I russi hanno un segreto che nessuno è mai riuscito a violare.
Come siano riusciti a concepire, progettare, costruire e rendere operativi un così grande numero di sistemi missilistici allo stato dell’arte ed il tutto in così poco tempo. Le sigle sono note, o dovrebbero, però cercheremo di sintetizzare.
Novator 9M729 – SSC8
«Ground-launched cruise missile (GLCM), Road-mobile, Length 6 – 8 m, Diameter 53.3 cm, Single warhead 450 kg, range 500 – 5,500 km. …. Russia reportedly began covert development of the SSC-8 in the mid-2000s, and started flight testing in 2008. It was first test fired in July 2014. It was again reportedly test fired on September 2, 2015, although U.S. officials said it did not fly beyond the 500 km INF range limit. …. In February 2017, U.S. officials reported that Russia had deployed two SSC-8 missile battalions …. Each battalion includes four launchers, and each launcher is supplied with an estimated six missiles.» [Fonte]
È un missile balistico tattico di corta gittata, 415 km, lungo 7.28 m, diametro 91.4 cm, monostadio a propellente solido, capace di viaggiare oltre i 7,000 km/h. Ciascun missile costa 4.75 milioni di dollari.
Costituisce una famiglia di missili da crociera tipicamente anti – nave, capaci di viaggiare a 10 – 20 metri sopra il pelo dell’acqua, con raggio di azione dai 50 km fino ai 2,500 km. Sua caratteristica è quella di muoversi a velocità subsonica in fase di avvicinamento ed ipersonica in fase di attacco. Ha una precisione inferiore ai tre metri ed è in grado di attuare manovre di disimpegno anche alla massima velocità.
Può essere lanciato da sommergibili e navi, ma anche da aerei quali il Tu-142s. Si riporta che, date le piccole dimensioni, sia installato in container su navi apparentemente da carico.
S-400 ed S-500.
Gli S-400 sono una famiglia di missili anti – aerei con raggi di azioni variabili dai 40 km ai 400 km. Sono lanciabili da rampe mobili e sono ritenuti essere allo stato dell’arte. Cosa notevole, un battaglione di S400 (8 lanciatori, 112 missili, radar mobili, centrale di tiro e supporto logistico) costa solo 400 milioni di dollari. Si riporta che sia anche in grado di intercettare missili balistici.
S-500 è una famiglia di missili anti – missili balistici. Dovrebbe avere un raggio operativo attorno ai 600 km. Anche se la data di consegna dovrebbe essere stata stabilita nel 2020, si presume che un certo numero sia già operativo.
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Se i missili S-400 ed S-500 sono chiaramente difensivi, la vocazione difensiva / offensiva del Kalibr sarebbe molto discutibile. Al contrario, Iskander ed Ssc8 sono chiaramente missili offensivi.
Nessuno si scandalizzerebbe se le loro portate fossero ben maggiori di quanto ufficialmente riportato.
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L’invelenirsi della crisi politica dell’ultimo quinquennio ha esitato in un mutato atteggiamento e schieramento militare.
«Lithuania’s Linas Linkevicius tells DW that Russia has been violating the terms of the INF nuclear arms treaty. He says action is necessary to force all parties to comply with the agreement. ….
Russia has deployed Iskander missiles in the Kaliningrad Region. These missiles can also be set up to carry nuclear warheads.»
La bega è semplicissima.
Gli americani accusano i russi di aver messo a punto missili di portata ben superiore al limite dei cinquecento kilometri previsti dai trattati, ed i russi altrettanto.
Di certo vi sarebbero solo alcuni elementi.
– Sia gli Stati Uniti sia la Russia avrebbero missili atomici di raggio corto, ma ben superiore a quello stabilito nei trattati.
– Il vero pericolo di questi sistemi d’arma consiste nel fatto che, volando a velocità ipersoniche, sono non intercettabili oppure intercettabili in maniera del tutto parziale. Non solo, almeno nel teatro europeo, i tempi di individuazione e risposta sarebbero ridotti al rango di meno di cinque minuti primi. In poche parole, un attacco di sorpresa andrebbe immediatamente a segno.
NATO and the United States have increased their pressure on Russia over its alleged violation of the INF treaty. What is known about the Russian missile at the center of the allegations?
In October, US President Donald Trump threatened to withdraw from the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, which bans all land-based missiles with a range of between 500 and 5,500 kilometers (310 miles to 3,400 miles). After the NATO foreign minister summit in Brussels on Tuesday, the military alliance came out on Washington’s side and also accused Russia of breaching the INF treaty. The US has given Russia a 60-day ultimatum to comply with the treaty. Otherwise, the US will abandon the INF agreement for good.
The dispute centers around the Novator 9M729 missile system, which carries the NATO designation SSC-8. The US has recently shared its intelligence on the weapons system with NATO. Several media reports have also shed light on the Russian weapon.
How it all began
In late July 2014, The New York Times first broke the news that Washington had a suspicion Russia might be violating the INF treaty. It said that the then president, Barack Obama, had sent a letter to his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, on the matter. The paper claims Russia began testing the new missile system as early as 2008. The New York Times also reported the Obama administration had hoped to reach a compromise with the Russians by not publicly accusing them of violating the INF agreement. On Tuesday, the US State Department said five confidential talks between arms experts had been held since 2014 over the missile system. Yet it claims Russia had denied, concealed and spread lies about the new missile.
The Trump administration then went public with the name of Russia’s new missile system that allegedly violates the INF treaty. On November 29, National Security Council official Christopher Ford announced at Washington’s Wilson Center that Russian missile manufacturer Novator had created the new 9M729 weapons system. Novator, which belongs to Russian state-owned arms company Almas-Antei, has in the past developed Russia’s sea-launched Kalibr cruise missile, and a state-of-the-art nuclear-powered intercontinental missile.
How the 9M729 missile system was developed
There are barely any technical details available about the 9M729 missile system and its development. US Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats was the first to provide technical specifications of the weapons system in late November, saying that Russia began developing the missile in the mid-2000s.
Novator had reportedly been tasked with creating a weapons system “with great similarity” to missile systems under development at the time, such as the tactical road-mobile Iskander missiles, which can carry both conventional and nuclear warheads. The ballistic Iskander missile and guided Kalibr rocket could have served as the basic model for the new weapons system.
Coats said Russia had run an elaborate missile trial program until 2015. The INF treaty does allow for certain mid- and long-range missile systems to be tested on land, provided they are designed for use in the navy or air force. Coats claims Russia used this INF clause to hide the real purpose of the 9M729 missile system.
“If Coats’ account is accurate, then it is evident Russia tried to conceal its attempt to test a land-based missile for a range prohibited under the INF agreement,” said Russian journalist and military expert Alexander Golz. He believes the US claims are plausible.
9M729: A direct threat to Europe?
US authorities have not named the 9M729’s official range but they are convinced the rocket violates INF provisions. Steven Pifer, a disarmament expert at the Washington-based Brookings Institution, shares this view. “I would doubt the Russians would violate the treaty just to develop a missile that slightly exceeds 500 kilometers in range,” Pifer told DW. “I once gauged its range at 2,000 kilometers but that was just an estimate.”
Washington believes the new missile system could be ready for deployment. In February 2017, The New York Times reported on Russian units equipped with new missile systems operating at Russia’s Kapustin Yar rocket launch and development site near Volgograd, and at another unnamed location. National Intelligence Director Coats confirmed that several units had been detected, warning that they pose a “direct threat” to most of Europe and parts of Asia. US observers have said that these rockets are very similar to existing weapons systems: they are compact, mobile and difficult to trace.
How Russia is responding
In December 2017, Russia’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Maria Zakharova, for the first time admitted the existence of the 9M729 missile system. But she said no weapons systems violating INF provisions had been developed or tested. Responding to NATO’s recent accusations and the 60-day US ultimatum, Zakharova insisted Russia is fulfilling all contractual obligations.