Giuseppe Sandro Mela.
“Femmina è bello e proficuo se è alla direzione della concorrenza”. Vladimir Putin.
L’Infratest dimap ha reso pubblico l’ultimo sondaggio.
Grüne primo partito con il 26%, Cdu secondo partito con il 25%, AfD terzo partito con il 13%, Spd quarto partito al 12%.
«The opposition Greens have hit a record high in a new opinion poll, pulling ahead of Angela Merkel’s conservatives»
«The center-left SPD have dropped even further, slipping behind the far-right Alternative for Germany»
«Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, who in December took over from Merkel as conservative CDU party leader, slumped 12 percentage points to 24% in the poll»
«For party preferences, respondents put the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) at 13%, just ahead of the center-left Social Democrats (SPD), which is searching for a new leader after this week’s resignation of Andrea Nahles, on 12%. »
«72% responded that they were somewhat or completely dissatisfied with the work of Merkel’s coalition government of her conservatives and the SPD»
«Only 27% called for a continuation of Merkel’s coalition government»
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E così, dopo due anni di sofferenze, di un vorticoso susseguirsi di sondaggi e di conferme elettorali. la Cdu è passata ad essere il secondo partito di una Germania in colliquazione.
Ma a questa notizia si aggiunge la constatazione della sublimazione dell’Spd verso il nulla. La Spd è oramai in coma dépassé.
I due partiti della Große Koalition stanno implodendo come a suo tempo implose l’Unione Sovietica.
E tutto questo terremoto muta il quadro politico tedesco e, di conserva, quello europeo.
L’era di queste altere signore della politica tedesche, ancorché insignite di lauree honoris causa ad Harvard quale ultimo laticlavio, sembrerebbe proprio avviarsi alla fine. Hanno passato tutti gli ultimi tempi in una perfetta ignavia.
La via di Frau Merkel è quella che porta al cimitero.
Lasciando dietro di loro il deserto, le rovine di quella che una volta fu una grande nazione.
Con quale faccia Frau Merkel voglia fare le trattative per massime cariche europee non è dato di sapere, così come non è dato conoscere l’atteggiamento che terrà al prossimo G7 in Francia.
Sarà trattata come essa aveva trattato gli altri.
Sappiamo solo come la superbia sia una gran brutta bestia, che ottunde la percezione del reale, blocca il potere di revisione critica, e vizia tutti i ragionamenti fino ad arrivare al solipsismo.
* * * * * * *
“Femmina è bello e proficuo se è alla direzione della concorrenza”.
Vladimir Putin ci ha abituati che alle Conferenze di Valdai elargisce pillole di saggezza slava.
Deutsche Welle. 2019-06-07. Germany’s Greens hit poll high, ahead of Merkel’s bloc: survey
The opposition Greens have hit a record high in a new opinion poll, pulling ahead of Angela Merkel’s conservatives. The center-left SPD have dropped even further, slipping behind the far-right Alternative for Germany.
A Deutschlandtrend poll by Infratest dimap has put the environmentalist Greens up 6 percentage points at a record 26%, one point ahead of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservative Christian Democrats (CDU) and sister party Bavarian Christian Social Union (CSU), reflecting a similar sampling last week.
In last month’s European Parliament elections, the Greens came second among German voters with 20.5%, behind Merkel’s bloc, with a mandate focused on issues such as climate change and a renewables-based economy.
In another boon for the Greens, the party’s dual leadership of Robert Habeck and Annalena Baerbock polled at 36% and 26% respectively, placing them fourth and sixth as preferred national politicians in Thursday’s findings published by Germany’s ARD public broadcaster.
Merkel maintained her top placing at 53%, only 2% down from her Deutschlandtrend rating in May.
Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, who in December took over from Merkel as conservative CDU party leader, slumped 12 percentage points to 24% in the poll, which asked 1,500 Germans how they would vote if an election were to be held on Sunday.
The poor result for Kramp-Karrenbauer, also known as AKK, was her lowest rating yet in a Deutschlandtrend survey. Only 27% thought she would make a good chancellor.
Far-right AfD ahead of Social Democrats
For party preferences, respondents put the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) at 13%, just ahead of the center-left Social Democrats (SPD), which is searching for a new leader after this week’s resignation of Andrea Nahles, on 12%. For the Social Democrats and Merkel’s conservatives, the Deutschlandtrend results are their worst ever.
The business-friendly Free Democrats (FDP) remained at 8% Thursday, while the socialist Left party slipped to 7%, down 2% on last month.
In a separate sampling on Thursday, the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen polling agency put Merkel’s conservatives at 27%, with the Greens close behind at 26%.
Dissatisfaction with Merkel government
In another Infratest sampling of 1,000 voters, 72% responded that they were somewhat or completely dissatisfied with the work of Merkel’s coalition government of her conservatives and the SPD, a 10% rise in dissatisfaction since last month. Those who were satisfied or very satisfied with the coalition’s work made up only 28%.
In a separate YouGov survey, a majority of 52% wanted a fresh federal election. Only 27% called for a continuation of Merkel’s coalition government.
The most preferred future coalition for 25% of respondents was an alliance of the Greens, the SPD and Left party.
A so-called “Jamaica” alliance between Merkel’s conservatives, the Greens and FDP came next at 15%, with a conservative-Greens scenario relegated to 14%.
Among Green party voters, 54% hoped their party would enter into an alliance with the SPD and Left party. Only 25% wanted a Greens-conservative model, along the lines of the governments in the regional states of Hesse and in Baden-Württemberg.
Next real test in eastern states
Merkel’s ruling coalition — forged after months of wrangling in the wake of Germany’s 2017 general election — is nominally due to stay in office until 2021.
The next election test for the conservatives comes in September and October, when regional assembly elections take place in Saxony, Brandenburg and Thuringia, three eastern German states where the far-right AfD is polling strongly.