Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Elezioni Europee. Bremen. La Spd si è disintegrata. Große Koalition in bilico.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-05-27.

Pollo allo Spiedo

“This result cannot remain without consequences”

Lars Klingbeil, SPD secretary-general


Nelle elezioni del 2014 la Cdu aveva ottenuto il 22.4% di voti, contro il 25.5% attuali.

La Spd aveva ottenuto il 32.8% dei suffragi, contro gli attuali 24.5%: una perdita secca di 8.3 punti percentuali.

I Grüne sono saliti dal 15.1% al 18%, AfD dal 5.5% al 7%.

Su scala nazionale, invece, la Spd è crollata dal 27.3% al 15.5%: una perdita di 11.8 punti percentuali.

Brema. Domenica prossima si assisterà al crollo della Spd.

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«In regional elections Sunday in the small state of Bremen, which the center-left party has held for 73 years, it finished second with 24.5 percent of votes, behind Merkel’s conservatives at 25.5 percent, according to exit polls.»

«Simultaneously, national support for the party in Sunday’s European Parliament election slumped to 15.5 percent, down from 27.3 percent in 2014. That put the Social Democrats behind Merkel’s conservative bloc at 28.8 percent and — for the first time in a national vote — behind the Greens at 20.6 percent.»

«The vote breakdown likely means the SPD will send 16 lawmakers to Brussels, down 11 on the last mandate, while the Greens will almost double their presence in the European Parliament at 21 seats. Merkel’s Christian Democrats and its Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union, are expected to have 28 seats in the hemicycle.»

«Sunday’s double-defeat for the Social Democrats will heap pressure on weakened party leader Nahles to stand down — and it could prompt new calls from among the Genossen to pull the plug on the current German government coalition, 14 months after the SPD reluctantly signed up to another four-year term as Chancellor Angela Merkel’s junior partner.»

«Exiting the government — which would effectively trigger a snap election — could backfire for the SPD, party officials cautioned. Although the party ended up at an all-time low of 20.5 percent in 2017’s German election, that was still about 5 percentage points higher than the SPD’s score in Sunday’s European vote»

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Potrebbe essere verosimile che la Spd si ritiri dalla Große Koalition, facendo cadere il governo Merkel per andare a nuove elezioni.


The Local. 2019-05-26.  Germany’s Social Democrats set for historic losses in Bremen state election

The centre-right Christian Democrats could be set to overtake the Social Democrats in Bremen for the first time in more than 70 years, according to state election exit polls.

Initial projections show the centre-right CDU is just ahead of the centre-left SPD in Bremen, a state which the Social Democrats has governed for 73 years, reported Welt.

Exit polls for broadcasters ARD and ZDF put support for the SPD at around 24.5% and the centre-right Christian Democratic Union, Chancellor Angela Merkel’s party, up to about 25.5%.

The historic losses could see the SPD finish second in the northwestern city-state, Germany’s smallest, for the first time since WWII.

The polls put support for the Greens in Bremen up to about 18 percent. That party is currently the Social Democrats’ junior coalition partner in Bremen, and could decide whether or not it keeps its hold on the state government.

The exit polls put The Left (Die Linke) at 12 percent, while the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) have 7 percent. The pro-business FDP scooped 6 percent, according to the initial projections.

The results mean that SPD politician Carsten Sieling, 60, could remain Bremen mayor if his party form a coalition with the Greens and The Left, which would be a first in Bremen. It would also mark the first time The Left was in power in a western German state.

But if that alliance isn’t agreed then there’s the possibility that CDU candidate Carsten Meyer-Heder, 58, who only joined the party a year ago, could be elected Bremen’s first Christian Democratic mayor with the help of the Greens and the FDP in a coalition.

Bremen is the only federal state with a four-year legislative period; all other German states now vote every five years.

As The Local reported, the Bremen elections will likely send shockwaves to the government in Berlin where a shaky coalition between the SPD and the CDU/CSU stands.

Due to the relatively complex electoral system in Bremen, it takes longer for reliable figures to become available.

A preliminary official final result will therefore not be published until Wednesday, officials said.

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The New York Times. 2019-05-26. Germany’s Social Democrats Head for a Pasting in Bremen Vote

The Social Democrats, Germany’s main center-left party, appears headed for its worst-ever result in a state election in Bremen, which it has run for 73 years, as well as a dire showing in the European Parliament election.

Exit polls for ARD and ZDF television put support for the Social Democrats at 24.5% and the center-right Christian Democratic Union, Chancellor Angela Merkel’s party, up to 26.5%. The Social Democrats could finish second in the northwestern city-state, Germany’s smallest, for the first time.

The polls put support for the Greens in Bremen up to 18.5%. That party is currently the Social Democrats’ junior coalition partner in Bremen, and could decide whether or not it keeps its hold on the state government.

The exit polls put the far-right Alternative for Germany up at 7% support.

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Politico. 2019-05-26. German SPD reels from double defeat in EU and regional vote

The Social Democrats could be tempted to pull the plug on Germany’s government coalition, as the Greens wait in the wings.

In regional elections Sunday in the small state of Bremen, which the center-left party has held for 73 years, it finished second with 24.5 percent of votes, behind Merkel’s conservatives at 25.5 percent, according to exit polls.

Simultaneously, national support for the party in Sunday’s European Parliament election slumped to 15.5 percent, down from 27.3 percent in 2014. That put the Social Democrats behind Merkel’s conservative bloc at 28.8 percent and — for the first time in a national vote — behind the Greens at 20.6 percent.

“The result, from what we know so far, is extremely disappointing for the SPD,” party chief Andrea Nahles told a small group of devastated party officials at SPD headquarters in Berlin.

The SPD, in steady decline for years, finds itself in the worst crisis in its post-war history. The vote breakdown likely means the SPD will send 16 lawmakers to Brussels, down 11 on the last mandate, while the Greens will almost double their presence in the European Parliament at 21 seats. Merkel’s Christian Democrats and its Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union, are expected to have 28 seats in the hemicycle.

Sunday’s double-defeat for the Social Democrats will heap pressure on weakened party leader Nahles to stand down — and it could prompt new calls from among the Genossen to pull the plug on the current German government coalition, 14 months after the SPD reluctantly signed up to another four-year term as Chancellor Angela Merkel’s junior partner.

“This result cannot remain without consequences,” SPD Secretary-General Lars Klingbeil told reporters, minutes after first exit polls were released.

Both Merkel’s conservatives and the SPD — the two major Volksparteien that have dominated German politics for decades — have been losing voters to smaller parties in recent years.

But the Social Democrats have been hardest hit, with many historic supporters feeling the party has lost touch with its core values of promoting social justice. It appears to be the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) and, to a greater extent, the Greens who have profited the most.

The environmentalists saw the biggest gains compared to 2014, edging 5.1 percent points ahead of the SPD in the EU ballot and bolstering their bid for the mantle of the main center-left force in German politics.

The Greens’ co-leader Annalena Baerbock, speaking to POLITICO minutes after the exit poll came out, put their gains down to higher turnout and a vote in favor of progressive politics, as opposed to “stagnation.”

Return of Schulz?

As the Greens celebrated on the grass outside their election event in Berlin, over at the SPD’s headquarters — named after former chancellor Willy Brandt who, at his peak, secured 45.8 percent of the vote — debate raged over what will be the consequences of Sunday’s setbacks, including for Nahles’ future as party chief.

Earlier on the weekend, German media reported that former European Parliament President Martin Schulz — who in 2017 led the SPD to its weakest national election result since 1933 — was planning to unseat Nahles as the SPD’s parliamentary group leader in the Bundestag.

The SPD is scheduled to elect a new parliamentary group leader in September, but the vote could be brought forward following Sunday’s election disaster.

Then there’s the key question that continues to divide the party: whether or not to stick to the unrewarding role of Merkel’s junior coalition partner.

Exiting the government — which would effectively trigger a snap election — could backfire for the SPD, party officials cautioned. Although the party ended up at an all-time low of 20.5 percent in 2017’s German election, that was still about 5 percentage points higher than the SPD’s score in Sunday’s European vote.

The Greens, meanwhile, would benefit from a quick general election, with polls indicating they could double their share of the vote compared to 2017.

Following the exit poll, Nahles pinned the SPD’s losses on its failure to address climate issues.

“You just don’t know what the SPD wants, they’ve ignored ecological issues and done nothing on social problems,” said Michael Cramer, who was the Green faction’s only committee chair in the last European Parliament but is bowing out this time.

The latest polls suggest it would require at least three parties to form a majority coalition in the Bundestag. There could be another attempt to forge a so-called Jamaica coalition between the conservatives, Greens and liberal FDP, though talks after the last federal election in 2017 broke down.

Un pensiero riguardo “Elezioni Europee. Bremen. La Spd si è disintegrata. Große Koalition in bilico.

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