Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Stati Uniti

Biden. Il grande ostacolo sono i Consumatori americani. Tra quattro mesi c’è midterm.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-06-20.

2022-06-19__ Biden 001

Mentre l’amministrazione Biden pensa di ampliare le misure punitive nei confronti della Russia per l’invasione dell’Ucraina, un grosso ostacolo si trova più vicino a casa: il consumatore americano.

Gli automobilisti statunitensi si stanno mettendo in moto per le vacanze estive con prezzi della benzina che superano in media i 5 dollari al gallone per la prima volta nella storia. [Non si confondano i prezzi all’ingrosso con quelli alla pompa].

E l’aumento dei prezzi del petrolio e del gas naturale sta contribuendo a far salire l’inflazione al livello più alto degli ultimi quarant’anni, facendo lievitare i prezzi di cibo, elettricità e case.

L’inasprimento delle sanzioni contro la Russia, uno dei maggiori fornitori di petrolio e gas al mondo, probabilmente non farebbe che peggiorare la situazione.

Un divieto statunitense sulle importazioni di energia russa, un divieto parziale dell’UE sulle importazioni di energia.

Ma intensificare le azioni di guerra economica contro la Russia senza aumentare i prezzi non sarà facile.

Ma finora la Russia è stata in grado di trovare nuovi acquirenti scontando i prezzi.

L’India, ad esempio, il mese scorso ha quasi triplicato gli acquisti di greggio russo, mentre la Cina ha acquistato altri barili russi.

E a maggio le entrate petrolifere della Russia sono aumentate grazie all’aumento dei prezzi globali e alle esportazioni costanti di greggio che hanno compensato gli sconti.

Gli acquisti dell’India sono stati nel mirino di Washington per mesi, tanto che a marzo un funzionario statunitense ha avvertito che l’India potrebbe essere esposta a un “grande rischio” di inasprimento delle sanzioni se acquistasse petrolio in misura significativamente superiore ai livelli degli anni precedenti.

Ma i prezzi elevati dei carburanti e l’inflazione che essi contribuiscono a generare sono una vulnerabilità per Biden e per i suoi colleghi democratici all’approssimarsi delle elezioni dell’8 novembre.

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In calce riportiamo una traduzione in lingua itaiana.

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«As the Biden administration contemplates expanding punitive measures on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, a big hurdle lies closer to home: the American consumer»

«U.S. drivers are embarking on summer vacations with gasoline prices averaging more than $5 a gallon for the first time ever»

«And rising oil and natural gas prices are helping to boost inflation to the highest level in four decades, driving up prices for food, electricity and housing»

«Tougher sanctions on Russia, among the world’s biggest oil and gas suppliers, would likely only make that worse»

«a U.S. ban on Russian energy imports, a partial EU ban on energy imports»

«But stepping up economic warfare actions on Russia without boosting prices will not be easy»

«But so far Russia has been able to find new buyers by discounting its prices»

«India, for example, last month nearly tripled its Russian crude purchases, while China has also picked up more Russian barrels»

«And in May, Russia’s oil revenues rose as higher global prices and steady crude exports outweighed those discounts»

«India’s purchases have been on Washington’s radar for months, with a U.S. official warning in March it could be exposed to “great risk” of stepped up sanctions if it purchases oil significantly beyond levels of previous years»

«But high fuel prices and the inflation it helps drive are a vulnerability for Biden and his fellow Democrats as the Nov. 8 elections approach»

* * * * * * *


With record pump prices, Biden hard-pressed to ramp up Russia sanctions

Washington, June 17 (Reuters) – As the Biden administration contemplates expanding punitive measures on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, a big hurdle lies closer to home: the American consumer.

U.S. drivers are embarking on summer vacations with gasoline prices averaging more than $5 a gallon for the first time ever. And rising oil and natural gas prices are helping to boost inflation to the highest level in four decades, driving up prices for food, electricity and housing.

Tougher sanctions on Russia, among the world’s biggest oil and gas suppliers, would likely only make that worse.

“It’s like kicking them while they’re down,” said Ellen Wald, an energy historian and a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council think tank, said about the prospect of actions that could make prices higher for U.S. fuel consumers.

The United States and Europe have already imposed a raft of measures targeting Russia’s oil exports, the lifeblood of its economy and its war machine, including export controls, a U.S. ban on Russian energy imports, a partial EU ban on energy imports.

But the Biden administration is also mulling so-called secondary sanction to ramp up the pressure. U.S. officials, for example, are in talks with European and Asian allies about imposing potential price caps on purchases of Russian oil, Deputy Treasury Secretary Wally Adeyemo said on Tuesday

Some officials believe price caps are among several methods that could deepen Russia’s economic pain without spiking global oil markets further because only the revenues would be cut, not volumes of oil going to market.

“What is happening is less about how much Russian oil is going off the market, and more about Russia’s declining oil profits as result of being forced to sell at steep discounts,” a State Department spokesperson told Reuters.

But stepping up economic warfare actions on Russia without boosting prices will not be easy.

Russia, for example, could retaliate by holding oil from the market. That could immediately drive prices higher as the world’s oil producers have very little spare capacity after years of under-investment in oilfields and refineries.

“Every time there is talk about sanctions, the price goes up,” said Wald.

In late May, for example, global benchmark Brent crude rose to two-month highs of nearly $124 a barrel after the European Union backed a watered-down embargo on Russia’s oil shipments.

Officials at the Treasury Department, which administers sanctions, and the White House National Security Council did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

When asked when secondary sanctions could be placed on Russian oil purchases and under what circumstances, a U.S. official said nothing had been decided.

Western sanctions are expected to steadily cut into Russia’s crude exports next year, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA).

But so far Russia has been able to find new buyers by discounting its prices. India, for example, last month nearly tripled its Russian crude purchases, while China has also picked up more Russian barrels.  

And in May, Russia’s oil revenues rose as higher global prices and steady crude exports outweighed those discounts, the IEA said.

India’s purchases have been on Washington’s radar for months, with a U.S. official warning in March it could be exposed to “great risk” of stepped up sanctions if it purchases oil significantly beyond levels of previous years.  

                         PRICE CAP MANIPULATION RISK

Besides price caps, the United States may also consider sanctions on entities that provide insurance or services to Russian cargoes, where transactions exceed a set price per barrel.

But enforcement of such measures would take time and resources.

“I don’t think that’s realistic,” said Pavel Mulchanov, a managing director at Raymond James investment bank in Houston. “Oil is an extremely liquid and competitive market and there is no practical way of enforcing any type of price limit up, or down.”

Richard Nephew, a former sanctions official at the U.S. State Department under President Joe Biden and former President Barack Obama, was dubious about both methods, particularly about price caps, which have never been tried before on a producer of Russia’s size.

“The price cap is so at risk of being manipulated, and how do you verify that system?” Nephew said.

Instead, he believes Washington could work with banks in other consuming countries to put Russia’s revenue from oil sales into escrow accounts, money that Russia could only tap for approved goods and services.

But high fuel prices and the inflation it helps drive are a vulnerability for Biden and his fellow Democrats as the Nov. 8 elections approach.

A Rasmussen poll last month found that 83% of likely U.S. voters believe inflation will be an important issue in the elections in which Republicans hope to gain majorities in one or both chambers of Congress.

High fuel prices could cut appetite for aggressive action in Europe as well.

In light of soaring fuel costs, ClearView Energy Partners, a nonpartisan research group, said in a note to clients it is “skeptical that trans-Atlantic allies have sufficient political will to imminently cohere around ‘secondary’ sanctions on Russian petroleum exports.”

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Con i prezzi record alla pompa, Biden ha difficoltà ad aumentare le sanzioni alla Russia

Washington, 17 giugno (Reuters) – Mentre l’amministrazione Biden sta valutando la possibilità di ampliare le misure punitive nei confronti della Russia per l’invasione dell’Ucraina, un grosso ostacolo si trova vicino a casa: il consumatore americano.

Gli automobilisti statunitensi si stanno imbarcando per le vacanze estive con prezzi della benzina in media superiori a 5 dollari al gallone per la prima volta nella storia. L’aumento dei prezzi del petrolio e del gas naturale sta contribuendo a far salire l’inflazione al livello più alto degli ultimi quarant’anni, facendo lievitare i prezzi di cibo, elettricità e case.

L’inasprimento delle sanzioni contro la Russia, uno dei maggiori fornitori di petrolio e gas al mondo, probabilmente non farebbe che peggiorare la situazione.

“È come prenderli a calci mentre sono a terra”, ha dichiarato Ellen Wald, storica dell’energia e senior fellow presso il think tank Atlantic Council, in merito alla prospettiva di azioni che potrebbero far aumentare i prezzi per i consumatori di carburante statunitensi.

Gli Stati Uniti e l’Europa hanno già imposto una serie di misure contro le esportazioni di petrolio della Russia, la linfa vitale della sua economia e della sua macchina da guerra, tra cui controlli sulle esportazioni, un divieto statunitense sulle importazioni di energia russa e un divieto parziale dell’UE sulle importazioni di energia.

Ma l’amministrazione Biden sta anche valutando le cosiddette sanzioni secondarie per aumentare la pressione. I funzionari statunitensi, ad esempio, stanno discutendo con gli alleati europei e asiatici sull’imposizione di potenziali tetti di prezzo sugli acquisti di petrolio russo, ha dichiarato martedì il vice segretario al Tesoro Wally Adeyemo.

Alcuni funzionari ritengono che i massimali di prezzo siano tra i vari metodi che potrebbero aggravare il dolore economico della Russia senza far impennare ulteriormente i mercati petroliferi globali, perché verrebbero tagliati solo i ricavi, non i volumi di petrolio immessi sul mercato.

“Quello che sta accadendo non riguarda tanto la quantità di petrolio russo che esce dal mercato, quanto piuttosto il calo dei profitti della Russia, costretta a vendere con forti sconti”, ha dichiarato a Reuters un portavoce del Dipartimento di Stato.

Ma intensificare le azioni di guerra economica contro la Russia senza aumentare i prezzi non sarà facile.

La Russia, ad esempio, potrebbe reagire bloccando il petrolio sul mercato. Questo potrebbe far salire immediatamente i prezzi, dato che i produttori mondiali di petrolio hanno pochissima capacità inutilizzata dopo anni di scarsi investimenti in giacimenti e raffinerie.

“Ogni volta che si parla di sanzioni, il prezzo sale”, ha detto Wald.

A fine maggio, ad esempio, il Brent di riferimento mondiale è salito ai massimi di due mesi, sfiorando i 124 dollari al barile, dopo che l’Unione Europea ha appoggiato un embargo attenuato sulle spedizioni di petrolio della Russia.

I funzionari del Dipartimento del Tesoro, che amministra le sanzioni, e del Consiglio di Sicurezza Nazionale della Casa Bianca non hanno risposto immediatamente a una richiesta di commento.

Alla domanda su quando potrebbero essere imposte sanzioni secondarie sugli acquisti di petrolio russo e in quali circostanze, un funzionario statunitense ha risposto che non è stato deciso nulla.

Secondo l’Agenzia Internazionale dell’Energia (AIE), le sanzioni occidentali dovrebbero ridurre costantemente le esportazioni di greggio della Russia l’anno prossimo.

Ma finora la Russia è riuscita a trovare nuovi acquirenti scontando i prezzi. L’India, ad esempio, il mese scorso ha quasi triplicato gli acquisti di greggio russo, mentre la Cina ha acquistato altri barili russi. 

A maggio, inoltre, le entrate petrolifere della Russia sono aumentate grazie all’aumento dei prezzi globali e alle esportazioni costanti di greggio che hanno compensato gli sconti, secondo l’AIE.

Gli acquisti dell’India sono stati nel mirino di Washington per mesi: a marzo un funzionario statunitense ha avvertito che l’India potrebbe essere esposta a un “grande rischio” di sanzioni più severe se acquistasse petrolio in misura significativamente superiore ai livelli degli anni precedenti. 

                         RISCHIO DI MANIPOLAZIONE DEI MASSIMALI DI PREZZO

Oltre ai massimali di prezzo, gli Stati Uniti potrebbero prendere in considerazione sanzioni su entità che forniscono assicurazioni o servizi ai carichi russi, laddove le transazioni superino un determinato prezzo al barile.

Ma l’applicazione di tali misure richiederebbe tempo e risorse.

“Non credo sia realistico”, ha dichiarato Pavel Mulchanov, amministratore delegato della banca d’investimento Raymond James di Houston. “Il petrolio è un mercato estremamente liquido e competitivo e non c’è modo pratico di imporre alcun tipo di limite ai prezzi, né al rialzo né al ribasso”.

Richard Nephew, ex funzionario del Dipartimento di Stato americano per le sanzioni sotto il presidente Joe Biden e l’ex presidente Barack Obama, si è detto dubbioso su entrambi i metodi, in particolare sui massimali di prezzo, che non sono mai stati sperimentati prima su un produttore delle dimensioni della Russia.

“Il price cap è così a rischio di essere manipolato, e come si fa a verificare questo sistema?”. Ha detto Nephew.

Secondo lui, invece, Washington potrebbe collaborare con le banche di altri Paesi consumatori per mettere le entrate russe derivanti dalle vendite di petrolio in conti vincolati, denaro che la Russia potrebbe utilizzare solo per beni e servizi approvati.

Ma i prezzi elevati del carburante e l’inflazione che essi contribuiscono a generare sono una vulnerabilità per Biden e i suoi colleghi democratici all’approssimarsi delle elezioni dell’8 novembre.

Un sondaggio Rasmussen del mese scorso ha rilevato che l’83% dei probabili elettori statunitensi ritiene che l’inflazione sarà un tema importante nelle elezioni in cui i repubblicani sperano di ottenere la maggioranza in una o entrambe le camere del Congresso.

I prezzi elevati del carburante potrebbero ridurre l’appetito per un’azione aggressiva anche in Europa.

Alla luce dell’impennata dei costi del carburante, ClearView Energy Partners, un gruppo di ricerca apartitico, ha dichiarato in una nota ai clienti di essere “scettico sul fatto che gli alleati transatlantici abbiano la volontà politica sufficiente per coalizzarsi nell’immediato intorno a sanzioni ‘secondarie’ sulle esportazioni di petrolio russo”.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Stati Uniti

Biden. Sondaggio stratificato di gradimento. A confronto Stalingrado fu un trionfo tedesco.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-04-24.

2022-04-18__ Biden popularity 001

Reuters in collaborazione con Ipsos ha pubblicato il 12 aprile un sondaggio stratificato sulla popolarità di Joe Biden.

Si noti come Reuters sia la roccaforte dei liberal americani.

L’inflazione all’11.2% non ha stimolato i consensi.

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2022-04-18__ Biden popularity 002

Lo riassumiamo per punti.

– Il 2 febbraio 2021 il 14% degli Elettori disapprovava Joe Biden. Adesso sono saliti al 53%.

– Il 77% dei democratici apprezza Joe Biden, l’85% dei repubblicani lo disapprova

– I bianchi disapprovano al 57%, mentre i non-bianchi al 46%.

– Le persone che hanno fatto il college lo disapprovano al 52%, quelli senza college al 55%.

– La popolazione urbana approva Joe Biden al 56%, contro quella suburbana disapprova al 52%

– Il 53% dei maschi disapprova Joe Biden così come il 51% delle femmine.

– Disapprova il 48% degli under39, contro il 56% degli over39

– Disapprova il 53% delle fascie di reddito inferiore ai 75,000 Usd così come il 54% dei redditi superiori.

– In tutte le quattro grandi aree geografiche la disapprovazione supera l’approvazione. Northeast 48%, Midwest 54%, South 57%, West 51%.

2022-04-18__ Biden popularity 003

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Tuttavia il risultato più significativo consiste nel fatto che in tutti gli strati la disapprovazione sia sempre rapidamente cresciuta sorpassando la approvazione che Joe Biden aveva ad inizio mandato.

Questi risultati non sembrerebbero essere un buon viatico per midterm.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Stati Uniti

Biden. Discorso alla nazione. Un primo cauto report e commento.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-03-02.

Biden 001

«Instead of celebrating the easing of COVID-19 restrictions and the nomination of the first Black woman to the Supreme Court, the focus will be on Ukraine, military spending and inflation»

Non essendo ancora a nostre mani il testo ufficiale del discorso alla nazione tenuto da Joe Biden il 1° marzo alle ore 21, riporteremo questo primo cauto report e commento ma senza chiosarlo.

Per quanti non fossero pratici dell’inglese alleghiamo una traduzioni in italiano.

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Market Meltdown Continues Ahead Of Biden And Powell

Oil prices soared above $100 a barrel driving equities and currencies sharply lower. The euro and sterling were hit the hardest by risk aversion, with investors flocking into the safety of U.S. dollars. The Eurozone and U.K. economies are the most sensitive to the slowdown in Russian growth and the sanctions wielded on Russia. Nearly 40% of the gas and more than 25% of the oil imported into the European Union is from Russia. The loss of this supply, combined with rising costs, hits Europe particularly hard. The Australian and New Zealand dollars, in contrast, are seeing limited losses because Australia and New Zealand do not import any oil or oil products from Russia.

 Now, ahead of President Joe Biden’s State of the Union address and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s semi-annual testimony on the economy, Russia is preparing to intensify its attack on Ukraine. It warned Kyiv residents to leave, raising concerns that we could see the capital of Ukraine in a very different state come morning. The assault could intensify just as Biden addresses the nation at 9 p.m. Instead of celebrating the easing of COVID-19 restrictions and the nomination of the first Black woman to the Supreme Court, the focus will be on Ukraine, military spending and inflation. We are not looking for any ground-breaking announcements on America’s involvement. Biden has ruled out putting American troops on the ground, and instead focused on providing security assistance, humanitarian aid, sanctions and freezing Russia out of the financial system. However, the president could announce new measures to ease price pressures. While the U.S. and its allies agreed to release 60 billion barrels of oil from strategic stockpiles, there’s been zero impact on oil prices.

The Federal Reserve is confronted with the same challenges. The Russian invasion promises to keep inflation, which is running at its strongest pace in 40 years, from easing any time soon. The cost of oil is not the only thing rising, wheat prices are at the highest level since 2008. On the basis of prices alone, the Fed should raise interest rates by half a point this month. However, rate hike expectations have plunged, with the market only looking for a quarter-point hike in March followed by 75bp instead of 125bp of additional tightening this year. Historically, the shock of war on the financial market is short lived, but it is hard to say how far Putin will go. Powell will have to reassure investors tomorrow that the central bank is working to combat high inflation, while balancing the risks that Russia’s invasion poses to the financial markets. There’s a lot of uncertainty ahead, and Powell may find it prudent to be more conservative at this time. While this could be a protracted war, rising inflation is a sticky problem that central bankers need to tackle head on. We believe Powell will make a strong commitment to tightening tomorrow that could provide a lift to Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates unchanged last night, which was no surprise. Governor Philip Lowe expressed concerns that the Ukraine war could add to inflationary pressures, but with wage growth failing to keep pace with price rises, he is in no rush to raise interest rates. The Bank of Canada meets tomorrow.  The Canadian dollar sold off today despite the central bank’s plans to raise interest rates for the first time this year by 25bp. Prior to the Russian invasion, it was widely thought that given the strong labor market and high inflation, it would hike by 50bp. However, protests in February and the Ukraine uncertainty makes a quarter-point hike a more sensible move. Investors sold Canadian dollars despite stronger GDP growth in the fourth quarter and a 10% rise in oil prices.

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Il crollo del mercato continua prima di Biden e Powell

Il prezzo del petrolio è salito sopra i 100 dollari al barile, spingendo le azioni e le valute in forte calo. L’euro e la sterlina sono stati colpiti più duramente dall’avversione al rischio, con gli investitori che si sono rifugiati nella sicurezza dei dollari statunitensi. Le economie della zona euro e del Regno Unito sono le più sensibili al rallentamento della crescita russa e alle sanzioni imposte alla Russia. Quasi il 40% del gas e più del 25% del petrolio importato nell’Unione Europea viene dalla Russia. La perdita di questa fornitura, combinata con l’aumento dei costi, colpisce l’Europa in modo particolarmente duro. I dollari australiani e neozelandesi, al contrario, stanno vedendo perdite limitate perché Australia e Nuova Zelanda non importano petrolio o prodotti petroliferi dalla Russia.

 Ora, prima del discorso sullo stato dell’Unione del presidente Joe Biden e della testimonianza semestrale sull’economia del presidente della Federal Reserve Jerome Powell, la Russia si prepara a intensificare il suo attacco all’Ucraina. Ha avvertito i residenti di Kiev di andarsene, sollevando la preoccupazione che potremmo vedere la capitale dell’Ucraina in uno stato molto diverso domattina. L’assalto potrebbe intensificarsi proprio mentre Biden si rivolge alla nazione alle 21. Invece di celebrare l’allentamento delle restrizioni COVID-19 e la nomina della prima donna nera alla Corte Suprema, l’attenzione sarà sull’Ucraina, le spese militari e l’inflazione. Non stiamo cercando nessun annuncio rivoluzionario sul coinvolgimento dell’America. Biden ha escluso di mettere le truppe americane sul terreno, e si è invece concentrato sulla fornitura di assistenza alla sicurezza, aiuti umanitari, sanzioni e congelamento della Russia fuori dal sistema finanziario. Tuttavia, il presidente potrebbe annunciare nuove misure per allentare la pressione sui prezzi. Mentre gli Stati Uniti e i loro alleati hanno accettato di rilasciare 60 miliardi di barili di petrolio dalle scorte strategiche, non c’è stato alcun impatto sui prezzi del petrolio.

La Federal Reserve deve affrontare le stesse sfide. L’invasione russa promette di impedire che l’inflazione, che sta correndo al suo ritmo più forte in 40 anni, si allenti presto. Il costo del petrolio non è l’unica cosa a salire, i prezzi del grano sono al livello più alto dal 2008. Sulla base dei soli prezzi, la Fed dovrebbe aumentare i tassi di interesse di mezzo punto questo mese. Tuttavia, le aspettative di rialzo dei tassi sono crollate, con il mercato che cerca solo un rialzo di un quarto di punto a marzo seguito da 75 pb invece di 125 pb di ulteriore stretta quest’anno. Storicamente, lo shock della guerra sul mercato finanziario è di breve durata, ma è difficile dire fino a che punto Putin si spingerà. Powell dovrà rassicurare gli investitori domani che la banca centrale sta lavorando per combattere l’alta inflazione, pur bilanciando i rischi che l’invasione della Russia pone ai mercati finanziari. C’è molta incertezza davanti, e Powell potrebbe trovare prudente essere più conservatore in questo momento. Mentre questa potrebbe essere una guerra prolungata, l’aumento dell’inflazione è un problema spinoso che i banchieri centrali devono affrontare di petto. Crediamo che domani Powell si impegnerà fortemente per un inasprimento che potrebbe fornire una spinta ai rendimenti del Tesoro e al dollaro statunitense.

La Reserve Bank of Australia ha lasciato i tassi di interesse invariati ieri sera, il che non è stata una sorpresa. Il governatore Philip Lowe ha espresso la preoccupazione che la guerra in Ucraina potrebbe aggiungere pressioni inflazionistiche, ma con la crescita dei salari che non riesce a tenere il passo con l’aumento dei prezzi, non ha fretta di aumentare i tassi di interesse. La Banca del Canada si riunisce domani.  Il dollaro canadese ha venduto oggi nonostante i piani della banca centrale di aumentare i tassi di interesse per la prima volta quest’anno di 25 pb. Prima dell’invasione russa, era opinione diffusa che, dato il forte mercato del lavoro e l’alta inflazione, avrebbe aumentato di 50 pb. Tuttavia, le proteste di febbraio e l’incertezza dell’Ucraina rendono un aumento di un quarto di punto una mossa più sensata. Gli investitori hanno venduto dollari canadesi nonostante una crescita del PIL più forte nel quarto trimestre e un aumento del 10% del prezzo del petrolio.

Pubblicato in: Geopolitica Europea

Donbas. Ordinata la mobilizzazione generale dai 18 ai 55 anni.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-02-21.

Donbas 002

«Pro-Russian separatist leader calls for full military mobilization in Ukraine’s Donetsk region»

«Russia claims the surge of forces, which began in the autumn, has always been for military exercises and that it poses no threat to Ukraine or any other nation»

«A separatist leader in Ukraine ordered a full military mobilisation on Saturday amid ongoing tension between Moscow and Kiev»

«Denis Pushilin, the head of the pro-Russian separatist government in the Donetsk region has signed a decree on general mobilization»

«The People’s Council of the DPR has approved the decree of the head of the DPR on general mobilization»

«The Russian-backed leaders of Ukraine’s two breakaway regions have announced a general mobilisation, spurring fears of a further escalation in fighting in the ex-Soviet country»

«I urge my fellow citizens who are in the reserves to come to military conscription offices. Today I signed a decree on general mobilisation»

«I appeal to all the men in the republic who can hold weapons to defend their families, their children, wives, mothers, … Together we will achieve the coveted victory that we all need»

«Pasechnik said all men aged 18 to 55 were banned from leaving the area following the general mobilisation order»

* * * * * * *

In effetti, i russi non hanno gran bisogno di entrare in Ukraina, visto che ci sono già.

La popolazione del Donbas è russa e mantiene la lingua russa: forma una entità di fatto da tempo separata dall’Ukraina ed ora anche in grado di competere militarmente.

Impredicibili le possibili conseguenze.

La più probabile potrebbe essere una guerra civile che potrebbe portare al crollo dell’attuale regime ukraino, aprendo la strada ad interventi umanitari pacificatori.

In ogni caso, però, questa mossa spiazza Joe Biden e l’intelligence americana.

* * * * * * *


Pro-Russian separatist leader calls for full military mobilization in Ukraine’s Donetsk region.

Russia claims the surge of forces, which began in the autumn, has always been for military exercises and that it poses no threat to Ukraine or any other nation.

* * *

Donetsk: A separatist leader in Ukraine ordered a full military mobilisation on Saturday amid ongoing tension between Moscow and Kiev, according to media report.

Denis Pushilin, the head of the pro-Russian separatist government in the Donetsk region has signed a decree on general mobilization.

“The People’s Council of the DPR has approved the decree of the head of the DPR on general mobilization,” Sputnik News Agency reported citing a council member Vladislav Berdichevsky.

Russia’s recent build-up of around 150,000 troops just over the border from the Donbas region in the east, in Belarus to the north and Crimea to the south, which began in the autumn, has escalated tensions.

Russia claims the surge of forces has always been for military exercises and that it poses no threat to Ukraine or any other nation, but has refused to offer any real explanation for the biggest build-up of military might in Europe since the Cold War.

The US Embassy in Kiev informed on Thursday that Russia’s shelling of Stanytsia Luhanska in Ukrainian government-controlled territory in Donbas hit a kindergarten, injured two teachers, and knocked out power in the village.

“Russia’s shelling of Stanytsia Luhanska in Ukrainian government-controlled territory in Donbas hit a kindergarten, injured two teachers, and knocked out power in the village. The aggressor in Donbas is clear – Russia,” tweeted US Embassy in Kiev.

Meanwhile, the Russian Emergencies Ministry told Sputnik today that Rostov Region has opened 15 border crossings for refugees from the eastern Ukrainian region of Donbas.

Defence officials in Moscow have said since Tuesday that troops and military hardware are pulling back, having completed some of the drills. Western intelligence officials say, on the contrary, that Russia has moved roughly 7,000 more troops close to the borders in recent days. (ANI)

* * * * * * *


Separatists in Ukraine order ‘general mobilisation’ amid shelling

Announcement comes as Kyiv says a Ukrainian soldier was killed in shelling by rebels in the east of the country.

* * *

The Russian-backed leaders of Ukraine’s two breakaway regions have announced a general mobilisation, spurring fears of a further escalation in fighting in the ex-Soviet country.

The announcements on Saturday came as pro-Russian rebels and Ukraine accused each other of fresh attacks, and Kyiv said a Ukrainian soldier had been killed in separatist shelling.

“I urge my fellow citizens who are in the reserves to come to military conscription offices. Today I signed a decree on general mobilisation,” Denis Pushilin, the leader of the so-called Donetsk People’s Republic, said in a video statement.

Pushilin claimed his region’s forces had prevented attacks he said were planned by the Ukrainian security services, and that the Ukrainian army had launched attacks – accusations that Ukrainian officials have vehemently denied.

“I appeal to all the men in the republic who can hold weapons to defend their families, their children, wives, mothers,” Pushilin added. ”Together we will achieve the coveted victory that we all need.”

The leader of the Luhansk separatist region, Leonid Pasechnik, followed Donetsk in issuing a general mobilisation order to prepare for “repelling aggression”.

Pasechnik said all men aged 18 to 55 were banned from leaving the area following the general mobilisation order.

Kyiv has repeatedly denied any plans to regain control of separatist-held areas using force or of the Crimean peninsula, which was annexed by Moscow in 2014.

Western leaders have for weeks raised the alarm over a build-up of Moscow’s army around Ukraine with Washington warning that an imminent attack could take place.

Kyiv said a Ukrainian soldier was killed on Saturday in clashes with separatists.

“As a result of a shelling attack, one Ukrainian soldier received a fatal shrapnel wound,” the joint military command for east Ukraine reported.

The Ukrainian military said on its Facebook page that it had recorded 19 ceasefire violations by the separatists since the start of the day compared with 66 cases over the previous 24 hours.

Separatists opened fire on more than 20 settlements, using heavy artillery, which has been banned by Minsk agreements, the military said.

More than 14,000 people have been killed in fighting between Ukraine’s army and Moscow-supported separatists since fighting broke out in 2014.

Meanwhile, evacuations of towns and villages in the Luhansk and Donetsk regions continued. According to the Donetsk separatists early on Saturday, more than 6,000 people have already been brought to safety, including 2,400 children. Shelters are ready for these people in the southern Russian region of Rostov.

The separatist leaders had called for people to flee on Friday, justifying the appeal with a threatened attack by Ukrainian government troops.

Pubblicato in: Agricoltura, Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale, Stati Uniti

Biden. Prevede il controllo della inflazione entro fine anno.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-02-13.

Prezzi cavolfiori New York 001

Usa. Gen22. Consumer Price Index +7.5%. Biden in Nome di Dio vattene.

Gen22. Persi 301,000 posti di lavoro. Biden, in Nome di Dio, vattene.

* * * * * * *

«President Joe Biden said inflation was creating “real stress at the kitchen table”»

«insisted he remained optimistic about the American economy even after the consumer price index surged beyond expectations»

«While today’s report is elevated, forecasters continue to project inflation easing substantially by the end of 2022»

«And fortunately we saw positive real wage growth last month»

«Inflation has become a major political headache for Biden, whose approval rating has slipped below 40%»

«The administration’s efforts to advance its economic agenda has been stymied on Capitol Hill after Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia broke with fellow Democrats, in part over concerns that additional government spending would drive inflation higher»

«The report found that food prices rose 0.9% in January, the most in three months, and energy costs also advanced 0.9%, on gains in fuel oil and electricity»

* * * * * * *

Ovviamente ciascuno è libero di esprimere il proprio pensiero.

Tuttavia, da un Presidente degli Stati Uniti ci si aspetterebbe una notevole cautela nel fraseggio.

«forecasters continue to project inflation easing substantially by the end of 2022».

Il mondo rigurgita di previsioni ottimiste poi regolarmente smentite dai fatti.

«Inflation has become a major political headache for Biden»

* * * * * * *


Biden Acknowledges Surging Inflation Is Creating ‘Real Stress’ for Families

(Bloomberg) — President Joe Biden said inflation was creating “real stress at the kitchen table” but insisted he remained optimistic about the American economy even after the consumer price index surged beyond expectations in Labor Department data released Thursday.

“While today’s report is elevated, forecasters continue to project inflation easing substantially by the end of 2022,” Biden said in a statement. “And fortunately we saw positive real wage growth last month,” he said, referring to pay after adjusting for inflation. He also cited “moderation in auto prices, which have made up about a quarter of headline inflation over the last year.”

Biden highlighted the positive developments of record job and wage growth over the past year, and said he would continue to push Congress to pass programs that would address the costs of child care, energy and prescription drugs.

Inflation has become a major political headache for Biden, whose approval rating has slipped below 40% in the most recent RealClearPolitics polling average. The administration’s efforts to advance its economic agenda has been stymied on Capitol Hill after Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia broke with fellow Democrats, in part over concerns that additional government spending would drive inflation higher.

And January’s consumer price index report — which saw the widely followed inflation gauge rise 0.6% from the previous month, above consensus estimates — comes after Biden said in December he believed the nation was already at “the peak” of its inflation crisis.

                         Broad Based.

The report found that food prices rose 0.9% in January, the most in three months, and energy costs also advanced 0.9%, on gains in fuel oil and electricity. The White House has taken a series of executive actions in recent months designed to tamp down price gains in both sectors. 

The broad increase in the CPI also reflected higher prices for household furnishings, used vehicles, apparel and medical care. Prices of household furnishings and health insurance both rose by the most on record on a month-to-month basis.

Pubblicato in: Commercio, Devoluzione socialismo, Stati Uniti

Meta, Facebook, crolla al Nasdaq. -26.4% in un sol giorno. Azionisti bannano dalla borsa.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-02-07.

2022-02-06__ FaceBook 001

«Facebook owner Meta sees biggest ever stock market loss»

«Facebook’s owner Meta Platforms saw its stock market value slump by more than $230bn (£169bn) on Thursday, in a record daily loss for a US firm»

«Its shares fell 26.4% after quarterly figures disappointed investors. Meta also said that Facebook’s daily active users (DAUs) had dropped for the first time in its 18-year history»

«That came after Meta revealed that Facebook’s DAUs fell to 1.929bn in the three months to the end of December, compared to 1.930bn in the previous quarter»

«Meta’s stock market slump came on the eve of the 18th anniversary of the founding of Facebook»

«Meta also warned of slowing revenue growth in the face of competition from rival platforms including TikTok and YouTube, while advertisers were also cutting spending»

«the firm’s sales growth had been hurt as audiences, especially younger users, had left for rivals»

«Meta’s share price slump also dragged on other social media platforms, including Twitter, Snap and Pinterest during Thursday’s regular trading session»

* * * * * * *

Da giorno della elezione di Joe Biden Facebook è diventata assieme a Twitter la roccaforte del credo liberal democratico. Fin qui nulla di male: ognuno è libero di operare le sue scelte politiche.

Ma coerentemente alla religione liberal, Facebook ha messo rapidamente in opera una esasperata serie di coercizioni, del tutto intollerante a quanti la pensassero differentemente. Costoro erano, e sono tutt’ora bannati dal social network, taluni anche a vita.

Il risultato è semplice.

Alla fuga degli utilizzatori si è immediatamente associata quella degli azionisti.

Ci si domanda se alla fine Facebook riuscirà a sopravvivere al crollo di Joe Biden e dei liberal democratici.

Nota.

Il 24 settembre 2021 Twitter quotava 67.09. Ora quota 38.18.

* * * * * * *


Facebook owner Meta sees biggest ever stock market loss

Facebook’s owner Meta Platforms saw its stock market value slump by more than $230bn (£169bn) on Thursday, in a record daily loss for a US firm.

Its shares fell 26.4% after quarterly figures disappointed investors.

Meta also said that Facebook’s daily active users (DAUs) had dropped for the first time in its 18-year history.

The company’s share price slide saw chief executive Mark Zuckerberg’s net worth fall by $31bn, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

The drop in Mr Zuckerberg’s personal fortune was equivalent to the annual gross domestic product of Estonia.

Even after that drop, Mr Zuckerberg has an estimated net worth of almost $90bn, which means he is still one of the richest people in the world.

That came after Meta revealed that Facebook’s DAUs fell to 1.929bn in the three months to the end of December, compared to 1.930bn in the previous quarter.

It was the first time ever that this measure of activity on the world’s biggest social network had gone into reverse.

Meta’s stock market slump came on the eve of the 18th anniversary of the founding of Facebook.

Meta also warned of slowing revenue growth in the face of competition from rival platforms including TikTok and YouTube, while advertisers were also cutting spending.

Mr Zuckerberg said the firm’s sales growth had been hurt as audiences, especially younger users, had left for rivals.

The firm forecast revenues of between $27bn and $29bn for the first quarter of this year, which was lower than analysts had expected.

Although the company has been making investments in video services to compete with TikTok, owned by Chinese technology giant ByteDance, it makes less money from those offerings than its traditional Facebook and Instagram feeds.

Meta, which owns the world’s second largest digital advertising platform after Google, also said it had been hit by privacy changes on Apple’s operating system.

The changes, which make it harder for brands to target and measure their advertising on Facebook and Instagram, could have an impact “in the order of $10bn” for this year, the firm said.

“Clearly Meta got more impacted compared to its rivals as other social media like Snap posted healthy results,” said Sachin Mittal, head of telecom and internet sector research at DBS Bank.

“While there has been a broad negative impact on the whole tech sector, we reckon players with lower reliance on targeted ads or better algorithms to cope with Apple’s changes would still do well.”

Meta’s share price slump also dragged on other social media platforms, including Twitter, Snap and Pinterest during Thursday’s regular trading session.

However, Snap’s shares jumped by almost 60% in after-hours trade as it reported its first ever quarterly profit.

Pubblicato in: Demografia, Devoluzione socialismo, Giustizia, Persona Umana, Stati Uniti

Aborto. Questione sia giuridica sia politica tra liberal e repubblicani. Prima causa di morte nel 2021.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-02-06.

Aborto 001

Abortion Leading Global Cause of Death in 2021 with 43 Million Killed

«Abortion was the leading cause of death globally in 2021, with nearly 43 million unborn babies killed in the womb, according to data provided by Worldometer.

As of noon on December 31, 2021, there were 42.6 million abortions performed in the course of the year, Worldometer revealed, while 8.2 million people died from cancer, 5 million from smoking, 1.7 million of HIV/AIDS, 1.3 million from traffic fatalities, and 1 million from suicide.»

* * *

Biden calls on U.S. Supreme Court to protect abortion rights

«President Joe Biden’s administration urged the U.S. Supreme Court on Monday not to overturn the landmark 1973 Roe v. Wade ruling that legalized abortion nationwide in an upcoming case concerning a restrictive Mississippi law»

* * * * * * *

«With Roe v. Wade facing its strongest threat in decades, a new poll finds Democrats increasingly view protecting abortion rights as a high priority for the government.»

«Thirteen percent of Democrats mentioned abortion or reproductive rights as one of the issues they want the federal government to address in 2022»

«But the exponential rise in the percentage citing reproductive rights as a key concern suggests the issue is resonating with Democrats as the Supreme Court considers cases that could lead to dramatic restrictions on abortion access»

«With a 6-3 conservative majority on the Supreme Court, Republicans see this as their best chance in years to overturn Roe v. Wade, the 1973 decision legalizing abortion throughout the United States»

«That decision will be made public in June»

«conventional wisdom holds that abortion is a motivating issue for Republicans and not for Democrats»

«opponents of abortion had greater strength of attitudes and considered the issue important to them personally more than pro-choice people»

«That may be changing»

«But I still actually think that huge swaths of this population still don’t quite believe that the access to abortion and the 50-year precedent that is Roe v. Wade is really hanging in the balance»

* * * * * * *

A giugno la Suprema Corte emetterà sentenza sulla questione della Roe v. Wade.

Le Loro Giustizie giudicheranno secondo scienza e coscienza applicando i dettami costituzionali.

Ma il problema ha sostanziali aspetti politici.

L’aborto è parte integrante dell’ideologia liberal socialista, e tutta la loro leadership lo sostiene come bandiera di battaglia, come ha fatto anche Joe Biden. Ovunque vadano al potere lo impongono, così come condizionano ad esso gli aiuti economici.

Tuttavia, solo il 13% degli Elettori democratici considera l’aborto elemento non contrattabile. E questo è un dato che da da pensare.

In altri termini, la base e la dirigenza liberal americana hanno su questo argomento due visioni opposte e contrastanti, fatto questo che complica non poco le scelte politiche dei democratici.

In ogni caso, però, la sentenza della Corte Suprema metterà un punto fermo sulla questione, essendo tra l’altro un giudizio inappellabile.

* * * * * * *


Abortion grows as priority issue for Democrats: AP-NORC poll.

Washington (AP) — With Roe v. Wade facing its strongest threat in decades, a new poll finds Democrats increasingly view protecting abortion rights as a high priority for the government.

Thirteen percent of Democrats mentioned abortion or reproductive rights as one of the issues they want the federal government to address in 2022, according to a December poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. That’s up from less than 1% of Democrats who named it as a priority for 2021 and 3% who listed it in 2020.

Some other issues like the economy, COVID-19, health care and gun control ranked as higher priorities for Democrats in the poll, which allowed respondents to name up to five top issues. But the exponential rise in the percentage citing reproductive rights as a key concern suggests the issue is resonating with Democrats as the Supreme Court considers cases that could lead to dramatic restrictions on abortion access.

“The public have lots of things that they want to see government addressing,” said Jennifer Benz, deputy director of The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. “You ask this kind of question in a time of economic turmoil and in the time of a pandemic and all of these other things going on, we might not expect abortion to rise to the top.”

With a 6-3 conservative majority on the Supreme Court, Republicans see this as their best chance in years to overturn Roe v. Wade, the 1973 decision legalizing abortion throughout the United States. In December, the Supreme Court left in place a Texas law that bans most abortions in the state and signaled during arguments that they would uphold a Mississippi law that bans abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy. That decision will be made public in June.

Calling the abortion polling numbers “stark,” Benz noted that conventional wisdom holds that abortion is a motivating issue for Republicans and not for Democrats. Research from the 1980s and 1990s, Benz said, “regularly found that opponents of abortion had greater strength of attitudes and considered the issue important to them personally more than pro-choice people.”

That may be changing. Sam Lau, senior director for advocacy media at the Planned Parenthood Action Fund, believes more Americans are recognizing this moment as a crisis for abortion access.

“I think what we have seen is absolutely an increase in awareness, an increase in urgency, an increase in the need to fight back,” he said. “But I still actually think that huge swaths of this population still don’t quite believe that the access to abortion and the 50-year precedent that is Roe v. Wade is really hanging in the balance.”

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Stati Uniti

US. Gen22. Persi 301,000 posti di lavoro. Biden, in Nome di Dio, vattene.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-02-03.

202202-02__ Bden NFR ADP 001

A gennaio gli Stati Uniti hanno perso 301,000 posti di lavoro, prima volta dal 2020.

«America lost 301,000 private-sector jobs in January»

«The US private sector lost hundreds of thousands of jobs in January»

«The loss of 301,000 private-sector positions came as a surprise to economists who had predicted businesses had added 207,000 jobs»

«The ADP report relies on private payrolls, unlike the government’s jobs report that counts all worker»

«ADP counts workers on a company’s payroll, irrespective of whether they were out sick»

«Almost all major industries recorded losses, led by leisure and hospitality, where more than 150,000 jobs were lost»

«Small businesses with fewer than 50 employees recorded the most losses — though businesses of all sizes shed positions»

202202-02__ Bden NFR ADP 002

* * * * * * *

Le contraddizioni sono evidenti.

Che gli ‘economisti’ abbiano sbagliato grossolanamente le previsioni non fa di per sé notizia: gli sciamani subsahariani sono molto più affidabili.

Ma che la colpa sia della pandemia lo si racconti ai creduli.

«ADP counts workers on a company’s payroll, irrespective of whether they were out sick»

Quindi risultano essere conteggiate le persone a libro paga, anche se assenti dal lavoro per malattia: la pandemia non c’entra nulla.

Il problema reale è la Harris-Biden Administration, che nelle promesse elettorali avrebbe dovuto fare cose grandiose.

«Let’s go Brandon … Let’s go Brandon I agree»

Biden Cabinet picks feature record number of women and women of color.

Women make up 60% of White House staff, diversity total at 44%

Parafrasando il discorso di Oliver Cromwell del 20 aprile 1653, Biden in nome di Dio vattene!

* * * * * * *


Omicron slams U.S. private payrolls in January

WASHINGTON, Feb 2 (Reuters) – U.S. private payrolls fell for the first time in a year in January as soaring COVID-19 infections disrupted business operations, raising the risk of a sharp decline in employment that would deal a temporary setback to the labor market.

Private payrolls decreased by 301,000 jobs last month after increasing by 776,000 in December, the ADP National Employment report showed on Wednesday. That was the first drop in private payrolls since December 2020. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast private payrolls would increase by 207,000 jobs.

The broad decline in private payrolls was led by the leisure and hospitality sector, with 154,000 job losses. Trade, transportation and utilities shed 62,000 jobs. Construction lost 10,000 jobs and manufacturing employment decreased by 21,000.

“The labor market recovery took a step back at the start of 2022 due to the effect of the Omicron variant and its significant, though likely temporary, impact to job growth,” said Nela Richardson, the ADP’s chief economist.

The ADP report is jointly developed with Moody’s Analytics and was published ahead of the release on Friday of the Labor Department’s more comprehensive and closely watched employment report for January. It has, however, a poor record predicting the private payrolls count in the department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics employment report because of methodology differences.

The ADP report counts all active workers as employed regardless of whether they are paid or not during the survey week. In contrast, people who are out sick or in quarantine and do not get paid during the payrolls survey period are counted as unemployed in the BLS survey of establishments even if they still have a job with their companies.

The decline in private payrolls in the ADP report suggests that some workers were laid off because of a lack of business as COVID-19 infections, driven by the Omicron variant, slammed demand. Businesses were also probably unable to find workers, with so many people at home because of soaring infections.

MILLIONS AT HOME

According to the U.S. Census Bureau’s Household Pulse Survey published in mid-January, 8.8 million people reported not being at work because of coronavirus-related reasons between Dec. 29 and Jan. 10. This has left some economists bracing for a decline on Friday in the nonfarm payrolls count for January.

According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 150,000 jobs in January. Estimates range from a decrease of 400,000 to an increase of 385,000. The economy created 199,000 jobs in December, the fewest in a year.

The White House has been frantically trying to prepare the nation for a disappointing nonfarm payrolls number, with several officials offering a preview of the report.

“I think the key point, from our perspective, is the underlying strength of the economy,” Jared Bernstein, a member of the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers, told CNN this week. “The underlying strength of the job market is ongoing because, as we have seen, the caseloads are turning over.”

The United States is reporting an average of 461,097 new COVID-19 infections a day, sharply down from the more than 700,000 in mid-January, according to a Reuters analysis of official data.

Demand for labor is strong, with fewer workers available. There were 10.9 million job openings at the end of December. 

First-time applications for unemployment benefits have retreated from a three-month high as the Omicron wave subsides.

* * * * * * *


America lost 301,000 private-sector jobs in January, ADP says

New York (CNN Business) Omicron threw a wrench into America’s economy at the start of 2022: The US private sector lost hundreds of thousands of jobs in January, according to Wednesday’s ADP Employment Report.

The loss of 301,000 private-sector positions came as a surprise to economists who had predicted businesses had added 207,000 jobs. It was also the first decline in the ADP report since December 2020.

The ADP report relies on private payrolls, unlike the government’s jobs report that counts all workers. Also of note: ADP counts workers on a company’s payroll, irrespective of whether they were out sick.

That Bureau of Labor Statistics’ report is due Friday morning, with economists predicting 150,000 jobs added, according to Refinitiv. But not all economists are so optimistic. Goldman Sachs (GS) expects a decline of 250,000 jobs in Friday’s report, for example.

“The details of the ADP employment report indicate a large and likely temporary drag from Omicron on January employment,” economists at the bank said.

The drop in Wednesday’s report was also a sharp slowdown from the December report, which showed a whopping 807,000 jobs added as the Omicron variant of Covid-19 wasn’t as widespread at the time.

But in January, coronavirus cases spiked. That affected business, led to worker absenteeism and temporary school closures.

                         Underscoring multiplr pandemic labor market trends.

Last month was a conflation of almost every labor market trend seen during the pandemic, including business closures, labor shortages, and negative effects from child care and school being closed, ADP chief economist Nela Richardson told reporters on a conference call Wednesday.

Almost all major industries recorded losses, led by leisure and hospitality, where more than 150,000 jobs were lost. Only mining added 4,000 positions.

Small businesses with fewer than 50 employees recorded the most losses — though businesses of all sizes shed positions.

Even so, “there is good evidence to suggest that January represents a speed bump, not a stop,” as Omicron cases are starting to abate, Richardson said. Employers’ appetite to hire was strong going into 2022.

America still has more open positions than workers to hire — a trend that will likely continue this year. But as companies compete with each other for workers. they’re all also trying to fend off soaring inflation. This has driven up wages, particularly in lower-paying services jobs and consumer-facing jobs, Richardson said.

Pubblicato in: Cina, Stati Uniti

Cina. Il sostegno americano all’indipendenza di Taiwan potrebbe scatenare una guerra.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-02-01.

Cina 017

Alla esasperata ricerca di nemici, veri o presunti tali, per polarizzare l’opinione pubblica distogliendola da un disperata situazione economica,  Joe Biden ha costretto Russia e Cina a porre dei confini non valicabili, se non a costo di una guerra.

La Cina è estremamente chiara.  

Il sostegno all’indipendenza di Taiwan potrebbe scatenare un conflitto militare degli Stati Uniti con la Cina, che considera Formosa quale suo territorio nazionale.

* * * * * * *

«China and the United States could end up in a military conflict if the United States encourages Taiwan’s independence»

«China considers the neighboring, democratically ruled island of Taiwan its “sacred” territory and has never renounced the use of force to ensure eventual unification»

«”Let me emphasize this. The Taiwan issue is the biggest tinder-box between China and the United States»

«If the Taiwanese authorities, emboldened by the United States, keep going down the road for independence, it most likely (will) involve China and the United States, the two big countries, in a military conflict»

«Under the long-standing policy, Washington officially recognizes Beijing rather than Taipei, while the act requires the United States to provide Taiwan with the means to defend itself»

«While Chinese officials have warned of military action over Taiwan, it is unusual for them to link it directly to the United States»

«US President Joe Biden has said that the United States was not encouraging independence for Taiwan, but he caused a stir in October when he said it would come to the island’s defense if China attacked»

* * * * * * *

Il messaggio è forte e chiaro. Suona come un ultimatum. Starà a Joe Biden non tracimare.

* * * * * * *


Support of Taiwan independence could spark US military conflict with China, Chinese ambassador says.

China and the United States could end up in a military conflict if the United States encourages Taiwan’s independence, Beijing’s ambassador to Washington said in a US radio interview broadcast on Friday.

China considers the neighboring, democratically ruled island of Taiwan its “sacred” territory and has never renounced the use of force to ensure eventual unification.

“Let me emphasize this. The Taiwan issue is the biggest tinder-box between China and the United States,” Qin Gang told National Public Radio.

“If the Taiwanese authorities, emboldened by the United States, keep going down the road for independence, it most likely (will) involve China and the United States, the two big countries, in a military conflict,” he said.

Asked to comment, the US Defense Department said the United States remained committed to its “one China” policy and its commitments under the US Taiwan Relations Act.

Under the long-standing policy, Washington officially recognizes Beijing rather than Taipei, while the act requires the United States to provide Taiwan with the means to defend itself.

“We will continue to assist Taiwan in maintaining a sufficient self-defense capability while also maintaining our own capacity to resist any use of force that would jeopardize the security of the people of Taiwan,” a Pentagon spokesperson said.

The US State Department and White House did not immediately respond to requests for comment on Qin’s remark, which came just hours after US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi discussed the crisis over Ukraine.

While Chinese officials have warned of military action over Taiwan, it is unusual for them to link it directly to the United States.

Tensions between Beijing and Taipei have escalated in recent months as China’s military has conducted repeated air missions over the Taiwan Strait, the waterway separating the island from China.

US President Joe Biden has said that the United States was not encouraging independence for Taiwan, but he caused a stir in October when he said it would come to the island’s defense if China attacked.

The latter remark appeared to depart from Washington’s long-held policy of “strategic ambiguity” — not making clear how the United States would respond — though the White House quickly said Biden was not signaling a change in policy.

The chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Mark Milley, told Congress last year China wants the ability to invade and hold Taiwan within the next six years but might not intend to do so in the near term.