Handelsblatt lo aveva sommessamente preannunciato.
La Bundeskanzlerin Frau Merkel ha inizato a tessere la sua tela di ragno in vista di un difficile G20, che potrebbe anche trasformarsi in un G1 con aggiungo un G19.
Abbiamo chiarito già in altri articoli i motivi che spingono la Macron & Merkel Masonry Ldt a sostenere a spada tratta l’Accordo di Parigi sul ‘clima‘ e su tutti i relativi ammennicoli che lo supportano: ne va della loro indipendenza politica e della sopravvivenza economica.
Senza supporto internazionale al ‘clima‘ la Germania vedrebbe il suo surplus ridursi in modo consistente. Senza ‘clima’ la Germania correrebbe il serio pericolo di naufragare politicamente ed economicamente. Assieme alla Francia.
Francia e Germania piangono non sul clima ma sull’Unep. Un gran bel gruzzolo.
«As German Chancellor Angela Merkel arrives in America’s back yard, German G20 goals are on the menu in Argentina and Mexico»
«But Donald Trump’s specter looms large as ever»
«Berlin insists that this trip is not about forming any kind of alliance against US President Donald Trump’s protectionist economic rhetoric»
«Yet few other countries would be as threatened as Mexico by protectionist policies from the Trump administration»
«President Mauricio Macri also fears that economic tremors originating in Washington could become devastating earthquakes on reaching Buenos Aires»
«The upcoming G20 meeting will not have to try quite so hard to stress the “shared values” that were absent at the recent G7 gathering in Sicily on more levels than merely Washington’s climate opt-out»
«Germany’s chancellor will have to prove whether she can get the world’s largest economies to sign on the dotted line and recommit to free trade»
«In Hamburg the six-against-one dynamics the world saw at the G7 meeting turning into a 19-to-one scenario is not an option»
* * * * * * *
Nessuno sa né può prevedere il futuro.
Ma se tanto da tanto, il G20 sarà un “19-to-one scenario“.
Dicono che Mr Macron stia passando notti insonni pensando ai colossali errori delle previsioni elettorali che davano la May vincente alle elezioni.
As German Chancellor Angela Merkel arrives in America’s back yard, German G20 goals are on the menu in Argentina and Mexico. But Donald Trump’s specter looms large as ever. DW’s Michaela Küfner is accompanying Merkel.
As far as the German government is concerned, the rumors are not true. Berlin insists that this trip is not about forming any kind of alliance against US President Donald Trump’s protectionist economic rhetoric. Officially, Angela Merkel’s stops in Argentina and then Mexico were simply the last countries left on the list to visit prior to the G20 summit in Hamburg.
Yet few other countries would be as threatened as Mexico by protectionist policies from the Trump administration. Not to mention the prospect of a border wall, a foreign and domestic policy nightmare for Mexico’s President Enrique Pena Nieto. And while steak-loving Germans may scoff around a quarter of Argentina’s beef exports, President Mauricio Macri also fears that economic tremors originating in Washington could become devastating earthquakes on reaching Buenos Aires.
The former mayor of Argentina’s capital has earned some respect with the German chancellor for beginning to pull his country out of the all-out economic mess that had its origins in Argentina’s 2001 state bankruptcy. He secured a settlement with hedge funds where both the previous presidencies failed, regaining Argentina’s access to financial markets. Yet this “success story” came at a high price for ordinary Argentinians.
Before meeting the President, Merkel visits Buenos Aires’ Templo Libertad synagogue in recognition of Argentina’s role in offering refuge to Jews fleeing from the Nazis. Today Buenos Aires is home to the largest Jewish community in Latin America, roughly 250,000 people. She will also pay tribute to the victims of the country’s 1976-1983 dictatorship, during which between 7,000 and 30,000 people were killed.
A tough job but somebody has to do it
The upcoming G20 meeting will not have to try quite so hard to stress the “shared values” that were absent at the recent G7 gathering in Sicily on more levels than merely Washington’s climate opt-out. Still, every economy around the table – from China to Japan to the EU and certainly Latin America – will be watching every move Trump makes. And they’ll be watching how Angela Merkel – as G20 host – responds.
So the German chancellor has some expectation management to do in Latin America’s second and third largest economies on how much power she wields as leader of Europe’s strongest economy. News website Politico and others might have dubbed Merkel “leader of the free world,” but she’ll be keen to dial that down a notch. From where many here are sitting, Merkel carries the burden whether she likes it or not.
Merkel is carefully avoiding contact with the country that – at any other time – would have been the natural partner to visit. Brazil is the only Latin American country with a direct trade agreement with Germany. Yet the chancellor is treating it as a flyover country on this rare Latin American trip. Evidently she does’t want to get sucked into the corruption scandal surrounding President Temer. An official visit by the German Chancellor in such a toxic political climate might be seen as taking sides. The aim now is to schedule a meeting in Germany ahead of the G20.
Sitting on the fence
There, Germany’s chancellor will have to prove whether she can get the world’s largest economies to sign on the dotted line and recommit to free trade. Just as important for Angela Merkel are a host of initiatives her G20 presidency wants to establish as future “must haves” on the agenda: women, digitalization and global health care along with a commitment to a development agenda for Africa. The latter idea just failed to get a foothold at the G7 – a setback for Merkel who is committed to tackling migration by improving conditions for would-be migrants at home.
In Hamburg the six-against-one dynamics the world saw at the G7 meeting turning into a 19-to-one scenario is not an option. If necessary, core issues like climate change are liable to be dropped from any closing statement altogether. Another goal for Merkel will be to reassure a US administration elected in part on Trump’s claims that the rest of the world had conned America into bad deals. She will want to convey that her three-day visit to the southern side of a potential border wall does not put her on the other side of that boundary.