Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Economia e Produzione Industriale, Unione Europea

Eurostat. Marzo. Produzione Industriale EU19 -11.8%, EU27 -12.9%, yoy.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2020-05-16.

2020-05-14__Eurostat 013

Eurostat ha rilasciato i dati, aggiornati, relativi la produzione industriale:

Industrial production down by 11.3% in euro area.

March 2020 compared with February 2020.

Down by 10.4% in EU.

In March 2020, the COVID-19 containment measures widely introduced by Member States had a significant impact on industrial production, as the seasonally adjusted industrial production fell by 11.3% in the euro area and by 10.4% in the EU, compared with February 2020, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In February 2020, industrial production fell by 0.1% in the euro area and remained stable in the EU.

In March 2020 compared with March 2019, industrial production decreased by 12.9% in the euro area and by 11.8% in the EU.

Monthly comparison by main industrial grouping and by Member State.

In the euro area in March 2020, compared with February 2020, production of durable consumer goods fell by 26.3%, capital goods by 15.9%, intermediate goods by 11.0%, energy by 4.0% and non-durable consumer goods by 1.6%.

In the EU, production of durable consumer goods fell by 23.8%, capital goods by 15.1%, intermediate goods by 9.9%, energy by 3.5% and non-durable consumer goods by 1.2%.

Among Member States for which data are available, the largest decreases in industrial production were registered in Italy (-28.4%), Slovakia (-20.3%) and France (-16.4%). The highest increases were observed in Ireland (+15.5%), Greece and Finland (both +1.9%) and Lithuania (+0.7%).

Annual comparison by main industrial grouping and by Member State.

In the euro area in March 2020, compared with March 2019, production of durable consumer goods fell by 24.2%, capital goods by 21.5%, intermediate goods by 11.8%, energy by 6.7% and non-durable consumer goods by 0.8%.

In the EU, production of durable consumer goods fell by 21.7%, capital goods by 20.0%, intermediate goods by 10.1%, energy by 6.4% and non-durable consumer goods by 0.3%.

Among Member States for which data are available, the largest decreases in industrial production were registered in Luxembourg (-32.7%), Italy (-29.3%) and Slovakia (-19.6%). The highest increases were observed in Ireland (+25.3%), Malta (+5.7%) and Finland (+2.8%).

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Grosso modo, i dati comparati mese su mese sono in linea con i tempi di lockdown, differenti stato per stato.

Tuttavia il conto sembrerebbe non tornare.

I lockdown sono infatti iniziati verso fine febbraio, inizi di marzo.

Chiudere la produzione per un mese dovrebbe significare in calo di 1/12 della produzione, ma, tenendo conto che le industrie essenziali hanno continuato bene o male a lavorare e che costituiscono grosso modo la metà della produzione totale, il calo teorico dovrebbe aggirarsi attorno ad 1/24, ossia poco più del 5%. Per contro, i dati di riscontro evidenziano cali decisamente più consistenti.

Un secondo elemento da valorizzare consiste nel fatto che l’eurozona, EU19, comprende gli stati europei maggiormente industrializzati: Germania, Francia Italia e Spagna. Ciò nonostante il calo della produzione è molto maggiore rispetto a quello dell’Unione Europea, EU27.

Un pensiero riguardo “Eurostat. Marzo. Produzione Industriale EU19 -11.8%, EU27 -12.9%, yoy.

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