Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Putin, Russia

Putin il Grande. Ha isolato la Germania e la Merkel. Magistrale

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-09-23.

Putin. Kremlino. Statua San Vladimiro. 013

L’occidente odia Mr Putin perché è un russo che fa gli interessi della sua Patria, e li fa anche molto bene.

Non sapendo competere politicamente, lo svillaneggia e lo denigra.

Poi, finisce sempre dentro il sacco.

*


«Germany unable to reach agreement on sanctions against Russia»

«The German government wants to stand up to Moscow following the attempted murder of opposition activist Alexei Navalny. But suspending construction of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline is a step too far for many»

«It’s not easy to agitate Germany’s usually serene Foreign Minister Heiko Maas, but it happened last Wednesday afternoon.»

«The European Affairs Committee of the Bundestag, Germany’s federal parliament, was meeting to discuss the crisis in Belarus and what Germany’s stance should be toward Russia, given his protection of Belarusian strongman Alexander Lukashenko. Maas was fiercely attacked from several sides.»

«Furious, Maas blasted the Greens for their “smugness.”»

«How does Germany intend to position itself on Belarus and Russia? What might sanctions look like? And what is the future of the German-Russian Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline project?»

«The only thing the government seems to agree on is that Germany needs to take a much harder line with Moscow»

«The composition of the poison is the most important indication for the German government that Russian President Vladimir Putin could be involved»

«The pilot’s rapid emergency landing in Omsk along with the antidote administered in the hospital saved his life.»

«In recent days, German Chancellor Angela Merkel has ratcheted up her tone against Moscow»

«Would Berlin have to terminate the billion-euro Nord Stream 2 project shortly before its completion?»

«But they have very little support within their parties for taking such a step»

«Even before the heated debate in the European Affairs Committee, Maas found himself faced with significant pushback for his unwillingness to rule out a suspension of the pipeline. And the criticism came from his own party group in parliament»

«Although he is not opposed to sanctions as such, SPD party co-leader Norbert Walter-Borjans said he, too, is opposed to suspending construction on the pipeline»

«We cannot simply stand by and watch this blatant violation of human rights. We need to show a strong European response»

«It’s like a bridge with only the final stone missing. You don’t leave it in ruins just because you have problems with each other now»

«Germany, he said, obtains its energy almost exclusively from “countries that are not entirely kosher”»

«Within Chancellor Merkel’s center-right Christian Democrats (CDU), foreign policy pointman and candidate for party chair Norbert Röttgen has publicly called for the end of Nord Stream 2 …. no one voiced support for his position»

«Some 94 percent of the approximately 2,460-kilometer (1,529 mile) pipeline has already been completed and permits have been issued by all the countries whose waters it travels through»

«Should construction be stopped, the German government could face potentially expensive lawsuits»

«The demands could go even beyond that, however. Additional pipelines and compressor stations have already been built in Europe in anticipation of the new gas supplies»

«Merkel is pushing for the sanctions to come from the EU level, with the bloc having plenty of experience with the tool»

«EU sanctions programs are currently in place against 30 countries or against individuals from those countries. Between 1980 and 2014, 36 percent of all sanctions worldwide were imposed by the Europeans»

«With the exception of the United States, nobody has used sanctions as frequently as the EU»

«So far, though, there has been no ban on imports of Russian gas or oil. Given that this would increase prices for EU consumers, there would be little support for such measures within the EU. “An import stop for Russian gas would also hit Ukraine financially hard as a transit country,” Germany’s Economics Ministry has warned»

«However, neither officials in Berlin nor in Brussels are in agreement on how effective sanctions can be»

«German Economics Minister Peter Altmaier of the CDU said he knows of no case where sanctions “against states like Russia” have made a difference»

«considers punitive measures against autocracies to be less effective than they can be against democracies. In the worst-case scenario, they can even stabilize the regime. “The sanctions reinforce the national sentiment of the population, and the population shows solidarity with the ruling classes,”»

«The meeting began at 1 p.m., with an evening snack at 9:30 p.m. Diplomatic sources said the Navalny case cannot be allowed to derail the possible ceasefire.»

* * * * * * *


Riassumiamo.

– Essendosi convinta nella sua connaturale umiltà di essere il supremo giudice inappellabile dell’universo, fosse cristiana si sarebbe autoproclamata quarta persona della Santissima Trinità, Frau Merkel vorrebbe imporre alla Russia severissime sanzioni per quanto a suo dire questa nazione sovrana avrebbe perpetrato in patria ed all’estero.

– Tuttavia non la seguono neppure i parlamentari del suo partito, che non trovano nessun ragionevole motivo per passare l’inverno al freddo ed al gelo: non vogliono morire per la Bielorussia né, tanto meno, per Navalny.

– Ma neppure i suoi fidi scudieri dell’Unione Europea intendono seguirla, tranne la componente liberal dell’europarlamento.

– «EU sanctions programs are currently in place against 30 countries or against individuals from those countries. Between 1980 and 2014, 36 percent of all sanctions worldwide were imposed by the Europeans»

– Novelle grida manzoniane, che soddisfano il superego dei liberal senza altro risultato tranne quello di rendersi odiosi.

– Frau Merkel è di nuovo caduta nella trappola di Mr Putin: adesso è isolata.

*


Putin. Mette regolarmente nel sacco Merkel, sodali ed Europa. – Bloomberg.

Putin il Grande. Bloomberg lo incorona Master of the Middle East.

Valdai. Mr Putin delinea la futura politica estera russa.

Russia. Il trionfo della Tradizione. Putin e la religione.

*


Germany Unable to Reach Agreement on Sanctions against Russia.

The German government wants to stand up to Moscow following the attempted murder of opposition activist Alexei Navalny. But suspending construction of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline is a step too far for many. What will Berlin do?

*

It’s not easy to agitate Germany’s usually serene Foreign Minister Heiko Maas, but it happened last Wednesday afternoon. The European Affairs Committee of the Bundestag, Germany’s federal parliament, was meeting to discuss the crisis in Belarus and what Germany’s stance should be toward Russia, given his protection of Belarusian strongman Alexander Lukashenko. Maas was fiercely attacked from several sides.

Maas, a member of the center-left Social Democrats (SPD), the junior coalition partner to Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democrats (CDU), first had to listen to a speech by far-left Left Party parliamentarian Diether Dehm, who defended Russia across the board. Then, he was attacked by Green Party lawmaker Manuel Sarrazin, for doing too little on the issue of Belarus. He accused Maas of “selling Belarus out” and giving Russia free hand, according to participants.

Furious, Maas blasted the Greens for their “smugness.” But the foreign minister nevertheless seemed uncertain, and crucial questions remain unanswered: How does Germany intend to position itself on Belarus and Russia? What might sanctions look like? And what is the future of the German-Russian Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline project?

The only thing the government seems to agree on is that Germany needs to take a much harder line with Moscow. Not just because of Belarus: There is growing evidence that the Kremlin was involved in the poison attack on Russian opposition politician Alexei Navalny.

Scientists at the Institute of Pharmacology and Toxicology of the German Armed Forces have analyzed various samples from Navalny. Using fine diagnostics, they searched his blood and urine for any form of poison. Traces on a bottle that Navalny had with him were also examined intensively.

The institute claims that the substance administered is a further developed version of previously known Novichok compounds. The new poison is even “more severe” than previous forms, Bruno Kahl, the president of Germany’s foreign intelligence service, the BND, said in a confidential meeting.

The Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) is also involved in the investigations, and a delegation of the OPCW reportedly visited Charité University Hospital in Berlin, where Navalny is being treated, the weekend before last.

The composition of the poison is the most important indication for the German government that Russian President Vladimir Putin could be involved. The more complex, newer and uncommon the chemical composition of the poison, the more likely it is that it can only be obtained with the help of the Russian state apparatus.

As such, the current assumption in Berlin is that Navalny must have been poisoned by a Russian secret service – either on his way to the airport in Tomsk for his flight to Moscow or once he arrived at the airport. Since it has been proven that the opposition politician was closely monitored by the domestic secret service, the FSB, there doesn’t appear to be any other possibility.

German security authorities suspect that the perpetrators planned for Navalny to die on board the plane. The pilot’s rapid emergency landing in Omsk along with the antidote administered in the hospital saved his life. The Kremlin has vehemently denied multiple times having had anything to do with the attempted murder. Last Wednesday, the German Ambassador to Moscow, Géza Andreas von Geyr, was summoned by the Russian government for a “discussion.”

A New Tone

In recent days, German Chancellor Angela Merkel has ratcheted up her tone against Moscow. “We expect the Russian government to explain what happened in this case,” Merkel said. It was essentially her way of putting the ball back in Moscow’s court and buying time. But what happens if Moscow doesn’t provide a satisfactory explanation? Would Berlin have to terminate the billion-euro Nord Stream 2 project shortly before its completion? In recent days, neither the foreign minister nor the chancellor has been willing to rule out that possibility. But they have very little support within their parties for taking such a step.

Even before the heated debate in the European Affairs Committee, Maas found himself faced with significant pushback for his unwillingness to rule out a suspension of the pipeline. And the criticism came from his own party group in parliament.

Florian Post, an SPD parliamentarian from Munich, spoke out against possible sanctions. He lamented a lack of proof that Russian authorities had ordered the poisoning of Navalny with Putin’s knowledge. “We would be shooting ourselves in the foot,” Post said. “Suspending Nord Stream 2 is not an option.”

Although he is not opposed to sanctions as such, SPD party co-leader Norbert Walter-Borjans said he, too, is opposed to suspending construction on the pipeline. “We cannot simply stand by and watch this blatant violation of human rights. We need to show a strong European response,” the SPD leader told DER SPIEGEL, and sanctions could be part of that response. “But Nord Stream 2 is something else. It’s like a bridge with only the final stone missing. You don’t leave it in ruins just because you have problems with each other now.”

Carsten Schneider, a senior member of the parliamentary group, also called Nord Stream 2 the “wrong item.” Germany, he said, obtains its energy almost exclusively from “countries that are not entirely kosher.”

Within Chancellor Merkel’s center-right Christian Democrats (CDU), foreign policy pointman and candidate for party chair Norbert Röttgen has publicly called for the end of Nord Stream 2. But when the CDU parliamentary group met last week in a meeting also attended by the Christian Social Union (CSU), it’s Bavarian sister party, no one voiced support for his position.

On the contrary: Michael Kretschmer, the CDU governor of Saxony, had previously warned against focusing on the pipeline project, and he was supported by members of the CSU. CDU party leader Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer merely said that the pipeline was “not a project of the heart.”

Either way, it would be difficult to implement a government-ordered halt to the project. Some 94 percent of the approximately 2,460-kilometer (1,529 mile) pipeline has already been completed and permits have been issued by all the countries whose waters it travels through. Experts believe it would be necessary to create a special law banning the completion of construction that would have to be passed by German parliament.

At best, the Federal Network Agency could delay the start of operations. The agency has to grant a permit to the company that is to take over operation of the pipeline in German and European Union territory. The agency could postpone permit issuance, but the authority is formally independent of the government.

Potential Damage Claims

Should construction be stopped, the German government could face potentially expensive lawsuits. So far, the Russians and the Europeans have been sharing the total costs of almost 10 billion euros. Russian gas giant Gazprom is covering one half of the construction costs, while five European companies – Wintershall, Uniper, OMV, Royal Dutch Shell and Engie – are footing the other half of the bill. Sources with links to Nord Stream 2 say that those companies are now looking into the possibility of compensation if the government moves to halt construction.

The demands could go even beyond that, however. Additional pipelines and compressor stations have already been built in Europe in anticipation of the new gas supplies. The gas arriving at the Baltic Sea coast is to be transported to Eastern and Southern Europe through these installations – and their operators could also make claims.

Against that backdrop, other sanctions – against individuals, institutions or certain sectors of the economy – seem more likely. Merkel is pushing for the sanctions to come from the EU level, with the bloc having plenty of experience with the tool.

EU sanctions programs are currently in place against 30 countries or against individuals from those countries. Between 1980 and 2014, 36 percent of all sanctions worldwide were imposed by the Europeans. With the exception of the United States, nobody has used sanctions as frequently as the EU.

After the occupation of Crimea in violation of international law, the EU moved to impose sanctions on Russia, imposing travel bans on 175 people and 44 institutions. The EU also froze assets. Furthermore, trade with Russia was restricted in several sectors of the economy and access to EU capital markets was closed off for certain Russian banks and companies. Brussels imposed bans on arms exports and imports and excluded Russia from sensitive technologies.

So far, though, there has been no ban on imports of Russian gas or oil. Given that this would increase prices for EU consumers, there would be little support for such measures within the EU. “An import stop for Russian gas would also hit Ukraine financially hard as a transit country,” Germany’s Economics Ministry has warned.

Most EU countries have agreed to impose travel bans and account bans soon for around 40 members of the regime in Belarus, including the country’s interior minister. Diplomats in Brussels fear that even more far-reaching measures, such as sanctions against Lukashenko himself, would only ensure that the ranks of those loyal to the dictator would close even tighter.

However, neither officials in Berlin nor in Brussels are in agreement on how effective sanctions can be. Speaking on a popular political talk show, German Economics Minister Peter Altmaier of the CDU said he knows of no case where sanctions “against states like Russia” have made a difference.

Demonstration of Unity

“Sanctions are a necessary part of the international policy toolbox for countries that seriously violate basic rules,” says Johann Wadephul, deputy head of the CDU parliamentary group. He says Germany and the EU use them “as a clear sign of extreme political opposition.”

Officials within Germany’s Foreign Ministry,, though, are skeptical of punitive measures. Sanctions should not become standard nor should their use be increased, says a top German diplomat. The danger, he says, is that countries thus penalized could develop “resistance,” as to an antibiotic. Russia, for example, is trying to divert its trade flows and get high-tech goods from China that it is no longer able to obtain from the U.S. or Europe.

“With joint sanctions against Russia, the EU at least demonstrates unity,” says Sascha Lohmann, a political scientist at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP) in Berlin. When governments impose sanctions, they also protect themselves from complicity. “The European Union can’t simply stand by and watch events unfold in Belarus,” Lohmann says.

Julia Grauvogel, of the German Institute for Global and Area Studies, considers punitive measures against autocracies to be less effective than they can be against democracies. In the worst-case scenario, they can even stabilize the regime. “The sanctions reinforce the national sentiment of the population, and the population shows solidarity with the ruling classes,” the researcher says. She also see this danger in introducing further sanctions against Russia.

A 2018 study conducted for the European Parliament’s Subcommittee on Human Rights seems to support such skepticism. It found that individualized sanctions led “only in a few cases” to the desired result – i.e. a change in behavior.

Even as politicians in Brussels and Berlin seek the appropriate response to Russia’s actions, daily business is still continuing at the diplomatic level. On Friday, the Chancellery in Berlin invited representatives of Russia and Ukraine to a meeting of the “Normandy Format,” where the negotiations over the Minsk peace treaty for the Donbass region of Ukraine are ongoing. The meeting began at 1 p.m., with an evening snack at 9:30 p.m. Diplomatic sources said the Navalny case cannot be allowed to derail the possible ceasefire.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Russia, Stati Uniti

Merkel tra l’incudine del Nord Stream 2 ed il martello del caso Navalny.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-09-12.

Annegare 001

Frau Angela Merkel sembrerebbe essersi cacciata in un vicolo cieco, adescata da quella volpe smaliziata di Mr Putin.

Anche se la Cdu è rimontata bene nelle propensioni al voto, la Germania è tuttora politicamente instabile, e questa sua irrequietezza si ripercuote sulla condotta dell’Unione Europea. Se è vero che in Germania di notano timidi segni di ripresa, sarebbe altrettanto vero il dover ammettere come la situazione socio economica sia ancora sofferente, allontanando la possibilità di una ripresa in tempi rapidi.

I moti di piazza di Berlino sono un segnale preoccupante.

In questo frangente aiuta molto l’individuazione di capri espiatori, addossando loro le colpe di tutto ciò che stia accadendo. AfD e i ‘negazionisti’ all’interno, i ‘nemici esterni’ quali immani cospiratori contro la Germania. La teoria del complotto è sempre stata cara ai tedeschi, ma la sua gestione non è per nulla facile. Anche se non ne ha titolo alcuno, Frau Merkel strilla e strepita contro la attuale situazione in Bielorussia ed adesso si  messa nelle mani la patata bollente del caso Navalny.

Bloomberg riassume nei seguenti articoli la situazione al contorono.

*

Angela Merkel Exasperated by Putin as Navalny Lies in a Coma

Merkel Seeks Action Against Russia After Putin Foe Poisoned

Merkel Rejects Scuppering Nord Stream Project Over Navalny Case

Why the World Frets Over Russian Nord Stream Pipeline: QuickTake

*

Il problema è semplicissimo da esporsi, quasi impossibile da risolvere.

Frau Merkel, la Germania e l’Unione Europea dipendono dalle forniture di gas naturale importato dalla Russia, che potrebbe però sospendere anche all’improvviso le forniture. Poi, fattore non trascurabile, la Germania è disarmata, così come la Unione Europea, e l’America non ha nessuna intenzione di morire per l’Europa. Nel converso, la Russia di Mr Putin è un enorme arsenale di armi di ogni tipo, ed il presidente russo lo ricorda spesso e volentieri.

«Merkel’s Russian pipeline dilemma laid bare by poisoning uproar»

«Chancellor faces resistance at home to dropping Nord Stream 2»

«German leader didn’t repeat demand that pipeline be completed»

«The furor over the poisoning of a top Russian dissident has put Angela Merkel’s controversial backing of a Baltic Sea pipeline in the spotlight, as patience with Vladimir Putin’s government hits its limit in Germany»

«The German military’s finding this week that Alexey Navalny was attacked with a novichok nerve agent has triggered calls for the chancellor to wield her biggest stick: withdraw support for the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline, which will ship Russian gas directly to Europe’s largest economy»

«there is still little appetite within Merkel’s coalition to abandon Nord Stream»

«The resistance in her coalition reflects key support for the project from German industry as well as deeper ties with Russia, particularly among the Social Democrats.»

«Merkel, who issued an uncharacteristically sharp rebuke over the novichok finding and pledged a coordinated response among NATO and European Union allies, is keeping her cards close to her chest»

«Merkel didn’t repeat her demand made days earlier that the project should be finished»

«Merkel said, acknowledging the Kremlin’s position that there was no evidence of poisoning»

«Friedrich Merz, a Merkel rival who is campaigning to lead her Christian Democrats, said any construction should be suspended for two years»

«Putin only understands this language, unfortunately»

«On the other side of the divide is President Donald Trump, who has frequently attacked Nord Stream as a conduit for “billions” from Germany to Russia that he says Merkel’s government should be spending on defense»

«Merkel’s government may also have to compensate companies involved in the project.»

«While Russia has claimed Nord Stream 2 is needed because Europe’s own gas production is fast declining, demand on the continent largely remains stable due to the rise of renewables and an influx of liquefied natural gas from producers further afield, including the U.S. One of the main reasons for the link was to bypass Ukraine, a key transit nation, after price disputes in the past left Europeans with gas disruptions in winter»

«Germany is the biggest foreign buyer of Russian gas, which makes up over 40% of its imports»

* * * * * * *

Putin. Mette regolarmente nel sacco Merkel, sodali ed Europa. – Bloomberg.

Germania. Mini Arbeit. Destatis li considera ‘occupati’. Tedeschi brava gente.

Putin ha portato Frau Merkel alla esasperazione. Marktschreier.

BlackRock anticipa l’apertura cinese alla finanza occidentale. 3.4 trilioni in tre anni.

BlackRock anticipa l’apertura cinese alla finanza occidentale. 3.4 trilioni in tre anni.

Oecd (Ocse). Secondo Trimestre pil -9.8%. Ripresa molto lotana.

L’Alleanza per la Rivoluzione Verde in Africa è fallita. Sono alla fame.

Eurozona. Fiducia dei Consumatori -14.7. Più esecrazione che fiducia.

* * * * * * *

Al momento attuale Frau Merkel è davvero nei triboli, e nessuno avrebbe il desiderio di aiutarla.

*


Merkel’s Russian Pipeline Dilemma Laid Bare by Poisoning Uproar.

– Chancellor faces resistance at home to dropping Nord Stream 2

– German leader didn’t repeat demand that pipeline be completed

*

The furor over the poisoning of a top Russian dissident has put Angela Merkel’s controversial backing of a Baltic Sea pipeline in the spotlight, as patience with Vladimir Putin’s government hits its limit in Germany.

The German military’s finding this week that Alexey Navalny was attacked with a novichok nerve agent has triggered calls for the chancellor to wield her biggest stick: withdraw support for the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline, which will ship Russian gas directly to Europe’s largest economy. Despite her growing exasperation with the Kremlin, that may not be so easy.

Even with top lawmakers demanding the project be halted and NATO condemning Moscow for the “appalling” attempted assassination of Navalny, there is still little appetite within Merkel’s coalition to abandon Nord Stream. At the moment, neither Merkel’s Christian Democratic-led bloc nor her Social Democratic partner is likely to rally around the demand, according to three Bundestag officials, who asked not to be identified because of the sensitive nature of the discussions.

That narrows the options for Merkel to send Putin a stern message, as the Navalny poisoning now tops a list of grievances, including a contract killing in a Berlin park in broad daylight last year and a 2015 cyberattack on the Bundestag.

Russian Response

The resistance in her coalition reflects key support for the project from German industry as well as deeper ties with Russia, particularly among the Social Democrats. The German Eastern Business Association, an industry group that supports trade with Moscow, warned against severing ties with Nord Stream, saying Merkel had “good reason” to separate the Navalny affair from the 764-mile undersea pipeline, led by Russia’s Gazprom PJSC.

Merkel, who issued an uncharacteristically sharp rebuke over the novichok finding and pledged a coordinated response among NATO and European Union allies, is keeping her cards close to her chest. Queried on the project at a news conference on Thursday, Merkel didn’t repeat her demand made days earlier that the project should be finished.

“Much will depend on whatever reaction we have from the Russian side,” Merkel said, acknowledging the Kremlin’s position that there was no evidence of poisoning. Putin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said the government was awaiting information from Germany over its findings.

But as Navalny lies in a medically induced coma in a hospital a short drive from Merkel’s chancellery, criticism of the pipeline grew — undermining the official line that it’s mainly a commercial project. Friedrich Merz, a Merkel rival who is campaigning to lead her Christian Democrats, said any construction should be suspended for two years.

“Putin only understands this language, unfortunately,” Merz told Bild newspaper, which in an editorial also called on Merkel to halt the project.

On the other side of the divide is President Donald Trump, who has frequently attacked Nord Stream as a conduit for “billions” from Germany to Russia that he says Merkel’s government should be spending on defense. U.S. congress members are threatening additional sanctions after restrictions imposed in December brought pipe-laying work to a halt.

Potential Compensation

The U.S.’s open hostility to Nord Stream, which has raised complaints in Berlin of violating European sovereignty, is a factor in Berlin’s resolve, according to two Bundestag officials.

Merkel’s government may also have to compensate companies involved in the project. The Nord Stream consortium, which includes BASF SE’s Wintershall DEA unit and Austria’s OMV AG, plans to invest a total of 9.5 billion euros ($11.2 billion) in the pipeline.

In June, before a renewed threat of U.S. sanctions and escalation of tensions between Germany and Russia, state-run Gazprom said it would be able to complete the link this year and start shipments by late 2020 or early 2021.

While Russia has claimed Nord Stream 2 is needed because Europe’s own gas production is fast declining, demand on the continent largely remains stable due to the rise of renewables and an influx of liquefied natural gas from producers further afield, including the U.S. One of the main reasons for the link was to bypass Ukraine, a key transit nation, after price disputes in the past left Europeans with gas disruptions in winter.

Should Nord Stream 2 be scrapped, Russia may have to keep sending gas to Europe via Ukraine, as well as the already operational Nord Stream link.

Germany is the biggest foreign buyer of Russian gas, which makes up over 40% of its imports. That dependence is expected to intensify. Under Merkel’s plans to exit coal and nuclear power, gas is an almost unavoidable stop-gap as the country ramps wind and solar resources.

Pubblicato in: Diplomazia, Geopolitica Mondiale, Putin, Russia

Putin. Mette regolarmente nel sacco Merkel, sodali ed Europa. – Bloomberg.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-09-03.

Putin 1002

Da molti punti di vista Mr Putin assomma in sé le doti di Armand-Jean du Plessise del suo fido consigliere François Leclerc du Tremblay.

Con studiata naturalezza, Putin alterna comportamenti visibili da cardinal di Richelieu, lasciando in altri momenti intravedere un operoso Padre Giuseppe. Prima fa vedere i fatti, poi dice che li avrebbe compiuti.

Sarebbe sufficiente leggere le sue relazioni ai convegni di Valdai, ed i suoi interventi pubblici, per poterne capire la psicologia. Ne riportiamo un breve florilegio.

Fonti di informazione e difficoltà di tenersi informati.

*

Putin asfalta Megyn Kelly. Una intervista goduriosa, da risentirsi e rivedersi con cura.

Vladimir Putin distrugge la giornalista pagata per metterlo al muro.

Putin il Grande. Bloomberg lo incorona Master of the Middle East.

Occidente che muta. 01. Putin, Valdai e la Santa Pasqua.

Valdai. Mr Putin delinea la futura politica estera russa.

Putin. La strategia delle matrioske.

*

Mikhail Kalashnikov. Mosca erige il monumento che i liberal avrebbero abbattuto.

Russia. Il trionfo della Tradizione. Putin e la religione.

Russia, Putin inaugura statua di San Vladimiro il Grande 

Russia. Putin il rispetto della memoria storica

* * * * * * *

Per capire i russi, sarebbe molto utile leggere questo articolo:

Russia. Capire un popolo per capire una nazione.

Poi ascoltate bene musica e parole di questa canzone russa:

Katyusha Катюшa Dmitri Hvorostovsky.

Chi non parlasse il russo, cerchi le parole: chi le capisca bene, conoscerebbe a fondo i russi.

* * * * * * *

«Putin wins any staring contest with Germany and Europe»

«The Russian president wants to be feared, not believed or trusted»

«That’s why Germany and the EU are so ineffective against him»

«Let no one say that Angela Merkel isn’t onto Vladimir Putin’s dirty tricks and cynicism. As a former East German, the chancellor speaks Russian just as the Russian president, a former KGB offer stationed in Dresden, is fluent in German»

«Merkel’s done her best over the years to call Putin out. When he seized Crimea from Ukraine in 2014 and then instigated the fighting in its eastern Donbas region, she took the West’s lead in condemning the breach and containing the crisis»

«Merkel demanded Russian answers but received none.»

«The doctors in Berlin have confirmed that they found a cholinesterase inhibitor in Navalny — though there’s no proof of course that Putin had anything to do with getting this nerve agent into his body»

«On cue, a Kremlin spokesperson feigned astonishment that “our German colleagues are in such a hurry in using the word poisoning.” …. provocation by Germany and other members of the EU aimed at creating more allegations against our country»

«The getting away with it is the point»

«Neither Putin nor anybody who works for him seriously pretends, or actually wants to convince skeptics, that they’re telling the truth»

«The point instead, as for Big Brother, is to display the naked power that allows them to abolish truth with impunity»

«The Kremlin intimidates others by showing that it is in control of defining ‘reality’»

«If nothing is true, then anything is possible»

«We are left with the sense that we don’t know what Putin will do next — that he’s unpredictable and thus dangerous»

«Any potential enemy will fear being the next Navalny. The game, in short, is asymmetrical.»

«Thanks to his biography of serving as a KGB officer in a communist regime — and pining for it — Putin has no scruples»

«That gives him the edge in matters of life and death. And both leaders know it.»         

* * * * * * *

«We are left with the sense that we don’t know what Putin will do next — that he’s unpredictable and thus dangerous»

Tutti i pensieri e le azioni delle persone intelligenti hanno dell’imprevedibile.

Chi mai si sarebbe potuto immaginare che guardando un candelabro oscillare Galileo ne avrebbe dedotto la legge del pendolo e, quindi, proposto il concetto di forza di gravità?

Merkel, sodali ed europei pensano secondo archetipi ideologici che li imbrigliano nell’ideazione e nella prassi: sono facilmente prevedibili e sempre scollati dal reale. Mr Putin sa sempre cosa stiano pensando, come lo pensino, e come poi lo attueranno. Preparar loro le polpette avvelenate è gioco da ragazzi.

In questo l’articolo di Bloomberg coglie solo un aspetto della personalità di Mr Putin. Non riesce a vedere il Putin che è russo.

*


Putin Wins Any Staring Contest with Germany and Europe.

The Russian president wants to be feared, not believed or trusted. That’s why Germany and the EU are so ineffective against him.

Let no one say that Angela Merkel isn’t onto Vladimir Putin’s dirty tricks and cynicism. As a former East German, the chancellor speaks Russian just as the Russian president, a former KGB offer stationed in Dresden, is fluent in German. They’ve known each other for decades. She still recalls vividly his attempt during a visit in 2007 to intimidate her, a known cynophobe, by letting his black Labrador Koni sniff her.

So as the worldly-wise leader of a country that’s often naively Russophile, Merkel’s done her best over the years to call Putin out. When he seized Crimea from Ukraine in 2014 and then instigated the fighting in its eastern Donbas region, she took the West’s lead in condemning the breach and containing the crisis.

When Russia kept feeding the West, including Germany, disinformation and fake news, she let him know that she didn’t like it, but kept up the dialogue. After a Russian cyberattack on the Bundestag and her own e-mail account, Merkel called such methods “outrageous.” And after a gangland-style execution last summer of a Chechen who had fought against Russian forces — in a Berlin park in broad daylight — Merkel demanded Russian answers but received none.

And then, this month, came the poisoning of Alexey Navalny, the most prominent figure in Russia’s remaining opposition movement. Merkel’s reaction has been stronger than that of any other Western leader. She’s had Navalny airlifted out of Russia and brought to a clinic in Berlin, where she’s put guards around his bed.

But now, with Navalny still in a coma, all sides are reverting to the usual script. The doctors in Berlin have confirmed that they found a cholinesterase inhibitor in Navalny — though there’s no proof of course that Putin had anything to do with getting this nerve agent into his body. Merkel and her foreign minister, Heiko Maas, immediately and “urgently” demanded that Russia investigate this poisoning “in a completely transparent way.”

On cue, a Kremlin spokesperson feigned astonishment that “our German colleagues are in such a hurry in using the word poisoning.” The speaker of the lower house of Russia’s parliament suggested the whole episode may be just another “provocation by Germany and other members of the EU aimed at creating more allegations against our country.” And everything goes on as usual.

In these recurring charades between the West and Russia, and in particular between Merkel and Putin, everybody knows the game, and yet everybody feels the need to keep playing it. It’s like a nightmare from which there is no waking up, as in George Orwell’s “1984.” Like the Ministry of Truth in the novel, Putin’s Kremlin can insist that “war is peace, freedom is slavery, ignorance is strength” — and get away with it.

The getting away with it is the point. Neither Putin nor anybody who works for him seriously pretends, or actually wants to convince skeptics, that they’re telling the truth. The point instead, as for Big Brother, is to display the naked power that allows them to abolish truth with impunity.

“The Kremlin intimidates others by showing that it is in control of defining ‘reality’,” as Peter Pomerantsev, a Soviet-born British author, has been pointing out since 2014. “If nothing is true, then anything is possible. We are left with the sense that we don’t know what Putin will do next — that he’s unpredictable and thus dangerous. We’re rendered stunned, spun, and flummoxed by the Kremlin’s weaponization of absurdity and unreality.”

For these purposes it’s moot whether Putin is acting out of a sense of strength or vulnerability. Unlike Big Brother, he hasn’t yet squashed all opposition. In Russia’s far east, people are demonstrating. In next-door Belarus, citizens are rebelling against the dictatorship of his geopolitical buddy, Alexander Lukashenko.

But Putin knows he can disturb any “narrative” that doesn’t suit him. Nobody knows where next he will cause mischief, and even massive human suffering — in Syria or Libya, in the Baltic, on the streets of Berlin or in Belarus. Any potential enemy will fear being the next Navalny.

The game, in short, is asymmetrical. Thanks to her biography of growing up in a communist regime and hating it, Merkel values truth and freedom, and she understands that “the West” only lives as an idea, one that couldn’t survive the abolition of reality. Thanks to his biography of serving as a KGB officer in a communist regime — and pining for it — Putin has no scruples. That gives him the edge in matters of life and death. And both leaders know it.

Pubblicato in: Cina, Devoluzione socialismo, Senza categoria

Merkel propagandava ai cinesi quella Wirecard che è fallita. Cinesi furenti.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-07-26.

Berlino Porta Brandemburgo

Germania. Il Ministro Olaf Scholz avrebbe coperto il fallimento Wirecard.

Wirecard, da sogno fintech europeo a incubo per milioni di utenti con le carte bloccate

Wirecard,fermato l’ex ceo Braun per il buco da 2 miliardi. La Germania inciampa nel suo «caso Parmalat»

«Ai revisori non risultano i depositi dichiarati nelle Filippine. E ora le banche (Abn Amro, Ing, Commerzbank e istituti cinesi) potrebbero ritirare le linee di credito. Sotto accusa i controllori di Bafin (Consob tedesca) che ha sempre difeso la società»

German Finance Minister Knew of Wirecard Issues a Year Before Collapse

Hedge Funds. Vendite allo scoperto su DB e Commerzbank.

Germania. L’impero economico della Spd inizia a perdere pezzi.

* * * * * * *

Wirecar stava per fallire e Frau Merkel la raccomandava ai cinesi, che hanno taciuto sorridendo ma che nei fatti erano oltremodo irritati.


German Finance Watchdog Defends Agency Amid Wirecard Scandal.

* * * * * * *

«Merkel promoted Wirecard to chinese officials before scandal»

«German parliament to discuss the company’s collapse on July 29»

«Angela Merkel promoted Wirecard AG during a past state visit to China, the latest revelation about the government’s association with the fallen German tech darling»

«Opposition lawmakers are threatening to call for a parliamentary investigation as they press Merkel’s administration over how it pursued fraud allegations against a member of Germany’s benchmark DAX index»

«Underscoring the impact of the scandal, the finance committee in Germany’s lower house of parliament plans to interrupt the summer recess to hold a special session on July 29 to discuss Wirecard.»

«The government needs to end its piecemeal approach and finally put everything on the table»

«Wirecard became a national disgrace when it said last month that a quarter of its balance sheet probably doesn’t exist»

«Questions have also been raised about what government officials knew about Wirecard’s problems and when they were informed about them»

«Scholz was aware of suspicions of market manipulation at the digital payments company in February 2019, almost a year and a half before it collapsed. Merkel has kept the scandal at arm’s length, but now risks being drawn in.»

«During her discussions in China, the chancellor mentioned Wirecard along with topics affecting other companies»

* * * * * * *

Era dal luglio 2019 che il governo tedesco era a conoscenza del fatto che

«a quarter of its balance sheet probably doesn’t exist»

Fatto tipico delle aziende vicine ai liberal socialisti.

*


Merkel Promoted Wirecard to Chinese Officials Before Scandal.

– Chancellor was unaware of Wirecard suspicions at the time

– German parliament to discuss the company’s collapse on July 29

*

Angela Merkel promoted Wirecard AG during a past state visit to China, the latest revelation about the government’s association with the fallen German tech darling.

Opposition lawmakers are threatening to call for a parliamentary investigation as they press Merkel’s administration over how it pursued fraud allegations against a member of Germany’s benchmark DAX index.

Underscoring the impact of the scandal, the finance committee in Germany’s lower house of parliament plans to interrupt the summer recess to hold a special session on July 29 to discuss Wirecard.

Finance Minister Olaf Scholz and Economy Minister Peter Altmaier have been invited, as well as officials from the government’s Financial Reporting Enforcement Panel, according to Daniel Bayaz, a lawmaker from the Green party.

‘Last Chance’

“The government needs to end its piecemeal approach and finally put everything on the table,” Bayaz said via email, calling next week’s hearing the “last chance” for the government to avoid a parliamentary investigation.

Wirecard became a national disgrace when it said last month that a quarter of its balance sheet probably doesn’t exist. That set off a blame game between banks, auditors and public authorities and revealed large gaps in the country’s accounting oversight.

Questions have also been raised about what government officials knew about Wirecard’s problems and when they were informed about them. Scholz was aware of suspicions of market manipulation at the digital payments company in February 2019, almost a year and a half before it collapsed.

Merkel has kept the scandal at arm’s length, but now risks being drawn in.

“During her discussions in China, the chancellor mentioned Wirecard along with topics affecting other companies,” Merkel’s deputy spokeswoman Ulrike Demmer said Monday at a regular government press conference in Berlin, noting that advocating for German companies is standard practice during such trips.

“The chancellor definitely wasn’t aware of irregularities at Wirecard at the time,” she added, without specifying the time frame.

Pubblicato in: Commercio, Devoluzione socialismo, Regno Unito, Unione Europea

Johnson avvisa Frau Merkel che l’UK è pronto ad uscire senza accordo.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-07-17.

Johnson Boris - Improta 001

«Boris Johnson warned Germany’s Angela Merkel that the U.K. is ready to do without a trade deal if the European Union wasn’t prepared to compromise»

«The prime minister spoke to the chancellor Tuesday»

«Negotiations are stuck over questions including fishing rights, the future influence of EU courts in U.K. laws, and how far Britain will be able to loosen its rules and still enjoy access to the single market»

* * * * * * *

L’Unione Europea si è arroccata sulle sue posizioni.

Per trattare, il Regno Unito dovrebbe accettare che i francesi possano liberamente pescare nelle acque territoriali inglesi, dovrebbero accettare il diritto e le corti di giustizia dell’Unione Europea ed infine rientrare nelle vecchie regole.

È un dialogo tra sordi.

Sono proprio i motivi per i quali il Regno Unito se ne è andato via sbattendo la porta.

*


Bloomberg. Johnson Tells Merkel U.K. Is Ready to Go Without an EU Trade Deal.

Boris Johnson warned Germany’s Angela Merkel that the U.K. is ready to do without a trade deal if the European Union wasn’t prepared to compromise.

The prime minister spoke to the chancellor Tuesday, as Brexit negotiators held informal talks over a private dinner. Negotiations are stuck over questions including fishing rights, the future influence of EU courts in U.K. laws, and how far Britain will be able to loosen its rules and still enjoy access to the single market.

“The prime minister underlined the U.K.’s commitment to working hard to find an early agreement out of the intensified talks process,” Johnson’s office said in a statement later. “He also noted that the U.K. equally would be ready to leave the transition period on Australia terms if an agreement could not in the end be reached.”

“Australia terms” is how the U.K. government refers to not having a trade deal. Johnson promised voters at last year’s election that he had an “oven-ready” Brexit deal. The transition period during which trade continues as though the U.K. was still an EU member runs out at the end of 2020. If agreement can’t be reached, both sides face a further economic shock on top of the damage already done by coronavirus.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Europarlamento. Merkel predica il suo credo, ma sono ben pochi i convertiti.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-07-15.

Buco nell'acqua. Lago Berryessa. California. 001

Buco nell’acqua. Lago Berryessa. California.


«La cancelliera tedesca Angela Merkel, in apertura del suo discorso alla plenaria dell’Europarlamento a Bruxelles. Merkel, al suo primo viaggio all’estero dai mesi del lockdown, ha riepilogato i punti-chiave del semestre Ue a guida tedesca: diritti, coesione, clima, digitalizzazione e responsabilità della Ue nel mondo»

«Dobbiamo cambiare l’Europa, se vogliamo preservarla. La nostra economia è stata colpita violentemente dal virus»

«La cancelliera ha invitato a una maggiore coesione, dichiarando che il principio-guida della presidenza tedesca sarà la maggiore solidarietà fra i paesi Ue»

«La cancelliera ha invitato a una maggiore coesione, dichiarando che il principio-guida della presidenza tedesca sarà la maggiore solidarietà fra i paesi Ue»

«le posizioni degli stati sono distanti su Recovery fund e bilancio settennale»

«Dobbiamo andare verso un’economia a emissioni zero. Per me è importante che la neutralità del clima, come obiettivo, venga formalizzata in maniera giuridica»

«La cancelliera ha poi sposato la linea della vicepresidente della Commissione Margrethe Vestager sulla web tax, la tassa sui ricavi dei colossi del digitale»

«La sfida è enorme. Questa crisi è peggiore di quella di 10 anni fa»

«La ripresa economica è inseparabile dal Green deal e dalla digitalizzazione» ha poi aggiunto von der Leyen, chiedendo agli eurodeputati di non trascurate il bilancio pluriennale»

«Polemico il primo intervento dei capigruppo, a opera del leader del Ppe Manfred Weber: «L’Europa non è un bancomat, sia detto con chiarezza come saranno rimborsati i soldi del Recovery fund. Servono risorse proprie». Dacian Cioloș, leader dei liberali di Renew Europe, ha incalzato Merkel per la tutela della democrazia, minacciata anche «da figure interne al suo partito (il Ppe, ndr) come Viktor Orban».»

«Arriva l’attacco diretto di Jörg Meuthen, esponente tedesco del gruppo di ultradestra Identità e Democrazia: «Lei porta alla tomba l’idea di Europa – ha detto – Con ideologie socialiste prendete i soldi ai cittadini»»

* * * * * * *

Con la presidenza Merkel emergono alcuni fatti nuovi.

Sui temi caldi da discutere al consiglio Europeo prossimo venturo, oltre al fronte degli stati ‘virtuosi’ emerge la durissima posizione di altre parti politiche trasversali.

«il leader del Ppe Manfred Weber: «L’Europa non è un bancomat, sia detto con chiarezza come saranno rimborsati i soldi del Recovery fund. Servono risorse proprie».»

Ma Herr Manfred Weber è un popolare tedesco, di origine Cdu, proprio il partito di Frau Merkel.

«Dacian Cioloș, leader dei liberali di Renew Europe, ha incalzato Merkel per la tutela della democrazia, minacciata anche da figure interne al suo partito (il Ppe, ndr)»

Jörg Meuthen di Identità e Democrazia:

«Lei porta alla tomba l’idea di Europa. …. Con ideologie socialiste prendete i soldi ai cittadini»

* * *

Si possono nutrire serissimi dubbi che Frau Merkel abbia una presidenza proficua e serena.

*


Merkel: «Serve accordo su Recovery Fund, sosterremo 500 mld per il fondo». Von der Leyen: crisi peggiore di 10 anni fa.

Alle 18 l’incontro fra i quattro presidenti della Ue per fare il punto sul negoziato sul bilancio Ue 2021-2027 in vista del Consiglio del 17-18 luglio.

«Dobbiamo cambiare l’Europa, se vogliamo preservarla. La nostra economia è stata colpita violentemente dal virus». Così la cancelliera tedesca Angela Merkel, in apertura del suo discorso alla plenaria dell’Europarlamento a Bruxelles. Merkel, al suo primo viaggio all’estero dai mesi del lockdown, ha riepilogato i punti-chiave del semestre Ue a guida tedesca: diritti, coesione, clima, digitalizzazione e responsabilità della Ue nel mondo. «La nostra economia europea è stata fortemente scossa, milioni di posti di lavoro si sono persi, i cittadini hanno vissuto la paura della propria sopravvivenza economica e ora hanno bisogno del nostro sostegno» ha aggiunto la cancelliera.

Merkel: i diritti valgono per tutti. L’Europa più forte se rafforziamo coesione

Merkel si è soffermata sul tema dei diritti, sottolineando come la sospensione delle libertà nel vivo della pandemia non debba diventare un precedente per «svuotare» i principi democratici. La cancelliera ha invitato a una maggiore coesione, dichiarando che il principio-guida della presidenza tedesca sarà la maggiore solidarietà fra i paesi Ue.

Recovery fund: bene proposta Commissione, ora accordo entro l’estate

Merkel è tornata anche sul dibattito sul recovery fund, già anticipato in conferenza stampa. «Bene che la Commissione abbia aderito a proposta franco-tedesca – ha detto – Serve una intesa, spero entro l’estate, abbiamo davanti l’abisso per la nostra economia. Sosteniamo la dote da 500 miliardi per tutta l’Europa». In un secondo momento, rispondendo agli interventi dei capigruppo (si legga sotto), Merkel ha riconosciuto che «le posizioni degli stati sono distanti» su Recovery fund e bilancio settennale. La cancelliera ha anche annunciato un rafforzamento del programma Garanzia Giovani, nell’ottica di un interesse attivo per il futuro di giovani e bambini.

Clima, obiettivo emissioni zero. La Ue sia sovrana nel digitale e avanti con Web tax

«Dobbiamo andare verso un’economia a emissioni zero. Per me è importante che la neutralità del clima, come obiettivo, come venga formalizzata in maniera giuridica. La tappa del 2050 è intermedia». Merkel ha ribadito anche il peso di una rivoluzione tecnologica della Ue, rivendicando l’urgenza della «sovranità digitale» della Ue su materie come intelligenza artificiale e quantistica, oltre alla «protezione della fake news». La cancelliera ha poi sposato la linea della vicepresidente della Commissione Margrethe Vestager sulla web tax, la tassa sui ricavi dei colossi del digitale: 

Brexit, accordo entro l’anno. Non voltiamo lo sguardo sulle migrazioni

Merkel ha poi parlato delle «responsabilità» della Ue nel mondo, ovvero il quadro di alleanze e relazioni internazionali del blocco comunitario. Merkel ha auspicato un accordo sulla Brexit entro l’anno, anche se «eufemisticamente» sono stato compiuti pochissimi progressi. La cancelliera ha invitato poi i partner a «non voltare lo sguardo» su un’altra urgenza in agenda del semestre, le migrazioni.

Von der Leyen: sfida enorme, crisi peggiore di quella di 10 anni fa

«La sfida è enorme. Questa crisi è peggiore di quella di 10 anni fa». La presidente della Commissione, Ursula von der Leyen, ha commentato così il semestre tedesco inaugurato da Angela Merkel a Bruxelles. Von der Leyen ha ribadito l’importanza di approvare in tempi rapidi Next Generation Eu, il pacchetto da 750 miliardi previsto dall’esecutivo per il bilancio comunitario. «La ripresa economica è inseparabile dal Green deal e dalla digitalizzazione» ha poi aggiunto von der Leyen, chiedendo agli eurodeputati di «non trascurate il bilancio pluriennale». Von der Leyen ha anche parlato dei rapporti della Ue con i partner internazionali: «Partenariato con l’Africa sempre fondamentale -ha detto – Mentre con la Cina serve un rapporto più equilibrato. E ora bisogna inaugurare la Conferenza sul futuro d’Europa».

Weber (PPE): l’Europa non è un bancomat

Polemico il primo intervento dei capigruppo, a opera del leader del Ppe Manfred Weber: «L’Europa non è un bancomat, sia detto con chiarezza come saranno rimborsati i soldi del Recovery fund. Servono risorse proprie». Dacian Cioloș, leader dei liberali di Renew Europe, ha incalzato Merkel per la tutela della democrazia, minacciata anche «da figure interne al suo partito (il Ppe, ndr) come Viktor Orban». Arriva l’attacco diretto di Jörg Meuthen, esponente tedesco del gruppo di ultradestra Identità e Democrazia: «Lei porta alla tomba l’idea di Europa – ha detto – Con ideologie socialiste prendete i soldi ai cittadini».

Recovery fund: serve un accordo

«Il Consiglio europeo deve prima giungere a un risultato» sul Recovery Fund e «poi dobbiamo lavorare insieme al Parlamento europeo», aveva già sottolineato Merkel durante un punto stampa a Bruxelles insieme al presidente del Parlamento Ue, David Sassoli, prima dell’inizio della plenaria. Per «affrontare le conseguenze» della pandemia e «trovare la risposta giusta» alla recessione «abbiamo bisogno di un accordo su strumenti che siano affidabili per il quadro finanziario pluriennale», ha detto Merkel.

Alle 18 è previsto l’incontro fra i quattro presidenti della Ue convocato da Ursula von der Leyen per fare il punto sul negoziato sul bilancio Ue 2021-2027 in vista del Consiglio europeo del 17-18 luglio. La presidente della Commissione ha convocato i presidenti del Consiglio europeo Charles Michel, Merkel e il presidente del Parlamento Ue David Sassoli. Si tratta di appuntamenti importanti per capire lo stato delle discussioni tra i governi sul pacchetto piano di rilancio economico-bilancio pluriennale della Ue.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Diplomazia, Russia

GRU si leggeva tranquillamente le email di Frau Merkel. Per anni …

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-05-12.

Gufo_019__

Quando si parla di servizi segreti la fantasia dei più corre a James Bond, ma la realtà è ben diversa.

Un buon numero di quanti seguano questo tipo di problematica vanno a pensare alla Cia americana, oppure alla Fsb russa, nuovo nome del vecchio Kgb. Ma un servizio segreto chiacchierato e noto in tutto il mondo avrebbe ben poco di segreto.

Se per Israele è ben noto il Mossad, la vera intelligence è svolta dal Shin Bet, il cui motto è “scudo invisibile”.

Negli Stati Uniti la Nsa ha il nomignolo di ‘no such agency’: l’agenzia che non esiste.

Stessa cosa per la Russia. Se Fsb e Kgb sono sulla bocca di tutti, il Gru è assolutamente non chiacchierato, nessuno ama parlarne, è una specie di ectoplasma. Il Glavnoe razvedyvatel’noe upravlenie (Главное разведывательное управление), in italiano Direttorato principale per l’informazione, è il servizio informativo delle forze armate russe.

I servizi segreti sono formati da gente pratica: non sono immorali, sono amorali per la ragion di stato.

Gerusalemme. Summit dei servizi segreti degli Usa, Israele e Russia.

* * * * * * *

«Russia’s GRU military intelligence service appears to have got hold of many emails from Chancellor Angela Merkel’s constituency office in a 2015 hack attack on Germany’s parliament»

«A spokesman for the German government had no immediate comment»

«Prosecutors have not commented on the report»

«There was also no immediate comment from Moscow, which has denied previous allegations of hacking abroad»

«Der Spiegel said federal criminal police and the federal cyber agency had been able to partially reconstruct the attack and found that two email inboxes from Merkel’s office had been targeted»

«They contained email correspondence from 2012 to 2015 and Der Spiegel said the hackers appear to have managed to copy both mailboxes to another computer»

«Der Spiegel magazine reported on Friday, without citing its sources.»

* * * * * * *

Nessuno vuole fare dichiarazioni in merito e Mosca si dice stupefatta perché mica sapeva che esistesse il Gru e che qualche russo avesse fatto una birbonata del genere.

Il patetico giornalista di Reuters si rammarica che il Der Spiegel non abbia fatto nomi, cognomi, indirizzi e numeri telefonici della sua fonte di informazioni.

Se il Gru pubblicasse l’elenco dei propri informatori metà dei governanti occidentali finirebbe sulla forca.

*


Russian hackers accessed emails from Merkel’s constituency office: Der Spiegel.

Russia’s GRU military intelligence service appears to have got hold of many emails from Chancellor Angela Merkel’s constituency office in a 2015 hack attack on Germany’s parliament, Der Spiegel magazine reported on Friday, without citing its sources.

A spokesman for the German government had no immediate comment. There was also no immediate comment from Moscow, which has denied previous allegations of hacking abroad.

Der Spiegel said federal criminal police and the federal cyber agency had been able to partially reconstruct the attack and found that two email inboxes from Merkel’s office had been targeted.

They contained email correspondence from 2012 to 2015 and Der Spiegel said the hackers appear to have managed to copy both mailboxes to another computer.

Germany’s Bundestag lower house of parliament discovered its systems had been broken into in May 2015 and concluded that the intrusions had been continuing since at least the beginning of that year. It was impossible to determine what information had been stolen.

The Russian embassy in Berlin was not immediately available for comment.

German federal prosecutors have issued an arrest warrant for an individual linked to the 2015 hacking incident, the Sueddeutsche Zeitung reported this week. Prosecutors have not commented on the report.

Pubblicato in: Vignette Umoristiche

Merkel, Schäuble, Conte, Zingaretti, Di Maio e Salvini.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-05-02.

Animali_che_Ridono__006_Muli

Il presidente Conte, in visita ufficiale in Germania, viene invitato per un te da Angela Merkel.

Durante l’incontro le chiede qual’e la sua strategia di leadership, e lei risponde che consiste nel circondarsi di persone intelligenti.

A questo punto Conte le chiede come fa a giudicare se siano intelligenti.

‘Lo capisco facendogli la domanda giusta.’, risponde la Merkel.

‘Mi permetta di dimostrarglielo.’

La Merkel allora telefona al ministro delle finanze Schäuble e dice:

‘Signor Ministro, la prego di rispondere alla seguente domanda: sua madre ha un bambino, e suo padre ha un bambino, e questo bambino non è ne suo fratello ne sua sorella. Chi e?’.

Schäuble risponde:

‘Ovviamente sono io!’

‘Corretto! Grazie, e a risentirci.’, dice la Merkel.

La Merkel attacca la cornetta e dice:

‘Ha capito Herr Conte?’.

‘Sicuro. Grazie mille. Farò senz’altro anch’io cosi!’.

Al rientro a Roma decide di mettere alla prova uno dei suoi ministri.

Fa quindi venire a palazzo Chigi Di Maio, e gli dice:

‘Ascolta, Gigì, mi chiedevo se potessi rispondere a una domanda.’.

‘Certamente, signor Presidente, cosa vuole sapere?’.

‘Ehm, tua madre ha un bambino, e tuo padre ha un bambino, e questo bambino non è ne tuo fratello ne tua sorella. Chi è?’.

Di Maio ci pensa un po’, poi imbarazzato dice:

‘Posso pensarci meglio e rispondere poi correttamente?’.

Conte acconsente, e Di Maio se ne va.

Appena uscito da Palazzo Chigi, Di Maio prova a chiedere a Zingaretti, poi organizza subito una riunione con altri colleghi di partito, i quali si lambiccano il cervello per diverse ore, ma nessuno riesce a trovare la risposta giusta.

A un certo punto Di Maio decide di chiamare Salvini, e gli spiega la situazione.

‘Adesso ascolta la domanda: tua madre ha un bambino, e tuo padre ha un bambino, e questo bambino non è ne tuo fratello ne tua sorella. Chi è?’.

Salvini risponde subito:

‘Ovviamente sono io! Razza di deficienti!!’.

Estremamente sollevato, Di Maio corre a Palazzo Chigi e dice a Conte:

‘Presidente, so la risposta alla sua domanda! So chi è il bambino! E’ Salvini!’.

E Conte risponde, disgustato:

‘Cretino, è Schäuble!’

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale, Medicina e Biologia, Unione Europea

Germania. Pianifica 500 mld per l’economia in crisi. KfW.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-03-15.

Bundestag 001

Quattro i punti:

«Half a trillion euros in business guarantees available»

«There is more if needed, says Economy Minister»

«FinMin: one shouldn’t run after savings in a crisis»

«Govt could temporarily buy stakes in firms, if needed»

I crediti saranno elargiti dalla KfW, Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau, state development bank.

* * * * * * *


KfW Bankengruppe. Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau.

Total Assets 472.3 miliardi euro.

«The KfW, formerly KfW Bankengruppe (banking group), is a German state-owned development bank, based in Frankfurt. Its name originally comes from Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau (“Credit Institute for Reconstruction”). It was formed in 1948 after World War II as part of the Marshall Plan. As of 2018, it is Germany’s third largest bank by balance sheet. ….

KfW is owned by the Federal Republic of Germany (80 percent) and the States of Germany (20 percent) ….

The Chair and Deputy Chair of the Board of Supervisory Directors are the German Federal Ministers of Finance and of Economic Affairs, with the positions alternating annually between them ….

In 2009, Caisse des Dépots, Cassa Depositi e Prestiti, KfW and European Investment Bank founded the Long-Term Investors Club. ….

KfW Förderbank (KfW promotional Bank), the largest business unit of the group, committed €47.6 billion in 2014, mostly for housing and environmental protection in Germany. It is especially active in promoting energy-efficient housing for owner-occupied houses as well as for landlords, both for new houses and refurbishments. Its energy efficiency standards for houses (KfW-60 and KfW-40) have become accepted standards in Germany. Concerning environmental protection, it promotes, among others, photovoltaic energy (solar cells) which has in turn received massive indirect subsidies through feed-in tariffs under the Renewable Energy Law of 2000 ….

On behalf of the German state, KfW holds shares in a variety of corporations, including Deutsche Post, Deutsche Telekom and Commerzbank» [Fonte]

*

‘Companies would not think of energy efficiency if it wasn’t profitable’ – KfW development bank

«Green and sustainable finance in Germany is not thinkable without the country’s state-owned development bank KfW. The bank installed after the Second World War to finance reconstruction in Germany has become a major funder of climate-friendly projects in Germany, particularly in making buildings more energy efficient. By the same token, climate change and environment have become key topics for the bank itself, which today directs about 40 percent of its grants at projects dealing with renewables, efficient buildings or clean mobility. Philipp Tilleßen, KfW’s first vice director for product management, told Clean Energy Wire how the bank attempts to ingrain climate action even further into its activities and why saving taxes often is more appealing for people in Germany than receiving subsidies.»

*

Riassumiamo.

La gravità della situazione dell’industria e del commercio germanici sono attestati dal fatto che la KfW è stata autorizzata ad elargire crediti per 500 miliardi

«And that is the start …. There is no upper limit to the amount of credit the KfW can grant»

Questo stanziamento quantifica i danni indotti dall’epidemia nella sola Germania e fanno guardare con tenerezza ai 120 miliardi che Mrs Lagarde mette a disposizione dell’intera eurozona in un anno. Per non parlare dei 37 miliardi messi a disposizione da Frau von der Leyen, sempre da ripartirsi su ventisette stati.

Va di conserva che, di fronte a questo gigantesco nuovo Piano Marshall tutte le risorse saranno destinate a cercare di riparare i danni causati dall’epidemia di coronavirus, cessando le sovvenzioni al Green.

Un boccone ben amaro per Frau Merkel.

*


Germany goes all in to tackle economic fallout of coronavirus

* Half a trillion euros in business guarantees available

* There is more if needed, says Economy Minister

* FinMin: one shouldn’t run after savings in a crisis

* Govt could temporarily buy stakes in firms, if needed

* Economists welcome the package

*

Germany on Friday promised half a trillion euros in guarantees for business – and more if needed – in a four-point plan to tackle the economic impact of the coronavirus epidemic, winning a thumbs up from economists.

“We have the financial strength to overcome this crisis,” said Finance Minister Olaf Scholz. “We’re not building up arms slowly. We’re putting all our weapons on the table.”

The German economy, Europe’s largest, stagnated in the fourth quarter of last year and the coronavirus fallout has raised the risk that it will tip into recession in the first half of this year.

Economy Minister Peter Altmaier said he hoped the coronavirus outbreak would only cause a blip in growth rather than the crisis of the decade.

Under their plan, Scholz and Altmaier lowered the bar for firms to qualify for a shortened-hours work facility, made it easier for them to defer their taxes, offered guarantees to businesses, and pledged enhanced EU cooperation.

“Around half a trillion euros is available,” Altmaier said of the guarantees available from the KfW state development bank. “And that is the start.”

“We have promised that this (plan) should not fail due to a lack of money, or a lack of political will,” he told a news conference with Scholz, who added: “There is no upper limit to the amount of credit the KfW can grant”.

Scholz also dropped the government’s laser-like focus on budget balance: “One shouldn’t run after savings in a crisis,” he said.

Germany, which has until now pursued a self-imposed policy pledge of not taking on new debt, has come under pressure from neighbouring France to raise public spending.

Chancellor Angela Merkel already signalled an end, if needed, to the fiscal rectitude at a news conference on Thursday, when she said Germany’s debt brake “provides for exceptions in extraordinary situations”.

Under the German debt brake rule, the federal government can take on new debt of up to 0.35% of economic output.

“We are in a situation that is unusual in every respect and I would say more unusual than at the time of the banking crisis,” Merkel said on Thursday.

Economists welcomed Friday’s plan from Scholz and Altmaier.

“This is a ‘whatever it takes’ from the federal government,” said DekaBank economist Ulrich Kater, referring to former European Central Bank President Mario Draghi’s pledge at the height of the euro zone crisis in 2012 to save the euro.

“This is exactly the news that can break the downward spiral in expectations,” Kater added.

Scholz, who would not be drawn when asked whether the government was considering banning short-selling by financial market traders, said he could not rule out the government taking stakes in companies due to the coronavirus outbreak.

But Altmaier, when asked if he saw a need for the government to temporarily take stakes in strategic companies like Deutsche Telekom or Siemens, said: “I do not see such a need at the moment.”

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Merkeldämmerung. Il congresso Cdu potrebbe segnare un punto di svolta.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-03-14.

Welcome to Reality

A breve, il 25 aprile, dovrebbe tenersi il congresso straordinario della Cdu per nominare il nuovo leader del partito e candidato cancelliere.

«locals are toasting the man they are counting on to see out Chancellor Angela Merkel and her brand of liberal conservatism»

«Friedrich Merz, whose line on Syrian asylum-seekers is “we can’t accept you here”, goes down well with his audience as he campaigns to succeed Merkel as leader of the Christian Democrats (CDU) and possibly the country»

«Merz’s promise to shift the CDU to the right is as popular as the beer and herrings laid on to accompany his pitch to a party rally in the town of Apolda»

«The CDU veteran is locked in a battle for the party’s soul with Armin Laschet, a centrist offering continuity»

«The CDU plans to pick a new leader at a special congress on April 25, with Merz currently leading Laschet in the polls by 35% to 24%»

«At stake is Germany’s reputation – personified by Merkel – as Europe’s champion of the post-war liberal order»

«Straight-talking Merz, a 64-year-old lawyer, offers a socially conservative, pro-business pitch that appeals to the CDU’s core of mainly western, Catholic men who see Merkel – a Protestant from the east – as an anomaly»

«There is no point in coming to Germany»

«By contrast, Laschet, 59, is making a more inclusive offer and last month won the support of Health Minister Jens Spahn, who appeals to some on the CDU’s more conservative wing, as a running mate»

«Merz’s supporters say Germany desperately needs a distinctively conservative party to counter the AfD, to which the CDU has lost most voters»

«Merkel has been more interested in surviving as chancellor than in uniting the party, …. To survive she cut wishy-washy deals with the SPD and silenced the conservative wing. Now we are saying we want to be heard again»

* * * * * * *

La Union, Cdu e Csu, a livello federale è scesa dal 32.9% delle passate elezioni politiche all’attuale 26%, e la Cdu raccoglie il 20% delle propensioni al voto. Se non cambiasse registro, verosimilmente l’anno prossimo dovrebbe lasciare la cancelleria ai Grüne.

Il partito è diviso in due correnti opposte, che più o meno si equivalgono. Ma oltre alle questioni di potere interno, dovranno anche fare i conti con la recessione economica.

«to see out Chancellor Angela Merkel and her brand of liberal conservatism»

*


Over beer and herrings, CDU’s eastern faithful spurn Merkel 2.0.

In a beer hall in eastern Germany, locals are toasting the man they are counting on to see out Chancellor Angela Merkel and her brand of liberal conservatism.

Friedrich Merz, whose line on Syrian asylum-seekers is “we can’t accept you here”, goes down well with his audience as he campaigns to succeed Merkel as leader of the Christian Democrats (CDU) and possibly the country.

Merz’s promise to shift the CDU to the right is as popular as the beer and herrings laid on to accompany his pitch to a party rally in the town of Apolda.

The CDU veteran is locked in a battle for the party’s soul with Armin Laschet, a centrist offering continuity after Merkel steps down in time for the next election, due by October 2021.

The CDU plans to pick a new leader at a special congress on April 25, with Merz currently leading Laschet in the polls by 35% to 24%.

At stake is Germany’s reputation – personified by Merkel – as Europe’s champion of the post-war liberal order, an issue now being blurred by the CDU’s domestic preoccupation with the rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD).

Whoever wins the CDU leadership faces the daunting challenge of uniting the party.

“Laschet is Merkel 2.0,” said Axel Zimmermann, 51, a bank clerk and one of 1,500 supporters who gave Merz a standing ovation at the beer hall rally in Apolda, a small, left-behind town in the eastern German state of Thuringia.

“Laschet will win elections and compromise to build coalitions, but he won’t be able to unite the CDU,” Zimmermann said. “Merz will take the CDU to the right. This will unite the CDU and weaken the AfD. What’s the point of winning elections if your party is falling apart?”

Straight-talking Merz, a 64-year-old lawyer, offers a socially conservative, pro-business pitch that appeals to the CDU’s core of mainly western, Catholic men who see Merkel – a Protestant from the east – as an anomaly.

Earlier this month Merz had a simple message for Syrian refugees who may be hoping to leave Turkey: “There is no point in coming to Germany.”

That strikes a chord in Thuringia, where Merkel’s decision in 2015 to open Germany’s borders to a million refugees fleeing war in the Middle East fueled the rise of the nationalist AfD.

By contrast, Laschet, 59, is making a more inclusive offer and last month won the support of Health Minister Jens Spahn, who appeals to some on the CDU’s more conservative wing, as a running mate.

“The CDU is bigger than either one of us, this is about the future of our country and the CDU,” said Spahn, adding it was time to build bridges within the party.

‘PARTY IN CRISIS’

Germany’s most successful political party since the end of World War Two is now struggling to find a way forward after many of its voters have fled to the far-right AfD and the leftist Greens.

Merkel’s supporters, who back Laschet, premier of Germany’s most populous state of North Rhine-Westphalia, fear that any shift to the right will cost the CDU dearly at the ballot box.

They point to the Greens, now the second most popular party in opinion polls, as the main threat to the CDU, and say the conservatives should stick to the middle-ground strategy that has handed Merkel’s party four straight election victories.

But Merz’s supporters say Germany desperately needs a distinctively conservative party to counter the AfD, to which the CDU has lost most voters.

“We have a crisis and this is that we don’t know what we stand for anymore,” said Christian Sitter of the Werte Union, or Values Union, an ultra-conservative grouping in Merkel’s conservative bloc, which has ruled with the center-left Social Democrats (SPD) during 11 of the chancellor’s 15 years in power.

“Merkel has been more interested in surviving as chancellor than in uniting the party,” added Sitter. “To survive she cut wishy-washy deals with the SPD and silenced the conservative wing. Now we are saying we want to be heard again.”

The debate over what the CDU stands for and its position vis-à-vis the AfD came to a head in Thuringia last month, when CDU lawmakers sided with the AfD to elect a new state premier, shattering the post-war consensus among established parties of shunning the far right.

So great was the resulting controversy that the newly elected premier quit after a few days and Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, who defeated Merz to win the CDU leadership in December 2018, abandoned her ambitions to run for chancellor.

Her authority crushed, Kramp-Karrenbauer decided to step down – opening the way for Merz and Laschet to duke it out.

“We have two choices: more of the same or a new start,” Merz said to loud applause in Apolda. “And we choose a new start.”