Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania. Verso una stagnazione irreversibile. I numeri.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2019-03-08.

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German Trade Surplus Narrows in August

«The German trade surplus decreased to EUR 17.2 billion in August 2018 from EUR 20.0 billion in the same month a year earlier, as exports rose by 2.2 percent to EUR 105.2 billion, while imports increased at a faster 6.2 percent to EUR 88.1 billion.»

German Trade Surplus Narrows in September

«The German trade surplus decreased to EUR 18.4 billion in September 2018 from EUR 24.2 billion in the same month a year earlier, as imports rose by 5.3 percent to EUR 90.7 billion, while exports fell 1.2 percent to EUR 109.1 billion. »

German Trade Surplus Narrows in October

«The German trade surplus decreased to EUR 18.3 billion in October 2018 from EUR 19.1 billion in the same month a year earlier.»

German Trade Surplus Narrows in November

«The German trade surplus decreased to EUR 20.5 billion in November 2018 from EUR 23.8 billion in the same month a year earlier, as imports rose 3.6 percent while exports were nearly unchanged.»

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«In April 2018, the German government had predicted economic growth of 2.3 percent»

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«In October, Berlin reduced its growth forecast to 1.8 percent.»

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«Germany cuts GDP growth forecast for 2018, sees up to 1.6 percent»

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È molto facile rilasciare comunicati altisonanti. Ma tra il dire ed il fare c’è di mezzo il mare e, talora, l’oceano.

La Germania sta arenandosi: al di là dello stretto significato tecnico, la Germania è in stagnazione.

Il suo comparto automobilistico sta morendo sotto leggi e regolamenti votati dal governo Merkel, così come il comparto energetico. La crisi demografica la sta stritolando.

L’ubbia delle alternative presenta costi non sostenibili.

Germania. I tedeschi iniziano a fare qualche conto.

Industria automobilistica. Potrebbe lasciare a breve la Germania.

«The German trade surplus decreased to EUR 13.9 billion in December 2018 from EUR 18.4 billion in the same month a year earlier. It was the smallest trade surplus since January 2016, mainly due to a sharp decline in exports. Balance of Trade in Germany averaged 5223.57 EUR Million from 1950 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 25455.63 EUR Million in March of 2016 and a record low of -535.91 EUR Million in April of 1991. ….

The German trade surplus decreased to EUR 13.9 billion in December 2018 from EUR 18.4 billion in the same month a year earlier. It was the smallest trade surplus since January 2016, mainly due to a sharp decline in exports.

Exports slumped 4.5 percent from a year earlier to EUR 96.1 billion in December, as sales to the EU declined 4.6 percent to EUR 55.2 billion, in particular Euro area (-4.1 percent to EUR 35.3 percent) and non-Euro area countries (-5.5 percent to EUR 19.9 percent). In addition, exports to countries outside the EU dropped 4.3 percent to EUR 40.9 billion.

Meanwhile, imports were nearly unchanged at EUR 82.1 billion. Purchases from the EU went up 1.2 percent to EUR 47.3 billion, driven by imports from the Euro area (3 percent to EUR 31.4 billion) while there were declines in imports from non-Euro area countries (-2.1 percent to EUR 15.9 billion). Also, imports from countries outside the EU fell 1.6 percent to EUR 34.8 billion. ….

Considering 2018 full year, the trade surplus narrowed to EUR 227.8 billion from EUR 247.9 billion in the corresponding period of the previous year.» [Fonte]

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Per dirla in termini politicamente corretti, la Germani potrà – forse – cercare di riprendersi quando Frau Merkel si sarà pienamente ritirata, non presentando alle prossime elezioni.

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