Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Materie Prime, Unione Europea

Blocco Europeo. L’inverno potrebbe portare una severa crisi sul gas naturale.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2011-11-24.

2011-11-21__ Europa gas naturale 001

«Europe was already facing a winter gas crisis. The risks just got even bigger»

«When Germany announced this week that it had suspended the process of certifying a controversial new Russian gas pipeline called Nord Stream 2, the response in energy markets was immediate»

«European natural gas futures finished almost 18% higher on Tuesday and rose again on Wednesday»

«UK wholesale prices also surged»

«→→ some factories in Europe and the United Kingdom were shuttered because their operations had become unprofitable ←←»

«Germany’s decision not to approve Nord Stream 2 for now because the pipeline operator is based in Switzerland appears to be based on a legal technicality»

«But the move will delay the date when gas is expected to start flowing»

«→→ They now predict gas will start flowing along the pipeline in February of 2022, though some analysts think it will be even later ←←»

«The European Union gets about 40% of its imported natural gas from Russia, and even as it transitions to cleaner sources of energy, that dependence is expected to remain intact»

«It’s set to deliver 55 billion cubic meters of gas per year directly from Russia to Europe»

«We haven’t got enough gas at the moment, quite frankly. We’re not storing for the winter period»

«But the certification delay adds to concerns that Russia won’t step up beyond its contractual obligations to supply gas to Europe at a difficult moment, as some had hoped»

«as many as 80 million households across Europe were already struggling to keep their homes adequately warm»

«Europe emerges with severely depleted storage»

* * * * * * *


Blocco Europeo. Oct21. Immatricolazioni auto a picco. Default in vista – Acea.

Al 19 novembre il TTF Gas dimostrava un incremento anno su anno del 606.54% mentre lo UK Gas del 528.8%.

Il Wholesale Price Index tedesco era +15.2%, anno su anno, mentre il PPI, Core Producer Price Index, era +18.4%.

Le immatricolazioni di nuove auto in Germania sono crollate del -34.9%, anno su anno

Nessun sistema economico può reggere a lungo una situazione del genere.

I costi degli energetici sono gravati da immani prelievi statali, volti a finanziare le autovetture elettriche e le varie iniziative ecologiche.

Se lo scopo era la distruzione del comparto produttivo continentale, ebbene, ci stanno riuscendo pienamente.

* * * * * * *


Europe was already facing a winter gas crisis. The risks just got even bigger.

London (CNN Business) When Germany announced this week that it had suspended the process of certifying a controversial new Russian gas pipeline called Nord Stream 2, the response in energy markets was immediate.

European natural gas futures finished almost 18% higher on Tuesday and rose again on Wednesday. UK wholesale prices also surged. They’re now heading back towards record levels seen in early October, when some factories in Europe and the United Kingdom were shuttered because their operations had become unprofitable.

The unease reflects a growing uncertainty: As colder weather sets in, will the region be able to source the energy it needs to power buildings and businesses and heat homes amid a global scramble for fuel?

“Markets are incredibly jittery,” said Nikos Tsafos, an expert in energy and geopolitics at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington D.C. “The lack of certification adds to that anxiety.”

Germany’s decision not to approve Nord Stream 2 for now because the pipeline operator is based in Switzerland appears to be based on a legal technicality. But the move will delay the date when gas is expected to start flowing — a turning point analysts have said could mitigate Europe’s energy shortfalls.

“The timeline for the start of the pipe now appears longer than what we initially expected,” strategists at Goldman Sachs wrote in a research note.

They now predict gas will start flowing along the pipeline in February of 2022, though some analysts think it will be even later. That means it can’t be counted on to boost supply in the coming months, a period that was already going to be challenging.

“Nord Stream 2 is the pipeline that can change the supply game in Europe and tip the scale, so delays in its utilization mean the current tight gas market conditions will persist through the winter,” said Carlos Torres Diaz, head of gas and power markets at Rystad Energy.

                         The importance of Nord Stream 2

The European Union gets about 40% of its imported natural gas from Russia, and even as it transitions to cleaner sources of energy, that dependence is expected to remain intact.

Construction of Nord Stream 2 by Gazprom, which is controlled by the Russian state, began in 2018 and was completed in September. It’s set to deliver 55 billion cubic meters of gas per year directly from Russia to Europe.

The pipeline has always been controversial because it bypasses Ukraine, causing countries like the United States to warn it will boost Moscow’s influence in the region. But there had been speculation that the approval process for operations to begin could be sped up as natural gas prices in Europe rocketed higher due to weather patterns and a surge in demand as lockdowns were lifted.

“We haven’t got enough gas at the moment, quite frankly. We’re not storing for the winter period,” Jeremy Weir, CEO of energy trading company Trafigura, told a conference organized by the Financial Times this week. “So hence there is a real concern that … if we have a cold winter that we could have rolling blackouts in Europe.”

Tsafos of CSIS said there was never much clarity on whether gas from Nord Stream 2 could really ease the situation in the coming months. But the certification delay adds to concerns that Russia won’t step up beyond its contractual obligations to supply gas to Europe at a difficult moment, as some had hoped.

“We’re in a slightly more distrusting environment with what’s coming out of Russia this winter,” Tsafos said.

Henning Gloystein of Eurasia Group said that the amount of gas coming to Europe from Russia this winter shouldn’t be impacted, but acknowledged that the situation remains politically fraught.

“By suspending the Nord Stream 2 approval process, German regulators and likely also its incoming new government signal they are not willing to bow to Russian pressure to fast-track approval for the pipeline,” he said. “It also signals [to] its allies in Poland, Brussels and in Washington that Berlin is not deaf to their criticism of the pipeline.”

                         What’s next?

The development further clouds the outlook for Europe in the near term.

Experts, anti-poverty organizations and environmental campaigners have warned that millions of people across Europe may not be able to afford to heat their homes this winter because of the leap in gas and electricity prices.

Recent research led by Stefan Bouzarovski, professor at the University of Manchester and chair of energy poverty research network Engager, found that as many as 80 million households across Europe were already struggling to keep their homes adequately warm before the pandemic.

The current price spike could make matters worse, though governments have taken steps to offset higher costs or put a cap on bill increases.

Rystad Energy predicts that Nord Stream 2 delays could even impact the energy market beyond this winter, predicting that certification will now be completed around April at the earliest. Eurasia Group also thinks operations likely won’t start until the second quarter of 2022.

That would prolong the scramble for liquified natural gas, which is currently in extremely high demand.

“Europe may be forced to continue being dependent on an already tight liquefied natural gas market, which suggests an increased likelihood of a sustained high price environment throughout much of next year’s first half if Europe emerges with severely depleted storage,” Rystad Energy said.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo

Germania. I Grüne stanno recalcitrando. Potrebbero non entrare nel governo.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-11-17.

2021-11-16__Grüne 003

I Grüne tedeschi sono simpaticissimi ectoplasmi: vogliono realizzare il loro programma, almeno parzialmente, incuranti dei relativi costi.

Tuttavia i macrodati economici sembrerebbero non permettere che ben poco.

Il CPI, Indice dei Prezzi al Consumo, vale 4.5%.

Il PPI, Indice dei Prezzi di Produzione, vale 14.2%.

Il WPI, Wholesale Price Index, vale 15.2%.

L’Indice dei prezzi all’Importazione vale 17.7%.

Ad ogni legge dovrebbe corrispondere la dotazione finanziaria.

* * * * * * *

«The three-party talks aimed at forming Germany’s next government could still fail unless the sides achieve more progress on climate protection measures»

«The stark warning comes as the haggling between would-be Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s centre-left Social Democrats (SPD), the Greens and the business-friendly Free Democrats (FDP) entered the final straight»

«Robert Habeck told public broadcaster RBB the government that succeeds Angela Merkel’s outgoing conservative-led administration must be a “climate government”, committed to the Paris Climate Agreement target of capping the global average temperature increase at 1.5 degrees by 2100»

«If we don’t manage that – 1.5 degrees is our yardstick, it’s in our provisional agreement … then we have failed in the coalition talks»

«A collapse in the talks would plunge Germany, and the European Union of which it is by far the richest and most populous member, into deep crisis»

* * * * * * *

Ad multos annos, ma nel 2100 saremo tutti due metri sotto terra, sempre poi che ci sia qualcuno che ci seppellisca.

Evidentemente il flop del G20 e poi quello di Cop26 non sono stati ancora sufficienti a far comprendere ai tedeschi che il mondo è mutato.

Si pensi solo che Joe Biden non compare tra i firmatari del documento finale, financo culmine di leggiadra vaghezza, e che l’America sta estraendo ed usando carbone alla grande, per non parlare poi dell’Australia, India, Russia e Cina.

Biden a Cop26. ‘We’re still falling short’ on climate.

America. Estrazione del carbone. – Eia

I Grüne tedeschi sono cascami della storia.

* * * * * * *


Greens warn German coalition is far from a done deal.

Berlin, Nov 12 (Reuters) – The three-party talks aimed at forming Germany’s next government could still fail unless the sides achieve more progress on climate protection measures, the co-leader of the German Greens said on Friday.

The stark warning comes as the haggling between would-be Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s centre-left Social Democrats (SPD), the Greens and the business-friendly Free Democrats (FDP) entered the final straight.

Robert Habeck told public broadcaster RBB the government that succeeds Angela Merkel’s outgoing conservative-led administration must be a “climate government”, committed to the Paris Climate Agreement target of capping the global average temperature increase at 1.5 degrees by 2100.

“If we don’t manage that – 1.5 degrees is our yardstick, it’s in our provisional agreement … then we have failed in the coalition talks,” he said.

His comments came as the U.N. climate summit in Glasgow entered what was scheduled to be a final day of bargaining over how to stop global warming from becoming catastrophic.

Next week, the SPD, the Greens and the FDP will assess the agreements made in coalition talks on a whole range of policy areas and decide how to proceed with government-building.

A collapse in the talks would plunge Germany, and the European Union of which it is by far the richest and most populous member, into deep crisis.

The more fragmented parliament returned by voters in September’s election makes for complicated coalition arithmetic.

Among the few alternatives would be a repeat of the grand coalition that has ruled Germany for the past eight years, though this time under SPD instead of conservative leadership. Few in either party want this.

In a sign of their disquiet over the results of climate policy talks, the Greens’ leadership last week wrote to a range of activist groups asking them to pressure the other two parties to beef up their climate protection policy.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Materie Prime, Unione Europea

Europa. Elettricità. 7 milioni già disconnessi per morosità. 80 milioni nei triboli.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-10-24.

2021-10-06__ Europa Elettricità 001

Gli aumenti delle materie prime energetiche comportano il susseguente aumento dei costi della energia elettrica e del gas al consumatore finale.

È quindi ovvio risultato che milioni di famiglie si vedano tagliare le utenze, le bollette le quali non sono in grado di pagare.

* * * * * * *

«Millions of people across Europe may not be able to afford to heat their homes this winter as gas and electricity prices soar»

«rising prices have intensified a longstanding problem tied to a combination of high energy costs, low household incomes and homes that aren’t energy efficient.»

«up to 80 million households across Europe were already struggling to keep their homes adequately warm before the pandemic»

«The European Union describes energy poverty as being unable to afford “proper indoor thermal comfort.”»

«→→ Now, price hikes are putting even more households at risk of being disconnected from power and gas grids because they can’t pay their bills ←←»

«Workers in retail, hospitality and the airline sector were hit especially hard, and many have lost their jobs»

«Seven million European households receive energy disconnection notices a year»

«Natural gas futures for October delivery have more than doubled over the past three months»

«Inflation data published Thursday shows that consumer energy prices are surging in France and Italy»

«Between 20% and 30% of Europe’s population is facing general poverty, while up to 60% are suffering from energy poverty in some countries»

«Bulgaria has the highest proportion of energy poor people in Europe at 31% of the population, followed by Lithuania at 28%, with the relatively warmer Cyprus at 21% and Portugal at 19%. Switzerland’s population is the least vulnerable to energy poverty at 0.3%, followed by Norway’s 1%»

«We should be seeing access to energy as a human right in the same way as we see access to water as a human right»

«The government will scrap some standing charges from consumers’ bills, which suppliers use to cover overheads related to renewable energy subsidies»

* * * * * * *

Il costo del natural gas e del carbone ha raggiunto in Europa aumenti di quasi il cinquecento per cento in un anno, ma parte non indifferente di questi aumenti è dovuto al carico di accise e tasse che vi gravano sopra.

Si attua così un meccanismo iniquamente perverso: per mantenere le sovvenzioni alle energie rinnovabili si mandano alla miseria milioni di Cittadini già in fascia di povertà.

È una situazione che grida vendetta a Dio ed agli uomini.

* * * * * * *


80 million European households struggle to stay warm. Rising energy costs will make the problem worse.

London (CNN Business) Millions of people across Europe may not be able to afford to heat their homes this winter as gas and electricity prices soar.

Experts, anti-poverty organizations and environmental campaigners are warning that the coronavirus pandemic and rising prices have intensified a longstanding problem tied to a combination of high energy costs, low household incomes and homes that aren’t energy efficient.

Recent research led by Stefan Bouzarovski, professor at the University of Manchester and chair of energy poverty research network Engager, found that up to 80 million households across Europe were already struggling to keep their homes adequately warm before the pandemic.

The European Union describes energy poverty as being unable to afford “proper indoor thermal comfort.” Only four European countries — France, Ireland, Slovakia and the United Kingdom — have official definitions, but experts say the problem is widespread.

Now, price hikes are putting even more households at risk of being disconnected from power and gas grids because they can’t pay their bills. Many are vulnerable because their incomes dropped and bills rose during the pandemic. Workers in retail, hospitality and the airline sector were hit especially hard, and many have lost their jobs.

“Since 2019 a lot has changed, but more than 12 million households [in Europe] were [already] in arrears with their utility bills,” said Louise Sunderland, senior adviser and policy analyst at the Regulatory Assistance Project, which focuses on the clean energy transition.

Seven million European households receive energy disconnection notices a year, according to the Right to Energy Coalition, an umbrella group that includes trade unions, environmental organizations and NGOs.

The pandemic made the problem even worse, said Sunderland, because many people are spending more time at home, increasing their energy consumption.

At the same time, energy prices are rising because gas suppliers are struggling to replenish stocks depleted by high demand for heating last winter and air conditioning over the hot summer. That scarcity has pushed consumer and wholesale prices to record levels.

Natural gas futures for October delivery have more than doubled over the past three months, according to data from the Dutch Title Transfer Facility, a major gas trading venue. Inflation data published Thursday shows that consumer energy prices are surging in France and Italy.

                         A longstanding problem

“The risk of falling into energy poverty within the European population is at double the risk of general poverty,” Bouzarovski told CNN Business.

Between 20% and 30% of Europe’s population is facing general poverty, while up to 60% are suffering from energy poverty in some countries, he said.

Bulgaria has the highest proportion of energy poor people in Europe at 31% of the population, followed by Lithuania at 28%, with the relatively warmer Cyprus at 21% and Portugal at 19%. Switzerland’s population is the least vulnerable to energy poverty at 0.3%, followed by Norway’s 1%.

Experts and campaigners have argued the European Union should legislate a ban on suppliers disconnecting households from their energy sources in the short term. But they warn that only reducing dependency on gas and introducing more renewables to the energy mix can tame price spikes in the longer term.

“It’s not clear why we don’t have an EU-wide disconnection ban,” said Bouzarovski, adding that implementation could be similar to how the bloc scrapped mobile phone roaming charges.

“We should be seeing access to energy as a human right in the same way as we see access to water as a human right,” said Martha Myers, climate justice and energy campaigner at Friends of the Earth Europe, which is part of the Right to Energy Coalition.

                         Civil unrest fears

Observers are also warning of the possibility of political unrest if governments don’t take action to help households.

“There could be a rise in ‘Gilet Jaunes’-type movements across Europe,” Bouzarovski said, referring to protests that rocked France in recent years.

Rising fuel prices sparked protests across Bulgaria in 2013 that brought down the government and caused smaller scale demonstrations in 2018.

France has announced a €100 ($116) one-off payment to nearly 6 million households already receiving energy vouchers from the government. Spain has moved to slash household energy taxes and impose a levy on some energy suppliers.

The Italian government has committed up to €3 billion ($3.5 billion) to subsidize up to 5.5 million of its most vulnerable citizens, according to Reuters. The government will scrap some standing charges from consumers’ bills, which suppliers use to cover overheads related to renewable energy subsidies.

European Energy Commissioner Kadri Simson said earlier this month that “there are tools” EU countries can deploy to address the situation.

“[Sales tax] and excise policy, targeted measures for energy poor and vulnerable consumers or temporary measures for households and small businesses, as well as direct support to consumers are all steps that can be taken, fully in line with the EU rules,” she said, following a meeting with energy ministers in Slovenia.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale, Materie Prime

Mondo. Materie prime. Costi alla produzione. Carbone +258% anno su anno.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-10-05.

2021-09-28__ Coal 001

I costi alla estrazione del carbone fossile sono aumentati al 28 settembre del 258% anno su anno. Si noti che questi sono i prezzi alla estrazione, non certamente i wholesales prices.

2021-09-28__ Coal 002

* * * * * * *

Australia. Proseguirà ad estrarre, usare ed esportare carbone. Liberal affranti.

China Is Planning to Build 43 New Coal-Fired Power Plants. Can It Still Keep Its Promises to Cut Emissions?

Materie prime. Ancora prezzi in salita. Carbone +120.31 percento.

Asia. Trend energetici. Il carbone domina nella produzione di corrente elettrica.

Cina. 2020. Attivate centrali a carbone per 38.4 GW ed in costruzione per altri 36.9 GW.

China Promotes Climate Goal, and Builds New Coal Plants

Carbone. Consumi mondiali. I numeri parlano chiaro. La Cina.

Kremlin. Putin. La Russia potenzia estrazione ed esportazione del carbone.

* * * * * * *

«Coal futures surged to a fresh record high of $210 per metric ton in late September, bringing the monthly gain to nearly 20% and the yearly to almost 160%. Several factors have been pushing coal prices up, including tight supply in China as the country vows to achieve emissions standards and reach carbon neutrality by 2060; a lack of mine investment reflecting pressure from socially conscious investors; imports constraints due to coronavirus restrictions and a surge in natural gas prices amid prospects of a shortage in inventories, specially in Europe. The power crunch is likely to stay given that environmental policies have deterred coal companies from investing in new mines to increase supply and forecasters predict an unusually cold winter season.»

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo

G20. Nessun paese ha adempiuto gli Accordi di Parigi del 2015.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-09-22.

Carbone. Consumi degli stati 001

«lunga promessa con l’attender corto / ti farà trïunfar ne l’alto seggio»

«achieving net zero will be virtually impossible».

Quando l’America e l’enclave liberal socialista europea sembravano essere ancora egemoni, tutti gli stati sottoscrissero gli Accordi i Parigi. Chi non avesse sottoscritto il ‘clima’ sarebbe stato sanzionato.

Ma le parole sono parole: solo i dati fattuali contano.

Gli obiettivi posti erano ‘virtually impossible’, ed hanno fatto la fine di tutti i sogni sradicati dalla realtà: nessuno si sogna di mantenere la parola data.

                         Sources.

Statistical Review of World Energy – British Petroleum

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

* * * * * * *


«Not a single G20 country is in line with the Paris Agreement on climate»

«None of the world’s major economies — including the entire G20 — have a climate plan that meets their obligations under the 2015 Paris Agreement»

«The watchdog Climate Action Tracker (CAT) analyzed the policies of 36 countries, as well as the 27-nation European Union, and found that all major economies were off track to contain global warming»

«The analysis also included some low-emissions countries, and found that the Gambia was the only nation among all 37 to be “1.5 compatible.”»

«Under the 2015 Paris accord, more than 190 countries agreed to limit the increase in global temperatures»

«The report comes less than two months ahead of UN-brokered international climate talks in Glasgow, known as COP26»

«CAT reported that progress had stalled after dozens of world leaders made ambitious new pledges to slash greenhouse gas emissions during the US President Joe Biden’s Climate Leaders’ Summit in April»

«The overall climate plans of the US, European Union and Japan are not sufficient»

«CAT had previously categorized the US as “critically insufficient” — the worst category»

«All signatories were supposed to update their NDCs by July 31 this year under the Paris accord. There are still more than 70 countries that have yet to submit an update»

«India, Saudi Arabia and Turkey are among countries that missed the July 31 deadline. China, the world’s biggest polluter, announced a new target, but hasn’t formally submitted it to the UN»

«Of particular concern are Australia, Brazil, Indonesia Mexico, New Zealand, Russia, Singapore, Switzerland and Vietnam: they have failed to lift ambition at all, submitting the same or even less ambitious 2030 targets than those they put forward in 2015»

«The continued use of coal remains a significant policy problem, the report found, with China and India retaining huge coal pipelines. Indonesia, Vietnam, Japan and South Korea are also planning to go ahead with coal use in the future»

«The Australian government, which has said it will keep mining coal past 2030, is also investing money into new gas exploration and infrastructure»

«Cutting emissions is a non-negotiable part of the Paris Accord»

«achieving net zero will be “virtually impossible»

* * * * * * *

I dati riportati in Tabella dovrebbero essere eloquenti.

La relazione fornita dalla Climate Action Tracker dovrebbe essere altrettanto eloquente. Ma se gli stati se ne fanno un baffo degli Accordi di Parigi, i liberal socialisti se ne fanno uno  torciglione di quello che facciano gli stati, e la manfrina prosegue.

Possiamo quindi concludere come il ‘clima’ sia una pura e semplice, ma costosissima, buffonata.

*


Not a single G20 country is in line with the Paris Agreement on climate, analysis shows.

None of the world’s major economies — including the entire G20 — have a climate plan that meets their obligations under the 2015 Paris Agreement, according to an analysis published Wednesday, despite scientists’ warning that deep cuts to greenhouse gas emissions are needed now.

The watchdog Climate Action Tracker (CAT) analyzed the policies of 36 countries, as well as the 27-nation European Union, and found that all major economies were off track to contain global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. The countries together make up 80% of the world’s emissions.

The analysis also included some low-emissions countries, and found that the Gambia was the only nation among all 37 to be “1.5 compatible.” As the study only included a few smaller emitters, it’s possible there are other developing countries in the world on track as well.

Under the 2015 Paris accord, more than 190 countries agreed to limit the increase in global temperatures to well below 2 degrees above pre-industrial temperatures — ideally to 1.5 degrees. Scientists have said 2 degrees is a critical threshold for some of the Earth’s ecosystems, and is one that would also trigger more catastrophic extreme weather events.

The report comes less than two months ahead of UN-brokered international climate talks in Glasgow, known as COP26. The event’s president, British MP Alok Sharma, has said he hopes to “keep 1.5 alive” as a global warming limit.

CAT reported that progress had stalled after dozens of world leaders made ambitious new pledges to slash greenhouse gas emissions during the US President Joe Biden’s Climate Leaders’ Summit in April.

“In May, after the Climate Leaders’ Summit and the Petersburg dialogue, we reported that there appeared to be good momentum with new climate action commitments,” said Niklas Höhne, a founding partner of the NewClimate Institute, a CAT partner.

“But since then, there has been little to no improvement: nothing is moving,” he said. “Anyone would think they have all the time in the world, when in fact the opposite is the case.”

Six countries, including the UK, have an overall climate policy that is “nearly sufficient,” according to the report, meaning they are not yet consistent with 1.5-degree alignment but could be with small improvements. The UK’s targets are in line with 1.5 degrees, but its policies in practice don’t meet the benchmark.

The overall climate plans of the US, European Union and Japan are not sufficient to reach the 1.5-degree goal, the analysis found, saying that while their domestic targets are relatively close to where they need to be, their international policies are not.

CAT had previously categorized the US as “critically insufficient” — the worst category — under former President Donald Trump, who formally withdrew the country from the Paris Agreement shortly before the end of his term.

The United States’ domestic emission-cutting target has since been upgraded to “almost sufficient.” However, the US is still insufficient in CAT’s “fair share” target rating, which takes into account the country’s “responsibility and capability.”

Under the Paris agreement, countries submitted their pledges to cut emissions, also known as Nationally Determined Contributions, or NDCs. All signatories were supposed to update their NDCs by July 31 this year under the Paris accord. There are still more than 70 countries that have yet to submit an update.

India, Saudi Arabia and Turkey are among countries that missed the July 31 deadline. China, the world’s biggest polluter, announced a new target, but hasn’t formally submitted it to the UN.

And many countries submitted an “update” without actually increasing their pledge. Brazil and Mexico submitted the same targets as they did in 2015. Changes to those countries’ baseline assumptions make their pledges weaker than they were before, the analysis showed. Russia, the CAT report said, submitted an update that looks stronger on paper, but doesn’t amount to meaningful change.

“Of particular concern are Australia, Brazil, Indonesia Mexico, New Zealand, Russia, Singapore, Switzerland and Vietnam: they have failed to lift ambition at all, submitting the same or even less ambitious 2030 targets than those they put forward in 2015. These countries need to rethink their choice,” said Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics, another CAT partner.

The continued use of coal remains a significant policy problem, the report found, with China and India retaining huge coal pipelines. Indonesia, Vietnam, Japan and South Korea are also planning to go ahead with coal use in the future.

CAT also warned that in many countries’ attempts to wean of coal, which is generally the fossil fuels that causes the most emissions, many countries were looking to use more natural gas, which CAT said was being falsely sold as a “bridging fuel.”

The Australian government, which has said it will keep mining coal past 2030, is also investing money into new gas exploration and infrastructure, and “is of particular concern,” CAT said in its report.

Thailand has plans to ramp up new gas as it phases out coal, while the EU is still planning to commit public funding to new gas infrastructure, and various member states are lobbying hard for the continued use of this fossil fuel.

Hare warned against the development of blue hydrogen, based on natural gas, as an alternative to other fossil fuels.

“Gas is a fossil fuel, and any investment into gas today risks becoming a stranded asset. And while interest in green hydrogen has grown exponentially, there is still a large number of hydrogen projects in the pipeline where it’s produced from gas,” Hare said. “Hydrogen produced from gas still produces carbon, and is inconsistent with reaching net zero.”

                         Net zero by 2050

Cutting emissions is a non-negotiable part of the Paris Accord. Carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases trap solar radiation in the atmosphere, just like glass traps heat in a greenhouse. This causes temperatures to rise and drives more extreme weather, ice melt, sea level rise and ocean acidification.

To keep the warming under 1.5 degrees, the world needs to reach net zero by 2050, a landmark UN climate science report published in August showed.

Net zero refers to a state when the amount of greenhouse gas emitted is no greater than the amount removed from the atmosphere.

According to UN Climate Change, just over 130 countries have pledged to cut emissions to net-zero so far. The new analysis by CAT found that even if all of them followed up on their plans, warming would still reach 2 degrees.

If they stick with the policies they have in place, temperatures will likely be 2.4 degrees higher by the end of century.

Temperatures are already around 1.2 degrees higher than they were before humans started burning huge amounts of fossil fuels, so room for error is very limited.

“An increasing number of people around the world are suffering from ever more severe and frequent impacts of climate change, yet government action continues to lag behind what is needed,” said Bill Hare, the CEO of the think tank Climate Analytics and another author of the analysis.

While many governments have committed to net zero, Hare said that without a real action soon, achieving net zero will be “virtually impossible.”

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Europa. Luglio21. PPI, industrial producer prices, +12.2% su Luglio 2020. Inflazione a due cifre.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-09-04.

2021-09-03__ Eurostat 001

Eurostat ha rilasciato il seguente report:

July 2021 compared with June 2021. Industrial producer prices up by 2.3% in the euro area and by 2.2% in the EU. Up by 12.1% in the euro area and by 12.2% in the EU compared with July 2020.

* * *

2021-09-03__ Eurostat 002

In July 2021, industrial producer prices rose by 2.3% in the euro area and by 2.2% in the EU, compared with June 2021, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In June 2021, prices increased by 1.4% in the euro area and by 1.5% in the EU.

In July 2021, compared with July 2020, industrial producer prices increased by 12.1% in the euro area and by 12.2% in the EU.

* * *

                         Monthly comparison by main industrial grouping and by Member State.

Industrial producer prices in the euro area in July 2021, compared with June 2021, increased by 5.7% in the energy sector, by 1.9% for intermediate goods, by 0.7% for durable consumer goods, by 0.5% for capital goods and by 0.1% for non-durable consumer goods. Prices in total industry excluding energy increased by 1.0%.

In the EU, industrial producer prices increased by 5.3% in the energy sector, by 2.1% for intermediate goods, by 0.7% for durable consumer goods, by 0.6% for capital goods and by 0.1% for non-durable consumer goods. Prices in total industry excluding energy increased by 1.1%.

The industrial producer prices increased in all Member States except Malta, where they remained stable. The highest increases were recorded in Ireland (+20.6%), Estonia (+6.4%) and Belgium (+4.2%).

                         Annual comparison by main industrial grouping and by Member State.

Industrial producer prices in the euro area in July 2021, compared with July 2020, increased by 28.9% in the energy sector, by 12.6% for intermediate goods, by 2.7% for durable consumer goods, by 2.6% for non-durable consumer goods and by 2.5% for capital goods. Prices in total industry excluding energy increased by 6.7%.

In the EU, industrial producer prices increased by 28.3% in the energy sector, by 13.1% for intermediate goods, by 3.1% for durable consumer goods and by 2.7% for capital goods and for non-durable consumer goods. Prices in total industry excluding energy increased by 6.9%.

The industrial producer prices increased in all Member States, with the highest increases being registered in Ireland (+67.7%), Estonia (+23.5%) and Belgium (+23.0%).

* * * * * * *

A luglio i prezzi dei produttori industriali sono saliti del 12.1% nella eurozona e del 12.2% nella Unione Europea.

Si noti come il settore energetico sia levitato del 28.3%.

Tutto ciò significa una inflazione a due cifre decimali.

Siamo curiosi di leggere i commenti della banca Centrale.

Pubblicato in: Banche Centrali, Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale, Unione Europea

Europa. Giugno21. Produzione Industriale +9.7% nell’eurozona e + 10.5% nella EU, contro giugno20.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-08-16.

2021-08-16__ Produzione Industriale 001

                         In sintesi.

– In June 2021 compared with June 2020, industrial production increased by 9.7% in the euro area and by 10.5% in the EU

– In the euro area in June 2021, compared with June 2020, production of durable consumer goods rose by 16.1%, intermediate goods by 15.7%, non-durable consumer goods by 9.8%

2021-08-16__ Produzione Industriale 002

* * * * * * *

Nota. Nel giugno 2020 la Produzione Industriale era particolarmente depressa, per cui il rapporto 21/20 risulta essere artificialmente alto.

* * * * * * *

Eurostat. June 2021 compared with May 2021. Industrial production down by 0.3% in euro area and by 0.2% in the EU. Up by 9.7% and 10.5% compared with June 2020

*

In June 2021, the seasonally adjusted industrial production fell by 0.3% in the euro area and by 0.2% in the EU, compared with May 2021, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In May 2021, industrial production fell by 1.1% in the euro area and by 0.9% in the EU.

In June 2021 compared with June 2020, industrial production increased by 9.7% in the euro area and by 10.5% in the EU.

                         Monthly comparison by main industrial grouping and by Member State.

In the euro area in June 2021, compared with May 2021, production of capital goods fell by 1.5% and energy by 0.6%, while production of durable consumer goods and intermediate goods both rose by 0.1% and non-durable consumer goods by 1.6%.

In the EU, production of capital goods fell by 1.2% and energy by 0.2%, while production of intermediate goods rose by 0.2%, durable consumer goods by 0.5% and non-durable consumer goods by 1.4%.

Among Member States for which data are available, the largest decreases were registered in Ireland (-4.4%), Portugal (-2.6%) and Denmark (-2.3%). The highest increases were observed in Malta (+5.2%), the Netherlands (+3.3%) and Estonia (+3.2%).

                         Annual comparison by main industrial grouping and by Member State.

In the euro area in June 2021, compared with June 2020, production of durable consumer goods rose by 16.1%, intermediate goods by 15.7%, non-durable consumer goods by 9.8%, capital goods by 6.3% and energy by 2.9%.

In the EU, production of durable consumer goods rose by 16.4%, intermediate goods by 16.1%, non-durable consumer goods by 8.9%, capital goods by 8.1% and energy by 3.9%.

Industrial production increased in all Member States for which data are available, with the largest increases in Belgium (+23.2%), Lithuania (+20.1%) and Slovenia (+18.9%).

Pubblicato in: Unione Europea, Vizi e Depravazioni

Ungheria. Orban. Limitata la vendita di libri lgbt ai bambini. Ira dei liberal.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-08-10.

Ungheria 001

«Hungary ordered shops on Friday to sell children’s books seen as promoting homosexuality in “closed wrapping”, stepping up restrictions that have set Prime Minister Viktor Orban on a collision course with rights groups and the European Union»

«The decree also included books seen as promoting gender change and containing “explicit” depictions of sexuality»

«banned any sale of them at all within 200 metres of a school or a church»

«The order is the first of what is expected to be a series of directives spelling out the implications of a law passed in June banning the use of materials seen as promoting homosexuality and gender reassignment at schools»

«The European Commission has launched legal action against Orban’s nationalist government over the legislation, saying it is discriminatory and contravenes European values of tolerance and individual freedom»

«a self-proclaimed crusade to safeguard what he says are traditional Christian values from Western liberalism»

«In July Hungary fined the distributor of a children’s book about same-sex “rainbow families” under a law that bans unfair trade practices»

«Orban’s government says the new law is meant to protect children and leave it up to parents to educate them about sexuality»

* * * * * * *

Unione Europea. Giugno21. Industrial producer prices (PPI) +10.3% su giugno20.

Unione Europea. Recovery Plan bloccato. Nemmeno un cane vuol comprare i bond europei.

Lo scontro avviene tra due opposte ed incompatibili Weltanschauung: i principi del Credo cristiano protetti da Mr Orban e la visione liberal socialista.

Da un punto di vista operativo, la grande differenza tra queste due visioni consiste nel fatto che Mr Orban nulla intende imporre, mentre al contrario i liberal socialisti vorrebbero obbligare gli ungheresi ad accettare e praticare la ideologia liberal.

Lo scontro continua, anche se la crescente inflazione dovrebbe dare alla Unione Europea ben altro a cui pensare.

In ogni caso, anche se non cristiana, anche la Cina è su posizioni simili a quelle di Mr Orban. I liberal sono isolati, chiusi nel loro enclave, autoreferenziali.

Cina. Si ribella alla femminilizzazione dei suoi maschi. Li vuole virili.

* * * * * * *


Hungary restricts sales of LGBT-themed children’s books

– Decree bans sales of affected books close to churches

– PM Orban on collision course with EU, rights groups

– Order spells out implication of new school law

*

BUDAPEST, Aug 6 (Reuters) – Hungary ordered shops on Friday to sell children’s books seen as promoting homosexuality in “closed wrapping”, stepping up restrictions that have set Prime Minister Viktor Orban on a collision course with rights groups and the European Union.

The decree also included books seen as promoting gender change and containing “explicit” depictions of sexuality. It told shops to sell them separately and banned any sale of them at all within 200 metres of a school or a church.

The order is the first of what is expected to be a series of directives spelling out the implications of a law passed in June banning the use of materials seen as promoting homosexuality and gender reassignment at schools.

The European Commission has launched legal action against Orban’s nationalist government over the legislation, saying it is discriminatory and contravenes European values of tolerance and individual freedom.

Orban, in power since 2010 and facing a challenging election next year, has grown increasingly radical on social policy in a self-proclaimed crusade to safeguard what he says are traditional Christian values from Western liberalism.

In July Hungary fined the distributor of a children’s book about same-sex “rainbow families” under a law that bans unfair trade practices. Orban’s government says the new law is meant to protect children and leave it up to parents to educate them about sexuality.

Several rights groups have said the law wrongly conflates paedophilia and pornography with LGBT issues. Ursula von der Leyen, head of the EU’s executive Commission has called it a “disgrace”.

An Ipsos poll last month found that 46% of Hungarians support same-sex marriage. Last month thousands of Hungarians joined the annual Budapest Pride march to protest against the law.

The European Commission’s legal action against Hungary and a separate move against Poland are the latest salvo in a clash of cultures between Brussels and some of the EU’s newest members in eastern Europe over a range of core issues including the rule of law and press freedoms.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale, Materie Prime

Acciaio. Ferro estrattivo +40.38% ed acciaio +29.34%, anno su anno. Inflazione.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-07-23.

2021-07-20__ Steel 001

«Shanghai steel futures recovered to above 5,400 yuan a tonne, the highest since May 18th after latest data showed China’s crude steel output rose by 11.8% from a year earlier in the first half of the year. China pledged to limit crude steel output in 2021 at no higher than the 1.065 billion tonnes it made last year but at the half-way stage of the year, the country has already produced 563.33 million tonnes of the metal. Considering only June, production went up 1.5% year-on-year but declined 5.6% from a record level in May as government environmental controls ahead of the Communist Party’s centenary celebrations in July constrained production. The steel market has been under pressure due to China’s efforts to limit soaring commodity prices after cost of steel rallied to an all-time high of 5,975 yuan per tonne on May 11th.

Steel Rebar is mostly traded on the Shanghai Futures Exchange and London Metal Exchange. The standard future contract is 10 tons. Steel is one of the world’s most important materials used in construction, cars and all sorts of machines and appliances. By far the biggest producer of crude steel is China, followed by European Union, Japan, United States, India, Russia and South Korea. The steel prices displayed in Trading Economics are based on over-the-counter (OTC) and contract for difference (CFD) financial instruments.» [Fonte]

* * * * * * *

«Roaring industrial demand is propelling those rallies, with plants straining to boost supply after lying dormant during the pandemic.»

«On top of that, powerhouses China and Russia are trying to limit exports to help other industries at home»

«That optimism is a far cry from the past decade, when Western makers closed plants and shed workers as low demand had their mills operating below capacity»

«Last year alone, 72 blast furnaces were idled, according to UBS Group AG»

«→→ This year, U.S. President Joe Biden wants to spend on infrastructure, and the European Union wants to spend on reaching net-zero emissions ←←»

«The West’s top steelmaker ArcelorMittal is set for blockbuster earning»

«We could see a turnaround story there because those economies just need their steel»

«Developments in China are key, given it produces more than half of the world’s steel, mostly with coal-fired blast furnaces»

«Still, other Asian nations are looking to fill any potential gaps in supply»

«Biden is determined to make new roads, rail and housing the hallmark of his tenure, while the EU is emphasizing clean energy as part of the coronavirus recovery package and Green Deal»

«And even as demand rises, Western producers aren’t keen on expanding»

«Cleveland-Cliffs Inc., the second largest U.S. steelmaker, is set to tear down its Ashland mill in Kentucky, as well as a blast furnace at Indiana Harbor West»

«If anything, more support is on the way. The EU eventually will impose duties on imported steel as part of its Green Deal, and those will fall most heavily on carbon-intensive producers such as Russia»

«India is set to boost capacity, with top producer JSW Group saying it will reach its goal of more than doubling capacity to 45 million tons before 2030»

«Southeast Asia, including Malaysia and Indonesia, plans to add another 60 million tons by the end of this decade»

«We need bricks, we need cement, we need steel»

* * * * * * *

Messi i dazi sull’acciaio inossidabile da Cina, Indonesia e Taiwan.

Cina. Innalzati i dazi sui tubi di acciaio EU ed USA.

Acciaio. Primo Trimestre. Mondo -1.4%, Italia -40.2%.

China iron ore surges over 50% in 2020, up for second straight year.

Cina. Acciaio +54%, +23% nel quarto trimestre. Unione Europea -30%.

USA. Acciaio. Prezzi schizzati a 1,350 Usd per tonnellata, +33% in un mese.

Thyssenkrupp-Manager besorgt “Wir haben einen Stahlengpass in Europa”

Unione Europea. Mancano 20 milioni di tonnellate di acciaio in un anno.

* * * * * * *

In un anno il prezzo medio del ferro estrattivo è salito del 40.38% e quello dell’acciaio del 29.34%.

La produzione si è spostata nei paesi che non hanno preclusioni ideologiche: Cina, Russia, India, Malaysia, Indonesia.

Ed il risultato finale è che l’occidente soffre di una severa carenza di acciaio, pur pagandolo a caro prezzo.

Non esiste produzione industriale senza acciaio. Ma non è detto che i produttori vogliano venderlo, specie poi a quanti vorrebbero condannarli perché non si sottomettono alla loro ideologia.

Di conseguenza, ed è un ben triste ritornello di questi tempi, salgono i costi di produzione industriale e, quindi, i prezzi al dettaglio.

Tutto concorre ad alimentare un processo inflattivo, di fronte al quale le banche centrali possono fare poco o nulla.

Adesso, il debito junk rende meno della inflazione.

La conclusione è purtroppo molto semplice.

*


Record Steel Prices Inject Life Into Long-Suffering Industry

There’s rarely been a better time to be in the steel business.

Prices have boomed worldwide this year, smashing record after record. Roaring industrial demand is propelling those rallies, with plants straining to boost supply after lying dormant during the pandemic. On top of that, powerhouses China and Russia are trying to limit exports to help other industries at home.

“If you’d asked me six months ago what was my most positive vision for the first half of 2021, I don’t think I would’ve even come close to the reality,” Carlo Beltrame, who manages Romania and France for AFV Beltrame, said in a phone interview. The closely-held company plans to build a 250 million-euro ($295 million) mill in Romania with the capacity to produce about 600,000 tons a year.

That optimism is a far cry from the past decade, when Western makers closed plants and shed workers as low demand had their mills operating below capacity. Last year alone, 72 blast furnaces were idled, according to UBS Group AG.

This year, U.S. President Joe Biden wants to spend on infrastructure, and the European Union wants to spend on reaching net-zero emissions. Manufacturers such as Nucor Corp., U.S. Steel Corp. and SSAB AB are among those set to become profit machines. ArcelorMittal SA, the world’s biggest outside of China, will earn more than McDonald’s Corp. or PepsiCo Inc., according to analysts’ estimates.

                         Profit Machine

The West’s top steelmaker ArcelorMittal is set for blockbuster earnings

Few expect these good times to last through 2022. Keybanc Capital Markets and Bank of America Corp. believe the backlogs driving a surge in U.S. steel prices will start clearing this year. But some analysts predict the current rally may herald better times in the long run, with prices eventually settling at more sustainable levels than before.

“The steel industries outside of China will potentially enter a renaissance period,” said Tom Price, head of commodities strategy at Liberum Capital Ltd. in London. “We could see a turnaround story there because those economies just need their steel.”

Developments in China are key, given it produces more than half of the world’s steel, mostly with coal-fired blast furnaces. The government has signaled it no longer wants to bear the huge environmental burden that entails, so it’s seeking to curb production through measures such as firming up guidance on capacity swaps and removing export tax rebates.

“Restrictions almost certainly will come into place,” said Tomas Gutierrez, Asia editor and head of data for Kallanish Commodities Ltd. “Steelmakers overseas can sleep a little easier.”

Achieving the government’s goal will be a challenge given China’s strong output at the start of the year, said Lu Ting, senior analyst at researcher Shanghai Metals Market. Still, other Asian nations are looking to fill any potential gaps in supply.

Also providing cause for optimism is the renewed focus on stimulus and infrastructure in the U.S. and Europe. Biden is determined to make new roads, rail and housing the hallmark of his tenure, while the EU is emphasizing clean energy as part of the coronavirus recovery package and Green Deal.

That requires steel, and lots of it. Biden’s proposed infrastructure plan would increase annual demand by about 5 million tons for the first five years, London-based consultancy CRU Group estimated. A bipartisan package would spend $579 billion if approved.

Yet only 4.6 million annual tons of planned capacity are expected to come online in the U.S. by the end of 2022, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Andrew Cosgrove said.

And even as demand rises, Western producers aren’t keen on expanding. U.S. Steel Chief Executive Officer David Burritt told shareholders in April the company had no plans to restart two blast furnaces that were shut down last year.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc., the second largest U.S. steelmaker, is set to tear down its Ashland mill in Kentucky, as well as a blast furnace at Indiana Harbor West. CEO Lourenco Goncalves said in April those will never return to production as his focus is paying down debt.

European producers are almost as skittish about investing in new capacity after spending the past decade painfully cutting down. ArcelorMittal said during earnings calls that its priority is shareholder returns.

In part, that’s due to fears that protectionist measures governments implemented to support their ailing steel companies won’t last forever.

But there’s no signs of change on that front, even with sky-high prices. Biden still hasn’t repealed tariffs on foreign steel imposed by former President Donald Trump, while the EU last month opted to extend its safeguard measures for another three years.

If anything, more support is on the way. The EU eventually will impose duties on imported steel as part of its Green Deal, and those will fall most heavily on carbon-intensive producers such as Russia.

Other nations also could fill the gap created by China’s restrictive measures. India is set to boost capacity, with top producer JSW Group saying it will reach its goal of more than doubling capacity to 45 million tons before 2030. Southeast Asia, including Malaysia and Indonesia, plans to add another 60 million tons by the end of this decade, according to consultant Wood Mackenzie.

AFV Beltrame could start building its rebar and wire rod factory in Romania as early as this year. The plant will generate the lowest emissions in a steel production unit in the world, the company says.

“I’m trusting that this super cycle will last for some more months,” Carlo Beltrame said. “We need bricks, we need cement, we need steel. And we as entrepreneurs have to take the challenge of transforming this industry.”

Pubblicato in: Agricoltura, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania furibonda con Timmermans per la sua proposta di riforma agricola. Troppo green.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-06-22.

2021-06-19__ Filetto Etichetta 001

«too much green ambition too quickly could bankrupt their farmers»

2021-06-19__ Filetto Etichetta 002

*

2021-06-19__ Filetto Etichetta 003

«Germany slams Timmermans over farm reform. …. Green Deal chief accused of ‘jeopardising confidence’ in the European Commission»

«Germany’s Agriculture Minister Julia Klöckner on Tuesday directly accused the EU’s Green Deal chief Frans Timmermans of damaging the credibility of the European Commission through his role in negotiations on the next Common Agricultural Policy»

«The Commission has been pushing countries to adopt a greener stance on the EU’s giant farm policy, but farm ministers pushed back hard arguing too much green ambition too quickly could bankrupt their farmers»

«Countries’ refusal to meet the higher green demands coming from Timmermans and the European Parliament last month led to a break-up in talks»

«All ministers, regardless of which party or country they come from, have the impression that Commissioner Timmermans’ behavior is jeopardising confidence in the Commission in its function as an honest broker»

«Germany’s powerful farm chief Klöckner brokered a common CAP position between all EU countries last October but she and her fellow ministers ended up offering Parliament a deal that was actually less green in some crucial aspects during the negotiations in May, tanking the talks»

«The German statement said Commission officials have “repeatedly burdened” the final phase of the talks with new legislative proposals which lack a legal basis»

«Timmermans finds himself between a rock and a hard place on agricultural policy, having already been heavily criticized by climate activists»

«Her Spanish counterpart Luis Planas has also been vocal in accusing the Commission of disrupting the negotiations by overly favoring the European Parliament’s negotiating position»

* * * * * * *

Germania. Maggio21. Prezzi all’ingrosso +9.7% anno su anno.

Il cuore del problema è racchiuso in questa frase:

«too much green ambition too quickly could bankrupt their farmers»

I prezzi all’ingrosso stanno aumentando significativamente in Europa ed in Germania.

Per quanto poi riguarda la agricoltura, aumentare ancora le leggi e normative che già la coerciscono significherebbe imporre oneri non sostenibili, impossibili da attuare ed ancor meno da trasferire poi sui prezzi al consumo.

Già adesso il consumatore paga in media tra gli otto ed i dieci euro per un chilo di ciliege, con punte che arrivano ai sessantanove. Ma un kg di ciliege basta appena per una famiglia di quattro persone. Sarebbero ben poche le famiglie che potrebbero permettersi di mangiarle tutti i giorni: a dieci euro al chilo, sarebbero trecento euro spesi solo per la frutta.

È un gran brutto segno prognostico quando governanti sofferenti di pensieri coatti perdano in modo così vistoso il contatto con la realtà dei fatti.

Un branco di lupi non tollererebbe mai di essere guidato da un capobranco di tal fatta.

*

Germany slams Timmermans over farm reform.

Green Deal chief accused of ‘jeopardising confidence’ in the European Commission.

Germany’s Agriculture Minister Julia Klöckner on Tuesday directly accused the EU’s Green Deal chief Frans Timmermans of damaging the credibility of the European Commission through his role in negotiations on the next Common Agricultural Policy.

The Commission has been pushing countries to adopt a greener stance on the EU’s giant farm policy, but farm ministers pushed back hard arguing too much green ambition too quickly could bankrupt their farmers. Countries’ refusal to meet the higher green demands coming from Timmermans and the European Parliament last month led to a break-up in talks.

“All ministers, regardless of which party or country they come from, have the impression that Commissioner Timmermans’ behavior is jeopardising confidence in the Commission in its function as an honest broker,” she wrote in a statement released Tuesday by the German agriculture ministry after two days of talks in Lisbon aiming to get a deal back on track.

An EU official retorted: “It’s hard to broker any agreement when one of the parties is backpedaling on their own position. Lashing out against the Commission, who is putting actual compromises on the table, seems a bit irrelevant at that stage. But we’re happy to discuss it over lunch.”

Germany’s powerful farm chief Klöckner brokered a common CAP position between all EU countries last October but she and her fellow ministers ended up offering Parliament a deal that was actually less green in some crucial aspects during the negotiations in May, tanking the talks.

Klöckner wrote: “We agree that it would be good if the Commission respected the Council and Parliament in their role as legislators. Her strongly-worded statement did not name-check EU farm chief Janusz Wojciechowski, despite the fact the Pole was the only EU commissioner present for the off-record ministerial talks in Portugal this week.

The German statement said Commission officials have “repeatedly burdened” the final phase of the talks with new legislative proposals which lack a legal basis. MEPs have also accused the Council of the same last-minute tactics.

Timmermans finds himself between a rock and a hard place on agricultural policy, having already been heavily criticized by climate activists such as Greta Thunberg for not being strong enough on driving through a greener transition for the heavily-emitting sector.

POLITICO has reported he gave Portugal’s farming minister Maria do Céu Antunes a “10-minute scolding” behind closed doors about the EU Council’s low green ambition as the last round of negotiations collapsed.

Klöckner said EU countries are all ready to reach an agreement with MEPs through the Portuguese presidency during a so-called super trilogue next week. Her statement suggested that the Commission’s negotiating strategy was possibly the only factor that could now block a deal on the CAP by the end of the month.

Her Spanish counterpart Luis Planas has also been vocal in accusing the Commission of disrupting the negotiations by overly favoring the European Parliament’s negotiating position.