Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Geopolitica America del Nord

Canada. Trudeau precipita nei sondaggi. A ottobre si vota.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela

2019-04-02.

2019-04-01__Canada__001

Nel 2013 il pil canadese era  1,842.627 miliardi Usd ed a fine 2017 era 1,853.043 Usd.

Nel 2013 il pil procapite ammontava a 52,497 Usd mentre a fine 2017 era 45,095 Usd.

Per paragone, nel 2013 il pil cinese era 9,635.025 miliardi Usd, ed a fine 2017 ammontava a 12,237.701 miliardi Usd.

Questi sono i numeri del fallimento del Governo Trudeau.

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Il Canada terrà le elezioni politiche il 21 ottobre 2019.

Il Governo Trudeau, liberal socialista, a tutto il 2018 pareva essere fortissimo e da riconfermarsi: in ciò erano concordi tutti i sondaggi elettorali.

Già però dal giugno dello scorso anno iniziavano a sentirsi i segni di un qualche scricchiolio.

Canada. Ontario. I populisti di Mr Doug vincono 76 seggi contro i 7 dei liberal.

In Ontario il partito populista guidato da Mr Dougaveva inflitto a quello di Mr Trudeau una débâcle memorabile: 71 seggi conquistati contro i soli 7 seggi di Mr Trudeau. All’epoca si disse che in fondo erano solo elezioni tenute in uno degli stati della federazione.

Poi iniziarono ad emergere molti nuovi elementi a sfavore di Mr Trudeau.

Justin Trudeau, premier canadese, si era palpeggiato Mrs. Rose Knight.

Sia chiaro: che un maschio si palpeggi una femmina sarà sicuramente un gesto di pessimo gusto, ma non certo quell’orribile reato irredimibile che si vorrebbe fosse di questi tempi. Si resta davvero perplessi a vederlo equiparato a reati maggiori.

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Canada. Trudeau. Crisi di governo sugli scandali. I numeri del fallimento.

Canada’s Trudeau denies pressuring justice minister on SNC-Lavalin [Reuters]

Trudeau. Verosimile voto di sfiducia. L’affaire SNC-Lavalin.

Già. Con perfetto tempismo emerse in tutta la sua virulenza l’affaire SNC-Lavalin. Mr Trudeau, che si presentava come il novello Catone il Censore era stato pescato con le mani nella marmellata. Ma questo sarebbe anche stato il meno: aveva anche cercato di manovrare l’iter della giustizia.

«evidence of efforts by politicians and/or officials to pressure the former Attorney General to intervene in the criminal case involving SNC-Lavalin»

Molti ministri del governo Trudeau dettero le dimissioni.

«Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is under new pressure after his former justice minister released new documents relating to the SNC-Lavalin affair»

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«Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is under new pressure after his former justice minister released new documents relating to the SNC-Lavalin affair»

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«Jody Wilson-Raybould says government officials tried to persuade her to shield the company from prosecution in a corruption case»

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«She gave an audio recording and other materials to a Commons committee»

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«Mr Trudeau has denied any wrongdoing by either him or his staff and maintains nothing untoward happened»

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Gli effetti sui sondaggi elettorali sono evidenti.

Il partito liberal socialista di Mr Trudeau, Lpc, aveva vinto le scorse elezioni con il 39.5% dei voti e nemmeno un mese dopo era stato accreditato al 55 %: ad oggi sarebbe invece crollato al 30%. Il partito conservatore, che alle scorse elezioni aveva preso il 31.9%, per scendere dopo pochi giorni nei sondaggi al 25%, ora quota 40%.

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La caduta di Trudeau, espressione di una famiglia politica ereditaria ed anche molto numerosa, potrebbe comportare notevoli sommovimenti nell’America del Nord. Sembrerebbe infatti molto verosimile che un governo conservatore che condivide appieno molte linee politiche del Presidente Trump, possa ristabilire gli usuali buoni rapporti diplomatici e commerciali con gli Stati Uniti.

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BBC. 2019-03-30. Secret tape increases pressure on Trudeau in SNC-Lavalin affair

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is under new pressure after his former justice minister released new documents relating to the SNC-Lavalin affair.

Jody Wilson-Raybould says government officials tried to persuade her to shield the company from prosecution in a corruption case.

She gave an audio recording and other materials to a Commons committee.

The files were released publicly on Friday and are likely to increase pressure on Mr Trudeau.

He has struggled for weeks to contain the fallout from the controversy.

What are the allegations?

SNC-Lavalin is facing claims that former executives paid bribes to win contracts in Libya under Muammar Gaddafi’s regime, which fell in 2011.

The Liberal prime minister has been accused of pressuring Ms Wilson-Raybould to push for a legal favour for SNC-Lavalin that would allow it to avoid prosecution and instead face alternative penalties like a fine.

The affair has seen the prime minister lose two top ministers – including Ms Wilson-Raybould, who resigned from cabinet in February – Canada’s top bureaucrat, and a senior aide.

Mr Trudeau has denied any wrongdoing by either him or his staff and maintains nothing untoward happened.

But opinion surveys indicate that the controversy has shaken Mr Trudeau and his government’s popularity months before a general election due in October.

What’s on the tape?

The documents made public include an audio recording, lasting nearly 18 minutes, of a December phone call between Ms Wilson-Raybould and Clerk of the Privy Council Michael Wernick about the prosecution of SNC-Lavalin.

The former justice minister and attorney general said she took the “extraordinary and otherwise inappropriate step” of recording the call without Mr Wernick’s knowledge because she wanted a precise account of the conversation.

She said she was concerned about what she saw as attempts to interfere in the case.

In the call, there is a lengthy back and forth between the pair, during which the senior public servant repeatedly notes that the prime minister is interested in having the firm avoid prosecution in favour of an agreement.

Mr Trudeau and his officials have said they are concerned that thousands of jobs are at risk if the engineering firm is convicted.

She pushes back, warning she felt the conversation was inappropriate and that continued communications about the matter could cross the lines of her prosecutorial independence as attorney general.

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Five quotes that sum up the Trudeau crisis

“The recording allows members of the committee to decide for themselves” about whether or not she was pressured by Mr Wernick, Ms Wilson-Raybould writes.

Mr Wernick stepped down as Canada’s top bureaucrat this month.

What is parliament doing to investigate?

The Liberal-dominated justice committee dropped the inquiry into the SNC-Lavalin affair earlier this month, saying its objectives have been achieved.

After the committee ended the inquiry, Ms Wilson-Raybould announced that she would submit further materials to back up her testimony.

Some 40-pages were released, which include copies of texts and emails, as well as Ms Wilson-Raybould’s elaboration on her view of the events.

Opposition parties had wanted Ms Wilson-Raybould to return to committee following her bombshell testimony in February, where she accused Mr Trudeau and members of his inner circle of spending months trying to politically interfere in the SNC-Lavalin matter.

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