Pubblicato in: Finanza e Sistema Bancario, Unione Europea

Polonia. Sta nascendo un nuovo polo finanziario europeo.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2017-09-28.

Varsavia 001

Mentre Frau Merkel tenta di catechizzare i suoi concittadini ed il mondo per convertirli al nuovo credo alteramente senziente, pensante ed operante, la Polonia le sta scippando sotto il naso le sede operative europee delle maggiori banche mondiali.

Tutto era nato negli scorsi anni e si era concretizzato a fine giugno.

A quell’epoca già iniziavano a circolare le proiezioni elettorali per pochi intimi, quelle reali.

Germania. Analisi del voto federale. 1. Classi di età.

Germania. Analisi del voto federale.2. Altre caratteristiche. Est – Ovest.

Germania. Analisi del voto federale. 3. I voti nei Länder.

Germania. Heimat risorta, viva e vegeta. Il perché di una vittoria.

Europa. La devoluzione del socialismo ideologico. – Spiegel

Tutti i grandi investitori erano, e sono, consci che le elezioni tedesche avrebbero mutato gli equilibri politici in Europa.

Ma nel contempo tutti i grandi investitori hanno da lunga pezza ben presente la situazione tedesca, come si prospetta nel medio – lungo termine.

Germania. Incidenza economica del calo demografico. – Bloomberg.

Germania. Realtà geografica, non più umana, politica ed economica.

Germania. 13 milioni di poveri e 330,000 famiglie con la luce tagliata.

Germania. Non è povera. È misera. – Financial Times

Germania. Sassonia. La realtà travolge i tedeschi. Ed è solo l’inizio.

Germania. La demografia che stritola. Mancano tre milioni di lavoratori. – Vbw.

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Se questi problemi fossero chiari, tutto quello che sta succedendo sarebbe di una evidente semplicità. La Polonia diventa immediatamente appetibile a discapito della Germania.

La conseguenza di tutto quanto sopra riportato è sequenziale: i grandi investitori si domandano se valga ancora la pena fare investimenti strategici in Germania. E la risposta è no.

Certamente resta ancora possibile fare qualche affaruccio, ma investimenti strategici sicuramente no.

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Trump visiterà la Polonia il sei luglio.

Mr Trump non era andato in Polonia per parlare di giardinaggio.

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Radio Poland aveva dato un primo timido annuncio il 23 gennaio c.a.:

«Three Polish cities: Warsaw, Kraków and Wrocław are being considered for opening a new office of financial company JP Morgan Chase, the Puls Biznesu daily reported.

Kraków’s city hall confirmed that its representatives held a meeting with JP Morgan officials.

According to the daily, Poland is not the only country considered by JP Morgan, and a number of European cities are competing to lure the company, whose investment could create 2,500 new jobs.

Puls Biznesu added that investment banker, Goldman Sachs, will also probably relocate its back-office from London’s city to Warsaw following Brexit.

Mateusz Morawiecki, Poland’s Finance and Development Minister has said that due to the UK leaving the EU, the Polish services sector might see 20,000 new jobs created between 2016 and the end of 2017.»

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Reuters aveva ripreso la notizia il 26 di aprile:

«U.S. bank JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N) is zooming in on Warsaw as a destination for its new back office operations center which could eventually employ several thousand people supporting the bank’s European and Asian business, sources said.

As Britain prepares to leave the European Union, and banks and other financial firms look to shift jobs from London’s financial center, Poland has set its sights on mid-tier work where salaries may not be astronomical but jobs are numerous.

A delegation from JPMorgan visited Warsaw last month, the sources said, to look for real estate that could house the new center, which could become of the largest of its kind in Poland.

“The focus is definitely Warsaw,” said one source familiar with the matter, speaking anonymously as discussions are not public.

JPMorgan has also visited Poland’s western city of Wroclaw and Hungary’s capital Budapest as possible contenders»

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Careers in Poland aveva dato ulteriore conferma l’11 maggio, ricordando come in Polonia si fossero già rtasferite importanti attività di Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse ed UBS:

«Warsaw is about to become home of another eminent operations centre – this time for USA’s investment bank, JPMorgan Chase. Although the information has yet to be confirmed, Poland is a firm contender in the race to secure the position of JPMorgan’s next location. The bank is said to be looking for new office sites as a result of Brexit. This would make JPMorgan Chase another institution planning to shift away from London’s City after Britain’s ‘leave’ vote last year.

The back office centre that JPMorgan is looking to open would deal with bank’s businesses in Europe and Asia. Poland is certainly capable of providing enough workforce and has experience in attracting foreign employees as well. Although no clear declarations have been made, the financial centre may several thousand people – according to some sources about 2,500 employees, although initially it would hire less than a hundred people.»

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Di questi giorni la conferma data da Reuter.

«Poland’s government expects JPMorgan Chase & Co. to open an operational center in Warsaw, swelling the ranks of banks attracted by Poland’s lower costs amid competition by European cities for jobs set to move away from London»

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«The deal is done»

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«UBS Group AG has set up a global hub in Krakow »

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«Goldman Sachs, which is planning to halve its London staff to 3,000 workers, will expand in Warsaw to “several hundred” people over the next three year »

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«Brexit could bring as many as 30,000 business service-sector jobs to Poland»

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«Business outsourcing centers opened by foreign corporates have added 198,000 jobs in Poland, including 32,000 in the 12 months to March, with many of them in the financial industry, according to the Association of Business Service Leaders in Poland»

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«That compares with 275,000 people employed in the traditional financial sector as of the first quarter, according to the Central Statistical Office»

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Nel 2000 la Polonia aveva un pil di 171.276 miliardi Usd, che nel 2016 è cresciuto a 467.591. Il Q1 ed il Q2 di questo anno hanno segnato un +4.2% ed un +4.4%, rispettivamente.

Nel 2000 il pil procapite era 4,476 Usd che nel 2016 è arrivato a 12,314 Usd.


Bloomberg. 2017-09-24. JPMorgan to Hire ‘Thousands’ for Operations Hub in Poland

– Deputy Prime Minister Morawiecki says sealed deal with lender

– Pekao starts hiring Polish bankers from U.K. amid Brexit risks

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Poland’s government expects JPMorgan Chase & Co. to open an operational center in Warsaw, swelling the ranks of banks attracted by Poland’s lower costs amid competition by European cities for jobs set to move away from London.

The U.S. bank, which is poised to hire “several thousand people,” according to Polish Deputy Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, adds to list of foreign lenders that have been relocating some mid- and back-office positions to the formerly communist European Union member.

“The world’s largest bank will have a headquarters here and will hire several thousand people in management, risk management and logistics, which is good as these are well paid jobs,” Morawiecki told public radio Trojka on Friday. “The deal is done.”

UBS Group AG has set up a global hub in Krakow, while Goldman Sachs, which is planning to halve its London staff to 3,000 workers, will expand in Warsaw to “several hundred” people over the next three years, Handelsblatt has reported. Morawiecki said this year that Brexit could bring as many as 30,000 business service-sector jobs to Poland.

Jennifer Zuccarelli, a spokeswoman at JPMorgan in London, declined to comment. A spokeswoman said in January that the bank was “always reviewing our options to improve our real estate strategy for back-office functions” and that the process had “nothing to do with” Brexit.

Outsourcing Centers

Business outsourcing centers opened by foreign corporates have added 198,000 jobs in Poland, including 32,000 in the 12 months to March, with many of them in the financial industry, according to the Association of Business Service Leaders in Poland. That compares with 275,000 people employed in the traditional financial sector as of the first quarter, according to the Central Statistical Office.

New positions in the banking industry in Warsaw offer salaries from $1,400 to $5,050 per month, according to ABSL. That compares with the average annual salary of about $62,000 in financial services in the U.K., according to job recruitment agency Reed.

Separately, Poland’s second biggest lender Pekao SA announced a prominent hire from among the group of Poles who had been building their careers in London’s financial center, flagging the move as a symbol of Warsaw’s growing allure for financial professionals amid Brexit risks.

The lender took on Roksana Ciurysek-Gedir, who has headed a team at Credit Suisse’s wealth management unit, as deputy chief executive officer. Pekao’s acting CEO Michal Krupinski, himself a former investment banker in Merrill Lynch, expects more hires from London in the coming weeks.

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