Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Finlandia. Elezioni. Socialdemocratici stimati al 19%, Finns Party al 16.3%.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-04-14.

2019-04-14__Finlandia__001

Oggi si vota in Finlandia per le elezioni politiche.

Dagli ultimi sondaggi, che confermano quelli degli ultimi mesi, i socialdemocratici potrebbe ottenere la maggioranza relativa con il 19%, subito seguiti dal Finns Party con il 16.3% e dalla Coalizione Nazionale con il 15.9%.

*

Dal punto di vista prettamente numerico, la Finlandia si avvia ad avere un governo di coalizione, che richiederà ai partiti, almeno tre, meglio quattro, una notevole duttilità.

*

Finland Poised for Rare Turn Left as Election Race Tightens [Bloomberg]

– Polls show SDP lead, populists surge ahead of Sunday’s vote

– Prime Minister Sipila expected to be denied second term

*

Finland is about to take a step to the left, a rare occurrence in Europe’s recent political history, with the Social Democratic Party favored to emerge as the biggest after Sunday’s election.

Latest polls show the SDP holding on to a narrowing lead, with two center-right parties and the anti-immigrant Finns party in a neck-and-neck race for second place.

A Social Democratic win would give leader Antti Rinne the first attempt to form a government and become the party’s first prime minister in 16 years. Public support for the current opposition has been fueled by discontent with the Center Party of Prime Minister Juha Sipila, a millionaire who has pushed through painful reforms in a successful attempt to restore the country’s economic fortunes.

Many voters are also frustrated with a failure to pass a health-care reform that’s been more than a decade in the making. A recent uproar over neglect at private elderly care homes has also hurt the National Coalition Party, a champion of privatization. ….

Spending is being cut while Finland is richer than it’s ever been before ….

An increasingly fragmented political landscape means coalition building may prove tricky. The populist Finns Party has seen its support surge during the campaign, but most parties don’t want to cooperate with the group, which has become more stridently anti-immigrant under the leadership of Jussi Halla-aho.»

*

I problemi maggiori sono una situazione economica che imporrebbe una riduzione delle spese per il welfare ed, in secondo piano, la immigrazione.

Uno dei nodi apparentemente insolubili è la conventio ad excludendum, per cui i partiti tradizionali non vogliono coalizzarsi con il Finns Party.

Questa è una caratteristica di comportamento politico dei liberal socialisti, che corre però il pericolo di non riconoscere le tensioni politiche e sociali che hanno determinato un Finns Party quale secondo partito finlandese.

Annunci