Pubblicato in: Demografia, Stati Uniti

Stati Uniti. Il crollo della nascite yankee si associa a quello dei democratici.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2018-08-17.

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L’Università del Wisconsin – Madison, si è dotata del laboratorio Apl.

«The Applied Population Laboratory (APL) is a group of research and outreach professionals in the Department of Community and Environmental Sociology at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.»

Questo Laboratorio lavora in stretto contatto con il Census Bureau.

«APL has an affiliation with the U.S. Census Bureau through the State Data Center Program, a network of state and university agencies across the country partnering with the Census Bureau to provide access to census data and products, training related to census data and products, and feedback to the U.S. Census Bureau. The APL shares responsibilities with the Wisconsin Demographic Services Center for providing the State Data Center function for the state of Wisconsin. In this role, the APL disseminates data and provides outreach, training, and technology transfer focused on U.S. Census Bureau products and programs which respond to the needs of data users at the local level.»

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«Our demographic specialists can develop estimates and projections at a variety of scales, from local to national. The APL team has particular expertise in helping school districts plan for the future with enrollment projections. Our goal is to not only produce estimates and projections products, but to help our clients understand past and current trends and to prepare for a changing demographic future.»

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Di questi tempi l’Applied Population Lab è uscito con un ponderoso Report:

White Deaths Exceed Births in a Majority of U.S. States

Sarebbe opportuno leggerlo in toto non solo per la sua portata demografica, ma anche perché alle mutazioni demografiche si accompagnano mutazioni politiche.

Data la lunghezza del Report, ne riporteremo solo alcuni abstract, anche se il testo del presente articolo è scritto sulla scorta del Report nella sua globalità.

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«In 2016, more non-Hispanic whites died than were born in twenty-six states; more than at any time in U.S. history.»

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«Some 179 million residents or roughly 56 percent of the U.S. population, lived in these 26 states»

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«In contrast, non-Hispanic white (hereafter referred to as white) deaths exceeded births in just four states in 2004 and seventeen as recently as 2014.»

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«White deaths also exceeded white births in the nation as a whole for the first time in U.S. history in 2016, according to data from the National Center for Health Statistics.»

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«the substantial surplus of Latino births over deaths together with past immigration have contributed enormously to the growing diversity of the United States»

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«the rising incidence of white natural decrease due to aging and below-replacement fertility among the 61 percent of the population who are white»

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«The white natural loss of 39,000 in 2016 compares to a natural gain of 393,000 in 1999»

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«In 2016, whites accounted for 77.7 percent of all U.S. deaths, but just 53.1 percent of births.»

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«Demographers use the birth-to-death ratio (BDR) to track the changing relationship between fertility and mortality in a population. For whites, the BDR fell from 1.21 in 2000 to just 0.98 in 2016»

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«there were 4.9 Latino birth for every Latino death, 3.9 Asian births for every Asian death and 1.7 African American birth for every African American death»

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«Several states have protracted white natural decrease. It has been occurring for more than a decade in Florida, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, West Virginia, California, New Mexico and Connecticut»

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«state-level white natural decrease is occurring in populous states with diverse economies and numerous metropolitan areas such as California, Florida, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Arizona, Massachusetts and more recently in Ohio and Michigan.»

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«First, the percentage of the white population that is 65 and older in 2016 reflects the age structure of the state»

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«Second, the percentage of white women who are in their childbearing years (15–44) in 2016 signifies the relative share of women who are capable of giving birth»

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«Third, the white total fertility rate in 2016 represents the average number of births per woman in each state»

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«Fourth, the percentage of white females less than 15 years of age represents the future cohorts who will enter their childbearing years in the near future»

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«The white population is aging rapidly, as reflected in a rise in the median age for whites from 39 in 2000 to 43 in 2016. During the same period, the percentage of persons 65 and older increased from 15 percent of the white population in 2000 to 19 percent in 2016»

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«Previous research suggests that natural decrease is more likely when there are fewer women of childbearing age. Overall, the number of white women of childbearing age (15–44) declined by 5.1 million between 2000 and 2016, or 12.5 percent»

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«Nearly 55 percent of the early natural-decrease states are in the lowest fertility category»

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«just 11.9 percent of New Mexico’s white females are under the age of 15, compared to 23.2 percent of those in Utah.»

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«The Latino population is considerably younger (median age of 29 in 2016) and has moderately higher fertility rates than the white population, so Latino births exceeded deaths by a substantial margin in all fifty states and the District of Columbia»

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«In California, for example, the Latino natural increase of 179,400 was far greater than the 25,300 natural decrease of whites. However, in the other nine states, the natural decline of whites was greater than the Latino natural increase»

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«The first is the significant decline in U.S. fertility fostered by the Great Recession. Some 500,000 fewer babies are being born annually now than had pre-recession fertility rates been sustained. And, nearly 2.1 million more women of prime childbearing age are childless than would be expected»

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«As white natural increase has diminished, the share of the U.S. population that is white has declined from 79.6 percent in 1980 to 61.3 percent in 2016. Census Bureau projections suggest that the white population will begin to decline in absolute numbers between 2030 and 2040, and that by 2050 whites will constitute less than half (47 percent) of the U.S. population.»

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«the youth population—increasingly a population of color—will require major investments in education and training if the United States is to maintain a productive workforce in an increasingly competitive technological and global labor market.»

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«In Europe, overall deaths exceed births in seventeen countries. Compared to the United States, European fertility rates are lower, the population is considerably older, and there are fewer women of childbearing age»

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Gli Stati Uniti di America stanno passando un momento di crisi di crescita, di grandi mutamenti.

America. I numeri della mutazione in atto.

Statistical Portrait of the Foreign-Born Population in the United States

America. 44.752 milioni sotto la soglia di povertà.

Una Collettività è equa e vivibile quando tutti stiano ragionevolmente bene: se poi qualcuno vivesse meglio degli altri, ben per lui. Non è problema l’incidenza dei ricchi e nemmeno la loro opulenza: il vero problema è che la povertà e la miseria non sono combattibili con i sussidi, bensì con la generazione di posti di lavoro dignitosi.

I liberal democratici americani hanno clamorosamente fallito in questo settore, e non solo in questo.

Il dato di fatto è che la popolazione bianca non prolifica: dapprima si ridurrà numericamente e quindi si avvierà a scomparire. È un fenomeno storicamente riscontrabile solo risalendo nel tempo fino al periodo del basso impero romano.

Da questo studio emerge chiaramente come il crollo delle nascite dei bianchi sia principalmente addensato negli stati dichiaratamente liberal, quali la California.

Questo è il frutto della Weltanschauung liberal, che rinnega la tradizione religiosa, storica sociale e culturale del popolo americano, ed ha fatto propria bandiera la lotta alla famiglia concepita come unione di un maschio con una femmina, al fine di procreare ed allevare la prole.

I liberal odiano la famiglia ed hanno fatto di tutto per demolirla con istituto. Si va da un femminismo che esalta la femmina sterile perché tale vuole essere, alla facilitazione giuridica di separazione e divorzio, alla campagna anticoncezionale, per finire all’aborto.

Secondo l’Alan Guttmacher Institute, nel 2014 gli aborti sono stati 926,200. Per la prima volta poi nello studio si ammette che tale decrescita è parzialmente dovuta all’attività delle associazioni pro life e al riconoscimento negli ultimi anni di diverse leggi in alcuni stati americani che hanno reso più difficoltoso per le donne poter abortire.

Avere 926,200 morti ammazzati sulla coscienza è invero gran peso

Senza aborti, i bianchi avrebbero un saldo più che attivo.

I liberal democratici bramano estinguersi, e questo sarebbe problema loro, se non avesse anche conseguenze politiche ed economiche non da poco.

Al decrescere dei bianchi fa riscontro l’incremento demografico degli ispanoamericani, la Weltanschauung dei quali differisce profondamente da quella liberal, e che Mr Trump ha saputo magistralmente interpretare.

Si prenda atto di questa realtà.

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