Russian expansion, for example — very seriously.»

«Many now fear this means von der Leyen will allow herself to be instrumentalized by the populists, and will take an indulgent view of their controversial judicial reforms»

«The incoming Commission president is making use of the change of personnel to establish her own way of dealing with the constitutional renegades. If she were immediately to start lecturing her partners in the east, or threatening them with cuts to their EU funding before even sitting down at the table with them, she wouldn’t get any further than her predecessors»

«The real surprise is not, in fact, her approach to the eastern states, but a proposal she has made: Von der Leyen has advocated a monitoring system to scrutinize all member states and enforce the rule of law»

«She wants to avoid the impression that one part of Europe is essentially criticizing the other.

This is indeed the impression that many have in Eastern Europe. The general opinion there is that western states have serious legal deficiencies too, but they don’t want to discuss them«»

«Germany is frequently mentioned in this regard. Judges are elected to the German Constitutional Court by both the parliament and the representative assembly of the federal states — the Bundestag and the Bundesrat. In practice, though, the two main political parties, the CDU and the SPD, essentially take turns to nominate a candidate, who then obtains a majority.»

«But if all European countries are to be on an equal footing when discussing the rule of law, they should all also be allowed to question this. It would be helpful if the government were to explain the reasoning to those who don’t understand it calmly»

* * * * * * * * * * *

I giornalisti del Deutsche Welle hanno voltato in un attosecondo la gualdrappa, nel vano tentativo che ci si dimentichie chi erano e fossero. Ma per loro malasorte la gente ha ottima memoria.

Il cuore del discorso è questo:

«Germany is frequently mentioned in this regard. Judges are elected to the German Constitutional Court by both the parliament and the representative assembly of the federal states — the Bundestag and the Bundesrat. In practice, though, the two main political parties, the CDU and the SPD, essentially take turns to nominate a candidate, who then obtains a majority.»

Polonia, Ungheria, Romania e molti altri stati sono stati demonizzati perché avevano operato delle riforme del sistema giudiziario sulla falsariga di quello tedesco. Contro Polonia ed Ungheria è persino iniziata l’azione a mente dell’art sette, ossia la cacciata dall’Unione Europea.

Due pesi e due misure.

Se la Germania nomina in via politica giudici costituzionali nelle persone di chiara posizione politica sarebbe manovra altamente democratica e perfettamente in linea con i principi ispiratori dell’Unione. Ma se Polonia ed Ungheria facessero ciò sarebbe la lampante evidenza di quanto quei governi siano totalitari, dittatoriali, nazionalsocialisti, e via quant’altro.

Vedremo con il tempo quanto la Ursula von der Leyen saprà gestire la situazione.

Pacta servanda sunt.


Deutsche Welle. 2019-07-21. Opinion: Open discussions, not ingratiation

The president-elect of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, wants a more objective debate about the rule of law in Europe. But that doesn’t mean she’ll cozy up to the populists, says DW’s Rosalia Romaniec.

*

The European Commission and countries such as Poland and Hungary have been arguing for years now about issues related to the rule of law. The EU’s executive body has been critical, for example, of measures that restrict the independence of the judiciary and the media. So far, though, little has been achieved: There hasn’t been much concrete progress at the political level.

Only one legal body — the European Court of Justice — has managed to induce the Polish government to revise some controversial decisions. Its judgments are respected. However, Warsaw refuses to be told what to do by politicians in Berlin and Brussels. This has little to do with politics; it’s more of a psychological issue.

One person who has never fallen into the trap of criticizing or talking down to her fellow leaders is Angela Merkel. Although their positions often differ, the German chancellor always manages to strike the right tone with her Eastern European counterparts. No western politician is more respected in the east than she is.

Clearly, Ursula von der Leyen wants to build on this. As Germany’s minister of defense, she took the eastern countries and their concerns — fears of Russian expansion, for example — very seriously. This was one reason why delegates from Poland’s national-conservative PiS party didn’t find it hard to vote for her as president of the European Commission.

Fresh approach

Many now fear this means von der Leyen will allow herself to be instrumentalized by the populists, and will take an indulgent view of their controversial judicial reforms. This idea, however, is simply nonsense.

The incoming Commission president is making use of the change of personnel to establish her own way of dealing with the constitutional renegades. If she were immediately to start lecturing her partners in the east, or threatening them with cuts to their EU funding before even sitting down at the table with them, she wouldn’t get any further than her predecessors. And that’s not far enough for a Europe that must work together to resolve not only constitutional deficiencies, but other problems as well.

Von der Leyen hasn’t ruled out taking the toughest action, like cutting subsidies, as a final resort, but she’s not going to do this right now. She’ll wait for the pending decision from the European Court of Justice before upping the political pressure — especially as she doesn’t actually take office until November.

Read more: The EU in 2019: Challenges and crises await 

Monitoring for all member states

The real surprise is not, in fact, her approach to the eastern states, but a proposal she has made: Von der Leyen has advocated a monitoring system to scrutinize all member states and enforce the rule of law. She wants to avoid the impression that one part of Europe is essentially criticizing the other.

This is indeed the impression that many have in Eastern Europe. The general opinion there is that western states have serious legal deficiencies too, but they don’t want to discuss them. Germany is frequently mentioned in this regard. Judges are elected to the German Constitutional Court by both the parliament and the representative assembly of the federal states — the Bundestag and the Bundesrat. In practice, though, the two main political parties, the CDU and the SPD, essentially take turns to nominate a candidate, who then obtains a majority. The idea is to ensure that the country’s highest judges represent different political positions.

But if all European countries are to be on an equal footing when discussing the rule of law, they should all also be allowed to question this. It would be helpful if the government were to explain the reasoning to those who don’t understand it calmly, matter-of-factly. A European monitoring system would help with this. “Nobody’s perfect,” von der Leyen commented. She may well have a point.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

von der Leyen, Polonia ed Ungheria e gli identitari sovranisti indispensabili..

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-07-21.

Volpe e maschera

«O quanta forma, sed cerebrum non habet!» Fedro.


Buona pratica politica sarebbe quella di meditare più su chi ha perso piuttosto su chi ha vinto.

Von der Leyen vote: Europe’s media welcome EU Commission choice

«Poland’s conservative Rzeszpospolita points out that all MEPs representing Poland’s ruling Law and Justice party (PiS) backed the former German defence minister. This, the paper says, gives Warsaw reasons to hope that “the new European Commission will not resume the ideological crusade, which [Dutch Socialist] Frans Timmermans ran”, and that “Brussels will abandon all its fantasies about the formation of a European army and the weakening of Nato”. ….

Many European papers point out that von der Leyen owes her victory to a batch of crucial votes garnered from the European Parliament’s Eurosceptic wing.

Libération says even though it was a secret ballot, it was clear she relied on the support of Italy’s Five Star Movement and Poland’s ruling PiS as they had said in advance they were supporting her.»


Per meglio potersi spiegare, riassumiamo per punti.

– Il Consiglio Europeo ha bocciato Herr Weber, lo Spitzenkandidat del partito popolare europeo;

– Quindi, il Consiglio Europeo ha bocciato Herr Timmermans, lo Spitzenkandidat del partito socialista europeo;

– Infine, il Consiglio Europeo ha bocciato la proposta di Frau Merkel di far fare una staffetta tra i due Spitzenkandidaten.

– Italia, paesi del Visegrad fino a concorrenza di undici stati sono stati i voti determinanti nel decretare la sconfitta dei partiti tradizionali e nel far convergere la scelta, la nomination, su Frau von der Leyen..

Ma ciò che conta è la sconfitta, prima alle elezioni con perdita di ottanta seggi e della maggioranza, poi nel Consiglio Europeo, subita dai partiti tradizionali, Ppe ed S&D. Sono loro i veri perdenti.

*

Nelle votazioni in sede di parlamento europeo, Frau Ursula von der Leyen è uscita con 383 voti, ossia con uno scarto di soli sette voti sugli elettori presenti in aula. Sono stati determinanti i voti dei parlamentari provenienti dal M5S, PiS e Fidesz, ossia di un nutrito gruppo di identitari sovranisti.

Ma anche in questa occasione importa vedere chi ha perso, ossia lo schieramento delle sinistre.

Che poi i media liberal socialisti neghino queste evidenze è affar loro: se si fossero comportati in modo diverso sarebbero ancora al potere: quindi, non lamentiamocene troppo.

«Poland and Hungary have both claimed their votes were crucial to the election of new EU Commission president Ursula von der Leyen, in the hope of getting benefits from the new executive»

«Poland’s ruling party, Law and Justice (PiS) has 26 MEPs, while Hungary’s Fidesz has 13»

«I am a cautious optimist. The president of the European commission gives hope for a new opening»

«Morawiecki said he told Merkel and von der Leyen about his “dissatisfaction with breaking EU norms and standards”, when Szydlo was not given the chair position even though parliamentary rules allow for PiS to get the post»

«Morawiecki said in a tweet – suggesting Poland’s support for von der Leyen should also translate over to the negotiations over the EU’s long-term budget.»

«Poland and Hungary both have ongoing rule of law procedures against them, and had clashed with the commission led by outgoing president Jean-Claude Juncker over judicial independence and backlisting on democratic norms»

«Hungary’s government also suggested Budapest was looking to cash in on their votes from von der Leyen»

«In curbing migration, the new European commission president will also have to play a leading role in establishing stronger European borders and developing a culture where the states that undertake vast border protection efforts are rewarded rather than punished»

«Ursula von der Leyen prevailed by only a thin margin, one that she wouldn’t have had without the support of Fidesz-KDNP and, of course, prime minister Viktor Orban»

«But Hungary’s ongoing support is not unconditional: we have definite expectations of the new EC president and we will look out for the interests of the Hungarian people every step of the way»

«Poland is eyeing for the energy portfolio in the commission, while Hungary is reportedly bidding for the enlargement profile»

«the Polish and Italian PM both supported von der Leyen in the European Council, so their parties had an obligation to enforce the decision of their leaders»

* * * * * * *

Riassumiamo.

Gli equilibri nell’Unione Europea sono mutati, ed anche di molto. I liberal socialisti occupano ancora posti di potere, ma non più quelli strategici.

Ovviamente, nulla trapela degli accordi intercorsi, e nulla vieta il pensare che potrebbero anche non essere mantenuti.

Tuttavia il Consiglio Europeo deve prendere decisioni alla unanimità, ed a quel punto Italia, Polonia ed Ungheria potrebbero far valere la loro cruciale importanza.


EU Observer. 2019-07-18. PiS & Fidesz claim credit for von der Leyen victory

Poland and Hungary have both claimed their votes were crucial to the election of new EU Commission president Ursula von der Leyen, in the hope of getting benefits from the new executive.

Poland’s prime minister Mateusz Morawiecki told reporters on Tuesday (16 July) evening von der Leyen was a compromise candidate.

“I am a cautious optimist. The president of the European commission gives hope for a new opening,” he said, a few hours after the German was approved by a wafer-thin margin of nine MEPs on Tuesday evening.

The female conservative politician was backed by 383 members of the European Parliament, in a secret ballot, with 327 against and 22 abstentions.

Poland’s ruling party, Law and Justice (PiS) has 26 MEPs, while Hungary’s Fidesz has 13.

Conservative PiS performed a U-turn after initially refusing to support von der Leyen, after their MEP, former prime minister Beata Szydlo was voted down as chair of the employment committee of the parliament – by liberal and socialist MEPs.

The PiS, however, blamed the centre-right European People’s Party (EPP), from where von der Leyen hails.

Germany’s Christian Democratic party (CDU) secretary-general Paul Ziemiak met on Sunday in Warsaw with PiS party leader Jaroslaw Kaczynski, and then Morawiecki and German chancellor Angela Merkel had a phone conversation on Tuesday.

Morawiecki said he told Merkel and von der Leyen about his “dissatisfaction with breaking EU norms and standards”, when Szydlo was not given the chair position even though parliamentary rules allow for PiS to get the post.

‘Say thanks’

He said PiS MEPs votes had been “decisive” for von der Leyen.

“You can say that thanks to us, there is no chaos, because the whole puzzle regarding top positions would be crumbling. We have turned out to be those who have kept up the stability,” MEP Ryszard Legutko told the Polish news agency.

PiS politicians expressed their hope that Poland would get a strong portfolio in the next commission in exchange for their votes.

“We showed our effectiveness and the fact that we are in favour of a Europe of normality,” Morawiecki said in a tweet – suggesting Poland’s support for von der Leyen should also translate over to the negotiations over the EU’s long-term budget.

The Polish PM added that with the new commission chief, Poland could come to a common position on security, energy and climate issues.

Poland and Hungary both have ongoing rule of law procedures against them, and had clashed with the commission led by outgoing president Jean-Claude Juncker over judicial independence and backlisting on democratic norms.

Hungary’s government also suggested Budapest was looking to cash in on their votes from von der Leyen.

“In curbing migration, the new European commission president will also have to play a leading role in establishing stronger European borders and developing a culture where the states that undertake vast border protection efforts are rewarded rather than punished,” Hungarian state secretary Zoltan Kovacs wrote in a blog post on Wednesday.

‘Not unconditional’

“Ursula von der Leyen prevailed by only a thin margin, one that she wouldn’t have had without the support of Fidesz-KDNP and, of course, prime minister Viktor Orban,” he added, referring to the ruling government coalition.

“But Hungary’s ongoing support is not unconditional: we have definite expectations of the new EC president and we will look out for the interests of the Hungarian people every step of the way,” Kovacs wrote.

Poland is eyeing for the energy portfolio in the commission, while Hungary is reportedly bidding for the enlargement profile, something it fought for five years ago as well.

Milan Nic, a senior fellow at the German Council on Foreign Relations, told EUobserver that most of the boasting by Warsaw and Budapest is for the domestic audience.

He pointed out that the Polish and Italian PM both supported von der Leyen in the European Council, so their parties had an obligation to enforce the decision of their leaders.

Nic said von der Leyen could offer portfolios to Warsaw, but Poland should not expect the new commission chief to be backing down on rule of law issues.

Von der Leyen will be under the “highest scrutiny from the very beginning” on rule of law, precisely because of the strong opposition from Poland and Hungary to Dutch lead candidate and commission vice president Frans Timmermans for the top job.

Daniel Hegedus, a fellow with the German Marshall Fund told EUobserver that Poland and Hungary should not expect special treatment, as von der Leyen’s victory was not only down to those two countries.

“I would not expect short term gestures towards Warsaw and Budapest, the EU budget negotiations and commission portfolios would be priority for these countries, but could not expect an easing of pressure on rule of law from von der Leyen,” he added.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Unione Europea, Commissione uscente e Visegrad.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-07-19.

unione europea 001

La maggioranza europarlamentare tra Ppe ed S&D è crollata sotto il peso delle sue contraddizioni.

Contravvenendo alle più elementari regole di buon vivere politico, la Commissione Europea uscente tenta ora il colpo grosso nei confronti dei paesi del Visegrad, rei di aver destabilizzato il vecchio status quo europeo.

La Commissione di Mr Juncker vorrebbe poter arrivare ad escludere Polonia ed Ungheria dal Consiglio Europeo, così da suggellare con questo atto la propria fuoriuscita dalla scena politica.

Oggetto del contendere è il rule of law, termine con il quale i liberal socialisti intendono l’asservimento ideologico dei giudici alla loro ideologia, mezzo oltremodo potente per poter dominare situazioni nelle quali non siano riusciti a conquistarsi una supremazia elettorale.

Questo problema è sentito in molti paesi europei, ma specialmente in Polonia ed in Ungheria.

I loro tribunali, ivi comprese le relative corti costituzionali, sono occupate in gran parte da giudici ideologicamente schierati, che si ingegnano a fare tutto il loro possibile per ostacolare i legittimi governi in carica, legittimamente eletti.

«The European Commission is to propose annual rule-of-law checks on all EU states amid tensions with Hungary, Poland, and Romania»

«Its proposal, to be unveiled in Brussels on Wednesday (17 July), is to model the legal screening on the annual fiscal reviews carried out by EU officials on national debt and deficits»

«It would also include a yearly high-level EU conference on rule of law with NGOs and academics to highlight abuse»

«The proposal comes after EU institutions triggered sanctions procedures against Hungary and Poland for meddling with their courts and other abuses of EU democratic norms»

«The sanctions could, in theory, see Hungary and Poland’s votes suspended in the EU Council»

«But such a move would require unanimity, with Budapest and Warsaw pledging to veto each other’s punishments, and with Lithuania’s new president Gitanas Nauseda, also promising to shield Poland»

* * * * * * *

Staremo a vedere come si articoleranno gli eventi.

Una cosa sembrerebbe però emergere chiaramente: ben difficilmente il Consiglio Europeo voterebbe a maggioranza assoluta la sospensione di paesi quali la Polonia e la Ungheria.


EU Observer. 2019-07-17. Poland ‘optimistic’ despite new EU law checks

The European Commission is to propose annual rule-of-law checks on all EU states amid tensions with Hungary, Poland, and Romania.

Its proposal, to be unveiled in Brussels on Wednesday (17 July), is to model the legal screening on the annual fiscal reviews carried out by EU officials on national debt and deficits, according to the Reuters news agency.

It would also include a yearly high-level EU conference on rule of law with NGOs and academics to highlight abuse, Reuters added.

EU interior ministers are likely to discuss the idea when they meet in Brussels on Thursday.

The proposal comes after EU institutions triggered sanctions procedures against Hungary and Poland for meddling with their courts and other abuses of EU democratic norms.

The European Commission also warned Romania on sanctions and won a court injunction to stop Poland firing its Supreme Court judges.

The sanctions could, in theory, see Hungary and Poland’s votes suspended in the EU Council.

But such a move would require unanimity, with Budapest and Warsaw pledging to veto each other’s punishments, and with Lithuania’s new president Gitanas Nauseda, also promising to shield Poland.

“We should not be pursuing the path of sanctions, but the path of a better mutual understanding,” Nauseda said in Warsaw on Tuesday.

The sanctions threats were a “form of oppression”, Polish president Andrzej Duda added.

Hungary and Poland had previously complained they were being singled out unfairly and the proposed annual reviews of all 28 EU countries could help to take the heat off their administrations.

Acting as a bloc with the Czech Republic and Slovakia, they lobbied against the nomination of Dutch commissioner Frans Timmermans – who oversaw the EU sanctions process – to be the next commission chief.

The German minister who got the post on Tuesday, Ursula von der Leyen, has also said she would take a hard line, including EU budget cuts for unruly capitals.

Timmermans’ future role in her commission remains uncertain, however.

She also had to rely on the votes of MEPs from Poland’s ruling party, Law and Justice (PiS), in order to secure her nomination in a European Parliament vote.

And for his part, the Polish prime minister, Mateusz Morawiecki, hinted in Berlin on Tuesday that there was a quid pro quo.

He said Poland had wanted a commission chief who “built bridges” instead of one [Timmermans] who “lectures, scolds, divides, and creates conflicts in Europe”.

German chancellor Angela Merkel had earlier phoned him to solicit PiS’ support for von der Leyen, Morawiecki told press alongside Merkel in the German capital.

“I am a cautious optimist. I believe we will have a partner on the other side completely different from the one [Timmermans] who posed a threat to central Europe by his lack of understanding and unfair treatment of Poland,” Morawiecki added.

Pubblicato in: Cina, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Cina e Polonia. La pragmatica collaborazione

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-07-17.

Ceec. 16 + 1. 001

La Cina ha già messo in essere molte iniziative politiche ed economiche in Europa, a partire dal Belt & Road fino ad arrivare al Ceec, denominato anche 16 + 1.

Cina. Ceec 16 + 1. L’Occidente inizia a preoccuparsi.

China’s European Diplomacy

Cina. Ulteriore potenziamento del Ceec, Europa dell’est.

Cina. Ulteriore potenziamento del Ceec, Europa dell’est.

*

Basterebbe dare un’occhiata, anche se distratta, alla cartina allegata  per comprendere cosa stia facendo la Cina in Europa. Con la Ceec, la Cina ha coagulato i paesi ex Urss, dal Mar Baltico al Mar Nero, generando una fascia  politico – economica che si frappone tra la Russia e l’Unione Europea. Questi paesi sono in forte crescita politica ed economica, ma l’Unione Europea li considera paesi di classe inferiore per la loro vocazione identitaria sovranista e per il rifiuto dell’ideologia liberal socialista. Non a caso i paesi dell’ex est europeo non hanno ottenuto top jobs nella spartizione di potere al momento in corso nella Unione Europea. Sono discriminati sulla base di odio razziale.

Però i tempi stanno cambiando.

I paesi del Visegrad hanno coagulato undici paesi membri dell’Unione che nel Consiglio Europeo hanno bocciato Herr Weber, candidato del Ppe e di Frau Merkel, quindi hanno bocciato Herr Trimmermanns, candidato di S&D e di Mr Macron, poi la proposta compromissoria di Frau Merkel di formare una staffetta. Questo blocco è stato il kingmaker di Frau Ursula von der Leyen, verosimilmente avendo contrattato l’appoggio. L’Europa della Nazioni si è imposta de facto sull’idea di uno stato europeo.

Molti di questi paesi hanno già un interscambio commerciale con la Cina superiore a quello verso l’Unione Europea.

La Polonia ha saputo far crescere il proprio pil dai 470 miliardi Usd nel 2010 agli attuali 586, e nel corso del 2018 ha fatto aumentare il pil del 5.1%. Un grande risultato dei governi che la hanno condotta.

Ma siamo solo agli inizi.

«Poland has been ranked second among the world’s 67 best countries to invest in this year by a business news website»

«Visiting Chinese State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi held talks with Polish President Andrzej Duda in Warsaw on Tuesday, pledging to promote pragmatic cooperation»

«China attaches great importance to its comprehensive strategic partnership with Poland, an important emerging economy and a major country among the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) as well as in the European Union (EU), said Wang»

«China is willing to work with Poland to take advantage of jointly building the Belt and Road, China-CEEC cooperation and China-EU cooperation to promote bilateral pragmatic cooperation to a new level»

«The two sides should also strengthen communication and coordination in international and regional affairs»

* * * * * * *

Il cuore del comunicato è esprimibile in due punti:

«to promote bilateral pragmatic cooperation to a new level»

«strengthen communication and coordination in international and regional affairs».

*

Si tratta non solo di rapporti commerciali. Il salto qualitativo è il rapporto politico coordinato su base puramente pragmatica.

Mentre l’Unione Europea, nella sua dirigenza uscente, voleva imporre alla Polonia la sua visione liberal e voleva controllarla tramite ngo e magistratura ad essa succube, la Cina non richiede nulla di tutto ciò: rispetta gli affari interni polacchi.

Questa è la carta vincente della Cina edel Ceec.


China Org. 2019-07-10. China, Poland vow to promote pragmatic cooperation

Visiting Chinese State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi held talks with Polish President Andrzej Duda in Warsaw on Tuesday, pledging to promote pragmatic cooperation.

China attaches great importance to its comprehensive strategic partnership with Poland, an important emerging economy and a major country among the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) as well as in the European Union (EU), said Wang.

China is willing to work with Poland to take advantage of jointly building the Belt and Road, China-CEEC cooperation and China-EU cooperation to promote bilateral pragmatic cooperation to a new level, he said.

The two sides should also strengthen communication and coordination in international and regional affairs, jointly safeguard multilateralism and the rules-based multilateral trading system, and promote world and regional peace, stability and prosperity, he added.

Noting that this year marks the 70th anniversary of the establishment of bilateral diplomatic relations, President Duda said Poland values the traditional friendship between the two countries.

Poland and China have huge cooperation potential. Poland is willing to actively take part in the joint building of the Belt and Road and China-CEEC cooperation, he said.

Poland hopes more Polish products will enter the Chinese market, while welcoming Chinese enterprises to invest more in Poland, said Duda, adding his country will treat all foreign enterprises equally in line with international laws.

Poland is also willing to strengthen cooperation with China in China-EU relations and international affairs, he said. 

*


Polski Radio. 2019-07-10. Poland named 2nd-best country ‘to invest in or do business’

Poland has been ranked second among the world’s 67 best countries to invest in this year by a business news website.

Malaysia has been “crowned as the best country in the world to invest in or do business for 2019,” CEOWorld magazine has said.

Poland “took silver” among the most attractive destinations for investors and businessmen, the magazine said on its ceoworld.biz website.

The Philippines was ranked third, followed by Indonesia at No. 4, and Australia at No. 5.

The rankings were based on 11 different factors including corruption, freedom (personal, trade, and monetary), workforce, investor protection, infrastructure, taxes, quality of life, red tape, and technological readiness, according to the ceoworld.biz website.

CEOWorld magazine describes itself as a news site for CEOs, CFOs, senior executives, business leaders, and high net-worth individuals.

Pubblicato in: Demografia, Devoluzione socialismo

Giappone. Un vecchio ogni 1.8 giovani. Cina e Russia si leccano i baffi.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-07-11.

2019-06-18__cina-mar-giallo-mare-cinese-orientale

Cina. Controllo strategico del Mar Giallo e del Mare Cinese Orientale.

«Si deve ammettere che Deng Xiaoping quaranta anni fa aveva visto ben lontano, quando aveva detto che la Cina avrebbe solo dovuto aspettare per avere il dominio del Mar del Giappone, del Mar Giallo e del Mare Cinese Orientale.

Prima, guardiamo con molta attenzione la carta geografica.

Giappone, Korea del Sud, Taiwan ed Hong Kong costituiscono punti geografici che la Cina da sempre avrebbe voluto possedere. Taiwan poi è per la Cina una pulpite purulenta. Ma anche la Russia guarda concupiscente al Giappone.

* * *

Adesso, leggiamoci i dati della seguente tabella, che riporta il tasso di fertilità di questi paesi.

Giappone            1.42

Korea del Sud    1.27

Taiwan                 1.13

Hong Kong           1.2

*

Basta avere pazienza ancora trenta anni, una generazione, e questi paesi sono destinati a scomparire dalla faccia della terra.

A quel tempo, la Cina e la Russia se li potranno occupare tranquillamente, senza dover sparare un colpo, e soprattutto, potranno colonizzarli con le loro popolazioni, ottenendone quindi un dominio irreversibile. Al massimo, entrando in quei paesi, troveranno un ammasso di vecchietti, ma i cinesi ed i russi hanno per questo sistemi infallibili.»

*

Il “World Population Prospects 2019: Highlights” dell’Onu riporta dati sui quali sarebbe opportuno meditare, perché precorrono di circa un decennio quella che sarà la situazione europea.

In Giappone per ogni over-65 vi sono solo 1.8 under-64.

Questo dato ammetterebbe molti punti di vista di lettura.

Per definizione, il vecchio è una persona che necessita di assistenza, ma per assisterlo occorrono persone giovani e, soprattutto, che abbiano voglia di farlo.

Ma se non ci sono giovani, si può essere ricchi a piacere che proprio non si trovano.

Sarebbe come trovarsi in un deserto seduti su di una tonnellata di oro fino: alla fine si sarebbe anche disposti a darla in cambio di un bicchiere di acqua, sempre che si trovasse qualcuno che sia disposto a darlo.

*

Sono quasi trenta anni che si parla della crisi demografica, ma l’attuale mentalità dei politici o non riesce a comprendere oppure la tiene in non cale. Molti invece la perseguono attivamente.

Il Fertility Rate By Country 2019 riporta Austria 1.511, Italia 1.491, Giappone 1.478, Germania 1.47, Spagna 1.391, Grecia 1.302, Polonia 1.290, e Portogallo 1.241.

Per Spagna, Grecia, Polonia e Portogallo pesa in modo non indifferente l’emigrazione giovanile subita al culmine della crisi economica: senza poter trovare lavoro in patria i giovani erano obbligati a migrare, depauperando così la nazione.

Diverso invece quanto accade in Austria, Italia, Giappone e Germania, ove la cultura liberal imperante demonizza la procreazione: se è ragionevole che il problema economico possa influire almeno parzialmente, il movente ideologico è un vero e proprio masso.

Queste nazioni si stanno destinando alla estinzione, ma hanno scelto un approccio al problema quanto mai doloroso.

Diventare vecchi e non poter avere una qualche assistenza è vita davvero grama.

*

2019-06-18__Giappone_Vecchi__001


Aska News. 2019-06-18. Giappone in crisi demografica: Paese con minore incidenza giovani

Rapporto Onu: per ogni over-65 solo 1,8 entro i 64.

*

Il Giappone ha la più bassa percentuale di persone in età lavorativa al mondo. Lo riferisce il rapporto “World Population Prospects 2019: Highlights” dell’Onu.

In momento in cui l’incidenza della popolazione ultrasessantacinquenne in tutto il mondo è in calo, in Giappone sale e ci sono 1,8 persone tra i 25 e 64 anni rispetto a ogni ultrasessantacinquenne, secondo il rapporto.

In Europa e in Nordamerica il rapporto è 3,0, mentre in Africa subsahariana è 11,7. Entro il 2050 la stima è che in 48 paesi – prevalentemente in Europa, Nordamerica, Asia – avranno il rapporto sotto quota 2, con conseguente impatto sui mercato del lavoro, sulla sanità e sui sistemi pensionistici.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Polonia, Repubblica Ceka, Ungheria ed Estonia bloccano la EU sul carbone.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-06-24.

2019-06-22__Clima__001

«Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary, and Estonia prevented the EU from adopting a clear long-term climate neutrality goal at the summit in Brussels on Thursday evening (20 June).»

«The central and eastern European leaders could not get behind a draft text which said the EU should take measures “to ensure a transition to a climate-neutral EU by 2050” – a date too specific for them»

«Poland was leading the opposition, with support from the Czech Republic and Hungary»

«A clear commitment for the 2050 date was also missing from Estonia, an EU source said on condition of anonymity.

Another EU source said “three and a half states” were against – in an illustration of the non-committal stance of Estonia»

«But in the end, the leaders decided to scrap the 2050 commitment»

«The final text now says the EU aspires to climate neutrality “in line with the Paris agreement”, and the mention of the year 2050 was moved to a footnote»

«Ironically, in the text published on the European Council website on Thursday evening, the footnote initially was not included»

* * * * * * *

Per meglio comprendere il significato di questa posizione si dovrebbe leggere con cura il testo rilasciato dal Consglio Europeo.

«European Council conclusions on the MFF, climate change, disinformation and hybrid threats, external relations, enlargement and the European Semester, 20 June 2019

  1. Multiannual financial framework

  2. The European Council welcomed the work done under the Romanian Presidency and took note of the various elements of the MFF package. It called on Finland’s Presidency to pursue the work and to develop the Negotiating Box. On that basis the European Council will hold an exchange of views in October 2019, aiming for an agreement before the end of the year.

III. Climate change

  1. The European Council emphasises the importance of the United Nations Secretary General’s Climate Action Summit in September for stepping up global climate action so as to achieve the objective of the Paris Agreement, including by pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. It welcomes the active involvement of Member States and the Commission in the preparations.

  2. Following the sectoral discussions held over recent months, the European Council invites the Council and the Commission to advance work on the conditions, the incentives and the enabling framework to be put in place so as to ensure a transition to a climate-neutral EU in line with the Paris Agreement [1] that will preserve European competitiveness, be just and socially balanced, take account of Member States’ national circumstances and respect their right to decide on their own energy mix, while building on the measures already agreed to achieve the 2030 reduction target. The European Council will finalise its guidance before the end of the year with a view to the adoption and submission of the EU’s long-term strategy to the UNFCCC in early 2020. In this context, the European Council invites the European Investment Bank to step up its activities in support of climate action.

  3. The EU and its Member States remain committed to scaling up the mobilisation of international climate finance from a wide variety of private and public sources and to working towards a timely, well-managed and successful replenishment process for the Green Climate Fund.»

Dapprima esprime un enunciato di principio:

«take account of Member States’ national circumstances and respect their right to decide on their own energy mix»

Poi si arriva al nocciolo vero.

«Multiannual financial framework …. Green Climate Fund»

L’obiettivo è arrivare a varare un piano finanziario pluriennale che sostenga il Green Climate Fund, le risorse del quale saranno impiegate per sostenere le economie tedesca, francese ed olandese.

Interessano i soldi: il ‘clima’ è solo la foglia di fico che santificherebbe il saccheggio.

Ma il piano finanziario pluriennale deve essere approvato dal Consiglio Europeo alla unanimità, e l’epoca in cui l’asse francogermanico era onnipotente è tramontata.


EU Observer. 2019-06-22. Four states block EU 2050 carbon neutral target

Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary, and Estonia prevented the EU from adopting a clear long-term climate neutrality goal at the summit in Brussels on Thursday evening (20 June).

The central and eastern European leaders could not get behind a draft text which said the EU should take measures “to ensure a transition to a climate-neutral EU by 2050” – a date too specific for them.

Poland was leading the opposition, with support from the Czech Republic and Hungary.

A clear commitment for the 2050 date was also missing from Estonia, an EU source said on condition of anonymity.

Another EU source said “three and a half states” were against – in an illustration of the non-committal stance of Estonia.

“There was lots of back and forth and ‘how can we persuade you’,” added the source.

But in the end, the leaders decided to scrap the 2050 commitment.

The final text now says the EU aspires to climate neutrality “in line with the Paris agreement”, and the mention of the year 2050 was moved to a footnote.

“For a large majority of member states, climate neutrality must be achieved by 2050,” that footnote said.

Ironically, in the text published on the European Council website on Thursday evening, the footnote initially was not included.

Climate neutrality refers to an economy in which the emission of greenhouse gases caused by human activity is mostly prevented, and any remaining emissions are compensated through for example planting additional trees or capturing emissions and storing them.

The reference of climate neutrality “in line with the Paris agreement” is open to interpretation.

The global climate agreement, clinched in 2015 in the French capital, said that the entire world should reach climate neutrality “in the second half of this century”.

However, the Paris deal also said that efforts must be made to limit global warming to an average temperature rise of 1.5C, compared to pre-industrial levels.

The failure to reach a consensus on 2050 will be a disappointment to many who saw positive signs in recent weeks.

That 2050 target seemed to gain momentum recently after the EU’s largest state, Germany, decided to support it.

Also earlier this month, the United Kingdom, although leaving the EU, committed to a domestic zero-emissions target by 2050, while Italy also came on board.

But at the EU summit in Brussels it proved to be impossible to convince the last quartet of sceptics.

Consensus is needed for leaders to adopt official conclusions.

One diplomatic source said the reluctance of some coal-dependent member states was “expected”.

“It’s easier for Scandinavian countries to commit to climate neutrality,” he said.

“These are known differences [between the member states]”, he added.

Poland’s permanent representation in Brussels said in a tweet that prime minister Mateusz Morawiecki “defends [Poland]’s interests in discussion about climate policy”.

“Fair distribution of climate protection costs means taking into account the specificities of [member states]. Climate goals are important in the same way as their implementation, taking into account citizens & economy,” it said.

‘Blew it’

But non-governmental organisations were frustrated with the outcome.

Greenpeace said that Europe’s governments “had a chance to lead from the front and put Europe on a rapid path to full decarbonisation”.

“They blew it,” the environmental lobby group added.

Friends of the Earth meanwhile called the vetoes “criminal behaviour”.

“The reference to being in line with the Paris agreement in such a flimsy text makes a mockery of that agreement, and should not be allowed to stand,” said WWF.

The diplomatic source stressed, however, that the EU was “still ambitious” and that he never expected the final target year to be agreed at this summit.

“The climate debate is not finished. It will come back, certainly, in December,” he said.

Meanwhile at the summit, the leaders did agree in the text to submit a long-term climate strategy to the UN climate body in “early 2020”, and adopted a Strategic Agenda which identified climate action as one of the EU’s priorities.

The Strategic Agenda, covering the 2019-2024 period, said the EU’s policies should be “consistent with the Paris agreement” – but also did not contain a specific year for carbon neutrality.

“As the effects of climate change become more visible and pervasive, we urgently need to step up our action to manage this existential threat. The EU can and must lead the way, by engaging in an in-depth transformation of its own economy and society to achieve climate neutrality,” it said.

Another new impetus for the climate debate will be on 1 July when Finland takes over the helm for six months as EU president.

Earlier this month Finland said it wanted to be climate neutral by 2035.

In the early hours of Friday, European Council president Donald Tusk told press “reaching unanimity was not possible today”.

“However, we have good reason to believe that this may change, as no country ruled out the possibility of a positive decision in the coming months,” said Tusk.

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Portogallo, Primo paese eurozona ha emesso 260 mld$ di bond denominati in Yuan.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-06-01.

Banchieri__101

Delle notizie occorrerebbe prenderne atto, dando poi per scontato come possano essere interpretate sotto diverse angolature.

Nel 2016 la Polonia e nel 2018 l’Ungheria avevano emesso buoni del tesoro denominati in yuan, ma questi due paesi sono membri dell’Unione Europea ma non fanno parte del’eurozona. A suo tempo furono operazioni avvallate dalla Ecb, anche se a malincuore.

Di questi giorni è il turno del Portogallo, pese aderente l’Eurozona, ad emettere buoni di stato denominati in yuan.

Inoltre questa emissione non è certo di poco conto: ammonta per controvalore a 260 miliardi di dollari americani.

* * *

Il debito pubblico dei paesi europei è trasbordante.

Il problema non è la volontà governativa di ricorrere incrementandolo al debito, quanto piuttosto il trovare chi sia disposto a dare le proprie liquidità per acquistare codesti nuovi titoli. I mercati liberi i considerano rischiosi.

Anche se il concetto è sgradito e tossico per molti, il mercato finanziario dell’eurozona stenta a trovare le risorse per continuare a finanziare i debiti sovrani. Si aggiunga come la volontà dell’Ecb di mantenere tassi bassi, quasi nulli, rende i bond europei scarsamente appetibili.

Aprirsi al mercato finanziario cinese diventa così una semplice azione di Realpolitik, ma nel mondo reale i tassi di interesse sono ben più onerosi di quelli europei, almeno per il momento.

Ovviamente questo è solo un piccolo segno di inizio: prima non c’era ed adesso invece c’è.


New Europe. 2019-05-31. Portugal becomes first Eurozone country to sell debt in Chinese yuan

Portugal is the first Eurozone country to issue bonds denominated in Chinese yuan after offering on 29-30 May so-called “Panda Bonds” worth €260 billion, with a three-year maturity.

The yuan-denominated bonds are the first in the European Union. Poland issued government bonds on the Chinese market in 2016, followed by Hungary in 2018. Although Portugal will pay more in higher-yielding yuan-denominated bonds, the Socialist government in Lisbon plans to enter the high-liquidity market.

Portugal went through an international bailout between 2011 and 2014 but has since returned to positive growth figures, which led ratings agency Fitch update its outlook for Portugal from “stable” to “positive.”

Since exiting its bailout phase five years ago, Portugal has had one of the fastest growing and most robust economies in the Eurozone at a time when EU stalwarts Italy and Germany have seen their economies struggle, with the former having been mired in a recession for much of the latter part of 2018 and early 2019.