Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Materie Prime, Russia

Blocco europeo. Energia elettrica. Germania €700 a megawatt-ora, Francia €840.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-08-26.

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In stintesi.

– «European natural gas surged to about 15 times the average summer time price»

– «German power surged to above €700 a megawatt-hour»

– «The Dutch front-month contract was 17% higher at €286.06 a megawatt-hour at 3.22pm in Amsterdam»

– «German year-ahead power rose as much as 27% to a record €710 per megawatt-hour»

– «French contract jumped 16% to €840»

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Il gas naturale europeo è salito a circa 15 volte il prezzo medio estivo e l’energia elettrica ha sfondato i record, mentre la minaccia di tagli alle forniture da parte della Russia si è abbattuta sul mercato e ha minacciato di spingere l’economia tedesca verso la recessione. I futures del gas di riferimento sono saliti fino al 21%, mentre l’energia elettrica tedesca ha superato per la prima volta i 700 euro per megawattora.

Il gasdotto Stream si fermerà per tre giorni di manutenzione il 31 agosto, sollevando nuovamente il timore che il collegamento non torni in servizio come previsto dopo i lavori. L’Europa è stata in attesa delle spedizioni attraverso il collegamento per settimane, con flussi che hanno ripreso solo a livelli molto bassi dopo la chiusura per lavori il mese scorso.

Le autorità europee hanno ripetutamente sollevato la possibilità di un blocco completo delle forniture russe, come ritorsione del Cremlino alle sanzioni imposte a causa della guerra in Ucraina. Ciò metterebbe a repentaglio il piano della regione di accumulare gas a sufficienza per l’inverno e metterebbe a dura prova le principali economie, mentre le famiglie e le industrie si ritroverebbero con bollette salate.

Abbiamo davanti a noi un inverno molto critico. Dobbiamo aspettarci che Putin riduca ulteriormente il gas. Il contratto olandese front-month, il benchmark europeo, era in rialzo del 17% a 286.06 euro per megawattora alle 15:22 ad Amsterdam. Venerdì è salito per la quinta settimana consecutiva, il periodo più lungo di quest’anno. L’equivalente britannico è salito del 23% lunedì.

L’energia elettrica tedesca di riferimento per l’anno precedente è aumentata fino al 27%, raggiungendo il livello record di 710 euro per megawattora, mentre il contratto francese è salito del 16% a 840 euro.

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«European natural gas surged to about 15 times the average summer time price and power smashed through records as the threat of Russian supply cuts ripped through the market and threatened to push the German economy into recession. Benchmark gas futures rose as much as 21%, while German power surged to above €700 (RM3,125) a megawatt-hour for the first time.»

«Stream gas pipeline will stop for three days of maintenance on Aug 31, again raising concerns that the link will not return to service as planned after the works. Europe has been on tenterhooks about shipments through the link for weeks, with flows resuming only at very low levels after it was shut for works last month»

«European authorities have repeatedly raised the possibility of a complete shutdown of Russian supplies as the Kremlin retaliates for sanctions imposed because of its war in Ukraine. That would jeopardise the region’s plan to stash away enough gas for the winter and put huge stress on major economies, while households and industries would be left with large bills»

«We have a very critical winter right in front of us. “e must expect Putin to further reduce gas. The Dutch front-month contract, the European benchmark, was 17% higher at €286.06 a megawatt-hour at 3:22pm in Amsterdam. It rose for a fifth straight week on Friday, the longest run this year. The UK equivalent surged 23% on Monday.»

«Benchmark German year-ahead power rose as much as 27% to a record €710 per megawatt-hour, while the French contract jumped 16% to €840»

* * * * * * *


German Power Hits Record 700 Euros as Gas Fears Ratchet Higher

Frankfurt (Aug 22): European natural gas surged to about 15 times the average summer time price and power smashed through records as the threat of Russian supply cuts ripped through the market and threatened to push the German economy into recession.

Benchmark gas futures rose as much as 21%, while German power surged to above €700 (RM3,125) a megawatt-hour for the first time. The key Nord Stream gas pipeline will stop for three days of maintenance on Aug 31, again raising concerns that the link will not return to service as planned after the works. Europe has been on tenterhooks about shipments through the link for weeks, with flows resuming only at very low levels after it was shut for works last month.

European authorities have repeatedly raised the possibility of a complete shutdown of Russian supplies as the Kremlin retaliates for sanctions imposed because of its war in Ukraine. That would jeopardise the region’s plan to stash away enough gas for the winter and put huge stress on major economies, while households and industries would be left with large bills.

“The catastrophe is already there,” Thierry Bros, a professor in international energy at Sciences Po in Paris, said. “I think the major question is when EU leaders are going to wake up.”

Germany warned Moscow could further reduce gas supplies, and reiterated a call to conserve energy. “We have a very critical winter right in front of us,” German Economy Minister Robert Habeck told public broadcaster ZDF in Montreal, during a visit to Canada with Chancellor Olaf Scholz. “We must expect Putin to further reduce gas.”

On Friday, Gazprom said works were needed in the only functioning turbine that can pump gas into Nord Stream. The pipeline has been operating at only 20% capacity for weeks and European politicians insist the curbs are politically motivated. Russia’s Gazprom PJSC said volumes would return to that level following the latest shutdown.

“Whether the reasoning is true or not, the outcome drives a European gas market that tightens further, and one that is left reliant on demand curtailments to find itself in balance,” said Biraj Borkhataria, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets. “The market may disregard Gazprom’s comments and start to consider whether the pipeline may not return to service, or at the very least may be delayed for any given reason.”

The Dutch front-month contract, the European benchmark, was 17% higher at €286.06 a megawatt-hour at 3.22pm in Amsterdam. It rose for a fifth straight week on Friday, the longest run this year. The UK equivalent surged 23% on Monday.

Benchmark German year-ahead power rose as much as 27% to a record €710 per megawatt-hour, while the French contract jumped 16% to €840. Coal futures also hit unprecedented levels. The near-term electricity market’s tightness is being compounded by nuclear reactor availability in France at near the lowest in years.

Over the weekend, German leaders said the country might struggle to replace dwindling gas supplies from Russia. The government is targeting a 20% reduction in consumption. While the country is one of the worst hit by Moscow’s cuts with the economy on the bring of a recession, the energy crisis has reverberated through Europe.

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