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Elezioni Europee. Un punto di vista orientale. – Oriental Review.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela

2019-06-09.

Borodin. Il Principe Igor 001

«The powers are preparing for a new Cold War»

Occorrerebbe fare grande attenzione nel distinguere con la massima cura come un qualcosa, oppure anche un evento, consista in sé stesso e come invece sia percepito.

Nel primo caso si rientra nel tentativo di essere obiettivi, nel secondo invece si introduce un’interpretazione alla luce della propria Weltanschauung: è un giudizio soggettivo.

Cerchiamo di meglio spiegarci con un esempio.

È comune esperienza conoscere persone che siano terrorizzate alla sola vista di un cane, ancorché di minima taglia . Oggettivamente, quell’animale non rappresenta pericolo alcuno, ma come tale è percepito.

Con le persone o gli ambienti improntati ad una de gestione obiettiva dei fatti il dialogo costruttivo è sempre possibile su base razionale. Al contrario, ben poco può essere fatto nel tentativo di dialogo con persone la percezione dei quali distorce la realtà. Infine, dovrebbe essere sottolineato come spesso faccia comodo vedere la realtà così come è, ma fingere anche con sé stessi di vederla così come essa non è né possa essere.

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Tuttavia, anche se sia difficile, sarebbe opportuno cercare di comprendere come i diversi attori percepiscano i fatti: infatti essi si comporteranno in case a quanto percepito. Basterebbe pensare a quante involontarie gaffe siano state fatte perché non si conoscevano usi e costumi di un posto visitato.

Da ultimo, ma non certo per ultimo, il peso politico, economico  e militare dell’oriente resce giorno per giorno: di questi tempi è più importante capire cosa esso pensi rispetto a comprendere cosa voglia fare l’Unione Europea.

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«The only certainty is that voters considers that the Union – and not the Parliament – is more important for their future than it used to be»

«The First Cold War parties are in the lead for the Parliament, but have been violently rejected in France and the United Kingdom to the profit of the liberals»

«[In France] Les Républicains (8%) and the Socialists (6%). …. The Labour Party obtained only 14% of the vote, and the Conservatives 8%»

«It transpired that he [Salvini]was unable to group the identitarian parties around a common rejection of the Anglo-Saxon model of a ‘multi-cultural society’»

«It is quite wrong to represent Salvini’s coalition as ‘Euro-sceptic’ or ‘extreme right wing’»

«Any exposé of the Anglo-Saxon hold on the Union, as stipulated by the Treaties, or the European character of Russian culture, has been excluded from the media landscape.»

«Let’s forget about the rhetoric concerning the « power of the Union », faced with China, Russia and the USA – this, as everybody knows, is no more than a grandstand slogan»

«they believe that NATO was its best ally during the First Cold War, and so they should stand fast with it during the Second»

«The Anglo-Saxon expression « civil society » indicates associations which, because of their status, are not associated with politics, but defend other causes.»

«even if we were to get rid of all the cars and trucks in the Union, the decrease of Co2 would be minimal.»

«Incidentally, in a war situation, all environmental regulations would be forgotten»

«The powers are preparing for a new Cold War»

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Sono tutti enunciati tranchant, ma ben comprensibili. Sembrerebbe quasi che gli orientali abbiano compreso la situazione meglio degli europei.

Forse con la scomparsa politica dei partiti tradizionali, e quindi degli ambienti che li sottendevano, il problema russo potrebbe essere affrontato in modo razionale.

Il retaggio religioso, storico, culturale, sociale ed artistico della Russia è solidamente impiantato nelle comuni radici europee, che sono poi quelle cristiane.

Le pregresse posizioni dell’Unione Europea, e di alcuni stati di essa, hanno teso a vedere nella Russia un incombente pericolo, salvo poi commerciare apertamente con essa, senza curarsi più di tanto delle sanzioni emesse.

Si sta preparando una nuova guerra fredda, ma solo perché voluta colà donde si puote.



Oriental Review. 2019-06-02. Analysis Of The European Parliamentary Elections

The results of the European Parliamentary elections do not correspond in any way to what was expected – including by this writer. The present analysis is based on the provisional results of Monday 27 May at 10 a.m. GMT.

1— Compared with the results of 2014, voter participation has grown from 43% to 51%

Of course, several states had organised other votes for the same day, but this is not sufficient to explain the increase in participation. Several interpretations are possible. The only certainty is that voters considers that the Union – and not the Parliament – is more important for their future than it used to be.

2— The First Cold War parties are in the lead for the Parliament, but have been violently rejected in France and the United Kingdom to the profit of the liberals

The situation of these countries is different. France had already begun its metamorphosis during the second round of the Presidential election in 2017, with the elimination of the right and left of the First Cold War parties. This confirmed the demise of Les Républicains (8%) and the Socialists (6%).

The United Kingdom used a different logic to arrive at the same conclusion. Britain is a country whose legal culture is totally different from that of the Union, but which fashioned that of the United States. During the presidency of Barack Obama, the UK decided to leave the EU and join the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) [1]. But when the UK voters opted for Brexit, the United States, with Donald Trump, began to move away from an imperialist policy towards a Jacksonian policy. Distraught, the British ruling class was unable to find new partners, and blocked the Brexit vote. The Labour Party obtained only 14% of the vote, and the Conservatives 8%, while the Brexit voters swamped them by scoring 31%.

This massacre was a windfall for the Alliance of the Democrats and Liberals for Europe (ADLE), represented in France by La République En Marche (22%) and in the United Kingdom by the Lib-Dems (18%).

Although the right wing (PPE, 178 seats) and the left wing (S&D, 149 seats ) remain the major colours in the European Parliament, they are closely followed by the Liberals (ADLE, 111 seats). Taking into account the historical precedents, we may expect that France and the United Kingdom will influence the rest of the Union, and that in the next election, the PPE and the S&D will disappear to the profit of the Liberals.

3— Minimal increase of the identitarian objective

The Italian Matteo Salvini harboured the ambition of founding an alliance between the various parties opposed to the system. It transpired that he was unable to group the identitarian parties around a common rejection of the Anglo-Saxon model of a « multi-cultural society » (in other words, a fragmented society in which each cultural community, instead of sharing the same national references, lives by its own codes and references).

The confirmation of the European model of society as opposed to the Anglo-Saxon model will become perfectly compatible with the institutions of the Union if the United Kingdom manages its Brexit. It is quite wrong to represent Salvini’s coalition as « Euro-sceptic » or « extreme right wing ».

Finally, the Europe of Nations and Freedom (ENF) has only progressed by 16%, going from 50 to 58 seats out of 751.

4— Failure of the idea of European sovereignty

Any exposé of the Anglo-Saxon hold on the Union, as stipulated by the Treaties, or the European character of Russian culture, has been excluded from the media landscape.

Let’s forget about the rhetoric concerning the « power of the Union », faced with China, Russia and the USA – this, as everybody knows, is no more than a grandstand slogan. The voters have understood that a new Cold War is being prepared, but they believe that NATO was its best ally during the First Cold War, and so they should stand fast with it during the Second. However, the lack of public debate on this theme reveals an uneasy conscience, as if they felt their choice was both careful and cowardly at once.

5— In Germany and France, the substitution of the goals of the « civil society » for political questions

The Anglo-Saxon expression « civil society » indicates associations which, because of their status, are not associated with politics, but defend other causes. This is precisely the case of environmental questions, which are often transnational, but always subordinate to political considerations. For example, even if we were to get rid of all the cars and trucks in the Union, the decrease of Co2 would be minimal compared with the quantity produced by the ships and aircraft necessary for economic globalisation. Or again, even if we were to protect, all the species which are becoming extinct, not only in the Union, but all over the world, this would not preserve the biodiversity destroyed by war. Incidentally, in a war situation, all environmental regulations would be forgotten.

The expansion of the Green Party in Germany (20%) and in France (13%), therefore translates the impotence of voters in political matters. Since we can not act against imperialism and economic globalisation, let’s make ourselves useful in other ways.

The powers are preparing for a new Cold War.