Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Unione Europea

Germania. Frau Merkel ha scoperto che i possessori di auto diesel votano.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-10-05.

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«Jürgen Resch: ‘The state is behaving like a criminal.’»

Le parole di Herr Resch sintetizzano ciò che sta succedendo in Germania.

Gli allora egemoni partiti tradizionali, i liberal della Union ed i socialisti della Spd, avevano optato per la tesi dei Grüne che fosse mandatorio ridurre le emissioni di CO2, costasse quello che costasse. Il costo sarebbe stato una variabile indipendente.

La teoria del ‘clima‘ asserisce infatti che il surriscaldamento terrestre sia dovuto alla malefica presenza inquinante dell’essere umano. Ergo: lo si conculchi, in attesa di poterlo eliminare fisicamente.

La promessa era la pronta e funzionale disponibilità di energie alternative riferite essere non inquinanti e la soppressione fisica dei mezzi di trasporto a combustione. Nell’attesa messianica delle automobili elettriche, si imposero sui motori diesel dei limiti alle emissioni drasticamente bassi.

Per rientrare nei limiti le case costruttrici alterarono il software di rilevamento, lasciando invariate le emissioni. Tutto ha un costo e le autovetture non le regalano di certo. La gente normale ci pensa bene prima di cambiare la automobile e chi usa veicoli industriali o commerciali fa conti su conti prima di fare secondo convenienza.

Poi qualcuno si accorse della truffa, e ne nacque lo scandalo denominato Dieselgate. Multe gigantesche. Spese stroboscopiche.

«In the US, any owner of a diesel caught up in this ongoing scandal can simply return his car and be compensated, something German drivers can only dream of.»

Adesso quasi tutte le grandi città tedeschi hanno bandito la circolazione dei mezzi di trasporto a diesel sul loro territorio. Ma la gente non usa i mezzi di locomozione solo per diporto: li utilizza per recarsi al lavoro e per lavorare, per produrre.

Alla fine si arriva al solito nodo: chi paga?

La fine del diesel in Germania colpisce 9 milioni di tedeschi e porta guai alla Merkel

«Non c’è pace per le auto in Germania. Adesso, arriva la grana diesel, dopo che i giudici tedeschi hanno avallato il divieto di circolazione per le Euro 4 e 5. A rischio 15 milioni di veicoli e per la cancelliera Merkel è un brutto colpo.»

Grosso modo, l’investito ammonta a circa 270 miliardi, cifra fortemente sottovalutata. Il doppio potrebbe essere ben più aderente alla realtà.

Se è vero che l’usato ha perso valore, sarebbe anche vero ricordare come in una situazione del genere sarebbe impossibile trovare acquirenti: si dovrebbero rottamare le vecchie autovetture e comprarne delle nuove.

Qui si aprono due possibili soluzioni.

La prima consisterebbe nel far richiamare quindici milioni di macchine e fare installare un depuratore, che ne ridurrebbe drasticamente le prestazioni, ponendo la spesa a carico delle società costruttrici, che però non hanno una cifra del genere.

La seconda consisterebbe nell’imporre semplicemente il cambio della macchina a carico dei proprietari. Ma mica tutti hanno 270 miliardi in conto corrente. Per non dire poi che mentre i divieti di circolazione sono in vigore ora, adesso, ordinare alle case costruttrici quindici milioni di veicoli sarebbe un ordinativo smaltibile solo in qualche anno, mica immediatamente.

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I tedeschi si guardano attoniti: una cosa è strillare che si vuole essere ecologicamente puliti ed una totalmente differente il metter mano al portafoglio in maniera forzosa.

Uno scugnizzo napoletano, gente saggia e concreta, darebbe loro il suggerimento di variare le soglie che si sono imposti da soli. Ma Frau Merkel è tetragona: quella legga se la è fatta lei, e nessuno può toccarla. Ci mancherebbe. Se i tedeschi fossero duttili non si srebbero lasciati imbottigliare a Stalingrado.

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«Around 46 million passenger cars were registered in Germany at the beginning of this year. Of these, 30 million run on gasoline and 15 million on diesel. There are also small and large trucks and buses»

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«Millions of angry car owners are in turn millions of angry and increasingly politicized voters. And they are turning away from the coalition parties. Bavaria and Hesse go to the polls soon and motorists will vote too. In Bavaria, 40 percent of all cars have a diesel engine and the Hessian metropolis of Frankfurt is one of the most polluted cities in Germany.»

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Ottima questa idea di proibire la circolazione dei diesel proprio a ridosso della tornata elettorale.

La Union è crollata adesso al 26% e l’Spd al 16%. AfD è schizzata al 18.5%.

Hanno un bel dire i liberal socialisti

«The internal combustion engine is a discontinued model and the future is electric»

Che se li cavino dalle loro tasche i baiocchi che servono!


Deutsche Welle. 2018-10-02. Opinion: Diesel drivers are voters, too!

First the disclaimer: No, I don’t drive a diesel-powered car. But I do understand motorists who are fed up with the diesel scandal after three years of political roiling, says DW’s Sabine Kinkartz.

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Diesel drivers are angry and disappointed. Every few weeks they are asked to swallow more bad news with no end in sight: nitrogen oxide limits in the atmosphere exceeded, another city announcing a driving ban. And, as the scandal drags on into its third year, new cases of fraud still come to the surface.

So, what now? Is all well again after the government’s all-night diesel summit? Are all the problems fixed?

No. This is in fact just a lazy compromise between the ruling CDU, CSU and SPD coalition and has no real redress to offer the battered diesel driver.

As a reminder: In the US, any owner of a diesel caught up in this ongoing scandal can simply return his car and be compensated, something German drivers can only dream of.

Refit or bonus?

In Germany, diesel drivers now have a choice between a hardware conversion of their old car or a trade-in premium for the purchase of a cleaner car.

But that sounds better than it actually is.

Firstly, hardware retrofitting is not available to the extent that is needed for the many millions of old diesel vehicles, for technical reasons. This was already clear before this recent diesel summit.

Secondly, the government expects the respective car manufacturers to pay for this, including installation.

You cannot force people, says CSU Transport Minister Andreas Scheuer, shrugging his shoulders and pointing to the SPD, which pushed for refits.

Scheuer voted from the start for exchange premiums, which were also favored by the automotive industry. Two birds could be killed with one stone, he argued: Take the diesel stinkers out of circulation and at the same ramp up new business for the industry. Conversion meanwhile costs a lot and sells nothing.

Who should pay for it?

However, very few car owners are financially able to simply buy a new vehicle. This is a purchase that is usually planned and, above all, financed in the long term. For the offered premium plus the trade-in of the old car few would get an equivalent replacement.

But as Scheuer said before the summit, an all-inclusive package was never going to be part of the deal.

More help can be expected for tradespeople, taxi drivers, and also local authorities. For them, there are to be be support programs for retrofitting, covering 80 percent of the costs. And that would be covered by taxpayer, that is, by you and me.

This is reminiscent of the bank bailout during the financial crisis. Politicians spare the polluters and pass the costs on to the public. Does anyone in politics remember where that led? Down an avenue marked by political disenchantment and populism.

Fell or pushed?

In fact, the reason the government moved at all on this was a court ruling that health protection outweighs free travel for citizens.

For three years, the government has kicked the can down the road, hoping the crisis will resolve itself. At some point in the future, time itself would simply sweep the old diesels off the roads. This was a line propagated by the car manufacturers, in particular, with strong links to the German Chancellery.

But Germany is a country of motorists. Around 46 million passenger cars were registered in Germany at the beginning of this year. Of these, 30 million run on gasoline and 15 million on diesel. There are also small and large trucks and buses.

Millions of angry car owners are in turn millions of angry and increasingly politicized voters. And they are turning away from the coalition parties. Bavaria and Hesse go to the polls soon and motorists will vote too. In Bavaria, 40 percent of all cars have a diesel engine and the Hessian metropolis of Frankfurt is one of the most polluted cities in Germany.

The future is light and small

Petrol-based solutions are thus not solutions at all, as climate-damaging CO2 emissions continue to rise.

But German drivers’ love of bigger, faster, more comfortable cars, with all the assistance devices for driving comfort and stability, is undiminished. Around 100 control units are installed in the average modern car today and their weight is correspondingly high, above all in the popular SUV. And these cars drive best on diesel. A comparable gasoline engine would have to be much stronger and have consumption levels beyond the 20-liter mark.

The buyer of a Porsche Cayenne cares little about this, which is why the manufacturer of this sports car has not found it particularly hard to say goodbye to diesel.

At VW, Audi, Daimler and BMW things are different, although they too can no longer talk of clean diesel. Instead, they will now have to start offering their customers the real thing.

The internal combustion engine is a discontinued model and the future is electric. The cars of tomorrow will be light and probably much smaller.

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