Pubblicato in: Devoluzione socialismo, Trump, Unione Europea

Merkel, Trump e G20. Vincere o morire. – Handelsblatt.

Giuseppe Sandro Mela.

2017-07-06.

2017-07-04__Merkel__001 MERKEL_BIMBA_Molino_foto-per-illustrare-concorso-vignette

Sarà un duello mortale all’ultimo sangue.

Non è solo in gioco la cancelleria di Frau Merkel, bensì il destino della Germania. Sia Mr Trump sia Frau Merkel sanno più che bene che a breve termine la crisi demografica falcidierà la produzione tedesca. L’unico modo che resta ai tedeschi per rallentare, sicuramente non fermare, la loro scomparsa è quello di conquistarsi un’egemonia mondiale. Ma hanno trovato Mr Trump sul loro cammino, ed anche Mr Trump deve stravincere al G20 per poter sopravvivere. Molto dipenderà da come si schiererà Mr Putin.

Migration Complete: Frankfurt Becomes First City With More Refugees Than Native Citizens

Intanto 100,000 contestatori professionisti si stanno radunando ad Amburgo.

«German Chancellor Angela Merkel, in the midst of a re-election campaign, has adopted a confrontational stance toward US President Donald Trump, a deeply unpopular figure in Germany, on climate and trade policy in the run-up to the G20 summit in Hamburg next week»

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«The disagreement is clear. It would not be right to gloss over it – I won’t do that in any case.»

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«Ms. Merkel has dropped her wait-and-see approach toward Mr. Trump in the wake of a confrontational G7 meeting in Italy, in which the US president was the only leader who declined to endorse a communique reaffirming the group’s commitment to the Paris climate agreement»

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«The climate agreement is irreversible and it is non-negotiable. Whoever believes the problems of this world can be solved with isolationism and protectionism has made a tremendous mistake»

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«For Ms. Merkel, the upcoming G20 summit in Hamburg is one of the most fateful moments in 12- year tenure as chancellor»

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«The other two original architects of the West, Britain and France, are also in a state of turmoil»

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«US media have gone so far as to declare Ms. Merkel the leader of the free world»

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«a politician and a country can achieve little to nothing alone, the task is much more about securing a broad alliance for our values»

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«Ms. Merkel may not view herself as the leader of the free world, but she has emerged as the longest-serving Western leader and the most influential figure in the European Union»

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«We saw at the G7 summit in May in Sicily that there can be very tough discussions around the summit table. That certainly will not be any easier at the G20, where the participants are much more different in their fundamental convictions»

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«In the face of this challenge, the chancellor called for Germany and Europe “to take on more responsibility in the world around us, so that peace and prosperity, step by step, will also prevail there.”»

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«The G20 summit will provide a platform for her to demonstrate leadership and international influence to German voters in the run-up to the election. But the summit also carries political risks for her»

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«Time is of the essence, we have to make our world order ready for the future.»

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Angela Merkel Sets Collision Course With Trump Ahead of G-20 [The New York Times]

«A combative Chancellor Angela Merkel set herself on a collision course with President Trump and his “America first” agenda on Thursday, predicting “very difficult” talks over climate change and trade when she hosts a summit meeting of 20 global leaders next week»

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Merkel Issues Warning to Trump Ahead of G20 Summit [The New York Times]

«German Chancellor Angela Merkel promised to fight for free trade and press on with multilateral efforts to combat climate change at the G20 summit next week, challenging the “America First” policies of U.S. President Donald Trump»

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Trump, Putin and the anarchists next door – is trouble brewing at the G20 in Hamburg? [The Guardian]

«As summit host, Merkel is reportedly planning to make climate change, free trade and migration the key points of discussion, which seems almost designed to start a fight with Donald Trump»

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Trump, Merkel to meet in Germany before G-20 summit [The Hill]

«Merkel said last week the summit will focus on pressing forward with the Paris climate accord despite Trump’s move to pull the U.S. out of the deal»

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Sintetizzando.

Frau Merkel è fermamente decisa a porre come temi centrali del G20 il ‘clima’, le energie alternative, l’Accordo di Parigi, l’immigrazione e ciò che Lei denomina “free trade“.

Mr Trump è al momento su posizioni diametralmente opposte.

La posta in gioco è una presunta leadership mondiale o, meglio, del mondo occidentale. Frau Merkel potrebbe farcela solo ed esclusivamente se riuscisse a coagulare tutti i restanti 18 stati. Ma se fallisse sarebbe la sua fine. E sembrerebbe avere ben pochi amici.

Ricordatevi bene:

Migration Complete: Frankfurt Becomes First City With More Refugees Than Native Citizens


Handelsblatt. 2017-07-03. Merkel’s Thin Red Line

The chancellor is trying to rally world leaders on trade and climate policy as the US challenges the global consensus. Failure could risk her re-election to a fourth term.

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German Chancellor Angela Merkel, in the midst of a re-election campaign, has adopted a confrontational stance toward US President Donald Trump, a deeply unpopular figure in Germany, on climate and trade policy in the run-up to the G20 summit in Hamburg next week.

In an address to the German parliament on Thursday, Ms. Merkel spoke frankly about the growing rift between Berlin and Washington. “The disagreement is clear,” Ms. Merkel told parliamentarians. “It would not be right to gloss over it – I won’t do that in any case.”

Ms. Merkel has dropped her wait-and-see approach toward Mr. Trump in the wake of a confrontational G7 meeting in Italy, in which the US president was the only leader who declined to endorse a communique reaffirming the group’s commitment to the Paris climate agreement. Mr. Trump subsequently announced the US withdrawal from the accord, but said Washington would be open to negotiating a new deal with more favorable terms for US businesses and workers.

Ms. Merkel, however, drew a diplomatic red line with Washington in her speech on Thursday: “The climate agreement is irreversible and it is non-negotiable,” she said. Without mentioning Mr. Trump by name, the chancellor forcefully rejected his brand of economic nationalism: “Whoever believes the problems of this world can be solved with isolationism and protectionism has made a tremendous mistake,” she said.

«For Ms. Merkel, the upcoming G20 summit in Hamburg is one of the most fateful moments in 12- year tenure as chancellor.»

For Ms. Merkel, the upcoming G20 summit in Hamburg is one of the most fateful moments in her 12- year tenure as chancellor. Germany chairs the international bloc this year, at a time when the United States has withdrawn from its traditional role as the guarantor of the liberal economic and political order that underpins the Western world. The other two original architects of the West, Britain and France, are also in a state of turmoil. Britain has descended into political chaos over its exit from the European Union, and France’s old political establishment has collapsed in the face of an economic malaise. There are lingering concerns that Marine Le Pen’s far-right, anti-EU National Front, though defeated for now, could make a comeback.

With the old WWII allies missing in action, US media have gone so far as to declare Ms. Merkel the leader of the free world. It’s a title that the chancellor has rejected. Ms. Merkel, in an interview with Handelsblatt’s sister publication WirtschaftsWoche, said “a politician and a country can achieve little to nothing alone, the task is much more about securing a broad alliance for our values.” She defined those values as freedom of speech, freedom of religion, respect for human dignity, and open societies and open trade.

Ms. Merkel may not view herself as the leader of the free world, but she has emerged as the longest-serving Western leader and the most influential figure in the European Union. And as the host of the G20 summit in Hamburg, which begins July 7, she will face the difficult task of forging a consensus among 20 different states with very different worldviews in the face of a combative and increasingly isolationist United States, still the world’s largest economic and military power. Ms. Merkel, for her part, has no allusions about the task ahead.

“We saw at the G7 summit in May in Sicily that there can be very tough discussions around the summit table,” Ms. Merkel said. “That certainly will not be any easier at the G20, where the participants are much more different in their fundamental convictions.”

In the face of this challenge, the chancellor called for Germany and Europe “to take on more responsibility in the world around us, so that peace and prosperity, step by step, will also prevail there.” In 2015, the world’s conflicts literally ended up on Germany’s doorstep. Ms. Merkel opened the country’s borders to nearly 1 million migrants and refugees, many of whom fled war in the Middle East, particularly Syria. The decision cost Ms. Merkel in the polls, fueled the rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany party, and stoked speculation that she might not win a fourth-term as chancellor in federal elections in September.

«“We have to make sure that we do not become fixated just on the US position at the summit.”» [Angela Merkel, Chancellor ]

Ms. Merkel, however, has bounced back in the polls since Mr. Trump entered the White House and singled out Germany for its trade surplus, and Ms. Merkel for her refugee policy. She now leads her center-left Social Democratic opponent, Martin Schulz, by more than 10 points in the polls.

The G20 summit will provide a platform for her to demonstrate leadership and international influence to German voters in the run-up to the election. But the summit also carries political risks for her. She is under pressure from the Social Democrats to take an even harder line toward Mr. Trump. Thomas Oppermann, head of the Social Democratic parliamentary faction, called on Ms. Merkel to forge a “19-to-1 alliance” against the US president.

The chancellor, however, has rejected this approach and is determined, despite her differences with Mr. Trump, to find “common paths to solutions” and negotiate a joint statement supported by the entire G20, including Washington. Speaking to WirtschaftsWoche, she has emphasized that Mr. Trump is a democratically elected leader and the United States remains a close partner on security issues and shares common values with Europe, even if Washington and Berlin diverge on climate and trade policy. “We have to make sure that we do not become fixated just on the US position at the summit,” Ms. Merkel said.

In this vein, the chancellor met with EU leaders on Thursday in Berlin to sound out their views and forge a joint European position on climate and trade policy in the run-up to the G20. France’s new president Emmanuel Macron, after meeting with the chancellor, said “it’s pointless to isolate one country” in reference to the United States and added that “it’s always preferable to come up with joint statements,” according to the news agency Bloomberg.

Finding unity at the G20, however, will prove difficult, particularly given Ms. Merkel and Mr. Trump’s seemingly irreconcilable differences on climate change. If she moves too close to Mr. Trump in her efforts to achieve a joint G20 statement, it could hurt her standing with German voters. According to a recent survey by the Pew Research Center, less than 20 percent of Germans trust the US president. And the Social Democrats are waiting in the wings to pounce in order to gain leverage on the campaign trail.

Ms. Merkel, then, will be defending a thin red line in Hamburg next week as she tries to shore up support for a liberal world order abroad and maintain her standing at home, all without isolating Mr. Trump. It’s a tall order, but Ms. Merkel believes there’s no time to lose: “Time is of the essence, we have to make our world order ready for the future.”

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