Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale, Unione Europea

Svezia. Senza Lockdown pil annuale +0.4%. Ma la disoccupazione al 17%.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-06-01.

Giulio Romano. Mantova. Palazzo Te. Caduta dei Giganti. 002 Particolare

«Sweden’s economy grew in the first quarter as many other countries sank into a deep recession, adding to a debate on how best to tackle the spread of Covid-19»

«Sweden has opted for a softer lockdown, but its approach has resulted in a higher death rate than in many other countries»

«The GDP data published on Friday, which show a 0.1% expansion from the fourth quarter, provide “yet another sign that less strict containment measures eased the initial blow to the economy from the pandemic»

«there’s little chance that “Sweden will escape a recession in 2020»

«Strict lockdowns aren’t sustainable when tackling a virus that may be around for years»

«According to Johns Hopkins University data, Sweden has had 41 deaths per 100,000. That compares with 31 in the U.S. and 10 in neighboring Denmark»

* * * * * * *

Svezia. Moria nei gerontocomi. La morte di pochi salva la produzione.

La Svezia ha scelto di mettere in campo un modestissimo lockdown, assoggettandosi ad un maggior numero di decessi da coronavirus pur di mantenere efficiente il sistema produttivo economico. La moria è stata alta, ma confinata principalmente nei gerontocomi e tra i vecchi già portatori di severe patologie, quali l’insufficienza renale oppure tumori maligni.

E dati relativi al pil del primo trimestre corroborerebbero la correttezza di questa visione.

Ma non è tutto oro ciò che riluce.

Svezia. Economia -7%. Disoccupati ufficiali 7.9%, reali 17%.

«Sweden’s highly contested response to Covid-19 left much of the economy open. Even so, the country is now headed for its worst recession since World War II.»

«Scandinavia’s biggest economy will shrink 7% this year, Finance Minister Magdalena Andersson said»

«40% of businesses in Sweden’s service sector now fear bankruptcy.»

«But the trade-reliant economy has been unable to withstand the global shock triggered by widespread lockdowns elsewhere»

«About half Sweden’s GDP comes from exports, and some of its best known companies, such as Volvo Cars and Electrolux, have had to cut thousands of jobs as demand dries up»

«unemployment could rise as high as 17%. That’s how high the unemployment rate would be if all the workers in the government’s furlough program were counted as unemployed.»

Gli svedesi hanno considerato come ‘occupati’ tutti coloro che sono nell’equivalente della nostra cassa di integrazione.Un modo di fare molto spigliato.

* * * * * * *

Chi avesse studiato von Mises non si stupirebbe però di questi risultati.

Se è della massima importanza produrre beni richiesti e facilmente esportabili, sarebbe utile ricordare come in carenza di un mercato che possa recepirla e pagarla, la produzione diventa un mero magazzino improduttivo, che alla lunga diventa economicamente insostenibile.

*


Sweden’s Economy Grew Last Quarter, Adding to Covid-19 Debate

Sweden’s economy grew in the first quarter as many other countries sank into a deep recession, adding to a debate on how best to tackle the spread of Covid-19.

Sweden has opted for a softer lockdown, but its approach has resulted in a higher death rate than in many other countries. What’s more, Sweden’s government recently acknowledged that for all of 2020, the economy is likely to suffer its worst decline since World War II.

The GDP data published on Friday, which show a 0.1% expansion from the fourth quarter, provide “yet another sign that less strict containment measures eased the initial blow to the economy from the pandemic,” Bloomberg economist Johanna Jeansson said.

But, there’s little chance that “Sweden will escape a recession in 2020,” even though “it is set to be smaller than elsewhere.”

As of Thursday, Sweden had registered 4,266 deaths related to Covid-19. Though the virus has at no point overwhelmed the country’s health system, the high mortality rate has forced Swedish authorities to defend their approach to the pandemic.

According to Johns Hopkins University data, Sweden has had 41 deaths per 100,000. That compares with 31 in the U.S. and 10 in neighboring Denmark.

Swedish shops, schools, gyms and restaurants have all remained open throughout the crisis. Instead, the government has encouraged citizens to observe social distancing rules.

The country’s top epidemiologist, Anders Tegnell, argues that the Swedish model is designed to cope with a long-term health crisis. Strict lockdowns aren’t sustainable when tackling a virus that may be around for years, he says.

But the policy appears to be costing more lives here and now. It’s also raised concerns in other European Union countries as they start opening borders. Cyprus recently made clear it doesn’t want Swedish residents entering the island. Sweden’s Nordic neighbors have also voiced concerns.