Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo

Germania. Gli Elettori scelgono la Spd e puniscono la Cdu, Merkel ed Herr Laschet.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-09-27.

Giulio Romano. Palazzo Gonzaga. Sala dei giganti. 004

Chiariamo subito un punto cruciale.

Non è la Merkel che ha abbandonato la vita politica, sono stati invece gli Elettori a dare alla Cd, alla Merkel ed a Laschet il benservito.

Elezioni 2021: Cdu 18% (Union 24.1%, dei quali 6.4% sono della Csu)

Elezioni 2017: Cdu 32.9%, 246 seggi

Elezioni 2013: Cdu 41.5%, 311 seggi

* * * * * * *

Merkel è riuscita a prendere la Cdu al 41.5% ed a affondarla fino al 18%.

Un potere distruttivo non da poco.

La Merkel è una liberal ideologica, che agisce coatta dal credo che ha assunto. Nemmeno la più evidente delle realtà potrebbe mai distoglierla dal suo agire.

Il tutto unito da una consistente superbia, per cui ritiene di essere superiore a tutto ed a tutti.

Ed infatti ha sempre fatto la lezione a tutti gli stati che non condividevano il suo credo minacciando sanzioni ininfluenti e ed anatemi degli Imam.

Ha perseguito il mito delle energie rinnovabili, ha demonizzato il carbone fossile, ha spinto fino alle estreme conseguenze l’uso del gas naturale, portando Germania, e con lei l’Europa, ad una dipendenza pressoché totale dalle forniture russe, ha ridotto al lumicino l’industria tedesca, specie quella automobilistica, e questa cercare di emigrare.

Ma il suo errore fatale, la goccia che ha fatto tracimare il vaso, è stato l’aver voluto imporre Herr Armin Laschet quale capo della Cdu e candidato Cancelliere. L’unico merito di Laschet è quello di essere un replicante della Merkel, una persona “yes, Madam, yes”. Merkel avrebbe voluto che la sua ideologia sopravvivesse con Laschet. Ma gli Elettori non ne hanno voluto proprio sapere.

Lascia in eredità la stagflazione.

* * * * * * *

Germania. Grandi capitali in fuga verso la Svizzera. Paura delle sinistre.

Blocco Europeo è strangolato dai rincari del 280% YoY del Gas Naturale. – Mr Putin ringrazia.

Germania. Agosto21. PPI, Producer Prices of industrial products, +12% su agosto20.

Germania. Agosto21. Wholesale price +12.3% su agosto20. Inflazione che cresce.

Blocco europeo. Prezzi degli energetici fuori controllo. Stagflazione in casa.

*

A tutti questi danni, si associa una crisi demografica degna della Grande Peste. È riuscita quasi a distruggere le famiglie tedesche autoctone.

Germania. Demografia. Tasso di fertilità crollato a 1.54. – Destatis.

Germania. La demografia stritola Germania e Große Koalition.

Germania. Demografia. Accademia Tecnica. Mancano dieci milioni di lavoratori.

Germania. Mancano 1.6 milioni di lavoratori esperti, Meister. – Handelsblatt.

Germania. Incidenza economica del calo demografico. – Bloomberg. 

* * * * * * *

Nessuno si stupisca quindi se l’Elettorato con queste elezioni abbia voluto voltare pagina.

Non a caso la Spd ha ripetutamente fatto presente che intende perseguire la Realpolitik.

È la fine ufficiale di una politica ed economica fatta solo ideologiche.

Pubblicato in: Cina, Persona Umana

Cina. Sbrigativo giro di vite sugli stili di vita effeminati che depravano i giovani.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-09-26.

Cina 017

La Weltanschauung cinese è diametralmente opposta a quella dei liberal occidentali: per essere chiari, esse sono inconciliabili e mutuamente escludenti.

Da qualche tempo a questa parte, la Cina ha preso misure sempre più severe contro la penetrazione dell’ideologia liberal tramite gli spettacoli in senso lato, specialmente quelli che corrompono la gioventù, soprattutto poi i promotori di una femminilizzazione dei giovani.

Cinesi e quanti vogliano operare in Cina devono attenersi alle leggi locali.

* * * * * * *

Cina. “Homosexuality as a “psychological disorder” in a university textbook”.

Hollywood. Sta perdendo il grande mercato cinese. Troppo liberal.

Bbc. Bandita dalla Cina perché propala fake news. – Xinhua e Bbc.

Cina. Bando dei videogames, ‘electronic drugs’. Mr Xi vuole tutelare la gioventù.

Cina. Si ribella alla femminilizzazione dei suoi maschi. Li vuole virili.

«Si faccia attenzione! La virilità è la qualità propria dell’uomo forte, sicuro di sé e risoluto, coraggioso, che si manifesta nelle sue azioni. È la capacità di saper resistere agli insulti dell’avversa sorte. Per alcuni è dote naturale, ma per molti altri è dote acquisita fin dalla giovinezza, ed una scuola dura e selettiva, disciplinata, che nulla conceda, è un ottimo strumento formativo»

* * * * * * *

«China’s broadcasting regulator has said it will ban “effeminate” aesthetics in entertainment shows and that “vulgar influencers” should be avoided»

«political and moral conduct should be included as criteria in the selection of actors»

«The television regulator also ordered broadcasters to rein in high salaries paid to stars and clamp down on tax evaders»

«The authorities pledged to promote what it defined as more masculine images of men and criticised male celebrities who use lots of make up»

«programmes that promoted traditional, revolutionary or “advanced socialist” culture, or foster a patriotic atmosphere, were to be encouraged»

«Having started with tech billionaires, the Party is making it clear that prominent showbiz stars are now another clear target»

«Tattoos and men’s ponytails have also previously been blurred from screens»

«The country’s official Xinhua News Agency criticised what it termed society’s effeminate male celebrities in 2018»

«In China, homosexuality is not illegal but authorities are strict on censorship and edited out gay references …. Nudity and sex scenes were also edited out»

* * * * * * *

                         Riassumiamo.

La Cina ha preso a cuore la preservazione ed il potenziamento della salute fisica e mentale della propria gioventù.

Aborrisce le depravazioni mentali e fisiche.

Difficile non essere di accordo.

A nostro sommesso avviso, però, le pene previste sono troppo miti.

*


China’s media cracks down on ‘effeminate’ styles

China’s broadcasting regulator has said it will ban “effeminate” aesthetics in entertainment shows and that “vulgar influencers” should be avoided.

It’s part of a tightening of rules over what it described as “unhealthy content” in programmes.

The National Radio and Television Administration (NRTA) said political and moral conduct should be included as criteria in the selection of actors.

Certain talent contest show formats have also been stopped.

The television regulator also ordered broadcasters to rein in high salaries paid to stars and clamp down on tax evaders.

The authorities pledged to promote what it defined as more masculine images of men and criticised male celebrities who use lots of make up.

However, it said programmes that promoted traditional, revolutionary or “advanced socialist” culture, or foster a patriotic atmosphere, were to be encouraged.

Mass voting for reality programmes will also no longer be allowed unless it is done by live audiences.

Chinese President Xi Jinping has restated the commitment to “common prosperity” and in this pledge to redistribute wealth, high-earning tech tycoons and entertainment stars have been singled out recently. Last week, Chinese actress Zheng Shuang was fined $46m (£33m) for tax evasion.

Rana Mitter, a professor of the history and politics of modern China at the University of Oxford, said the idea of “common prosperity” was a way of “criticising the immense inequality that now marks society”.

“Prominent figures with high wealth are a clear target because criticism of them resonates on social media,” he said.

“Having started with tech billionaires, the Party is making it clear that prominent showbiz stars are now another clear target.”

Earlier this month, at a meeting of the Chinese Communist party’s Central Financial and Economic Affairs Commission, state media reported that while in the early years of China’s reform some were enabled to “get rich first”, now the government wanted to invoke prosperity “for all”. The committee pledged to regulate high earnings in a better way and to “reasonably adjust excessive income”.

China has a population of around 1.4 billion people. Income inequality has increased in recent decades, with the 10% of the population earning 41% of the national income in 2015, up from 27% in 1978, as estimated by the London School of Economics.

Adjusted for inflation, national income per adult grew more than eightfold between 1978 and 2015, according to official statistics.

Lynette Ong, a professor of political science at the University of Toronto’s Asian Institute, said that “this is part of Xi’s latest efforts to ‘cleanse’ what he or the CCP sees as undesirable social culture, such as excessive video gaming by teenagers”.

‘Chaotic’ fan culture

Last week, the country’s internet regulator said it would take action against what it called “chaotic” fan culture and banned some fan club sites.

Prof Ong told the BBC that the latest announcements were “evidence of the Party’s ever encroaching role into the lives of ordinary people.”

In Beijing last month, film stars Zho Dongyu and Du Jiang warned their contemporaries to never become “slaves of the market” and called on performers to “bravely scale artistic heights under the leadership of the Party”.

The entertainment industry is one of the country’s most profitable, and in 2021 it is expected to generate revenues of around $358.6bn (£260bn), according to a recent report by consultancy PwC.

In 2019, during further moves on censorship, China blurred out the earlobes of some of its young male pop stars in television and internet appearances to hide their piercings. Tattoos and men’s ponytails have also previously been blurred from screens.

The country’s official Xinhua News Agency criticised what it termed society’s effeminate male celebrities in 2018. The agency added: “To cultivate a new generation that will shoulder the responsibility of national rejuvenation, we need to resist erosion from indecent culture.”

In China, homosexuality is not illegal but authorities are strict on censorship and edited out gay references in the Oscar winning Freddie Mercury biopic “Bohemian Rhapsody”, though they kept many similar references in the movie “Green Book”. Nudity and sex scenes were also edited out of widely-viewed series such as “Game of Thrones” and the film “The Shape of Water”.

Pubblicato in: Demografia, Devoluzione socialismo

Germania. Strozzata dalla crisi demografica non sa più a quale santo votarsi.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-09-01.

2021-08-28__ Germania Piramide 001

Destatis riporta questo grafico per la demografia tedesca a tutto i 2021.

La piramide demografica in una situazione di equilibrio dovrebbe presentare una punta aguzza in alto ed una larga base in basso. La Germania soffre da decenni di una severa denatalità tra le femmine autoctone.

Contrariamente a quanto prescrive l’ideologia liberal, non è solo una questione economica.

È un problema di Weltanschauung.

Bombardate da una pressante campagna mediatica, le femmine tedesche autoctone hanno in uggia i vincoli matrimoniali, hanno assorbito concetto di matrimonio visto come contratto e non come istituzione, e, soprattutto, la formazione di un nucleo familiare stabile, ove la femmina prolifica.

Germania. Demografia. Tasso di fertilità crollato a 1.54. – Destatis.

Germania. Demografia. Il dramma degli insegnanti in via di pensionamento.

Germania. Adesso i vecchiacci iniziano a pagare in prima persona.

Germania. La demografia stritola Germania e Große Koalition.

Germania. Mancano 1.6 milioni di lavoratori esperti, Meister.

Germania. Il 17% degli studenti è affetto da patologie psichiatriche.

Germania al capolinea. – Handelsblatt

Germania. Gigante dai piedi di argilla. – Handelsblatt

Germania. Mancano ora 35,000 insegnanti, nel 2025 ne mancheranno 105,000.

Germania. Demografia. Accademia Tecnica. Mancano dieci milioni di lavoratori.

Germania. Mancano 1.6 milioni di lavoratori esperti, Meister. – Handelsblatt.

Germania. Incidenza economica del calo demografico. – Bloomberg. 

* * * * * * *

Adesso la Germania deve fare i conti con le scelte passate.

«Europe’s largest economy has an aging population and low birth rates, and the federal labor agency says Germany must attract at least 400,000 skilled immigrants annually to keep up with demand»

«Germany faces massive labor shortages unless it begins recruiting skilled immigrants to replace those retiring from the country’s aging workforce»

«demographic changes mean Germany will have roughly 150,000 fewer working age residents this year alone»

«From nursing care and climate technicians to logisticians and academics, there will be a shortage of skilled workers everywhere»

«We need 400,000 immigrants per year, significantly more than in recent years»

«This is not about asylum but targeted immigration to fill gaps in the labor market»

«the only way to master the situation will be to significantly increase immigration»

«applications for recognition of foreign professional qualifications fell 3% last year, to 42,000»

«We must finally become better in the global competition to attract talent — and to do so, we need a modern, points-based immigration system like Canada and New Zealand have long had»

* * * * * * *

L’idea che le femmine tedesche riprendano a fare figli non sfiora minimamente la mente. Ma questo sarebbe l’unico metodo noto per por fine ad una contrazione demografica.

Poi, cosa non certo da poco, la Germania avrebbe bisogno di lavoratori esperti, ma nemmeno i paesi dell’ex est europeo potrebbero renderne disponibili numeri di tal fatta. Semplicemente non ci sono, e sognare che ci siano non porta lontano.

Germania e tedeschi razionalizzeranno nei fatti che stanno transitando ad essere una mera realtà geografica.

Senza popolazione, una nazione altro non sarebbe.

*


Germany’s workforce in desperate need of skilled immigrants, warns labor agency

Europe’s largest economy has an aging population and low birth rates, and the federal labor agency says Germany must attract at least 400,000 skilled immigrants annually to keep up with demand.

Germany faces massive labor shortages unless it begins recruiting skilled immigrants to replace those retiring from the country’s aging workforce, Federal Labor Agency Chairman Detlef Scheele told the daily Süddeutsche Zeitung (SZ) newspaper Tuesday.

Scheele said demographic changes mean Germany will have roughly 150,000 fewer working age residents this year alone, and warned, “It will be much more dramatic over the coming years.”

“The fact is: Germany is running out of workers,” he said.

“We need 400,000 immigrants per year, significantly more than in recent years,” said Scheele. “From nursing care and climate technicians to logisticians and academics, there will be a shortage of skilled workers everywhere.”

Cognizant of immigration issues in light of Germany’s upcoming federal elections in late September, Social Democrat Scheele told the SZ: “This is not about asylum but targeted immigration to fill gaps in the labor market.”

                         How can Germany fix the problem of labor shortages?

Last year, the number of foreign nationals living in Germany — a country of 83 million — rose by 204,000, the smallest increase in a decade. The problem has been exacerbated by the coronavirus pandemic, which drastically reduced the number of immigrants entering the labor force.

Scheele said that beyond training low-skilled workers, retraining those whose professions have disappeared, or forcing people to work longer, the only way to master the situation will be to significantly increase immigration.

According to Germany’s Federal Statistical Office, applications for recognition of foreign professional qualifications fell 3% last year, to 42,000.

Although the federal government reformed that process in March 2020, Johannes Vogel, labor policy spokesman for the neoliberal FDP’s parliamentary caucus, criticized the current governing coalition of center-right CDU/CSU and social democratic SPD, saying their “paltry Skilled Immigration Act” has not come close to doing what it promised.

“We must finally become better in the global competition to attract talent — and to do so, we need a modern, points-based immigration system like Canada and New Zealand have long had.”

                         Anti-immigrant attitudes won’t work.

The Federation of German Trade Unions (DGB) has also called on lawmakers to create faster and more reliable nationwide standards that will allow those immigrants with the legal status of “Dulding,” or tolerated, as well as those in the country on humanitarian grounds, to enter the workforce and attain longterm employment perspectives.  

The anti-immigrant, far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) labeled the Labor Agency chairman’s calls an “incomprehensible demand,” accusing him of serving what it said were the interests of companies using immigration to drive down wages for German laborers.

Asked about political resistance to the idea of increasing the number of immigrants in Germany, Scheele told the SZ, “You can stand up and say, ‘We don’t want foreigners,’ but that doesn’t work.”

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Stati Uniti

Kamala Harris è caduta nella trappola. Mai fidarsi troppo né di sé stessi né degli ‘amici’.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-07-12.

Kamala Harris 001

Il nostro buon Nicolò Machiavelli raccomandava al Principe di delegare i temi scabrosi al suo ministro. Se li avesse risolti, si sarebbe appropriato del merito, in caso contrario, lo avrebbe fatto decapitare, segnalandosi al popolo come giusto giudice che cura i loro interessi.

Ma lo studio del Principe non alberga nell’ideologia liberal, che lo ignora, per fortuna dei suoi avversari.

* * * * * * *

Women make up 60% of White House staff, diversity total at 44%

«Women make up 60% of the White House staff appointed by President Joe Biden, while people from racially or ethnically diverse communities account for 44%, the White House on Thursday as it released an annual personnel report to Congress. ….

The administration had hired 1,500 presidential appointees across the federal government in the first 100 days in office, double the number hired by any prior administration in that time period»

* * * * * * *

La Harris-Biden Administration è diventata il tempio del matriarcato: 60% di femmine ed il restante di dubbia attribuzione.

La mentalità ed i comportamenti femminili regnano sovrani, facendo emergere vicende umane già mirabilmente descritte ne i Caratteri di Teofrasto, usando spesso proposizioni proslettiche.

Come in ogni gineceo che si rispetti, lo staff di Kamala Harris è stato definito essere un “managed chaos”: un nido di vipere.

* * * * * * *


«Harris is a historic but inexperienced vice president, struggling at times, and she is not being helped by her boss»

«On Sunday, after vice president Kamala Harris’s visit to the southern border, the White House felt the need to issue a statement calling her trip a “success.”»

«noted that she hadn’t visited Europe as vice president, either»

«Addressing the root causes of migration is one of several jobs president Biden has handed Harris, who had no deep expertise with Latin America issues or the decades-long quandary of federal immigration reform»

«He has also asked her to lead the administration’s voting-rights efforts, which are in a filibuster limbo»

«there were no defensive moments like during the NBC News interview in Guatemala in which she called a border visit a “grand gesture” and noted that she hadn’t visited Europe as vice president, either»

«It’s gotten to the point that every time I see Ms. Harris, I immediately think of “The Wiz” and hear Michael Jackson singing»

«You can’t win, you can’t break even

And you can’t get out of the game

People keep sayin’ things are gonna change

But they look just like they’re stayin’ the same»

«Ms. Harris, at this point, can’t seem to win for trying. She is a historic yet inexperienced vice president who is taking on work that can easily backfire as so many people sit in judgment»

«But based on how things look now, her work as his No. 2 could end up being baggage more than a boon. Mr. Biden and his team aren’t giving her chances to get some wins and more experience on her ledger»

«On a more substantive level, how Ms. Harris deals with her portfolio will surely alienate the left and centrist factions of the Democratic Party»

«countless male Democratic senators and governors will challenge Ms. Harris for the nomination»

«Many voters do not see women of color, and Black women specifically, as capable of executive leadership, as evidenced by the lack of any Black female governors in the history of the United State»

«As the child of not one but two immigrants and the No. 2 leader of an imperial nation, she is the one charged with telling people in Guatemala “do not come” to the United States. …. “It’s a trap!” »

«There will be no shortage of Democratic colleagues gunning for her, not to mention Republican politicians and the right-wing media that together revel in misinformation and caricature»

* * * * * * *

Kamala Harris è caduta come una principiante nella trappola di Joi Biden e dei suoi sodali.

Troppo presuntuosa e troppo piena di sé, si era ritenuta essere in grado di gestire la vice presidenza in modo attivo, creativo, quasi disgiunta da Joe Biden.

Invece, ha fatto di flop clamorosi, che verosimilmente le costeranno la corsa presidenziale.

“dai nemici mi guardo io, ma dagli amici mi guardi Iddio”: ma Dio sembrerebbe proprio non tutelare quanti non credano in Lui.

*


Migranti, Botteri: “Quel ‘non venite’ trappola per Kamala Harris, ora in gioco il suo futuro politico”

“Biden le ha affidato il dossier più difficile e controverso, gesto di fiducia o volontà di affossarla?”

“Kamala Harris è giovane, molto forte e popolare. Averla messa su un dossier così difficile, così controverso e così rischioso come quello sull’immigrazione può essere letto in due modi: o Biden in qualche modo la voleva mettere alla prova davanti agli occhi del paese, con un atto di fiducia per prepararla agli occhi degli americani come la possibile prossima presidente, oppure -è la teoria di qualcuno più cattivo- può essere stato anche un modo per fregarla”. E’ l’analisi di Giovanna Botteri che, in collegamento telefonico da Pechino, commenta con l’Adnkronos le esternazioni della vice presidente degli Usa che stanno facendo discutere il mondo.

“Quello che è certo -spiega l’inviata Rai in Cina- è che le è stato messo in mano il dossier più difficile e controverso, e lei pagherà per questo. Alla prima uscita importante tutto il suo lavoro diplomatico, tutto il suo sforzo, quello che ha costruito sinora è stato seppellito da quelle due dannate parole, ‘non venite, non venite’. E questa è la prima trappola in cui è caduta, e il primo rischio che ha affrontato e che ora necessariamente paga”. Per la giornalista, è’ evidente che la Harris “si stia giocando il suo futuro politico su questa vicenda, ed è anche evidente che questa sua uscita sia stata tra virgolette candida”.

Perché, sul punto della polemica, ovvero sul fatto che le dichiarazioni della Harris siano affermazioni contrarie a quella che è sempre stata la politica ‘di sinistra’, opposta a quella di Donald Trump, la Botteri puntualizza: “Non è questione di destra o di sinistra, la grande polemica con Trump è stata nel modo in cui i migranti venivano trattati: famiglie divise, i bambini chiusi nelle gabbie -sottolinea- Era evidente che i democratici non sarebbero andati in Ecuador e in Guatemala a dire ‘venite, vi accogliamo a braccia aperte’. E’ una cosa che non è pensabile: lei va per stabilire un contatto con i paesi di provenienza, per andare all’origine ed evitare che la gente venga massacrata durante il viaggio, i traffici di esseri umani e così via”.

                         ‘Il problema è come ha gestito situazione, ora per lei la strada è tutta in salita’

Il problema dunque “non è lei che dovrebbe essere di sinistra e che ha detto una frase di destra, ma è come lei ha gestito la situazione. Si sta un po’ giocando il suo futuro. Lei ha avuto il dossier più difficile perché la questione dell’immigrazione è molto difficile -analizza la Botteri- Io ricordo un piano fatto sull’immigrazione dal presidente George W. Bush e da Edward Kennedy, quindi assolutamente trasversale, con cui si cercava di sanare la situazione di 12 milioni di immigrati che vivevano negli Usa da una vita: ebbene, non passò”.

In conclusione, “questo è un dossier divisivo, su cui tu non riesci ad avere la maggioranza, su cui ci sono posizioni contrastanti e lei, nella sua prima vera grande uscita di politica nazionale, è caduta su quel ‘non venite, non venite’. Adesso per lei la strada è tutta in salita”.

*

Harris is a historic but inexperienced vice president, struggling at times, and she is not being helped by her boss

«On Sunday, after vice president Kamala Harris’s visit to the southern border, the White House felt the need to issue a statement calling her trip a “success.” The statement cited as supporting evidence by Democratic allies of hers and some neutral media accounts. That’s a relatively modest definition of success, but then again, there were no defensive moments like during the NBC News interview in Guatemala in which she called a border visit a “grand gesture” and noted that she hadn’t visited Europe as vice president, either.

Addressing the root causes of migration is one of several jobs president Biden has handed Harris, who had no deep expertise with Latin America issues or the decades-long quandary of federal immigration reform. He has also asked her to lead the administration’s voting-rights efforts, which are in a filibuster limbo. According to The Times, he has her working on combating vaccine hesitancy and fighting for policing reform, too, among other uphill battles.»

*

Dear Kamala Harris: It’s a Trap!

On Sunday, after Vice President Kamala Harris’s visit to the southern border, the White House felt the need to issue a statement calling her trip a “success.” The statement cited as supporting evidence five tweets by Democratic allies of hers and some neutral media accounts. That’s a relatively modest definition of success, but then again, there were no defensive moments like during the NBC News interview in Guatemala in which she called a border visit a “grand gesture” and noted that she hadn’t visited Europe as vice president, either.

Addressing the root causes of migration is one of several jobs President Biden has handed Ms. Harris, who had no deep expertise with Latin America issues or the decades-long quandary of federal immigration reform. He has also asked her to lead the administration’s voting-rights efforts, which are in a filibuster limbo. According to The Times, he has her working on combating vaccine hesitancy and fighting for policing reform, too, among other uphill battles.

It’s gotten to the point that every time I see Ms. Harris, I immediately think of “The Wiz” and hear Michael Jackson singing:

You can’t win, you can’t break even

And you can’t get out of the game

People keep sayin’ things are gonna change

But they look just like they’re stayin’ the same

Ms. Harris, at this point, can’t seem to win for trying. She is a historic yet inexperienced vice president who is taking on work that can easily backfire as so many people sit in judgment, with critics sniping (especially right-wing commentators) and allies spinning (like with official statements about “success”).

And all the while, the clock is ticking. Most political observers think that if Mr. Biden decides not to run for re-election in 2024 (when he will be 81), Ms. Harris most definitely will. He had to know that in choosing her as his vice president, he was making her his heir apparent. But based on how things look now, her work as his No. 2 could end up being baggage more than a boon. Mr. Biden and his team aren’t giving her chances to get some wins and more experience on her ledger. Rather, it’s the hardest of the hard stuff.

Ms. Harris is a complicated figure. She is not a progressive darling — never has been. As with Barack Obama, the only thing radical about her is her skin color (and gender, in her case) in the Oval Office. On a more substantive level, how Ms. Harris deals with her portfolio will surely alienate the left and centrist factions of the Democratic Party. She was far from a diversity hire for Mr. Biden, and she has clear potential as a national leader, but she needs the time, support and right combination of goals to learn and grow. She needs a mix of tough targets and ones that show her ideas and creativity, as Al Gore had with his Reinventing Government effort, rather than a portfolio consisting of the most difficult policy challenges in 21st-century America.

The way things are going, if Mr. Biden decides not to run again in 2024, countless male Democratic senators and governors will challenge Ms. Harris for the nomination. On one level, there are far too many male leaders who wake up each morning, brush their teeth, look in the mirror and say: “I can do this job I am wholly unqualified for. Let’s go!” But there are also other reasons she would face competition — ones we aren’t talking about.

This country has yet to have an honest conversation and reflection on the ways in which race and gender play out in electoral politics. There are voters who look at Ms. Harris and immediately believe she is unqualified for the job because of her gender, her immigrant parents and the color of her skin. Republicans tend to say the quiet part loud, but if we are being honest, far too many Democrats would never be able to vote for a Black woman at the top of the ticket, no matter how qualified.

Many white liberals like racial and gender equality in theory but get a little gun-shy when asked to make room at the table for others on a long list of issues — school integration, housing, homelessness, incarceration, policing and executive leadership among them. And for those of you scoffing, ask yourself why you can list almost every major and minor flaw of Hillary Clinton, Kirsten Gillibrand, Elizabeth Warren, Maxine Waters and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, to name just a few. Many liberals struggle with issues of gender and race in practice; they may not admit to having a problem with Ms. Harris per se, but many still expect her to conform to certain standards and judge her harshly when she struggles on issues that are difficult to begin with.

Many voters do not see women of color, and Black women specifically, as capable of executive leadership, as evidenced by the lack of any Black female governors in the history of the United States. We must also wrestle with the fact that there have been only two Black female U.S. senators in history. Therefore, for Mr. Biden to select an African American woman from the traditional pool of acceptable vice-presidential candidates of senators and governors, he had an N of one. As brilliant as Stacey Abrams has proved herself to be, the political imagination in this country has yet to evolve to the point that many voters would support a selection of a brilliant politician and policy expert whose highest elected office was minority leader of the Georgia House.

No one has been able to solve the complicated issue of immigration and undocumented immigrants coming to the U.S. border, yet Ms. Harris is charged with solving it. As the child of not one but two immigrants and the No. 2 leader of an imperial nation, she is the one charged with telling people in Guatemala “do not come” to the United States. She undertakes tasks at the pleasure of the president, but this particular role reminds me of Admiral Ackbar’s declaration in “Return of the Jedi”: “It’s a trap!” If she is somehow miraculously able to detangle the complex “immigration crisis,” she will be heralded by some, but not all, as a success and worthy of the Democratic presidential nomination in 2024. If she becomes only the latest leader (in either party) who cannot solve the problem, she specifically will be viewed as a failure.

The role of the vice president has always been undefined, left largely up to the president to shape. Ms. Harris is clearly not a yes man like Mike Pence, the one completely running the show like Dick Cheney or an institutional encyclopedia and counsel the way Mr. Biden was to Mr. Obama.

Ms. Harris’s political aspirations clearly extend beyond the vice presidency, but the way the Biden team seems to be playing out the old Life cereal commercial here — “Let’s get Mikey” — makes her political future uncertain. There will be no shortage of Democratic colleagues gunning for her, not to mention Republican politicians and the right-wing media that together revel in misinformation and caricature. I can imagine a scenario in which she is the face that launches a thousand ships but all of those ships will be fighting against her, not for her.

Until then, Ms. Harris will do what any faithful vice president does: put her head down, let the president shine and work on her vast portfolio with the staff she has. Hopefully for her, those lyrics from “The Wiz” won’t ring true.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Diplomazia, Ong - Ngo, Unione Europea

Ungheria. Tutti i liberal europei vorrebbero cacciarla via, ma non sanno come fare.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-06-28.

Budapest 001

Il problema ungherese è simile giuridicamente a quello tedesco.

Unione Europea vs Germania. Conflitto tra le due supreme corti. Verso la implosione.

«→→ The courts are at loggerheads about the question as to who has the last say in matters relating to European law, Karlsruhe or Luxembourg? ←←»

«→→ The most likely reason is that the lawyers concerned are entering the court room with different sets of presuppositions ←←»

«This approach is based on the principles that states are sovereign, that they treat each other on equal footing and that they refrain from interfering in each other’s internal affairs»

«Violation of the principle of non-interference may constitute a reason for war»

* * * * * * *

Ungheria. Donato il terreno per la erigenda Università cinese in suolo magiaro. Povero Soros.

Hungary’s parliament passes anti-LGBT law ahead of 2022 election

Ungheria. Orban abbandona sia il PE sia il gruppo PPE.

Ungheria. Viktor Orban. Non rinnovata la licenza alla Klubradio broadcasting.

Eurocrati pronti a spaccare l’Unione sul rule-of-law. Piano B. Europa senza Polonia ed Ungheria.

Budget e Recovery Fund. Slovenia si schiera con Polonia ed Ungheria.

Ungheria. Orban mette in costituzione che il matrimonio è tra un uomo ed una donna.

* * * * * * *

I liberal socialisti europei odiano a morte Ungheria e Mr Viktor Orban, che hai loro occhi si sarebbe reso autore di orribili oltraggi. Rivendica la sovranità nazionale; ha scacciato dall’Ungheria Soros e le sue ngo, ivi compresa la sua università; a scritto nella costituzione che il matrimonio è tra un maschio ed una femmina; vieta la propaganda lgbt nelle scuole e nella società civile; più una altra lunga serie di posizioni antitetiche all’ideologia liberal.

Non potendolo uccidere, vorrebbero almeno scacciarlo dall’Unione Europea. Ma una cosa è il desiderio ed una del tutto diversa è la concreta possibilità operazionale.

*


Can the EU expel Hungary?

Even in the event that Rutte’s fellow EU leaders agreed, Hungary’s place within the bloc is not in peril. There is no legal mechanism in the EU’s treaties to expel a member state. The much-discussed Article 7 of the treaties removes a member states voting rights within the EU Council, the forum through which ministers and leaders of member states decide the political future of the EU.

However, invoking Article 7 and suspending the voting rights of a member state requires a unanimous decision in the council, meaning that all 26 leaders (Hungary, the subject of the vote, would not have a say) would need to vote in favor. The chances of this happening is very unlikely. The political leadership in many member states — most notably Poland, which is currently the subject of Article 7 proceedings for its assault on the nation’s courts — simply doesn’t want to set a precedent for Article 7 actually being used.

* * * * * * *

«There is no legal mechanism in the EU’s treaties to expel a member state»

«However, invoking Article 7 and suspending the voting rights of a member state requires a unanimous decision»

«The chances of this happening is very unlikely»

Quante parole inutili!

Pubblicato in: Cina, Devoluzione socialismo, Stati Uniti, Unione Europea

Cina manda un severo warning al G7. Un ‘piccolo gruppo’ non può governare il mondo.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-06-14.

2021-05-20__ G7 GDP (Statista) 001

‘Small’ groups don’t rule the world: China cautions G7 – Times of India.

«China on Sunday pointedly cautioned Group of Seven leaders that the days when “small” groups of countries decided the fate of the world was long gone, hitting back at the world’s richest democracies which sought a unified position to counter China.

“The days when global decisions were dictated by a small group of countries are long gone,” a spokesman for the Chinese embassy in London said

“We always believe that countries, big or small, strong or weak, poor or rich, are equals, and that world affairs should be handled through consultation by all countries.”»

* * * * * * *

«the days when “small” groups of countries decided the fate of the world was long gone»

I paesi afferenti il G7 controllano ad oggi poco più del 31% dell’economia globale: troppo poco per essere condizionanti.

La stretta adesione all’ideologia liberal ne decreta anche l’arroccamento nell’enclave occidentale: il resto del mondo non solo non la condivide, ma la avversa. A questo consegue un isolamento politico quasi totale.

Le ideologie visionarie cozzano sempre con la realtà dei fatti.

«The G7 are planning to offer developing nations an infrastructure scheme that could rival Xi’s multi-trillion-dollar Belt and Road initiative»

Per poter competere con il progetto Belt and Road sarebbe necessario disporre di trilioni di dollari, cifra che i paesi del G7 non hanno. Hanno invece accumulato debiti pubblici di entità strabilianti, i soli Stati Uniti ne hanno per ottantotto trilioni Usd, ed adesso iniziano anche con una simpaticissima inflazione. Avrebbe dovuto essere ‘transitoria’, ma nulla è definitivo come il transitorio.

* * *

Il tempo è galantuomo. Si aspetti l’evolversi degli eventi con la calma dei giusti.

*



China cautions G7: ‘small’ groups don’t rule the world

China on Sunday pointedly cautioned Group of Seven leaders that the days when “small” groups of countries decided the fate of the world was long gone, hitting back at the richest democracies as they sought to act in concert to counter Beijing’s might.

The re-emergence of China as a leading global power is considered to be one of the most significant geopolitical events of recent times, alongside the 1991 fall of the Soviet Union that ended the Cold War.

But the return of China as a global power has unnerved the United States: President Joe Biden casts China as the main strategic competitor and has vowed to confront China’s “economic abuses” and push back against human rights violations.

“The days when global decisions were dictated by a small group of countries are long gone,” a spokesman for the Chinese embassy in London said.

“We always believe that countries, big or small, strong or weak, poor or rich, are equals, and that world affairs should be handled through consultation by all countries.”

The Chinese spokesman said the only valid global system was the international order based on the principles of the United Nations and “not the so-called rules formulated by a small number of countries.”

The G7, whose leaders are meeting in southwestern England, has been searching for a coherent response to the growing assertiveness of President Xi Jinping after China’s spectacular economic and military rise over the past 40 years.

Leaders of the group, which comprises the United States, Canada, Britain, Germany, Italy, France and Japan, want to use their gathering in the English seaside resort of Carbis Bay to show the world that the richest democracies can offer an alternative to China’s growing clout.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau led a G7 discussion of China on Saturday and called on leaders to come up with a unified approach to the challenges posed by the People’s Republic, a source said. read more

The G7 are planning to offer developing nations an infrastructure scheme that could rival Xi’s multi-trillion-dollar Belt and Road initiative. read more

Beijing has repeatedly hit back against what it perceives as attempts by Western powers to contain China, and says many major powers are still gripped by an outdated imperial mindset after years of humiliating China.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo

PD. L’ultimo partito feudale, destinato a morire di inedia. – Decaro.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-02-27.

2021-02-26__ Potere 001

L’accusa di Decaro: il Pd ostaggio delle correnti, rischia di sparire.

«Il partito è ostaggio delle correnti e le correnti tengono in ostaggio il segretario»

«Non sono contrario per principio alle correnti, se sono aree culturali che dibattono sui temi»

«Ma non è più così da molto tempo»

«Oggi sono gruppi di eletti che si muovono allo scopo di essere rieletti sulla base di un vincolo di fedeltà al loro leader. Si alimentano di parlamentari che studiano strategie per tornare a fare i parlamentari»

«L’elenco dei ministri dato a Draghi era semplicemente la lista dei capicorrente»

«Allora alle donne ho detto, ironicamente: fate una corrente anche voi, così la prossima volta avrete posto»

«Anche nella scelta dei sottosegretari si procede così: devi essere persona di fiducia del capocorrente che ti sceglie»

«È per questo che non c’è dissenso e non emergono nuove figure»

«o mettiamo mano adesso all’identità del partito o rischiamo fra un anno o due di non trovarlo più, il Pd»

* * * * * * *


Il concetto fondamentale del sistema feudale è il rapporto di mutuum adiutorium: il feudatario impegna sé stesso ed i suoi sodali a protegger sempre ed in ogni caso l’infeudante, e costui si impegna a venerare ed obbedire al feudatario. Non a caso il Capitolare di Carlo il Calvo prevedeva il delitto di fellonia, tradimento della fede giurata, che comportava la rottura del contratto feudale con pubblica ignominia del fellone, con il quale nessuno aveva più desiderio di trattare. infatti, chi abbia tradito una volta, tradirà poi la seconda.

Ma il feudalesimo è tutt’altro che morto, anzi, è vivo e vegeto.

Si pensi solo alle nomine nei pubblici concorsi, per esempio, i concorsi a cattedra universitaria.

Ma il feudalesimo è tuttora operante in seno ai partiti politici, ed il partito democratico ne è il tempio.

Meriti e competenze valgono meno della spazzatura a confronto dell’affiliazione.

Tutto sta nel sapersi trovare un capo potente in opere e parole.

Il partito democratico è rimasto da tempo senza idee e ripete come un disco rigato gli slogan dei liberal europei. Ma gli slogan sono utili solo se sintetizzano dei concetti. Il PD è solo un sodalizio per il potere.

«o mettiamo mano adesso all’identità del partito o rischiamo fra un anno o due di non trovarlo più, il Pd»

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Duda, Presidente polacco, dichiara che ‘Lgbt è una ideologia peggiore del comunismo’.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-06-18.

Varsavia 001

La dottrina Lgbt è parte integrante dell’ideologia liberal socialista, che al momento è ancora imperante in America e nel blocco europeo: avversarla equivale ad opporsi alle sinistre del blocco, suscitandone ovviamente le loro aspre reazioni.

«LGBT is not people, it’s an ideology»

«Polish President Andrzej Duda accused the LGBT rights movement Saturday of promoting a viewpoint more harmful than communism»

«Duda made his comments in the small southwestern town of Brzeg as he campaigns for reelection in Poland, a predominantly Catholic nation that spent more than four decades under communist governments»

«Duda, who is 48, told his supporters that his parents’ generation did not struggle to cast off communism only to now accept “an ideology” that he thinks “is even more destructive to the human being.”»

«The president said that during Poland’s communist era, regimes ensured survival by indoctrinating the youngest generation»

«Today, there are also attempts to push an ideology on us and our children, but different. It’s totally new, but it is also neo-Bolshevism»

«Duda signed a declaration drafted for the stated purpose of helping families that included language on “protecting children from LGBT ideology” with a ban on “propagating LGBT ideology in public institutions.”»

«The election is scheduled for June 28, with a second round featuring the two top candidates two weeks later on July 12 if none of the contenders wins at least 50% outright»

«polls predict a runoff between Duda and Trzaskowski, who belongs to the centrist and pro-European Union Civic Platform party»

«Another conservative lawmaker got kicked off air in the middle of a Friday interview with private broadcaster TVN for saying “LGBT is not people, it’s an ideology.”»

* * * * * * *

L’ultima frase citata tra virgolette, detta da Bloomberg che fa propria e sostiene l’ideologia liberal, evidenzia al meglio il cuore del problema.

«Another conservative lawmaker got kicked off air in the middle of a Friday interview with private broadcaster TVN for saying “LGBT is not people, it’s an ideology.”»

Un legislatore conservatore è stato cacciato da un trasmissione radiofonica, nel bel mezzo di un’intervista del venerdì con l’emittente privata TVN, per aver detto “LGBT non è gente, è un’ideologia”.

Questa è la tolleranza intellettuale dei liberal socialisti, come ai tempi del comunismo.

Anche in altri tempi esistevano i roghi dei libri con conformi all’ideologia imperante.

*


Bloomberg. Polish President Calls LGBT ‘Ideology’ Worse Than Communism

Polish President Andrzej Duda accused the LGBT rights movement Saturday of promoting a viewpoint more harmful than communism and said he agreed with another conservative politician who stated that “LGBT is not people, it’s an ideology.”

Duda made his comments in the small southwestern town of Brzeg as he campaigns for reelection in Poland, a predominantly Catholic nation that spent more than four decades under communist governments.

Gay rights is emerging as a key campaign theme in the presidential election as the race grows close between Duda, backed by the nationalist conservative ruling party, and Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski, who has called for tolerance for gays and lesbians.

Duda, who is 48, told his supporters that his parents’ generation did not struggle to cast off communism only to now accept “an ideology” that he thinks “is even more destructive to the human being.”

The president said that during Poland’s communist era, regimes ensured survival by indoctrinating the youngest generation.

“That was Bolshevism. It was the ideologizing of children,” he said. “Today, there are also attempts to push an ideology on us and our children, but different. It’s totally new, but it is also neo-Bolshevism.”

Earlier in the week, Duda signed a declaration drafted for the stated purpose of helping families that included language on “protecting children from LGBT ideology” with a ban on “propagating LGBT ideology in public institutions.”

Many conservative politicians in Poland say they are not against gay men and lesbians as individuals, but insist they oppose the goals of a civil rights movement they claim is imported from abroad and threatens to sexualize young people.

But gay and lesbian Poles and liberal Poles say government officials are adopting a language of dehumanization. They believe Duda and others are targeting homosexuals to curry favor with the powerful Catholic church — which faces allegations of covering up clerical abuse — and shore up support among conservative voters ahead of the election.

Some analysts also suspect that Duda and the governing Law and Justice party are making a bid for far-right voters who will mostly support the candidate of a smaller party, Confederation, in the election’s first round but whose votes will be up for grabs in a runoff.

The election is scheduled for June 28, with a second round featuring the two top candidates two weeks later on July 12 if none of the contenders wins at least 50% outright. While there are now 10 candidates in the race, polls predict a runoff between Duda and Trzaskowski, who belongs to the centrist and pro-European Union Civic Platform party.

In recent days, a string of prominent conservative politicians have spoken out about “LGBT ideology.” The deputy head of the governing party, Joachim Brudzinski, wrote Thursday on Twitter that “Poland without LGBT is most beautiful.” His tweet included an image of Jesus and eggs in a bird nest — a bird family “realizing God’s plan,” he said.

Asked about the tweet at a Friday rally, presidential challenger Trzaskowski said: “If you use the words ‘Poland without someone’ — and it doesn’t matter who — that is dividing Poles, and we have had enough of dividing Poles.”

“I think anyone who uses this kind of language will pay a political price,” Trzaskowski said.

Another conservative lawmaker got kicked off air in the middle of a Friday interview with private broadcaster TVN for saying “LGBT is not people, it’s an ideology.”

Duda said at the rally that he agreed with that idea.

“They are trying to convince us that they are people, but this is an ideology,” Duda said to applause and chants of “Andrzej Duda!”

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Devoluzione del socialismo ideologico. – Eu Observer

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-01-24.

Vincent van Gogh - Disperazione

«In a constitutional state, the true ruler is the voter».


Questa considerazione, che al mondo vale quasi esclusivamente per i popoli occidentali, racchiude l’essenza del dominio politico di una parte: conquistare la maggioranza percentuale e, con essa, la maggioranza dei deputati, formando quindi un governo.

Al dominio politico fa seguito quello amministrativo burocratico: il potere politico tenderà a nominare burocrati e funzionari, giudici compresi, aderenti al proprio modo di vedere le cose, alla propria Weltanschauung.

Questo insieme di dipendenti delle pubbliche amministrazioni collegati tra di essi da un comune modo di sentire possono formare ciò che usualmente è designato come “deep state“, ossia un insieme più o meno coordinato che mira ad influenzare e condizionare un eventuale governo che non condivida le proprie ideologie. Come asseriva Hegel, si governa tramite la burocrazia.

Un giudice liberal o socialista governa con le sentenze molto più efficacemente di un parlamento. E, con la scusa della separazione dei poteri, un cambio di governo ben poco potrebbe fare contro di esso. Si consideri anche come i funzionari pubblici, giudici compresi, almeno nelle nazioni europee, non siano cariche elettive, bensì nominate in una qualche maniera dal governo. Così facendo il deep state socialista può sopravvivere al cambio di governo, e favorire il ritorno.

La maggior parte dei dipendenti delle pubbliche amministrazioni non è tanto un “fedele servitore” dello stato, quanto piuttosto della componente politica che gli ha procurato il posto che occupa. Solo molto raramente resterà in quel posto solo se la componente politica di cui è espressione resti al governo: una delle più efficaci invenzioni liberal è stata quella del posto pubblico a vita, inamovibile.

Ma la definizione di deep state sarebbe incompleta se non si considerassero le ngo (ong). Associazioni di diritto privato con qualche migliaia di associati che i media schierati denominano “società civile” e che riportano le loro azioni esattamente come se rappresentassero la totalità degli elettori della nazione. Burocrati e funzionari le riconoscono, concedono loro finanziamenti e le istituzionalizzano spesso rendendo obbligatoria la loro consultazione al fine di stendere leggi e regolamenti. Questa è forse la forma più raffinata di potere, che legalizza la piazza.

Infine, liberal e socialisti ideologici grande cura riposero nel dominare i mezzi di comunicazione, in particolare quell ‘pubblici‘ di nome, loro feudi di fatto. Liberi di supportare l’ideologia liberal e socialista.

In sintesi: il deep state è mezzo per controllare una sistema formalmente democratico ma sostanzialmente dittatoriale, non de iure bensì de facto.

* * * * * * *

Gran quota dell’ultimo secolo è stato dominato dall’ideologia socialista in Europa, liberal negli Stati Uniti: che promettevano benessere economico e sociale in cambio di una sempre maggiore partecipazione della cosa pubblica nel possesso e nella gestione dei beni pubblici. Essendo fenomeni ideologici erano alieni dal pragmatismo per cui si tende a fare ciò che in quel particolare momento sia utile: si attua invece ciò che l’ideologia impone di fare.

Le ideologie sono in un certo qual senso delle idee coatte e cogenti.

Il sistema regge fino a tanto che vi siano beni da spartire e gestire: quindi implode. Ma implode anche quando la presenza del pubblico condizioni troppo severamente il privato.

Ma detta implosione si attua lentamente nel tempo, in quel processo denominato “devoluzione“. Il crollo finale è solo l’evento conclusivo.

Dapprima viene a meno il consenso politico, con perdita delle leve di governo, quindi, lentamente, il deep state si sgretola.

Due recenti episodi storici sono chiari esempi di quanto detto.

L’Unione Sovietica è andata lentamente disgregandosi fino ad implodere, ma la classe dei dipendenti delle pubbliche amministrazioni rimasti nel cuore e nella mente comunisti sono stati espulsi da sistema con grande lentezza, si direbbe quasi per rinnovo fisiologico: i vecchi muoiono. L’attrito imposto dal deep state è stato causa efficiente della relativa lentezza dell’emersione della nuova Russia non comunista.

Lo stesso fenomeno è accaduto in Cina, con la variante che Deng Xiaoping nel breve volgere di due settimane ha trasferito gran parte dei supporter del deep state nei laogai, donde erano non più in grado di nuocere a sé ed agli altri. Lo sviluppo cinese è sotto gli occhi di tutti. Nel solo sistema scolastico furono epurati oltre 600,000 insegnanti entrati in ruolo tramite la rivoluzione culturale: Deng non se ne fece scappare nemmeno uno.

Anche in politica le parole di Caifa sono profetiche: “La morte di uno può salvare una nazione“.

* * * * * * *

Ma la devoluzione dell’ideologia liberal e di quella socialista sarebbe poco comprensibile se il discorso si limitasse al sistema economico. Certo, il fallimento economico è sotto gli occhi di tutti. Nella foga di realizzare i propri dettami ideologici, si fece di tutto per imporre la propria Weltanschauung etica e morale. Come risultato l’istituto familiare è stato quasi distrutto, ogni cosa contro natura è stata esaltata ed imposta, e con il controllo limitativo della proliferazione l’Occidente si avvia ad esperire la più severe crisi demografica dopo la peste di Giustiniano e quella del 1300.

Questo è un elemento logicamente inspiegabile se non considerando come esso sia ideologico.

Se sarebbe stata cosa crudele ma comprensibile la sua applicazione agli altri, liberal e socialisti hanno volutamente limitato la propria progenie al punto tale da andare in estinzione loro, non gli altri.

Come risultato paradosso, tra qualche decennio l’Europa sarà popolata dagli autoctoni di fede cattolica: si tenga presente che le famiglie che fanno capo a movimenti cattolici hanno un minimo di tre figli, ma la mediana super i sei: la loro stirpe sopravvivrà, mentre quella liberal e socialista sarà scomparsa.

*

Nulla di cui stupirsi se l’ideologia liberal e quella socialista abbiano vistosamente perso consensi e quelli residui siano sostenuto per lo più da vecchi: è un’ideologia condannata dalla demorgafia.

Non ci si faccia ingannare dal fatto che i media sono ancora saldamente liberal e socialisti: senza l’appoggio di un governo in carica sono destinati a scomparire. Un solo esempio per tutti? Leggiamoci gli archivi del Corriere della Sera nel periodo a cavaliere tra il 1° aprile ed il 30 maggio 1945.

Solo per fare qualche esempio, nel 2000 in Grecia il partito socialista valeva il 43.8% ed ora quota il 5.7%; In Francia è ridotto al 6.3%; nella Repubblica Ceka è sceso dal 30.2% al 7.4%; in Spagna dal 34% al 22.7%; in Germania dal 38.5% al 18%; in Italia dal 43.2% all’attuale 23.5%.

«But in the meantime, the voter has – more than 150 years later – clearly lost faith in Lassalle’s political idea»

*

«Almost everywhere in Europe, social democratic and socialist parties are losing support: last year, the German SPD saw a historic bad result in the parliamentary elections. Its sister parties in France, the Netherlands and the Czech Republic have even sunk to single digit shares of the vote.»

*

«European social democracy is fighting for its political survival: since the new millennium, its vote share has fallen in 15 of the 17 countries we examined – sometimes dramatically»

*

«But there are also common roots that can explain the crisis faced by socialists and social democrats in many countries»

*

«First, parties have lost many of their core voters. European social democracy, born out of the labour movement of the nineteenth century, had a large support base upon which it could rely for votes: the workers, above all people engaged in manual labour»

*

«It is now an ever-shrinking demography: the working class is fragmented, the conditions that supported the social democrats for decades across Europe have disappeared»

*

«Second, in the past couple of decades, parties on the political fringes of many countries have emerged or have won approval»

*

«populist right-wing parties are appealing to the remaining traditional working class – like the Front National in France, the FPO in Austria, Geert Wilders’ party in the Netherlands and the AfD in Germany»

*

«Third, people have long been concerned by a fundamental crisis among mainstream parties»

*

«A big comeback for social democracy is not yet on the cards»

* * * * * * *

La devoluzione socialista interessa ovviamente i singoli stati, ma nel contempo svolge una pesante azione anche sull’Unione Europea.

Questa è governata dal Consiglio Europeo, ossia dalla riunione dei capi di stato o di governo dei paesi afferenti. Similmente l’Ecofin governa indirettamente l’Eurozona.

Se venti anni or sono l’indirizzo dell’Unione era chiaramente socialista ideologico, tutto volto a concretare gli Stati Uniti di Europa, ad oggi questa unanimità di intenti e vedute è venuto a meno. Non ancora completamente, ma i socialisti ideologici non hanno più la maggioranza e sembrerebbero essere destinati ad estinguersi anche in quel consesso.

Questo periodo di transitorio è destinato a durare ancora molti anni e la attuale starvation politica tedesca ne è chiaro esempio.


Euobserver. 2018-01-22. Europe’s social democrats are having a hard time

The near collapse in the vote for Germany’s SPD is just the latest crisis for social democratic parties across Europe.

*

“In a constitutional state, the true ruler is the voter”, in the famous phrase of Ferdinand Lassalle, the champion of workers and intellectual force behind European social democracy.

But in the meantime, the voter has – more than 150 years later – clearly lost faith in Lassalle’s political idea.

Almost everywhere in Europe, social democratic and socialist parties are losing support: last year, the German SPD saw a historic bad result in the parliamentary elections. Its sister parties in France, the Netherlands and the Czech Republic have even sunk to single digit shares of the vote.

European social democracy is fighting for its political survival: since the new millennium, its vote share has fallen in 15 of the 17 countries we examined – sometimes dramatically:

Major developments can be seen across Europe:

Germany

In Germany, the SPD result in 2017 federal elections was the worst since the end of the Second World War (at 20.5 percent). But, at the turn of the millennium, it was the strongest party: Gerhard Schroeder led it into government in 1998 with 40 percent of the vote; in 2002 it won 38.5 percent and again named the chancellor. Since then, however, it has gone downhill. Particularly after the ‘Grand Coalition’ from 2005 to 2009, when voters punished the SPD, the junior partner; its vote share collapsed by more than ten percentage points. After a slight increase in 2013, the downward trend has resumed.

France

Last year in France, the Socialist Party (PS) entered its worst-ever crisis. President Francois Hollande, the most unpopular person to hold the office in history, did not even stand for re-election. The party’s candidate, Benoit Hamon, finished in fifth place, with a mere six percent of the vote. A few weeks later came the vote for the National Assembly. In 2012, the PS became the strongest party, this time it fell by more than 20 points and won only seven percent of the vote.

Netherlands, Czech Republic

In the Netherlands and the Czech Republic, the social democratic parties also scored in the single figures for parliamentary elections last year. In comparison to the preceding elections, they dropped by 19 and 13 percentage points respectively.

Greece

In Greece, the decline has already been underway for many years. After the start of the sovereign debt crisis, the ruling Pasok Party resoundingly lost its absolute majority in parliament. In the 2012 vote, it tumbled by more than 30 percentage points, in 2015 it lost even more trust, and today it barely plays any role at all.

Austria

In Austria’s recent vote, although SPO was able to match its results of four years ago, it nevertheless left the government and has lost almost ten percentage points over the past 15 years.

Iberia and Mediterannean

In Italy, Spain and Portugal the social democratic parties were still scoring over 40 percent in elections held over the 2000s. They are far away from that today, with the Spanish PSOE reaching only 22 percent in the last election.

Scandinavia

In Sweden and Finland, too, the election results of the social democrats have been steadily worsening since the turn of the millenium.

In Norway the workers party AP significantly recovered from its decline at the start of the millenium. In 2001, the AP lost more than ten points, winning only 24.3 percent of the vote and finding itself in opposition after more than 40 years in power. It was afterwards able to balance out those losses by shifting to the left. Since the 2009 vote, however, it has gone into reverse once again, winning 27.4 percent of the vote in 2017. While it is still the strongest party, the country is now governed by a conservative coalition.

UK exception

Until recently in the UK, the Labour party was following the same downward trend, losing ten percentage points between 2001 and 2015. But Labour was able to recoup its losses in last year’s general election and clearly profited from the consequences of the Brexit vote earlier in the year.

In every country there are of course differing, individual reasons for this development.

But there are also common roots that can explain the crisis faced by socialists and social democrats in many countries.

First, parties have lost many of their core voters. European social democracy, born out of the labour movement of the nineteenth century, had a large support base upon which it could rely for votes: the workers, above all people engaged in manual labour.

It is now an ever-shrinking demography: the working class is fragmented, the conditions that supported the social democrats for decades across Europe have disappeared.

Industrial jobs are being made superfluous by new technologies or are moving to countries with lower wages.

High-earning permanent staff work alongside wage workers, who often do the same tasks but receive less money for them.

In Germany, the share of traditional workers fell in the last 50 years from half the workforce to barely a quarter. And surveys carried out after elections illustrate that the remaining workers no longer only vote for the social democrats.

Second, in the past couple of decades, parties on the political fringes of many countries have emerged or have won approval.

Socialist and populist left-wing parties have been able to win over voters who earlier voted for the social democrats. It is, to some extent, what Syriza in Greece has managed, along with the left parties in Portugal and Denmark, or Die Linke in Germany, which is the successor party to both the East German Communist Party and the West German WASG.

At the same time, populist right-wing parties are appealing to the remaining traditional working class – like the Front National in France, the FPO in Austria, Geert Wilders’ party in the Netherlands and the AfD in Germany.

Third, people have long been concerned by a fundamental crisis among mainstream parties.

Voter commitment is decreasing, or worse: trust in politics as a whole is dissolving. Many countries in Europe are struggling with diminishing voter participation.

In Germany, around 90 percent of voters went to the ballot box in the 1970s, while in the 2000s that figure was only between 70 to 80 percent.

In France, participation in the second round of the parliamentary vote last year fell to a historic low, and in Greece, too, disengagement with politics is high.

The future?

What would a future for European social democracy look like? How can it respond to the challenges of a globalised, digitalised world? And will it manage to win back voters’ trust?

Europe’s next parliamentary election takes place in Italy in March.

Matteo Renzi, the head of the fractious social democratic party Partito Democratico, would like to lead it back to power once more.

Renzi sees himself as playing a similar role to France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, who presented himself as the renewer of the political scene. Yet in the polls, the anti-European Five Star Movement and Silvio Berlusconi’s right-wing alliance are in the lead.

A big comeback for social democracy is not yet on the cards.

Methodology

The following election results were included in the data: the observations above use the electoral results from 17 European countries. They were collected by the Norwegian Centre for Research Data and the International Foundation for Electoral Systems and processed and compiled by the New York Times in a different context. We have added any missing data.

We looked at parliamentary votes from 2000 to 2017. In countries with two-chamber systems, only the lower house was included in the analysis. In countries with multiple voting rounds, only the first round was examined.

For each country, we analysed the results of all parties that are members or partners of the Party of European Socialists (PES), an alliance of social democratic parties in Europe.