Pubblicato in: Demografia, Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Blocco Europeo. Indice Dipendenza Anziani sopra il 34.8%. – Eurostat.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2021-11-21.

2021-10-08__ Old-Age Dependency Ratio 001

«The old-age dependency ratio in the EU has increased noticeably in the last 20 years»

«In 2001, the EU’s old-age dependency ratio was 25.9%, meaning there were slightly fewer than four adults of working age (20-64) for every person aged 65 years or more»

«Fast-forward to 1 January 2020, the ratio increased to 34.8%, meaning there were slightly fewer than three adults of working age for every person aged 65 years or more»

«As of 1 January 2020, some of the highest ratios were concentrated in eastern Germany, Greece, Spain, France, Italy, Portugal and Finland»

«Among the EU regions, Evrytania, a mountainous region in central Greece, recorded the highest old-age dependency ratio (78.3%). This region was followed by the north-western Belgian region of Arr. Veurne (64.6%) and the German region of Suhl, Kreisfreie Stadt (61.3%)»

«At EU level, the ratio is projected to reach 56.7% by 1 January 2050, when there will be fewer than two working-age adults for each elderly person»

2021-10-08__ Old-Age Dependency Ratio 003

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Il problema demografico del blocco europeo è riassumibile un in unico macrodato: le femmine autoctone hanno quasi smesso di proliferare. Questa crisi demografica ha un peso ancor maggiore di quanto possano avere le disastrose condizioni del sistema produttivo europeo.

Ma questi dati interessano da vicino i Contribuenti.

In quasi tutti gli stati afferenti al blocco europeo i sistemi pensionistici si reggono, meglio dovrebbero reggersi, sui contributi versati dalle persone in età lavorativa: diminuendo il numero dei cittadini al lavoro ed aumentando l’età media della popolazione, i sistemi pensionistici non possono reggere il peso economico.

Se poi si tenesse presenta che il blocco europeo sia entrato in un regime di stagflazione, questi dati apparirebbero in tutta la loro drammaticità.

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Eurostat. Old-age dependency ratio increases across EU regions

The old-age dependency ratio in the EU has increased noticeably in the last 20 years. In 2001, the EU’s old-age dependency ratio was 25.9%, meaning there were slightly fewer than four adults of working age (20-64) for every person aged 65 years or more. Fast-forward to 1 January 2020, the ratio increased to 34.8%, meaning there were slightly fewer than three adults of working age for every person aged 65 years or more. 

As of 1 January 2020, some of the highest ratios were concentrated in eastern Germany, Greece, Spain, France, Italy, Portugal and Finland. Most of these regions were predominantly rural, mountainous, or relatively remote, where it is likely that younger people have left the region to continue their studies or look for jobs.

Among the EU regions, Evrytania, a mountainous region in central Greece, recorded the highest old-age dependency ratio (78.3%). This region was followed by the north-western Belgian region of Arr. Veurne (64.6%) and the German region of Suhl, Kreisfreie Stadt (61.3%). 

In contrast, the lowest ratios in the EU were recorded in the French outermost region of Mayotte (6.1%) and Guyane (11.7%) and the Spanish region of Fuerteventura (16.5%).

30-year projection shows overall ratio increase

Over the next three decades, old-age dependency ratios are projected to increase in all 1 169 EU regions, except for Harz, the westernmost region of Sachsen-Anhalt, in Germany. 

At EU level, the ratio is projected to reach 56.7% by 1 January 2050, when there will be fewer than two working-age adults for each elderly person. The projections indicate that the old-age dependency ratio will have risen to at least 50% in the vast majority (974) of EU regions.