Giuseppe Sandro Mela.
Nelle elezioni in Sachsen-Anhalt Merkel e Cdu stanno per raccogliere quanto pervicacemente seminato.
La Cdu ha un solo punto percentuale più di AfD: 27% contro 26%.
La gente inizia a ribellarsi. Con una inflazione reale attorno al 4%, parlare di ‘Klima’ e piani verdi, del futuro sole dell’avvenire hanno soltanto fatto perdere voti. La gente vuole il lavoro.
Ma alla fine, la gente va a votare.
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German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservatives have edged ahead of the right-wing AfD party ahead of Sunday’s regional elections in the state of Saxony-Anhalt, a poll showed on Friday.
The INSA poll for Bild newspaper put Merkel’s CDU party on 27%, up 2 points from last month. The AfD held steady at 26%, the poll showed.
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A state vote in Germany that will hold place on Sunday is largely viewed as a last major test for the country’s politicians before a September election that will oust Chancellor Angela Merkel.
After a bumpy start to the year, the longtime leader’s bloc is hoping for a good showing in an eastern region where a far-right party is a strong challenger.
The vote for a new legislature in Saxony-Anhalt, a state of 2.2 million people that is one of Germany’s less prosperous, puts a sharp focus on one problem Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) faces in the east: reining in the far-right Alternative for Germany, or AfD. Its bigger challenge nationally is on its other flank: keeping at bay the environmentalist Greens, who are strongest in western Germany and in big cities.
And Armin Laschet, the centrist CDU leader who is running to succeed Merkel as chancellor in the Sept. 26 national election, needs to rally conservatives behind him after he emerged as the party’s candidate from a bruising duel in April.
The election year started badly for the CDU when it lost two state votes in March to popular incumbent governors from more liberal parties. In Saxony-Anhalt, it has a popular incumbent of its own in Reiner Haseloff, 67, who has governed for the past decade. Most recent polls put Haseloff’s party a few points ahead of AfD, though one showed the parties roughly level. AfD took nearly a quarter of the vote in Saxony-Anhalt’s last state election five years ago. It appears on course for a similar performance this time, although its local branch lacks prominent figures and is viewed as being on the party’s hard-right wing.
“We cannot want a radical right-wing party to be the strongest party in a German state legislature, so what happens in Saxony-Anhalt on Sunday is something that should concern all democrats,” Laschet told Deutschlandfunk radio this week. AfD fed on anger at Merkel’s welcome of migrants in 2015 and has drifted steadily further right, drawing increasing scrutiny from Germany’s domestic intelligence agency. It recently has championed opposition to coronavirus restrictions, which are currently easing across Germany as infection rates decline.
The party is strongest in formerly communist eastern Germany, where it benefits from many people’s perceptions of still being disadvantaged 30 years after reunification. Its performances there have forced mainstream parties into unwieldy coalitions such as Haseloff’s governing alliance of the past five years with the center-left Social Democrats and the Greens.
“We still have two completely different electoral areas in east and west, with an AfD in the east that is three times stronger than in the west,” said Peter Matuschek of the Forsa polling agency. Recent national polls show support for the Union bloc, dominated by Laschet’s CDU, at around 25% – roughly level with the Greens, whose co-leader Annalena Baerbock is making the party’s first run for the chancellery.