Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo

Germania. Spd vuole imporre una patrimoniale. Cdu totalmente avversa.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-12-13.

Germania. Große Koalition kaputt. Thinking the Unthinkable. 001

«L’Spd, soprattutto, appare sempre più in difficoltà. Un sondaggio Trendbarometer pubblicato oggi dall’emittente Rtl indica il partito socialdemocratico tedesco all’11%, con un calo di tre punti rispetto alla settimana scorsa.»

«Lo storico partito della sinistra è in quarta posizione dopo i cristiano democratici (Cdu) al 28%, i Verdi al 22% e l’estrema destra populista dell’Afd al 14%.»

«Norbert Walter-Borjans e la deputata Saskia Esken. Poco conosciuti al grande pubblico, sono espressione dell’ala sinistra del partito. Entrambi sono critici del governo di coalizione fra l’Spd e la Cdu, guidato da Angela Merkel.»

«All’orizzonte si profila un ulteriore scontro con la Cdu di Angela Merkel che rischia di scuotere ancora di più la già traballante Grosse Koalition: la Spd intende proporre un’imposta sui grandi patrimoni, idea che gli alleati cristiano-democratici vedono come fumo negli occhi»

«Il congresso socialdemocratico, che si chiude oggi a Berlino, ha varato una mozione secondo la quale contribuenti con un patrimonio netto superiore ai 2 milioni di euro devono pagare una tassa pari all’1%»

«In Germania in passato esisteva una tassa patrimoniale, ma fu dichiarata incostituzionale nel 1995»

«l’Spd ha anche proposto di “superare in prospettiva” il “freno al debito” che per il governo Merkel e’ una sorta di totem»

«Addirittura Norbert Walter-Borjans – che con Saskia Esken forma il nuovo ticket di leader del partito grazie al voto tra gli iscritti nel quale e’ stato a sorpresa battuto il vicecancelliere Olaf Scholz – ha proposto che la fine del “freno al debito” venga perfino ancorata nella carta costituzionale»

« Gli alleati Cdu hanno gia’ fatto sapere che si tratta di “linee rosse” invalicabili. “Io non accetto condizioni del tipo ‘se non fate quello che vogliamo noi, ce ne andiamo’”, ha tuonato la leader cristiano-democratica (nonche’ ‘delfina’ di Angela Merkel), Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer»

* * * * * * *

La Germania è un gigante dai piedi di argilla, colpita in pieno da una severa crisi recessiva che inizia a portare licenziamenti e ridimensionamenti del personale dipendente, con aziende in fuga ed un crescente malessere nel comparto produttivo, i cui ordini sono incostante decremento.

Non è questo tempo e luogo per discutere sulla patrimoniale in sé.

Tuttavia ogni giorno che passa emerge sempre più chiara la reciproca insofferenza tra Cdu ed Spd: a quanto potrebbe sembrare, non esisterebbe un qualche elemento che ne accomuni le visioni politiche.

*

Affari Italiani. 2019-12-09. Germania, Merkel traballa sulla patrimoniale. Ma nessuno può votare adesso

All’orizzonte si profila un ulteriore scontro con la Cdu di Angela Merkel che rischia di scuotere ancora di più la già traballante Grosse Koalition.

Germania: Cdu dura su patrimoniale Spd, GroKo traballa

All’orizzonte si profila un ulteriore scontro con la Cdu di Angela Merkel che rischia di scuotere ancora di più la già traballante Grosse Koalition: la Spd intende proporre un’imposta sui grandi patrimoni, idea che gli alleati cristiano-democratici vedono come fumo negli occhi. Il congresso socialdemocratico, che si chiude oggi a Berlino, ha varato una mozione secondo la quale contribuenti con un patrimonio netto superiore ai 2 milioni di euro devono pagare una tassa pari all’1%. Per la Spd il punto è quello di creare nuove opportunità d’investimenti da utilizzare soprattutto nel welfare e nell’istruzione, per quello che i media hanno definito un evidente spostamento a sinistra del partito. Secondo le stime dei socialdemocratici, l’imposta sul patrimonio porterebbe nelle casse dello Stato circa 9 miliardi di euro in più.

Raffica di no Cdu alla Spd, che vira a sinistra

“Non è una questione di denaro, ma di libertà e di solidarietà”, ha esclamato il deputato Spd Lothar Binding davanti ai delegati. In Germania in passato esisteva una tassa patrimoniale, ma fu dichiarata incostituzionale nel 1995. Nella campagna elettorale nazionale di due anni fa i socialdemocratici avevano rinunciato a chiederne la reintroduzione. Ma ora il clima dentro il partito, alle prese con sondaggi in continuo calo e con alle spalle varie debacle elettorali, e’ decisamente cambiato. Infatti, l’Spd ha anche proposto di “superare in prospettiva” il “freno al debito” che per il governo Merkel e’ una sorta di totem. Addirittura Norbert Walter-Borjans – che con Saskia Esken forma il nuovo ticket di leader del partito grazie al voto tra gli iscritti nel quale e’ stato a sorpresa battuto il vicecancelliere Olaf Scholz – ha proposto che la fine del “freno al debito” venga perfino ancorata nella carta costituzionale. Gli alleati Cdu hanno gia’ fatto sapere che si tratta di “linee rosse” invalicabili. “Io non accetto condizioni del tipo ‘se non fate quello che vogliamo noi, ce ne andiamo’”, ha tuonato la leader cristiano-democratica (nonche’ ‘delfina’ di Angela Merkel), Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, in un’intervista al domenicale della Bild. Idem il segretario generale della Cdu, Markus Blume, che esclude che possa mai esserci un “governo con la barra a sinistra”. Già erano giunti decisi no alla richiesta di misure piu’ dure per la lotta ai cambiamenti climatici – dato che un pacchetto-clima era già stato varato dal governo – nonche’ all’aumento del reddito minimo a 12 euro all’ora: sulla carta, la posta in gioco è alta, dato che si tratta di riaperture di negoziati che i socialdemocratici pongono come condizione per restare nella Grosse Koalition.

Scontro totale sulla patrimoniale, ma nessuno si può permettere il voto

Ancora una volta AKK non ci pensa due volte e risponde picche: “La Cdu rispetta i contratti di coalizione, ci aspettiamo la stessa cosa dall’Spd”. Anche i cristiano-democratici hanno cambiato varie volte i loro leader, “ma non abbiamo mai chiesto che rinegoziare il contratto”, spiega Kramp-Karrenbauer alla Bild. “Piuttosto mi sarei aspettata un chiaro segnale del congresso Spd per la continuazione della GroKo”. Ma cosi’ non e’ stato. Sempre secondo AKK – questa volta parlando con la Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung – non c’e’ nessun motivo di “scuotere la Costituzione” in nome del freno al debito pubblico. Per il capogruppo della Csu Alexander Dobrindt, e’ del tutto “assurda” la pretesa di modificare per questo la carta fondamentale. “Non abbiamo bisogno di fare debiti per finanziare quello che abbiamo in mente”, spiega da parte sua il tesoriere di Cdu/Csu Eckhardt Rehberg, dato che vi sarebbero diversi miliardi a disposizione per risanare le scuole, estendere gli asili, per la digitalizzazione e la difesa del clima. Non solo. E’ il ministro degli Esteri Heiko Maas – uno dei volti più noti dell’Spd, per di piu’ considerato un ‘governativo’ – ad aprire un altro fronte di conflitto con la Cdu, criticando con durezza la richiesta di AKK, che è anche titolare del dicastero della Difesa, di accrescere il ruolo nel mondo dell’esercito tedesco, la Bundeswehr. “La pace non si crea certo attraverso il militare, non funziona cosi’. Dobbiamo assumerci responsabilità al tavolo dei negoziati, maledizione: perché è lì che si assicura in maniera duratura la pace, non sui campi di battaglia”. Il riferimento è alla proposta di AKK di una maggiore presenza militare tedesca sullo scacchiere internazionale, evocando anche la possibilità di nuove missioni della Bundeswehr, per esempio in Asia. Il confronto all’interno della Grosse Koalition è evidentemente in salita. Nondimeno Spd e Cdu/Csu contano di avviare colloqui formali sul futuro dell’alleanza di governo prima di Natale. Non sarà una passeggiata. Anche se nessuno dei due partiti, visti i sondaggi, può permettersi il voto adesso.

GERMANIA: SPD IN CRISI, SONDAGGI DANNO IL PARTITO ALL’11%

L’Spd, soprattutto, appare sempre più in difficoltà. Un sondaggio Trendbarometer pubblicato oggi dall’emittente Rtl indica il partito socialdemocratico tedesco all’11%, con un calo di tre punti rispetto alla settimana scorsa. Lo storico partito della sinistra è in quarta posizione dopo i cristiano democratici (Cdu) al 28%, i Verdi al 22% e l’estrema destra populista dell’Afd al 14%. Il sondaggio arriva mentre i 600 delegati dell’Spd sono riuniti a Berlino nel secondo giorno del loro congresso, che sabato ha confermato a stragrande maggioranza i due nuovo co-leader eletti la settimana prima dalla base: l’ex ministro delle finanze Norbert Walter-Borjans e la deputata Saskia Esken. Poco conosciuti al grande pubblico, sono espressione dell’ala sinistra del partito. Entrambi sono critici del governo di coalizione fra l’Spd e la Cdu, guidato da Angela Merkel.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo

CDU. Congresso federale in sordina con 12 pp in meno.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-11-23.

Gufo_019__

La Cdu di Frau Merkel si è riunita a congresso constando di aver perso dalla volta scorsa dodici punti percentuali.

È una mesta riunione, ove tutti si guardano in cagnesco.

Ma il convitato di pietra è la recessione del comparto produttivo, imbrigliato da una congerie di leggi e normative che strozzano le industrie.

La gente cammina a testa bassa: diesel ed energie alternative sono ancora un must negli slogan sui manifesti, ma nessuno ne parla più.

Ufficialmente non vi sarebbero decisioni cruciali da prendere, ma i vari parlamentari si stanno guardando come le truppe d’assalto prima dell’attacco: sanno dai risultati elettorali e dai sondaggi che molto difficilmente solo qualcuno di loro potrà essere rieletto in parlamento.

«Un anno dopo l’elezione alla presidenza, benedetta dalla cancelliera e di fatto investita a raccoglierne l’eredità, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer non ha dimostrato di avere le carte in regola per puntare al Kanzleramt»

«È una Cdu in cerca d’autore, quella che si ritrova alla Messehalle di Lipsia per il suo congresso annuale»

«Non c’è un nuovo presidente da eleggere»

«Non c’è (ancora) un candidato alla cancelleria da scegliere per la successione ad Angela Merkel. In realtà c’è molto di più»

«L’Unione cristiano-democratica è in piena fibrillazione»

«Da un anno colleziona pessimi risultati elettorali nei Laender e nei Comuni tedeschi. I sondaggi nazionali, ancorché non drammatici come quelli della Spd, la vedono abbondantemente sotto la soglia psicologica del 30%, indispensabile per una forza che si vuole ancora Volkspartei, partito di massa»

«Il partito è anche lacerato se proseguire nel solco moderato e centrista di Merkel, ovvero ridarsi un profilo più decisamente conservatore, mirato a recuperare i consensi migrati verso l’estrema destra dell’AfD»

«Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, alias AKK, non ha dimostrato di avere le carte in regola per puntare al Kanzleramt»

«La lista al momento vede oltre ad AKK, nel frattempo diventata anche ministro della Difesa, quattro potenziali contendenti: l’ex capogruppo al Bundestag Friedrich Merz, campione dei conservatori; il premier del Nord-Reno Vestfalia Armin Laschet, che guida la più forte federazione regionale anche lui nel solco del centrismo merkeliano; il giovane ministro della Sanità, Jens Spahn, e non ultimo il leader della Csu bavarese Markus Soeder»

* * * * * * *

È una Germania allo sfascio: solo Frau Merkel avrebbe potuto ottenere un simile risultato. Poi, AKK ha dato una validissima mano. Nei corridoi si sussurra «ragman».

L’ex capogruppo al Bundestag Friedrich Merz, campione dei conservatori, sarebbe un ottimo cancelliere, ma Frau Merkel lo odia di odio viscerale.

*

La doppia partita di AKK al congresso della Cdu (scossa dai sondaggi)

Un anno dopo l’elezione alla presidenza, benedetta dalla cancelliera e di fatto investita a raccoglierne l’eredità, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer non ha dimostrato di avere le carte in regola per puntare al Kanzleramt. Ci prova a Lipsia.

È una Cdu in cerca d’autore, quella che si ritrova alla Messehalle di Lipsia per il suo congresso annuale. Non c’è un nuovo presidente da eleggere. Non c’è (ancora) un candidato alla cancelleria da scegliere per la successione ad Angela Merkel. In realtà c’è molto di più.

L’Unione cristiano-democratica è in piena fibrillazione. Da un anno colleziona pessimi risultati elettorali nei Laender e nei Comuni tedeschi. I sondaggi nazionali, ancorché non drammatici come quelli della Spd, la vedono abbondantemente sotto la soglia psicologica del 30%, indispensabile per una forza che si vuole ancora Volkspartei, partito di massa. Il partito è anche lacerato se proseguire nel solco moderato e centrista di Merkel, ovvero ridarsi un profilo più decisamente conservatore, mirato a recuperare i consensi migrati verso l’estrema destra dell’AfD. Ma soprattutto, un anno dopo l’elezione alla presidenza, benedetta dalla cancelliera e di fatto investita a raccoglierne l’eredità, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, alias AKK, non ha dimostrato di avere le carte in regola per puntare al Kanzleramt.

Così a Lipsia si gioca una doppia partita. Quella ufficiale vede AKK, che ha ancora un anno di mandato da presidente, impegnata a ristabilire la sua autorità. L’altra, sotto traccia, farà del congresso la tribuna delle ambizioni dei suoi concorrenti conosciuti e in pectore, per la futura nomina a candidato cancelliere.

La lista al momento vede oltre ad AKK, nel frattempo diventata anche ministro della Difesa, quattro potenziali contendenti: l’ex capogruppo al Bundestag Friedrich Merz, campione dei conservatori; il premier del Nord-Reno Vestfalia Armin Laschet, che guida la più forte federazione regionale anche lui nel solco del centrismo merkeliano; il giovane ministro della Sanità, Jens Spahn, e non ultimo il leader della Csu bavarese Markus Soeder.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

AKK. In Germania adesso ci si è ridotti ai giochi di azzardo.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-07-18.

Michelangelo. Sistina. Cacciata dal Paradiso Terrestre.

La Germania è nei triboli. E sono triboli di tale portata da indurre persino a tentare i giochi di azzardo.

La sua dirigenza politica è alle corde, la Große Koalition scricchiola pietosamente, lo spettro delle elezioni nei Länder orientali si avvicina a grandi passi come il fantasma di Banco, e la situazione economica si deteriora giorno dopo giorno. È un’agonia lenta e travagliata, che ha condizionato severamente anche le scadenze politiche nell’Unione Europea. A ciò si aggiunga il cattivo stato di salute della Merkel: fatto privato sicuramente per quanto riguarda la sua persona, ma evento pubblico come Bundeskanzlerin.

La goccia che ha fatto traboccare il vaso è stata la forzata nomination di Frau Ursula von der Leyen a Presidente della Commissione Europea: è rimasta libera la posizione di Ministro della Difesa, da sempre appannaggio della Cdu.

Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer ha preso l’unica decisione possibile, ma è un opzione grandemente pericolosa, dagli esiti impredicibili.

«On the day German Chancellor Angela Merkel turned 65, her chosen successor, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, unexpectedly took the job of defense minister. It’s a gutsy move that could advance her ambitions to the chancellorship, or ruin them. The chances of both outcomes are about even»

«Kramp-Karrenbauer hasn’t been a convincing success in her seven months as leader of Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union. AKK, as she is known, tried to play to the party’s conservative right, making critical statements about gender politics, immigration and environmental policy.»

«These alienated centrist voters without denting support for the nationalist Alternative for Germany party. As a result, the CDU has been polling well below 30% and roughly the level with the Greens, who are now almost the default choice for centrist voters.»

«AKK, therefore, needs to take risks to prove she can win elections for the party – and run Germany»

«The dangers are formidable. No German politician has ever made the jump from the defense ministry to the chancellorship directly»

«Von der Leyen was on that list, too – until her performance at the defense ministry scuppered her chances. While she pushed through big military spending increases, too much money went on high-priced consultants, now the subject of an investigation by a parliamentary commission, and on projects hit by wild cost overruns – like the scandalous renovation of the navy training ship Gorch Fock»

«If AKK, who also has no experience in defense, spends the next two years at the ministry, she could easily be besmirched by same kind of costly failures as her predecessor»

* * * * * * *

La prossima tornata elettorale potrebbe distruggere Cdu, Spd e Frau Merkel.

EU, La Spd tenta la costruzione di un’alleanza europea pro-migranti.

-Nel Brandenburg, se la Cdu perde 5 punti percentuali, passando dal 23% al 18%, la Spd crolla dal 31.9% al 19%: perde 13 punti percentuali.

– Nel Sachsen, la Cdu scenderebbe dal 39.4% al 26%, perdendo 13.4 punti percentuali. La Spd invece scenderebbe dal 12.4% al 9%: un calo di 3.4 punti percentuali, piccolo in valore assoluto ma molto grande in percentuale.

– In Thüringen, la Cdu perderebbe 7.5 punti percentuali ed Spd 2.4.

* * * * * * *

Al momento attuale, sembrerebbe impossibile che Frau Merkel e Frau AKK riescano a ribaltare la situazione.

Che si dimettano o meno, che cambino linea politica o meno, sarà del tutto ininfluente: la Cdu, così come la Spd, si stanno avviando a diventare partituncoli di ben misera rilevanza.

«Better to reign in Hell than serve in Heaven»

Ma chi lo disse non finì certo bene.


Bloomberg. 2019-07-17. Angela Merkel’s Chosen Successor Goes All In

On the day German Chancellor Angela Merkel turned 65, her chosen successor, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, unexpectedly took the job of defense minister. It’s a gutsy move that could advance her ambitions to the chancellorship, or ruin them. The chances of both outcomes are about even.

Merkel, who has suffered three public tremor attacks in recent weeks, insists she is in good enough physical shape to serve out her term, which ends in 2021. Most voters consider a leader’s health a private matter, so she doesn’t feel compelled to explain the medical details. It’s obvious, though, that a long, crisis-filled political career has taken a toll on her, and an early election is a possibility.

Kramp-Karrenbauer hasn’t been a convincing success in her seven months as leader of Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union. AKK, as she is known, tried to play to the party’s conservative right, making critical statements about gender politics, immigration and environmental policy. These alienated centrist voters without denting support for the nationalist Alternative for Germany party. As a result, the CDU has been polling well below 30% and roughly the level with the Greens, who are now almost the default choice for centrist voters.

AKK, therefore, needs to take risks to prove she can win elections for the party – and run Germany. The one she is now taking is so great that she hesitated. Just two weeks ago, she said she didn’t want to join the cabinet if then-Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen became president of the European Commission. But after the European Parliament handed von der Leyen the top Brussels job, AKK immediately made it clear to colleagues in the CDU leadership she would be taking up the post.

The dangers are formidable. No German politician has ever made the jump from the defense ministry to the chancellorship directly. AKK’s three predecessors, all of them ambitious, have been plagued by scandal. Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg, seen by many as a rising star, had to resign in 2011 after it transpired he had plagiarized his doctoral dissertation. His successor, Thomas de Maiziere, aggressively advocated a surveillance drone program, only to cancel it after the costs threatened to get out of control. His career didn’t end – Merkel moved him to the interior ministry in her next cabinet – but he was no longer on the list of potential chancellors.

Von der Leyen was on that list, too – until her performance at the defense ministry scuppered her chances. While she pushed through big military spending increases, too much money went on high-priced consultants, now the subject of an investigation by a parliamentary commission, and on projects hit by wild cost overruns – like the scandalous renovation of the navy training ship Gorch Fock.

At the same time, not enough funds went toward equipping the Bundeswehr: Much of its hardware still cannot be used in combat, and in March, the defense ministry decided to classify the information on the condition of the country’s major armaments. Von der Leyen, who admitted googling the defense ministry after Merkel unexpectedly offered it to her in 2013, has remained a stranger to the Bundeswehr, a tin-eared and unpopular civilian. 

If AKK, who also has no experience in defense, spends the next two years at the ministry, she could easily be besmirched by same kind of costly failures as her predecessor. But there will be no Brussels escape hatch. And speaking for the military isn’t necessarily the best way to win votes – especially centrist ones that go to the Greens now – in relatively pacifist Germany.

The defense job, though, isn’t necessarily a poisoned chalice. 

Running the ministry for almost three years didn’t end the political career of one of Germany’s most revered chancellors, Helmut Schmidt (who went on to serve in other top cabinet posts before winning the ultimate prize). AKK only needs to hold out for two years without making serious errors to survive, less if there is an early election. 

Her predecessor’s unpopularity should give her an advantage as she starts. AKK is more conservative than von der Leyen, and her less corporate management style should help her win over the troops. And her gutsiness in taking on responsibility for perhaps the toughest portfolio in the cabinet should earn her some points.

It also counts for something that the defense portfolio is the most high-profile one available to the CDU under the current coalition agreement. Merkel could have handed it to Health Minister Jens Spahn, another leadership contender who reportedly coveted it. But Merkel backed AKK – a clear message that she’s confident in her close associate’s ability to handle tough tasks. 

In the end, it is all about what AKK makes of the job; if she drops the ball, it will be her own fault, and if she manages to stay in the game, she will be a stronger contender for the chancellorship than she is today. This is the kind of calculated risk a top-flight political leader must take and, after a long life in politics, Merkel knows that better than anybody.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania ed EU stanno per implodere sul caso von der Leyen.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-07-05.

Brügel il Vecchio. Caduta degli angeli ribelli. Museo Reale. Bruxelles.

Nell’Unione Europea stanno scontrandosi due opposte visioni.

Quella statocentrica vede come organo di governo l’europarlamento eletto a suffragio universale, ove il concetto di nazione membro è inesistente.

Quella confederativa vede invece ed esalta il valore del Consiglio Europeo, ove sono gli stati membri a deliberare.

Sono due opposte visioni conflittuali e ne sta scaturendo una guerra di religione.


«Germany’s Social Democrats risk harming the coalition government in which they serve and triggering an EU constitutional crisis by opposing the nomination of Ursula von der Leyen to head the European Commission, a top German conservative said on Thursday»

«But Merkel had to abstain in the vote among the 28 EU national leaders because the Social Democrats (SPD), her junior coalition partner, opposed von der Leyen’s nomination»

«If the Social Democrats really stick to their destructive opposition to the candidacy of Ursula von der Leyen this would be a burden on the coalition and it risks triggering a constitutional crisis in Europe» [AKK]

«The SPD’s popularity in Germany is at a record low after it suffered painful losses in the European Parliament elections in May»

«The party is under growing pressure from angry members to quit Merkel’s coalition and rebuild in opposition»

«The Commission oversees EU budgets, trade policy, and drafts laws»

«But Merkel’s decision to nominate her has drawn criticism in Germany, where many say the post should go to the lead-candidate in the largest political grouping following the EU elections»

«But the SPD’s opposition to von der Leyen has angered many in Merkel’s conservative bloc»

«The Social Democrat lawmakers have absolutely no reason to vote for von der Leyen»

* * * * * * *

Juncker, Tusk, Macron, Merkel hanno la sublime arte a livello virtuoso di sapersi conquistare nemici su nemici.

Formano il club dei perdenti.

Adesso, per la loro supponente altera superbia stanno facendo implodere sia la Große Koalition in Germania sia la delicata impalcatura politica dell’Unione Europea.

L’umiltà è quella virtù che impedisce di essere umiliati.

*

Nessuno sa come potrebbe andare a finire.

Verosimilmente si vedranno e concorderanno qualche contentino. Ossia fior di miliardi del Contribuente.

Ma sono in molti a vederla grigia.


Reuters. 2019-07-04. Merkel ally chides German Social Democrats over stance on EU Commission chief

Germany’s Social Democrats risk harming the coalition government in which they serve and triggering an EU constitutional crisis by opposing the nomination of Ursula von der Leyen to head the European Commission, a top German conservative said on Thursday.

In a surprise decision after marathon talks, EU leaders on Tuesday nominated von der Leyen, currently Germany’s defense minister and a member of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservatives, to head the executive Commission. The European Parliament must still endorse the appointment.

But Merkel had to abstain in the vote among the 28 EU national leaders because the Social Democrats (SPD), her junior coalition partner, opposed von der Leyen’s nomination.

“If the Social Democrats really stick to their destructive opposition to the candidacy of Ursula von der Leyen this would be a burden on the coalition and it risks triggering a constitutional crisis in Europe,” Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, leader of Merkel’s Christian Democrats (CDU), told reporters.

The SPD’s popularity in Germany is at a record low after it suffered painful losses in the European Parliament elections in May. The party is under growing pressure from angry members to quit Merkel’s coalition and rebuild in opposition.

Ralf Stegner, deputy leader of the SPD, told Deutschlandfunk radio, that his colleagues in the European Parliament would most likely vote against von der Leyen.

“The Social Democrat lawmakers have absolutely no reason to vote for von der Leyen,” Stegner said.

Von der Leyen would be the first woman to head the powerful Commission, replacing Luxembourg’s Jean-Claude Juncker. The Commission oversees EU budgets, trade policy, and drafts laws.

But Merkel’s decision to nominate her has drawn criticism in Germany, where many say the post should go to the lead-candidate in the largest political grouping following the EU elections. That would have been Germany’s Manfred Weber of the conservative European People’s Party but he did not have sufficient support.

“What do we tell a first-time voter who had full trust in a democratic Europe of the future who gave his vote to Manfred Weber?” the mass-selling Bild wrote in an editorial entitled ‘How the EU disregards the will of voters’.

A poll by DeutschlandTrend for the ARD public broadcaster showed only 56 percent of respondents in Germany thought von der Leyen would make a good Commission president.

But the SPD’s opposition to von der Leyen has angered many in Merkel’s conservative bloc. Some have accused it of being unpatriotic for refusing to back the first German to head the Commission in 60 years

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Spd. Nahles sostituta una troika, Ma il problema non è certo quello.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-06-04.

Sinistra '001

«Three senior members of Germany’s embattled Social Democratic Party (SPD) are set to take over on an interim basis after its leader quit»

«Three caretaker leaders are set to take over until Ms Nahles’ successor is elected: Manuela Schwesig is state premier in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Malu Dreyer is premier in Rhineland-Palatinate and Thorsten Schäfer-Gümbel is party leader in the Hesse»

«Ms Nahles’ long-term replacement is yet to be determined, leaving Mrs Merkel’s “grand coalition” hanging in the balance until a decision is made»

«Ms Nahles became SPD leader in April 2018, replacing Martin Schulz who had also resigned because of poor electoral performance»

«Ms Nahles became SPD leader in April 2018, replacing Martin Schulz who had also resigned because of poor electoral performance»

«The poor result has caused disquiet in the party, whose left-wing members have criticised Ms Nahles for remaining in the coalition»

«Now pressure is growing on the SPD to quit the coalition and bring down the government, in the hope that fresh elections would help them ditch the conservatives and build a left-wing coalition»

«The only parties that would benefit from more struggles for power within Germany’s two big parties would be the Greens and the far-right AfD»

«Polls suggest the SDP may suffer losses in those elections. In a Forsa survey, the SPD dropped by five percentage points to 12%, its lowest-ever score on a national level»

«A new leader was due to be elected at the party’s conference in December»

* * * * * * *

La caduta di Mrs Nahles non è avvenuta per una congiura di palazzo, bensì per implosione del sistema socialdemocratico.

La Spd si è ridotta ad un partito incapace di comprendere cosa stia succedendo nella realtà mondiale e tedesca, e di conseguenza è incapace di formulare un programma politico credibile. Gli iscritti al partito, tranne rare eccezioni, sono canuti vegliardi: non rappresentano in nulla l’Elettorato. Consultarli e seguirne i suggerimenti è modo infallibile per andare al disastro completo.

La sua dirigenza è sclerotica, abbarbicata ai concetti passati in applicazione dei quali la Spd si sta estinguendo.

Non solo. La sua base elettorale è formata per il 44% da ultrasessantenni, pensionati, più assueti ai problemi di cateteri e pannoloni che con quelle delle sfide industriali e politiche odierne. Solo il 21% dell’elettorato è sotto i trentaquattro anni, con una perdita in tale fascia di età di ben 21 punti percentuali.

A ciò i aggiunga una martellante propaganda per lgbt e clima.

Per i vegliardi le trasgressioni sessuali sono messe dette, ed il ‘clima’ è una chimera dati i costi imponenti.

Nulla da stupirsi che un ragazzino, con un messaggio youtube visto quindici milioni di ascoltatori, un certo Herr Rezo, abbia incitato a non votare Cdu oppure Spd, che nulla hanno fatto per il ‘clima’.

Superati a sinistra, avrebbe detto il Divo Giulio.

Ci si rassegni: la Spd non rappresenta più nulla.

In realtà, restano tutte le società che fanno capo alla Spd e che vivono di finanziamenti pubblici. Il problema è come spartirsi il malloppo.

* * * * * * *

Ci si metta l’anima in pace: l’ultima frase pianta chiodi sul coperchio della bara.

«A new leader was due to be elected

at the party’s conference in December»

Di qui a dicembre passa un’era. Sarà ben difficile che l’Unione Europea aspetti che l’Spd smetta di avere il mal di pancia


Bbc. 2019-06-03. German SPD set for three interim leaders amid coalition crisis

Three senior members of Germany’s embattled Social Democratic Party (SPD) are set to take over on an interim basis after its leader quit.

Outgoing SPD leader Andrea Nahles has resigned over her party’s poor performance in the European elections.

Her resignation has raised concerns that Chancellor Angela Merkel’s coalition government could collapse.

Mrs Merkel’s party says it wants to stay in power with the SDP, its junior coalition partner.

But party leader Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer said how the SPD behaved was up to them.

Europe’s biggest blocs lose grip on power

New political climate boosts European Greens

Merkel dismisses rumours of party rift

Three caretaker leaders are set to take over until Ms Nahles’ successor is elected: Manuela Schwesig is state premier in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Malu Dreyer is premier in Rhineland-Palatinate and Thorsten Schäfer-Gümbel is party leader in the Hesse.

Germany’s DPA news agency says the temporary joint leadership has been proposed to the party’s executive board, which met in Berlin on Monday.

Ms Nahles’ long-term replacement is yet to be determined, leaving Mrs Merkel’s “grand coalition” hanging in the balance until a decision is made.

Rolf Mützenich, who currently serves as deputy chairman of the SPD, was proposed as interim head of the party’s parliamentary group, the agency added.

The Social Democrats came third, behind Mrs Merkel’s Christian Democrats (CDU) and the Greens, in the 26 May elections.

The poor result has caused disquiet in the party, whose left-wing members have criticised Ms Nahles for remaining in the coalition.

Ms Nahles became SPD leader in April 2018, replacing Martin Schulz who had also resigned because of poor electoral performance. She had been expected to run for the position again and her resignation took analysts by surprise.

She said farewell to her party’s leadership at its Berlin HQ on Monday, thanking them “for the years of good co-operation” in a press conference afterwards.

The coalition between the CDU and the SPD is due to last until federal elections in 2021, but correspondents say Ms Nahles’s resignation could lead to the SPD leaving, triggering a snap poll.

Mrs Merkel herself plans to step down as chancellor in 2021, having already resigned as CDU leader at the end of last year.

^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^

No obvious choice

Analysis by BBC Berlin Correspondent Damien McGuinness

Many never wanted the SPD to be in government again in the first place.

Party left-wingers blame plummeting support on years of messy compromise with Angela Merkel’s conservatives.

Now pressure is growing on the SPD to quit the coalition and bring down the government, in the hope that fresh elections would help them ditch the conservatives and build a left-wing coalition.

The problem is new elections are unlikely to help. Current polls place the SPD in third place after the Greens. There is no leader-apparent ready to take over. And the party’s message on many big issues, from climate change to migration, remains unclear.

In 2017 it took six months of wrangling to form this government. That was followed by half a year of internal bickering that exasperated voters.

The only parties that would benefit from more struggles for power within Germany’s two big parties would be the Greens and the far-right AfD.

^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^

What next for the coalition?

Mrs Merkel’s Christian Democrats (CDU) were also meeting to discuss the crisis as the junior partner in the coalition considered its next step.

CDU leader Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer told reporters that the party was willing to continue sharing power with the Social Democrats. “We want to do justice to the government mandate,” she said.

Several senior party figures in the Social Democrats, including Vice-Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Lower Saxony’s Prime Minister, Stephan Weil, have ruled themselves out of the leadership race.

Former SDP leader Thomas Oppermann said it could take “one, two months” to choose Ms Nahles’ replacement.

He said the political instability was “not a good overall situation” and warned his party against “waiting for further defeats”, alluding to the forthcoming elections in three East German states in September and October.

Polls suggest the SDP may suffer losses in those elections. In a Forsa survey, the SPD dropped by five percentage points to 12%, its lowest-ever score on a national level.

Ms Nahles said on Sunday she would stand down as SPD leader and as head of its parliamentary group.

“The discussions within the parliamentary faction and feedback from within the party have shown me that I no longer have the necessary support to carry out my duties,” she said in a a statement.

A new leader was due to be elected at the party’s conference in December. But party chiefs could bring that vote forward in light of Ms Nahles’ resignation.

^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^

What if the coalition falls?

If the SPD were to leave the coalition, the fall of the government would be likely to trigger fresh elections.

Olaf Scholz told Tagesspiegel newspaper he had ruled out entering another such coalition.

“Three grand coalitions in a row would not do democracy in Germany any good,” he said in the interview before Ms Nahles announced her resignation.

The latest crisis come days after Mrs Merkel dismissed reports of a rift with Mrs Kramp-Karrenbauer.

Two unidentified officials quoted in a Bloomberg article had said Mrs Merkel believed her successor was not up to the job. But the German chancellor dismissed the claims as nonsense.

*


Euro New. 2019-06-03. Germany’s Social Democrats seek leader after Nahles’ surprise resignation

Germany’s troubled Social Democrats (SPD) on Monday was in talks to appoint three temporary leaders following the resignation of Andrea Nahles.

SPD party chiefs proposed three caretakers to jointly lead the party while it takes time to settle on a new chief: Manuela Schwesig and Malu Dreyer, the premiers of the states of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Rhineland-Palatinate respectively, and Thorsten Schaefer-Guembel, who leads the SPD in Hesse, Reuters said, citing party sources.

Chancellor Angela Merkel said the German government would carry on its work following the shock resignation from Nahles, a junior member of Merkel’s governing coalition, on Sunday amid a slump in the party’s popularity.

“What I want to say for the government is that we will continue with our work with all seriousness and with great responsibility,” Merkel said in a statement to the press.

The centre-left party fell to third place behind Merkel’s CDU bloc and the Greens in last month’s European Parliament elections.

Nahles said she would also resign as head of the party’s parliamentary group as she did not have the support to lead it.

She took over as leader in February 2018, as the SPD reluctantly extended their “grand coalition” with Merkel’s conservatives following a poor showing in the previous year’s German national election.

Nahles had been due to face a vote on her leadership position on Tuesday after her decision to stay in the coalition was criticised by the party’s left.

“The discussions within the parliamentary faction and feedback from within the party have shown me that I no longer have the necessary support to carry out my duties,” Nahles said in a statement.

What does this mean for Merkel’s coalition?

The “grand coalition” is due to rule until 2021 but Nahles’ resignation could trigger an early exit from the SPD — forcing Merkel to call snap elections to lead a minority government or seek an alliance with the Greens and liberal Free Democrats.

Trouble within the SPD comes at a time when the Chancellor’s CDU party faces its own problems.

Germany’s Greens overtook the conservatives to become the country’s most popular party, showed an opinion poll on Saturday.

The CDU’s party leader Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer called on the SPD to make sure Germany remains with a stable and functioning government.

“I am assuming that the SPD will make its personnel decisions quickly and that the grand coalition’s ability to act will not be impaired,” she said on Sunday.

However, not everyone is for extending the rule of the “grand coalition”.

Earlier, German vice-chancellor Olaf Scholz told Tagesspiegel that he had ruled out entering another grand coalition as the SPD seeks to regroup.

“I am very sure that it would not be justifiable for us to have a fifth grand coalition,” Scholz said in an interview published before Nahles’ announcement. “Three grand coalitions in a row would not do democracy in Germany any good.”

The ruling coalition is due for a midterm review in September, which could be an opportunity for the SPD to pull the plug on its alliance with the CDU.

Merkel, who handed the leadership of her Christian Democratic Union party to Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer in December, has said she wants to stay on as chancellor until her fourth term ends when Germany holds its next national election in late 2021.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania. La fanteria scopa-trasportata attacca Akk.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-06-01.

Strega 911

Giusto ieri Frau Merkel aveva lapidato la sua pupilla Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer

Germania, Merkel silura Akk. Die Zerstörung der CDU.

«is not up to the country’s top job»

* * * * * * *

Nemmeno un attosecondo dopo (ricordiamo come il prefisso atto indichi 10-18), era già pronta una sottoscrizione di 64,800 persone che censuravano a male parole Frau Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer.

Mica roba da scherzarci sopra.

Ma un yoctosecondo ancora (ricordiamo come il prefisso yocto indichi 10-24), e la Forsa usciva con un sondaggio

«The Forsa poll released on Wednesday showed 70% of respondents considered that Christian Democratic Union (CDU) leader Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer was not suited to taking over as chancellor»

«Chancellor Angela Merkel should stay on until 2021 when her term ends, the poll found.»

«Even among her own CDU party, 52% considered Kramp-Karrenbauer, or AKK as she is often called, was not up to the chancellor’s job»

*

Stampato più veloce della velocità della luce, il giornale fedele scudiero Berliner Morgenpost titola:

Umfrage: Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer ungeeignet als Kanzlerin

«Bitter für Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer: 70 Prozent der Deutschen spricht der CDU-Vorsitzenden die Eignung für die Kanzlerschaft ab.

Berlin. Keine guten Nachrichten für die CDU-Vorsitzende Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer. Seit Tagen steht sie wegen ihrer Reaktion zum Rezo-Video in der Kritik. Das Ergebnis einer Umfrage ist jetzt ein weiterer Rückschlag: Eine große Mehrheit der Deutschen spricht Kramp-Karrenbauer nämlich die Eignung für die Kanzlerschaft ab.

70 Prozent halten sie derzeit nicht für die richtige Person für den Posten. Das ergab das vom Forsa-Institut per Umfrage unter rund 1500 Menschen ermittelte Trendbarometer für RTL/n-tv. Nur 19 Prozent halten sie für „fähig genug, das Kanzleramt zu übernehmen“»

‘La grande maggioranza dei tedeschi nega l’idoneità della Kramp-Karrenbauer alla cancelleria. Il 70 per cento attualmente non crede che sia la persona giusta per il posto di cancelliere’.

*

Prendiamo atto di quanto si sia addolcito il materno carattere di Mutti: in altri tempi la avrebbe fatta suicidare. Cos’, dopo la May e Kurz, adesso cade nel paniere la testa di Annegret.


Deutsche Welle. 2019-05-30. Most Germans find AKK unfit to replace Angela Merkel, poll finds

While the transfer of power within the ruling CDU conservatives appears to have been well orchestrated, a new poll suggests few think Merkel’s heir apparent, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, is up to the job of chancellor.

*

The Forsa poll released on Wednesday showed 70% of respondents considered that Christian Democratic Union (CDU) leader Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer was not suited to taking over as chancellor. Chancellor Angela Merkel should stay on until 2021 when her term ends, the poll found.

Even among her own CDU party, 52% considered Kramp-Karrenbauer, or AKK as she is often called, was not up to the chancellor’s job.

The poll among 1,501 people was carried out earlier this week, after the European election results, for broadcaster RTL.

The CDU fared poorly in the European elections and lost the majority in the parliament it had previously shared through the alliance of the center-right European People’s Party (EPP) and center-left Socialists and Democrats (S&D). Commentators in Germany have suggested Merkel herself may be considering a role in the EU hierarchy, although she has dismissed the rumors.

Merkel also dismissed suggestions she was among those who did not think AKK was capable of being chancellor. She rejected as “nonsense” claims that Kramp-Karrenbauer had lost her support.

“I have never concerned myself intensely with rubbish in my many years of political engagement, which is why I’m not going to comment on this further,” Merkel said in Brussels on Tuesday.

Kramp-Karrenbauer on social media

Kramp-Karrenbauer has also come under fire for her comments about freedom of speech and regulations for social media ahead of elections.

Criticism of the 56-year-old politician stemmed from a critique of the CDU and its coalition partner the SPD on YouTube by 26-year-old Rezo, whose hourlong message was a call not to vote for the CDU or the Social Democrats, a junior party in Germany’s governing coalition government. The video has been watched more than 13 million times.

AKK responded to the video by calling for new rules to govern the online sphere and asking: “What would the reaction in this country have been had 70 newspapers, two days before the election, declared: … ‘Do not vote CDU and SPD’?” Kramp-Karrenbauer said after Sunday’s poll. “The question needs to be asked … what are the rules in the analog sphere, and which rules apply to the digital sphere?”

Online petition on censorship

Among the responses to AKK’s question was an online petition “No censorship of our freedom of expression Mrs. Kramp-Karrenbauer,” (Keine Zensur unserer Meinungsfreiheit, Frau Kramp-Karrenbauer!) which had been signed by 64,800 people by Wednesday afternoon.

While her party colleagues gathered to support her on Wednesday, there was an admission that the CDU had to improve its use of social media in order to state its political case. “Our resources in online communication are far too scarce for us to be able to get in touch with young people,” CDU Secretary General Paul Ziemiak said.

The CDU is holding a meeting at the weekend to discuss the outcome of the elections and, in particular, the loss of 1.2 million voters from the conservatives to the Greens, whose 49-year-old co-leader Robert Habeck is attracting attention as a possible future chancellor.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania, Merkel silura Akk. Die Zerstörung der CDU.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-05-29.

Siluro 001

E così si sarebbe arrivati al redde rationem.

«Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, who is often referred to by the initials AKK, the leader of Germany’s ruling Christian Democratic Union (CDU), is facing heavy criticism after proposing a debate on the regulation of political views on the internet during election campaigns.

The plan was broached on Monday following the party’s battering in the weekend’s European Parliament elections. The CDU and its CSU ally won 28% of the vote — a drop of seven percentage points from 2014.

Just days before the election, German YouTube star Rezo released a video in which he urged voters to punish the CDU and its coalition partner the Social Democrats (SPD) over climate inaction. The clip went viral and led to 70 other influential YouTubers reiterating his message in another video aimed at young voters.

“What would actually happen in this country if, say, 70 newspapers decided just two days before the election to make the joint appeal: ‘Please don’t vote for the CDU and SPD’?” Kramp-Karrenbauer, Chancellor Angela Merkel’s successor as CDU leader, said in Berlin. “That would have been a clear case of political bias before the election.”» [Deutsche Welle].

*

Die Zerstörung der CDU [Youtube].12,947,848 visualizzazioni.

Il giovanotto scavalca a sinistra Cdu ed Spd, imputando loro di non aver fatto proprio nulla per il ‘clima‘: sarebbero quindi solo ‘ipocriti in cerca di voti‘: quindi, che non li si votino!

«In jedem Fall: Geht wählen am nächsten Wochenende. Sonst entscheiden Rentner über eure Zukunft»

In ogni caso: andate a votare il prossimo fine settimana. Altrimenti i pensionati decideranno del vostro futuro

«Ich hoffe inständig, dass Fr. Kramp-Karren gegen die wandfahrer in der CDU bleibt. … dann wäre die CDU in der nächsten Wahl weitere 10% los»

Spero sinceramente che Frau Kramp-Karrenbauer rimanga nella CDU. …. in tal caso la CDU perderebbe un altro 10% nelle prossime elezioni.

*

Con oltre tredici milioni di visualizzazioni questo video ha messo in luce ciò che realmente è e rappresenta Frau Merkel. Con un investimento di meno di mille euro i patrocinatori di codesto video hanno assestato a Frau Merkel ed alla Cdu un poderoso uppercut da ko.

La reazione di Frau Merkel è quella tipica delle femmine sterili nel cuore, nella mente e nell’utero.

* * *

Merkel Successor’s Stumble Puts Germany’s Direction in Doubt

Merkel Pressured by Her Successor to Resign After EU Election

Don’t Let Merkel Win Tussle for ECB Job, German Economist Says

*

«Angela Merkel has given up hope on her heir apparent and is hunkering down in office in the face of growing turmoil in Germany’s ruling party»

«Merkel has decided that Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, who took over as leader of the Christian Democratic Union in December, is not up to the country’s top job»

«hinking. As a result, the chancellor has become more determined than ever to stay in power until her term ends in 2021»

«AKK’s failure to grasp the baton leaves Germany’s governing party flailing as the leadership prepares to meet June 2 and 3 to pore over the losses in the European Union election»

«AKK convened the session without warning Merkel and the officials say it was designed to put pressure on the chancellor to move aside»

«AKK’s approval rating slipped three points to 36% in the latest poll by public broadcaster ARD released May 2»

«If nothing else, the episode highlighted the CDU’s desperate attempts to reach younger voters with its own forays into the digital realm»

* * *

Bene.

Benissimo.

Per Frau Merkel Frau Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer

«is not up to the country’s top job»

*

Come i loro sodali dell’Spd, adesso anche nella Cdu iniziano a volare i portacenere di cristallo, e non solo quelli.

La Germania è in attesa di un nuovo Oberst Claus Schenk von Stauffenberg.


Bloomberg. 2019-05-28. Merkel Decides Her Chosen Successor Isn’t Up to the Job

– Chosen successor has repeatedly stumbled since taking over CDU

– New leader fails to boost party support as Merkel stays put

*

Angela Merkel has given up hope on her heir apparent and is hunkering down in office in the face of growing turmoil in Germany’s ruling party.

Merkel has decided that Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, who took over as leader of the Christian Democratic Union in December, is not up to the country’s top job, according to two officials with knowledge of her thinking. As a result, the chancellor has become more determined than ever to stay in power until her term ends in 2021, the officials said.

In recent months AKK, as Kramp-Karrenbauer is known, slid in opinion polls, roiled the party with a failed effort to accelerate Merkel’s exit, and on Sunday oversaw the CDU’s worst ever result in a national election.

AKK’s failure to grasp the baton leaves Germany’s governing party flailing as the leadership prepares to meet June 2 and 3 to pore over the losses in the European Union election.

It’s likely to be an awkward encounter between the chancellor and her one-time protegee: AKK convened the session without warning Merkel and the officials say it was designed to put pressure on the chancellor to move aside. AKK has also alienated the chancellor by reaching out to her conservative enemies within the CDU.

No More Help

Merkel has resolved to spend no more political capital helping AKK, the officials said. But her ability to change the party’s direction is limited now that she has handed over control of the machinery. The chancellor is expecting to come under more pressure to step aside as AKK’s political problems mount, they added.

The direction of the party is completely open again, one official said, and what happens after 2021 is entirely uncertain.

With AKK’s chances of claiming the chancellorship fading, the contest to select the CDU’s candidate for 2021 becomes a re-run of last year’s succession battle. Merkel’s moderate faction thought they had won when AKK claimed the party leadership in December but the chancellor’s ability to influence that process will be much reduced second time around. That could open the door to the conservative Friedrich Merz or the liberal Armin Laschet.

AKK’s approval rating slipped three points to 36% in the latest poll by public broadcaster ARD released May 2. That’s the lowest since she became party leader and almost 20 points behind Merkel.

Off-Color Joke

AKK was supposed to provide fresh leadership and an electoral bounce for the CDU after 18 years of Merkel’s leadership. Instead, support for the party and its Bavarian sister the CSU fell seven percentage points in the EU election to below 30%. Many voters defected to the Greens, which doubled their backing to more than 20%.

AKK has proved prone to stumbles.

An off-color joke about transsexuals at a local festival put moderates on alert. Her latest mistake came in the aftermath of Sunday’s election.

When a YouTube video attacking the CDU became a viral sensation, AKK accused the 70 web activists who endorsed the clip of wielding undue influence and was forced onto the defensive following a wave of criticism.

She tweeted on Monday that it was “absurd to accuse me of wanting to regulate statements of opinion.”

If nothing else, the episode highlighted the CDU’s desperate attempts to reach younger voters with its own forays into the digital realm. As of Tuesday, the video by a blue-haired moderator known as Rezo has been viewed more than 12 million times since it hit the web May 18.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania. AKK ammette gli errori dell’Europa e della Merkel.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-05-22.

Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer

Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, leader della Cdu tedesca, ha rilasciato una intervista gravida di significati e mezze promesse.

«Gli sviluppi in Italia – uno dei Paesi fondatori della Ue e uno dei Paesi più grandi e più potenti in Europa – ci costringono e costringono la Germania ad essere molto vigili»

*

«Anche se alla fine sono i cittadini che decidono»

*

«E dobbiamo accettarlo, finché è chiaro che ci sono elezioni democratiche. E su questo non ci sono dubbi, finora»

*

«La situazione italiana, vista da fuori, è difficile da comprendere. C’è questa insolita alleanza di governo tra populisti di destra e di sinistra. E siamo preoccupati che l’anti-europeismo stia crescendo, anche sotto forma del sostegno alla Lega»

*

«Ci preoccupa poi che potenze come la Russia e la Cina, che non hanno certamente alcun interesse a un’Europa forte e stabile, stiano cercando di aumentare la loro influenza in Italia»

*

«la crisi dei profughi del 2015 è nata proprio perché l’Europa non ha funzionato»

*

«Dublino non va»

*

«Siamo stati a guardare troppo a lungo e con troppa poca attenzione mentre i Paesi ai confini della Ue facevano i conti con numeri crescenti di profughi»

*

«Siamo stati a guardare troppo a lungo e con troppa poca attenzione mentre i Paesi ai confini della Ue facevano i conti con numeri crescenti di profughi»

*

«Li abbiamo lasciati soli»

*

«È uno degli errori che abbiamo fatto nella politica tedesca. Anche nella Cdu»

*

«Questa una delle maggiori sfide che il nuovo Parlamento e la nuova Commissione Ue dovranno affrontare»

* * * * * * *

Diamo atto, con piacere al fatto che Frau Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer sa affrontare i problemi con Realpolitik e sa anche ammettere gli errori fatti: questo è segno tangibile di intelligenza e di capacità autocritica.

Sicuramente la attuale eurodirigenza in via di uscire di scena ha sottovalutato la situazione dei migranti ed ha cercato di lasciare soli i paesi del meridione dell’Unione.

Di grande importanza anche la dichiarazione che si debbano accettare i risultati delle urne.

La Germania, così come l’Unione Europea, devono imparare ad accettare i partner dell’Unione sia nelle loro tradizioni, sia nei loro governi democraticamente eletti. È una questione di democrazia il rispetto della volontà popolare.

*

I principi della dinamica insegnano che ad ogni azione ne corrisponde una eguale a contraria.

Lo sciabordare degli identitari populisti è la reazione alla incapacità decisionale della passata eurodirigenza, alla durezza mentale di Frau Merkel ed alla ottusità di Mr Juncker.

Vedremo nel prosieguo quanto Frau Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer abbia imparato la lezione: lo speriamo ma non ci mettiamo sopra il cuore.


Ansa. 2019-05-20. Kramp-Karrenbauer, Lega ci preoccupa, Germania sarà vigile

Gli sviluppi in Italia – uno dei Paesi fondatori della Ue e uno dei Paesi più grandi e più potenti in Europa – ci costringono e costringono la Germania ad essere molto vigili. Anche se alla fine sono i cittadini che decidono. E dobbiamo accettarlo, finché è chiaro che ci sono elezioni democratiche. E su questo non ci sono dubbi, finora”. Così la leader della Cdu Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, candidata alla successione di Angela Merkel, in un’intervista a Repubblica in cui si dice “preoccupata” dalla Lega. “La situazione italiana, vista da fuori, è difficile da comprendere. C’è questa insolita alleanza di governo tra populisti di destra e di sinistra. E siamo preoccupati che l’anti-europeismo stia crescendo, anche sotto forma del sostegno alla Lega”, afferma Kramp-Karrenbauer.

“Ci preoccupa poi che potenze come la Russia e la Cina, che non hanno certamente alcun interesse a un’Europa forte e stabile, stiano cercando di aumentare la loro influenza in Italia”. Sull’immigrazione, “la crisi dei profughi del 2015 è nata proprio perché l’Europa non ha funzionato. Dublino non va. Siamo stati a guardare troppo a lungo e con troppa poca attenzione mentre i Paesi ai confini della Ue facevano i conti con numeri crescenti di profughi. Li abbiamo lasciati soli. È uno degli errori che abbiamo fatto nella politica tedesca. Anche nella Cdu”, dichiara Kramp-Karrenbauer. “Questa una delle maggiori sfide che il nuovo Parlamento e la nuova Commissione Ue dovranno affrontare”. 

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania. Elezioni europee e di Brema potrebbero scatenare il diluvio.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-05-20.

Giulio Cesare Assassinato 001

«Amo il tradimento, ma odio il traditore» (Giulio Cesare)


La Presidente del partito, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, ha convocato per il due giugno una riunione straordinaria della direzione della Cdu.

Verosimilmente, i convocati dovranno constatare l’ulteriore crollo elettorale del partito nonché una molto severa sconfitta dei loro alleati della Spd sia nelle elezioni europee sia a Brema. Se in Sassonia la Cdu è data in declino dal 39.4% al 28%, a Brema la Spd dovrebbe scendere dal 32.8% al 24.5%. Ed in sede europea, il partito popolare europeo e quello socialista dovrebbero perdere circa un centinaio di seggi.

Germania. Sondaggi. Elezioni in Sachsen, 1° Settembre.

Brema. Domenica prossima si assisterà al crollo della Spd.

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Non si sa quanta quota di elettorato debbano perdere Cdu ed Spd per prendere alla fine atto di quanto stia succedendo.

Al massimo, si ridurranno in breve come il partito Conservatore inglese, che adesso è stimato essere attorno al 9%.

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«Angela Merkel is feeling pressure from her chosen successor to quit as German chancellor after this month’s elections for the European parliament»

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«With Merkel’s Christian Democrats expected to lose ground in the May 26 vote, their leader, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, sent a message to Merkel urging her to resign and called a party conference for June 2 in order to try to force her hand»

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«The presumptive heir to Angela Merkel denied a report on Friday that she had pressured the German chancellor to step down after an election later this month for the European Parliament in which their conservative party is set to lose ground»

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«Merkel’s conservatives and their Social Democrats (SPD) junior coalition partners are expected to bleed support in the European election next week»

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«That would particularly increase the pressure on the SPD to quit the coalition and reinvent itself in opposition, especially because it risks losing control of the northern German state of Bremen where it has ruled for more than seven decades in a vote also on May 26»

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Tra otto giorni avremo alla fine i risultati delle elezioni, tenendo anche conto che oltre i risultati europei incideranno, e molto, quelli a Brema, in Piemonte e nelle amministrative italiane.

Ma molto dei futuri destini europei saranno decisi in Germania, per non dire a Washington.

Non stiamo assistendo solo alla variopinta disgregazione dell’ideologia liberal socialista europea: stanno implodendo tutti i sistemi economici che si reggevano sul parastato da questa colonizzati. E tra questi il così detto ‘Sistema Merkel’ sembrerebbe essere sicuramente il più potente e, quindi, il bersaglio più ambito.

Nessuno si faccia quindi illusioni, ma proprio nessuna: l’uscita di scena di Frau Merkel, se mai avverrà a tempi brevi, non implica in modo automatico il crollo definitivo dei liberal socialisti. La guerra proseguirà, e ci si aspetti colpi di coda.

Austria. Il caso Strache. Di prudenza non è mai morto nessuno.


Bloomberg. 2019-05-18. Merkel Pressured by Her Successor to Resign After EU Election

– June 2 party meeting was to signal beginning of Merkel exit

– AKK proposed Merkel to run for presidency of EU Council

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Angela Merkel is feeling pressure from her chosen successor to quit as German chancellor after this month’s elections for the European parliament, according to two people with knowledge of the situation.

With Merkel’s Christian Democrats expected to lose ground in the May 26 vote, their leader, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, sent a message to Merkel urging her to resign and called a party conference for June 2 in order to try to force her hand, one of the people said. AKK, as Kramp-Karrenbauer is known, did not warn Merkel of the conference and suggested she should run for the presidency of the European leaders council, the person said.

In public, AKK has insisted that Merkel should see out her term, and a spokeswoman for the party leader pointed to those comments when contacted by Bloomberg News.

After becoming CDU leader late last year, AKK has struggled to gain traction in polls and in the party, as nods to the right wing ended up alienating many of her more liberal supporters.

AKK’s attempt to speed up Merkel’s exit may not only fail but also backfire. Despite growing pressure, the chancellor is determined to serve her full term in office until September 2021, said the two people who declined to be named because the talks were in private. Within the party there are growing doubts that AKK would still hold enough sway to run for the country’s top job in two years.

If AKK’s bid to follow Merkel is permanently derailed, the succession in Europe’s largest economy would be thrown wide open, potentially giving the chancellor’s conservative enemies a chance to seize power. AKK’s victory over Friedrich Merz for the party leadership in December was supposed to have ruled out that possibility. 

The scenario that AKK used to try and convince Merkel was this: after a poor result for their party in the EU election, the German leader would run for the presidency of the European Council to help solve Europe’s deep-seated crisis. The pro-European Social Democrats, their junior coalition partner, would be forced to back AKK as the next chancellor, because otherwise they would appear as blocking a solution to the EU crisis, the argument went.

Earlier this week Merkel gave a clear answer. “I’m not available for any political office, wherever it is, and that includes Europe,” Merkel told reporters in Berlin.

The proposed transition was particularly unappetizing to Merkel because it would probably involve a cabinet post for her arch enemy Merz, whom AKK is considering for a possible role in a future cabinet, one of the people said.

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Reuters. 2019-05-18. Merkel’s heir apparent denies pressuring German chancellor to resign

The presumptive heir to Angela Merkel denied a report on Friday that she had pressured the German chancellor to step down after an election later this month for the European Parliament in which their conservative party is set to lose ground.

A spokeswoman for Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, leader of Merkel’s Christian Democrats (CDU), denied a Bloomberg report, which cited two unnamed people, that Kramp-Karrenbauer had pressured the chancellor to step down after the May 26 vote.

“The report that the chairwoman of the CDU had pressured the chancellor to step down after the European Parliament vote lacks any basis,” the spokeswoman said.

There has been speculation about whether Merkel, now almost 14 years in power, would complete her fourth and last term in office. Both Merkel and AKK, as Kramp-Karrenbauer is known in Germany, have said the chancellor would complete her term, which ends in 2021.

Merkel’s conservatives and their Social Democrats (SPD) junior coalition partners are expected to bleed support in the European election next week.

That would particularly increase the pressure on the SPD to quit the coalition and reinvent itself in opposition, especially because it risks losing control of the northern German state of Bremen where it has ruled for more than seven decades in a vote also on May 26.

It is unlikely Merkel would try to form a new government with other parties if the SPD were to quit the coalition after the vote in Bremen next week. She would most likely leave the stage for Kramp-Karrenbauer, her preferred successor.

Bloomberg quoted one unidentified source as saying that Kramp-Karrenbauer had sent a message to Merkel urging her to resign and called a CDU party conference for June 2 in order to try to force her hand.

But sources in the CDU told Reuters that the two women had jointly selected the date for the CDU conference to discuss spending plans in light of weaker tax intakes as Europe’s largest economy cools.

Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Macron ha pubblicato il programma elettorale di Renaissance.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-05-09.

Macron 0801

Mr Macron ha pubblicato il programma elettorale per le prossime elezioni europee.

Ne riportiamo solo la prima parte, data la lunghezza del documento.

«Jamais depuis la Seconde Guerre mondiale, l’Europe n’a été aussi nécessaire.

Et pourtant, jamais elle n’a été autant en danger. Certains

veulent

la détruire. Ils prônent le repli nationaliste qui ne règle rien. D’autres se contentent du statu quo au mépris des espoirs des peuples. Le 26 mai, les Européens peuvent faire un autre choix : celui de la Renaissance de l’Europe. C’est ce choix que nous vous proposons.

Nous sommes fiers d’être Européens.

Nous savons ce que nous devons à l’Europe. Elle a garanti la paix après les conflits, la démocratie après les dictatures, la prospérité de plusieurs générations.

Mais l’Europe d’hier peine dans le 21e siècle. Elle est entravée par la frilosité des gestionnaires. Elle est dépassée par les défis écologiques, économiques ou migratoires. Elle n’a pas été pensée pour répondre aux attentes des citoyens d’aujourd’hui.

Elle n’est pourtant pas le problème. Elle peut même redevenir notre solution.

Pour cela, elle doit reprendre le contrôle de son destin.

Pour donner à l’écologie la priorité et ne pas laisser aux générations à venir une planète en perdition ; pour faire de l’Europe une puissance respectée qui défend ses intérêts et tire la mondialisation vers le haut ; pour organiser la fin de l’évasion fiscale qui mine notre pacte social ; pour relever le défi migratoire en protégeant nos valeurs et nos frontières ; pour préserver la paix et assurer notre souveraineté ; pour rendre l’Europe aux citoyens et la construire avec les peuples.

Les 79 propositions de notre projet sont nées de nos rencontres avec les Français. Toutes sont ambitieuses, concrètes et réalisables sans qu’il nous faille promettre des financements impossibles ou des sorties de l’Europe absurdes. Nos candidats les porteront avec conviction et engagement. Ils porteront la voix des Français pour que la France pèse en Europe et améliore notre quotidien. Avec cette élection, avec vous, nous pouvons reprendre le contrôle du destin de l’Europe le 26 mai.

FAIRE DE L’EUROPE UNE PUISSANCE VERTE

L’urgence écologique est là. L’année 2018 a été la plus chaude de notre histoire, avec une fonte record de la banquise, des incendies de la Grèce à la Suède et les trois quarts de nos départements frappés par la sécheresse.

La Terre a déjà perdu plus de la moitié de ses animaux sauvages en 40 ans et ce sont maintenant près de 20 000 îles qui pourraient disparaître sous les eaux dans les années à venir.

L’activité humaine souille notre air, nos océans, nos cours d’eau et nos sols. Toutes les 10 minutes, un Français meurt prématurément du fait de la pollution. Nous sommes la dernière génération à pouvoir agir. Nous sommes aussi la première à avoir toutes les solutions en main pour réconcilier écologie et économie, environnement et agriculture. C’est pourquoi la transition vers ce nouveau modèle est notre priorité.

LA PROPOSITION PRINCIPALE

Nous investirons massivement dans la

transition écologique et solidaire.

Au moins 1 000 milliards d’euros sont nécessaires d’ici 2024 pour développer les énergies et les transports propres, rénover les logements et accompagner la reconversion des travailleurs des secteurs en transition.

De la Banque centrale à la Commission, toutes les institutions européennes doivent avoir le climat pour mandat.

  • – Nous créerons une Banque du climat et orienterons l’épargne des Européens vers la croissance verte.

  • – Nous consacrerons 40% des dépenses européennes à la transition écologique.

  • – Nous rendrons le budget européen 100% compatible avec l’Accord de Paris.

  • – Nous compléterons le Pacte de Stabilité avec un Pacte de Soutenabilité pour ne laisser à nos enfants ni dette écologique, ni dette financière.»

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«Renaissance platform calls for empowering the European Parliament and attaching conditions to EU funds»

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«Under the banner “Projet Renaissance,” it features nine main proposals, including increased investment in environmental policy, imposing a tax on Big Tech across Europe, and moves toward a European army»

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«Renaissance proposes giving more power to the European Parliament.»

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«his campaign proposes making access to European funds conditional on “the respect of rule of law,”»

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«Suggestions like setting up a European climate bank, overhauling the Schengen zone, reinforcing Frontex (the EU’s border and coast guard agency) and uniting around a European identity were first revealed in Macron’s op-ed calling for a “European Renaissance” in April»

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«I’m not sure that the French have been focused on the election, there was the great debate, the [Yellow Jacket] protests every Saturday»

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«Millions of printed programs will be sent out to voters Thursday»

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Questo programma ricalca pari pari quello che Mr Macron presentò a suo tempo, For European renewal, e che fu bocciato immediatamente.

Germania ripudia in toto il progetto europeo di Macron

«No matter how charming the French are — in France, it’s always and above all about French interests»

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«CDU’s Kramp-Karrenbauer says ‘nein’ to European centralism»

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Merkel Party Chief Sets Limits on Macron’s Ambitions for Europe

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Si vorrebbe sottolineare solo alcuni passi.

«Au moins 1 000 milliards d’euros sont nécessaires»

Mr Macron richiede all’Unione Europea soltanto mille miliardi: si sta ridimensionando fin troppo. È solo un obolo della Misericordia.

Sia l’aumento dei potere conferiti all’europarlamento sia il vincolare l’erogazione dei fondi EU alla visione liberal dell’Unione Europea potrebbero essere possibili solo ed esclusivamente riscrivendo i Trattati dell’Unione. Su tali materia né l’europarlamento né la Commissione Europea hanno potere alcuno.


Politico. 2019-05-09. Macron unveils plan for Europe

Renaissance platform calls for empowering the European Parliament and attaching conditions to EU funds.

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PARIS — Emmanuel Macron’s La République En Marche unveiled its European Parliament election program on Wednesday, becoming the last major French political party to do so.

Under the banner Projet Renaissance,” it features nine main proposals, including increased investment in environmental policy, imposing a tax on Big Tech across Europe, and moves toward a European army.

The program maintains the Macron tradition of borrowing ideas from the left and right, quoting Jacques Delors, the socialist former president of the European Commission, while calling for more border controls and reinforcing the repatriation of migrants.

Like Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally, its main rival in the upcoming election, Renaissance proposes giving more power to the European Parliament. Macron’s party wants to empower it to propose new laws, however, unlike the National Rally, it does not want to scrap the European Commission.

Renaissance also suggests making European institutions more democratic and transparent by capping the number of MEP terms per person to three and giving European citizens the right to initiate laws through petitions that garner more than 1 million signatures.

Nevertheless, and in line with the stance Macron has taken against populists and nationalists in Europe, his campaign proposes making access to European funds conditional on “the respect of rule of law,” in what is a likely reference to Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán.

On defense, Renaissance proposes advancing “toward the European army,” a topic that is far from having unanimous support in the EU. It adds that “every country must keep its national army and its capacity to launch military operations … but we must progress toward a common intervention capacity.”

Much of the rest of the proposals in the program have already been laid out in public by either Macron or his lead candidate Nathalie Loiseau. Suggestions like setting up a European climate bank, overhauling the Schengen zone, reinforcing Frontex (the EU’s border and coast guard agency) and uniting around a European identity were first revealed in Macron’s op-ed calling for a “European Renaissance” in April.

Macron made his first foray into the campaign Tuesday evening, when he attended a working dinner with Renaissance candidates and reminded them of the high stakes in the upcoming election. The list, under Loiseau’s leadership, has been either stagnating or slightly falling in recent polls and she has had a hard time generating enthusiasm, with only 18 percent of respondents to an Elabe poll in April saying they have a positive view of her.

But En Marche officials maintain that French people only really start paying attention to the European election in the last three weeks of the campaign.

“I’m not sure that the French have been focused on the election, there was the great debate, the [Yellow Jacket] protests every Saturday,” Loiseau told French radio Sunday, to justify the delay in revealing the election program.

Millions of printed programs will be sent out to voters Thursday, to coincide with Europe Day, according to a Renaissance campaign official.