Pubblicato in: Armamenti, Russia

Conflitto Nato – Russo. Verosimile attacco missilistico su Saky, Krimea.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2022-08-13.

Ukraina. Novofedorivka. 001

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Nota.

«Crimea is internationally recognised as Ukrainian territory»

Questa affermazione è falsa: solo l’enclave liberal occidentale considera la Krimea essere parte della Ukraina. Tutto il restante mondo civile e libero la considera parte integrante della Russia.

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Una persona è stata uccisa dopo che alcune esplosioni hanno scosso una base militare in Crimea, ha dichiarato il capo dell’amministrazione regionale nominata dalla Russia. Sergei Aksyonov ha scritto sui social media che le esplosioni sono avvenute nella base militare di Saky, vicino a Novofedorivka, sulla costa occidentale della penisola. Il ministero della Difesa russo ha poi dichiarato che sono state fatte esplodere delle munizioni.  È stata istituita una zona di interdizione di 5 km intorno al luogo dell’esplosione.

Mosca ha rifiutato di speculare sull’origine dell’esplosione e Kiev non si è assunta la responsabilità. Il vice primo ministro ucraino, Iryna Vereshchuk, ha scritto su Telegram che le esplosioni di oggi a Novofedorivka sono un altro promemoria di chi appartiene alla Crimea. Perché è Ucraina.

L’attacco in Crimea segnerebbe una drammatica escalation.

Se dovesse emergere che l’Ucraina è responsabile di questo attacco, si tratterebbe di un’escalation significativa. Sarebbe il primo grande attacco a un obiettivo all’interno della Crimea vera e propria. La Crimea è internazionalmente riconosciuta come territorio ucraino, ma la Russia governa la penisola da otto anni e le strutture statali e militari russe sono ben radicate. Per il Cremlino, la Crimea ha uno status quasi sacro, visto come terra storicamente russa che Mosca ha riacquistato trionfalmente nel 2014.

E si teme che se gli ucraini iniziassero ad attaccare sistematicamente obiettivi russi in Crimea, la risposta russa potrebbe essere davvero molto seria. Il mese scorso, l’ex presidente russo Dmitry Medvedev, ora vicepresidente del potente Consiglio di Sicurezza, ha dichiarato che se la Crimea venisse attaccata, il giorno del giudizio attenderà immediatamente tutti coloro [che sono coinvolti]. Sarà molto veloce e molto duro.

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«One person has been killed after blasts rocked a military base in Crimea, the head of the Russia-appointed regional administration there said. Sergei Aksyonov wrote on social media that the blasts had taken place at the Saky military base near Novofedorivka on the peninsula’s western coast. Russia’s defence ministry later said ammunition was detonated.  5km (three-mile) no-go zone around the blast site had been established.»

«Moscow refused to speculate on the origin of the blast and Kyiv has not taken responsibility. Ukraine’s deputy Prime Minister, Iryna Vereshchuk, wrote on Telegram that “today’s explosions in Novofedorivka are another reminder of who Crimea belongs to. Because it is Ukraine”»

«Crimean attack would mark dramatic escalation»

«If it emerges Ukraine was responsible for this attack, that would be a significant escalation. It would be the first major attack on a target inside Crimea proper. Crimea is internationally recognised as Ukrainian territory, but Russia has ruled the peninsula for eight years and Russian state structures and military facilities are very well established. For the Kremlin, Crimea has a quasi-sacred status, seen as “historically” Russian land that Moscow “re-acquired” triumphantly in 2014»

«And there are fears that if the Ukrainians begin systematically attacking Russian targets inside Crimea, then the Russian response could be very serious indeed. Last month, former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, now Deputy Chairman of the powerful Security Council, said that if Crimea were attacked, then “Judgement Day will instantly await all those [involved]. It will be very fast and very hard»

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Ukraine war: Blasts rock Russian airbase in annexed Crimea

One person has been killed after blasts rocked a military base in Crimea, the head of the Russia-appointed regional administration there said.

Sergei Aksyonov wrote on social media that the blasts had taken place at the Saky military base near Novofedorivka on the peninsula’s western coast.

Footage circulating on social media appeared to show multiple explosions.

Russia’s defence ministry later said ammunition was detonated, but this has not been independently verified.

The ministry said there was no “fire impact” on the ammunition storage area, Russia’s state-run Ria news agency reports.

The Ukrainian peninsula that Moscow annexed in 2014 is a popular destination with Russian tourists, and one video appeared to show visitors fleeing from a beach as smoke rose in the background.

Local witnesses told the Reuters agency that they heard at least 12 blasts, beginning at about 15:20 local time (12:20 GMT).

After arriving in the area, Mr Aksyonov said a 5km (three-mile) no-go zone around the blast site had been established.

Moscow refused to speculate on the origin of the blast and Kyiv has not taken responsibility.

Ukraine’s deputy Prime Minister, Iryna Vereshchuk, wrote on Telegram that “today’s explosions in Novofedorivka are another reminder of who Crimea belongs to. Because it is Ukraine”.

And Ukraine’s military posted a sarcastic statement on Facebook which hinted at the sinking of the Moskva warship and other military setbacks, reminding Russia of its “fire safety rules and the ban of smoking in unsettled places”.

Russia’s annexation of Crimea eight years ago drew widespread international condemnation.

On 24 February, Moscow launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, using Crimea as a springboard to move Russian troops deeper inside Ukraine.

Novofedorivka and Saky are about 50km (30 miles) north of the port of Sevastopol, home of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet, which has been leading a blockade of the Ukrainian coastline.

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Crimean attack would mark dramatic escalation

If it emerges Ukraine was responsible for this attack, that would be a significant escalation. It would be the first major attack on a target inside Crimea proper.

The Ukrainians have come close: in June 2022, the Russia-appointed “leader” of Crimea said that Ukrainian forces had fired on Black Sea oil drilling platforms in Crimean waters, resulting in several casualties. And at the end of July, Russian authorities said a drone had struck a Russian naval facility in the city of Sevastopol, injuring six.

Crimea is internationally recognised as Ukrainian territory, but Russia has ruled the peninsula for eight years and Russian state structures and military facilities are very well established.

For the Kremlin, Crimea has a quasi-sacred status, seen as “historically” Russian land that Moscow “re-acquired” triumphantly in 2014. An attack so deep inside Crimean territory would be a major embarrassment for President Putin.

And there are fears that if the Ukrainians begin systematically attacking Russian targets inside Crimea, then the Russian response could be very serious indeed. Last month, former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, now Deputy Chairman of the powerful Security Council, said that if Crimea were attacked, then “Judgement Day will instantly await all those [involved]. It will be very fast and very hard.”