Giuseppe Sandro Mela.
I tedeschi sono menti semplici, che riescono a comprendere solo segnali semplici, chiari, incontrovertibili.
Danno il meglio di sé stessi solo dopo essere stati sottoposti a massicci bombardamenti a tappeto oppure dopo che l’Armata Rossa li aveva invasi: hanno capito di aver perso la guerra quando i russi hanno parcheggiato i loro carri armati sulla verticale della cancelleria. La fotografia dovrebbe essere eloquente.
Adesso che i guai sono stati fatti e che sono quasi irreversibili, la Csu si sveglia.
«Horst Seehofer, state premier of Bavaria, is set to step down but will remain head of the CSU as part of a party compromise»
«Horst Seehofer is set to step down as Bavaria’s state premier before local elections next year in order to end an internal crisis within his Christian Social Union (CSU), the sister party of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU)»
«Seehofer, who will retain his position as party leader, is to be replaced at the helm of the Bavarian government by the state’s current finance minister, Markus Söder»
«Seehofer has been under pressure to resign or give up some power after the CSU took a drubbing in September’s federal election, getting 38.8 percent of the Bavarian vote compared to 49.3 percent in the 2013 ballot.»
«Söder, a fierce critic of Merkel’s refugee policy»
* * * * * * *
Lo avevamo annunciato già il primo di dicembre.
Il motivo è semplice: tra poco in Baviera si va a votare e la Csu sarà massacrata.
Ed il massacro della Csu comporterà la caduta dell’Union, ossia della passata coalizione tra Cdu e Csu, asse portante della politica tedesca.
E con la caduta dell’Union, l’Europa Unita andrà in mille pezzi.
I destini dell’Italia sono stati decisi in Baviera.
«da tempo immemorabile la Csu, ha sempre conquistato la maggioranza assoluta dei voti.
Poi venne il cancellierato Merkel, e nulla rimase intentato per praticare politiche impopolari al punto tale da decretarne la débâcle del 24 settembre.
Le proiezioni elettorali per la Baviera sono sinistre. Se si realizzassero alle urne sarebbe un disastro per Csu e per Cdu.
La Csu perderebbe -10.5 punti percentuali, scendendo al 37%. La socialdemocrazia perderebbe 5 punti percentuali, scendendo dal 20.6% al 15%. AfD si confermerebbe terzo partito bavarese, conquistandosi un sonoro 14% estratto dal nulla, ed Fdp guadagnerebbe 4.5 punti percentuali, arrivando all’8%.»
* * * * * * *
I bavaresi hanno fatto oggi quello che avrebbero dovuto fare quattro anni fa.
Manca solo l’operazione finale. Cacciare a pedate Frau Merkel.
Ma evidentemente per fare questa cosa di sano buon senso tedeschi e bavaresi devono prendere ancora una buona dose di calci nei denti.
«La morte di uno può salvare il popolo, disse Caifa profetando».
→ Reuters. 2017-12-04. Germany’s CSU picks right-winger as candidate for Bavaria premier
MUNICH (Reuters) – Lawmakers of Germany’s Christian Social Union (CSU), the Bavarian sister party of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservatives, have nominated rightwinger Markus Soeder as candidate for state premier in a regional election.
The future of current premier Horst Seehofer – a Merkel ally – had been in question since a general election in September that saw Merkel’s bloc, which includes the CSU, lose ground to the far-right, anti-immigrant Alternative for Germany (AfD).
CSU parliamentary group leader Thomas Kreuzer said lawmakers had unilaterally agreed to nominate Soeder, a fierce critic of Merkel’s refugee policy, as candidate to run for state premier in next year’s Bavarian state election.
His nomination could complicate Merkel’s efforts to form a stable national government with the centre-left Social Democrats (SPD).
Soeder said he welcomed a decision from Seehofer to stay on as CSU party leader since this would help to find a way out of the political impasse in Berlin. Seehofer is expected to adress reporters at a news conference at 1300 GMT.
The national election in September produced a splintered parliament that made coalition building difficult. Merkel turned to the SPD after she failed to form a government with the left-leaning Greens and the pro-business Free Democrats.
Immigration policy has been a key point of contention among the conservatives who need to strike a balance between softer asylum rules demanded by the SPD and the need to show the public that the government is trying to limit the number of newcomers.
The SPD, which has governed in coalition under Merkel since 2013, suffered its worst election result in postwar history and is reluctant to join another “grand coalition”.
The SPD will hold a party congress in Berlin on Dec. 7-9, where it is expected to debate its options.
The party’s board is expected to recommend to its members on Monday to enter exploratory talks with Merkel’s conservatives while underlining that this step would not automatically lead to a coalition government.
The SPD fears it will again be smothered in a new tie-up with Merkel. It wants to show its support base that its policies are present in any coalition agreement.
The CSU meanwhile will seek to pull the coalition right-wards to preempt losses to the far-right AfD.
→ Deutsche Welle. 2017-12-04. CSU’s Horst Seehofer to step down as Bavaria’s premier
Horst Seehofer, state premier of Bavaria, is set to step down but will remain head of the CSU as part of a party compromise. Intra-party conflict has made coalition building in Berlin difficult.
Horst Seehofer is set to step down as Bavaria’s state premier before local elections next year in order to end an internal crisis within his Christian Social Union (CSU), the sister party of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU)
Seehofer, who will retain his position as party leader, is to be replaced at the helm of the Bavarian government by the state’s current finance minister, Markus Söder.
After meeting with senior party leaders on Sunday, Seehofer said a consensus had been reached that was “generally well received.”
Bavarian Finance Minister Markus Söder, a Seehofer rival, is a likely candidate to lead the party list. Bavarian Interior Minister Joachim Herrmann, who is close to Seehofer, is reportedly now not going to stand, possibly to avoid intra-party conflict.
Struggle to form a coalition
Seehofer is expected to step down by the end of February, the broadcaster Bayerische Rundfunk reported, but not before federal coalition talks are completed in Berlin.
Party sources said the idea is not to weaken Seehofer’s position in coalition talks at the federal level, where he may end up as a minister.
Merkel’s CDU and the CSU are looking to enter coalition talks with the Social Democrats (SPD) for another “grand coalition” after preliminary coalition talks with the Free Democrats and Greens broke down last month.
The SPD is expected to make a decision this week on whether to enter formal talks with the conservatives.
Intra-party conflict within the CSU could complicate Merkel’s effort to form a new government. The other options would be for the conservatives to form a minority government or to call a new election. But both are considered problematic.
Seehofer has been under pressure to resign or give up some power after the CSU took a drubbing in September’s federal election, getting 38.8 percent of the Bavarian vote compared to 49.3 percent in the 2013 ballot.
The CSU operates only in Bavaria, but is allied with Merkel’s CDU at the national level. The two parties jointly conduct coalition talks.
However, differences within the conservative grouping have emerged over issues such as immigration, after the right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) pulled votes from the CDU and CSU. Those differences have largely been patched up after the sister parties agreed on a tougher immigration platform.