Giuseppe Sandro Mela.
Da tempo sta circolando una domanda sempre più insistente:
«French President Emmanuel Macron has faced weeks of disruptive violent protests across France but will he remain President until the end of 2019?
Will President Macron make it to the end of 2019?
According to bookmakers Ladbrokes, it is odds of 1/6 Mr Macron will remain in power for the whole of 2019 while the chance of him leaving before the end of next year is 4/1.
This may suggest Mr Macron is here to stay – but there is growing discontent in Paris.
Several groups have called for his resignation in light of the violence and disarray on the streets.»
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Già il fatto che se ne parli è gran cosa: colui che si era dichiarato essere il nemico mortale’ di Mr Salvini e dei sovranisti avrebbe concrete possibilità di non terminare il proprio mandato.
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Ma l’arte di conquistarsi i nemici è il tratto caratteristico di Mr Macron.
«France risks angering the EU even more after “arrogant” Emmanuel Macron slapped down calls from the bloc to reduce its deficit ballooned by the French President in a desperate attempt to quell so-called yellow vest protesters with sweeteners.
In crunch French government talks it was announced Mr Macron has no plans to reduce the structural deficit next year in a revised budget designed to comb through the leader’s plans to offer pay rises to the poor and benefits to retired French citizens. The move has been blasted for putting further pressure on the European Commission – despite Mr Macron himself lecturing debt-ridden Italy and Greece on their breaching of the bloc’s fiscal rules. France was required to reduce its structural deficit by 0.6 percentage points next year and had initially targeted a 0.1 percent cut this year and a 0.3 percent reduction in 2019. But the revised deficit is now envisaging no cut at all, the French government source said. EU rules usually allow for a deviation of 0.5 percentage points from fiscal targets at most.
Today, French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire met EU economic commissioners Valdis Dombrovskis and Pierre Moscovici to discuss the budget.
After the meeting he said he believed Brussels understood Paris arguments to boost spending. ….
France had already said on Sunday that its headline deficit could grow to 3.2 percent of output from 2.8 percent initially planned. EU rules foresee a 3 percent ceiling, although they are flexible.»
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Allora, adesso a che punto siamo?
«European Union budget chief Gunther Oettinger has urged Brussels to launch a fiscal crackdown on France after Emmanuel Macron after he pledged billions of euros to quell the ‘Yellow Jacket’ movement »
«Mr Oettinger, the EU’s budget commissioner, has called for the bloc to begin an excessive deficit procedure against France’s 2019 draft budget»
«The same crackdown was used to threaten Italy after Rome’s populist government decided to substantially increase spending despite the country’s growing debt pile»
«Brussels should begin an excessive deficit procedure against France because the country, apart from in 2017, has violated the new debt rule for the eleventh year in a row»
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«Il commissario Ue Oettinger contro Macron: chiesta procedura d’infrazione ai danni della Francia
Macron scaricato pure dall’Ue: il commissario europeo Oettinger chiede procedura di infrazione contro Francia
Il commissario europeo al Bilancio, Guenther Oettinger, ha chiesto l’avvio di una procedura di infrazione per disavanzo eccessivo da parte della Commissione europea nei confronti della Francia, la cui legge di bilancio per il 2019 prevede un rapporto tra deficit e Pil del 3,2 per cento. In un’intervista pubblicata oggi dal settimanale tedesco “Focus”, Oettinger ha evidenziato che, con l’ultima legge finanziaria, la Francia “viola per l’undicesimo anno di seguito i parametri di bilancio dell’Ue, con la sola eccezione del 2017”.
Oettinger scarica la manora che alza il deficit della Francia.
L’aumento del deficit nel bilancio di Parigi e’ stato, tuttavia, giustificato dal commissario europeo agli Affari economici, il francese Pierre Moscovici. A tal riguardo, Oettinger ha affermato: “Sono in totale disaccordo col mio collega”. Inoltre, il commissario europeo al Bilancio ha accusato la Francia, cosi’ come l’Italia, di “aver fatto troppo poco per ridurre il loro debito pubblico”. In particolare, Oettinger ha dichiarato: “Nonostante gli ultimi sei anni di crescita economica positiva, Francia e Italia hanno un debito pubblico pari rispettivamente al 95 e al 130 per cento del Pil, come nel 2013. Cio’ significa che entrambi i paesi non hanno impiegato i tassi di interesse ai minimi storici per ridurre il debito in termini reali”»
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È del tutto scontato che Mr Moscovici, francese e socialista, trovi ogni ragione per cercare che la Francia non incorra in sanzioni. Ma Oettinger ha affermato: “Sono in totale disaccordo col mio collega”.
Quindi, questo potrebbe essere un ulteriore elemento di sgretolamento del fu asse francogermanico.
→ Express. 2018-12-21. EU boss urges crackdown on France: Oettinger calls for bloc to sanction Macron over budget
EUROPEAN Union budget chief Gunther Oettinger has urged Brussels to launch a fiscal crackdown on France after Emmanuel Macron after he pledged billions of euros to quell the ‘Yellow Jacket’ movement.
Mr Oettinger, the EU’s budget commissioner, has called for the bloc to begin an excessive deficit procedure against France’s 2019 draft budget. The same crackdown was used to threaten Italy after Rome’s populist government decided to substantially increase spending despite the country’s growing debt pile. In an interview with German news magazine Focus, Mr Oettinger said Brussels should begin an excessive deficit procedure against France because the country, apart from in 2017, has violated “the new debt rule for the eleventh year in a row”.
He added: “And the extra money that Mr Macron has promised now, are not just one-time Christmas gifts, but they are permanent structural expenses.”
Th EU’s so-called excessive deficit procedure gives countries the opportunity to resubmit a changed budget or face huge financial sanctions.
Fines under the procedure could start at 0.2 percent of France’s entire GDP – meaning Paris would be charged around €15 billion unless it fixes its budget.
Mr Macron, the French President, announced billion-euro concessions after weeks of violent protests by the so-called ‘Yellow Jacket’ movement in Paris.
He promised to scrap a new fuel tax and a tax hike on pensions under €2,000, and increase the minimum wage as part of a €10 billion concessions package to stop the growing movement.
The Yellow Jacket protest – named because demonstrators have worn high visibility vests – have dominated French discourse for weeks.
Hundreds of thousands of riot police have been drafted in amid scenes of violence and destruction as protesters ransacked shops along the Champs-Elysees and vandalised a statue on the Arc de Triomphe.
But the fresh spending is set to violate strict EU fiscal rules as the French government expects a 3.2 percent spending deficit, increasing from an originally planned 2.8 percent for 2019.
The EU only permits a maximum 3 percent deficit in its post-financial crisis rulebook for the Eurozone.
Mr Oettinger has demanded that France and Italy do more to reduce public debt.
He said: “Despite the past six years of good economic growth, France and Italy have about the same debt percentage as in 2013, with 95 percent and more than 130 percent of GDP respectively.
“This means neither country has used historically low interest rates to reduce debts in real terms.”
The German’s comments have sparked an internal EU row with Pierre Moscovici, the commissioner responsible for the economy.
The French commissioner said: “I totally disagree with my colleague, you can not dismiss France so easily.”
Sven Giegold, the economic and financial spokesman for Greens in the European Parliament, accused Mr Oettinger of “premature showmanship”.
Mr Giegold said: “Gunther Oettinger’s announcement in a pre-Christmas interview is a premature showmanship.
“The prerequisites for a deficit procedure have not yet been met. The EU Commission is currently conducting talks with France on compliance with the European rules. France must ensure that the structural budget deficit is not increased.
“A short-term deviation in budget deficits is permissible within the framework of the preventive arm of the stability pact. If, on the other hand, the structural budget deficit worsens substantially, the same applies to France as it did recently to Italy: sanctions can be imposed directly for breaching the debt rules. The EU Commission must not expose itself to the accusation of treating France differently from Italy here.
“Oettinger is acting uncooperatively and damagingly, condemning France even before the end of the talks. Just before Christmas, Oettinger sets fire to Franco-German friendship. Those who demand compliance with European rules should adhere to the European rules themselves. The EU Commission does not need a German disciplinarian.
“Of course, the same applies to France as to Italy: No country is above European law, no matter how big it is. France must abide by the European rules. In this way, France can also finance socially meaningful additional expenditures solidly, for example through higher taxes for well off people. The Commission must continue to exert pressure here and must not rule out any sanctions.”