Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Polonia. Amministrative. Il PiS ha vinto le elezioni.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-11-08.

Varsavia 001

Sarebbe utile usare una grande prudenza nell’estrapolare i risultati elettorali di elezioni amministrative a livello politico nazionale. Vi sono infatti un gran numero di problemi locali e gioca anche molto la personalità dei candidati.

I sondaggi pre-elettorali erano questi:

«An Ipsos exit poll showed the PiS party taking 32.3 percent of the vote for provincial council member seats, with a coalition of opposition parties taking 24.7 percent»

I risultati sono stati abbastanza in linea con le previsioni:

«The ruling PiS obtained 34 percent of the total regional assembly votes on October 21, while the opposition coalition reached 28 percent.  The PiS will be the strongest party in nine out of 16 regional parliaments, in six of which it has the absolute majority»

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Un fenomeno sembrerebbe però essere chiaramente emerso.

Mentre le aree rurali sono fortemente legate al PiS, quelle urbane delle grandi città hanno optato per candidati della opposizione.

Polish voters re-elect mayors in Kraków, Gdańsk: exit poll

«Candidates backed by Poland’s ruling conservatives have failed to oust incumbent mayors in the cities of Kraków and Gdańsk, according to an exit poll released after the second round of the country’s local elections on Sunday.

After the first round of elections two weeks ago, the governing conservative Law and Justice (PiS) party won the most votes in elections to Poland’s regional assemblies, electoral officials announced.

Meanwhile, mayoral races in some cities, including Kraków in the south and the northern Baltic port of Gdańsk, went into run-offs after no candidate received more than 50 percent of the vote in the first round.

Ballots to choose mayors and other local leaders were held in almost 650 cities and municipalities on Sunday.

In Kraków, incumbent Jacek Majchrowski won 64.6 percent of the vote in the second round, while Małgorzata Wassermann, who was backed by PiS, won 35.4 percent, according to an exit poll quoted by state broadcaster TVP.

In Gdańsk, mayor Paweł Adamowicz secured re-election after winning 64.7 percent of the vote, while his young PiS-backed rival Kacper Płażyński garnered 35.3 percent, according to the exit poll by Ipsos cited by TVP.

The official election results were expected to be announced around noon on Monday, public broadcaster Polish Radio reported.

Turnout by 5pm on Sunday was under 39 percent. Polling stations closed at 9pm.»

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Rimane difficile comprendere il motivo per cui i media liberal dicano che il PiS abbia perso le ultime elezioni.

Poland’s PiS nationalists face test in local election battles

Poland’s nationalist PiS party comes out on top in local elections

Poland: Urban voters reject ruling party in local elections

Poland Protests – People Power on the March

Non conosciamo altra società civile che quella dei Cittadini Elettori che si esprimono a tempo debito nel segreto nell’urna.

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«The ruling PiS obtained 34 percent of the total regional assembly votes on October 21, while the opposition coalition reached 28 percent.  The PiS will be the strongest party in nine out of 16 regional parliaments, in six of which it has the absolute majority»

Questi dati suggerirebbero che il PiS abbia vinto, non perso le elezioni.

Se è vero che il PiS ha fallito la conquista delle grandi aree urbane, è pur vero che abbia vinto molto bene nelle zone rurali.

A nostro sommesso avviso, a riportare la verità non ci si perde mai nulla.


Deutsche Welle. 2018-11-05. Poland’s nationalist PiS party comes out on top in local elections

Poland’s ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party was poised to make big electoral gains on Sunday as an exit poll put the euroskeptic conservatives ahead of the opposition in regional elections across the country.

An Ipsos exit poll showed the PiS party taking 32.3 percent of the vote for provincial council member seats, with a coalition of opposition parties taking 24.7 percent.

The early results put PiS on track to gain an absolute majority in several regional parliaments in Poland, making it easier to push through government-approved legislation.

“We have won … and this bodes well when it comes to the future, especially for the parliamentary election,” PiS leader Jaroslaw Kaczynski said. 

The regional elections decide the makeup of local governments and regional parliaments, including several mayoral races. The exit poll put voter turnout at 51.3 percent, up from 47 percent in 2014. Final results are expected on Tuesday or Wednesday.

Opposition candidate wins Warsaw mayor race

The opposition landed one major victory, however, in Warsaw’s mayoral race. Pro-European Union candidate Rafal Trzaskowski garnered 54.1 percent of the vote, according to the Ipsos survey, beating out his PiS opponent, Patryk Jaki. Should the result be confirmed, Trzaskowski would win the race outright and would not have to take part in a runoff.

PiS candidates failed to win outright in other major Polish cities, meaning they will face runoff elections slated to take place on November 4.

Sunday’s elections were the first test of support for Poland’s ruling party, possibly foreshadowing legislative and European elections in 2019. Although the party has held an absolute majority on a national level since 2015, some of the government’s policies have sparked mass protests and drawn EU criticism.

On Friday, the European Court of Justice ordered the Polish government to suspend its judicial reforms, which lowered the retirement age for Supreme Court judges and forced several into early retirement. The EU has warned that Poland’s political reforms are undermining judicial independence and democracy in the country.

Deutsche Welle. 2018-11-05. Poland: Urban voters reject ruling party in local elections

Candidates in three of Poland’s bigger cities won their elections with 64 percent or more share of the vote. But the ruling Law and Jutice party remains strong in the countryside.

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Poland’s ruling Law and Justice party (PiS) suffered a blow in Sunday’s mayoral runoff elections, according to exit poll data.

The second-round vote between the top two vote-getters from the October 21 first round took place in 649 cities, towns and municipalities. Official electoral returns are not expected until Monday.

Prior to the vote on Sunday, the populist anti-immigration PiS had lost mayoral posts in Warsaw, Poznan and Lodz to a centrist pro-European Union coalition, led by the Civic Platform party. On Sunday, the ruling party lost at least three more of Poland’s largest cities to the opposition.

Those cities were Krakow, Gdansk and Kielce, where candidates obtained more than 64 percent of the votes, according to exit polls. In the election campaign, the PiS had placed strong emphasis against immigration and for robust economic growth.

Rural vs urban divide

The results of Poland’s regional elections have highlighted the existing rift between urban and rural voters. While cities have been centers of concentrated opposition to the Law and Justice-led government, PiS has solidified its support in rural areas. 

Despite losing in the cities, the ruling PiS obtained 34 percent of the total regional assembly votes on October 21, while the opposition coalition reached 28 percent.  The PiS will be the strongest party in nine out of 16 regional parliaments, in six of which it has the absolute majority.

Voters in rural areas have responded favorably to the ruling party’s policies, such as lowering the retirement age and improving benefits for families with children.  Additionally, the Catholic Church has been instrumental in mobilizing support in the countryside.

With results as they stand, PiS could be well-poised to continue ruling the country after the 2019 national elections. But should the parliamentary supermajority disappear, the party will lose a crucial tool for changes to constitutional amendments.

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